Prognostic Implications of Associated Cardiac Abnormalities Detected on Echocardiography in Patients With Moderate Aortic Stenosis

Moderate Aortic Valve Stenosis Is Associated With Increased Mortality Rate and Lifetime Loss: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Reconstructed Time-to-Event Data of 409 680 Patients

BACKGROUND

The mortality risk attributable to moderate aortic stenosis (AS) remains incompletely characterized and has historically been underestimated. We aim to evaluate the association between moderate AS and all-cause death, comparing it with no/mild AS (in a general referral population and in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction).

METHODS AND RESULTS

A systematic review and pooled meta-analysis of Kaplan-Meier-derived reconstructed time-to-event data of studies published by June 2023 was conducted to evaluate survival outcomes among patients with moderate AS in comparison with individuals with no/mild AS. Ten studies were included, encompassing a total of 409 680 patients (11 527 with moderate AS and 398 153 with no/mild AS). In the overall population, the 15-year overall survival rate was 23.3% (95% CI, 19.1%-28.3%) in patients with moderate AS and 58.9% (95% CI, 58.1%-59.7%) in patients with no/mild aortic stenosis (hazard ratio [HR], 2.55 [95% CI, 2.46-2.64]; P<0.001). In patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, the 10-year overall survival rate was 15.5% (95% CI, 10.0%-24.0%) in patients with moderate AS and 37.3% (95% CI, 36.2%-38.5%) in patients with no/mild AS (HR, 1.83 [95% CI, 1.69-2.0]; P<0.001). In both populations (overall and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction), these differences correspond to significant lifetime loss associated with moderate AS during follow-up (4.4 years, P<0.001; and 1.9 years, P<0.001, respectively). A consistent pattern of elevated mortality rate associated with moderate AS in sensitivity analyses of matched studies was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Moderate AS was associated with higher risk of death and lifetime loss compared with patients with no/mild AS.

Long-Term Impact of Cardiac Damage Following Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement

BACKGROUND

Extravalvular cardiac damage caused by aortic stenosis affects prognosis after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). The long-term impact of changes in cardiac damage in response to relief from mechanical obstruction has not been fully investigated.

OBJECTIVES

The authors aimed to investigate changes in cardiac damage early after TAVR and the prognostic impact of the cardiac damage classification after TAVR.

METHODS

In this single-center observational study, patients undergoing transfemoral TAVR were retrospectively evaluated for cardiac damage before and after TAVR and classified into 5 stages of cardiac damage (0-4).

RESULTS

Among 1,863 patients undergoing TAVR between January 2007 and June 2022, 56 patients (3.0%) were classified as stage 0, 225 (12.1%) as stage 1, 729 (39.1%) as stage 2, 388 (20.8%) as stage 3, and 465 (25.0%) as stage 4. Cardiac stage changed in 47.7% of patients (improved: 30.1% in stages 1-4 and deteriorated: 24.7% in stages 0-3) early after TAVR. Five-year all-cause mortality was associated with cardiac damage both at baseline (HRadjusted: 1.34; 95% CI: 1.24-1.44; P < 0.001 for linear trend) and after TAVR (HRadjusted: 1.40; 95% CI: 1.30-1.51; P < 0.001 for linear trend). Five-year all-cause mortality was stratified by changes in cardiac damage (improved, unchanged, or worsened) in patients with cardiac stage 2, 3, and 4 (log-rank P < 0.001 for stage 2, 0.005 for stage 3, and <0.001 for stage 4).

CONCLUSIONS

The extent of extra-aortic valve cardiac damage before and after TAVR and changes in cardiac stage early after TAVR have important prognostic implications during long-term follow-up. (SwissTAVI Registry; NCT01368250).

Prognostic impact of combined non-severe aortic stenosis and mitral regurgitation on clinical outcomes: a single-centre retrospective study

OBJECTIVES

Though the concomitant occurrence of non-severe aortic stenosis (AS) and mitral regurgitation (MR) is highly prevalent, there are limited data to guide clinical decision-making in this condition. Here, we attempt to determine an aortic valve area (AVA) cut-off value associated with worse clinical outcomes in patients with combined non-severe AS and MR.

METHODS

Single-centre, retrospective analysis of consecutive patients who underwent echocardiography examination between 2010 and 2021 with evidence of combined non-severe AS and MR. We excluded patients with ≥moderate aortic valve regurgitation or mitral stenosis, as well as patients who underwent any aortic or mitral intervention either prior or following our assessment (n=372).

RESULTS

The final cohort consisted of 2933 patients with non-severe AS, 506 of them with >mild MR. Patients with both pathologies had lower cardiac output and worse diastolic function.Patients with an AVA ≤1.35 cm² in the presence of >mild MR had the highest rates of heart failure (HF) hospitalisations (HR 3.1, IQR 2.4-4, p<0.001) or mortality (HR 2, IQR 1.8-2.4, p<0.001), which remained significant after adjusting for clinical and echocardiographic parameters.

CONCLUSION

Patients with combined non-severe AS and MR have a higher rate of HF hospitalisations and mortality. An AVA≤1.35 cm² in the presence of >mild MR is associated with worse clinical outcomes.

Cardiac magnetic resonance patterns of left ventricular remodeling in patients with severe aortic stenosis referred to surgical aortic valve replacement

Left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy is a common finding in patients with severe aortic stenosis (AS). Cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) is the gold-standard technique to evaluate LV remodeling. Our aim was to assess the prevalence and describe the patterns of LV adaptation in AS patients before and after surgical aortic valve replacement (AVR). Prospective study of 130 consecutive patients (71y [IQR 68-77y], 48% men) with severe AS, referred for surgical AVR. Patterns of LV remodeling were assessed by CMR. Besides normal LV ventricular structure, four other patterns were considered: concentric remodeling, concentric hypertrophy, eccentric hypertrophy, and adverse remodeling. At baseline CMR study: mean LV indexed mass: 81.8 ± 26.7 g/m2; mean end-diastolic LV indexed volume: 85.7 ± 23.1 mL/m2 and median geometric remodeling ratio: 0.96 g/mL [IQR 0.82-1.08 g/mL]. LV hypertrophy occurred in 49% of subjects (concentric 44%; eccentric 5%). Both normal LV structure and concentric remodeling had a prevalence of 25% among the cohort; one patient had an adverse remodeling pattern. Asymmetric LV wall thickening was present in 55% of the patients, with predominant septal involvement. AVR was performed in 119 patients. At 3-6 months after AVR, LV remodeling changed to: normal ventricular geometry in 60%, concentric remodeling in 27%, concentric hypertrophy in 10%, eccentric hypertrophy in 3% and adverse remodeling (one patient). Indexes of AS severity, LV systolic and diastolic function and NT-proBNP were significantly different among the distinct patterns of remodeling. Several distinct patterns of LV remodelling beyond concentric hypertrophy occur in patients with classical severe AS. Asymmetric hypertrophy is a common finding and LV response after AVR is diverse.

Cardiac dysfunction rather than aortic valve stenosis severity drives exercise intolerance and adverse haemodynamics

AIMS

To study the impact of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) vs. aortic stenosis (AS) lesion severity on left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy, diastolic dysfunction, left atrial (LA) dysfunction, haemodynamics, and exercise capacity.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Patients (n = 206) with at least moderate AS (aortic valve area ≤0.85 cm/m2) and discordant symptoms underwent cardiopulmonary exercise testing with simultaneous echocardiography. The population was stratified according to the probability of underlying HFpEF by the heavy, hypertension, atrial fibrillation, pulmonary hypertension, elder, filling pressure (H2FPEF) score [0-5 (AS/HFpEF-) vs. 6-9 points (AS/HFpEF+)] and AS severity (Moderate vs. Severe). Mean age was 73 ± 10 years with 40% women. Twenty-eight patients had Severe AS/HFpEF+ (14%), 111 Severe AS/HFpEF- (54%), 13 Moderate AS/HFpEF+ (6%), and 54 Moderate AS/HFpEF- (26%). AS/HFpEF+ vs. AS/HFpEF- patients, irrespective of AS severity, had a lower LV global longitudinal strain, impaired diastolic function, reduced LV compliance, and more pronounced LA dysfunction. The pulmonary arterial pressure-cardiac output slope was significantly higher in AS/HFpEF+ vs. AS/HFpEF- (5.4 ± 3.1 vs. 3.9 ± 2.2 mmHg/L/min, respectively; P = 0.003), mainly driven by impaired cardiac output and chronotropic reserve, with signs of right ventricular pulmonary arterial uncoupling. AS/HFpEF+ vs. AS/HFpEF- was associated with a lower peak aerobic capacity (11.5 ± 3.7 vs. 15.9 ± 5.9 mL/min/kg, respectively; P < 0.0001) but did not differ between Moderate and Severe AS (14.7 ± 5.5 vs. 15.2 ± 5.9 mL/min/kg, respectively; P = 0.6).

CONCLUSION

A high H2FPEF score is associated with a reduced exercise capacity and adverse haemodynamics in patients with moderate to severe AS. Both exercise performance and haemodynamics correspond better with intrinsic cardiac dysfunction than AS severity.

Multimodality Imaging in Aortic Stenosis: Beyond the Valve - Focusing on the Myocardium

Current guidelines of aortic stenosis (AS) management focus on valve parameters, LV systolic dysfunction, and symptoms; however, emerging data suggest that there may be benefit of aortic valve replacement before it becomes severe by present criteria. Myocardial assessment using novel multimodality imaging techniques exhibits subclinical myocardial injury and remodeling at various stages before guideline-directed interventions, which predicts adverse outcomes. This raises the question of whether implementing serial myocardial assessment should become part of the standard appraisal, thereby identifying high-risk patients aiming to minimize adverse outcomes.

Prognostic impact of cardiac damage staging classification in each aortic stenosis subtype undergoing TAVI

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of cardiac damage staging classifications across the haemodynamic spectrum of severe aortic stenosis (AS) remains unknown.

AIMS

We aimed to investigate the prognostic impact of cardiac damage staging classifications in patients with high-gradient AS (HG-AS) and low-gradient AS (LG-AS) undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI).

METHODS

In a prospective TAVI registry, five-year mortality was evaluated for early stages of cardiac damage (stage 0, 1, or 2) and advanced stages of cardiac damage (stage 3 or 4) in patients with HG-AS, classical low-flow (LF) LG-AS, LF LG-AS with preserved ejection fraction (pEF), and normal-flow (NF) LG-AS.

RESULTS

Among 2,090 patients undergoing TAVI, 1,045 patients had HG-AS, 337 patients had classical LF LG-AS, 394 patients had LF LG-AS with pEF, and 314 patients had NF LG-AS. The majority of patients with classical LF LG-AS exhibited advanced cardiac damage (73.6%), followed by LF LG-AS with pEF (55.6%), NF LG-AS (51.6%), and HG-AS (50.6%). Patients with advanced stage cardiac damage had significantly higher mortality after TAVI than those with early stage cardiac damage in all subtypes of AS (adjusted hazard ratio [HRadjusted] 1.66, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.34-2.06 for HG-AS; HRadjusted 1.49, 95% CI: 1.02-2.16 for classical LF LG-AS; HRadjusted 1.69, 95% CI: 1.22-2.35 for LF LG-AS with pEF; and HRadjusted 1.52, 95% CI: 1.04-2.32 for NF LG-AS).

CONCLUSIONS

Cardiac damage staging classifications stratified mortality after TAVI irrespective of AS subtype.

Echocardiographic and Clinical Outcomes in Symptomatic Patients With Less Than Severe Aortic Stenosis After Supra-Annular Self-Expanding Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement

Optimal timing for aortic valve replacement in symptomatic patients with less than severe aortic stenosis (AS) is not well defined. There is limited information on the benefit of valve replacement in these patients. Symptomatic patients with less than severe AS, defined as a mean aortic gradient ≥20 and <40 mm Hg, peak aortic velocity >3 and <4 m/s, and aortic valve area >1.0 and <1.5 cm2, enrolled in the Society for Thoracic Surgery/American College of Cardiology Transcatheter Valve Therapy Registry and who underwent attempted supra-annular, self-expanding transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) were reviewed. Site-reported valve hemodynamics, clinical events, and quality of life metrics were analyzed at 30 days and 1 year after the procedure. A total of 1,067 patients with attempted TAVR (mean age 78.4 ± 8.4 years; Society for Thoracic Surgery score 4.7 ± 3.4%) were found to have symptoms but less than severe AS. From baseline to postprocedure, mean gradient decreased (29.9 ± 4.9 vs 8.4 ± 4.8 mm Hg, p <0.001), and aortic valve area increased (1.2 ± 0.1 vs 2.2 ± 0.7 cm2, p <0.001). Clinical events included 30-day and 1-year all-cause mortality (1.5% and 9.6%), stroke (2.2% and 3.3%), and new pacemaker implantation (18.1% and 20.9%). There were statistically significant improvements in the New York Heart Association functional class and Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire at 30 days and 1 year. In conclusion, patients with symptomatic but less than severe AS who underwent supra-annular, self-expanding TAVR experienced improved valve hemodynamics and quality of life measures 1 year after the procedure. Randomized studies of TAVR versus a control arm in symptomatic patients with less than severe AS are ongoing.

Multimodality Imaging in Aortic Stenosis: Beyond the Valve - Focusing on the Myocardium

Current guidelines of aortic stenosis (AS) management focus on valve parameters, LV systolic dysfunction, and symptoms; however, emerging data suggest that there may be benefit of aortic valve replacement before it becomes severe by present criteria. Myocardial assessment using novel multimodality imaging techniques exhibits subclinical myocardial injury and remodeling at various stages before guideline-directed interventions, which predicts adverse outcomes. This raises the question of whether implementing serial myocardial assessment should become part of the standard appraisal, thereby identifying high-risk patients aiming to minimize adverse outcomes.

Is "moderate" aortic stenosis still the right name? A review of the literature

Current guidelines recommend aortic valve replacement for symptomatic or selected asymptomatic high-risk patients with severe aortic stenosis. Conversely, a watchful waiting attitude applies to patients with moderate aortic stenosis, regardless of their risk profile and symptoms, until the echocardiographic thresholds of severe aortic stenosis are reached. This strategy is based on data reporting high mortality in untreated severe symptomatic aortic stenosis, whereas moderate aortic stenosis has always been perceived as a non-threatening condition, with a benefit-risk balance against surgery. Meanwhile, numerous studies have reported a worrying event rate in these patients, surgical techniques and outcomes have improved significantly and the use of transcatheter aortic valve replacement has become more widespread and extended to lower-risk patients, leaving this strategy open to question, especially for patients with moderate aortic stenosis and left ventricular dysfunction. In this review, we summarize the current state of knowledge about moderate aortic stenosis progression and prognosis. We also discuss the particular case of moderate aortic stenosis associated with left ventricular dysfunction, and the ongoing trials that that might change our paradigm for the management of this "moderate" valvular heart disease.

Association between trajectories in cardiac damage and clinical outcomes after transcatheter aortic valve replacement

BACKGROUND

There is little evidence of evolution in cardiac damage after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) in aortic stenosis (AS) patients. Less is known about the prognostic value and potential utility of different cardiac damage trajectories following TAVR.

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to investigate the cardiac damage trajectories following TAVR and explore their association with subsequent clinical outcomes.

METHODS

AS patients undergoing TAVR were enrolled and classified into five cardiac damage stages (0-4) based on the echocardiographic staging classification retrospectively. They were further grouped into early stage (stage 0-2) and advanced stage (stage 3-4). The cardiac damage trajectories in TAVR recipients were evaluated according to their trend between baseline and 30 days after TAVR.

RESULTS

A total of 644 TAVR recipients were enrolled, with four distinct trajectories identified. Compared to patients with early-early trajectory, patients with early-advanced trajectory were at 30-fold risk of all-cause death (HR 30.99, 95% CI 13.80-69.56; p < 0.001). In multivariable analyses, early-advanced trajectory was associated with higher 2-year all-cause death (HR 24.08, 95% CI 9.07-63.90; p < 0.001), cardiac death (HR 19.34, 95% CI 3.06-122.34; p < 0.05), and cardiac rehospitalization (HR 4.19, 95% CI 1.49-11.76; p < 0.05) after TAVR.

CONCLUSIONS

This investigation provided insight into four cardiac damage trajectories in TAVR recipients and confirmed the prognostic value of distinct trajectories. Early-advanced trajectory was associated with poor clinical prognosis following TAVR.

Natural history of moderate aortic stenosis and predictors for mortality: Systematic review and Meta-analysis

Although the current guidelines advocate imaging surveillance for moderate aortic stenosis (AS), recent studies suggest a worse prognosis associated with moderate AS than previously reported. Considering the recent paradigm shift in AS management, the risk/benefit profile of aortic valve replacement (AVR) for moderate AS needs to be re-evaluated. Herein, we conducted meta-analyses of natural history and risk predictors in patients with moderate AS. PubMed and EMBASE were searched through May 2022 to identify studies that investigated the natural history of patients with moderate AS. Meta-analyses with random effects model were conducted. Our analysis included 20 observational studies which enrolled a total of 11,114 patients with moderate AS. The rate of all-cause death was 11.0 [95 % confidence interval (CI), 7.6-14.4] per 100 patients per year. Surgical or transcatheter AVR occurred at a rate of 8.5 (95 % CI, 6.2-10.8; I², 98.9 %) per 100 patients per year. Occurrence of AVR during follow-up [hazard ratio (HR) (95 % CI) =0.56 (0.42-0.75), p < 0.001] and early AVR for moderate AS [HR (95 % CI) = 0.47 (0.25-0.90), p = 0.02] were associated with significantly lower all-cause mortality, while left ventricular ejection fraction <50 % [HR (95 % CI) =1.84 (1.33-2.57), p = 0.0003] and symptomatic status [HR (95 % CI) = 1.52 (1.32-1.75), p < 0.0001] were associated with increased all-cause mortality. Sex difference was not related to all-cause mortality. Our meta-analysis suggested that moderate AS was associated with high mortality, especially in low left ventricular systolic function or symptomatic patients. In addition, significant portion of the patients underwent AVR during follow-up.

Cardiac Damage and Quality of Life After Aortic Valve Replacement in the PARTNER Trials

BACKGROUND

The extent of extravalvular cardiac damage is associated with increased risk of adverse events among patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing aortic valve replacement (AVR).

OBJECTIVES

The goal was to describe the association of cardiac damage on health status before and after AVR.

METHODS

Patients from the PARTNER (Placement of Aortic Transcatheter Valves) 2 and 3 trials were pooled and classified by echocardiographic cardiac damage stage at baseline and 1 year as previously described (stage 0-4). We examined the association between baseline cardiac damage and 1-year health status (assessed by the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Overall Score [KCCQ-OS]).

RESULTS

Among 1,974 patients (794 surgical AVR, 1,180 transcatheter AVR), the extent of cardiac damage at baseline was associated with lower KCCQ scores both at baseline and at 1 year after AVR (P < 0.0001) and with increased rates of a poor outcome (death, KCCQ-OS <60, or a decrease in KCCQ-OS of ≥10 points) at 1 year (stages 0-4: 10.6% vs 19.6% vs 29.0% vs 44.7% vs 39.8%; P < 0.0001). In a multivariable model, each 1-stage increase in baseline cardiac damage was associated with a 24% increase in the odds of a poor outcome (95% CI: 9%-41%; P = 0.001). Change in stage of cardiac damage at 1 year after AVR was associated with the extent of improvement in KCCQ-OS over the same period (mean change in 1-year KCCQ-OS: improvement of ≥1 stage +26.8 [95% CI: 24.2-29.4] vs no change +21.4 [95% CI: 20.0-22.7] vs deterioration of ≥1 stage +17.5 [95% CI: 15.4-19.5]; P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

The extent of cardiac damage before AVR has an important impact on health status outcomes, both cross-sectionally and after AVR. (PARTNER II Trial: Placement of AoRTic TraNscathetER Valves II - XT Intermediate and High Risk (PII A), NCT01314313; The PARTNER II Trial: Placement of AoRTic TraNscathetER Valves - PII B [PARTNERII B], NCT02184442; PARTNER 3 Trial: Safety and Effectiveness of the SAPIEN 3 Transcatheter Heart Valve in Low Risk Patients With Aortic Stenosis [P3], NCT02675114).

Machine learning identifies pathophysiologically and prognostically informative phenotypes among patients with mitral regurgitation undergoing transcatheter edge-to-edge repair

AIMS

Patients with mitral regurgitation (MR) present with considerable heterogeneity in cardiac damage depending on underlying aetiology, disease progression, and comorbidities. This study aims to capture their cardiopulmonary complexity by employing a machine-learning (ML)-based phenotyping approach.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Data were obtained from 1426 patients undergoing mitral valve transcatheter edge-to-edge repair (MV TEER) for MR. The ML model was developed using 609 patients (derivation cohort) and validated on 817 patients from two external institutions. Phenotyping was based on echocardiographic data, and ML-derived phenotypes were correlated with 5-year outcomes. Unsupervised agglomerative clustering revealed four phenotypes among the derivation cohort: Cluster 1 showed preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF; 56.5 ± 7.79%) and regular left ventricular end-systolic diameter (LVESD; 35.2 ± 7.52 mm); 5-year survival in Cluster 1, hereinafter serving as a reference, was 60.9%. Cluster 2 presented with preserved LVEF (55.7 ± 7.82%) but showed the largest mitral valve effective regurgitant orifice area (0.623 ± 0.360 cm2) and highest systolic pulmonary artery pressures (68.4 ± 16.2 mmHg); 5-year survival ranged at 43.7% (P-value: 0.032). Cluster 3 was characterized by impaired LVEF (31.0 ± 10.4%) and enlarged LVESD (53.2 ± 10.9 mm); 5-year survival was reduced to 38.3% (P-value: <0.001). The poorest 5-year survival (23.8%; P-value: <0.001) was observed in Cluster 4 with biatrial dilatation (left atrial volume: 312 ± 113 mL; right atrial area: 46.0 ± 8.83 cm2) although LVEF was only slightly reduced (51.5 ± 11.0%). Importantly, the prognostic significance of ML-derived phenotypes was externally confirmed.

CONCLUSION

ML-enabled phenotyping captures the complexity of extra-mitral valve cardiac damage, which does not necessarily occur in a sequential fashion. This novel phenotyping approach can refine risk stratification in patients undergoing MV TEER in the future.

Managing Patients With Moderate Aortic Stenosis

Current guidelines recommend that clinical surveillance for patients with moderate aortic stenosis (AS) and aortic valve replacement (AVR) may be considered if there is an indication for coronary revascularization. Recent observational studies, however, have shown that moderate AS is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events and mortality. Whether the increased risk of adverse events is caused by associated comorbidities, or to the underlying moderate AS itself, is incompletely understood. Similarly, which patients with moderate AS need close follow-up or could potentially benefit from early AVR is also unknown. In this review, the authors provide a comprehensive overview of the current literature on moderate AS. They first provide an algorithm that helps to diagnose moderate AS correctly, especially when discordant grading is observed. Although the traditional focus of AS assessment has been on the valve, it is increasingly acknowledged that AS is not only a disease of the aortic valve but also of the ventricle. The authors therefore discuss how multimodality imaging can help to evaluate the left ventricular remodeling response and improve risk stratification in patients with moderate AS. Finally, they summarize current evidence on the management of moderate AS and highlight ongoing trials on AVR in moderate AS.

Risk for Mortality with Increasingly Severe Aortic Stenosis: An International Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Aortic stenosis (AS) is the most common valvular heart disease in high-income countries. Adjusted for clinical confounders, the risk associated with increasing AS severity across the spectrum of AS severity remains uncertain.

METHODS

The authors conducted an international, multicenter, parallel-cohort study of 217,599 Australian (mean age, 76.0 ± 7.3 years; 49.3% women) and 30,865 US (mean age, 77.4 ± 7.3 years; 52.2% women) patients aged ≥65 years who underwent echocardiography. Patients with previous aortic valve replacement were excluded. The risk of increasing AS severity, quantified by peak aortic velocity (Vmax), was assessed through linkage to 97,576 and 14,481 all-cause deaths in Australia and the United States, respectively.

RESULTS

The distribution of AS severity (mean Vmax, 1.7 ± 0.7 m/sec) was similar in both cohorts. Compared with those with Vmax of 1.0 to 1.49 m/sec, those with Vmax of 2.50 to 2.99 m/sec (US cohort) or Vmax of 3.0 to 3.49 m/sec (Australian cohort) had a 1.5-fold increase in mortality risk within 10 years, adjusting for age, sex, presence of left heart disease, and left ventricular ejection fraction. Overall, the adjusted risk for mortality plateaued (1.75- to 2.25-fold increased risk) above a Vmax of 3.5 m/sec. This pattern of mortality persisted despite adjustment for a comprehensive list of comorbidities and treatments within the US cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Within large, parallel patient cohorts managed in different health systems, similar patterns of mortality linked to increasingly severe AS were observed. These findings support ongoing clinical trials of aortic valve replacement in patients with nonsevere AS and suggest the need to develop and apply more proactive surveillance strategies in this high-risk population.

Impact of Moderate Aortic Stenosis on Long-Term Clinical Outcomes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

The clinical course of patients with moderate aortic stenosis (AS) remains incompletely defined.

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to analyze the clinical course of moderate AS and compare it with other stages of the disease.

METHODS

Multiple electronic databases were searched to identify studies on adult moderate AS. Random-effects models were used to derive pooled estimates. The primary endpoint was all-cause death. The secondary endpoints were cardiac death, heart failure, sudden death, and aortic valve replacement.

RESULTS

Among a total of 25 studies (12,143 moderate AS patients, 3.7 years of follow-up), pooled rates per 100 person-years were 9.0 (95% CI: 6.9 to 11.7) for all-cause death, 4.9 (95% CI: 3.1 to 7.5) for cardiac death, 3.9 (95% CI: 1.9 to 8.2) for heart failure, 1.1 (95% CI: 0.8 to 1.5) for sudden death, and 7.2 (95% CI: 4.3 to 12.2) for aortic valve replacement. Meta-regression analyses detected that diabetes (P = 0.019), coronary artery disease (P = 0.017), presence of symptoms (P < 0.001), and left ventricle (LV) dysfunction (P = 0.009) were associated with a significant impact on the overall estimate of all-cause death. All-cause mortality was higher in patients with reduced LV ejection fraction (<50%) than with normal LV ejection fraction: 16.5 (95% CI: 5.2 to 52.3) and 4.2 (95% CI: 1.4 to 12.8) per 100 person-years, respectively. Compared with moderate AS, the incidence rate difference of all-cause mortality was -3.9 (95% CI: -6.7 to -1.1) for no or mild AS and +2.2 (95% CI: +0.8 to +3.5) for severe AS patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Moderate AS appears to be associated with a mortality risk higher than no or mild AS but lower than severe AS, which increases in specific population subsets. The impact of early intervention in moderate AS patients having high-risk features deserves further investigation.

Preprocedural Prognostic Factors in Acute Decompensated Aortic Stenosis

Acute decompensated aortic stenosis (ADAS) is common and associated with poor outcomes. Myocardial remodeling and function, including a novel echo staging classification (0 to 4, representing increasing degrees of cardiac damage/dysfunction), impact outcomes in stable aortic stenosis. However, this has not been assessed in patients with ADAS. This study aims to evaluate the impact of the myocardium, echo staging classification, and clinical parameters on mortality in ADAS. ADAS was defined as an acute deterioration in symptoms (New York Heart Association 4, Canadian Cardiovascular Society 3/4, or syncope) that warranted admission to the hospital and urgent aortic valve replacement. Using a retrospective observational study design, 292 consecutive patients with ADAS who underwent transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) were identified and included in this study. Echocardiographic and clinical characteristics were evaluated using regression analysis. The outcome was all-cause mortality after TAVI. At 1 year after TAVI, advanced echo staging (>2) independently predicted mortality (hazards ratio: 1.85, 95% confidence interval: 1.01 to 3.39; p = 0.045). At a follow-up of 2.4 ± 1.4 years, myocardial, valvular, and clinical parameters did not predict mortality, except for frailty (hazards ratio: 2.31, 95% confidence interval: 1.38 to 3.85; p = 0.001). In patients with ADAS, short-term mortality after TAVI is influenced by more advanced cardiac damage/dysfunction based on the echo staging classification, whereas mid-term mortality is driven by frailty rather than echo staging classification.

Prognostic implications of left ventricular diastolic dysfunction in moderate aortic stenosis

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the prognostic impact of left ventricular (LV) diastolic dysfunction in patients with moderate aortic stenosis (AS) and preserved LV systolic function.

METHODS

Patients with a first diagnosis of moderate AS (aortic valve area >1.0 and ≤1.5 cm²) and preserved LV systolic function (LV ejection fraction ≥50%) were identified. LV diastolic function was evaluated using echocardiographic criteria according to the 2016 American Society of Echocardiography/European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging guidelines. Clinical outcomes were defined as all-cause mortality and a composite of all-cause mortality and aortic valve replacement (AVR).

RESULTS

Of 1247 patients (age 74±10 years, 47% men), 535 (43%) had LV diastolic dysfunction at baseline. Patients with LV diastolic dysfunction showed significantly higher mortality rates at 1-year, 3-year and 5-year follow-up (13%, 30% and 41%, respectively) when compared with patients with normal LV diastolic function (6%, 17% and 29%, respectively) (p<0.001). On multivariable analysis, LV diastolic dysfunction was independently associated with all-cause mortality (HR 1.368; 95% CI 1.085 to 1.725; p=0.008) and the composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and AVR (HR 1.241; 95% CI 1.035 to 1.488; p=0.020).

CONCLUSIONS

LV diastolic dysfunction is independently associated with all-cause mortality and the composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and AVR in patients with moderate AS and preserved LV systolic function. Assessment of LV diastolic function therefore contributes significantly to the risk stratification of patients with moderate AS. Future clinical trials are needed to investigate whether patients with moderate AS and LV diastolic dysfunction may benefit from earlier valve intervention.

Evolution and Prognostic Impact of Cardiac Damage After Aortic Valve Replacement

BACKGROUND

The impact of aortic valve replacement (AVR) on progression/regression of extra-valvular cardiac damage and its association with subsequent prognosis is unknown.

OBJECTIVES

To describe evolution of cardiac damage post-AVR and its association with outcomes.

METHODS

Patients undergoing transcatheter or surgical AVR from the PARTNER 2 and 3 trials were pooled and classified by cardiac damage stage at baseline and 1-year (Stage 0, no damage; Stage 1, left ventricular damage; Stage 2, left atrial or mitral valve damage; Stage 3, pulmonary vasculature or tricuspid valve damage; Stage 4, right ventricular damage). Proportional hazards models determined association between change in cardiac damage post-AVR and 2-year outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 1974 patients, 121 (6.1%) were Stage 0, 287 (14.5%) Stage 1, 1014 (51.4%) Stage 2, 412 (20.9%) Stage 3, and 140 (7.1%) Stage 4 pre-AVR. Two-year mortality was associated with extent of cardiac damage at baseline and 1-year. Compared with baseline, cardiac damage improved in ∼15%, remained unchanged in ∼60%, and worsened in ∼25% of patients at 1-year. One-year change in cardiac damage stage was independently associated with mortality (adjHR for improvement=0.49; no change=1.0; worsening=1.95; p=0.023) and composite of death or heart failure hospitalization (adjHR for improvement=0.60; no change=1.0; worsening=2.25; p<0.001) at 2 years.

CONCLUSION

In patients undergoing AVR, extent of extravalvular cardiac damage at baseline and its change at 1-year have important prognostic implications. These findings suggest that earlier detection of AS and intervention prior to development of irreversible cardiac damage may improve global cardiac function and prognosis.

Validation of a novel staging classification system based on the extent of cardiac damage among Chinese patients after transcatheter aortic valve replacement: A single-center retrospective study

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to validate a novel staging system for aortic stenosis (AS) in a Chinese patient cohort undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR), and to compare this classification system to the traditional Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) score for TAVR risk stratification.

BACKGROUND

A novel staging system for AS based on the extent of cardiac damage upon echocardiography was recently proposed.

METHODS

Patients were prospectively enrolled into the Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement Single Center Registry in Chinese Population and analyzed retrospectively following additional exclusion criteria. On the basis of echocardiographic findings of cardiac damage, patients were classified into five stages (0-4).

RESULTS

A total of 427 patients were included in the current analysis. Forty-eight deaths occurred during a median follow-up of 730 days following TAVR. The staging system showed a statistically significant association between cardiac damage and all-cause mortality; advanced stages were associated with higher mortality. In a multivariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression model, stage and STS scores served as risk factors for 2-year mortality. Each increment in the staging class was associated with an increased risk of mortality (hazard ratio, 1.275; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.052-1.545). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted for stage (area under the curve, 0.644; 95% CI, 0.562-0.725) and STS score (0.661; 0.573-0.749), and with no statistically significant differences between ROC curves (p = 0.920).

CONCLUSIONS

We validated a novel staging system as a key risk factor for 2-year mortality in a Chinese TAVR patient cohort. Efficacy for risk stratification was comparable to the STS score.