Prognostic significance of a combination of pre- and post-treatment tumor markers for hepatocellular carcinoma curatively treated with hepatectomy

HCC patients with triple positive tumor markers may benefit from post-surgery adjuvant treatment

PURPOSE

To explore the correlation between the number of positive tumor markers and clinical-pathological-ultrasonic-prognostic characteristics of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and to determine the importance of postoperative adjuvant therapy in HCC patients with different number of positive tumor markers.

METHODS

This retrospective study analyzed 649 HCC patients. The relationships between clinical-pathological-ultrasonic characteristics and 3 tumor markers, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) and lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of AFP (AFP-L3), were analyzed. Cumulative recurrence-free survival (RFS) was analyzed according to the number of positive tumor markers, and according to with or without postoperative adjuvant therapy in each group.

RESULTS

The expression patterns of 3 tumor markers were related with transaminase, maximum diameter, microvascular invasion (MVI), macrovascular invasion, satellite nodule, echogenicity consistency, morphology, color doppler flow imaging (CDFI) pattern, and wash-out degree. Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) was the predominant intervention (32.00%) in triple negative group, and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) monotherapy was the most common intervention in single positive group (42.99%), double positive group (39.51%), and triple positive group (35.48%). Cox proportional hazards regression analyses revealed that positive tumor markers were associated with poor RFS. There was a significant different between triple positive group patients with post-operative adjuvant therapy and patients without post-operative adjuvant therapy (30.0 months vs. 19.6 months, P=0.019).

CONCLUSION

The number of positive tumor markers had different clinical-pathological-ultrasonic-prognostic characteristics. Pre-operative serum tumor markers provided a more convenient and noninvasive method to select patients with high risk of recurrence, thus can make more appropriate surgical strategies and postoperative adjuvant therapy.

Enhancing Recurrence-Free Survival Prediction in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Time-Updated Model Incorporating Tumor Burden and AFP Dynamics

BACKGROUND

Existing models to predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) after hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) rely on static preoperative factors such as alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and tumor burden score (TBS). These models overlook dynamic postoperative AFP changes, which may reflect evolving recurrence risk. We sought to develop a dynamic, real-time model integrating time-updated AFP values with TBS for improved recurrence prediction.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients undergoing curative-intent hepatectomy for HCC (2000-2023) were identified from an international, multi-institutional database with RFS as the primary outcome. AFP trajectory was monitored from preoperative to 6- and 12-month postoperative values, using time-varying Cox regression with AFP as a time-dependent covariate. The predictive accuracy of this time-updated model was compared with a static preoperative Cox model excluding postoperative AFP.

RESULTS

Among 1911 patients, AFP trajectories differed between recurrent and nonrecurrent cases. While preoperative AFP values were similar, recurrent cases exhibited higher AFP at 6 and 12 months. Multivariable analysis identified TBS (hazard ratio (HR):1.043 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.002-1.086]; p = 0.039) and postoperative log AFP dynamics (HR:1.216 [CI 1.132-1.305]; p < 0.001) as predictors. Contour plots depicted TBS's influence decreasing over time, while postoperative AFP became more predictive. The time-varying Cox model was created to update RFS predictions continuously on the basis of the latest AFP values. The preoperative Cox model, developed with age, AFP, TBS, and albumin-bilirubin score, had a baseline C-index of 0.61 [0.59-0.63]. At 6 months, the time-varying model's C-index was 0.70 [0.67-0.73] versus 0.59 [0.56-0.61] for the static model; at 12 months, it was 0.70 [0.66-0.73] versus 0.56 [0.53-0.59]. The model was made available online ( https://nm49jf-miho-akabane.shinyapps.io/AFPHCC/ ).

CONCLUSIONS

Incorporating postoperative AFP dynamics into RFS prediction after HCC resection enhanced prediction accuracy over time, as TBS's influence decreased. This adaptive, time-varying model provides refined RFS predictions throughout follow-up.

The evolving landscape of biomarkers for systemic therapy in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains one of the most prevalent and deadliest cancers. With the approval of multiple first- and second-line agents, especially the combination therapies based on immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) regimens, the landscape of systemic therapy for advanced HCC (aHCC) is more diverse than ever before. The efficacy of current systemic therapies shows great heterogeneity in patients with aHCC, thereby identifying biomarkers for response prediction and patient stratification has become an urgent need. The main biomarkers for systemic therapy in hepatocellular carcinoma are derived from peripheral blood, tissues, and imaging. Currently, the understanding of the clinical response to systemic therapy indicates unequivocally that a single biomarker cannot be used to identify patients who are likely to benefit from these treatments. In this review, we provide an integrated landscape of the recent development in molecular targeted therapies and ICIs-based therapies, especially focusing on the role of clinically applicable predictive biomarkers. Additionally, we further highlight the latest advancements in biomarker-driven therapies, including targeted treatments, adoptive cell therapies, and bispecific antibodies.

PIVKA-II as a surrogate biomarker for therapeutic response in Non-AFP-secreting hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is a key biomarker for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but 30-40% of cases are AFP-negative. Prothrombin induced by vitamin K absence II (PIVKA-II) is more sensitive for HCC detection, though its role in systemic therapy remains underexplored. This study aimed to evaluate PIVKA-II in non-AFP-secreting HCC treated with systemic therapy.

METHODS

Patients with unresectable HCC undergoing systemic therapy were enrolled. Baseline imaging and PIVKA-II levels were recorded. After 8-12 weeks of treatment, response was evaluated through imaging and repeat PIVKA-II measurements.

RESULTS

A total of 116 treatment assessments from 61 cases were analyzed. Baseline PIVKA-II levels correlated with tumor size, but not tumor number or liver function. PIVKA-II regression (≥ 50% reduction) and progression (≥ 50% increase) were defined using ROC analysis. Imaging showed 71.0% objective response in the regression group, 50.0% stable disease in the stable group, and 83.7% progressive disease in the progression group (p < 0.001). This association held for targeted therapies, immune checkpoint inhibitors, and chemotherapy. Progression-free survival (PFS) for the regression, stable, and progression groups was non-reached, 6.7, and 3.2 months (p = 0.0002), and overall survival (OS) was non-reached, non-reached, and 18.5 months (p = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

This study is the first to establish the "50-50 rule" for PIVKA-II response in non-AFP-secreting HCC treated with systemic therapy, highlighting its value as a surrogate marker for radiological outcomes and prognosis.

Development and validation of nomograms based on pre-/post-operative CEA and CA19-9 for survival predicting in stage I-III colorectal cancer patients after radical resection

Background

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) are the predominant serum tumour markers (STMs) for predicting the prognosis of colorectal cancer (CRC). The objective of this research is to develop clinical prediction models based on preoperative and postoperative CEA and CA19-9 levels.

Methods

1,452 consecutive participants with stage I-III colorectal cancer were included. Kaplan-Meier method, log-rank test, and multivariate COX regression were used to evaluate the significance of preoperative and postoperative STMs. Patients were grouped into a discovery cohort (70%) and a validation cohort (30%). Variables for the nomograms were selected according to the Akaike information criterion (AIC). Subsequently, two clinical predictive models were constructed, evaluated, validated, and then compared with the AJCC 8th TNM stage.

Results

The overall survival (OS) rate and disease-free survival(DFS) rate declined progressively as the number of positive tumour markers(NPTMs) before and after surgery increased. For both OS and DFS, age, sex, pN stage, and NPTMs before and after surgery were independent prognostic factors, and then clinical prediction models were developed. The Concordance index (C-index), Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, Decision curve analysis (DCA), and risk score stratification all indicated that the models possessed robust predictive efficacy and clinical applicability. The Net reclassification index (NRI) and Integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) indicated that the performance of models was significantly superior to the TNM stage.

Conclusion

Nomograms based on pre-and postoperative CEA and CA19-9 can accurately predict survival and recurrence for stage I-III CRC patients after radical surgery, and were significantly better than the AJCC 8th TNM stage.

Biomarkers for diagnosis and therapeutic options in hepatocellular carcinoma

Liver cancer is a global health challenge, causing a significant social-economic burden. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the predominant type of primary liver cancer, which is highly heterogeneous in terms of molecular and cellular signatures. Early-stage or small tumors are typically treated with surgery or ablation. Currently, chemotherapies and immunotherapies are the best treatments for unresectable tumors or advanced HCC. However, drug response and acquired resistance are not predictable with the existing systematic guidelines regarding mutation patterns and molecular biomarkers, resulting in sub-optimal treatment outcomes for many patients with atypical molecular profiles. With advanced technological platforms, valuable information such as tumor genetic alterations, epigenetic data, and tumor microenvironments can be obtained from liquid biopsy. The inter- and intra-tumoral heterogeneity of HCC are illustrated, and these collective data provide solid evidence in the decision-making process of treatment regimens. This article reviews the current understanding of HCC detection methods and aims to update the development of HCC surveillance using liquid biopsy. Recent critical findings on the molecular basis, epigenetic profiles, circulating tumor cells, circulating DNAs, and omics studies are elaborated for HCC diagnosis. Besides, biomarkers related to the choice of therapeutic options are discussed. Some notable recent clinical trials working on targeted therapies are also highlighted. Insights are provided to translate the knowledge into potential biomarkers for detection and diagnosis, prognosis, treatment response, and drug resistance indicators in clinical practice.

Prognostic Significance of Preoperative and Postoperative Evaluation of Combined Tumor Markers for Patients With Colon Cancer

BACKGROUND

The combined value of the tumor markers carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) in patients with colon cancer (CC) is unclear. This study aimed to investigate the role of composite tumor markers in the prognosis of CC.

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative resection of colon adenocarcinoma were enrolled. The tumor marker status before and after the operation was used to divide the patients into groups according to the number of tumor markers with abnormal expression, and recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) of different groups were compared. The impact of changes in composite tumor markers in the perioperative period on outcomes was further explored.

RESULTS

Ultimately, 531 patients were enrolled in the study. As the number of preoperative and postoperative elevated tumor markers increased, both RFS and OS rates became lower (both P <0.05). Further analysis revealed that the number of elevated tumor markers after resection can significantly affect the outcomes (both P <0.05). In patients with abnormal preoperative tumor markers, normalization of markers after surgery was a protective factor for prognosis (both P <0.05), and patients with postoperative elevated levels of both tumor markers had a 5.5-fold and 6-fold increase in the risk of recurrence and death. In addition, patients with elevated markers after surgery had a high risk of recurrence within 5 years after colectomy.

CONCLUSIONS

Postoperative tumor markers had a better ability to differentiate postoperative outcomes in patients with CC than preoperative tumor markers. Patients whose tumor markers normalized after surgery had a better prognosis.

Role of CYFRA 21-1 and CEA as prognostic and predictive markers in locally advanced and metastatic gastric carcinoma

PURPOSE

Tumor-associated serum markers have demonstrated predictive and prognostic value in patients being treated for malignancies. However, the clinical importance of tumor markers in gastric cancers (GC) is poorly standardized.

OBJECTIVES

The objective is to assess the clinical utility of cytokeratin-19 fragment (CYFRA 21-1) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) as serum tumor markers in advanced GC.

METHODS

In this prospective study, CYFRA 21-1 and CEA levels were measured at baseline and after three cycles of chemotherapy in patients with advanced GC. The association of tumor marker levels with prognosis and decline of tumor markers with radiological overall response rates (ORR) and survival were analyzed.

RESULTS

In the 105 patients, the proportion of patients with elevated baseline CYFRA 21-1 and CEA levels was 55% (N = 58) and 37% (N = 39) based on predefined cutoffs. Response assessment was done for 61 patients who received a minimum of three cycles of chemotherapy. A 15% and 13% reduction of serum levels from baseline for CYFRA 21-1 and CEA were selected for defining "CYFRA 21-1 response" and "CEA-response," respectively. Both responses were significant predictors of radiological ORR. The median overall survival (OS) was 9.6 months in the entire cohort and 13 months for patients who received at least three cycles of chemotherapy. In multivariate analysis, baseline CEA levels and ECOG status were significant predictors of OS. In a subset analysis of patients receiving palliative chemotherapy, any of the tumor marker responses predicted improved 1-year OS.

CONCLUSION

In advanced GC, CYFRA 21-1 and CEA decline from baseline appeared to be reliable surrogate markers of chemotherapy efficacy and improved survival.

Prognostic implications of preoperative, postoperative, and dynamic changes of alpha-fetoprotein and des-gamma (γ)-carboxy prothrombin expression pattern for hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatic resection: a multicenter observational study

BACKGROUND

The utility of pre- and post-operative alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and des-gamma (γ)-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) expression patterns and their dynamic changes as predictors of the outcome of hepatic resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has yet to be well elucidated.

METHODS

From a multicenter database, AFP and DCP data during the week prior to surgery and the first post-discharge outpatient visit (within 1-2 months after surgery) were collected from patients with HCC who underwent hepatectomy. AFP-DCP expression patterns were categorized according to the number of positive tumor markers (AFP ≥ 20ng/mL, DCP ≥ 40mAU/mL), including double-negative, single-positive, and double-positive. Changes in the AFP-DCP expression patterns were delineated based on variations in the number of positive tumor markers when comparing pre- and post-operative patterns.

RESULTS

Preoperatively, 53 patients (8.3%), 337 patients (52.8%), and 248 patients (38.9%) exhibited double-negative, single-positive, and double-positive AFP-DCP expression patterns, respectively. Postoperatively, 463 patients (72.6%), 130 patients (20.4%), and 45 patients (7.0%) showed double-negative, single-positive, and double-positive AFP-DCP expression patterns, respectively. Survival analysis showed a progressive decrease in recurrence-free (RFS) and overall survival (OS) as the number of postoperative positive tumor markers increased (both P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that postoperative AFP-DCP expression pattern, but not preoperative AFP-DCP expression pattern, was an independent risk factor for RFS and OS. Further analysis showed that for patients with positive preoperative markers, prognosis gradually improves as positive markers decrease postoperatively. In particular, when all postoperative markers turned negative, the prognosis was consistent with that of preoperative double-negative patients, regardless of the initial number of positive markers.

CONCLUSIONS

AFP-DCP expression patterns, particularly postoperative patterns, serve as vital sources of information for prognostic evaluation following hepatectomy for HCC. Moreover, changes in AFP-DCP expression patterns from pre- to post-operation enable dynamic prognostic risk stratification postoperatively, aiding the development of individualized follow-up strategies.

Impact of Sarcopenia on Survival of Patients With Malignant Salivary Glands Tumors

OBJECTIVE

Malignant salivary glands tumors (MSGTs) are a quite rare and heterogeneous group of tumors. Management of these lesions remains controversial and challenging. Thus, finding new prognostic factors that can help to guide the decision-making process, appears to be paramount. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic performance of preoperative sarcopenia to stratify MSGTs patients at high risk of disease progression.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective study.

SETTING

A single-institution analysis (Maxillo-facial Surgery Unit, University of Naples Federico II).

METHODS

The study consists of a retrospective analysis of 74 patients surgically treated for MSGTs. For all patients, the skeletal muscle index (SMI) was calculated and sarcopenia was defined as SMI < 41 in females and <43 in males. The correlation between sarcopenia and tumor variables was analyzed. The prognostic performance of sarcopenia was evaluated through survival Kaplan-Meier curves.

RESULTS

Sarcopenia resulted statistically related to age (P < .001), tumor size (P < .001), lymph node metastases (P < .001), and American Joint Committee on Cancer tumor, node, metastasis stage (P < .001). Kaplan-Meier survival curves show that 47.3% of sarcopenic patients died before their final follow-up.

CONCLUSION

Data obtained from our study seem to confirm the correlation between sarcopenia and other high-risk features. The early detection of sarcopenia in patients with negative prognostic factors could be used to implement the support therapeutic strategies aimed at restore the clinical conditions of the patients. Sarcopenia may be routinely investigated before surgery to suggest the implementation of precautionary therapeutic strategies to improve the standard treatment response, reducing possible complications.

Chinese expert consensus statement on the clinical application of AFP/AFP-L3%/DCP using GALAD and GALAD-like algorithm in HCC

BACKGROUND

Primary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most prevalent world-wide malignancies. Half of the newly developed HCC occurs in China. Optimizing the strategies for high-risk surveillance and early diagnosis are pivotal for improving 5-year survival. Constructing the scientific non-invasive detection technologies feasible for medical and healthcare institutions is among the key routes for elevating the efficacies of HCC identification and follow-up.

RESULTS

Based on the Chinese and international guidelines, expert consensus statements, literatures and evidence-based clinical practice experiences, this consensus statement puts forward the clinical implications, application subjects, detection techniques and results interpretations of the triple-biomarker (AFP, AFP-L3%, DCP) based GALAD, GALAD like models for liver cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

The compile of this consensus statement aims to address and push the reasonable application of the triple-biomarker (AFP, AFP-L3%, DCP) detections thus to maximize the clinical benefits and help improving the high risk surveillance, early diagnosis and prognosis of HCC.

Validation of combined AFP, AFP-L3, and PIVKA II for diagnosis and monitoring of hepatocellular carcinoma in Chinese patients

Background

In this study, we aimed to investigate the performance of GALAD, GALAD-C, and GAAP models in Chinese population in comparison to our newly build statistical model.

Methods

In this study, we built the AALP model based on age, α-fetoprotein (AFP), AFP-L3, and prothrombin induced by vitamin K absence-II (PIVKA II) to differentiate between patients with HCC and patients with CLD. We then compared the serum levels of AFP-L3 and PIVKA II in patients with HCC who were defined as remission or progression and showed the prognostic value of combined biomarkers.

Results

The AUC value of the AALP model for HCC detection was 0.939 and AALP model exhibited a sensitivity of 81 % and a high specificity of 95 %. AALP model also exhibited good performance in the subgroups of patients with CLD. Furthermore, we demonstrated the consistency between imaging results and serum levels of AFP-L3 and PIVKA II.

Conclusions

The AALP model achieved a good diagnostic performance and a high sensitivity for predicting HCC patients. Our research also showed that AFP-L3 and PIVKA II are complementary to each other but irreplaceable in the clinical detection and monitoring of HCC.

Longitudinal surveillance of three biomarkers to predict recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after radical resection

BACKGROUND

Radical resection is a curative treatment for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but the incidence of recurrence remains high. We aimed to explore the performance of predicting HCC recurrence by longitudinal surveillance of the protein induced by vitamin K absence (PIVKA-II), alpha- fetoprotein (AFP), and lectin-reactive AFP (AFP-L3) during postoperative follow-up.

METHODS

Patients who underwent radical resection for HCC at the Ningbo Medical Centre Lihuili Hospital between January 2015 and December 2020 were included. All enrolled patients regularly monitor PIVKA-II, AFP, AFP-L3 every 3 months during postoperative follow-up. The surveillance performance of PIVKA-II, AFP, AFP-L3 during follow-up for the prediction of HCC recurrence was compared in patients. The generalized estimation equation (GEE) was used to analyze the trends of the tumor biomarkers and interactions with time. Area under the receiver operator characteristic (AUROC) curves, the optimal cut-off value, the sensitivity and specificity were calculated to evaluate the performance of the three biomarkers. The recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) of patients with any of the elevated biomarkers was analyzed by Kaplan-Meier curves and the log-rank test. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to analyze potential risk factors for recurrence.

RESULTS

The GEE analysis indicated that PIVKA-II, AFP, AFP-L3 in the recurrence patients were higher than the no recurrence patients during follow-up, PIVKA-II and AFP showed increasing trends from 6 months before recurrence. In predicting recurrence, the AUROCs for PIVKA-II, AFP, AFP-L3 and their combination were 0.885, 0.754, 0.781 and 0.885 respectively, the optimal cut-off value for PIVKA-II, AFP, AFP-L3 was 29.5 mAU/ml, 10.7 ng/L, 1.5% respectively. The sensitivity in predicting recurrence for PIVKA-II, AFP, AFP-L3 and combination were 75.0, 54.7, 57.8 and 79.7% respectively. The RFS and the OS of patients with any of the biomarkers elevated during the follow-up was significantly shorter than that without elevated biomarkers ( P  < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that any of the biomarkers elevated was the independent risk factor of recurrence.

CONCLUSION

Longitudinal surveillance of PIVKA-II, AFP and AFP-L3 can effectively predict recurrence of HCC after operation.

Prognostic significance of post-preoperative tumor markers increments in patients with non-metastatic gastric cancer

PURPOSE

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) are the most common tumor markers detected before and after gastric cancer (GC) surgery. However, the impact of post-preoperative CEA/CA19-9 increments on prognosis of GC remains unclear. In addition, there is no research incorporating post-preoperative CEA/CA19-9 increments into the prognostic model.

METHODS

Patients who underwent radical gastrectomy for GC at the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University and Anhui Provincial Hospital from January 2013 to December 2017 were enrolled and divided into the discovery and validation cohort. Prognostic value of post-preoperative CEA/CA19-9 increments and preoperative CEA/CA199 levels were assessed by Kaplan-Meier log-rank analysis and compared by time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (t-ROC) curves. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was applied to establish the nomogram. The performance of the prognostic model was validated by the concordance index (C-index), calibration curve, and ROC curve analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 562 GC patients were included in this study. Overall survival (OS) rates decreased with an increasing number of incremental tumor markers after surgery. The t-ROC curves implied that the prognostic ability of the number of incremental post-preoperative tumor markers was superior to that of the number of positive preoperative tumor markers. Cox regression analysis suggested that the number of incremental post-preoperative tumor markers was an independent prognostic factor. The nomogram incorporated with the post-preoperative CEA/CA19-9 increments showed reliable accuracy.

CONCLUSIONS

Incremental post-preoperative CEA/CA19-9 were indicator of poor prognosis of GC. The prognostic value of post-preoperative CEA/CA19-9 increments exceed that of preoperative CEA/CA19-9 levels.

Prognostic Value of Tumor Markers in Gastric Cancer: A Tertiary Cancer Centre Experience

OBJECTIVES

Gastric cancer is a heterogeneous malignancy in terms of stage-wise prognosis. This study aimed at finding any prognostic significance of preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and cancer antigen (CA) 19-9 in resectable gastric cancer.

METHODS

A total of 57 patients at Kidwai Memorial Institute of Oncology, Bengaluru, India from January 2022 to March 2023 were included in this observational prospective study. Included patients had a resectable tumor at clinical staging. Patients were divided into two categories (raised and non-raised) based on serum tumor marker (CEA and CA 19-9) levels. Their relationship with clinicopathological features was studied. The association was studied using chi-square test, and p-value <0.05 was considered significant.

RESULTS

The mean age of the study group was 55.47 years with male predominance (63.2%, n=36). Raised CEA and CA 19-9 were seen in 15.8% (n=9) and 10.5% (n=6) patients, respectively, while both markers were raised in 5.3% (n=3). Raised CEA was found significantly associated with grade 3 adenocarcinoma stomach (OR 7.825, 95%CI: 1.374-44.562; p= 0.020) and intraoperative finding of inoperability due to occult intra-abdominal disease (p<0.05). CA 19-9 (pre- and post-operative levels) had no statistically significant association (p>0.05) with the grade of adenocarcinoma.

CONCLUSION

This study indicates a benefit in estimating CEA for the prediction of prognosis in gastric cancer. CEA levels have been found to predict chances of finding occult intra-abdominal metastasis in gastric cancer.

The Prognostic Impact of ABO Blood Group in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Following Hepatectomy

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

The effect of the ABO blood group on the survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is unclear. The aim of the present study is to determine the prognostic impact of ABO blood types on the survival of a Japanese population of patients with HCC who underwent surgical resection.

METHODS

Patients with HCC (n = 480) who underwent an R0 resection between 2010 and 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Survival outcomes were investigated according to ABO blood type (A, B, O, or AB). Outcomes for type A (n = 173) and non-type A (n = 173) groups after surgery were compared using 1-to-1 propensity score matching to control for variables.

RESULTS

In the study cohort, 173 (36.0%), 133 (27.7%), 131 (27.3%), and 43 (9.0%) of participants had Type A, O, B, and AB, respectively. Type A and non-type A patients were successfully matched based on liver function and tumor characteristics. Recurrence-free survival (RFS; hazard ratio [HR] 0.75, 95% confidence interval [Cl] 0.58-0.98, p = 0.038) and overall survival (OS; HR: 0.67, 95% Cl: 0.48-0.95, p = 0.023) for patients with blood type A were both significantly decreased relative to non-type A patients. Cox proportional hazard analysis demonstrated that patients with HCC who have blood type A had a worse prognosis than those with non-type A blood.

CONCLUSION

ABO blood type may have a prognostic impact on patients with HCC after hepatectomy. Blood type A is an independent unfavorable prognostic factor for recurrence-free and overall survival (RFS and OS) after hepatectomy.

Prognostic model for predicting outcome and guiding treatment decision for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma treated with lenvatinib monotherapy or lenvatinib plus immunotherapy

BACKGROUND

Lenvatinib monotherapy and combination therapy with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) were widely applied for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC). However, many patients failed to benefit from the treatments. A prognostic model was needed to predict the treatment outcomes and guide clinical decisions.

METHODS

304 patients receiving lenvatinib monotherapy or lenvatinib plus ICI for uHCC were retrospectively included. The risk factors derived from the multivariate analysis were used to construct the predictive model. The C-index and area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) were calculated to assess the predictive efficiency.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis revealed that protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) (HR, 2.05; P=0.001) and metastasis (HR, 2.07; P<0.001) were independent risk factors of overall survival (OS) in the training cohort. Herein, we constructed a prognostic model called PIMET score and stratified patients into the PIMET-low group (without metastasis and PIVKA-II<600 mAU/mL), PIMET-int group (with metastasis or PIVKA-II>600 mAU/mL) and PIMET-high group (with metastasis and PIVKA-II>600 mAU/mL). The C-index of PIMET score for the survival prediction was 0.63 and 0.67 in the training and validation cohort, respectively. In the training cohort, the AUC of 12-, 18-, and 24-month OS was 0.661, 0.682, and 0.744, respectively. The prognostic performances of the model were subsequently validated. The AUC of 12-, 18-, and 24-month OS was 0.724, 0.726, and 0.762 in the validation cohort. Subgroup analyses showed consistent predictive value for patients receiving lenvatinib monotherapy and patients receiving lenvatinib plus ICI. The PIMET score could also distinguish patients with different treatment responses. Notably, the combination of lenvatinib and ICI conferred survival benefits to patients with PIMET-int or PIMET-high, instead of patients with PIMET-low.

CONCLUSION

The PIMET score comprising metastasis and PIVKA-II could serve as a helpful prognostic model for uHCC receiving lenvatinib monotherapy or lenvatinib plus ICI. The PIMET score could guide the treatment decision and facilitate precision medicine for uHCC patients.

The Number of Positive Tumor Markers (NPTM) Achieves Higher Value in the Prognosis Prediction of Gastric Cancer

Purpose

The clinical application of combined tumor markers is still limited. We aim to explore the value of the combination of multiple tumor markers in gastric cancer (GC) prognosis.

Methods

The prognostic significance was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier log-rank survival analysis and multivariable Cox regression analysis. The estimated area under the curve (AUC) was compared to evaluate the discriminatory ability of different indicators. A nomogram was constructed based on the results of multivariable cox regression, and its performance was evaluated by Harrell's concordance index and calibration curve.

Results

NPTM (number of positive tumor markers) displayed independent prognostic significance whether in the whole cohort or in patients with different stages. Patients with the all-negative tumor markers had a worse prognosis after postoperative chemotherapy in all cohort (P = 0.023) or in age ≤60 subgroup (P = 0.012), while patients with positive tumor markers had a better prognosis after postoperative chemotherapy in stage III (P = 0.012). The AUC value of NPTM is higher than any individual tumor marker. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year AUC values of the CTNM (combination of NPTM and pTNM) increased by 5%, 4.8%, and 3.6%, respectively, compared with TNM staging system. The nomogram constructed including NPTM showed its high accuracy (C - index = 0.706) versus TNM staging system (C - index = 0.646) and CTNM (C - index = 0.681).

Conclusions

NPTM was an independent predictor of gastric cancer prognosis, showing more accurate prognostic performance than individual tumor markers. Especially its significance in guiding postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy regimens and predicting prognosis by combination with TNM staging system may have a better clinical application value.

Modified Albumin-Bilirubin Grade and Alpha-Fetoprotein Score (mALF Score) for Predicting the Prognosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Hepatectomy

We developed and evaluated a modified albumin-bilirubin grade and α-fetoprotein (mALF) score, a nutritional and oncological assessment tool for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after surgical resection. Patients (n = 480) who underwent R0 resection between 2010 and 2020 were analyzed retrospectively. The mALF score assigned one point for a modified albumin-bilirubin (mALBI) grade 2b or 3 and one point for an α-fetoprotein (AFP) level ≥ 100 ng/mL. Patients were classified by mALF scores of 0 (mALBI grade 1/2a, AFP < 100 ng/mL), 1 (mALBI grade 2b/3 or AFP ≥ 100 ng/mL), or 2 (mALBI grade 2b/3, AFP ≥ 100 ng/mL) points. Liver reserve deteriorated and cancer progressed with increasing score. Postoperative complications (Clavien−Dindo classification ≥ 3) differed significantly among groups. The 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates were 34.8%, 11.2%, and 0.0% for 0, 1, and 2 points, respectively (1 or 2 versus 0 points, p < 0.001). The 5-year overall survival (OS) rates were 66.0%, 29.7%, and 17.8% for 0, 1, and 2 points, respectively (1 or 2 versus 0 points, p < 0.001). The mALF score was an independent prognostic predictor of RFS and OS. In HCC, the mALF score was effective for predicting postoperative complications and long-term survival.

Construction and Validation of Convenient Clinicopathologic Signatures for Predicting the Prognosis of Stage I-III Gastric Cancer

Background

Patients with stage I-III gastric cancer (GC) undergoing R0 radical resection display extremely different prognoses. How to discriminate high-risk patients with poor survival conveniently is a clinical conundrum to be solved urgently.

Methods

Patients with stage I-III GC from 2010 to 2016 were included in our study. The associations of clinicopathological features with disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were examined via Cox proportional hazard model. Nomograms were developed which systematically integrated prognosis-related features. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis was performed to compare DFS and OS among groups. The results were then externally validated by The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University.

Results

A total of 585 and 410 patients were included in the discovery cohort and the validation cohort, respectively. T stage, N stage, lymphatic/vascular/nerve infiltration, preoperative CEA, and CA19-9 were independent prognostic factors (P < 0.05). Two prognostic signatures with a concordance index (C-index) of 0.7502 for DFS and 0.7341 for OS were developed based on the nomograms. The 3-year and 5-year calibration curves showed a perfect correlation between predicted and observed outcomes. Patients were divided into three risk groups (low, intermediate, high), and distinct differences were noticed (p < 0.001). Similar results were achieved in the validation cohort. Notably, a free website was constructed based on our signatures to predict the recurrence risk and survival time of patients with stage I-III GC.

Conclusions

The signatures demonstrate the powerful ability to conveniently identify distinct subpopulations, which may provide significant suggestions for individual follow-up and adjuvant therapy.

Validation of the GALAD model for early diagnosis and monitoring of hepatocellular carcinoma in Chinese multicenter study

BACKGROUND

GALAD is an algorithm model estimating the presence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the participants enrolled in the GALAD differ from those of Chinese subjects whose HCCs are mainly hepatitis B virus infection related. Therefore, the cross-sectional as well as longitudinal multicenter study was designed to assess the clinical performances of GALAD in the Chinese population.

METHODS

A case-control study of 602 patients with HCC (34.10% within Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer 0-A stage) and 923 subjects without HCC from five Chinese medical centres was conducted. Longitudinally the performances of GALAD identifying HCC were assessed using receiver operating characteristic curves analyses. Furthermore, the surveillance performance of GALAD for 204 HCC patients after radical surgery and for the early detection of HCC prospectively in an independent cohort of chronic hepatitis B were analysed, respectively.

RESULTS

We found the GALAD identified early stage HCC at an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) above 0.85 and outperformed significantly than AFP, PIVKAII, AFP-L3 and BALAD-2 respectively. Meanwhile the GALAD could stratify HCC into two distinct subgroups with high or low risks of overall survival and recurrence. The GALAD could detection HCC 24 (AUC: 0.848) or even 48 (AUC: 0.833) weeks before clinical diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study indicates that the GALAD exhibits outstanding performance in the early diagnosis, prognosis prediction as well as risk monitoring of HCC in our cross-sectional and longitudinal multicenter study of 1561 patients. GALAD should be implanted into clinical practice early so as to improve the clinical efficacy of individual biomarkers in HCC early monitoring and prognosis prediction.

Associations of Serum Tumor Biomarkers with Integrated Genomic and Clinical Characteristics of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Serum α-fetoprotein (AFP), Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive AFP (AFP-L3), and des-γ-carboxy-pro-thrombin (DCP) are useful biomarkers of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, associations among molecular characteristics and serum biomarkers are unclear. We analyzed RNA expression and DNA variant data from The Cancer Genome Atlas Liver Hepatocellular Carcinoma (TCGA-LIHC) to examine their associations with serum biomarker levels and clinical data.

METHODS

From 371 TCGA-LIHC patients, we selected 91 seen at 3 institutions in Korea and the USA and measured AFP, AFP-L3, and DCP from preoperatively obtained serum. We conducted an integrative clinical and molecular analysis, focusing on biomarkers, and validated the findings with the remaining 280 patients in the TCGA-LIHC cohort.

RESULTS

Patients were categorized into 4 subgroups: elevated AFP or AFP-L3 alone (↑AFP&L3), elevated DCP alone (↑DCP), elevation of all 3 biomarkers (elevated levels of all 3 biomarkers [↑All]), and reference range values for all biomarkers (RR). CTNNB1 variants were frequently observed in ↑DCP patients (53.8%) and RR patients (38.5%), but ↑DCP patients with a CTNNB1 variant had worse survival than RR patients. TP53 sequence variants were associated with ↑AFP (30.8%) and ↑DCP (30.8%). The Wnt-β-catenin signaling pathway was activated in the ↑AFP&L3, whereas liver-related Wnt signaling was activated in the RR. TGF-β and VEGF signaling were activated in ↑AFP&L3, whereas dysregulated bile acid and fatty acid metabolism were dominant in ↑DCP. We validated these findings by showing similar results between the test cohort and the remainder of the TCGA-LIHC cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum AFP, AFP-L3, and DCP levels can help predict variants in the genetic profile of HCC, especially for TP53 and CTNNB1. These findings may facilitate development of an evidence-based approach to treatment.

Prognostic Value of Combination of Inflammatory and Tumor Markers in Resectable Gastric Cancer

BACKGROUND

Inflammatory response and tumor marker levels have been shown to correlate with the prognosis in several human tumors. However, only a few studies on these markers have been performed in gastric cancer (GC) patients; the clinical significance of the combined markers is unclear. We aimed to evaluate the role of the combination of preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) for predicting the prognosis of patients with GC.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 458 patients who underwent gastrectomy with curative intent between January 2013 and July 2014 in the second hospital of Lanzhou University. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was performed to determine the cut-off values for biomarkers, and their prognostic values were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier curve. The combined score indicators were established based on the optimal cut-off values, which range from 0 to 2. Prognostic significances for overall survival (OS) were assessed by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. Nomogram was used as a visual supplement for the prognostic score system, and the predictive accuracy and discriminative ability were determined by the concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve.

RESULTS

The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS were 66.2% (n = 303), 42.8% (n = 196), and 40.2% (n = 184) in all 458 patients, respectively. The high NLR (≥1.96), PLR (≥126), CA19-9 (≥27 U/mL), and CEA (≥ 5 ng/mL) were associated with poor prognosis of GC patients. The NLR + CA19-9 score indicator proved to be related to tumor size, lymph node metastasis, vascular invasion, perineural invasion, T stage, N stage, TNM stage, PLR, and CEA in patients with GC and an independent prognostic factor for prediction of 5-year OS (score 1: HR = 1.423, 95%CI: 1.049-1.929, P = 0.023; score 2: HR = 2.740, 95%CI: 1.882-3.990, P < 0.001). NLR + CA19-9 has a better predictive ability than other combined or single score indicators based on inflammation and tumor markers (AUC = 0.662, 95%CI: 0.616-0.705, P < 0.001). Moreover, a nomogram was established by the significant characteristics in the multivariate analysis for OS, which represented high accuracy (C-index = 0.692, 95%CI: 0.675-0.708).

CONCLUSION

NLR + CA19-9 can independently predict the overall survival of patients with gastric cancer after surgery. The prognostic nomogram based on NLR + CA19-9 is a convenient, economical, and effective prognostic system for clinical practice.

Prognostic significance of carcinoembryonic antigen combined with carbohydrate antigen 19-9 following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer

AIM

The clinical significance of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) combined with carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) in patients with rectal cancer is not well established. The aim of this study was to determine the prognostic value of these combined tumour markers in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT).

METHOD

A total of 687 consecutive patients with LARC who underwent nCRT and radical surgery were analysed. Tumour characteristics, recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were compared according to the number of elevated tumour markers measured before and after nCRT. In addition, the prognostic significance of perioperative changes in the combined tumour markers was further evaluated.

RESULT

The RFS and OS rates decreased in a stepwise manner in association with the number of elevated pre- and post-nCRT tumour markers (all p < 0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that only the number of elevated post-nCRT tumour markers was an independent prognostic factor (both p < 0.05). For 311 patients with elevated pre-nCRT tumour markers, normalization of the tumour markers after nCRT was an independent prognostic protective factor (both p < 0.05), and patients with both markers elevated post-nCRT had a 2.5- and 3.7-fold increased risk of recurrence and death, respectively (p < 0.05). Furthermore, normalization of post-nCRT tumour markers after surgery was also closely related to an improved prognosis.

CONCLUSION

This combination of post-nCRT tumour markers can accurately predict the long-term survival of patients with LARC treated with nCRT and curative resection, and normalization of the combined tumour markers after either nCRT or surgery was associated with better survival.

Association of Postoperative Biomarker Response with Recurrence and Survival in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma and High Alpha-Fetoprotein Expressions (>400 ng/ml)

Background

High alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) expressions (>400 ng/mL) are associated with poor oncological characteristics for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, prognosis after liver resection for high-AFP HCC is poorly studied. To investigate long-term recurrence and survival after hepatectomy for high-AFP HCC, and to identify the predictive value of postoperative incomplete biomarker response (IBR) on overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS).

Methods

Patients undergoing curative resection for high-AFP HCC were analyzed. According to the decline magnitude of serum AFP as measured at first follow-up (4~6 weeks after surgery), all patients were divided into the complete biomarker response (CBR) and IBR groups. Characteristics, recurrence, and survival rates were compared. Univariate and Multivariate Cox-regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors associated with poorer OS and RFS after liver resection for high-AFP HCC.

Results

Among 549 patients, the overall and early recurrence rates in patients with IBR were significantly higher than patients with CBR (97.8%vs.56.4%, and 92.5%vs.33.3%, both P<0.001). On multivariate analysis, postoperative IBR was the strongest risk factor with the highest hazard ratio in predicting poor OS (HR 2.97; 95% CI 2.49~3.45; P<0.001) and RFS (HR 4.29; 95% CI 3.31~5.55; P<0.001).

Conclusion

Postoperative biomarker response of serum AFP can be used in predicting recurrence and survival for high-AFP HCC patients. Once postoperative IBR was identified at first follow-up, subsequent enhanced recurrence surveillance and available treatments against recurrence should actively be considered.

Nomograms based on clinicopathological factors and inflammatory indicators for prediction of early and late recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after surgical resection for patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND

Few studies have focused on the prognostic values of inflammation-related factors for different phases of recurrence in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to identify the different risk factors for overall, early, and late recurrence, and to establish nomograms based on inflammation-related parameters for predicting the risks of recurrence in a group of HCC patients undergoing hepatectomy.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 383 HCC patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) who underwent hepatectomy. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were conducted to identify independent risk factors for recurrence. Nomograms for overall, early, and late recurrence-free survival (RFS) were established. The discrimination and calibration abilities of the nomograms were evaluated by concordance indexes (C-index), calibration plots, and Kaplan-Meier curves. Finally, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to compare the derived nomograms with other existing models.

RESULTS

Fibrinogen, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, and S-index inflammation-related factors were independently related to overall and early RFS, but only the S-index correlated with late recurrence. Nomograms with tumor number, diameter, and pathological differentiation for overall and early RFS were established, while nomogram for late recurrence was constructed with tumor number and Child-Pugh grade. The C-indexes for overall, early, and late RFS were 0.679, 0.677, and 0.728, respectively. The calibration plots fit well. The nomograms showed superior discrimination capacities and better performance prediction with larger areas under the curve for recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

The developed nomograms that integrated inflammation-related factors showed high predictive accuracy for overall, early, and late recurrence in HCC patients with CHB after hepatectomy.

Biological response under treatment and prognostic value of protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II in a French cohort of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

We have confirmed the diagnostic value of protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) in a French cohort of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Herein, we aim to study the biological response under treatment and the prognostic value of PIVKA-II serum level in patients treated for HCC.

METHODS

Patients with primary HCC developed chronic liver disease with serum PIVKA-II, and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels available at baseline and after first HCC treatment [within 3 months (M1-M3) and/or within 6-9 months (M6-M9)] were included.

RESULTS

A total of 94 patients were included. Median follow-up was 23 months (range 11-31 months). PIVKA-II levels significantly decreased from baseline to M1-M3 (P = 0.002) and to M6-M9 (P = 0.035). By multivariate analysis, biological response (M1-M3/baseline PIVKA-II ratio) independently and significantly predicted overall survival (OS). A ratio below 0.73 was able to identify patients with the better prognosis in the total population [OS: 27 months (range 17-31) vs. 17 (range 9-25); P = 0.008] and in patients who had transarterial chemoembolization or selective internal radiation therapy as first treatment approach [OS: 26 months (range 14-31) vs. 16 (range 9-25); P = 0.002 and 2-year OS of 73% vs. 30%; P = 0.009]. PIVKA-II serum levels at baseline and PIVKA-II biological response were significantly associated with radiological response.

CONCLUSION

PIVKA-II serum level seems to be a good prognostic and promising biomarker for early monitoring treatment outcomes for patients with HCC.

Prognostic significance of pre- and post-operative tumour markers for patients with gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

In clinical practice, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 are the most common markers measured before and after surgery for gastric cancer (GC). However, which pre- or post-operative combined tumour markers (CEA and CA19-9) have more prognostic value remains unclear.

METHODS

Consecutive patients undergoing a resection for GC at the Fujian Medical University Union Hospital were included as a discovery database between January 2011 and December 2014. The prognostic impact of pre- and post-operative tumour markers was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier log-rank survival analysis and multivariable Cox regression analysis. The results were then externally validated.

RESULTS

A total of 735 and 400 patients were identified in the discovery cohort and in the validation cohort, respectively. Overall survival rates decreased in a stepwise manner in association with the number of pre- and post-operative positive tumour markers (both P < 0.001). Multivariable analysis revealed that the number of pre-operative positive tumour markers was an independent prognostic factor (P < 0.05). For patients with abnormal pre-operative tumour markers, normalisation of tumour markers after surgery is an independent prognostic protective factor (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.618; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.414-0.921), and patients with both positive post-operative tumour markers had double the risk of overall death (HR = 2.338; 95% CI = 1.071-5.101). Similar results were observed in the internal validation and external validation cohorts.

CONCLUSION

Pre-operative tumour markers have a better discriminatory ability for post-operative survival in GC patients than post-operative tumour markers, and the normalisation of tumour markers after surgery was associated with better survival.

Dynamic Changes in Serum Markers and Their Utility in the Early Diagnosis of All Stages of Hepatitis B-Associated Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Objective

This study aimed to evaluate the individual and combined diagnostic values of serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), des-gamma-carboxyprothrombin (DCP), glypican-3 (GPC3) and golgi protein 73 (GP73) in diagnosing hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

Participants from Beijing YouAn Hospital were enrolled and divided into seven groups. Serum was collected and the levels of AFP, GPC3, GP73 and DCP were simultaneously measured with a protein array. Pearson's χ² test was applied to compare the clinicopathological characteristics. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to analyse the diagnostic performance of the four markers.

Results

As a single biomarker for differentiating HCC from all controls, AFP had a larger area under the curve (AUC) (0.798, 95% CI (0.754-0.838) than the other biomarkers, with a sensitivity of 77.3% and a specificity of 71.1%. Among the other combinations, AFP plus GPC3 and DCP (0.871, 95% CI (0.833-0.903)) was the best at differentiating HCC from all controls. In discriminating very early stage and early stage HCC from all controls, the AUC of GPC3 (0.744, 95% CI (0.690-0.793); sensitivity 62.8%; specificity 83.3%) was better than that of AFP (0.723, 95% CI (0.668-0.774); sensitivity 67.3%; specificity 71.7%). Among all biomarker combinations, the combination of AFP, GPC3 and GP73 had the largest AUC (0.843, 95% CI (0.796-0.883); sensitivity 84.1%; specificity 71.7%). AFP (AUC 0.726, 95% CI (0.662-0.784)) showed the best performance in the very early diagnosis of HBV-related HCC.

Conclusion

As a single biomarker, AFP has an advantage in the very early and early diagnosis of HBV-related HCC. The combination of AFP, GPC3 and GP73 is the most suitable marker for the early diagnosis of HBV-related HCC. However, AFP remains the best biomarker for the very early diagnosis of HBV-related HCC, and the adding of one or more markers does not significantly improve the diagnostic accuracy.

Diverse perspectives to address for the future treatment of heterogeneous hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs), which often arise from chronic liver damage, have poor conditional 5-year survival and are recognized as heterogeneous tumors. Considering the heterogeneity of HCCs, diverse perspectives need to be addressed for treating such tumors, besides the findings of conventional imaging modalities and tumor markers. Data from the latest technologies, such as liquid biopsy, and the detection of the presence of cancer cells with stem/progenitor cell markers, gene mutations and diverse pathways, crosstalk with immune cells and cancer-associated fibroblasts, and mechanisms of epithelial–mesenchymal transition provide diverse lines of information. Integration of these data with clinical data might be necessary to develop effective therapies for precision medicine. Here, we review several aspects of dealing with the complexity of heterogeneous HCCs.

Microvascular invasion predicts a poor prognosis of solitary hepatocellular carcinoma up to 2 cm based on propensity score matching analysis

AIM

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is not discussed for solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) up to 2 cm in the 8th Edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer Staging Manual. The present study aimed to reappraise the influence of MVI on solitary HCC up to 2 cm in diameter.

METHODS

Between January 2010 and December 2012, a retrospective cohort of 496 HCC patients from the Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital was analyzed. Propensity score matching was carried out to balance the baseline characteristics. Survival analysis was carried out using the Kaplan-Meier method. Risk factors were evaluated using the Cox proportional hazards model. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify the risk factors associated with MVI.

RESULTS

All patients were classified into either an MVI-negative group (n = 332) or an MVI-positive group (n = 164). The MVI-positive group had poorer recurrence-free survival and overall survival before and after propensity score matching. The multivariate analysis showed that MVI; being male; increased total bilirubin levels, alanine transaminase levels and γ-glutamyl transpeptidase levels; decreased albumin levels; and HBV DNA load >10³  IU/mL were risk factors for recurrence-free survival. MVI, older age, lower albumin levels, and cirrhosis were risk factors for overall survival. Age <50 years, alpha-fetoprotein >20 ng/mL, and lack of or an incomplete capsule were significantly independent predictors for MVI.

CONCLUSIONS

MVI had a negative impact on the prognosis of solitary HCC up to 2 cm after curative hepatectomy. The 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system could be improved by subdividing solitary HCC up to 2 cm according to MVI.

Oroxylin A activates PKM1/HNF4 alpha to induce hepatoma differentiation and block cancer progression

Liver cancer is the second cause of death from cancer worldwide, without effective treatment. Traditional chemotherapy for liver cancer has big side effects for patients, whereas targeted drugs, such as sorafenib, commonly have drug resistance. Oroxylin A (OA) is the main bioactive flavonoids of Scutellariae radix, which has strong anti-hepatoma effect but low toxicity to normal tissue. To date, no differentiation-inducing agents have been reported to exert a curative effect on solid tumors. Here our results demonstrated that OA restrained the proliferation and induced differentiation of hepatoma both in vitro and in vivo, via inducing a high PKM1 (pyruvate kinase M1)/PKM2 (pyruvate kinase M2) ratio. In addition, inhibited expression of polypyrimidine tract-binding protein by OA was in charge of the decrease of PKM2 and increase of PKM1. Further studies demonstrated that increased PKM1 translocated into the nucleus and bound with HNF-4α (hepatocyte nuclear factor 4 alpha) directly, promoting the transcription of HNF-4α-targeted genes. This work suggested that OA increased PKM1/PKM2 ratio, resulting in HNF-4α activation and hepatoma differentiation. Especially, OA showed reliable anticancer effect on both human primary hepatocellular carcinoma cells and patient-derived tumor xenograft model for hepatoma, and slowed down the development of primary hepatoma, suggesting that OA could be developed into a novel differentiation inducer agent for hepatoma.

Early Detection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Recurrence Using the Highly Sensitive Fucosylated Fraction of Alpha-Fetoprotein

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP)-L3 was originally reported as a hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)-specific tumor marker, and recent accumulation of evidence has revealed that AFP-L3 frequency predicts the biological malignancy potential of HCC. However, AFP-L3 elevation from undetectable levels after curative treatment could not be discussed due to the difficulties of calculating AFP-L3 concentrations when serum AFP levels were low. Here, as a novel method, we used highly sensitive AFP-L3 frequency to predict HCC recurrence after curative treatment. Our cases illustrate that recognizing elevation of AFP-L3 from undetectable levels led to the early detection of recurrent HCC due to more careful surveillance.

Nuclear magnetic resonance metabolomics and human liver diseases: The principles and evidence associated with protein and carbohydrate metabolism

During the last decade, metabolomics has become widely used in the field of human diseases. Numerous studies have demonstrated that this is a powerful technique for improving the understanding, diagnosis and management of various types of liver disease, such as acute and chronic liver diseases, and liver transplantation. Nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy is one of the two most commonly applied methods for metabolomics. The aim of the present review was to investigate the results from recent key publications focusing on aspects of protein and carbohydrate metabolism. The review includes existing procedures, which are currently used for NMR data acquisition and statistical analysis. In addition, notable results obtained by these studies on protein and carbohydrate metabolism concerning human liver diseases are presented.

Ongoing challenges in the diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma

In 2001, the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) endorsed the possibility of achieving a non-invasive diagnosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) for the first time. Since then, various refinements of the criteria and techniques capable of achieving this diagnosis and the role of plasma and tissue oncomarkers have been reported in the literature and have been accepted to different extents in various geographical areas. Such tools can also potentially imply prognostic significance. The present article critically discusses some of the most relevant and debated challenges which have emerged in this field, including the role of contrast-enhanced ultrasound, and of hepatocyte-specific magnetic resonance contrast agents, the pitfall of transient hepatic attenuation differences, the reliability of biopsy and the status of biomarkers.

Clinical application of protein induced by vitamin K antagonist-II as a biomarker in hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third leading cause of cancer deaths worldwide. Early diagnosis improves the prognosis. Protein induced by vitamin K antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) is an effective serum biomarker for HCC diagnosis and prognosis. Combined with another serum biomarker α-fetoprotein (AFP), the sensitivity and specificity of HCC diagnosis can be improved to a maximum of 94 and 98.5 %, respectively. PIVKA-II alone or in combination with AFP and/or AFP-L3 was effective in predicting the treatment response and clinical outcome of curative hepatic resection, chemotherapy, targeted therapy, radiotherapy, and liver transplantation. Japanese clinical guidelines recommend the combined use of PIVKA-II and AFP for the diagnosis of HCC, management of high-risk population, and prognosis of anticancer treatment. Further, PIVKA-II as a functional target promoted HCC cell proliferation, invasion, and metastasis by activating c-Met and other signal transduction pathways. Inhibition of PIVKA-II may provide a selective and effective therapy for HCC.

Predictive value of tumor markers in patients with recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma in different vascular invasion pattern

BACKGROUND

Four tumor markers for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), glypican-3 (GPC3), vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP), are closely associated with tumor invasion and patient's survival. This study estimated the predictability of preoperative tumor marker levels along with pathological parameters on HCC recurrence after hepatectomy.

METHODS

A total of 140 patients with HCC who underwent hepatectomy between January 2012 and August 2012 were enrolled. The demographics, clinical and follow-up data were collected and analyzed. The patients were divided into two groups: patients with macroscopic vascular invasion (MaVI+) and those without MaVI (MaVI-). The predictive value of tumor markers and clinical parameters were evaluated by univariate and multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

In all patients, tumor size (>8 cm) and MaVI were closely related to HCC recurrence after hepatectomy. For MaVI+ patients, VEGF (>900 pg/mL) was a significant predictor for recurrence (RR=2.421; 95% CI: 1.272-4.606; P=0.007). The 1- and 2-year tumor-free survival rates for MaVI+ patients with VEGF ≤900 pg/mL versus for those with VEGF >900 pg/mL were 51.5% and 17.6% versus 19.0% and 4.8% (P<0.001). For MaVI- patients, DCP >445 mAu/mL and tumor size >8 cm were two independent risk factors for tumor recurrence (RR=2.307, 95% CI: 1.132-4.703, P=0.021; RR=3.150, 95% CI: 1.392-7.127, P=0.006; respectively). The 1- and 2-year tumor-free survival rates for the patients with DCP ≤445 mAu/mL and those with DCP >445 mAu/mL were 90.4% and 70.7% versus 73.2% and 50.5% respectively (P=0.048). The 1- and 2-year tumor-free survival rates for the patients with tumor size ≤8 cm and >8 cm were 83.2% and 62.1% versus 50.0% and 30.0%, respectively (P=0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

The MaVI+ patients with VEGF ≤900 pg/mL had a relatively high tumor-free survival than those with VEGF >900 pg/mL. In the MaVI- patients, DCP >445 mAu/mL and tumor size >8 cm were predictive factors for postoperative recurrence.

Peri-Transplant Change in AFP Level: a Useful Predictor of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Recurrence Following Liver Transplantation

Pretransplant alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is a useful tumor marker predicting recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Little is known, however, about the relationship between changes in AFP concentration and prognosis. This study investigated the clinical significance of change in peri-transplant AFP level as a predictor of HCC recurrence. Data from 125 HCC patients with elevated pretransplant AFP level who underwent liver transplantation (LT) between February 2000 and December 2010 were retrospectively reviewed. Patients with AFP normalization within 1 month after LT were classified into the rapid normalization group (n = 97), with all other patients classified into the non-rapid normalization group (n = 28). Tumor recurrence was observed in 17 of the 97 patients (17.5%) with rapid normalization; of these, 11 patients had high AFP levels and six had normal levels at recurrence. In contrast, tumor recurrence was observed in 24 of the 28 patients (85.7%) without rapid normalization, with all 24 having high AFP levels at recurrence. Multivariate analysis showed that non-rapid normalization (harzard ratio [HR], 4.41, P < 0.001), sex (HR, 3.26, P = 0.03), tumor size (HR, 1.15, P = 0.001), and microvascular invasion (HR, 2.65, P = 0.005) were independent risk factors for recurrence. In conclusion, rapid normalization of post-LT AFP level at 1 month is a useful clinical marker for HCC recurrence. Therefore, an adjuvant strategy and/or intensive screening are needed for patients who do not show rapid normalization.

Serum WFA+ -M2BP levels as a prognostic factor in patients with early hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing curative resection

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Serum tumour markers for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have less prognostic significance in early stage. Serum Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive Mac-2-binding protein (WFA(+) -M2BP) levels are reportedly associated with hepatocarcinogenic potential in patients with chronic liver diseases. We investigated the prognostic significance of pretreatment serum WFA(+) -M2BP levels in patients with early-stage HCC.

METHODS

A total of 240 patients who underwent hepatic resection for naïve Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) class 0 or A HCC were analysed. WFA(+) -M2BP and tumour markers for HCC were measured from serum obtained just prior to treatment. Post-operative recurrence and survival rates were compared according to these serum markers, tumour stage and Child-Pugh class.

RESULTS

There was an association between serum WFA(+) -M2BP levels and the fibrosis grade of resected noncancerous liver tissue, whereas no association was found between WFA(+) -M2BP levels and tumour progression or liver function. In a multivariate analysis, pretreatment serum WFA(+) -M2BP level was associated with recurrence and survival, respectively, independent of HCC progression or fibrosis grade of resected noncancerous liver tissue. Recurrence rates after hepatic resection were significantly higher in patients with a pretreatment serum WFA(+) -M2BP ≥ 3.00 than those with a pretreatment serum WFA(+) -M2BP < 3.00 (P = 0.0038). Survival rates were lower in patients with a pretreatment serum WFA(+) -M2BP ≥ 3.00 than those with a pretreatment serum WFA(+) -M2BP < 3.00 (P = 0.0187).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum WFA(+) -M2BP level is a prognostic factor for recurrence and survival, in addition to tumour progression and liver function, in patients with early-stage HCC treated with curative hepatic resection.

A new therapeutic assessment score for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma patients receiving hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy

Background & Aims

Hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) is an option for treating advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Because of the poor prognosis in HAIC non-responders, it is important to identify patients who may benefit from continuous HAIC treatment; however, there are currently no therapeutic assessment scores for this identification. Therefore, we aimed to establish a new therapeutic assessment score for such patients.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed 90 advanced HCC patients with elevated baseline alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and/or des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) levels and analyzed various parameters for their possible use as predictors of response and survival. AFP and DCP responses were assessed after half a course of HAIC (2 weeks); a positive-response was defined as a reduction of ≥ 20% from baseline.

Results

Multivariate analysis identified DCP response (odds ratio 16.03, p < 0.001) as an independent predictor of treatment response. In multivariate analysis, Child-Pugh class A (hazard ratio [HR] 1.99, p = 0.018), AFP response (HR 2.17, p = 0.007), and DCP response (HR 1.90, p = 0.030) were independent prognostic predictors. We developed an Assessment for Continuous Treatment with HAIC (ACTH) score, including the above 3 factors, which ranged from 0 to 3. Patients stratified into two groups according to this score showed significantly different prognoses (≤1 vs. ≥2 points: median survival time, 15.1 vs. 8.7 months; p = 0.003).

Conclusions

The ACTH score may be useful in the therapeutic assessment of HCC patients receiving HAIC.

Prognostic roles of preoperative α-fetoprotein and des-γ-carboxy prothrombin in hepatocellular carcinoma patients

AIM

To clarify the utility of using des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) and α-fetoprotein (AFP) levels to predict the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV) and the hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections.

METHODS

A total of 205 patients with HCC (105 patients with HBV infection 100 patients with HCV infection) who underwent primary hepatectomy between January 2004 and May 2012 were enrolled retrospectively. Preoperative AFP and DCP levels were used to create interactive dot diagrams to predict recurrence within 2 years after hepatectomy, and cutoff levels were calculated. Patients in the HBV and HCV groups were classified into three groups: a group with low AFP and DCP levels (LL group), a group in which one of the two parameters was high and the other was low (HL group), and a group with high AFP and DCP levels (HH group). Liver function parameters, the postoperative recurrence-free survival rate, and postoperative overall survival were compared between groups. The survival curves were compared by log-rank test using the Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariate analysis using a Cox forward stepwise logistic regression model was conducted for a prognosis.

RESULTS

The preoperative AFP cutoff levels for recurrence within 2 years after hepatectomy in the HBV and HCV groups were 529.8 ng/mL and 60 mAU/mL, respectively; for preoperative DCP levels, the cutoff levels were 21.0 ng/mL in the HBV group and 67 mAU/mL in the HCV group. The HBV group was significantly different from the other groups in terms of vascular invasion, major hepatectomy, volume of intraoperative blood loss, and surgical duration. Significant differences were found between the LL group, the HL group, and the HH group in terms of both mean disease-free survival time (MDFST) and mean overall survival time (MOST): 64.81 ± 7.47 vs 36.63 ± 7.62 vs 18.98 ± 6.17 mo (P = 0.001) and 85.30 ± 6.55 vs 59.44 ± 7.87 vs 46.57 ± 11.20 mo (P = 0.018). In contrast, the HCV group exhibited a significant difference in tumor size, vascular invasion, volume of intraoperative blood loss, and surgical duration; however, no significant difference was observed between the three groups in liver function parameters except for albumin levels. In the LL group, the HL group, and the HH group, the MDFST was 50.09 ± 5.90, 31.01 ± 7.21, and 14.81 ± 3.08 mo (log-rank test, P < 0.001), respectively, and the MOST was 79.45 ± 8.30, 58.82 ± 7.56, and 32.87 ± 6.31 mo (log-rank test, P < 0.001), respectively.

CONCLUSION

In the HBV group, the prognosis was poor when either AFP or DCP levels were high. In the HCV group, the prognosis was good when either or both levels were low; however, the prognosis was poor when both levels were high. High levels of both AFP and DCP were an independent risk factor associated with tumor recurrence in the HBV and HCV groups. The relationship between tumor marker levels and prognosis was characteristic to the type of viral hepatitis.

Tumor Markers for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Simple and Significant Predictors of Outcome in Patients with HCC

BACKGROUND

The effectiveness of tumor markers in evaluating outcomes of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains to be clarified.

SUMMARY

The usefulness of the HCC tumor markers, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP-L3), and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) was reviewed. Elevations in these tumor markers at the time of HCC diagnosis correlate with disease progression as assessed by both imaging studies and pathologic examinations. The combination of these three tumor markers results in good predictive ability for patient survival after diagnosis. In addition, combination at the time of HCC diagnosis of these three tumor markers (as a measure of tumor progression) and serum albumin and bilirubin levels (as indicators of remnant liver function) can be used for HCC staging and further predicts prognosis in patients with HCC.

KEY MESSAGE

The prognosis of patients with HCC can be well discriminated based solely on serum markers. Staging of HCC with serum markers is objective; if stored serum samples are available, HCC stages can be standardized across different countries and time periods.

Increase of fucosylated alpha-fetoprotein fraction at the onset of autoimmune hepatitis and acute liver failure

AIM

Increased serum α-fetoprotein (AFP) has been associated with a good prognosis following acute liver failure (ALF), but the levels of the fucosylated fraction of AFP (Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of AFP [AFP-L3]) following acute liver injury remain unknown. The aim of the present study was to investigate the clinical significance of AFP and AFP-L3 in patients with acute liver injury.

METHODS

We investigated the serum levels of AFP and highly sensitive AFP-L3% in 27 patients with acute-onset autoimmune hepatitis (AIH), 28 patients with acute hepatitis (AH) and 22 patients with ALF at the onset using a highly sensitive immunoassay (micro-total analysis system).

RESULTS

The serum AFP levels were increased in patients with AIH, AH and ALF, but the levels did not significantly differ among them. However, the mean AFP-L3% level was significantly higher in patients with AIH than in patients with AH (P = 0.0039). Moreover, significantly more patients with AIH demonstrated AFP-L3 positivity (≥10%) when compared with patients with AH (P = 0.014). Although the percentage of AFP-L3 positivity increased with AFP levels, at low serum AFP levels (<10 ng/mL), significantly more patients with AIH demonstrated AFP-L3 positivity than did patients with AH (P = 0.024) or ALF (P = 0.038).

CONCLUSION

We demonstrated for the first time that highly sensitive AFP-L3% levels were increased at the onset of AIH. The mechanism underlying the increase in AFP-L3 remains to be elucidated, but this finding may reflect an alteration of the glycosylation such as hyperfucosylation, which can influence the modifications of self-antigens in hepatocytes.

Comparison of LUMIPULSE(®) G1200 With Kryptor and Modular E170 for the Measurement of Seven Tumor Markers

BACKGROUND

Tumor marker measurements are becoming essential for prognosis and follow-up of patients in oncology. In this context, we aimed to compare a new analyzer, Lumipulse(®) G1200 (Fujirebio group, distributed in Europe by the Innogenetics group) with Kryptor(®) (Thermo Fisher Scientific B.R.A.H.M.S, Asnières, France) and Modular(®) Elecsys E170 (Roche Diagnostics, Meylan, France) for the measurement of seven tumor markers: PSA, AFP, CEA, CA 15-3, CA 125, CA 19-9, and Cyfra 21-1.

METHODS

A total of 471 serum samples from patients with elevated tumor markers and 100 serum from healthy patients were analyzed with Lumipulse(®) G1200 and either Kryptor(®) (for AFP) or Modular(®) (for the six other markers).

RESULTS

The good precision of Lumipulse(®) G1200 assays was confirmed with CVs < 2.5% and < 5.0%, obtained, respectively, for within-run imprecision and intermediate imprecision (except for Cyfra 21-1: CV < 13%). For all markers, Lumipulse results were well correlated with Modular or Kryptor results (r ≥ 0.94). Concordance of results interpretation was > 95% and tumor marker kinetics were all similar.

CONCLUSION

We confirmed the analytical performances of Lumipulse(®) tumor marker assays except for the CYFRA 21-1 assay for which performances were poor in this study. We noticed a few discrepancies for the CEA assay. Besides, values obtained for CA 19-9 were higher with Lumipulse leading to a bias (slope = 1.5). But for the four other tumor markers assays (PSA, AFP, CA 125, CA 15-3), the results were directly transferable between Lumipulse and Kryptor or Modular, thus facilitating an eventual substitution of one system by another.

Predicting recurrence following radiofrequency percutaneous ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma

Within 5 years after percutaneous ablation of hepatocellular carcinoma, roughly 70% of patients experience tumor recurrence. Relapses beyond curative options affected patients' survival. Ablation shares with resection common predictive factors of recurrence as size of the tumor, multinodularity and presence of vascular invasion. High serum α-fetoprotein level and markers of severity of underlying liver disease have also been found to be associated with recurrence and even survival. However, predictive values for recurrence of technical factors, histopathological and molecular tumors' features have been rarely studied. Few comparative studies have shown that ablation techniques impact recurrence rates. Moreover, although ablation does not allow analysis of the whole tumor, some reports suggest that biopsies allow histopathological and even molecular testing of the risk of recurrence.

Triple positive tumor markers predict recurrence and survival in early stage hepatocellular carcinoma

AIM

Hepatectomy is feasible for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with good hepatic function who meet the Milan criteria. Several studies have indicated that tumor markers of HCC, α-fetoprotein (AFP), Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of AFP percentage and protein induced by vitamin K absence/antagonist-II were good predictors of malignant potential. It is important to identify highly malignant cases of HCC, and the aim of this study was to clarify the impact of triple positive tumor markers as the prognostic factors for early stage HCC within the Milan criteria.

METHODS

This study investigated 199 patients who underwent hepatectomy for HCC within the Milan criteria between January 2001 and May 2009. Cumulative recurrence-free survival (RFS), overall survival (OS) and clinicopathological parameters were analyzed according to the number of positive tumor markers.

RESULTS

In patients with triple positive tumor markers, 5-year RFS and OS was poor (17.1 and 61.4%, respectively). Multivariate analyses revealed independent risk factors for recurrence to be hepatitis C virus antibody positivity, non-initial treatment for HCC and triple positive tumor markers, and the independent risk factors for OS were high indocyanine green retention rate at 15 min value, maximum tumor size and triple positive tumor markers. Pathologically invasive growth, microvascular invasion and moderate to poor differentiation were significantly related to the number of the three tumor markers.

CONCLUSION

Triple positive tumor markers for early stage HCC within the Milan criteria showed poor prognosis and malignant characteristics. These markers could be a useful predictor for the degree of malignant potential in early stage HCC.

Therapeutic response assessment of RFA for HCC: Contrast-enhanced US, CT and MRI

Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is commonly applied for the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) because of the facile procedure, and the safety and effectiveness for the treatment of this type of tumor. On the other hand, it is believed that HCC cells should spread predominantly through the blood flow of the portal vein, which could lead to the formation of intrahepatic micrometastases. Therefore, monitoring tumor response after the treatment is quite important and accurate assessment of treatment response is critical to obtain the most favorable outcome after the RFA. Indeed, several reports suggested that even small HCCs of ≤ 3 cm in diameter might carry intrahepatic micrometastases and/or microvascular invasion. From this point of view, for preventing local recurrences, RFA should be performed ablating a main tumor as well as its surrounding non-tumorous liver tissue where micrometastases and microvascular invasion might exist. Recent advancement of imaging modalities such as contrast-enhanced ultrasonic, computed tomography, and magnetic resonance imaging are playing an important role on assessing the therapeutic effects of RFA. The local recurrence rate tends to be low in HCC patients who were proven to have adequate ablation margin after RFA; namely, not only disappearance of vascular enhancement of main tumor, but also an adequate ablation margin. Therefore, contrast enhancement gives important findings for the diagnosis of recurrent HCCs on each imaging. However, hyperemia of non-tumorous liver surrounding the ablated lesion, which could be attributed to an inflammation after RFA, may well obscure the findings of local recurrence of HCCs after RFA. Therefore, we need to carefully address to these imaging findings given the fact that diagnostic difficulties of local recurrence of HCC. Here, we give an overview of the current status of the imaging assessment of HCC response to RFA.

Serum endocan as a novel prognostic biomarker in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Endocan is a vascular endothelium-derived factor regulated by angiogenic factors. The aim of this study was to determine whether serum endocan levels are prognostic for survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Serum endocan levels were measured in 64 HCC patients who were naïve to treatment, eight apparently healthy subjects, and 68 patients with liver cirrhosis; the latter two groups served as controls. Prognostic factors for the survival of HCC patients were examined using a Cox proportional hazards model. The median serum endocan levels were 1.145 ng/mL (range, 0.93-1.68 ng/mL) in healthy subjects, 1.93 ng/mL (range, 0.45-8.47 ng/mL) in liver cirrhosis patients, and 3.73 ng/mL (range, 0.74-10.95 ng/mL) in HCC patients (P = 0.0001). In HCC patients, elevated serum endocan levels were significantly associated with poor hepatic function (P = 0.015), a greater number of tumors (P = 0.034), and vascular invasion (P = 0.043). The median follow-up period was 23.0 months, and 33 HCC patients died during follow up. Multivariate analysis showed that serum endocan levels ≥ 2.20 ng/mL (hazard ratio 2.36, 95% confidence interval 1.22-5.36, P = 0.008) as well as elevated serum α-fetoprotein and des-γ-carboxy prothrombin levels were independent prognostic biomarkers for poor survival. The combination of serum endocan and these two additional markers was significantly predictive of worse survival (P < 0.0001). Thus, serum endocan may be a prognostic biomarker for survival in HCC patients, and the combination of serum endocan, α-fetoprotein, and des-γ-carboxy prothrombin levels can result in better prognostic stratification of these patients.