NT-proBNP for Risk Prediction in Heart Failure: Identification of Optimal Cutoffs Across Body Mass Index Categories

Uncovering Unrecognized Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction Among Individuals With Obesity and Dyspnea

BACKGROUND

Although heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) has become the predominant heart failure subtype, it remains clinically under-recognized. HFpEF diagnosis is particularly challenging in the setting of obesity given the limitations of natriuretic peptides and resting echocardiography. We examined invasive and noninvasive HFpEF diagnostic criteria among individuals with obesity and dyspnea without known cardiovascular disease to determine the prevalence of hemodynamic HFpEF in the community.

METHODS

Research volunteers with dyspnea and obesity underwent resting echocardiography; participants with possible pulmonary hypertension qualified for invasive cardiopulmonary exercise testing. HFpEF was defined using rest or exercise pulmonary capillary wedge pressure criteria (≥15 mm Hg or Δpulmonary capillary wedge pressure/Δcardiac output slope, >2.0 mm Hg·L-1·min-1).

RESULTS

Among n=78 participants (age, 53±13 years; 65% women; body mass index, 37.3±6.8 kg/m2), 40 (51%) met echocardiographic criteria to undergo invasive cardiopulmonary exercise testing. In total, 24 participants (60% among the cardiopulmonary exercise testing group, 31% among the total sample) were diagnosed with HFpEF by rest or exercise pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (n=12) or exercise criteria (n=12). There were no differences in NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide; 79 [62-104] versus 73 [57-121] pg/mL) or resting echocardiography (mitral E/e' ratio, 9.1±3.1 versus 8.0±2.7) among those with versus without HFpEF (P>0.05 for all). Distributions of HFpEF diagnostic scores were similar, with the majority classified as intermediate risk (100% versus 93.75% [H2FPEF] and 87.5% versus 68.75% [HFA-PEFF (Heart Failure Association Pretest assessment, echocardiography and natriuretic peptide, functional testing, and final etiology)] in those with versus without HFpEF).

CONCLUSIONS

Among adults with obesity and dyspnea without known cardiovascular disease, at least a third had clinically unrecognized HFpEF uncovered on invasive cardiopulmonary exercise testing. Clinical, biomarker, resting echocardiography, and diagnostic scores were similar among those with and without HFpEF. These results suggest clinical underdiagnosis of HFpEF among individuals with obesity and dyspnea and highlight limitations of noninvasive testing in the identification of HFpEF.

Association between secondhand smoke exposure and incident heart failure: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)

AIMS

There are no studies on the association between secondhand smoke (SHS) exposure and incident heart failure (HF). This cohort study aimed to examine the associations of self-reported and urinary cotinine-assessed SHS exposure with incident HF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study included 5548 non-active smoking participants aged 45-84 years and free of known cardiovascular diseases and HF at baseline who self-reported SHS exposure time in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) at baseline (2000-2002). A cohort subset of 3376 non-active smoking participants underwent urinary cotinine measurements. HF events were verified by medical records or death certificates and ascertained from baseline through 2019. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used with adjustment for demographic variables, traditional cardiovascular risk factors, physical activity, tobacco pack-years and medications. During a median follow-up of 17.7 years, 353 and 196 HF events were identified in the self-report cohort and cohort subset, respectively. In the self-report cohort, compared with the SHS unexposed group (0 h/week), the highest tertile of the SHS exposed group (7-168 h/week) was not associated with incident HF (hazard ratio [HR] 0.70, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.49-1.00; p = 0.052). In contrast, in the cohort subset, participants with detectable urinary cotinine >7.07 ng/ml had a higher risk of incident HF than those with undetectable urinary cotinine ≤7.07 ng/ml (HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.03-2.06; p = 0.034). There were no significant heterogeneities in HF risk by age, sex, race/ethnicity, or past smoking status.

CONCLUSION

Secondhand smoke exposure reflected by modestly increased urinary cotinine (>7.07 ng/ml) rather than self-report in non-active smokers was associated with a 40-50% higher risk of any HF event.

Influence of Body Mass Index on the Prognostic Value of N-Terminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide Level in Chinese Patients with Heart Failure

N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is an essential biomarker for the prediction of heart failure (HF), but its prognostic ability across body mass index (BMI) categories needs to be clarified. Our study aimed to explore the association between BMI and NT-proBNP and assess the effect of BMI on the prognostic ability of NT-proBNP in Chinese patients with HF. We retrospectively analyzed clinical data from the FuWai Hospital HF Center in Beijing, China. According to the Chinese adult BMI standard, 1,508 patients with HF were classified into four groups: underweight (BMI < 18.5 kg/m2), normal weight (BMI 18.5-23.9 kg/m2, as a reference category), overweight (BMI 24-27.9 kg/m2), and obesity (BMI ≥ 28 kg/m2). NT-proBNP was examined for its prognostic role in adverse events as an endpoint. BMI was independently and negatively associated with NT-proBNP (β = -0.074; P < 0.001), and NT-proBNP levels tended to decrease as BMI increased across the different BMI categories. The results of our study differ from those of other studies of European-American populations. In this study, NT-proBNP was a weak predictor of a 4-year adverse prognosis in underweight patients (BMI < 18.5 kg/m2). In other BMI categories, NT-proBNP was an independent predictor of adverse events in HF. BMI and sex significantly affected the optimal threshold for NT-proBNP to predict the risk of adverse events. There is a negative correlation between BMI and NT-proBNP, and NT-proBNP independently predicts adverse HF events in patients with a BMI of ≥ 18.5 kg/m2. The optimal risk prediction cutoffs are lower in patients who are overweight and obese.

Effects of empagliflozin in women and men with acute myocardial infarction: An analysis from the EMMY trial

OBJECTIVE

Women have a higher comorbidity burden and a lower survival rate after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) than men. This analysis aimed to investigate the impact of sex on the effect of treatment with the sodium glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) empagliflozin immediately after an AMI.

METHODS

Participants were randomized to either empagliflozin or placebo and followed for 26 weeks after initiating the treatment no later than 72 hours after a percutaneous coronary intervention following an AMI. We analyzed the impact of sex on the beneficial effects of empagliflozin observed for heart failure biomarkers as well as structural and functional cardiac parameters.

RESULTS

Women had higher NT-proBNP levels at baseline (median 2117pg/mL, IQR 1383-3267 pg/mL versus 1137 pg/mL, IQR 695-2050 pg/mL; p < 0.001) and were older than men (median 61y, IQR 56-65y versus 56y, IQR 51-64y, p = 0.005). The beneficial effects of empagliflozin on NT-proBNP levels (Pinteraction = 0.984), left ventricular ejection fraction (Pinteraction = 0.812), left ventricular end systolic volume (Pinteraction = 0.183), or left ventricular end diastolic volume (Pinteraction = 0.676) were independent of sex.

CONCLUSIONS

Empagliflozin exhibited similar benefits in women and men when administered immediately after an AMI.

Exploring the Mechanistic Link Between Obesity and Heart Failure

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Among subtypes of cardiovascular disease, obesity has a potent and unique association with heart failure (HF) that is unexplained by traditional cardiovascular risk mediators. The concomitant rise in the prevalence of obesity and HF necessitates better understanding of their relationship to develop effective prevention and treatment strategies. The purpose of this review is to provide mechanistic insight regarding the link between obesity and HF by elucidating the direct and indirect pathways linking the two conditions.

RECENT FINDINGS

Several direct pathophysiologic mechanisms contribute to HF risk in individuals with excess weight, including hemodynamic alterations, neurohormonal activation, hormonal effects of dysfunctional adipose tissue, ectopic fat deposition with resulting lipotoxicity and microvascular dysfunction. Obesity further predisposes to HF indirectly through causal associations with hypertension, dyslipidemia, and most importantly, diabetes via insulin resistance. Low levels of physical activity and fitness further influence HF risk in the context of obesity. These various processes lead to myocardial injury and cardiac remodeling that are reflected by abnormalities in cardiac biomarkers and cardiac function on myocardial imaging. Understanding and addressing obesity-associated HF is a pressing clinical and public health challenge which can be informed by a deeper understanding of the complex pathways linking these two conditions together.

Association of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide levels and mortality risk in acute myocardial infarction across body mass index categories: an observational cohort study

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) across body mass index (BMI) categories in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is unclear. We aimed to assess the predictive value of NT-proBNP levels and identify the best cutoff values for mortality risk prediction across BMI categories in AMI.

METHODS

We analyzed 4677 patients with AMI from the Cardiovascular Centre Beijing Friendship Hospital Database Bank. Patients were classified into underweight (< 18.5 kg/m2), normal-weight (18.5-23.9 kg/m2), overweight (24-27.9 kg/m2), and obese (≥ 28 kg/m2) groups. The association between NT-proBNP (ln-transformed) and mortality was investigated using Cox regression and stratified by BMI.

RESULTS

During follow-up (13,787 person-years of observation), 718 patients died, averaging 52.1 events per 1000 person-years. NT-proBNP levels were inversely correlated with BMI (β = - 0.096, P < 0.001). After adjustment, NT-proBNP was independently associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] per 1-SD: 1.82; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.60-2.07) in patients with AMI. Similar findings were observed in analyses stratified by BMI category, except for the underweight group. Adding NT-proBNP to conventional risk models improved risk discrimination in normal-weight, overweight, and obese patients (C-index changes of 0.036, 0.042, and 0.032, respectively) and classification of patients into predicted mortality risk categories (net reclassification improvement 0.263, 0.204, and 0.197, respectively). The best NT-proBNP cutoff values for 5-year mortality risk prediction across BMI categories were 5710, 4492, 2253, and 1300 pg/ml.

CONCLUSION

NT-proBNP level was an independent prognostic factor for mortality in patients with AMI and varied according to BMI. The best NT-proBNP cutoff values for mortality risk prediction reduced as BMI increased.

Body mass index and survival in people with heart failure

AIMS

In people with heart failure (HF), a high body mass index (BMI) has been linked with better outcomes ('obesity paradox'), but there is limited evidence in community populations across long-term follow-up. We aimed to examine the association between BMI and long-term survival in patients with HF in a large primary care cohort.

METHODS

We included patients with incident HF aged ≥45 years from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (2000-2017). We used Kaplan-Meier curves, Cox regression and penalised spline methods to assess the association of pre-diagnostic BMI, based on WHO classification, with all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

There were 47 531 participants with HF (median age 78.0 years (IQR 70-84), 45.8% female, 79.0% white ethnicity, median BMI 27.1 (IQR 23.9-31.0)) and 25 013 (52.6%) died during follow-up. Compared with healthy weight, people with overweight (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.75 to 0.81, risk difference (RD) -4.1%), obesity class I (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.80, RD -4.5%) and class II (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.71 to 0.81, RD -4.5%) were at decreased risk of death, whereas people with underweight were at increased risk (HR 1.59, 95% CI 1.45 to 1.75, RD 11.2%). In those underweight, this risk was greater among men than women (p value for interaction=0.02). Class III obesity was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality compared with overweight (HR 1.23, 95% CI 1.17 to 1.29).

CONCLUSION

The U-shaped relationship between BMI and long-term all-cause mortality suggests a personalised approach to identifying optimal weight may be needed for patients with HF in primary care. Underweight people have the poorest prognosis and should be recognised as high-risk.

Effect of body mass index on N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide values in patients with heart failure

BACKGROUND

N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is a biomarker used for the diagnosis of heart failure. There is a relationship between NT-proBNP levels and body mass index (BMI). The study aimed to explore the impact of BMI on NT-proBNP concentrations and to examine whether other factors independent of or combined with BMI affect NT-proBNP values in patients with heart failure.

RESULTS

A total of 293 participants were recruited. The mean age was 68.9 ± 13.2 years, males accounted for 46.4% of the total cohort, the mean BMI was 23.1 ± 4.0 kg/m2, and the median NT-proBNP level was 3776 (1672-8806) pg/ml. There was an inverse relationship between BMI and log NT-proBNP (r = - 0.29; p < 0.001, Spearman correlation). Each standard deviation increase in BMI (4 kg/m2) was associated with a 7% decrease in NT-proBNP values in the total cohort. The independent inverse determinants of NT-proBNP other than BMI were male gender and eGFR, while the variables directly correlated to NT-proBNP were LVEF ≤ 40% and NYHA class III-IV heart failure.

CONCLUSIONS

There is an inverse association between BMI and NT-proBNP levels. However, the correlation is weak, and there are other variables that have a significant impact on the NT-proBNP values as well. The NT-proBNP levels are still valuable in the diagnosis of heart failure regardless of BMI status.

Effect on cardiac function among patients with type 2 diabetes following high-dose mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist using echocardiography; data from the MIRAD randomized clinical trial

BACKGROUND

Early heart failure prevention is central in patients with type 2 diabetes, and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRAs) have shown to improve prognosis. We investigated the effect of high-dose MRA, eplerenone, on cardiac function and structure in patients with type 2 diabetes and established or increased risk of cardiovascular disease but without heart failure.

METHODS

In the current randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trial, 140 patients with high-risk type 2 diabetes were randomized to high-dose eplerenone (100-200 mg daily) or placebo as add-on to standard care for 26 weeks. Left ventricular systolic and diastolic function, indexed left ventricular mass (LVMi), and global longitudinal strain (GLS) were assessed using echocardiography at baseline and after 26 weeks of treatment.

RESULTS

Of the included patients, 138 (99%) had an echocardiography performed at least once. Baseline early diastolic in-flow velocity (E-wave) indexed by mitral annulus velocity (e') was mean (SD) 11.1 (0.5), with 31% of patients reaching above 12. No effect of treatment on diastolic function was observed measured by E/e' (0.0, 95%CI [-1.2 to 1.2], P = 0.992) or E/A (-0.1, 95%CI [-0.2 to 0.0], P = 0.191). Mean left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) at baseline was 59.0% (8.0). No improvement in systolic function was observed when comparing groups after 26 weeks (LVEF: 0.9, 95%CI [-1.1 to 2.8], P = 0.382; GLS: -0.4%, 95%CI [-1.5 to 0.6], P = 0.422), nor in LVMi (-3.8 g/m² 95%CI [-10.2 to 2.7], P = 0.246).

CONCLUSION

In the present echo sub-study, no change in left ventricular function was observed following high-dose MRA therapy in patients with type 2 diabetes when evaluated by conventional echocardiography.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Date of registration 25/08/2015 (EudraCT number: 2015-002,519-14).

Serum Pro-N-Cadherin Is a Marker of Subclinical Heart Failure in the General Population

Background We recently reported aberrant processing and localization of the precursor PNC (pro-N-cadherin) protein in failing heart tissues and detected elevated PNC products in the plasma of patients with heart failure. We hypothesize that PNC mislocalization and subsequent circulation is an early event in the pathogenesis of heart failure, and therefore circulating PNC is an early biomarker of heart failure. Methods and Results In collaboration with the Duke University Clinical and Translational Science Institute's MURDOCK (Measurement to Understand Reclassification of Disease of Cabarrus and Kannapolis) study, we queried enrolled individuals and sampled 2 matched cohorts: a cohort of individuals with no known heart failure at the time of serum collection and no heart failure development in the following 13 years (n=289, cohort A) and a matching cohort of enrolled individuals who had no known heart failure at the time of serum collection but subsequently developed heart failure within the following 13 years (n=307, cohort B). Serum PNC and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide) concentrations in each population were quantified by ELISA. We detected no significant difference in NT-proBNP rule-in or rule-out statistics between the 2 cohorts at baseline. In participants who developed heart failure, serum PNC is significantly elevated relative to those who did not report development of heart failure (P<0.0001). Receiver operating characteristic analyses of PNC demonstrate diagnostic value for subclinical heart failure. Additionally, PNC has diagnostic potential when comparing participants with no reported heart failure risk factors from cohort A to at-risk participants from cohort B over the 13-year follow-up. Participants whose PNC levels measure >6 ng/mL have a 41% increased risk of all-cause mortality independent of age, body mass index, sex, NT-proBNP, blood pressure, previous heart attack, and coronary artery disease (P=0.044, n=596). Conclusions These data suggest that PNC is an early marker of heart failure and has the potential to identify patients who would benefit from early therapeutic intervention.

The joint association of diabetes status and NT-ProBNP with adverse cardiac outcomes in patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome: a prospective cohort study

AIMS

To examine the joint association of diabetes status and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) with subsequent risk of major adverse cardio-cerebral events (MACCEs) and all-cause mortality in patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS).

METHODS

A total of 7956 NSTE-ACS patients recruited from the Cardiovascular Center Beijing Friendship Hospital Database Bank were included in this cohort study. Patients were divided into nine groups according to diabetes status (normoglycemia, prediabetes, diabetes) and NT-proBNP tertiles (< 92 pg/ml, 92-335 pg/ml, ≥ 336 pg/ml). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the individual and joint association of diabetes status and NT-proBNP with the risk of MACCEs and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

During 20,257.9 person-years of follow-up, 1070 MACCEs were documented. In the fully adjusted model, diabetes and a higher level of NT-proBNP were independently associated with MACCEs risk (HR 1.42, 95% CI: 1.20-1.68; HR 1.72, 95% CI: 1.40-2.11) and all-cause mortality (HR 1.37, 95% CI: 1.05-1.78; HR 2.80, 95% CI: 1.89-4.17). Compared with patients with normoglycemia and NT-proBNP < 92 pg/ml, the strongest numerical adjusted hazards for MACCEs and all-cause mortality were observed in patients with diabetes and NT-proBNP ≥ 336 pg/ml (HR 2.67, 95% CI: 1.83-3.89; HR 2.98, 95% CI: 1.48-6.00). The association between MACCEs and all-cause mortality with various combinations of NT-proBNP level, HbA1c, and fasting plasma glucose was studied.

CONCLUSIONS

Diabetes status and elevated NT-proBNP were independently and jointly associated with MACCEs and all-cause mortality in patients with NSTE-ACS.

NT-proBNP point-of-care measurement as a screening tool for heart failure and CVD risk in type 2 diabetes with hypertension

AIMS

We used N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) point-of-care testing (POCT) for heart failure risk stratification of individuals with type 2 diabetes for >10 years and hypertension.

METHODS

Overall 259 participants aged 50 years or older with type 2 diabetes (duration of >10 years), hypertension, and no overt cardiovascular disease (CVD) were recruited at two study centers. Patients' data were acquired and NT-proBNP levels were measured using the CARDIAC proBNP+ test (Roche) and the cobas h232 instrument (Roche). Participants were clustered into two groups according to their NT-proBNP concentration value: with NT-proBNP <125 pg/ml and with NT-proBNP ≥125 pg/ml.

RESULTS

Mean age of the participants was 66.1 ± 9.2 years, 55.2 % were female, 60.6 % (n = 157) had a NT-proBNP <125 pg/ml and 39.4 % (n = 102 ≥ 125 pg/ml). Differences were observed among those with low and high NT-proBNP in mean age (63.4 ± 8.8 years vs. 70.1 ± 8.2 years, p < 0.001), diabetes duration (15.4 ± 5.9 years vs. 17.9 ± 7.3 years, p = 0.003), and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (86 ± 16 ml/min/1.73 m² vs. 76 ± 20 ml/min/1.73 m², p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

NT-proBNP POCT is practical and can be pragmatically targeted for screening people with type 2 diabetes and hypertension for heart failure risk stratification in routine clinical practice.

The emerging role of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors in heart failure

Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) are a relatively novel drug class that most cardiologists are becoming familiar with. By contrasting glucose reabsorption in the proximal convoluted tubule of the nephron, SGLT2 inhibition results in glycosuria with improved glycemic control. Although originally introduced as anti-diabetic medications, the cardiovascular effects of SGLT2i have progressively emerged, leading them to become one of the four pillars for the treatment of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) according to the 2021 guidelines from the European Society of Cardiology. Also, two recent randomized trials have demonstrated SGLT2i as the first compound with proven prognostic impact in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), setting a milestone in the treatment for this condition. While the exact pathogenic mechanisms mediating the substantial reduction in cardiovascular death and heart failure (HF) hospitalizations are still controversial, there is growing clinical evidence on the efficacy and safety of SGLT2i in various subsets of patients with HF. As known, heart failure is a complex and heterogeneous clinical syndrome with a magnitude of phenotypes and a variety of underlying hemodynamic and physiological aspects which cannot be fully incorporated into the traditional left ventricular ejection fraction based classification adopted in clinical trials. The aim of this review is to provide an overview of the cardiovascular benefits and indications of SGLT2i across different HF patterns and to highlight current gaps in knowledge that should be addressed by future research.

Independent and joint association of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and left ventricular mass index with heart failure risk in elderly diabetic patients with right ventricular pacing

Background

Elevated levels of N-terminal pro-B natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) are independent risk factors for heart failure (HF). In addition, right ventricular pacing (RVP) is an effective treatment strategy for bradyarrhythmia, but long-term RVP is associated with HF. However, there is limited evidence on the independent and combined association of NT-proBNP and left ventricular mass index (LVMI) with HF risk in elderly diabetic patients with long-term RVP.

Methods

Between January 2017 and January 2018, a total of 224 elderly diabetic patients with RVP at Fuwai Hospital were consecutively included in the study, with a 5-year follow-up period. The study endpoint was the first HF readmission during follow-up. This study aimed to explore the independent and joint relationship of NT-proBNP and LVMI with HF readmission in elderly diabetic patients with long-term RVP, using a multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model.

Results

A total of 224 (11.56%) elderly diabetic patients with RVP were included in the study. During the 5-year follow-up period, a total of 46 (20.54%) patients suffered HF readmission events. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis showed that higher levels of NT-proBNP and LVMI were independent risk factors for HF readmission [NT-proBNP: hazard risk (HR) = 1.05, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01–1.10; LVMI: HR = 1.14, 95% CI: 1.02–1.27]. The optimal cut-off point of NT-proBNP was determined to be 330 pg/ml by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Patients with NT-proBNP &gt; 330 pg/ml and LVH had a higher risk of HF readmission compared to those with NT-proBNP ≤ 330 pg/ml and non-LVH (39.02% vs. 6.17%; HR = 7.72, 95% CI: 1.34–9.31, P &lt; 0.001).

Conclusion

In elderly diabetic patients with long-term RVP, NT-proBNP and LVMI were associated with the risk of HF readmission. Elevated NT-proBNP combined with LVH resulted in a significantly higher risk of HF readmission.

Clinical implications of the universal definition for the prevention and treatment of heart failure

The diagnosis of heart failure (HF) primarily relies on signs and symptoms that are neither sensitive nor specific. This impedes timely diagnosis and delays effective therapies or interventions, despite the availability of several evidence-based treatments for HF. Through monumental collaborative efforts from representatives of HF societies worldwide, the universal definition of HF was published in 2021, to provide the necessary standardized framework required for clinical management, clinical trials, and research. This review elaborates the key concepts of the new universal definition of HF, highlighting the key merits and potential avenues, which can be nuanced further in future iterations. We also discuss the key implications of the universal definition document from the perspectives of various stakeholders within the healthcare framework, including patients, care providers, system/payers and policymakers.

B-Type Natriuretic Peptide at Admission Is a Predictor of All-Cause Mortality at One Year after the First Acute Episode of New-Onset Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction

Background: Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) has been assessed extensively, but few studies analysed the predictive value of the NT-proBNP in patients with de novo and acute HFpEF. We sought to identify NT-proBNP at admission as a predictor for all-cause mortality and rehospitalisation at 12 months in patients with new-onset HFpEF. Methods: We analysed 91 patients (73 ± 11 years, 68% females) admitted for de novo and acute HFpEF, using the Cox proportional hazard risk model. Results: An admission NT-proBNP level above the threshold of 2910 pg/mL identified increased all-cause mortality at 12 months (AUC = 0.72, sensitivity = 92%, specificity = 53%, p < 0.001). All-cause mortality adjusted for age, gender, medical history, and medication in the augmented NT-proBNP group was 16-fold higher (p = 0.018), but with no difference in rehospitalisation rates (p = 0.391). The predictors of increased NT-proBNP ≥ 2910 pg/mL were: age (p = 0.016), estimated glomerular filtration rate (p = 0.006), left atrial volume index (p = 0.001), history of atrial fibrillation (p = 0.006), and TAPSE (p = 0.009). Conclusions: NT-proBNP above 2910 pg/mL at admission for de novo and acute HFpEF predicted a 16-fold increased mortality at 12 months, whereas values less than 2910 pg/mL forecast a high likelihood of survival (99.3%) in the next 12 months, and should be considered as a useful prognostic tool, in addition to its utility in diagnosing heart failure.

Circulating levels and prognostic cut-offs of sST2, hs-cTnT, and NT-proBNP in women vs. men with chronic heart failure

Aims

To define plasma concentrations, determinants, and optimal prognostic cut‐offs of soluble suppression of tumorigenesis‐2 (sST2), high‐sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs‐cTnT), and N‐terminal pro‐B‐type natriuretic peptide (NT‐proBNP) in women and men with chronic heart failure (HF).

Methods and results

Individual data of patients from the Biomarkers In Heart Failure Outpatient Study (BIOS) Consortium with sST2, hs‐cTnT, and NT‐proBNP measured were analysed. The primary endpoint was a composite of 1 year cardiovascular death and HF hospitalization. The secondary endpoints were 5 year cardiovascular and all‐cause death. The cohort included 4540 patients (age 67 ± 12 years, left ventricular ejection fraction 33 ± 13%, 1111 women, 25%). Women showed lower sST2 (24 vs. 27 ng/mL, P < 0.001) and hs‐cTnT level (15 vs. 20 ng/L, P < 0.001), and similar concentrations of NT‐proBNP (1540 vs. 1505 ng/L, P = 0.408). Although the three biomarkers were confirmed as independent predictors of outcome in both sexes, the optimal prognostic cut‐off was lower in women for sST2 (28 vs. 31 ng/mL) and hs‐cTnT (22 vs. 25 ng/L), while NT‐proBNP cut‐off was higher in women (2339 ng/L vs. 2145 ng/L). The use of sex‐specific cut‐offs improved risk prediction compared with the use of previously standardized prognostic cut‐offs and allowed to reclassify the risk of many patients, to a greater extent in women than men, and for hs‐cTnT than sST2 or NT‐proBNP. Specifically, up to 18% men and up to 57% women were reclassified, by using the sex‐specific cut‐off of hs‐cTnT for the endpoint of 5 year cardiovascular death.

Conclusions

In patients with chronic HF, concentrations of sST2 and hs‐cTnT, but not of NT‐proBNP, are lower in women. Lower sST2 and hs‐cTnT and higher NT‐proBNP cut‐offs for risk stratification could be used in women.