Polygenic Risk Score Predicts Sudden Death in Patients With Coronary Disease and Preserved Systolic Function

Coronary artery calcium and sudden cardiac death: current evidence and future directions

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

To provide a summary of the current evidence and highlight future directions regarding coronary artery calcium (CAC) and risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD).

RECENT FINDINGS

Although up to 80% of all SCD is attributed to coronary heart disease (CHD), the subclinical atherosclerosis markers that help to improve SCD risk prediction are largely unknown. Recent observational data have demonstrated that, after adjustment for traditional risk factors, there is a stepwise higher risk for SCD across increasing CAC burden such that asymptomatic patients without overt atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) experience a three-fold to five-fold higher SCD risk beginning at CAC at least 100 when compared with CAC = 0. Although the mechanisms underlying increasing CAC and SCD risk have yet to be fully elucidated, risk for myocardial infarction and scar, and/or exercise-induced ischemia may be potential mediators.

SUMMARY

High CAC burden is an important risk factor for SCD in asymptomatic middle-aged adults, suggesting that SCD risk stratification can begin in the early stages of CHD via measurement of calcific plaque on noncontrast computed tomography. Despite the clinical inertia for downstream functional cardiac testing after detecting high CAC, comprehensive ASCVD prevention strategies should be the primary focus for SCD risk reduction.

The Lancet Commission to reduce the global burden of sudden cardiac death: a call for multidisciplinary action

Despite major advancements in cardiovascular medicine, sudden cardiac death (SCD) continues to be an enormous medical and societal challenge, claiming millions of lives every year. Efforts to prevent SCD are hampered by imperfect risk prediction and inadequate solutions to specifically address arrhythmogenesis. Although resuscitation strategies have witnessed substantial evolution, there is a need to strengthen the organisation of community interventions and emergency medical systems across varied locations and health-care structures. With all the technological and medical advances of the 21st century, the fact that survival from sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) remains lower than 10% in most parts of the world is unacceptable. Recognising this urgent need, the Lancet Commission on SCD was constituted, bringing together 30 international experts in varied disciplines. Consistent progress in tackling SCD will require a completely revamped approach to SCD prevention, with wide-sweeping policy changes that will empower the development of both governmental and community-based programmes to maximise survival from SCA, and to comprehensively attend to survivors and decedents' families after the event. International collaborative efforts that maximally leverage and connect the expertise of various research organisations will need to be prioritised to properly address identified gaps. The Commission places substantial emphasis on the need to develop a multidisciplinary strategy that encompasses all aspects of SCD prevention and treatment. The Commission provides a critical assessment of the current scientific efforts in the field, and puts forth key recommendations to challenge, activate, and intensify efforts by both the scientific and global community with new directions, research, and innovation to reduce the burden of SCD worldwide.

Does polygenic risk for substance-related traits predict ages of onset and progression of symptoms?

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Genetic risk can influence disease progression. We measured the impact of genetic risk for substance use disorders (SUDs) on substance use onset and progression of symptoms.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS

Using findings from genome-wide association studies (GWASs) of alcohol use disorder (AUD), opioid use disorder (OUD) and smoking trajectory (SMK) as discovery samples, we calculated polygenic risk scores (PRSs) in a deeply phenotyped independent target sample. Participants in the target sample were recruited from 2000 to 2020 from US inpatient or outpatient settings or through advertisements and comprised 5692 European-ancestry individuals (EUR) (56.2% male) and 4918 African-ancestry individuals (AFR) (54.9% male).

MEASUREMENTS

This study measured age of first substance use, regular use, reported problems and dependence diagnosis and progression from regular use to onset of problems and dependence for alcohol, opioids and smoking. We examined the contribution of PRS to each milestone and progression measure.

FINDINGS

EUR and males reported an earlier onset and shorter progression times than AFR and females, respectively. Among EUR, higher AUD PRS predicted earlier onset and more rapid progression to alcohol-related milestones (P < 0.001). Although the AUD PRS was a stronger moderator of problem onset among females (P = 0.017), it was more predictive of the progression to problems among males (P = 0.005). OUD and SMK PRS in EUR also predicted earlier onset of the respective milestones (P < 0.001). Among AFR, where power is lower due to the smaller discovery sample, AUD PRS predicted age of regular alcohol use (P = 0.039) and dependence (P = 0.001) and progression from regular use to diagnosis (P = 0.045), while SMK PRS predicted earlier age of initiation (P = 0.036).

CONCLUSIONS

Genetic risk for SUDs appears to predict substance use milestones and symptom progression among European-ancestry individuals and, to a lesser extent, African-ancestry individuals.

Sudden death in ischemic heart disease: looking for new predictors: polygenic risk

The phenomenon of sudden death (SD) occurs, in 70% of cases, in people who do not fall within the indications of the guidelines relating to the implantation of the defibrillator. There is a way of inheriting the risk condition by genetic means, the polygenic one, in which mutations are not found, but an increase in alleles of common variations called polymorphisms. The PRE-DETERMINE cohort study has the primary objective of determining whether biological markers, and electrocardiogram can be used to identify individuals more likely to experience SD. Within the study, we investigated the utility of the genome-wide polygenic score for coronary artery disease (GPSCAD) for SD risk stratification in an intermediate-risk population with stable coronary artery disease without severe systolic dysfunction and/or indication for an implantable cardioverter defibrillator in primary prevention. Over a mean follow-up period of 8.0 years, patients in the top decile of GPSCAD were at higher absolute (8.0% vs. 4.8%; P < 0.005) and relative (29% vs. 16%; P < 0.0003) risk of SD compared to the rest of the cohort. No association was found between the highest decile of GPSCAD and other forms of death, cardiac, and non-cardiac. The data on the increase in absolute and relative terms of SD can be used, at this stage, only for a theoretical estimate on the possible efficacy of the defibrillator in the population with chronic coronary artery disease and moderately depressed left ventricular function as number needed to treat and possible reduction of mortality in high-risk patients (those included in the top decile of GPSCAD).

Polygenic risk scores in coronary artery disease

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Recent advances in genetics have facilitated the calculation of polygenic risk scores (PRSs) based on common genetic risk variants of coronary artery disease (CAD). Here, we provide an explanation of the genetic basis for PRSs and review recent literature investigating PRSs and the clinical utility for different aspects of CAD.

RECENT FINDINGS

CAD-based PRSs are strongly associated with atherosclerosis burden in the coronary arteries and other vascular beds. In multiple studies, PRSs have proven to be a measure of CAD risk, more powerful than most established risk factors alone, that can be used from early life to stratify individuals into varying trajectories of lifetime risk. When implemented in risk stratification models for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease, PRSs provide modest improvements in discrimination (C-index generally increasing 0-4% points) and reclassification, but yield significant clinical benefit as a risk enhancer. Additionally, data suggest possible value of PRSs for aiding decisions in other aspects of diagnostics and treatment in CAD.

SUMMARY

Once genotyped, the genetic information may be used to calculate an infinite number of PRSs and contribute to personalize medicine providing clinical value for risk stratification, diagnostics and treatment in CAD as well as in other diseases.