Incidence of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease in Young Adults at Low Short-Term But High Long-Term Risk

Discordance of 10- and 30-Year Predicted Risk for Cardiovascular Disease in US Adults

This study examines the distribution of 10- and 30-year cardiovascular disease risk estimates among US adults.

Comparing 5-year and 10-year predicted cardiovascular disease risks in Aotearoa New Zealand: national data linkage study of 1.7 million adults

AIMS

There is no consensus on the optimal time horizon for predicting cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk to inform treatment decisions. New Zealand and Australia recommend 5 years, whereas most countries recommend 10 years. We compared predicted risk and treatment-eligible groups using 5-year and 10-year equations.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Individual-level linked administrative data sets identified 1 746 665 New Zealanders without CVD, aged 30-74 years in 2006, with follow-up to 2018. Participants were randomly allocated to derivation and validation cohorts. Sex-specific 5-year and 10-year risk prediction models were developed in the derivation cohort and applied in the validation cohort. There were 28 116 (3.2%) and 62 027 (7.1%) first CVD events that occurred during 5-year and 10-year follow-ups, respectively (cumulative risk, derivation cohort). Median predicted 10-year CVD risk (3.8%) was approximately 2.5 times 5-year risk (1.6%), and 95% of individuals in the top quintile of 5-year risk were also in the top quintile of 10-year risk, across age/gender groups (validation cohort). Using common guideline-recommended treatment thresholds (5% 5-year and 10% 10-year risk), approximately 14% and 28% of women and men, respectively, were identified as treatment-eligible applying 5-year equations compared with 17% and 32% of women and men applying 10-year equations. Older age was the major contributor to treatment eligibility in both sexes.

CONCLUSION

Predicted 10-year CVD risk was approximately 2.5 times 5-year risk. Both equations identified mostly the same individuals in the highest risk quintile. Conversely, commonly used treatment thresholds identified more treatment-eligible individuals using 10-year equations, and both equations identified approximately twice as many treatment-eligible men as women. The treatment threshold, rather than the risk horizon, is the main determinant of treatment eligibility.

From DNA Repair to Redox Signaling: The Multifaceted Role of APEX1 (Apurinic/Apyrimidinic Endonuclease 1) in Cardiovascular Health and Disease

Apurinic/apyrimidinic endonuclease 1 (APEX1) serves as a potent regulatory factor in innate immunity, exhibiting both redox and endonuclease activities. Its redox function enables the regulation of transcription factors such as NF-κB or STAT3, whereas its endonuclease activity recognizes apurinic/apyrimidinic (AP) sites in damaged DNA lesions during base excision repair (BER) and double-stranded DNA repair, thereby I confirm.anti-inflammatory, antioxidative stress and antiapoptotic effects. APEX1 is expressed in a variety of cell types that constitute the cardiovascular system, including cardiomyocytes, endothelial cells, smooth muscle cells, and immune cells. Emerging genetic and experimental evidence points towards the functional roles of APEX1 in the pathophysiology of cardiovascular diseases, including neointimal formation and atherosclerosis. This review aims to present comprehensive coverage of the up-to-date literature concerning the molecular and cellular functions of APEX1, with a particular focus on how APEX1 contributes to the (dys)functions of different cell types during the pathogenesis of cardiovascular diseases. Furthermore, we underscore the potential of APEX1 as a therapeutic target for the treatment of cardiovascular diseases.

High-Density Lipoprotein Biomimetic Inorganic-Organic Composite Nanosystem for Atherosclerosis Therapy

Atherosclerosis (AS) is an important causative agent of cardiovascular diseases, and the occurrence and development of AS is accompanied by oxidative stress, so antioxidant therapy has become one of the strategies for the treatment of AS. This study aimed to design and construct an apolipoprotein ApoA1-modified inorganic-organic composite nanosystem for AS therapy, in which ApoA1 was modified onto carboxylated CeO2/Mn3O4 by covalent bonding, resulting in an inorganic-organic nanocomplex with a structure similar to that of high-density lipoprotein. The nanocomplex could effectively deliver the antioxidant nanoparticles to the AS plaque through the specific recognition between ApoA1 and the macrophage at the AS lesion site. For one thing, the nanocomplex could alleviate the oxidative stress environment of the AS site through the highly efficient antioxidant effect of CeO2/Mn3O4, which played a therapeutic role in the treatment of AS. For another, it could effectively eliminate the formed lipid plaques and maximally alleviate and treat AS by utilizing the cholesterol efflux effect of ApoA1.

Individual and joint associations of obesity and metabolic health parameters on arterial stiffness: Evidence from the UK Biobank

AIMS

There is conflicting evidence regarding whether excess adiposity without metabolic abnormalities reflects a truly benign phenotype. This study evaluated the independent and joint associations of the presence of excess adiposity and metabolic abnormalities on arterial stiffness.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Participants in UK Biobank with body mass index (BMI) and arterial stiffness index (ASI) recorded between 2006 and 2010, free from cardiovascular diseases and not underweight (BMI <18.5 kg/m2) were included. The primary outcome was severity of ASI analysed using multivariate-adjusted linear regression.

RESULTS

Of 162 590 participants, 42.5% were overweight and 24.4% were obese. Within the normal BMI strata, 50.7% had ≥1 metabolic abnormality. Compared to individuals with normal BMI and no metabolic abnormality (reference group), increased BMI or metabolic abnormalities were similarly associated with higher ASI: normal BMI with metabolic abnormalities (adjusted β-coefficient and 95% CI, 0.35; 0.30-0.40); overweight without metabolic abnormalities (0.32; 0.26-0.37). Individuals with obesity and no metabolic abnormality had higher ASI (0.65; 0.57-0.74) but was lower than individuals with overweight and metabolic abnormalities (0.80; 0.75-0.84). Individuals with obesity and metabolic abnormalities had the highest ASI (1.07; 1.02-1.12) among all six metabolic combinations, p < 0.001 for each versus reference group. Sensitivity analysis suggested higher ASI with increasing number of metabolic abnormalities within BMI categories and higher ASI in the presence of abdominal obesity within metabolic categories.

CONCLUSIONS

Excess adiposity and metabolic abnormalities are independently associated with increased arterial stiffness to a similar degree, suggesting that metabolically healthy individuals with overweight and obesity are not benign groups. This reinforces the need to prevent excess adiposity and consider primary prevention strategies even before metabolic abnormalities emerge.

Association Between Kidney Stone History and Cardiovascular Event Risk in US Adults

OBJECTIVE

To determine the association between kidney stone history and predicted 10-year risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD) events in a nationally representative US adult sample without existing CVD.

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional study of the 2017-2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey that included a nationally representative sample of 3842 adults aged 40-79 free from CVD. Kidney stone history was assessed through self-reporting. The 10-year risk of an atherosclerotic CVD event was predicted using the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) Pooled Cohort Equations.

RESULTS

The weighted prevalence of kidney stones was 12.2% (95% CI: 10.5% to 14.1%). In unadjusted analysis, the odds of borderline or higher (≥5%) atherosclerotic CVD risk were higher in stone formers (odds ratio=1.56; 95% CI 1.01-2.40; P = .046). This association persisted after adjustment for demographics and clinical covariates (adjusted odds ratio=1.57; 95% CI=1.02 to 2.43; P = .04). A significant interaction by biological sex was identified (P = .002), with excess risk conferred by kidney stones in males but not females.

CONCLUSION

Kidney stone history was independently associated with increased 10-year predicted atherosclerotic CVD event risk, with excess risk observed among males but not females. Intensified CVD screening may be warranted among stone formers given their increased cardiovascular risk.

Influence of Subclinical Atherosclerosis Burden and Progression on Mortality

BACKGROUND

Atherosclerosis is a dynamic process. There is little evidence regarding whether quantification of atherosclerosis extent and progression, particularly in the carotid artery, in asymptomatic individuals predicts all-cause mortality.

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to evaluate the independent predictive value (beyond cardiovascular risk factors) of subclinical atherosclerosis burden and progression and all-cause mortality.

METHODS

A population of 5,716 asymptomatic U.S. adults (mean age 68.9 years, 56.7% female) enrolled between 2008 and 2009 in the BioImage (A Clinical Study of Burden of Atherosclerotic Disease in an At Risk Population) study underwent examination by vascular ultrasound to quantify carotid plaque burden (cPB) (the sum of right and left carotid plaque areas) and by computed tomography for coronary artery calcium (CAC). Follow-up carotid vascular ultrasound was performed on 732 participants a median of 8.9 years after the baseline exam. All participants were followed up for all-cause mortality, the primary outcome. Trend HRs are the per-tertile increase in each variable.

RESULTS

Over a median 12.4 years' follow-up, 901 (16%) participants died. After adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors and background medication, baseline cPB and CAC score were both significantly associated with all-cause mortality (fully adjusted trend HR: 1.23; 95% CI: 1.16-1.32; and HR: 1.15; 95% CI: 1.08-1.23), respectively (both P < 0.001), thus providing additional prognostic value. cPB performed better than CAC score. In participants with a second vascular ultrasound evaluation, median cPB progressed from 29.2 to 91.3 mm3. cPB progression was significantly associated with all-cause mortality after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors and baseline cPB (HR: 1.03; 95% CI: 1.01-1.04 per absolute 10-mm3 change; P = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Subclinical atherosclerosis burden (cPB and CAC) in asymptomatic individuals was independently associated with all-cause mortality. Moreover, atherosclerosis progression was independently associated with all-cause mortality.

Application of machine learning algorithms in predicting carotid artery plaques using routine health assessments

Background

Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) constitute a grave global health challenge, engendering significant socio-economic repercussions. Carotid artery plaques (CAP) are critical determinants of CVD risk, and proactive screening can substantially mitigate the frequency of cardiovascular incidents. However, the unequal distribution of medical resources precludes many patients from accessing carotid ultrasound diagnostics. Machine learning (ML) offers an effective screening alternative, delivering accurate predictions without the need for advanced diagnostic equipment. This study aimed to construct ML models that utilize routine health assessments and blood biomarkers to forecast the onset of CAP.

Methods

In this study, seven ML models, including LightGBM, LR, multi-layer perceptron (MLP), NBM, RF, SVM, and XGBoost, were used to construct the prediction model, and their performance in predicting the risk of CAP was compared. Data on health checkups and biochemical indicators were collected from 19,751 participants at the Beijing MJ Health Screening Center for model training and validation. Of these, 6,381 were diagnosed with CAP using carotid ultrasonography. In this study, 21 indicators were selected. The performance of the models was evaluated using the accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), F1 score, and area under the curve (AUC) value.

Results

Among the seven ML models, the light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) had the highest AUC value (85.4%). Moreover, age, systolic blood pressure (SBP), gender, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and total cholesterol (CHOL) were the top five predictors of carotid plaque formation.

Conclusions

This study demonstrated the feasibility of predicting carotid plaque risk using ML algorithms. ML offers effective tools for improving public health monitoring and risk assessment, with the potential to improve primary care and community health by identifying high-risk individuals and enabling proactive healthcare measures and resource optimization.

Risk factors of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in young adults: a community-based study of Iranian context

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death and disability worldwide, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Young adults are susceptible to CVD risk factors, especially in developing countries. This study aimed to compare CVD risk factors between medical and non-medical students.

METHODS

The present cross-sectional study was conducted on a sample of 302 students in Tehran, including 151 medical students and 151 non-medical students, in 2022. Data collection tools included four online questionnaires to collect demographic information, knowledge/attitudes, knowledge of risk factors, and risk factors. Data were analyzed using SPSS version 18 software at a 0.05 significance level.

RESULTS

Data analysis revealed that the mean age of medical and non-medical students was 22.06 ± 3.53 and 21.88 ± 4.20 years, respectively. The two groups were not significantly different in gender, age, marital status, and place of residence. Knowledge of CVD was significantly different between the two groups of students (P < 0.001), but attitudes were not significantly different (P = 0.208). A significant difference in the prognosis of diabetes and dyslipidemia was observed between the two groups (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

As a large group of young adults in society, students are at risk for CVD. Poor knowledge and inappropriate attitudes regarding CVD risk factors are among the contributing factors. Therefore, it is recommended to design and implement a healthy diet, physical activity, stress management, and healthy lifestyle programs for the young group along with screening programs to prevent complications and mortality caused by CVD.

Associations of an HDL apolipoproteomic index with cardiometabolic risk factors before and after exercise training in the HERITAGE Family Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Previous studies have derived and validated an HDL apolipoproteomic score (pCAD) that predicts coronary artery disease (CAD) risk. However, the associations between pCAD and markers of cardiometabolic health in healthy adults are not known, nor are the effects of regular exercise on pCAD.

METHODS

A total of 641 physically inactive adults free of cardiovascular disease from the HERITAGE Family Study completed 20 weeks of exercise training. The pCAD index (range 0-100) was calculated using measurements of apolipoproteins A-I, C-I, C-II, C-III, and C-IV from ApoA-I-tagged serum (higher index = higher CAD risk). The associations between pCAD index and cardiometabolic traits at baseline and their training responses were assessed with Spearman correlation and general linear models. A Bonferroni correction of p < 8.9 × 10-04 was used to determine statistical significance.

RESULTS

The mean ± SD baseline pCAD index was 29 ± 32, with 106 (16.5 %) participants classified as high CAD risk. At baseline, pCAD index was positively associated with blood pressure, systemic inflammation, and body composition. HDL size, VO2max, and HDL-C were negatively associated with pCAD index at baseline. Of those classified as high CAD risk at baseline, 52 (49 %) were reclassified as normal risk after training. Following training, pCAD index changes were inversely correlated (p < 1.4 × 10-04) with changes in HDL-C, HDL size, and LDL size.

CONCLUSIONS

A higher pCAD index was associated with a worse cardiometabolic profile at baseline but improved with regular exercise. The results from this study highlight the potential role of HDL apolipoproteins as therapeutic targets for lifestyle interventions, particularly in high-risk individuals.

Incorporating Cardiovascular Risk Assessment into Adolescent Reproductive Health and Primary Care Visits

STUDY OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the usability and feasibility of incorporating a cardiovascular risk assessment tool into adolescent reproductive health and primary care visits.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

We recruited 60 young women ages 13-21 years to complete the HerHeart web-tool in 2 adolescent clinics in Atlanta, GA.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Participants rated the tool's usability via the Website Analysis and Measurement Inventory (WAMMI, range 0-95) and their perceived 10-year and lifetime risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) on a visual analog scale (range 0-10). Participants' perceived risk, blood pressure, and body mass index were measured at baseline and 3 months after enrollment. Health care providers (HCP, n = 5) completed the WAMMI to determine the usability and feasibility of incorporating the HerHeart tool into clinical practice.

RESULTS

Adolescent participants and HCPs rated the tool's usability highly on the WAMMI with a median of 79 (interquartile range [IQR] 65, 84) and 76 (IQR 71, 84). At the baseline visit, participants' median perceived 10-year risk of a heart attack was 1 (IQR 0, 3), and perceived lifetime risk was 2 (IQR 0, 4). Immediately after engaging with the tool, participants' median perceived 10-year risk was 2 (IQR 1, 4.3), and perceived lifetime risk was 3 (IQR 1.8, 6). Thirty-one participants chose to set a behavior change goal, and 12 participants returned for follow-up. Clinical metrics were similar at the baseline and follow-up visits.

CONCLUSION

HerHeart is acceptable to young women and demonstrates potential for changing risk perception and improving health habits to reduce risk of CVD. Future research should focus on improving retention in studies to promote cardiovascular health within reproductive health clinics.

Personalized Intervention Based on Early Detection of Atherosclerosis: JACC State-of-the-Art Review

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains the leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide and challenges the capacity of health care systems globally. Atherosclerosis is the underlying pathophysiological entity in two-thirds of patients with CVD. When considering that atherosclerosis develops over decades, there is potentially great opportunity for prevention of associated events such as myocardial infarction and stroke. Subclinical atherosclerosis has been identified in its early stages in young individuals; however, there is no consensus on how to prevent progression to symptomatic disease. Given the growing burden of CVD, a paradigm shift is required-moving from late management of atherosclerotic CVD to earlier detection during the subclinical phase with the goal of potential cure or prevention of events. Studies must focus on how precision medicine using imaging and circulating biomarkers may identify atherosclerosis earlier and determine whether such a paradigm shift would lead to overall cost savings for global health.

Inflammation, atherosclerosis and hypertension: the impact of depression and stress on their complex relationship

This future perspective analyzes the complex relationship between inflammation and atherosclerosis and arterial hypertension. The involvement of inflammation in atherosclerosis has led to research therapies that target inflammation to prevent or treat cardiovascular disease. This aspect has recently been included in the treatment management of residual cardiovascular risk. The recent pandemic has exacerbated cardiovascular risk both through an increase in unhealthy lifestyle behaviors and through the reduction of cardiovascular screening. What actions to take? Primary prevention campaigns for healthy subjects with specific attention to young people.

Prevention of cardiovascular disease in young adults: Focus on gender differences. A collaborative review from the EAS Young Fellows

A steady rise in cardiovascular morbidity and mortality has been observed in young adults within the last decades. This trend corresponds to an increasing prevalence of traditional cardiovascular risk factors such as obesity and diabetes mellitus type 2 among young adults living in developed countries. Moreover, age-specific risk factors, such as substance abuse, contraceptive medication, and pregnancy-related diseases also correlate with an increased incidence of cardiovascular diseases. In this review, we discuss the available data for young adults on the epidemiology and the rationale for the causality of traditional and newly emerging risk factors of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases. We focus on gender-related differences in the exposure to these risk factors, investigate the recent data regarding screening and risk stratification in the young adult population, and describe the current state of the art on lifestyle and therapeutic intervention strategies in the primary prevention setting.

30-year Cardiovascular Disease Risk for Young Adults with Serious Mental Illness

Objective

To estimate 30-year CVD risk and modifiable risk factors in young adults with serious mental illness (SMI) versus those without, and assess variations in CVD risk by race, ethnicity, and sex.

Method

In this cross-sectional study, we estimated and compared the Framingham 30-year CVD risk score and individual modifiable CVD risk factors in young adult (20-39 years) primary care patients with and without SMI at two US healthcare systems (January 2016-Septemeber 2018). Interaction terms assessed whether the SMI-risk association differed across demographic groups.

Results

Covariate-adjusted 30-year CVD risk was significantly higher for those with (n=4228) versus those without (n=155,363) SMI (RR 1.28, 95% CI [1.26, 1.30]). Patients with SMI had higher rates of hypertension (OR 2.02 [1.7, 2.39]), diabetes (OR 3.14 [2.59, 3.82]), obesity (OR 1.93 [1.8, 2.07]), and smoking (OR 4.94 [4.6, 5.36]). The increased 30-year CVD risk associated with SMI varied significantly by race and sex: there was an 8% higher risk in Black compared to White patients (RR 1.08, [1.04, 1.12]) and a 9% lower risk in men compared to women (RR 0.91 [0.88, 0.94]).

Conclusions

Young adults with SMI are at increased 30-year risk of CVD, and further disparities exist for Black individuals and women.

Current Management of Highly Calcified Coronary Lesions: An Overview of the Current Status

The amount of coronary calcium strongly correlates with the degree of atherosclerosis and, therefore, with the rate of future cardiac events. Calcified coronary lesions still represent a challenge for interventional cardiologists, bringing not only a higher risk of immediate complications during percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI), but also a higher risk of late stent failure due to under-expansion and/or malapposition, and therefore, have a relevant prognostic impact. Accurate identification of the calcified plaques together with the analysis of their distribution pattern within the vessel wall by intracoronary imaging is important to improve the successful treatment of these lesions. The aim of this review is to guide readers through the assessment of the calcified plaque distribution using intracoronary imaging in order to select the best devices and strategies for plaque debulking and lesion preparation.

The use of coronary artery calcium scoring in young adults

Although overall atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) incidence has been declining in the United States, there is evidence that the incidence of ASCVD events in young adults is increasing. The early initiation of preventive therapies could result in a greater number of life-years saved, and therefore determining the appropriate way to identify high-risk young adults is becoming increasingly important. The coronary artery calcium (CAC) score, an established marker of coronary artery atherosclerosis, can improve discrimination for ASCVD risk beyond established risk prediction tools. Based on abundant evidence, the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) guidelines currently recommend an approach of using CAC scores as a tool for risk assessment and decision-making regarding drug therapy for primary prevention in middle-aged individuals. However, CAC scoring is not recommended for universal screening in young adults, where its yield and utility for altering clinical decisions are limited. Recent studies have demonstrated the nonnegligible prevalence of CAC and its strong association with ASCVD in young adults, suggesting its potential to reclassify risk and improve selection of young adults most likely to benefit from early preventive therapies. Although convincing clinical trials have not been performed in this population yet, CAC scores should be used selectively in young adults whose ASCVD risk may be sufficiently high to warrant a CAC score assessment. This review summarizes the evidence available regarding CAC scoring in young adults, and discusses an appropriate future role of CAC scores in preventing ASCVD in this population.