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Steinberg J, Hughes S, Hui H, Allsop MJ, Egger S, David M, Caruana M, Coxeter P, Carle C, Onyeka T, Rewais I, Monroy Iglesias MJ, Vives N, Wei F, Abila DB, Carreras G, Santero M, O’Dowd EL, Lui G, Tolani MA, Mullooly M, Lee SF, Landy R, Hanley SJB, Binefa G, McShane CM, Gizaw M, Selvamuthu P, Boukheris H, Nakaganda A, Ergin I, Moraes FY, Timilshina N, Kumar A, Vale DB, Molina-Barceló A, Force LM, Campbell DJ, Wang Y, Wan F, Baker AL, Singh R, Salam RA, Yuill S, Shah R, Lansdorp-Vogelaar I, Yusuf A, Aggarwal A, Murillo R, Torode JS, Kliewer EV, Bray F, Chan KKW, Peacock S, Hanna TP, Ginsburg O, Hemelrijck MV, Sullivan R, Roitberg F, Ilbawi AM, Soerjomataram I, Canfell K. Risk of COVID-19 death for people with a pre-existing cancer diagnosis prior to COVID-19-vaccination: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Int J Cancer 2024; 154:1394-1412. [PMID: 38083979 PMCID: PMC10922788 DOI: 10.1002/ijc.34798] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/21/2023] [Revised: 10/04/2023] [Accepted: 10/20/2023] [Indexed: 02/12/2024]
Abstract
While previous reviews found a positive association between pre-existing cancer diagnosis and COVID-19-related death, most early studies did not distinguish long-term cancer survivors from those recently diagnosed/treated, nor adjust for important confounders including age. We aimed to consolidate higher-quality evidence on risk of COVID-19-related death for people with recent/active cancer (compared to people without) in the pre-COVID-19-vaccination period. We searched the WHO COVID-19 Global Research Database (20 December 2021), and Medline and Embase (10 May 2023). We included studies adjusting for age and sex, and providing details of cancer status. Risk-of-bias assessment was based on the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Pooled adjusted odds or risk ratios (aORs, aRRs) or hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated using generic inverse-variance random-effects models. Random-effects meta-regressions were used to assess associations between effect estimates and time since cancer diagnosis/treatment. Of 23 773 unique title/abstract records, 39 studies were eligible for inclusion (2 low, 17 moderate, 20 high risk of bias). Risk of COVID-19-related death was higher for people with active or recently diagnosed/treated cancer (general population: aOR = 1.48, 95% CI: 1.36-1.61, I2 = 0; people with COVID-19: aOR = 1.58, 95% CI: 1.41-1.77, I2 = 0.58; inpatients with COVID-19: aOR = 1.66, 95% CI: 1.34-2.06, I2 = 0.98). Risks were more elevated for lung (general population: aOR = 3.4, 95% CI: 2.4-4.7) and hematological cancers (general population: aOR = 2.13, 95% CI: 1.68-2.68, I2 = 0.43), and for metastatic cancers. Meta-regression suggested risk of COVID-19-related death decreased with time since diagnosis/treatment, for example, for any/solid cancers, fitted aOR = 1.55 (95% CI: 1.37-1.75) at 1 year and aOR = 0.98 (95% CI: 0.80-1.20) at 5 years post-cancer diagnosis/treatment. In conclusion, before COVID-19-vaccination, risk of COVID-19-related death was higher for people with recent cancer, with risk depending on cancer type and time since diagnosis/treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Julia Steinberg
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | - Suzanne Hughes
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | - Harriet Hui
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | - Matthew J Allsop
- Leeds Institute of Health Sciences, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom
| | - Sam Egger
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | - Michael David
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
- School of Medicine and Dentistry, Griffith University, Gold Coast, Australia
| | - Michael Caruana
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | - Peter Coxeter
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | - Chelsea Carle
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | - Tonia Onyeka
- Department of Anaesthesia/Pain & Palliative Care Unit, College of Medicine, University of Nigeria, Ituku-Ozalla Campus, Enugu, Nigeria
- IVAN Research Institute, Enugu, Enugu Stata, Nigeria
| | - Isabel Rewais
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | - Maria J Monroy Iglesias
- Translational Oncology and Urology Research (TOUR), Centre for Cancer, Society, and Public Health, School of Cancer and Pharmaceutical Sciences, King’s College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Nuria Vives
- Cancer Screening Unit, Institut Català d’Oncologia (ICO), Early Detection of Cancer Group, Epidemiology, Public Health, Cancer Prevention and Palliative Care Program, Institut d’Investigació Biomèdica de Bellvitge (IDIBELL), L’Hospitalet de Llobregat, Spain
- Ciber Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Instituto Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
| | - Feixue Wei
- Early Detection, Prevention and Infections Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France
| | | | - Giulia Carreras
- Oncologic Network, Prevention and Research Institute (ISPRO), Florence, Italy
| | - Marilina Santero
- Iberoamerican Cochrane Centre, IIB Sant Pau-Servei d’Epidemiologia Clínica i Salut Pública, Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Emma L O’Dowd
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust, Nottingham, United Kingdom
| | - Gigi Lui
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | | | - Maeve Mullooly
- School of Population Health, RCSI University of Medicine and Health Sciences, Dublin, Ireland
| | - Shing Fung Lee
- Department of Radiation Oncology, National University Cancer Institute, National University Hospital, Singapore
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Tuen Mun Hospital, New Territories West Cluster, Hospital Authority, Hong Kong, China
| | - Rebecca Landy
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville MD, United States
| | - Sharon JB Hanley
- Department of Academic Primary Care, Institute of Applied Health Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, Scotland
- Center for Environmental and Health Sciences, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Gemma Binefa
- Cancer Screening Unit,Cancer Prevention and Control Program, Catalan Institute of Oncology, Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain
- Early Detection of Cancer Research Group, EPIBELL Programme, Bellvitge Biomedical Research Institute, Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Charlene M McShane
- Centre for Public Health, Queen’s University Belfast, Institute of Clinical Sciences Block B, Royal Victoria Hospital, Belfast, Northern Ireland
| | - Muluken Gizaw
- Department of Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health, Addis Ababa University, Ethiopia
- Institute for Medical Epidemiology, Biometrics and Informatics, Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, Germany
- NCD Working Group, School of Public Health, Addis Ababa University, Ethiopia
| | - Poongulali Selvamuthu
- Chennai Antiviral Research and Treatment Center and Clinical Research Site (CART CRS), Infectious Diseases Medical Center, Voluntary Health Services, Chennai, India
| | - Houda Boukheris
- University Abderrahmane Mira of Bejaia, School of Medicine, Algeria
- Departement of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, University Hospital of Bejaia, Algeria
| | - Annet Nakaganda
- Department of Cancer Epidemiology and Clinical Trials, Uganda Cancer Institute, Uganda
| | - Isil Ergin
- Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Ege University, Turkey
| | - Fabio Ynoe Moraes
- Department of Oncology, Queen’s University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada
| | - Nahari Timilshina
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Canada
| | - Ashutosh Kumar
- Department of Anatomy, All India Institute of Medical Sciences-Patna, Patna, India
| | - Diama B Vale
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Campinas (UNICAMP), Brazil
| | - Ana Molina-Barceló
- Cancer and Public Health Research Unit, Biomedical Research Foundation FISABIO, Valencia, Spain
| | - Lisa M Force
- Department of Health Metrics Sciences and Department of Pediatrics, Division of Hematology/Oncology, University of Washington, United States
| | - Denise Joan Campbell
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | - Yuqing Wang
- School of Public Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - Fang Wan
- School of Public Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - Anna-Lisa Baker
- School of Public Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - Ramnik Singh
- School of Public Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - Rehana Abdus Salam
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | - Susan Yuill
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
- School of Public Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - Richa Shah
- Cancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France
| | - Iris Lansdorp-Vogelaar
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Aasim Yusuf
- Shaukat Khanum Memorial Cancer Hospital & Research Centre, Lahore & Peshawar, Pakistan
| | - Ajay Aggarwal
- Department of Health Services Research and Policy, School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, King’s College London, London, United Kingdom
- Department of Oncology, Guy’s & St Thomas NHS Trust, London, United Kingdom
| | - Raul Murillo
- Centro Javeriano De Oncologia - Hospital Universitario San Ignacio, Bogotá, Colombia
- Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Bogotá, Colombia
| | - Julie S Torode
- Institute of Cancer Policy, King’s College London, London, United Kingdom
- Research Oncology, Bermondsey Wing, Guy’s Hospital, SE1 9RT, London, United Kingdom
| | - Erich V Kliewer
- Department of Cancer Control Research, BC Cancer Research Institute, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Freddie Bray
- Cancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France
| | - Kelvin KW Chan
- Odette Cancer Centre, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Canadian Centre for Applied Research in Cancer Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Stuart Peacock
- Department of Cancer Control Research, BC Cancer Research Institute, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
- Canadian Centre for Applied Research in Cancer Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
- Faculty of Health Sciences, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Timothy P Hanna
- Division of Cancer Care and Epidemiology, Cancer Research Institute at Queen’s University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Oncology and Department of Public Health Sciences, Queen’s University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada
| | - Ophira Ginsburg
- Center for Global Health, National Cancer Institute, Maryland, United States
| | - Mieke Van Hemelrijck
- Translational Oncology and Urology Research (TOUR), Centre for Cancer, Society, and Public Health, School of Cancer and Pharmaceutical Sciences, King’s College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Richard Sullivan
- Institute of Cancer Policy, King’s College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Felipe Roitberg
- Department of Non-Communicable Diseases, World Health Organisation, Geneva, Switzerland
- Hospital Sírio Libanês, São Paulo, Brazil
- Rede Ebserh, Rede Brasileira de Serviços Hospitalares, Brasília, Brazil
| | | | | | - Karen Canfell
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
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Lawler M, Davies L, Oberst S, Oliver K, Eggermont A, Schmutz A, La Vecchia C, Allemani C, Lievens Y, Naredi P, Cufer T, Aggarwal A, Aapro M, Apostolidis K, Baird AM, Cardoso F, Charalambous A, Coleman MP, Costa A, Crul M, Dégi CL, Di Nicolantonio F, Erdem S, Geanta M, Geissler J, Jassem J, Jagielska B, Jonsson B, Kelly D, Kelm O, Kolarova T, Kutluk T, Lewison G, Meunier F, Pelouchova J, Philip T, Price R, Rau B, Rubio IT, Selby P, Južnič Sotlar M, Spurrier-Bernard G, van Hoeve JC, Vrdoljak E, Westerhuis W, Wojciechowska U, Sullivan R. European Groundshot-addressing Europe's cancer research challenges: a Lancet Oncology Commission. Lancet Oncol 2023; 24:e11-e56. [PMID: 36400101 DOI: 10.1016/s1470-2045(22)00540-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 30.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/27/2022] [Revised: 08/16/2022] [Accepted: 08/17/2022] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
Cancer research is a crucial pillar for countries to deliver more affordable, higher quality, and more equitable cancer care. Patients treated in research-active hospitals have better outcomes than patients who are not treated in these settings. However, cancer in Europe is at a crossroads. Cancer was already a leading cause of premature death before the COVID-19 pandemic, and the disastrous effects of the pandemic on early diagnosis and treatment will probably set back cancer outcomes in Europe by almost a decade. Recognising the pivotal importance of research not just to mitigate the pandemic today, but to build better European cancer services and systems for patients tomorrow, the Lancet Oncology European Groundshot Commission on cancer research brings together a wide range of experts, together with detailed new data on cancer research activity across Europe during the past 12 years. We have deployed this knowledge to help inform Europe's Beating Cancer Plan and the EU Cancer Mission, and to set out an evidence-driven, patient-centred cancer research roadmap for Europe. The high-resolution cancer research data we have generated show current activities, captured through different metrics, including by region, disease burden, research domain, and effect on outcomes. We have also included granular data on research collaboration, gender of researchers, and research funding. The inclusion of granular data has facilitated the identification of areas that are perhaps overemphasised in current cancer research in Europe, while also highlighting domains that are underserved. Our detailed data emphasise the need for more information-driven and data-driven cancer research strategies and planning going forward. A particular focus must be on central and eastern Europe, because our findings emphasise the widening gap in cancer research activity, and capacity and outcomes, compared with the rest of Europe. Citizens and patients, no matter where they are, must benefit from advances in cancer research. This Commission also highlights that the narrow focus on discovery science and biopharmaceutical research in Europe needs to be widened to include such areas as prevention and early diagnosis; treatment modalities such as radiotherapy and surgery; and a larger concentration on developing a research and innovation strategy for the 20 million Europeans living beyond a cancer diagnosis. Our data highlight the important role of comprehensive cancer centres in driving the European cancer research agenda. Crucial to a functioning cancer research strategy and its translation into patient benefit is the need for a greater emphasis on health policy and systems research, including implementation science, so that the innovative technological outputs from cancer research have a clear pathway to delivery. This European cancer research Commission has identified 12 key recommendations within a call to action to reimagine cancer research and its implementation in Europe. We hope this call to action will help to achieve our ambitious 70:35 target: 70% average 10-year survival for all European cancer patients by 2035.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mark Lawler
- Patrick G Johnston Centre for Cancer Research, Faculty of Medicine, Health and Life Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK.
| | - Lynne Davies
- International Cancer Research Partnership, International House, Cardiff, UK
| | - Simon Oberst
- Organisation of European Cancer Institutes, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Kathy Oliver
- International Brain Tumour Alliance, Tadworth, UK; European Cancer Organisation Patient Advisory Committee, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Alexander Eggermont
- Faculty of Medicine, Utrecht University Medical Center, Utrecht, Netherlands; Princess Máxima Centrum, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Anna Schmutz
- International Agency for Cancer Research, Lyon, France
| | - Carlo La Vecchia
- Department of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy
| | - Claudia Allemani
- Cancer Survival Group, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Yolande Lievens
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Ghent University and Ghent University Hospital, Ghent, Belgium
| | - Peter Naredi
- Department of Surgery, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg and Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Tanja Cufer
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia
| | - Ajay Aggarwal
- Department of Health Services Research and Policy, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK; Institute of Cancer Policy, King's College London, London, UK; Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Matti Aapro
- Genolier Cancer Center, Genolier, Switzerland
| | - Kathi Apostolidis
- Hellenic Cancer Federation, Athens, Greece; European Cancer Patient Coalition, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Anne-Marie Baird
- Lung Cancer Europe, Bern, Switzerland; Trinity Translational Medicine Institute, Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland
| | - Fatima Cardoso
- Champalimaud Clinical Center/Champalimaud Foundation, Lisbon, Portugal
| | - Andreas Charalambous
- European Cancer Organisation Brussels, Brussels, Belgium; Department of Nursing, Cyprus University of Technology, Limassol, Cyprus; Department of Oncology, University of Turku, Turku, Finland
| | - Michel P Coleman
- Cancer Survival Group, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | | | | | - Csaba L Dégi
- Faculty of Sociology and Social Work, Babeș-Bolyai University, Cluj-Napoca, Romania
| | - Federica Di Nicolantonio
- Department of Oncology, University of Turin, Turin, Italy; Candiolo Cancer Institute, FPO-IRCCS, Candiolo, Italy
| | - Sema Erdem
- European Cancer Organisation Patient Advisory Committee, Europa Donna, Istanbul, Türkiye
| | - Marius Geanta
- Centre for Innovation in Medicine and Kol Medical Media, Bucharest, Romania
| | - Jan Geissler
- Patvocates and CML Advocates Network, Leukaemie-Online (LeukaNET), Munich, Germany
| | | | - Beata Jagielska
- Maria Skłodowska-Curie National Research Institute of Oncology, Warsaw, Poland
| | | | - Daniel Kelly
- School of Healthcare Sciences, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK
| | - Olaf Kelm
- International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France
| | | | - Tezer Kutluk
- Faculty of Medicine & Cancer Institute, Hacettepe University, Ankara, Türkiye
| | - Grant Lewison
- Institute of Cancer Policy, School of Cancer Sciences, Kings College London, London, UK
| | | | | | - Thierry Philip
- Organisation of European Cancer Institutes, Brussels, Belgium; Institut Curie, Paris, France
| | - Richard Price
- European Cancer Organisation Brussels, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Beate Rau
- Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | | | - Peter Selby
- School of Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | | | | | - Jolanda C van Hoeve
- Organisation of European Cancer Institutes, Brussels, Belgium; Netherlands Comprehensive Cancer Organisation, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | - Eduard Vrdoljak
- Department of Oncology, University Hospital Center Split, School of Medicine, University of Split, Split, Croatia
| | - Willien Westerhuis
- Organisation of European Cancer Institutes, Brussels, Belgium; Netherlands Comprehensive Cancer Organisation, Utrecht, Netherlands
| | | | - Richard Sullivan
- Institute of Cancer Policy, School of Cancer Sciences, Kings College London, London, UK
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