Survival benefit of liver resection for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma across different Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages: a multicentre study

Adjuvant lenvatinib in combination with transarterial chemoembolization for hepatocellular carcinoma patients with high risk of postoperative recurrence: A multicenter prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The high recurrent rate after surgery hinders the survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This prospective cohort study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of lenvatinib plus transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) as an adjuvant therapy in HCC patients with high risk of recurrence.

METHODS

Patients were enrolled from eight hepatobiliary centers in China. The primary endpoint was disease-free survival (DFS). The secondary endpoints were overall survival (OS) and safety. Additionally, propensity score matching (PSM) and other three propensity score analyses were performed to balance the potential baseline bias to validate the conclusion. The adverse events (AEs) were recorded throughout the study. The study was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03838796).

RESULTS

A total of 297 patients were enrolled, with 147 in the LEN + TACE group and 150 in the TACE group. Before PSM, the LEN + TACE group achieved significantly better DFS than the TACE group (19.0 vs. 10.0 months, P = 0.011). PSM analysis identified 111 matched pairs. After PSM, the LEN + TACE group also showed better DFS (19.0 vs. 9.0 months, P = 0.018). Other three propensity score analyses yielded similar DFS benefit tendency. Furthermore, favorable OS was also obtained in the LEN + TACE group before PSM. Lenvatinib related AEs of grade 3 or 4 occurred in 28.6% of the patients in the LEN + TACE group.

CONCLUSIONS

Adjuvant lenvatinib plus TACE might be a promising adjuvant approach for HCC patients with high risk of recurrence, which could significantly prolong DFS and potentially OS with a manageable safety profile.

Advances in the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma: An overview of the current and evolving therapeutic landscape for clinicians

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the sixth most common malignancy and the third leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide. Contemporary advances in systemic and locoregional therapies have led to changes in peer-reviewed guidelines regarding systemic therapy as well as the possibility of downstaging disease that may enable some patients with advanced disease to ultimately undergo partial hepatectomy or transplantation with curative intent. This review focuses on all modalities of therapy for HCC, guided by modern-day practice-changing randomized data where available. The surgical management of HCC, including resection and transplantation, both of which have evolving criteria for what is considered biologically resectable and transplantable, as well as locoregional therapy (i.e., therapeutic embolization, ablation, radiation, and hepatic arterial infusion), are discussed. Historical and modern-day practice-changing trials evaluating immunotherapy with targeted therapies for advanced disease, as well as adjuvant systemic therapy, are also summarized. In addition, this article examines the critical dimension of toxicities and patient-oriented considerations to ensure a comprehensive and balanced discourse on treatment implications.

Platelet-albumin-bilirubin versus albumin-bilirubin as a predictor of long-term survival for hepatitis B-Induced hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatic resection

BACKGROUND

The Child-Pugh (CP) score is widely used to evaluate the severity of liver dysfunction in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Recently, both the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) and platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI) grade have been raised to be objective measurement indexes of liver function which can sufficiently stratify HCC patient survival. In this study, we aim to compare the ability of albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) and platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI) grade to predict outcomes in hepatitis B-Induced HCC after liver resection with curative intent.

METHODS

Between April 2013 and April 2023, 1005 consecutive hepatitis B-Induced HCC patients who underwent liver resection were included in this study. The performance of PALBI and ALBI score in predicting long-term survival was evaluated.

RESULTS

The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the PALBI(AUC:0.618) for predicting long-term survival was greater than that of the ALBI(AUC:0.522). In the multivariate analysis for OS, both the ALBI (HR: 1.246 95%CI: 1.029-1.508 P = 0.024) and PALBI (HR: 1.207 95%CI: 1.049-1.388 P = 0.009) scores were identified as independent predictors of OS in HCC patients. In the univariate analysis for DFS, the PALBI grade was also significantly associated with poor DFS (P = 0.041). In contrast, the ALBI grade was not found to be significantly associated with poor DFS (P = 0.414). Subgroup analysis also showed, among patients across each BCLC stage, the group with ALBI grade 1 had DFS similar to that of the group with ALBI grade 2 (both P > 0.05). However, the PALBI grade can differentiate each BCLC stages into three prognostic groups (all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Compared to ALBI grade, the PALBI grade is more clinically feasible and has better prognostic ability regardless of the grade of BCLC stage.

Hepatocellular carcinoma: Revising the surgical approach in light of the concept of multiparametric therapeutic hierarchy

The clinical management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is strongly influenced by several prognostic factors, mainly tumor stage, patient's health, liver function and specific characteristics of each intervention. The interplay between these factors should be carefully evaluated by a multidisciplinary tumor board. To support this, the novel "multiparametric therapeutic hierarchy" (MTH) concept has been recently proposed. This review will present the main features of available surgical treatments for HCC (liver transplantation, liver resection, ablation). Strengths and weaknesses are reported in the light of clinical decision making and of treatment allocation, with a special focus on the collocation of each treatment in the MTH framework and on how MTH may be useful in supporting clinical decision. Sequential treatments and their role to allow further surgical treatments will also be analyzed.

Overall survival is comparable between percutaneous radiofrequency ablation and liver resection as first-line therapies for solitary 3-5 cm hepatocellular carcinoma

PURPOSE

Few studies have compared survival outcomes between liver resection (LR) and percutaneous radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for treating solitary 3-5 cm hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to clarify this issue.

METHODS

Patients with Child-Pugh class A liver disease and a solitary HCC of 3-5 cm without macrovascular invasion or extrahepatic metastasis who underwent LR or percutaneous RFA between 2011 and 2021 were enrolled in this retrospective study; 310 patients underwent LR and 114 patients underwent percutaneous RFA. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance baseline variables, including age, sex, alpha-fetoprotein level, and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score, between the two groups.

RESULTS

Before PSM, 5-year overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were significantly lower in the percutaneous RFA group than in the LR group (both p < 0.001). After PSM, 5-year OS was comparable between the two modalities (p = 0.367); however, 5-year RFS was significantly lower in the RFA group than in the LR group (p = 0.001). The two modalities did not differ in severe post-treatment complications (p = 1.000).

CONCLUSIONS

Five-year OS did not differ between treatment modalities for patients with a solitary HCC of 3-5 cm; however, the LR group's 5-year RFS was superior. LR should be recommended as the first-line treatment for these patients.

EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of hepatocellular carcinoma

Liver cancer is the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide, with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounting for approximately 90% of primary liver cancers. Advances in diagnostic and therapeutic tools, along with improved understanding of their application, are transforming patient treatment. Integrating these innovations into clinical practice presents challenges and necessitates guidance. These clinical practice guidelines offer updated advice for managing patients with HCC and provide a comprehensive review of pertinent data. Key updates from the 2018 EASL guidelines include personalised surveillance based on individual risk assessment and the use of new tools, standardisation of liver imaging procedures and diagnostic criteria, use of minimally invasive surgery in complex cases together with updates on the integrated role of liver transplantation, transitions between surgical, locoregional, and systemic therapies, the role of radiation therapies, and the use of combination immunotherapies at various stages of disease. Above all, there is an absolute need for a multiparametric assessment of individual risks and benefits, considering the patient's perspective, by a multidisciplinary team encompassing various specialties.

Current Treatment Paradigm and Approach to Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common forms of primary liver cancer worldwide. Herein, we present a review article that provides a broad overview of the current landscape of HCC, including the etiology, potential risk factors, and molecular pathways that can serve as potential therapeutic targets. The risk factors tend to vary depending on the geographic distribution; hepatitis B-induced cirrhosis and HCC occur more frequently in Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa, whereas metabolic disorders are the culprits in Western Europe and the Americas. The exact molecular alterations that drive hepatocarcinogenesis have yet to be elucidated; however, a complex interplay exists between oxidative stress and chronic inflammation. Diagnostic modalities such as tri-phasic MRI or CT also have distinct patterns for HCC, which aid significantly in diagnosis. Furthermore, the review aims to highlight treatment strategies, including transplantation, locoregional radiation therapies, and interventional radiological techniques such as chemotherapy or radioembolization. Finally, systemic therapies will be discussed, taking advantage of molecular pathways that influence cellular proliferation and survival as well as immunotherapy.

Prognostic significance of MRI features in patients with solitary large hepatocellular carcinoma following surgical resection

OBJECTIVE

To assess the prognostic impact of preoperative MRI features on outcomes for single large hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (≥ 8 cm) after surgical resection.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This retrospective study included 151 patients (mean age: 59.2 years; 126 men) with a single large HCC who underwent gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI and surgical resection between 2008 and 2020. Clinical variables, including tumor markers and MRI features (tumor size, tumor margin, and the proportion of hypovascular component on hepatic arterial phase (AP) (≥ 50% vs. < 50% tumor volume) were evaluated. Cox proportional hazards model analyzed overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and associated factors.

RESULTS

Among 151 HCCs, 37.8% and 62.2% HCCs were classified as ≥ 50% and < 50% AP hypovascular groups, respectively. The 5- and 10-year OS and RFS rates in all patients were 62.0%, 52.6% and 41.4%, 38.5%, respectively. Multivariable analysis revealed that ≥ 50% AP hypovascular group (hazard ratio [HR] 1.7, p = 0.048), tumor size (HR 1.1, p = 0.006), and alpha-fetoprotein ≥ 400 ng/mL (HR 2.6, p = 0.001) correlated with poorer OS. ≥ 50% AP hypovascular group (HR 1.9, p = 0.003), tumor size (HR 1.1, p = 0.023), and non-smooth tumor margin (HR 2.1, p = 0.009) were linked to poorer RFS. One-year RFS rates were lower in the ≥ 50% AP hypovascular group than in the < 50% AP hypovascular group (47.4% vs 66.9%, p = 0.019).

CONCLUSION

MRI with ≥ 50% AP hypovascular component and larger tumor size were significant factors associated with poorer OS and RFS after resection of single large HCC (≥ 8 cm). These patients require careful multidisciplinary management to determine optimal treatment strategies.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

Preoperative MRI showing a ≥ 50% arterial phase hypovascular component and larger tumor size can predict worse outcomes after resection of single large hepatocellular carcinomas (≥ 8 cm), underscoring the need for tailored, multidisciplinary treatment strategies.

KEY POINTS

MRI features offer insights into the postoperative prognosis for large hepatocellular carcinoma. Hypovascular component on arterial phase ≥ 50% and tumor size predicted poorer overall survival and recurrence-free survival. These findings can assist in prioritizing aggressive and multidisciplinary approaches for patients at risk for poor outcomes.

A Machine Learning Model Based on Counterfactual Theory for Treatment Decision of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients

Purpose

To predict the efficacy of patients treated with hepatectomy and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) based on machine learning models using clinical and radiomics features.

Patients and Methods

Patients with HCC whose first treatment was hepatectomy or TACE from June 2016 to July 2021 were collected in the retrospective cohort study. To ensure a causal effect of treatment effect and treatment modality, perfectly matched patients were obtained according to the principle of propensity score matching and used as an independent test cohort. Inverse probability of treatment weighting was used to control bias for unmatched patients, and the weighted results were used as the training cohort. Clinical characteristics were selected by univariate and multivariate analysis of cox proportional hazards regression, and radiomics features were selected using correlation analysis and random survival forest. The machine learning models (Deathhepatectomy and DeathTACE) were constructed to predict the probability of patient death after treatment (hepatectomy and TACE) by combining clinical and radiomics features, and an optimal treatment regimen was recommended. In addition, a prognostic model was constructed to predict the survival time of all patients.

Results

A total of 418 patients with HCC who received either hepatectomy (n=267, mean age, 58 years ± 11 [standard deviation]; 228 men) or TACE (n=151, mean age, 59 years ± 13 [standard deviation]; 127 men) were recruited. After constructing the machine learning models Deathhepatectomy and DeathTACE, patients were divided into the hepatectomy-preferred and TACE-preferred groups. In the hepatectomy-preferred group, hepatectomy had a significantly prolonged survival time than TACE (training cohort: P < 0.001; testing cohort: P < 0.001), and vise versa for the TACE-preferred group. In addition, the prognostic model yielded high predictive capability for overall survival.

Conclusion

The machine learning models could predict the outcomes difference between hepatectomy and TACE, and prognostic models could predict the overall survival for HCC patients.

Liver Resection vs Nonsurgical Treatments for Patients With Early Multinodular Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Importance

The 2022 Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer algorithm currently discourages liver resection (LR) for patients with multinodular hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) presenting with 2 or 3 nodules that are each 3 cm or smaller.

Objective

To compare the efficacy of liver resection (LR), percutaneous radiofrequency ablation (PRFA), and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in patients with multinodular HCC.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study is a retrospective analysis conducted using data from the HE.RC.O.LE.S register (n = 5331) for LR patients and the ITA.LI.CA database (n = 7056) for PRFA and TACE patients. A matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC) method was applied to balance data and potential confounding factors between the 3 groups. Included were patients from multiple centers from 2008 to 2020; data were analyzed from January to December 2023.

Interventions

LR, PRFA, or TACE.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Survival rates at 1, 3, and 5 years were calculated. Cox MAIC-weighted multivariable analysis and competing risk analysis were used to assess outcomes.

Results

A total of 720 patients with early multinodular HCC were included, 543 males (75.4%), 177 females (24.6%), and 350 individuals older than 70 years (48.6%). There were 296 patients in the LR group, 240 who underwent PRFA, and 184 who underwent TACE. After MAIC, LR exhibited 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates of 89.11%, 70.98%, and 56.44%, respectively. PRFA showed rates of 94.01%, 65.20%, and 39.93%, while TACE displayed rates of 90.88%, 48.95%, and 29.24%. Multivariable Cox survival analysis in the weighted population showed a survival benefit over alternative treatments (PRFA vs LR: hazard ratio [HR], 1.41; 95% CI, 1.07-1.86; P = .01; TACE vs LR: HR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.29-2.68; P = .001). Competing risk analysis confirmed a lower risk of cancer-related death in LR compared with PRFA and TACE.

Conclusions and Relevance

For patients with early multinodular HCC who are ineligible for transplant, LR should be prioritized as the primary therapeutic option, followed by PRFA and TACE when LR is not feasible. These findings provide valuable insights for clinical decision-making in this patient population.

Carrier-Free Self-Assembled Nanomedicines for Promoting Apoptosis and Inhibiting Proliferation in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

In order to improve the effectiveness of tumor treatment and reduce the toxic side effects of drugs, we formed carrier-free multifunctional nanoparticles (BI NPs) by noncovalent interaction of berberine hydrochloride and IR780. BI NPs possessed the synergistic effects of promoting apoptosis, inhibiting proliferation and metastasis of tumors, and phototherapeutic treatment. Dispersive and passive targeting ability retention (EPR) effects of BI NPs on tumor sites in vivo could be monitored by fluorescence imaging. In addition, BI NPs exhibited effective reactive oxygen species (ROS) generation and photothermal conversion capabilities, photodynamic therapy (PDT), and photothermal therapy (PTT). Importantly, BI NPs inhibit tumor suppression through the AMPK/PI3K/AKT signaling pathway to inhibit tumor proliferation and metastasis. BI NPs not only have efficient in vivo multimodal therapeutic effects but also have good biosafety and potential clinical applications.

Development and validation of nomograms to predict survival and recurrence after hepatectomy for intermediate/advanced (BCLC stage B/C) hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Despite the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer system discouraging hepatectomy for intermediate/advanced hepatocellular carcinoma, the procedure is still performed worldwide, particularly in Asia. This study aimed to develop and validate nomograms for predicting survival and recurrence for these patients.

METHODS

We analyzed patients who underwent curative-intent hepatectomy for intermediate/advanced hepatocellular carcinoma between 2010 and 2020 across 3 Chinese hospitals. The Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital cohort was used as the training cohort for the nomogram construction, and the Jilin First Hospital and Fujian Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital cohorts served as the external validation cohorts. Independent preoperative predictors for survival and recurrence were identified through univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses. Predictive accuracy was measured using the concordance index and calibration curves. The predictive performance between nomograms and conventional hepatocellular carcinoma staging systems was compared.

RESULTS

A total of 1,328 patients met the inclusion criteria. The nomograms for predicting survival and recurrence were developed using 10 and 6 independent variables, respectively. Nomograms' concordance indices in the training cohort were 0.777 (95% confidence interval 0.759-0.800) and 0.719 (95% confidence interval 0.697-0.742) for survival and recurrence, outperforming 4 conventional staging systems (P < .001). Nomograms accurately stratified risk into low, intermediate, and high subgroups. These results were validated well by 2 external validation cohorts.

CONCLUSION

We developed and validated nomograms predicting survival and recurrence for patients with intermediate/advanced hepatocellular carcinoma, contradicting Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer surgical guidelines. These nomograms may facilitate clinicians to formulate personalized surgical decisions, estimate long-term prognosis, and strategize neoadjuvant/adjuvant anti-recurrence therapy.

Characteristics and outcome of anti-hepatitis D virus positive patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Chronic hepatitis D virus (HDV) often leads to end-stage liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Comprehensive data pertaining to large populations with HDV and HCC are missing, therefore we sought to assess the characteristics, management, and outcome of these patients, comparing them to patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection.

METHODS

We analysed the Italian Liver Cancer database focusing on patients with positivity for HBV surface antigen and anti-HDV antibodies (HBV/HDV, n = 107) and patients with HBV infection alone (n = 588). Clinical and oncological characteristics, treatment, and survival were compared in the two groups.

RESULTS

Patients with HBV/HDV had worse liver function [Model for End-stage Liver Disease score: 11 vs. 9, p < .0001; Child-Turcotte-Pugh score: 7 vs. 5, p < .0001] than patients with HBV. HCC was more frequently diagnosed during surveillance (72.9% vs. 52.4%, p = .0002), and the oncological stage was more frequently Milan-in (67.3% vs. 52.7%, p = .005) in patients with HBV/HDV. Liver transplantation was more frequently performed in HBV/HDV than in HBV patients (36.4% vs. 9.5%), while the opposite was observed for resection (8.4% vs. 20.1%, p < .0001), and in a competing risk analysis, HBV/HDV patients had a higher probability of receiving transplantation, independently of liver function and oncological stage. A trend towards longer survival was observed in patients with HBV/HDV (50.4 vs. 44.4 months, p = .106).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with HBV/HDV, HCC is diagnosed more frequently during surveillance, resulting in a less advanced cancer stage in patients with more deranged liver function than HBV alone. Patients with HBV/HDV have a heightened benefit from liver transplantation, positively influencing survival.

Prognostic benefit of preoperative transarterial chemoembolization in upfront resectable large hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicentric propensity score based analysis of European high-volume centers

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have a dismal prognosis and any effective neoadjuvant treatment has been validated to date. We aimed to investigate the role of neoadjuvant transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in upfront resectable HCC larger than 5 cm.

METHODS

This is a multicentric retrospective study comparing outcomes of large HCC undergoing TACE followed by surgery or liver resection alone before and after propensity-score matching (PSM).

RESULTS

A total of 384 patients were included of whom 60 (15.6%) received TACE. This group did not differ from upfront resected cases neither in terms of disease-free survival (p = 0.246) nor in overall survival (p = 0.276). After PSM, TACE still did not influence long-term outcomes (p = 0.935 and p = 0.172, for DFS and OS respectively). In subgroup analysis, TACE improved OS only in HCC ≥10 cm (p = 0.045), with a borderline significance after portal vein embolization/ligation (p = 0.087) and in single HCC (p = 0.052).

CONCLUSIONS

TACE should not be systematically performed in all resectable large HCC. Selected cases could however potentially benefit from this procedure, as patients with huge and single tumors or those necessitating of a PVE.

Prognostic Nutritional Index as a Prognostic Factor for Very Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Field factors play more important roles in predicting the outcomes of patients compared with tumor factors in early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the prognostic ability of noninvasive serum marker scores for hepatic fibrosis and liver functional reserve on very early-stage HCC is still not yet determined. We aimed to investigate the performance of these serum marker scores in predicting the prognoses of patients with very early-stage HCC.

METHODS

A total of 446 patients with very early-stage HCC from 2012 to 2022 were retrospectively enrolled. Serum biomarkers and prognostic scores determining overall survival (OS) were analyzed by Cox proportional hazards model. We compared the Akaike information criterion among the prognostic nutritional index (PNI), aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score, EZ (easy)-ALBI score, modified ALBI score, fibrosis-4 score, and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio to determine the predictability on the OS.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 41.0 months (interquartile range 36.9-45.1 months), 81 patients died, with a 5-year OS rate of 71.0%. Among the noninvasive serum marker scores, PNI had the best performance in predicting the OS with the lowest Akaike information criterion (846.407) compared with other scores. Moreover, we stratified the patients into high-risk (PNI <45) and low-risk (PNI ≥45) groups. It showed that the 5-year OS rates were 83.4% and 60.8% in the low-risk and high-risk PNI groups, respectively ( P < 0.001).

DISCUSSION

PNI had the best performance in predicting the OS for patients with very early-stage HCC.

Analysis of clinicopathologic and imaging features of dual-phenotype hepatocellular carcinoma

Dual-phenotype hepatocellular carcinoma (DPHCC) is a new subtype of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to investigate the relationship between the computerized tomography scan (CT) imaging and clinicopathologic features of DPHCC. The CT imaging and clinicopathologic data of 97 HCC cases who underwent radical resection were collected retrospectively. The CT imaging feature was evaluated by the ratio of the average CT value of tumor to liver (TLR) in the plain scan, arterial, portal vein and delayed phases. The association between CT imaging and clinicopathologic features was analyzed using the t-test or chi-square test. Univariate and multivariate recurrence-free survival (RFS) analysis and overall survival (OS) were performed. The positive rates of cytokeratin 7 (CK7) and CK19 were 35.1% and 20.6% respectively. The positive rate of CK19 was significantly higher in cases with age < 47 years (P = 0.005), tumor diameter > 4 cm (P = 0.016) or AFP ≥ 400 ng/ml (P = 0.007). The TLR in the portal vein phase was significantly lower in CK19 positive group (P = 0.024). The recurrence risk was significantly higher in cases with CK19 positive (HR: 2.17, 95% CI 1.16 to 4.04, P = 0.013), tumor diameter > 4 cm (HR: 2.05, 95% CI 1.11 to 3.78, P = 0.019), AFP ≥ 400 ng/ml (HR: 2.50, 95% CI 1.37 to 4.54, P = 0.002) or CA199 ≥ 37 U/ml (HR: 2.23, 95% CI 1.12 to 4.42, P = 0.020). However, imaging features, pathological subtype, CK7 or CK19 expression were not significantly related to HCC OS in the univariate and multivariate analysis (all P > 0.05). The expression of CK19 may be associated with the enhancement feature of the portal vein phase CT image, and CK19 positive may suggest a worse RFS.

Multidisciplinary Treatment of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in 2023: Italian practice Treatment Guidelines of the Italian Association for the Study of the Liver (AISF), Italian Association of Medical Oncology (AIOM), Italian Association of Hepato-Bilio-Pancreatic Surgery (AICEP), Italian Association of Hospital Gastroenterologists (AIGO), Italian Association of Radiology and Clinical Oncology (AIRO), Italian Society of Pathological Anatomy and Diagnostic Cytology (SIAPeC-IAP), Italian Society of Surgery (SIC), Italian Society of Gastroenterology (SIGE), Italian Society of Medical and Interventional Radiology (SIRM), Italian Organ Transplant Society (SITO), and Association of Patients with Hepatitis and Liver Disease (EpaC) - Part I - Surgical treatments

Worldwide, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third most common cause of cancer-related death. The remarkable improvements in treating HCC achieved in the last years have increased the complexity of HCC management. Following the need to have updated guidelines on the multidisciplinary treatment management of HCC, the Italian Scientific Societies involved in the management of this cancer have promoted the drafting of a new dedicated document. This document was drawn up according to the GRADE methodology needed to produce guidelines based on evidence. Here is presented the first part of guidelines, focused on the multidisciplinary tumor board of experts and surgical treatments of HCC.

A Retrospective Study on Predicting Recurrence of Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Radical Therapy

Purpose

This study aimed to investigate the potential benefits of radical therapy in patients with stage B disease.

Patients and Methods

A retrospective analysis was conducted on a cohort of 437 patients diagnosed with stage B hepatocellular carcinoma, who underwent either hepatic resection (HR) or radiofrequency ablation (RFA) at the Cancer Institute and Hospital of Tianjin Medical University from May 2011 to May 2022. Multivariate COX regression analysis was performed to identify the independent prognostic factors related to recurrence-free survival (RFS). The performance of the developed nomogram was evaluated using various statistical measures, including the concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

Multivariate analysis revealed that tumor diameter, number of tumors, number of involved liver segments, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and systemic immune inflammation index (SII) were independent prognostic factors influencing patients' RFS, and these factors were incorporated into the nomogram. The C-index of the nomogram in the training cohort was 0.721, and the AUC at 2 and 3 years was 0.772 and 0.790, respectively. These values were appreciably higher than commonly used clinic staging systems and other predictive models. The calibration curve and DCA demonstrated good calibration and net benefit. Survival analysis comparing stage B patients who received radical treatment with stage A patients with multiple lesions did not reveal a significant difference in Kaplan-Meier survival curves (P=0.91).

Conclusion

The nomogram provided a precise prediction of the recurrence for stage B hepatocellular carcinoma patients undergoing radical treatment. Furthermore, certain stage B patients may benefit from radical treatment.

Dual-phenotype hepatocellular carcinoma: correlation of MRI features with other primary hepatocellular carcinoma and differential diagnosis

Objectives

Dual-phenotype hepatocellular carcinoma (DPHCC) is a rare subtype of hepatocellular carcinoma characterized by high invasiveness and a poor prognosis. The study aimed to compare clinical and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features of DPHCC with that of non-DPHCC and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), exploring the most valuable features for diagnosing DPHCC.

Methods

A total of 208 cases of primary liver cancer, comprising 27 DPHCC, 113 non-DPHCC, and 68 ICC, who undergone gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI, were enrolled in this study. The clinicopathologic and MRI features of all cases were summarized and analyzed. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify the predictors. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to evaluate the 1-year and 2-year disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) rates in the cohorts.

Results

In the multivariate analysis, the absence of tumor capsule (P = 0.046; OR = 9.777), persistent enhancement (P = 0.006; OR = 46.941), arterial rim enhancement (P = 0.011; OR = 38.211), and target sign on DWI image (P = 0.021; OR = 30.566) were identified as independently significant factors for distinguishing DPHCC from non-DPHCC. Serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) >20 μg/L (P = 0.036; OR = 67.097) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) positive (P = 0.020; OR = 153.633) were independent significant factors for predicting DPHCC compared to ICC. The 1-year and 2-year DFS rates for patients in the DPHCC group were 65% and 50%, respectively, whereas those for the non-DPHCC group were 80% and 60% and for the ICC group were 50% and 29%, respectively. The 1-year and 2-year OS rates for patients in the DPHCC group were 74% and 60%, respectively, whereas those for the non-DPHCC group were 87% and 70% and for the ICC group were 55% and 37%, respectively. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed significant differences in the 1-year and 2-year OS rates between the DPHCC and non-DPHCC groups (P = 0.030 and 0.027) as well as between the DPHCC and ICC groups (P = 0.029 and 0.016).

Conclusion

In multi-parameter MRI, combining the assessment of the absence of tumor capsule, persistent enhancement, arterial rim enhancement, and target sign on DWI image with clinical data such as AFP >20 μg/L and HBV status may support in the diagnosis of DPHCC and differentiation from non-DPHCC and ICC. Accurate preoperative diagnosis facilitates the selection of personalized treatment options.

Adjuvant immunotherapy improves recurrence-free and overall survival following surgical resection for intermediate/advanced hepatocellular carcinoma a multicenter propensity matching analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The effectiveness of adjuvant immunotherapy to diminish recurrence and improve long-term prognosis following curative-intent surgical resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is of increased interest, especially among individuals at high risk of recurrence. The objective of the current study was to investigate the impact of adjuvant immunotherapy on long-term recurrence and survival after curative resection among patients with intermediate/advanced HCC.

METHODS

Using a prospectively-collected multicenter database, patients who underwent curative-intent resection for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage B/C HCC were identified. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was used to compare recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) between patients treated with and without adjuvant immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). Multivariate Cox-regression analysis further identified independent factors of RFS and OS.

RESULTS

Among the 627 enrolled patients, 109 patients (23.3%) received adjuvant immunotherapy. Most ICI-related adverse reactions were grading I-II. PSM analysis created 99 matched pairs of patients with comparable baseline characteristics between patients treated with and without adjuvant immunotherapy. In the PSM cohort, the median RFS (29.6 vs. 19.3 months, P=0.031) and OS (35.1 vs. 27.8 months, P=0.036) were better among patients who received adjuvant immunotherapy versus patients who did not. After adjustment for other confounding factors on multivariable analyzes, adjuvant immunotherapy remained independently associated with favorable RFS (HR: 0.630; 95% CI: 0.435-0.914; P=0.015) and OS (HR: 0.601; 95% CI: 0.401-0.898; P=0.013). Subgroup analyzes identified potentially prognostic benefits of adjuvant immunotherapy among patients with intermediate-stage and advanced-stage HCC.

CONCLUSION

This real-world observational study demonstrated that adjuvant immunotherapy was associated with improved RFS and OS following curative-intent resection of intermediate/advanced HCC. Future randomized controlled trials are warranted to establish definitive evidence for this specific population at high risks of recurrence.

Comparative analysis of radiomics and deep-learning algorithms for survival prediction in hepatocellular carcinoma

To examine the comparative robustness of computed tomography (CT)-based conventional radiomics and deep-learning convolutional neural networks (CNN) to predict overall survival (OS) in HCC patients. Retrospectively, 114 HCC patients with pretherapeutic CT of the liver were randomized into a development (n = 85) and a validation (n = 29) cohort, including patients of all tumor stages and several applied therapies. In addition to clinical parameters, image annotations of the liver parenchyma and of tumor findings on CT were available. Cox-regression based on radiomics features and CNN models were established and combined with clinical parameters to predict OS. Model performance was assessed using the concordance index (C-index). Log-rank tests were used to test model-based patient stratification into high/low-risk groups. The clinical Cox-regression model achieved the best validation performance for OS (C-index [95% confidence interval (CI)] 0.74 [0.57-0.86]) with a significant difference between the risk groups (p = 0.03). In image analysis, the CNN models (lowest C-index [CI] 0.63 [0.39-0.83]; highest C-index [CI] 0.71 [0.49-0.88]) were superior to the corresponding radiomics models (lowest C-index [CI] 0.51 [0.30-0.73]; highest C-index [CI] 0.66 [0.48-0.79]). A significant risk stratification was not possible (p > 0.05). Under clinical conditions, CNN-algorithms demonstrate superior prognostic potential to predict OS in HCC patients compared to conventional radiomics approaches and could therefore provide important information in the clinical setting, especially when clinical data is limited.

Liver resection versus radiofrequency ablation or trans-arterial chemoembolization for early-stage (BCLC A) oligo-nodular hepatocellular carcinoma: meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The 2022 Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) algorithm does not recommend liver resection (LR) in BCLC A patients with oligo-nodular (two or three nodules ≤3 cm) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This sharply contrasts with the therapeutic hierarchy concept, implying a precise treatment order exists within each BCLC stage. This study aimed to compare the outcomes of LR versus radiofrequency ablation (RFA) or trans-arterial chemoembolization (TACE) in BCLC A patients.

METHODS

A meta-analysis adhering to PRISMA guidelines and the Cochrane Handbook was performed. All RCT, cohort and case-control studies that compared LR versus RFA or TACE in oligo-nodular BCLC A HCC published between January 2000 and October 2023 were comprehensively searched on PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library and China Biology Medicine databases. Primary outcomes were overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) at 3 and 5 years. Risk ratio (RR) was computed as a measure of treatment effect (OS and DFS benefit) to calculate common and random effects estimates for meta-analyses with binary outcome data.

RESULTS

2601 patients from 14 included studies were analysed (LR = 1227, RFA = 686, TACE = 688). There was a significant 3- and 5-year OS benefit of LR over TACE (RR = 0.55, 95% c.i. 0.44 to 0.69, P < 0.001 and RR 0.57, 95% c.i. 0.36 to 0.90, P = 0.030, respectively), while there was no significant 3- and 5-year OS benefit of LR over RFA (RR = 0.78, 95% c.i. 0.37 to 1.62, P = 0.452 and RR 0.74, 95% c.i. 0.50 to 1.09, P = 0.103, respectively). However, a significant 3- and 5-year DFS benefit of LR over RFA was found (RR = 0.70, 95% c.i. 0.54 to 0.93, P = 0.020 and RR 0.82, 95% c.i. 0.72 to 0.95, P = 0.015, respectively). A single study comparing LR and TACE regarding DFS showed a significant superiority of LR. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale quality of studies was high in eight (57%) and moderate in six (43%).

CONCLUSIONS

In BCLC A oligo-nodular HCC patients, LR should be preferred to RFA or TACE (therapeutic hierarchy concept). Additional comparative cohort studies are urgently needed to increase the certainty of this evidence.

An MRI-Based Prognostic Stratification System for Medical Decision-Making of Multinodular Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Beyond the Milan Criteria

BACKGROUND

The suitability of hepatectomy among patients with multinodular hepatocellular carcinoma (MHCC) beyond the Milan criteria remains controversial. There is a need for a reliable risk stratification tool among these patients for the selection of ideal candidates of curative resection.

PURPOSE

To determine the clinicoradiological prognostic factors for patients with MHCC beyond the Milan criteria to further develop a stratification system.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

SUBJECTS

176 patients with pathologically confirmed MHCC beyond the Milan criteria.

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

The 1.5 T scanner, including T1-, T2-, diffusion-weighted imaging, in/out-phase imaging, and dynamic contrast-enhanced imaging.

ASSESSMENT

Conventional MRI features and preoperative laboratory data including aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and α-fetoprotein (AFP) were collected and analyzed. Two nomograms incorporating clinicoradiological variables were independently constructed to predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) with Cox regression analyses and verified with 5-fold cross validation. Based on the nomograms, two prognostic stratification systems for RFS and OS were further developed.

STATISTICAL TESTS

The Cohen's kappa/intraclass correlation coefficient, C-index, calibration curve, Kaplan-Meier curve, log-rank test. A P value <0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

AST > 40 U/L, increased tumor burden score, radiological liver cirrhosis and nonsmooth tumor margin were independent predictors for poor RFS, while AST > 40 U/L, AFP > 400 ng/mL and radiological liver cirrhosis were independent predictors for poor OS. The two nomograms demonstrated good discrimination performance with C-index of 0.653 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.602-0.794) and 0.685 (95% CI, 0.623-0.747) for RFS and OS, respectively. The 5-fold cross validation further validated the discrimination capability of the nomograms. Based on the nomogram models, MHCC patients beyond the Milan criteria were stratified into low-/medium-/high-risk groups with significantly different RFS and OS.

DATA CONCLUSION

The proposed MRI-based prognostic stratification system facilitates the refinement and further subclassification of patients with MHCC beyond the Milan criteria.

EVIDENCE LEVEL

4.

TECHNICAL EFFICACY

2.

Resection Postradioembolization in Patients With Single Large Hepatocellular Carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of yttrium-90 transarterial radioembolization (TARE) to convert to resection initially unresectable, single, large (≥5 cm) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

BACKGROUND

TARE can downsize cholangiocarcinoma to resection but its role in HCC resectability remains debatable.

METHODS

All consecutive patients with a single large HCC treated between 2015 and 2020 in a single tertiary center were reviewed. When indicated, patients were either readily resected (upfront surgery) or underwent TARE. TARE patients were converted to resection (TARE surgery) or not (TARE-only). To further assess the effect of TARE on the long-term and short-term outcomes, a propensity score matching analysis was performed.

RESULTS

Among 216 patients, 144 (66.7%) underwent upfront surgery. Among 72 TARE patients, 20 (27.7%) were converted to resection. TARE-surgery patients received a higher mean yttrium-90 dose that the 52 remaining TARE-only patients (211.89±107.98 vs 128.7±36.52 Gy, P <0.001). Postoperative outcomes between upfront-surgery and TARE-surgery patients were similar. In the unmatched population, overall survival at 1, 3, and 5 years was similar between upfront-surgery and TARE-surgery patients (83.0%, 60.0%, 47% vs 94.0%, 86.0%, 55.0%, P =0.43) and compared favorably with TARE-only patients (61.0%, 16.0% and 9.0%, P <0.0001). After propensity score matching, TARE-surgery patients had significantly better overall survival than upfront-surgery patients ( P =0.021), while disease-free survival was similar ( P =0.29).

CONCLUSION

TARE may be a useful downstaging treatment for unresectable localized single large HCC providing comparable short-term and long-term outcomes with readily resectable tumors.

Local Recurrence following Radiological Complete Response in Patients Treated with Subsegmental Balloon-Occluded Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

The aim of this study was to determine the local recurrence (LR) rate and identify factors associated with LR in patients who achieve a radiological complete response (CR) after undergoing balloon-occluded transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (B-TACE) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). From November 2017 to September 2021, 60 patients (44 men, 16 women; mean age, 63.5 years; range, 39-82 years) with 72 HCCs (mean diameter, 31 mm; range, 10-50 mm) who underwent subsegmental B-TACE were included in this retrospective study. Radiological and clinical evaluation of oily subsegmentectomy, defined as radiological CR of the HCC and peritumoral parenchymal necrosis, was performed. The CR rate was 97.2% (70 of 72 HCCs) at first follow-up (mean, 41 days; range, 14-110 days). Overall, 13 HCCs (19.7%) demonstrated LR at a mean of 29.8 months (range, 3-63 months) and cumulative LR rates were 1.5% 14.2% 21%, 21%, and 21% at 6, 12, 24, 36, and 48 months, respectively. In 28 (38.9%) of 72 HCCs, oily subsegmentectomy was achieved, tumor markers were normalized, and LR did not occur. The oily subsegmentectomy-positive group had a significantly lower LR rate than the oily subsegmentectomy-negative group (p = 0.001). Age ≥65 years (adjusted hazard ration (HR), 0.124; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.037-0.412; p < 0.001) and peripheral location (adjusted HR, 0.112; 95% CI, 0.046-0.272; p < 0.001) were independent predictive factors of LR. Subsegmental B-TACE can be an effective method with a high initial CR rate and low LR incidence. Oily subsegmentectomy can be considered as an index of successful treatment because it did not demonstrate any LR.

Efficacy and safety of lenvatinib-transcatheter arterial chemoembolisation sequential therapy followed by surgical resection for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma beyond Up-to-7 criteria: a study protocol for a multicentre, single-arm, prospective study

INTRODUCTION

The feasibility and efficacy of surgical resection following systemic therapy for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) beyond the Up-to-7 criteria is unclear. The combination of lenvatinib (LEN) and transcatheter arterial chemoembolisation (TACE), termed LEN-TACE sequential therapy, has shown a high response rate and survival benefit in patients with intermediate-stage HCC. This trial aims to evaluate the efficacy and safety of LEN-TACE sequential therapy and the feasibility of surgical resection for intermediate-stage HCC beyond the Up-to-7 criteria.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This is a multicentre, single-arm, prospective clinical trial. Thirty patients with intermediate-stage HCC beyond the Up-to-7 criteria will be enrolled. Patients eligible for this study will undergo LEN-TACE sequential therapy in which LEN is administered for 4 weeks, followed by TACE, and then further LEN for another 4 weeks. Patients will be assessed for efficacy of LEN-TACE sequential therapy and resectability, and surgical resection will be performed if the HCC is considered radically resectable. The primary outcome of this study is the resection rate after LEN-TACE sequential therapy. The secondary outcomes are the objective response rate of LEN-TACE sequential therapy, safety, curative resection rate, overall survival and recurrence-free survival.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This trial was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Hiroshima University, Japan (approval no. CRB210003), and has been registered with the Japan Registry of Clinical Trials (jRCTs061220007). The results of this study will be submitted for publication in a peer-reviewed journal and shared with the scientific community at international conferences.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

jRCTs061220007 (https://jrct.niph.go.jp/latest-detail/jRCTs061220007).

Assessing textbook outcome after single large hepatocellular carcinoma resection

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the impact and predictors of an ideal surgical care following SLHCC resection.

METHODS

SLHCC patients who underwent LR in two tertiary hepatobiliary centers between 2000 and 2021 were retrieved from prospectively maintained databases. The quality of surgical care was measured by the textbook outcome (TO). Tumor burden was defined by the tumor burden score (TBS). Factors associated with TO were determined on multivariate analysis. The impact of TO on oncological outcomes was assessed using Cox regressions.

RESULTS

Overall, 103 SLHCC patients were included. Laparoscopic approach was considered in 65 (63.1%) patients and 79 (76.7%) patients presented with moderate TBS. TO was achieved in 54 (52.4%) patients. Laparoscopic approach was independently associated with TO (OR 2.57; 95% CI 1.03-6.64; p = 0.045). Within 19 (6-38) months of median follow up, patients who achieved TO had better OS compared to non-TO patients (1-year OS: 91.7% vs. 66.9%; 5-year OS: 83.4% vs. 37.0%, p < 0.0001). On multivariate analysis, TO was independently associated with improved OS, especially in non-cirrhotic patients (HR 0.11; 95% CI 0.02-0.52, p = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

TO achievement could be a relevant surrogate marker of improved oncological care following SLHCC resection in non-cirrhotic patients.

Clinical outcome of surgical resection for multifocal T2-T3 hepatocellular carcinoma up to 3 nodules: a comparative analysis with a single nodule

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Although the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging system seems to underestimate the impact of curative-intent surgical resection for multifocal hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), recent studies have indicated favorable results for the surgical resection of multiple HCC. This study aimed to assess clinical outcomes and feasibility of surgical resection for multifocal HCC with up to three nodules compared with single tumor cases.

METHODS

Patients who underwent surgical resection for HCC with up to three nodules between 2009 and 2020 were included, and those with the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th edition, T1 and T4 stages were excluded to reduce differences in disease distribution and severity. Finally, 81 and 52 patients were included in the single and multiple treatment groups, respectively. Short- and long-term outcomes including recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS), were evaluated.

RESULTS

All patients were classified as Child-Pugh class A. RFS and OS were not significantly different between the two groups (P=0.176 and P=0.966, respectively). Multivariate analysis revealed that transfusion and intrahepatic metastasis were significantly associated with recurrence (P=0.046 and P=0.005, respectively). Additionally, intrahepatic metastasis was significantly associated with OS (hazard ratio, 1.989; 95% confidence interval, 1.040-3.802; P=0.038).

CONCLUSIONS

Since there was no significant difference in survival between the single and multiple groups among patients with AJCC 8th stage T2 and T3, surgical resection with curative intent could be considered with acceptable long-term survival for selected patients with multiple HCC of up to three nodules.

Effect of vessels that encapsulate tumor clusters (VETC) on the prognosis of different stages of hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

Vessels that encapsulate tumor clusters (VETC) is a newly discovered vascular pattern in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), representing high biological aggressiveness. However, it remains unclear whether the prognostic impact of VETC differs in patients with different staged HCC. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of VETC on the prognosis of patients with HCC at different stages after hepatectomy.

METHODS

Patients who underwent hepatectomy for HCC between January 2005 and December 2019 were assessed, and stratified according to their Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were compared between patients with and without VETC. Independent risk factors of OS and DFS were determined by multivariable Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 837 consecutive patients undergoing curative hepatectomy were enrolled, and VETC pattern was found in 339 (40.5%) patients. The incidence of VETC in patients at BCLC-0, BCLC-A, BCLC-B and BCLC-C stage was 17.8%, 40.2%, 53.7% and 66.0%, respectively. In the entire patients, VETC+ patients had significantly lower OS and DFS than VETC- patients. After stratification of patients according to BCLC stage, VETC was associated with worse OS and DFS only in patients at BCLC-A and BCLC-B stages, but not in those at BCLC-0 and BCLC-C stages. Multivariable analyses also revealed that VETC was an independent risk factor for OS and DFS in both the patients at BCLC-A and BCLC-B stages.

CONCLUSIONS

VETC is associated with poor OS and DFS in patients with HCC at BCLC-A and BCLC-B stage after hepatectomy, but it does not affect the survival of patients with HCC at BCLC-0 and BCLC-C stage after hepatectomy.

Preoperative Radiomics Nomogram Based on CT Image Predicts Recurrence-Free Survival After Surgical Resection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

To construct preoperative models based on CT radiomics, radiologic and clinical features to predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) after liver resection (LR) of BCLC 0 to B stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to classify the prognosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study retrospectively analyzed 161 HCC patients who underwent radical LR. Two methods, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator and random survival forest analysis, were performed for radiomics signature (RS) construction. Univariate and multivariate stepwise Cox regression analyses were performed to establish a combined nomogram (RCN) of RS and clinical parameters and a clinical nomogram (CN). The performance of the models was assessed comprehensively using Harrell's concordance index (C-index), the calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. The discrimination accuracy of the models was compared using integrated discrimination improvement index (IDI). The risk stratification effect was assessed with Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and subgroup analysis.

RESULTS

The RCN achieved a C-index of 0.792/0.758 in the training/validation set, which was higher than the CN, RS, and BCLC stage system. The discriminatory accuracy of the RCN was improved when compared to the CN, RS, and BCLC staging systems (IDI > 0). Decision curve analysis reflected the clinical net benefit of the RCN. The RCN allows risk stratification of patients in different clinical subgroups.

CONCLUSION

The integrated model combining RS and clinical factors can more effectively predict RFS after LR of BCLC 0 to B stage HCC patients and can effectively stratify the prognostic risk.

Personalised management of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a multiparametric therapeutic hierarchy concept

Advances in the surgical and systemic therapeutic landscape of hepatocellular carcinoma have increased the complexity of patient management. A dynamic adaptation of the available staging-based algorithms is required to allow flexible therapeutic allocation. In particular, real-world hepatocellular carcinoma management increasingly relies on factors independent of oncological staging, including patients' frailty, comorbid burden, critical tumour location, multiple liver functional parameters, and specific technical contraindications impacting the delivery of treatment and resource availability. In this Policy Review we critically appraise how treatment allocation strictly based on pretreatment staging features has shifted towards a more personalised treatment approach, in which expert tumour boards assume a central role. We propose an evidence-based framework for hepatocellular carcinoma treatment based on the novel concept of multiparametric therapeutic hierarchy, in which different therapeutic options are ordered according to their survival benefit (ie, from surgery to systemic therapy). Moreover, we introduce the concept of converse therapeutic hierarchy, in which therapies are ordered according to their conversion abilities or adjuvant abilities (ie, from systemic therapy to surgery).

Prognostication and risk factor stratification for survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a nationwide big data analysis

This study was conducted to identify risk factors affecting overall survival (OS) and provide prognostication for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) using nationwide big data. Between January 2008 and December 2014, 10,573 adult patients with new HCC were registered in a nationwide database. Among them, 6830 patients without missing data were analyzed to construct a prognostication system. A validation cohort of 4580 patients was obtained from a tertiary hospital. All patients were assumed to have received the best treatment. A conditional inference tree analysis was performed to establish a prognostic system. The C-index and calibration plot for 5-year survival were estimated for validation. As a result, the tumor burden (TB) grade was the most significant factor in determining OS, and the cutoff was TB3 (TB1‒3 versus TB4). The patients were ultimately divided into 13 prognosis groups. The C-indexes were 0.714 and 0.737 (95% confidence interval, 0.733-0.742) in the nationwide (derivation) and hospital (validation) cohorts, respectively. In the calibration plot, the 5-year survival of the validation cohort largely matched the 45-degree line. In conclusion, the proposed prognostication system with a simple tree structure enabled the detailed stratification of patient prognosis and visualized the strata of risk factors affecting OS.

Potential candidates for liver resection in liver-confined advanced HCC: a Chinese multicenter observational study

BACKGROUND

Advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is characterized as symptomatic tumors [performance status (PS) score of 1-2], vascular invasion and extrahepatic spread, but patients with PS1 alone may be eliminated from this stage. Although liver resection is used for liver-confined HCC, its role in patients with PS1 alone remains controversial. Therefore, we aimed to explore its application in such patients and identify potential candidates.

METHODS

Eligible liver-confined HCC patients undergoing liver resection were retrospectively screened in 15 Chinese tertiary hospitals, with limited tumor burden, liver function and PS scores. Cox-regression survival analysis was used to investigate the prognostic factors and develop a risk-scoring system, according to which patients were substratified using fitting curves and the predictive values of PS were explored in each stratification.

RESULTS

From January 2010 to October 2021, 1535 consecutive patients were selected. In the whole cohort, PS, AFP, tumor size and albumin were correlated with survival (adjusted P<0.05), based on which risk scores of every patient were calculated and ranged from 0 to 18. Fitting curve analysis demonstrated that the prognostic abilities of PS varied with risk scores and that the patients should be divided into three risk stratifications. Importantly, in the low-risk stratification, PS lost its prognostic value, and patients with PS1 alone achieved a satisfactory 5-year survival rate of 78.0%, which was comparable with that PS0 patients (84.6%).

CONCLUSION

Selected patients with PS1 alone and an ideal baseline condition may benefit from liver resection and may migrate forward to BCLC stage A.

Development and Validation of an α-Fetoprotein Tumor Burden Score Model to Predict Postrecurrence Survival among Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study is to establish a prognostic model to predict postrecurrence survival (PRS) probability after initial resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

STUDY DESIGN

Patients with recurrent HCC after curative resection were identified through a multicenter consortium (training cohort, TC); data were from a separate institution were used as validation cohort (VC). The α-fetoprotein (AFP) tumor burden score (ATS) was defined as the distance from the origin on a 3-dimensional Cartesian coordinate system that incorporated 3 variables: largest tumor diameter ( x axis), number of tumors ( y axis), and ln AFP ( z axis). ATS was calculated using the Pythagorean theorem: ATS 2 = (largest tumor diameter) 2 + (number of tumors) 2 + (ln AFP) 2 , where ATS d and ATS r represent ATS at the time of initial diagnosis and at the time of recurrence, respectively. The final model was ATS m = ATS d + 4 × ATS r . Predictive performance and discrimination of the ATS model were evaluated and compared with traditional staging systems.

RESULTS

The ATS model demonstrated strong predictive performance of PRS in both the TC (area under the curve [AUC] 0.70) and VC (AUC 0.71). An ATS-based nomogram was able to stratify patients accurately into low- and high-risk categories relative to PRS (TC: ATS m ≤ 27, 74.9 months vs. ATS m ≥ 28, 23.3 months; VC: ATS m ≤ 27, 59.4 months vs. ATS m ≥ 28, 15.1 months; both p < 0.001). The ATS model predicted PRS among patients undergoing curative or noncurative treatment of HCC recurrence (both p < 0.05). Of note, the ATS model outperformed the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC), China Liver Cancer (CNLC), and American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging systems relative to 1-, 2-, 3-, 4- and 5-year PRS (AUC 0.70, vs. BCLC, AUC 0.50, vs. CNLC, AUC 0.54, vs. AJCC, AUC 0.51).

CONCLUSIONS

The ATS model had excellent prognostic discriminatory power to stratify patients relative to PRS.

Radiographic tumor burden score is useful for stratifying the overall survival of hepatocellular carcinoma patients undergoing resection at different Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages

PURPOSE

The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system has been recommended for prognostic prediction. However, prognosis is variable at different BCLC stages. We aimed to evaluate whether the radiographic tumor burden score (TBS) could be used to stratify prognosis in different BCLC stages.

METHODS

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing liver resection (LR) at BCLC-0, -A, or -B stage in our institution in 2007-2018 were divided into derivation and validation cohorts. Overall survival (OS) was analyzed according to the TBS and BCLC stage. TBS cutoff values for OS were determined with X-tile.

RESULTS

Of the 749 patients in the derivation cohort, 138 (18.4%) had BCLC-0, 542 (72.3%) BCLC-A, and 69 (9.2%) BCLC-B HCC; 76 (10.1%) had a high TBS (> 7.9), 477 (63.7%) a medium TBS (2.6-7.9), and 196 (26.2%) a low TBS (< 2.6). OS worsened progressively with increasing TBS in the cohort (p < 0.001) and in BCLC-A (p = 0.04) and BCLC-B (p = 0.002) stages. Multivariate analysis showed that the TBS was associated with OS of patients with BCLC-A (medium vs. low TBS: hazard ratio [HR] = 2.390, 95% CI = 1.024-5.581, p = 0.04; high vs. low TBS: HR = 3.885, 95% CI = 1.443-10.456, p = 0.007) and BCLC-B (high vs. medium TBS: HR = 2.542, 95% CI = 1.077-6.002, p = 0.033) HCC. The TBS could also be used to stratify the OS of patients in the validation cohort (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The TBS could be used to stratify the OS of the entire cohort and BCLC stages A and B of HCC patients undergoing LR.

Balloon-occluded transarterial chemoembolization versus conventional transarterial chemoembolization for the treatment of single hepatocellular carcinoma: a propensity score matching analysis

OBJECTIVES

To compare the safety and efficacy of balloon-occluded transarterial chemoembolization (B-TACE) and conventional TACE (C-TACE) in treating single hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

This single-center retrospective study included 523 patients who underwent C-TACE and 44 who underwent B-TACE as first-line treatment for single HCCs between November 2017 and December 2019. After propensity score matching (PSM), initial tumor response rates, local tumor progression (LTP), and major complication rates were evaluated in the 32 pairs of PSM matched population.

RESULTS

In the 32 pairs of PSM cohort, B-TACE showed distinct superiority over C-TACE in treating single HCCs, with significantly higher initial complete response (CR) rates (93.8% vs. 62.5%, p = 0.005). During a median follow-up of 37 months (range, 12.7-46.5 months), 13 patients (40.6%) who underwent B-TACE and 16 (50%) who underwent C-TACE showed LTP of treated lesions. Size-based sub-group analysis showed that the median times to LTP in patients with medium- to large-sized tumors (> 3 cm) were significantly longer in the B-TACE (27 months; 95% confidence interval [CI], 19.7-34.3 months) than in the C-TACE (13 months; 95% CI, 3.9-22.1 months) group (p = 0.019). The major complication rate was similar between the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

B-TACE had a higher initial CR rate than C-TACE in treating single HCCs. Moreover, size-based subgroup analysis showed that time to LTP was significantly longer in patients with medium- to large-sized HCCs (> 3 cm) who underwent B-TACE rather than C-TACE.

KEY POINTS

• B-TACE was superior to C-TACE in treating single HCC, with a significantly higher initial complete response rate after one session of treatment. • In size-based subgroup analysis, time to LTP was significantly longer in patients with medium- to large-sized HCCs (>3 cm) who underwent B-TACE rather than C-TACE. • B-TACE should be considered an alternative treatment option for medium- to large-sized single HCCs (>3 cm) in patients with a nonresectable condition and those who prefer nonsurgical treatment.

Entecavir versus tenofovir on prognosis of hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma after curative hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

There is still controversy about whether tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) and entecavir (ETV) have different effects on the outcomes of patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

AIMS

The aim of this study was to compare the prognoses between ETV and TDF treatment among patients with HBV-related HCC after hepatectomy.

METHODS

An analysis was done on data from the Taiwan Cancer Registry, which was linked to Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database, for the years 2011-2016. We identified 7107 patients with HBV-related HCC after curative hepatectomy, and 25.3% of them used ETV or TDF after surgery. After propensity score overlap weighting, 1797 patients treated with ETV (n = 1365) or TDF (n = 432) were included for analyses. Cox proportional hazards models were used to compare the efficacy of ETV and TDF for recurrence and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

After hepatectomy, the recurrence rate per 100 person-years was 14.87 for the ETV group and 9.25 for the TDF group. The risk of recurrence was similar in the TDF group and the ETV group (HR [95% CI]: 0.91 [0.69-1.19; p = 0.479]), as was the risk of all-cause mortality (HR [95% CI]: 0.67 [0.42-1.07]; p = 0.091). When considering early recurrence (<2 years) and late recurrence (≧2 years), the TDF and ETV groups showed no significant differences. Subgroup analyses and sensitivity analyses demonstrated consistent results.

CONCLUSION

Both TDF and ETV showed similar health benefits in terms of recurrence and OS in patients with HBV-related HCC patients after hepatectomy.

TAC score better predicts survival than the BCLC following resection of hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Heterogeneity in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) still exists within the Barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) subcategories. We developed a simple model to better discriminate and predict prognosis following resection.

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative-intent resection for HCC were identified from a multi-institutional database. Predictive factors of survival were identified to develop TAC (tumor burden score [TBS], alpha-fetoprotein [AFP], Child-Pugh CP]) score.

RESULTS

Among 1435 patients, median TBS was 5.1 (interquartile range [IQR]: 3.2-8.1), median AFP was 18.3 ng/ml (IQR 4.0-362.5), and 1391 (96.9%) patients were classified as CP-A. Factors associated with overall survival (OS) included TBS (low: referent; medium: HR 2.26, 95% CI: 1.73-2.96; high: HR = 3.35, 95% CI: 2.22-5.07), AFP (<400 ng/ml: referent; >400 ng/ml: HR = 1.56, 95% CI: 1.27-1.92), and CP (A: referent; B: HR = 1.81, 95% CI: 1.12-2.92) (all p < 0.05). A simplified risk score demonstrated superior concordance index, Akaike information criteria, homogeneity, and area under the curve versus BCLC (0.620 vs. 0.541; 5484.655 vs. 5536.454; 60.099 vs. 16.194; 0.62 vs. 0.55, respectively), and further stratified patients within BCLC groups relative to OS (BCLC 0, very low: 86.8%, low: 47.8%) (BCLC A, very low: 79.7%, low: 68.1%, medium: 52.5%, high: 35.6%) (BCLC B, low: 59.8%, medium: 43.7%, high: N/A).

CONCLUSION

TAC is a simple, holistic score that consistently outperformed BCLC relative to discrimination power and prognostication following resection of HCC.

Clinical prognosis of surgical resection versus transarterial chemoembolization for single large hepatocellular carcinoma (≥5 cm): A propensity score matching analysis

Favorable prognostic factors and therapeutic strategies are important for patients with single large hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This retrospective study aimed to investigate the prognostic factors in patients with single large (≥5 cm) HCC with Child-Pugh (CP) class A patients and to recommend therapeutic strategies. Overall, 298 HCC patients with single and large (≥5 cm) tumors with CP class A, but without distant metastasis and macrovascular invasion were included, and their clinicopathological data, overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS) were recorded. OS and PFS was analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analysis. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed. The 298 HCC patients were 79.2% male and median age of 64 years. For the initial treatment, surgical resection (SR) and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) was 50.8% and 49.2%, respectively. The OS and PFS were significantly higher in patients receiving SR than those receiving TACE before and after PSM. Furthermore, in multivariate analysis, cirrhosis (Hazard ratio [HR]: 2.04; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.35-3.03, p < 0.001, CP class A5/6 [HR: 4.01; 95% CI: 2.43-6.66, p < 0.001], and initial treatment [SR vs. TACE HR = 3.23; 95% CI: 2.13-5.01, p < 0.001]) remained significantly associated with mortality. Moreover, in multivariate analysis, CP class A5/6 (HR: 3.23; 95% CI: 1.89-5.88, p < 0.001), and initial treatment (Resection vs. TACE; HR = 4.17; 95% CI: 1.64-8.33, p = 0.039) remained significantly associated with recurrence. In conclusion, SR was associated with significantly higher OS and PFS rates than TACE before and after PSM for single large HCC patients.

Alpha-Fetoprotein Combined with Radiographic Tumor Burden Score to Predict Overall Survival after Liver Resection in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

We evaluated whether combining the radiographic tumor burden score (TBS) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level could be used to stratify overall survival (OS) among hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after liver resection (LR). Patients who underwent LR for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0, A, or B HCC between 2011 and 2018 were enrolled. TBS scores were calculated using the following equation: TBS2 = (largest tumor size (in cm))2 + (tumor number)2. Among 743 patients, 193 (26.0%) patients had a low TBS (<2.6), 474 (63.8%) had a moderate TBS (2.6-7.9), and 75 (10.1%) had a high TBS (>7.9). Those with a TBS ≤ 7.9 and AFP < 400 ng/mL had a significantly better OS than those with a TBS > 7.9 and an AFP < 400 ng/mL (p = 0.003) or ≥ 400 ng/mL (p < 0.001). A multivariate analysis using TBS ≤ 7.9 and AFP < 400 ng/mL as the reference values showed that a TBS > 7.9 and an AFP < 400 ng/mL (hazard ratio (HR): 2.063; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.175-3.623; p = 0.012) or ≥ 400 ng/mL (HR: 6.570; 95% CI: 3.684-11.719; p < 0.001) were independent predictors of OS. In conclusion, combining radiographic TBSs and AFP levels could stratify OS among HCC patients undergoing LR.

Seven centimeters as an optimal cutoff value for prognosis stratification in large monofocal hepatocellular carcinoma

PURPOSE

Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) guidelines designate monofocal hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) > 2 cm as BCLC A, and large monofocal HCC is defined at > 5 cm. We aimed to evaluate the optimal cutoff value for large monofocal HCC based on prognosis stratification.

METHODS

From 2011 to 2018, 3055 patients with newly diagnosed HCC, who were managed in our institution, including 868 patients with monofocal HCC > 2 cm and 330 patients with BCLC B, were enrolled in this retrospective study.

RESULTS

Monofocal HCC > 5 cm patients had worse overall survival (OS) than monofocal HCC 2-5 cm patients (5-year OS: 54% vs. 57%; p = 0.047), confirmed by multivariate analysis (hazard ratio (HR): 1.492, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.055-2.110; p = 0.024). Monofocal HCC > 5 cm patients had better OS than BCLC B HCC patients (5-year OS: 54% vs. 25%; p < 0.001), confirmed by multivariate analysis (HR: 0.670, 95% CI: 0.481-0.934; p = 0.018). Using 7 cm as the monofocal HCC cutoff value resulted in worse OS than monofocal HCC 2-7 cm (5-year OS: 50% vs. 57%; p = 0.02), confirmed by multivariate analysis (HR: 1.625, 95% CI: 1.039-2.540; p = 0.033). Monofocal HCC > 7 cm patients had better OS than BCLC B patients (p = 0.006). However, no significant difference was identified in the multivariate analysis (HR: 0.726; 95% CI: 0.473-1.115; p = 0.144).

CONCLUSIONS

The prognosis of monofocal HCC > 7 cm was similar to that of BCLC B, indicating that 7 cm represents an optimal cutoff value for prognosis stratification in large monofocal HCC.

Epidemiological trends and trajectories of MAFLD-associated hepatocellular carcinoma 2002-2033: the ITA.LI.CA database

BACKGROUND

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) represents a new inclusive definition of the whole spectrum of liver diseases associated to metabolic disorders. The main objective of this study was to compare patients with MAFLD and non-MAFLD with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) included in a nationally representative cohort.

METHODS

We analysed 6882 consecutive patients with HCC enrolled from 2002 to 2019 by 23 Italian Liver Cancer centres to compare epidemiological and future trends in three subgroups: pure, single aetiology MAFLD (S-MAFLD); mixed aetiology MAFLD (metabolic and others, M-MAFLD); and non-MAFLD HCC.

RESULTS

MAFLD was diagnosed in the majority of patients with HCC (68.4%). The proportion of both total MAFLD and S-MAFLD HCC significantly increased over time (from 50.4% and 3.6% in 2002-2003, to 77.3% and 28.9% in 2018-2019, respectively, p<0.001). In Italy S-MAFLD HCC is expected to overcome M-MAFLD HCC in about 6 years. Patients with S-MAFLD HCC were older, more frequently men and less frequently cirrhotic with clinically relevant portal hypertension and a surveillance-related diagnosis. They had more frequently large tumours and extrahepatic metastases. After weighting, and compared with patients with non-MAFLD, S-MAFLD and M-MAFLD HCC showed a significantly lower overall (p=0.026, p=0.004) and HCC-related (p<0.001, for both) risk of death. Patients with S-MAFLD HCC showed a significantly higher risk of non-HCC-related death (p=0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of MAFLD HCC in Italy is rapidly increasing to cover the majority of patients with HCC. Despite a less favourable cancer stage at diagnosis, patients with MAFLD HCC have a lower risk of HCC-related death, suggesting reduced cancer aggressiveness.

Tumor Burden Score and Serum Alpha-fetoprotein Subclassify Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Resection of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains controversial. While not recommended by the BCLC algorithm, some patients may indeed benefit from hepatectomy. We sought to identify that subset of patients who might derive long-term survival benefit from resection.

METHODS

Intermediate-stage HCC patients who underwent curative-intent resection were identified from an international multi-institutional database. Factors associated with long-term prognosis were identified using multivariate analysis and a risk score was developed and assessed.

RESULTS

Among 194 patients, most individuals had two tumors (n = 123, 63.4%) with a median size of 6.0 cm (IQR, 4.0-8.4) for a median tumor burden score (TBS) of 6.5 (IQR, 5.0-9.1); median alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) was 23.9 ng/mL (IQR, 5.0-503.2), and median overall survival (OS) was 69 months (IAR, 60.7-77.3). Factors associated with OS included AFP (referent ≤ 20 ng/mL, > 20 ng/mL: HR 1.78 95%CI, 1.09-2.89) and TBS (referent TBS ≤ 8.0, TBS > 8.0: HR 1.72 95%CI, 1.07-2.75). While 71 (36.6%) patients had neither risk factor, 79 (40.7%) and 44 (22.7%) had 1 or 2, respectively. A simplified score stratified patients relative to recurrence-free survival (RFS) (0: 33.6% vs. 1: 18.0% vs. 2: 14.7%) (AUC 0.60) and recurrence time (i.e., < 6 months after surgery) (0: 21.3% vs. 1: 43.1% vs. 2: 68.6%) (AUC 0.69) (both p < 0.001). Of note, a higher score was also associated with incrementally worse 5-year OS (0: 68.1% vs. 1: 61.0% vs. 2: 29.9%) (AUC 0.62) (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Long-term OS and RFS outcomes varied considerably. Using a simple risk score, patients with low AFP and low TBS were identified as the subset of individuals most likely to benefit from resection.

PD-1 inhibitors plus anti-angiogenic therapy with or without intensity-modulated radiotherapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: A propensity score matching study

BACKGROUND

Whether intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) can enhance the efficacy of the programmed death (PD)-1 inhibitors combined with anti-angiogenic therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is unclear. Therefore, we conducted this multicenter retrospective study to investigate the efficacy of the combination of PD-1 inhibitors with anti-angiogenic therapy and IMRT.

METHODS

From April 2019 to March 2022, a total of 197 patients with HCC [combination of PD-1 inhibitors with anti-angiogenic therapy and IMRT (triple therapy group), 54; PD-1 inhibitors plus anti-angiogenic therapy (control group), 143] were included in our study. Propensity score matching (PSM) was applied to identify two groups with similar baselines. The objective response rate (ORR), overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS) of the two groups were compared before and after matching.

RESULTS

Prior to PSM, the triple therapy group had higher ORR (42.6% vs 24.5%, P = 0.013) and more superior median OS (mOS) (20.1 vs 13.3 months, P = 0.009) and median PFS (mPFS) (8.7 vs 5.4 months, P = 0.001) than the control group. Following PSM, the triple therapy group still exhibited better mPFS (8.7 vs 5.4 months, P = 0.013) and mOS (18.5 vs 12.6 months, P = 0.043) than the control group. However, the ORR of the two groups was similar (40% vs 25%, P = 0.152). No significant difference was observed in the treatment-related adverse events between the two groups (P < 0.05 for all).

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of PD-1 inhibitors with anti-angiogenic therapy and IMRT for HCC is a promising regimen.

Surgical Resection Is Superior to TACE in the Treatment of HCC in a Well Selected Cohort of BCLC-B Elderly Patients-A Retrospective Observational Study

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) usually develops in cirrhotic liver, with high recurrence rates. However, considering its increasing detection in non-cirrhotic liver, the choice of treatment assumes particular relevance. This study aimed to investigate outcomes of patients among BCLC stages and enrolled for surgical resection (SR) according to a more complex evaluation, to establish its safety and efficacy. A total of 186 selected HCC patients (median age 73.2 yrs), submitted to SR between January 2005 and January 2021, were retrospectively analyzed. Of which, 166 were staged 0, A, B according to the BCLC system, while 20 with a single large tumor (>5 cm) were classified as stage AB. No perioperative mortality was recorded; complications occurred in 48 (25.80%) patients, and all but two were Clavien−Dindo grade I−II. Median follow-up was 9.2 years. Subsequently, 162 recurrent patients (87,1%) were selected for new treatments. Comparable overall survival rates (OS) were observed at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years in 0, A, B and AB stages (p = 0.2). Eventually, the BCLC-B group was matched to 40 BCLC-B patients treated (2015-2021) with TACE. Significant differences in baseline characteristics (p <0.0001) and in OS were observed at 1 and 3 years (p <0.0001); a significant difference was also observed in oncological outcomes, in terms of the absence, residual, or relapse of disease (p <0.05). Surgery might be a valid treatment in HCC for patients affected by chronic liver disease in a condition of compensation, up to BCLC-B stage. Surgical indication for liver resection in case of HCC should be extensively revised.

Characteristics and survival of patients with primary biliary cholangitis and hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Comprehensive and contemporary data pertaining large populations of patients with Primary Biliary Cholangitis (PBC) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are missing.

AIM

To describe main characteristics and outcome of PBC patients with HCC diagnosed in the new millennium.

METHODS

Analysing the Italian Liver Cancer registry we identified 80 PBC patients with HCC diagnosed after the year 2000, and described their clinical characteristics, access to treatment and survival.

RESULTS

Median age of patients was 71 years and 50.0% were males. Cirrhosis was present in 86.3% of patients, being well-compensated in 58.0%. Median HCC diameter was smaller in patients under surveillance (2.6 vs 4.0 cm, P = 0.007). Curative treatment, feasible in 50.0% of patients, was associated with improved survival compared to palliative and supportive care (42 vs 33 vs 6 months, P<0.0001). Surveillance was associated with a non-significant improved survival (36 vs 23 months), likely due to similar rate of curative treatment in patients under (51.4%) and outside surveillance (42.6%).

CONCLUSIONS

PBC patients with HCC are often elderly males with well-preserved liver function. Feasibility of curative treatment is high and associated with improved prognosis. Description of these patients may help focus surveillance to identify earlier tumours, increase their curability, and improve prognosis.

Paradigm shift in the treatment options of hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is prevalent worldwide with suboptimal therapeutic outcomes. The advancement of therapeutic options and the development of new systemic therapies expand the armamentarium to tackle HCC. Treatment options should be provided based on the hierarchy of efficacy in a multidisciplinary perspective, instead of the traditional stage-guided scheme. In advanced HCC, lenvatinib has a comparable efficacy as sorafenib for the first-line therapy of HCC; while regorafenib, cabozantinib, and ramucirumab have been approved as second-line therapy after the failure of sorafenib. Immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy prolongs response rate and survival and enables long-term cure. Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab is superior to sorafenib as the first-line therapy for advanced HCC. Several emerging regimens by the combination of various systemic therapies are currently under clinical trials. Systemic therapy may be used in the neoadjuvant, adjuvant or even as initial therapy for intermediate-stage HCC. The paradigm shift of HCC treatment will improve patient outcomes.

Microwave ablation versus laparoscopic resection as first-line therapy for solitary 3-5-cm HCC

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The study objective was to compare the effectiveness of microwave ablation (MWA) and laparoscopic liver resection (LLR) on solitary 3-5-cm HCC over time.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

From 2008 to 2019, 1289 patients from 12 hospitals were enrolled in this retrospective study. Diagnosis of all lesions were based on histopathology. Propensity score matching was used to balance all baseline variables between the two groups in 2008-2019 (n = 335 in each group) and 2014-2019 (n = 257 in each group) cohorts, respectively. For cohort 2008-2019, during a median follow-up of 35.8 months, there were no differences in overall survival (OS) between MWA and LLR (HR: 0.88, 95% CI 0.65-1.19, p = 0.420), and MWA was inferior to LLR regarding disease-free survival (DFS) (HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.05-1.75, p = 0.017). For cohort 2014-2019, there was comparable OS (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.56-1.30, p = 0.460) and approached statistical significance for DFS (HR 1.33, 95% CI 0.98-1.82, p = 0.071) between MWA and LLR. Subgroup analyses showed comparable OS in 3.1-4.0-cm HCCs (HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.53-1.47, p = 0.630) and 4.1-5.0-cm HCCs (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.37-1.60, p = 0.483) between two modalities. For both cohorts, MWA shared comparable major complications (both p > 0.05), shorter hospitalization, and lower cost to LLR (all p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

MWA might be a first-line alternative to LLR for solitary 3-5-cm HCC in selected patients with technical advances, especially for patients unsuitable for LLR.

Laparoscopic versus open liver resection for resectable HCC with BCLC stage B: a propensity score-matched analysis

To date, there is little knowledge about the value of laparoscopic liver resection (LLR) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage B. Thus, this study was performed to assess the perioperative and oncological outcomes of LLR for these patients by comparison with open liver resection (OLR). Between April 2015 and October 2018, a total of 217 resectable HCC patients with BCLC stage B were eligible for this study. Patients were divided into the LLR group and the OLR group according to different procedures. Propensity score matching (PSM) was conducted to adjust for known confounders. Short- and long-term outcomes were compared between the two groups. LLR was performed in 75 of the 217 included patients. After PSM, 72 patients with well-balanced baseline levels were enrolled into each group. Although the operative time was significantly longer in the LLR group than in the OLR group (median, 237.5 vs. 210 min, P = 0.024), the intraoperative blood loss was significantly less in the LLR group than in the OLR group (median, 200 vs. 350 ml, P = 0.005). Patients in the LLR group had fewer complications than those in the OLR group (P = 0.035). Furthermore, overall survival (OS, P = 0.827) and recurrence-free survival (RFS, P = 0.694) were comparable between the two groups. LLR for resectable HCC patients with BCLC stage B is safe and feasible in carefully selected patients and has superior perioperative outcomes and similar survival rates compared with OLR.

Preoperative and postoperative nomograms for predicting early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma without macrovascular invasion after curative resection

BACKGROUND

Postoperative early recurrence (ER) is a major obstacle to long-term survival after curative liver resection (LR) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to establish preoperative and postoperative nomograms to predict ER in HCC without macrovascular invasion.

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative LR for HCC between January 2012 and December 2016 were divided into training and internal prospective validation cohorts. Nomograms were constructed based on independent risk factors derived from the multivariate logistic regression analyses in the training cohort. The predictive performances of the nomograms were validated using the internal prospective validation cohort.

RESULTS

In total, 698 patients fulfilled the eligibility criteria. Among them, 265 of 482 patients (55.0%) in the training cohort and 120 of 216 (55.6%) patients in the validation cohort developed ER. The preoperative risk factors associated with ER were age, alpha-fetoprotein, tumor diameter, and tumor number, and the postoperative risk factors associated with ER were age, tumor diameter, tumor number, microvascular invasion, and differentiation. The pre- and postoperative nomograms based on these factors showed good accuracy, with concordance indices of 0.712 and 0.850 in the training cohort, respectively, and 0.754 and 0.857 in the validation cohort, respectively. The calibration curves showed optimal agreement between the predictions by the nomograms and actual observations. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of the pre- and postoperative nomograms were 0.721 and 0.848 in the training cohort, respectively, and 0.754 and 0.844 in the validation cohort, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomograms constructed in this study showed good performance in predicting ER for HCC without macrovascular invasion before and after surgery. These nomograms would be helpful for doctors when determining treatments and selecting patients for regular surveillance or administration of adjuvant therapies.