Alpha-fetoprotein response correlates with EASL response and survival in solitary hepatocellular carcinoma treated with transarterial therapies: a subgroup analysis

Long-term outcomes of Yttrium-90 transarterial radioembolization for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

AIMS

We retrospectively assessed the long-term outcomes of Yttrium-90 (90Y) transarterial radioembolization (TARE) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), focusing on overall survival (OS), radiological response, and safety.

METHODS

We included patients with HCC treated with 90Y TARE at a single center between January 2012 and December 2021 with measurable lesions and a minimum of 2 years of follow-up. Only the former was analyzed for patients with multiple TARE. The primary endpoints were long-term OS, radiological response, and safety; the secondary endpoints included predictors of OS and response, with emphasis on dosimetry. The collected data included demographics, laboratory test results, liver function, and tumor staging. Radiological response was evaluated 3-6 months post-TARE using the modified RECIST (mRECIST) criteria. OS was calculated from TARE until death or censoring. Univariate logistic regression was used to identify the predictors of complete radiological response and OS. Dosimetry was analyzed to determine correlations with mRECIST response.

RESULTS

Among 142 patients (median age 66.8, cirrhotic 92.3%; M: F = 121:21), a median OS of 16.68 months was achieved, with a complete radiological response in 31% (44/142). OS was strongly correlated with radiological response (p < 0.001). Absorbed dose ≥ 234.6 Gy was associated with complete response (p = 0.017) but not with survival (p = 0.102). Rising alpha-fetoprotein levels (p = 0.017) and worsening Child-Pugh scores post-TARE (p = 0.044) were independent predictors of mortality.

CONCLUSION

A complete radiological response is crucial for long-term survival, highlighting the need for dosimetry optimization in TARE for HCC.

Serum CYFRA 21-1 and CK19-2G2 as Predictive Biomarkers of Response to Transarterial Chemoembolization in Hepatitis C-related Hepatocellular Carcinoma Among Egyptians: A Prospective Study

Background and aim

Cytokeratin 19 (CK19)-positive HCC is a subtype of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with poor biological behavior and resistance to different treatments including transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). The current study aimed to investigate the predictive value of serum CK 19 fragment 21-1 (CYFRA 21-1) and serum CK 19 fragment 2G2 (CK 19-2G2) for TACE response in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related HCC.

Methods

This prospective study assessed the pretreatment serum CYFRA 21-1 and CK 19-2G2 levels in 64 patients with HCV-related naïve HCC who underwent TACE to predict 1-year overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and objective response rate (ORR). Additionally, 40 healthy individuals were included as controls. Pretreatment alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) was also measured for comparison.

Results

After exclusions, 60 patients completed TACE sessions, and the 1-year OS was 52%, and ORR post TACE was 71.8%. HCC patients with elevated levels of CYFRA 21-1, CK 19-2G2, or baseline AFP measuring ≥400 ng/ml have decreased 1-year OS and PFS after TACE. Serum CK19-2G2 was an independent predictor of 1-year OS using multivariate hazard regression analysis. Pretreatment normal serum CYFRA 21-1 levels (P = 0.047), serum AFP measuring <400 ng/ml (P = 0.016), and lower AST (P = 0.002) were independent predictors of ORR to TACE using multivariate logistic regression analysis. The predictive ability of pretreatment elevated serum CYFRA 21-1, AFP measuring ≥400 ng/ml, AFP + CYFRA 21-1, AFP + CK 19-2G2, or AFP + CYFRA 21-1+ CK19-2G2 to predict nonresponse (progressive disease) to TACE (area under the curve = 0.795, 0.690, 0.830, 0.725, and 0.850, respectively).

Conclusions

This study demonstrated that incorporating the measurement of serum CYFRA 21-1 or CK19-2G2 levels, along with AFP, during the initial diagnosis can aid in predicting poor 1-year OS, PFS, and ORR to TACE in patients with HCV-related HCC.

Serum Alpha-fetoprotein Associated with Treatment Efficacy of Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Meta-Analysis and a Retrospective Cohort Study

Context: Serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) has been shown to be valuable in tumor staging and predicting survival outcomes. In this investigation, we conducted a retrospective cohort analysis and a meta-analysis to assess the predictive significance of initial AFP levels in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who underwent treatment with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). Methods: We searched databases from inception until 14 July 2024 to identify cohort studies involving ICI treatments in HCC patients with baseline AFP data. We also retrospectively analyzed patients with HCC treated with ICIs to assess the therapeutic effect in the high AFP (AFP ≥ 400 ng/mL) group and the low AFP (AFP < 400 ng/mL) group in terms of overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate (ORR), and disease control rate (DCR). Results: In the meta-analysis, a total of 34 studies, comprising 8,799 patients, were included, while the retrospective cohort study encompassed 55 patients. In the meta-analysis, the summarized hazard ratios (HRs) of AFP ≥ 400 ng/mL versus AFP < 400 ng/mL for ICI therapy indicated that the high AFP group had a poorer outcome compared to the low AFP group, with a pooled HR for OS of 1.69 (95% CI: 1.57 - 1.82, P < 0.001) and a pooled HR for PFS of 1.47 (95% CI: 1.33 - 1.63, P < 0.001). In the retrospective cohort study, higher AFP levels were associated with a lower DCR for ICIs, with a DCR of 42.9% in the high AFP group and 77.8% in the low AFP group (P = 0.008). Cox model analysis showed that higher serum AFP was an independent predictor for shorter OS (HR 3.584, 95% CI: 1.466 - 8.762, P = 0.005). The toxicity analysis also displayed a strong association between high AFP and the occurrence of immune-related adverse events (irAEs) (P = 0.008). Conclusions: Higher serum AFP is associated with poorer efficacy of ICI treatment in HCC patients.

Evaluation of different scoring systems for repeating Transarterial Chemoembolization in Egyptian patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) have a diverse range of outcomes due to their high degree of heterogeneity. Therefore, different predictive scoring systems have been created to assist in decision-making regarding retreatment with TACE. We compared the predictive capabilities of different scoring systems, such as ART, ABCR, and SNACOR, for prediction of the outcome of subsequent TACE in HCC patients.

METHOD

In this retrospective study, the three scoring systems were compared for their capability of predicting the outcome of repeating TACE in 149 HCC patients treated at the National Liver Institute, Egypt, between January 2017 and December 2019. We used the likelihood ratio to select the model with the highest predictive capability for overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

According to our data, the amount of tumor, the change in Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage following TACE, and the SNACOR score (with a 95% confidence range for HR 1.0305-1.256 and p-value = 0.0106) were the most predictive variables. It was also shown that the ABCR score was a good predictor of survival (90 patients had an ABCR score ≤ 0 with a P- value <0.0001, 56 patients had 0 < ABCR < 4 with a P-value <0.0001, and the ART score was not useful in predicting OS (P-value = 0.18).

CONCLUSION

The SNACOR score is the most predictive score for OS and would be the most helpful scoring system in decision-making regarding retreatment with TACE.

An efficient DNAzyme-locked leakless enzyme-free amplification system for alpha-foetoprotein detection in liver cancer and breast cancer

Alpha-foetoprotein (AFP) is taken as a diagnostic tumor marker for the screening and diagnosis of cancer. Nucleic acid-based isothermal amplification strategies are emerging as a potential technology in early screening and clinical diagnosis of AFP. The leakages between hairpins dramatically increase the background and reduce the sensitivity. Thus, it is necessary to develop some strategies to reduce the leakage for isothermal amplification strategies. A DNAzyme-locked leakless enzyme-free amplification system was developed for AFP detection in liver cancer and breast cancer. AFP could open the apt-hairpin and initiate the catalytic hairpin assembly (CHA) reaction to produce a Y-shaped duplex. Two tails of a Y-shaped duplex cleaved the two kinds of leakless hairpins. Then, the third tail of the Y-shaped duplex catalyzed the second CHA between the cleaved leakless hairpins to recover the fluorescent intensity. The limit of detection reached 5 fg/mL by the two levels of signal amplifications. Importantly, the leakless hairpin design effectively reduced leakage between hairpins and weakened the background. In addition, it also showed a great promising potential for AFP detection in early screening and clinical diagnosis.

Serum alpha-fetoprotein response as a preoperative prognostic indicator in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma with salvage hepatectomy following conversion therapy: a multicenter retrospective study

BACKGROUND

This study evaluates the efficacy of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) response as a surrogate marker for determining recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC) who undergo salvage hepatectomy following conversion therapy with tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) and anti-PD-1 antibody-based regimen.

METHODS

This multicenter retrospective study included 74 patients with uHCC and positive AFP (>20 ng/mL) at diagnosis, who underwent salvage hepatectomy after treatment with TKIs and anti-PD-1 antibody-based regimens. The association between AFP response-defined as a ≥ 80% decrease in final AFP levels before salvage hepatectomy from diagnosis-and RFS post-hepatectomy was investigated.

RESULTS

AFP responders demonstrated significantly better postoperative RFS compared to non-responders (P<0.001). The median RFS was not reached for AFP responders, with 1-year and 2-year RFS rates of 81.3% and 70.8%, respectively. In contrast, AFP non-responders had a median RFS of 7.43 months, with 1-year and 2-year RFS rates at 37.1% and 37.1%, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified AFP response as an independent predictor of RFS. Integrating AFP response with radiologic tumor response facilitated further stratification of patients into distinct risk categories: those with radiologic remission experienced the most favorable RFS, followed by patients with partial response/stable disease and AFP response, and the least favorable RFS among patients with partial response/stable disease but without AFP response. Sensitivity analyses further confirmed the association between AFP response and improved RFS across various cutoff values and in patients with AFP ≥ 200 ng/mL at diagnosis (all P<0.05).

CONCLUSION

The "20-80" rule based on AFP response could be helpful for clinicians to preoperatively stratify the risk of patients undergoing salvage hepatectomy, enabling identification and management of those unlikely to benefit from this procedure.

Prognostic model for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma treated with dual PD-1 and angiogenesis blockade therapy

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Dual programmed death 1 (PD-1) and angiogenesis blockade therapy is a frontline treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). An accepted model for survival prediction and risk stratification in individual patients receiving this treatment is lacking. Aimed to develop a simple prognostic model specific to these patients.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Patients with unresectable HCC undergoing dual PD-1 and angiogenesis blockade therapy were included in training cohort (n=168) and validation cohort (n=72). We investigated the prognostic value of clinical variables on overall survival using a Cox model in the training set. A prognostic score model was then developed and validated. Predictive performance and discrimination were also evaluated. Largest tumor size and Alpha-fetoprotein concentration at baseline and Neutrophil count and Spleen volume change after 6 weeks of treatment were identified as independent predictors of overall survival in multivariable analysis and used to develop LANS score. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis, calibration curves, and C-index showed LANS score had favorable performance in survival prediction. Patients were divided into three risk categories based on LANS score. Median survival for patients with low, intermediate, and high LANS scores was 31.7, 23.5, and 11.5 months, respectively (p<0.0001). The disease control rates were 96.4%, 64.3%, and 32.1%, respectively (p<0.0001). The predictive performance and risk stratification ability of the LANS score were confirmed in validation and entire cohorts.

CONCLUSION

The LANS score model can provide individualized survival prediction and risk stratification in patients with unresectable HCC undergoing dual PD-1 and angiogenesis blockade therapy.

The association of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 response with radiologic response and survival in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The role of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9) in response assessment among patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) remains unknown. The authors studied the association of the CA 19-9 response (defined as a reduction >50% from baseline) with the radiologic response and the outcome in patients with unresectable iCCA.

METHODS

A prospective cohort of 422 patients who were initially diagnosed with unresectable iCCA, had baseline CA 19-9 levels ≥100 U/mL, and received treatment with systemic therapies at the authors' institution between January 2017 and December 2021 were enrolled in this study. The radiologic response was assessed using the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors version 1.1. A landmark assessment of the CA 19-9 response and the radiologic response was performed. The associations between CA 19-9 response and imaging response, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) were analyzed.

RESULTS

Two hundred sixty-seven patients (63.3%) had a CA 19-9 response. A CA 19-9 response was observed in 123 of 132 (93.2%) radiologic responders and in 144 of 290 (49.7%) radiologic nonresponders (p < .001). CA 19-9 responders outperformed nonresponders in median PFS (10.6 vs. 3.6 months; hazard ratio [HR], 4.8 months; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.8-6.0 months; p < .001) and OS (21.4 vs. 6.3 months; HR, 5.3 months; 95% CI, 4.2-6.7 months; p < .001). The common independent predictors of both OS and PFS included metastasis, CA 19-9 nonresponder status, and radiologic nonresponder status in multivariable analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

CA 19-9 response is a valuable addition to assess tumor response and is associated with improved outcomes in patients with iCCA. Achieving a CA 19-9 response should be one of the therapeutic objectives of patients with iCCA after systemic therapies.

PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY

A decline in carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels from elevated baseline levels should be one of the therapeutic aims of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma who are managed with systemic therapies.

Evaluating treatment response following locoregional therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma: A review of the available serological and radiological tools for assessment

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is an aggressive primary malignancy of the liver and is the third most common cause of cancer-related global mortality. There has been a steady increase in treatment options for HCC in recent years, including innovations in both curative and non-curative therapies. These advances have brought new challenges and necessary improvements in strategies of disease monitoring, to allow early detection of HCC recurrence. Current serological and radiological strategies for post-treatment monitoring and prognostication and their limitations will be discussed and evaluated in this review.

Recommendation of mHAP and ABCR scoring systems for the decision-making of the first and subsequent TACE session in HCC patients

BACKGROUND

Due to the high heterogeneity among hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients receiving transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), the prognosis of patients varies significantly. Various predictive scoring systems have been developed to identify the patients who could benefit from TACE. However, there is no consensus on which is better. This study aims to validate and compare the predictive capabilities of scoring systems for first and subsequent TACE.

MATERIALS

A total of 524 HCC patients were treated with TACE, and 222 patients who met the inclusion criteria were included. Log-rank test was used to verify the predictive value of six scoring systems for the first TACE and four TACE retreatment scoring systems. Harrell's concordance (C)-index, likelihood ratio and integrated Brier score (IBS) were used to compare the predictive performance.

RESULTS

For the scoring systems of TACE, the overall survival (OS) of candidates screened by Hepatoma Arterial-embolization Prognostic (HAP), modified HAP (mHAP), mHAP3, alpha-fetoprotein, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer, Child-Pugh and Response (ABCR), albumin-bilirubin grade (ALBI), tumor size, alpha-fetoprotein, first TACE response and pre-/post-TACE was significantly longer than that of the noncandidates (all P < 0.05), whereas the mHAP2 and assessment for retreatment with TACE did not distinguish the candidates from noncandidates (P = 0.206, 0.115, respectively). The predictive and calibration performances of mHAP and ABCR were the highest for the first TACE and TACE retreatment, respectively.

CONCLUSION

mHAP identifies the patients who could benefit from the first TACE, whereas ABCR distinguishes patients who could benefit from subsequent TACE sessions.

Association between early response of alpha-fetoprotein and treatment efficacy of systemic therapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: A multicenter cohort study from China

Background

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is a well-identified biomarker in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, only limited AFP-related studies have evaluated its early response to systemic therapy. This study was performed with the aim of assessing the value of early AFP response in predicting overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in advanced HCC patients receiving systemic therapy.

Methods

This cohort study included HCC patients with baseline AFP ≥ 200 ng/ml and no prior treatment history. A > 20% decline in the serum AFP level from baseline to the first follow-up (i.e., 4~6 weeks after treatment) was defined as an early AFP response. Patient demographic information, clinical characteristics, radiological response, and survival rates were compared between patients with early AFP response and patients without early AFP response. We further utilized multivariate Cox regression to seek characteristics related to OS and PFS.

Results

Among 154 patients, 69 patients (44.8%) showed an early AFP response. The disease control rate (76.8 vs. 54.1%; P = 0.003) and objective response rate (38.4 vs. 11.8%; P = 0.001) were significantly higher in patients with an early AFP response. By performing multivariate analysis, early AFP response remained a prognostic factor for longer PFS (HR 0.546; 95% CI 0.371-0.804; P = 0.002) and longer OS (HR 0.529; 95% CI 0.335-0.834; P = 0.006).

Conclusion

An early AFP response is correlated with longer overall survival and progression-free survival for advanced HCC patients receiving systemic therapy. Moreover, an early AFP response is an independent prognostic factor for longer OS and PFS.

Preoperative prognostic value of alfa-fetoprotein density in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing radiofrequency ablation

OBJECTIVES

To examine the prognostic value of preoperative alfa-fetoprotein (AFP) density and other clinical factors in patients undergoing percutaneous radiofrequency ablation (RFA) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

From January 2010 to December 2018, a total of 543 patients undergoing RFA for HCC meeting the Milan criteria were included at our institution. AFP density was calculated as absolute AFP pre-ablation divided by the total volume of all HCC lesions. The survival rates according to AFP density were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression analyses were used to assess predictors of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

RESULTS

The Kaplan-Meier 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates were 98.8%, 88.5%, and 70.4%, respectively, for the low AFP density group, and 98.3%, 74.9%, and 49.4%, respectively, for the high AFP density group. The corresponding PFS rates were 78.9%, 56.7%, and 40.9% (low AFP density group), and 63.6%, 40.8%, and 27.5% (high AFP density group). High AFP density was associated with significantly reduced PFS and OS (both p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis suggested that AFP density was a predictor of OS and PFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum AFP density may serve as a promising predictor of survival in patients with HCC undergoing RFA. High AFP density could identify patients who might be prone to recurrence or progression and need close surveillance.

Conversion to resection post radioembolization in patients with HCC: recommendations from a multidisciplinary working group

BACKGROUND

Transarterial radioembolization (TARE) with yttrium-90 (⁹⁰Y) glass microspheres is an efficacious option for converting appropriately selected patients with borderline-resectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) to surgical candidacy.

METHODS

In 2018 and 2019, a diverse multidisciplinary group of surgical and interventional experts with experience using ⁹⁰Y for downstaging and bridging to liver transplant convened to review peer-reviewed literature and personal experience in the use of ⁹⁰Y to convert borderline resectable liver cancer patients to surgical candidacy. The working group included surgical oncologists specializing in liver cancer, liver transplant surgeons with experience in complex hepatobiliary surgery, and interventional radiologists with experience using ⁹⁰Y.

RESULTS

This document presents expert recommendations based upon the group's experience and consensus.

CONCLUSIONS

By combining related evidence from the literature with expert experiences with TARE in surgical candidates, these recommendations aim to demonstrate the safety, efficacy, and feasibility of TARE in converting borderline-resectable patients to surgical options. The document also addresses the concerns about potential complications associated with TARE during the surgical intervention.

Trajectories of serum α-fetoprotein and intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma outcomes after transarterial chemoembolization: A longitudinal, retrospective, multicentre, cohort study

BACKGROUND

α-fetoprotein (AFP) response has been proven a key tumor marker for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but its definition remains controversial. This study aims to characterize AFP trajectories after transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) and examine its impact on clinical outcomes.

METHODS

This longitudinal, multicenter, retrospective, cohort study examined data from the electronic medical record system of four hospitals in China between January 1, 2007 to December 31, 2016. A latent class growth mixed model was applied to distinguish potential AFP dynamic changing trajectories. The multivariable Cox models were used to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% CIs for overall survival. Inverse-probability-of-treatment weighted analyses were performed to eliminate unmeasured confounders through marginal structural models.

FINDINGS

A total of 881 patients, who had intermediate-stage HCC with AFP repeatedly measured 3 to 10 times, were included in the study. Three distinct trajectories were identified using the latent class growth mixture model: high-rising (25.7%; n = 226), low-stable (58.7%; n = 517), and sharp-falling (AFP serological response, 15.6%; n = 138). Compared with the low-stable class, the aHRs for death were 5.13 (3.71, 7.10) and 0.52 (0.33, 0.81) for the high-rising and sharp-falling class, adjusted by gender, baseline major tumor size, intrahepatic lesions number, and logAFP(smooth). Furthermore, high-rising class had a significantly higher HR in the subgroup of female patients (10.60, 95%CI: 6.29, 17.86), age<55 (6.78, 95%CI: 4.79, 9.59) and Child-Pugh class B (23.01, 95%CI:8.07, 65.63) (P = 0.014, 0.046 and 0.033 for interaction, respectively). Trajectories of AFP had the highest relative importance of each parameter to survival, including largest tumor size, intrahepatic lesions number, Child-Pugh class, and baseline AFP.

INTERPRETATION

AFP trajectories were associated with overall survival for intermediate-stage HCC after TACE.

FUNDING

The Natural Science Foundation of Fujian Province (Nos. 2018J01352, 2016J01576 and 2016J01586); the Science and Technology Innovation Joint Foundation of Fujian Province (Nos. 2017Y9125).

Combined Transarterial Chemoembolization with Microwave Ablation versus Microwave Alone for Treatment of Medium Sized Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fifth most common cancer and the second leading cause of cancer-related deaths. The only definitive treatment for both HCC and cirrhosis is liver transplantation, but long wait times in some regions and a relatively fixed number of donor organs negatively impact access to liver transplantation. The aim of the work was to evaluate and compare the short outcome of patients with medium-sized HCC who will undergo percutaneous microwave ablation (MWA) alone and in combination with TACE.

METHODS

This prospective study included 40 patients with medium-sized HCC lesions who were classified into two groups; Group A that included twenty patients treated by TACE followed by percutaneous MWA after 2 weeks and group B that included twenty patients treated by 2 sessions of percutaneous MWA with 2 weeks interval. Full history taking, clinical examination, laboratory investigation, abdominal ultrasonography and abdominal tri-phasic computed tomography (CT) with contrast were obtained from the two groups. Laboratory and radiological follow up of the cases were done at 1 and 3 months after the treatment.

RESULTS

There was no statistically significant difference in the sociodemographic criteria, laboratory measurement and clinical criteria between the cases in the two study groups before initiation of treatment. The response was slightly better in the combined treatment group, but it did not show a statistically significant difference. The incidence of complications was higher in the MWA group.

CONCLUSION

Hepatocellular carcinoma is a common complication of HCV related cirrhosis. Association of TACE-MWA led to better response rates than MWA with fewer complications.

Arterial Chemotherapy of Oxaliplatin Plus Fluorouracil Versus Sorafenib in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Biomolecular Exploratory, Randomized, Phase III Trial (FOHAIC-1)

PURPOSE

Interventional hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy of infusional fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin (HAIC-FO) displayed an encouraging safety profile and antitumor activity in a previous phase II trial and a propensity-score-matching study involving patients with locally advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

In this open-label, phase III trial, patients with advanced HCC, previously untreated with systemic therapy, were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive HAIC-FO or sorafenib. The primary end point was overall survival (OS) in the intention-to-treat population. An exploratory model for predicting the efficacy of HAIC-FO on the basis of genomic sequencing was developed.

RESULTS

Between May 2017 and May 2020, 262 patients were randomly assigned. The median tumor size was 11.2 cm (interquartile range, 8.5-13.7 cm). Macrovascular invasion was present in 65.6%, and the percentage of patients with > 50% tumor volume involvement of the liver and/or Vp-4 portal vein tumor thrombosis was 49.2%. At data cutoff (October 31, 2020), median OS was 13.9 months for HAIC-FO and 8.2 for sorafenib (hazard ratio [HR] 0.408; 95% CI, 0.301 to 0.552; P < .001). Tumor downstaging occurred in 16 (12.3% of 130) patients receiving HAIC-FO, including 15 receiving curative surgery or ablation, and finally achieving a median OS of 20.8 months, with a 1-year OS rate of 93.8%. In high-risk subpopulations, OS was significantly longer with HAIC-FO than with sorafenib (10.8 months v 5.7 months; HR 0.343; 95% CI, 0.219 to 0.538; P < .001). A newly developed 15-mutant-gene prediction model identified 83% of patients with response to HAIC-FO. HAIC-FO responders had longer OS than HAIC-FO nonresponders (19.3 months v 10.6 months; HR 0.323; 95% CI, 0.186 to 0.560; P = .002).

CONCLUSION

HAIC-FO achieved better survival outcomes than sorafenib in advanced HCC, even in association with a high intrahepatic disease burden.

Surveillance and Monitoring of Hepatocellular Carcinoma During the COVID-19 Pandemic

The Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is expected to have a long-lasting impact on the approach to care for patients at risk for and with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) due to the risks from potential exposure and resource reallocation. The goal of this document is to provide recommendations on HCC surveillance and monitoring, including strategies to limit unnecessary exposure while continuing to provide high-quality care for patients. Publications and guidelines pertaining to the management of HCC during COVID-19 were reviewed for recommendations related to surveillance and monitoring practices, and any available guidance was referenced to support the authors' recommendations when applicable. Existing HCC risk stratification models should be utilized to prioritize imaging resources to those patients at highest risk of incident HCC and recurrence following therapy though surveillance can likely continue as before in settings where COVID-19 prevalence is low and adequate protections are in place. Waitlisted patients who will benefit from urgent LT should be prioritized for surveillance whereas it would be reasonable to extend surveillance interval by a short period in HCC patients with lower risk tumor features and those more than 2 years since their last treatment. For patients eligible for systemic therapy, the treatment regimen should be dictated by the risk of COVID-19 associated with route of administration, monitoring and treatment of adverse events, within the context of relative treatment efficacy.

Early effect of 90Y radioembolisation on hepatocellular carcinoma and liver parenchyma stiffness measured with MR elastography: initial experience

OBJECTIVES

To quantify hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and liver parenchyma stiffness using MR elastography (MRE) and serum alpha fetoprotein (AFP), before and 6 weeks (6w) after ⁹⁰Y radioembolisation (RE), and to assess the value of baseline tumour and liver stiffness (TS/LS) and AFP in predicting response at 6w and 6 months (6 m).

METHODS

Twenty-three patients (M/F 18/5, mean age 68.3 ± 9.3 years) scheduled to undergo RE were recruited into this prospective single-centre study. Patients underwent an MRI exam at baseline and 6w following RE (range 39-47 days) which included MRE using a prototype 2D EPI sequence. TS, peritumoural LS/LS remote from the tumour, tumour size, and AFP were measured at baseline and at 6w. Treatment response was determined using mRECIST at 6w and 6 m.

RESULTS

MRE was technically successful in 17 tumours which were classified at 6w as complete response (CR, n = 7), partial response (PR, n = 4), and stable disease (SD, n = 6). TS and peritumoural LS were significantly increased following RE (p = 0.016, p = 0.039, respectively), while LS remote from tumour was unchanged (p = 0.245). Baseline TS was significantly lower in patients who achieved CR at 6w (p = 0.014). Baseline TS, peritumoural LS (both AUC = 0.857), and AFP (AUC = 0.798) showed fair/excellent diagnostic performance in predicting CR at 6w, but were not significant predictors of OR or CR at 6 m.

CONCLUSION

Our initial results suggest that HCC TS and peritumoural LS increase early after RE. Baseline TS, peritumoural LS, and AFP were all significant predictors of CR to RE at 6w. These results should be confirmed in a larger study.

KEY POINTS

• Magnetic resonance elastography-derived tumour stiffness and peritumoural liver stiffness increase significantly at 6 weeks post radioembolisation whereas liver stiffness remote from the tumour is unchanged. • Baseline tumour stiffness and peritumoural liver stiffness are lower in patients who achieve complete response at 6 weeks post radioembolisation. • Baseline tumour size is significantly correlated with baseline tumour stiffness.

Differential alternative splicing between hepatocellular carcinoma with normal and elevated serum alpha-fetoprotein

BACKGROUND

Serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is the approved serum marker for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening. However, not all HCC patients show high (≥ 20 ng/mL) serum AFP, and the molecular mechanisms of HCCs with normal (< 20 ng/mL) serum AFP remain to be elucidated. Therefore, we aimed to identify biological features of HCCs with normal serum AFP by investigating differential alternative splicing (AS) between HCCs with normal and high serum AFP.

METHODS

We performed a genome-wide survey of AS events in 249 HCCs with normal (n = 131) and high (n = 118) serum AFP levels using RNA-sequencing data obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas.

RESULTS

In group comparisons of RNA-seq profiles from HCCs with normal and high serum AFP levels, 161 differential AS events (125 genes; ΔPSI > 0.05, FDR < 0.05) were identified to be alternatively spliced between the two groups. Those genes were enriched in cell migration or proliferation terms such as "the cell migration and growth-cone collapse" and "regulation of insulin-like growth factor (IGF) transport and uptake by IGF binding proteins". Most of all, two AS genes (FN1 and FAM20A) directly interact with AFP; these relate to the regulation of IGF transport and post-translational protein phosphorylation. Interestingly, 42 genes and 27 genes were associated with gender and vascular invasion (VI), respectively, but only eighteen genes were significant in survival analysis. We especially highlight that FN1 exhibited increased differential expression of AS events (ΔPSI > 0.05), in which exons 25 and 33 were more frequently skipped in HCCs with normal (low) serum AFP compared to those with high serum AFP. Moreover, these events were gender and VI dependent.

CONCLUSION

We found that AS may influence the regulation of transcriptional differences inherent in the occurrence of HCC maintaining normal rather than elevated serum AFP levels.

Postoperative circulating tumor cells: An early predictor of extrahepatic metastases in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing curative surgical resection

BACKGROUND

Postoperative extrahepatic metastases (EHM) contribute to a grim outcome in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who are undergoing curative surgical resection. The current study investigated the clinical value of circulating tumor cells (CTCs) in predicting EHM after curative surgery.

METHODS

A total of 197 patients with HCC who were undergoing curative surgical resection were assigned to a retrospective training cohort (144 patients) or a prospective validation cohort (53 patients). The CELLSEARCH system was used for the detection of CTCs prior to surgical resection and 1 month thereafter. The cutoff value of CTCs was estimated using receiver operating characteristic analysis. Bonferroni correction was applied for multiple testing in a Cox proportional hazards regression model.

RESULTS

In the training cohort, EHM was found to be associated with a higher postoperative CTC burden compared with no EHM (mean: 4.33 vs 0.52; P < .001). Receiver operating characteristic analysis demonstrated a postoperative CTC count ≥3 as the optimal cutoff value for the prediction of EHM. Patients with a postoperative CTC count ≥3 experienced a higher EHM risk (56.3% vs 5.5%) and a shorter median overall survival (31.25 months vs not reached) (all P < .001). The prognostic significance of a postoperative CTC count ≥3 also applied to patient subgroups with a low EHM risk, such as those with an α-fetoprotein level ≤400 ng/mL, absence of vascular invasion, well differentiation, and early tumor stage, and its predictive value was retained in patients with a continuous normal α-fetoprotein level during postoperative follow-up (all P < .05). The results were confirmed in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

A postoperative CTC count ≥3 appears to be a surrogate marker for the prediction of EHM after curative surgical resection of HCC. More careful surveillance should be recommended to patients with a high CTC load to ensure the greater possibility of early interventions for postoperative EHM.

A-G Score Associated With Outcomes in Solitary Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients After Hepatectomy

Aim: The study aimed to investigate the clinical significance of preoperative alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) (A-G score) on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients.

Methods: A total of 474 solitary HCC patients were included. Survival analysis was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier method. Prognostic factors were analyzed in a multivariate model. The comparison of the predictive value of AFP, GGT, and A-G score was performed by receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results: Of the 474 patients, 137(28.9%), 241(50.8%), and 96(20.3%) patients were assigned to A-G score 0, 1, and 2, respectively. In multivariate analysis, A-G score, tumor size, microvascular invasion, tumor differentiation, satellite lesion, and state of HBV infection were independently predictive factors for RFS of solitary HCC patients. The A-G score could significantly stratify solitary HCC patients with a distinguished prognosis. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS and OS among patients with A-G score 1 was better than that of patients with A-G score 2 and worse than that of patients with A-G score 0(all p < 0.05). Based on the result from the ROC analysis and DCA analysis, the A-G score appeared to be superior to either AFP or GGT alone in the prediction of prognosis of solitary HCC patients. In the subgroup analysis, the A-G score could accurately predict the prognosis of solitary HCC patients without MVI or with liver cirrhosis.

Conclusions: Preoperative A-G score could effectively and simply predict prognosis of solitary HCC patients after hepatectomy, especially for those with non-MVI solitary HCC or those with liver cirrhosis.

High lymphocyte‑to‑monocyte ratio is associated with low α‑fetoprotein expression in patients with hepatitis B virus‑associated hepatocellular carcinoma

The association of the peripheral lymphocyte‑to‑monocyte ratio (LMR) with α‑fetoprotein (AFP) status in patients with AFP‑positive and AFP‑negative hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has not been investigated in detail. The aim of the present study was to examine the association between the LMR and AFP status in these patients. The samples were obtained from patients with a hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, who were negative for non‑HBV hepatitis viruses and who did not suffer from autoimmune hepatitis. These patients were retrospectively reviewed and the differences of test indicators in the AFP‑negative and AFP‑positive groups were assessed. Flow cytometry was used to detect the expression levels of CD4, CD8 and programmed cell death protein 1 (PD‑1), and ELISAs were used to analyze the expression levels of interleukin (IL)‑10 and transforming growth factor (TGF)‑β1. In addition, luciferase reporter assays were used to assess binding of the IL‑10 promoter to the glucocorticoid receptor (GR) gene. Receiver operating characteristic curve and Spearman correlation analyses demonstrated that the AFP‑negative HCC group exhibited a higher LMR, lower D‑dimer and lower fibrin degradation products compared with the AFP‑positive HCC group. The cut‑off value of the LMR was 2.01 for AFP detection, with a sensitivity of 68.6% and a specificity of 75%. The high LMR noted in the AFP‑negative HCC group was accompanied by a lower proportion of CD4+ T lymphocytes and CD8‑PD‑1 expression compared with the corresponding levels of these parameters in the AFP‑positive HCC group. Furthermore, the high levels of IL‑10 and low levels of TGF‑β1 were expressed in the AFP‑positive HCC group. The data indicated that the IL‑10‑592 promoter exhibited a potent induction of luciferase activity in 293T cells cotransfected with a GR‑overexpressing vector compared with the control cells. However, the relative luciferase activity was not altered following a mutation or polymorphism in the IL‑10 gene. These results suggested that a high LMR was indicative of low AFP expression in HBV‑associated HCC patients.

Prognostic role of alpha-fetoprotein in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with repeat transarterial chemoembolisation

BACKGROUND

Repeat transarterial chemoembolisation (rTACE) is often required for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) to achieve disease control, however, current practice guidelines regarding treatment allocation vary significantly. This study aims to identify key factors associated with patient survival following rTACE to facilitate treatment allocation and prognostic discussion.

METHOD

Patients with HCC undergoing rTACE at six Australian tertiary centers from 2009 to 2014 were included. Variables encompassing clinical, tumour, treatment type and response factors were analysed against the primary outcome of overall survival. Univariate analysis and multivariate Cox regression modelling were used to identify factors pre- and post-TACE therapy significantly associated with survival.

RESULTS

Total of 292 consecutive patients underwent rTACE with mainly Child Pugh A cirrhosis (61%) and BCLC stage A (57%) disease. Median overall survival (OS) was 30 months (IQR 15.2-50.2) from initial TACE. On multivariate analysis greater tumour number (p = 0.02), higher serum bilirubin (p = 0.007) post initial TACE, and hepatic decompensation (p = 0.001) post second TACE were associated with reduced survival. Patients with serum AFP ≥ 200 ng/ml following initial TACE had lower survival (p = 0.001), compared to patients with serum AFP level that remained < 200 ng/ml post-initial TACE, with an overall survival of 19.4 months versus 34.7 months (p = 0.0001) respectively.

CONCLUSION

Serum AFP level following initial treatment in patients undergoing repeat TACE for HCC is a simple and useful clinical prognostic marker. Moreover, it has the potential to facilitate appropriate patient selection for rTACE particularly when used in conjunction with baseline tumour burden and severity of hepatic dysfunction post-initial TACE.

Validation and evaluation of clinical prediction systems for first and repeated transarterial chemoembolization in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma: A Chinese multicenter retrospective study

BACKGROUND

The treatment outcome of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) varies greatly due to the clinical heterogeneity of the patients. Therefore, several prognostic systems have been proposed for risk stratification and candidate identification for first TACE and repeated TACE (re-TACE).

AIM

To investigate the correlations between prognostic systems and radiological response, compare the predictive abilities, and integrate them in sequence for outcome prediction.

METHODS

This nationwide multicenter retrospective cohort consisted of 1107 unresectable HCC patients in 15 Chinese tertiary hospitals from January 2010 to May 2016. The Hepatoma Arterial-embolization Prognostic (HAP) score system and its modified versions (mHAP, mHAP2 and mHAP3), as well as the six-and-twelve criteria were compared in terms of their correlations with radiological response and overall survival (OS) prediction for first TACE. The same analyses were conducted in 912 patients receiving re-TACE to evaluate the ART (assessment for re-treatment with TACE) and ABCR (alpha-fetoprotein, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer, Child-Pugh and Response) systems for post re-TACE survival (PRTS).

RESULTS

All the prognostic systems were correlated with radiological response achieved by first TACE, and the six-and-twelve criteria exhibited the highest correlation (Spearman R = 0.39, P = 0.026) and consistency (Kappa = 0.14, P = 0.019), with optimal performance by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.71 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.68-0.74]. With regard to the prediction of OS, the mHAP3 system identified patients with a favorable outcome with the highest concordance (C)-index of 0.60 (95%CI: 0.57-0.62) and the best area under the receiver operating characteristic curve at any time point during follow-up; whereas, PRTS was well-predicted by the ABCR system with a C-index of 0.61 (95%CI: 0.59-0.63), rather than ART. Finally, combining the mHAP3 and ABCR systems identified candidates suitable for TACE with an improved median PRTS of 36.6 mo, compared with non-candidates with a median PRTS of 20.0 mo (log-rank test P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Radiological response to TACE is closely associated with tumor burden, but superior prognostic prediction could be achieved with the combination of mHAP3 and ABCR in patients with unresectable liver-confined HCC.

Predictors of Response and Survival in Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor-Treated Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) with nivolumab and pembrolizumab are promising agents for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) but lack of effective biomarkers. We aimed to investigate the potential predictors of response and factors associated with overall survival (OS) for ICI treatment in unresectable HCC patients. Ninety-five patients who received nivolumab or pembrolizumab for unresectable HCC were enrolled for analyses. Radiologic evaluation was based on RECIST v1.1. Factors associated with outcomes were analyzed. Of 90 patients with evaluable images, the objective response rate (ORR) was 24.4%. Patients at Child-Pugh A or received combination treatment had higher ORR. Early alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) >10% reduction (within 4 weeks) was the only independent predictor of best objective response (odds ratio: 7.259, p = 0.001). For patients with baseline AFP ≥10 ng/mL, significantly higher ORR (63.6% vs. 10.2%, p < 0.001) and disease control rate (81.8% vs. 14.3%, p < 0.001) were observed in those with early AFP reduction than those without. In addition, early AFP reduction and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade or Child-Pugh class were independent factors associated with OS in different models. In conclusion, a 10-10 rule of early AFP response can predict objective response and survival to ICI treatment in unresectable HCC. ALBI grade and Child-Pugh class determines survival by ICI treatment.

Alpha-fetoprotein assessment for hepatocellular carcinoma after transarterial chemoembolization

PURPOSE

To evaluate whether AFP classification criteria correlate with tumor response measured using the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) and predicate survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

METHODS

Data from 143 consecutive patients with unresectable HCC and elevated AFP (> 20 ng/mL), who underwent TACE as initial treatment between January 2011 and December 2015 were collected, retrospectively. AFP response was classified as follows: complete response, normalization of AFP; partial response, > 50% decrease from baseline; stable disease, - 50 to + 30% change from baseline; or progressive disease, > 30% increase from baseline. Response rates according to AFP and EASL criteria were compared, and associations between the AFP response and overall survival (OS) were evaluated.

RESULTS

The k value for agreement between AFP criteria and EASL criteria was 0.52 (moderate), with response rates of 42.7% and 41.3%, respectively (P = 0.811). The OS of responders was significantly longer compared with non-responders for both AFP (21 vs. 6 months, P < 0.001) and EASL (23 vs. 6 months, P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that the AFP response (hazard ratio [HR], 0.430, 95% CI, 0.233-0.794; P = 0.007), EASL response (HR, 0.343; 95% CI, 0.176-0.666; P = 0.002), and macroscopic vascular invasion (HR, 2.104; 95% CI, 1.403-3.154; P < 0.001) were significantly associated with OS.

CONCLUSIONS

The defined AFP classification criteria was moderate correlated with EASL criteria and predicted the outcome in patients with HCC who underwent TACE.

Prognostic role of serial alpha-fetoprotein levels in hepatocellular carcinoma treated with locoregional therapy

Background and aim: To evaluate early serial AFP changes in responders and non-responders to locoregional therapy and identify differences between significant AFP decliners and non-decliners post-treatment. Methods: Case records of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients having AFP ≥20 ng/ml and treated with locoregional therapy were examined retrospectively. Patients with complete details were included. Trends of serial AFP change (from baseline to post-treatment one month) in patients showing early tumor response (complete response (CR), partial response (PR), progressive disease (PD)) as assessed on multiphasic MRI/CT liver performed at one month following treatment. Receiver operating curves were drawn to estimate the best AFP reduction cut off for differentiating between responders (CR plus PR) from non-responders (PD). AFP decliners (those with AFP level reduction greater than 20% post-treatment) were identified and comparisons of their clinical parameters, tumor response and survival rate were made with AFP non-decliners. Results: HCC patients (n = 126) had mean age of 52.8 years, male:female ratio (4:1), Child's A 94, BCLC stage A/B/C HCC 49/65/12, respectively. On 4-6 weeks' MRI/CT, 46 patients developed CR, 55 PR and 25 PD. Reduction in median AFP level (83% in CR, 19% in PR) occurred in responders while 16% increase occurred in PD patients (non-responders). A 30% AFP reduction could differentiate responders from non-responders with 70% sensitivity and 68% specificity, AUROC 74% (CI 0.64-0.85). AFP decliners showed better survival and tumor response than non-decliners. Conclusions: Serial AFP change can predict tumor response to locoregional therapy in AFP producing HCC patients. AFP decliners have better survival and tumor response than AFP non-decliners.

Improved Survival in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients with Cardiac Arrhythmia by Amiodarone Treatment through Autophagy

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a primary malignancy of the liver. In basic studies, the regulation of autophagy has offered promising results for HCC treatment. This study aimed to address the question of whether amiodarone can improve survival rates in HCC patients associated with autophagy. Using datasets from the National Health Insurance Research Database, we enrolled patients over 18 years of age that had been diagnosed with HCC between January 1997 and December 2010. Amiodarone and non-amiodarone users were matched at a 1:1 frequency, according to all variables. Additionally, HepG2 cells treated with amiodarone were evaluated by cell viability and autophagic change. Autophagic signaling was examined by immunoblotting and tissue array immunohistochemistry. Of the 10,946 patients diagnosed with HCC, each cohort included 221 patients after 1:1 propensity score matching. The median survival was 36.70 months for the amiodarone users, and 24.48 months for the non-amiodarone users. After adjusting for age, gender, comorbidities and treatment, amiodarone users had a significantly lower risk of mortality. Amiodarone users also demonstrated an improved 3-year survival rate. Furthermore, amiodarone treatment-induced autophagy in HepG2 cells was demonstrated by autophagosome formation associated with increasing LC3B-II, P62, and Beclin-1 expression. Autophagic flux also increased following amiodarone treatment with bafilomycin A1. SiRNA of LC3B knocked down endogenous LC3B formation and restored HepG2 cell viability. This study provides epidemiologic evidence that amiodarone via autophagic degradation machinery may offer survival benefits for HCC patients with a history of arrhythmia. Further randomized, blinded, and placebo-controlled trials are warranted for patients with HCC.

Post-treatment alpha-fetoprotein response predicts prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Post-treatment alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) response has been reported to be associated with prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients, but the results were not consistent. This meta-analysis aimed to explore the relationship between AFP response and clinical outcomes of HCC.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, Medline and Cochrane library were searched for relevant articles published before March 20, 2019. The data were analyzed using RevMan5.3 software.

RESULTS

Twenty-nine articles with 4726 HCC patients were finally included for analysis. The pooled results showed that post-treatment AFP response was significantly associated with overall survival (OS) (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.41, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.35-0.47, P <.001), progression free survival (PFS) (HR = 0.46, 95% CI: 0.39-0.54, P <.001) and recurrence free survival (RFS) (HR = 0.41, 95% CI: 0.29-0.56, P <.001) of HCC patients.

CONCLUSION

post-treatment AFP response might be a useful prognostic marker for HCC patients.

Alpha-Fetoprotein, Des-Gamma-Carboxy Prothrombin, and Modified RECIST Response as Predictors of Survival after Transarterial Radioembolization for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

PURPOSE

To evaluate the prognostic role of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), des-gamma-carboxy protein (DCP), and modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after transarterial radioembolization (TARE).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

During 2009-2016, 63 patients with AFP >20 ng/mL, DCP >20 mAU/mL, and Child-Pugh class A who were treated with TARE were evaluated using landmark and risk-of-death method after TARE. Both resin microspheres (n = 46) and glass microspheres (n = 17) were used. AFP or DCP response was defined as more than 50% decrease from baseline. mRECIST response was defined as complete or partial response. Median age was 60 years, and the proportion of male sex was 77.8% (n = 49). The proportions of patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages A, B, and C were 7.9% (n = 5), 46.0% (n = 29), and 46.0% (n = 29), respectively.

RESULTS

At the 3-month landmark, AFP, DCP, and mRECIST responders lived longer than nonresponders (median overall survival, 75.8 vs 7.6 months for AFP; 75.8 vs 7.1 months for DCP; and 75.8 vs 10.0 months for mRECIST; all P < .05). The 6-month risk of death at the 3-month landmark was statistically different only between DCP responders and nonresponders (P = .002). In multivariate analysis, age less than 70 years (P = .024), absence of distant metastasis (P = .049), DCP response (P = .003), and mRECIST response (P = .003) were independent predictors for overall survival at the 3-month landmark after TARE.

CONCLUSIONS

AFP, DCP, and mRECIST responders showed better prognosis than nonresponders after TARE, and DCP response was a more potent predictor than AFP response. Tumor marker response, as well as radiologic response, may be useful to predict post-TARE survival.

Preoperative MRI features and clinical laboratory indicators for predicting the early therapeutic response of hepatocellular carcinoma to transcatheter arterial chemoembolization combined with High-intensity focused ultrasound treatment

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the value of preoperative MRI features and laboratory indicators in predicting the early response of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) to transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) combined with high-intensity focused ultrasound (HIFU) treatment and to establish a preoperative prediction model.

METHODS

A total of 188 patients with 223 tumors who underwent TACE/HIFU treatment from January 2011 to June 2017 were included. Tumors were divided into three groups (< 2 cm, 2 - 5 cm,> 5 cm) and classified as non-complete response (NCR) and complete response (CR) cohorts according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Cancer of the Liver (RECICL) 2015 revised version. Univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to determine independent predictors, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to assess the diagnostic power of each predictor. The prediction model was derived on the β coefficient of the multivariate regression analysis of the predictors.

RESULTS

Irregular margins in the 2 - 5 cm group were closely related to early NCR. Irregular margins, arterial peritumoral enhancement and abnormal alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) were independent predictors of early NCR in the > 5 cm group. The prediction model of this group suggests that irregular margins combined with arterial peritumoral enhancement and abnormal AFP combined with irregular margins and arterial peritumoral enhancement predict an increased risk of early NCR.

CONCLUSION

Irregular margins of 2 - 5 cm tumors and irregular margins, arterial peritumoral enhancement, and abnormal AFP of tumors > 5 cm can be applied to predict the early response of HCC to TACE/HIFU treatment.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

TACE combined with HIFU treatment may be able to significantly improve survival in patients with advanced HCC. Conventional MRI features and laboratory indicators are readily available without complex post-processing. It is feasible to predict the response of HCC after TACE/HIFU treatment based on preoperative conventional MRI features and laboratory indicators, the combination of multiple features predicts high-risk of non-complete response.

Alpha-fetoprotein response following transarterial chemoembolization indicates improved survival for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

To investigate the clinical value of the alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) response following transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) in intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Data on patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer B staging system were analyzed. An AFP response was defined as a decrease in AFP of more than 20% after a TACE session. The association between AFP response and treatment outcome regarding imaging response and overall survival (OS) was explored. Cox proportional hazards models were applied to identify independent risk factors for OS after TACE.

RESULTS

Of the enrolled 376 patients with elevated serum AFP >20 ng/mL, 214 (57%) with AFP responses were identified. AFP responders had improved median survival than non-responders (20 vs. 12 months, P = 0.002). AFP response was significantly correlated with imaging response (P < 0.001). The Cox proportional hazards model revealed that AFP response was an independent factor for OS (hazard ratio, 0.59; 95% confidence interval, 0.45-0.78; P < 0.001). In stratified analyses, an AFP response achieved improved survival in patients with tumor diameters ≤5 cm, diameters >5 cm, tumor number ≤3 and without underlying cirrhosis.

CONCLUSIONS

The AFP response indicates enhanced survival after TACE in patients with intermediate-stage BCLC.

A Model for Adaptive Decision Making of "Ablate-and-Wait" Versus Transplantation in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND/AIMS

In patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), selection of candidates for liver transplantation (LT) requires refinement based on tumor biology to maximize the outcome. We aimed to prognosticate LT candidates with HCC using a risk prediction model for post-LT recurrence.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 197 consecutive patients were included who underwent LT for hepatitis B-related HCC within the Milan criteria. A risk prediction model was developed for post-LT recurrence using the Cox model and was internally validated.

RESULTS

Among those undergoing LT as their first HCC treatment (n=70, initial LT group), poor prognosis was associated with maximal tumor size and multinodularity. The remaining 127 patients (deferred LT group) received radiofrequency ablation (n=69) and/or transarterial chemoembolization (n=98) before LT. Multinodularity, maximal tumor size, posttransarterial chemoembolization progressive disease, baseline alpha-fetoprotein, and alpha-fetoprotein difference (between baseline and pre-LT) were incorporated into a risk prediction model for the deferred LT group, which was thereby stratified into low-risk (score<5), intermediate-risk, and high-risk (score≥8) subgroups. Recurrence-free survival was significantly different among the deferred LT prognostic subgroups (P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

This risk prediction model may help refinement of "ablate-and-wait" strategy for LT candidates by avoiding LT in those with either high risk score at baseline or increasing score under repeated locoregional therapies.

Pictorial essay: imaging findings following Y90 radiation segmentectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma

Transarterial radioembolization is a novel therapy that has gained rapid clinical acceptance for the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Segmental radioembolization [also termed radiation segmentectomy (RS)] is a technique that can deliver high doses (> 190 Gy) of radiation selectively to the hepatic segment(s) containing the tumor. The aim of this comprehensive review is to provide an illustrative summary of the most relevant imaging findings encountered after radiation segmentectomy. A 62-patient cohort of Child-Pugh A patients with solitary HCC < 5 cm in size was identified. A comprehensive retrospective imaging review was done by interventional radiology staff at our institution. Important imaging findings were reported and illustrated in a descriptive account. For the purposes of completeness, specific patients outside our initial cohort with unique educational imaging features that also underwent segmentectomy were included in this pictorial essay. This review shows that response assessment after RS requires a learning curve with common drawbacks that can lead to false-positive interpretations and secondary unnecessary treatments. It is important to recognize that treatment responses and pathological changes both are time dependent. Findings such as benign geographical enhancement and initial benign pathological enhancement can easily be misinterpreted. Capsular retraction and segmental atrophy are some other examples of unique post-RS response that are not seen in any other treatment.

Alpha-fetoprotein kinetics in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma receiving ramucirumab or placebo: an analysis of the phase 3 REACH study

BACKGROUND

Post-hoc analyses of AFP response and progression and their relationship with objective measures of response and survival were performed in patients from REACH.

METHODS

Serum AFP was measured at baseline and every 3 cycles (2 weeks/cycle). Associations between AFP and radiographic progression and efficacy end points were analysed.

RESULTS

Median percent AFP increase from baseline was smaller in the ramucirumab than in the placebo arm throughout treatment. Time to AFP progression (HR 0.621; P < 0.0001) and to radiographic progression (HR 0.613; P < 0.0001) favoured ramucirumab. Association between AFP and radiographic progression was shown at 6 (OR 6.44, 95% CI 4.03, 10.29; P < 0.0001) and 12 weeks (OR 2.28, 95% CI 1.47, 3.53; P = 0.0002). AFP response was higher with ramucirumab compared with placebo (P < 0.0001). More patients in the ramucirumab arm experienced tumour shrinkage and AFP response compared with placebo. Survival was longer in patients with AFP response (13.6 months) than in patients without (6.2 months), irrespective of treatment (HR 0.457, P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment with ramucirumab prolonged time to AFP progression, slowed AFP increase and was more likely to induce AFP response. Similar benefits in radiographic progression and response correlated with AFP changes.

Prognostic role of alpha-fetoprotein response after hepatocellular carcinoma resection

AIM

To investigate whether the change in pre-/post-operation serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels is a predictive factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) outcomes.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 334 HCC patients who underwent hepatic resection at our hospital between January 2006 and December 2016. The patients were classified into three groups according to their change in serum AFP levels: (1) the normal group, pre-AFP ≤ 20 ng/mL and post-AFP ≤ 20 ng/mL; (2) the response group, pre-AFP > 20 ng/mL and post-AFP decrease of ≥ 50% of pre-AFP; and (3) the non-response group, pre-AFP level > 20 ng/mL and post-AFP decrease of < 50% or higher than pre-AFP level, or any pre-AFP level < 20 ng/mL but post-AFP >20 ng/mL.

RESULTS

Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that multiple tumors [hazard ratio (HR): 1.646, 95%CI: 1.15-2.35, P < 0.05], microvascular invasion (mVI) (HR: 1.573, 95%CI: 1.05-2.35, P < 0.05), and the non-response group (HR: 2.425, 95% CI: 1.42-4.13, P < 0.05) were significant independent risk factors for recurrence-free survival. Similarly, multiple tumors (HR: 1.99, 95%CI: 1.12-3.52, P < 0.05), mVI (HR: 3.24, 95%CI: 1.77-5.90, P < 0.05), and the non-response group (HR: 3.62, 95%CI: 1.59-8.21, P < 0.05) were also significant independent risk factors for overall survival. The non-response group had significantly lower overall survival rates and recurrence-free survival rates than both the normal group and the response group (P < 0.05). Thus, patients with no response regarding post-surgery AFP levels were associated with poor outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Serum AFP responses are significant prognostic factors for the surgical outcomes of HCC patients, suggesting post-resection AFP levels can direct the management of HCC patients.

Initial Alpha-Fetoprotein Response Predicts Prognosis in Hepatitis B-related Solitary HCC Patients After Radiofrequency Ablation

BACKGROUND

Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is effective for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma but recurrence is problem.

GOALS

To identify prognostic factors including alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) for overall survival and intrahepatic recurrence after RFA.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Not only naïve but also previously treated patients with solitary hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma <5 cm were prospectively enrolled and a ≥50% decrease from baseline to 1 month after RFA was defined as an initial AFP response. Tumor responses were assessed by the modified response evaluation criteria in solid tumors.

RESULTS

Among 255 patients, 156 patients (61.2%) developed intrahepatic recurrence. Radiologic progression occurred in 54.8% (86/157) in the AFP responders and 71.4% (70/98) in the AFP nonresponders. In multivariate analysis, a history of previous treatment [hazard ratio (HR), 2.037; P=0.015 for percutaneous ethanol injection vs. none; and HR, 2.642; P<0.001 for transarterial chemoembolization vs. none] and an initial AFP nonresponse (HR, 1.899; P<0.001) were independent predictors of accelerated progression after RFA. Moreover, those who had a history of previous treatment and did not achieve an initial AFP response had significantly unfavorable overall survival (HR, 3.581; P<0.001) and the increased risk of intrahepatic remote recurrence (HR, 5.385; P<0.001) compared with those with an initial AFP response and no history of previous treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Biological response evaluation by the measurement of serial AFP levels is a useful predictor of overall survival and intrahepatic remote recurrence after RFA. Therefore, an initial AFP response may aid in determining the need of closer follow-up as a therapeutic response indicator of RFA.

Imaging Evaluation Following 90Y Radioembolization of Liver Tumors: What Radiologists Should Know

Radioembolization using beta-emitting yttrium-90 microspheres is being increasingly used for the treatment of primary and metastatic liver cancers. It is a form of intra-arterial brachytherapy which delivers intense radiation to liver tumors with little embolic effect; this mode of action results in unique post-treatment imaging findings. It is important to understand these imaging findings to avoid misinterpretation of tumor response and to determine further management of the disease. Herein, we discuss the current concepts for assessing tumor response, common post-treatment imaging features, and associated complications following radioembolization.

Changes in serum α-fetoprotein level predicts treatment response and survival in hepatocellular carcinoma patients and literature review

BACKGROUND

Oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy is an alternative systemic treatment for patients with metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who were refractory or intolerant to sorafenib. To date, there have been no biomarkers reported to monitor the therapeutic efficacy and to predict the outcomes of HCC patients receiving oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy.

METHODS

Eighty-one HCC patients with elevated baseline α-fetoprotein (AFP) levels and extrahepatic spreading who received oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy between 2012 and 2014 were retrospectively enrolled in this study. Two AFP tests were performed, at baseline and 2-4 weeks after the initiation of chemotherapy. The change in AFP levels was calculated for survival analysis.

RESULTS

In the AFP decline group (decreased compared to baseline), the median progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were 7.0 months and 12.3 months, respectively. In the AFP nondecline group, the median PFS and OS were 2.3 months and 3.0 months, respectively. The difference in OS between the two groups was significant (p < 0.005). In the multivariate analysis for disease progression, the best response to chemotherapy and AFP decline were independent factors, with p values of 0.004 and 0.009, respectively. In the multivariate analysis for OS, the baseline Child-Pugh score, best response to chemotherapy, and AFP decline were independent prognostic factors, with p values of 0.01, 0.001, and 0.008, respectively. Additionally, the unit change in AFP level was predictive of PFS and OS with p values of 0.007 and 0.001, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The change in AFP levels 2-4 weeks after initiating oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy is useful to predict treatment response and survival.

HCC with low- and normal-serum alpha-fetoprotein levels

A large database of 1773 HCC patients in Turkey was examined. 41.9% had alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels <20 IU/ml and an additional 16.123% had values between 20-100 IU/ml. This 58% of the cohort (<100 IU/ml AFP levels) was examined in detail. 66% of patients with small (<5 cm) HCCs had low AFP, compared to 49% of patients with larger (>5 cm) HCCs. The mean diameter (MTD) of larger MTD, low AFP tumors was 8.4cm. Therefore, factors other than AFP must contribute to HCC tumor growth. Larger tumors in low AFP patients had both higher platelet levels and increased PVT percent. Linear regression analysis for both MTD and multifocality showed that platelet numbers and presence of PVT were significant variables; whereas for PVT, significant variables were albumin, alkaline phosphatase and MTD. Comparisons between patients with AFP levels <20, 20-<100, 100-<1000 and >1000 IU/ml showed the most significant tumor finding was an increase in PVT percent between each group, and to a lesser extent, MTD. Thus, low- or normal-AFP HCCs constitute the majority of patients and have slightly lower MTD and much lower PVT percent than HCCs associated with elevated blood AFP levels. New, non-AFP markers are thus needed, especially for small HCCs.

Cabozantinib in hepatocellular carcinoma: results of a phase 2 placebo-controlled randomized discontinuation study

Background

Cabozantinib, an orally bioavailable inhibitor of tyrosine kinases including MET, AXL, and VEGF receptors, was assessed in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) as part of a phase 2 randomized discontinuation trial with nine tumor-type cohorts.

Patients and methods

Eligible patients had Child-Pugh A liver function and ≤1 prior systemic anticancer regimen, completed ≥4 weeks before study entry. The cabozantinib starting dose was 100 mg daily. After an initial 12-week cabozantinib treatment period, patients with stable disease (SD) per Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) version 1.0 were randomized to cabozantinib or placebo. The primary endpoint of the lead-in stage was objective response rate (ORR) at week 12, and the primary endpoint of the randomized stage was progression-free survival (PFS).

Results

Among the 41 HCC patients enrolled, the week 12 ORR was 5%, with 2 patients achieving a confirmed partial response (PR). The week 12 disease control rate (PR or SD) was 66% (Asian subgroup: 73%). Of patients with ≥1 post-baseline scan, 78% had tumor regression, with no apparent relationship to prior sorafenib therapy. Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) response (>50% reduction from baseline) occurred in 9 of the 26 (35%) patients with elevated baseline AFP and ≥1 post-baseline measurement. Twenty-two patients with SD at week 12 were randomized. Median PFS after randomization was 2.5 months with cabozantinib and 1.4 months with placebo, although this difference was not statistically significant. Median PFS and overall survival from Day 1 in all patients were 5.2 and 11.5 months, respectively. The most common grade 3/4 adverse events, regardless of attribution, were diarrhea (20%), hand-foot syndrome (15%), and thrombocytopenia (15%). Dose reductions were utilized in 59% of patients.

Conclusions

Cabozantinib has clinical activity in HCC patients, including objective tumor responses, disease stabilization, and reductions in AFP. Adverse events were managed with dose reductions.

Trial registration number

NCT00940225.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predicts survival in European patients with hepatocellular carcinoma administered sorafenib

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is considered a prognostic factor in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Our aim is to investigate the prognostic significance of NLR in patients with HCC treated with sorafenib.

Results

Median follow-up time was 7 months. Patients were mostly in the intermediate (27.3%) or advanced (72.7%) BCLC stages, 38.6% had vascular invasion and 27.5% extrahepatic disease. A large proportion (38.9%) had been previously treated with TACE. Liver function was preserved: 65.8% were classed as Child A. Median overall survival was 7.7 months (95% CI: 5.8-9.6). In univariate analysis, vascular invasion (P = 0.004), ECOG-PS ≥ 1 (P < 0.001), high bilirubin (P < 0.001), clinical ascites (P = 0.036), BCLC stage (P = 0.004), no previous TACE (P = 0.041) and NRL ≥ 2.3 (P = 0.005) were predictors of poor survival. Skin toxicity (P = 0.039) or hypertension (P = 0.033) during treatment were related to better survival. In multivariate analysis NLR ≥ 2.3 [HR 1.72 (95% CI: 1.03-2.71)], hyperbilirubinemia [HR 3.42 (95% CI: 1.87-6.25)] and ECOG-PS ≥ 1 [HR 1.97 (95% CI: 1.19-3.26)] were found as independent indicators of poor overall survival. Dermatologic adverse effects were an indicator of good overall survival [HR 0.59 (95% CI: 0.38-0.92)].

Material and Methods

One hundred and fifty-four consecutive HCC patients treated with sorafenib in four different Spanish hospitals between August 2005 and October 2013 were analysed. Clinical, laboratory, and tumour features were obtained. Survival was calculated from the moment sorafenib treatment was initiated. Log-rank and Cox regression were used to analyse the ability of NLR to predict survival.

Conclusions

NLR is an independent prognostic indicator for overall survival in HCC patients treated with sorafenib.

Changes of alpha-fetoprotein levels could predict recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma survival after trans-arterial chemoembolization

Background

There is paucity of information concerning whether AFP change is a predictor of prognosis for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (RHCC) patients after trans-arterial chemoembolization (TACE).

Methods

A total of 177 RHCC patients who received TACE as first-line therapy were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were classified into three groups according to their pre-TACE and post-TACE AFP levels (group A: AFP decreased, group B: AFP consistent normal, and group C: AFP increased). The recurrence to death survival (RTDS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method, and compared by the log-rank test. Multivariate analyses were performed to identify prognostic factors for OS and RTDS.

Results

There was no significant difference among the three groups concerning the baseline characteristics. The median overall survival (OS) was 74.5 months in group A (95% confidence interval (CI): 63.5, 85.6), 64.0 months in group B (95% CI: 52.3, 75.7) and 29.0 months in group C (95% CI: 24.1, 33.9; P<0.001). The median recurrence to death survival (RTDS) was 66.5 months (95% CI: 53.4, 79.6) in group A, 50.4 months (95% CI: 39.5, 61.4) in group B and 17.7 months (95% CI: 13.4, 22.1; P<0.001) in group C. Multivariate analysis revealed that tumor size at resection stage, tumor number at recurrent stage, cycles of TACE, mRECIST response and AFP change after TACE were significant independent risk factors for RTDS and OS.

Conclusions

AFP change could predict the prognoses of patients with RHCC who received trans-arterial chemoembolization, which may help clinicians make subsequent treatment decision.

Early Prediction of the Outcome Using Tumor Markers and mRECIST in Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Who Underwent Transarterial Chemoembolization

OBJECTIVE

We examined early predictors of the outcome in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

METHODS

We analyzed 116 patients with unresectable HCC treated with initial TACE. α-Fetoprotein (AFP) or des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) response was assessed in patients who had baseline AFP levels ≥200 ng/ml or DCP ≥60 mAU/ml; a positive response was defined as a reduction of >50% compared to baseline 1 month after TACE.

RESULTS

A baseline AFP level ≥200 ng/ml was associated with a poor overall survival (OS) (29.4 vs. 6.1 months; p <0.0001). AFP response had no significantly prognostic effects on the OS. Conversely, although the baseline DCP did not influence the OS, DCP responders showed a significantly better OS than nonresponders (67.0 vs. 19.8 months, p = 0.020). The baseline AFP (p = 0.004) and initial tumor response evaluated by the modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST) (p = 0.012) were found to be independent predictors of the OS. The combination of the baseline AFP and initial assessment by mRECIST allowed stratification of the OS.

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of the baseline AFP level and mRECIST is useful for the early prediction of the OS in HCC patients who underwent TACE.

ART score and hepatocellular carcinoma: An appraisal of its applicability

BACKGROUND

Assessment for retreatment with TACE (ART) score evaluates whether hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients can benefit from transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) retreatments. As previously reported, TACE has a good prognostic effect on patients with ART score of 0-1.5, while patients with ART score≥2.5 might have minor or even no prognostic benefits. Our study verified whether ART score can guide multiple TACE retreatments in Chinese patients presenting with HCC.

METHOD

Nine hundred and thirty-four patients presenting with HCC and treated with TACE were recruited from January 2008 to June 2012, at which point 137 patients had been treated with TACE at least twice and could be assessed by ART score. Patients were assessed by ART score before the second, third, and fourth TACE treatment, and divided into 0-1.5 group and ≥2.5 group. Overall survival (OS) of both groups was compared, and patients were further evaluated on whether TACE retreatment was beneficial.

RESULTS

Before the second, third, fourth TACE treatment, the median OS (95% CI) was respectively 25.0 (21.1-28.0) months, 29.0 (22.0-36.0) months and 24.3 (8.2-40.4) months for patients with ART score 0-1.5. 18.0 (14.5-21.5) months, 14.0 (6.4-21.6) months and 22.0 (11.8-32.3) months for patients with ART score ≥2.5. (P values were 0.036, 0.011 and 0.152 respectively).

CONCLUSION

Our results are consistent with previous study that before TACE treatment, patients should be assessed by ART score, and those with ART score 0-1.5 had superior prognosis as compared those with an ART score ≥2.5.