Functional status as a predictor of outcomes in open and endovascular abdominal aortic aneurysm repair

Impaired Pre-operative Ambulatory Capacity in Patients Undergoing Elective Endovascular Infrarenal Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Repair is Associated with Increased Peri-operative Death

OBJECTIVE

While ambulatory capacity is a readily assessable clinical indicator of functional status, its association with outcomes after endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) remains underexplored. This study aimed to investigate the association between pre-operative ambulatory status and outcomes following elective EVAR.

METHODS

A retrospective review of the multi-institutional Vascular Quality Initiative database was conducted for all patients who underwent elective infrarenal EVAR from 2009 - 2022. Patients were categorised into independent ambulation and impaired ambulation groups. A propensity score matched analysis was performed to produce two well matched cohorts in a 1:1 ratio without replacement. The primary outcome was 30 day death. Secondary outcomes included one year survival and in hospital major complications.

RESULTS

Among 11 474 patients, 10 539 (91.8%) were independently ambulatory pre-operatively. Propensity score matching resulted in 885 matched pairs. The impaired ambulation group, although older (mean 77.6 vs. 76.3 years; p = .001), showed comparable baseline characteristics. Post-operatively, the impaired ambulation group had higher cumulative in hospital complications and death as well as 30 day death. Even after adjustment for age, impaired pre-operative ambulation was associated with increased in hospital and 30 day death (hazard ratio [HR] 2.27, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.26 - 3.95; p = .006). Multivariable analysis demonstrated increasing cumulative risk of 30 day death in the setting of impaired pre-operative ambulatory status with age > 75 years requiring post-operative red blood cell transfusion > 2 units (HR 5.75, 95% CI 2.09 - 15.88; p < .001). Beyond 30 days, impaired pre-operative ambulation was not associated with increased one year death (HR 1.09, 95% CI 0.81 - 1.48; p = .57).

CONCLUSION

Among patients who underwent elective infrarenal EVAR in this matched analysis, impaired pre-operative ambulatory capacity was associated with an increased risk of in hospital and 30 day death, further compounded by advanced age and post-operative transfusion. As such, a threshold higher than the traditional size criteria should be considered in shared decision making when determining options for the management of abdominal aortic aneurysm in this high risk cohort.

Does Functional Status Predict Worse 30-D Outcomes in Endovascular Repair of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms? A Propensity-Score Matched Study From ACS-NSQIP Targeted Database From 2012 to 2022

INTRODUCTION

In patients undergoing endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR), existing studies have identified an association between dependent functional status (DFS) and poorer outcomes after EVAR. However, noted limitations, especially the lack of differentiation between ruptured and nonruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), potentially affect the extrapolation of these findings to specific patient groups. Thus, this study aimed to evaluate the association between functional status and 30-d outcomes after EVAR in ruptured and nonruptured AAA patients separately.

METHODS

Patients who underwent infrarenal EVAR were identified in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program targeted database from 2012-2022. Patients with DFS and those with independent functional status (IFS) were stratified into the two study cohorts. In nonruptured AAA, a 1:1 propensity-score matching was used to address demographics, baseline characteristics, aneurysm diameter, distal extent of the aneurysm, anesthesia, and concomitant procedures between patients with DFS and IFS. The sample size for ruptured patients with AAA was too small for meaningful statistical analysis so only qualitative description was provided. Thirty-d postoperative mortality and morbidities of EVAR were assessed.

RESULTS

For nonruptured cases, there were 380 (2.55%) DFS and 14,545 (97.45%) patients with IFS, where 453 patients with IFS were matched to the DFS cohort. For ruptured AAA, there were 17 (6.39%) DFS and 249 (93.61%) IFS. After matching, nonruptured DFS and patients with IFS had similar 30-d mortality rates (2.37% vs 2.11%, P = 1.00). However, patients with DFS had a higher risk of bleeding requiring transfusion (18.42% vs 11.84%, P = 0.01) and longer length of stay (median 3.00 [Q1 1.00, Q3 6.00] vs median 2.00 [Q1 1.00, Q3 4.00] d, P < 0.01). All other outcomes, including major adverse cardiovascular events, cardiac complications, stroke, pulmonary complications, renal complications, sepsis, venous thromboembolism, wound complications, lower extremity ischemia, ischemic colitis, postoperative ruptured aneurysm, unplanned reoperation, 30-d readmission, were not different between patients with DFS and IFS. Qualitatively, ruptured patients with DFS had higher crude rates of 30-d mortality and morbidities compared to patients with IFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Contrary to previous literature, patients with DFS with nonruptured AAA undergoing EVAR were found to have largely comparable outcomes to patients with IFS, although extra attention should be paid to postoperative bleeding.

Worsening preoperative functional status increases morbidity and mortality in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting: A propensity matched study of the ACS-NSQIP database

Introduction

Dependent functional status is correlated with increased mortality in patient undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). However, patients who are partially dependent and totally dependent may have different peri‑operative outcome profiles. This study aims to retrospectively examine the effect of different levels of functional dependency on post-CABG morbidity and mortality.

Methods

Patients who underwent a CABG from 2005 to 2021 were identified in the ACS-NSQIP database. Subjects were stratified into independent (IFS), partially dependent (PDFS), and totally dependent functional status (TDFS). A 5:1 propensity matching between IFS and each functional dependent group was performed, respectively. The 30-day peri‑operative outcomes of PDFS and TDFS were compared to that of IFS. Peri-operative outcomes between PDFS and TDFS were compared using multivariable logistic regression, adjusted for demographics and co-morbidities.

Results

There were 968 PDFS with 4779 matched IFS and 247 TDFS with 1202 matched IFS. Compared to IFS, PDFS and TDFS had higher mortality, sepsis, bleeding, and length of stay>7 days. TDFS have higher MACE, cardiac/pulmonary/renal complications, and OR return than IFS. Compared to PDFS, TDFS had higher mortality (aOR 1.68, p = 0.03), higher risk of MACE (aOR 1.88, p<0.01), cardiac events (aOR 2.74, p<0.01), perioperative sepsis (aOR 1.73, p = 0.03), pulmonary complications (aOR 2.16, p<0.01), and returning to OR (aOR 1.68, p = 0.02).

Conclusion

Our study shows that dependent functional status is associated with increased morbidity and mortality after CABG. Additional post-CABG complication monitoring and care may be required for TDFS.

Current Clinical Implications of Frailty and Sarcopenia in Vascular Surgery: A Comprehensive Review of the Literature and Consideration of Perioperative Management

Frailty is a well-known geriatric syndrome of impaired physiological reserve and increased vulnerability to stressors. Sarcopenia is also used as a parameter of physical impairment characterized by muscle weakness. As population aging has become more prominent in recent years, both modalities are now regarded as clinically important prognostic tools defined by multidimensional factors that may affect clinical outcomes in various clinical settings. A preoperative surgical risk analysis is mandatory to predict clinical and surgical outcomes in all surgical practices, particularly in high-risk surgical patients. In vascular surgical settings, frailty and sarcopenia have been accepted as useful prognostic tools to evaluate patient characteristics before surgery, as these may predict perioperative clinical and surgical outcomes. Although minimally invasive surgical approaches, such as endovascular therapy, and hybrid approaches have been universally developed, achieving good vascular surgical outcomes for high-risk cohorts remains to be challenge due to the increasing prevalence of elderly patients and multiple preoperative co-morbidities in addition to frailty and sarcopenia. Therefore, to further improve clinical and surgical outcomes, these preoperative geriatric prognostic factors will be of great importance and interest in vascular surgical settings for both physicians and surgeons.

The Association Between Preoperative Independent Ambulatory Status and Outcomes After Open Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Repairs

OBJECTIVE

Preoperative functional status is appreciated as a key determinant of decision-making when evaluating patients for complex elective surgeries. We used the Vascular Quality Initiative (VQI) to analyze the effect of being able to independently ambulate on outcomes after open abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repairs.

METHODS

We identified all patients who underwent elective or urgent open AAA repairs from January 2013 to August 2019 in the VQI registry. We recorded demographic variables, comorbidities, and operative factors such as approach, operative ischemia time, proximal clamp site, and presence of iliac aneurysms. Short-term and long-term outcomes included 30-day mortality, any perioperative complications, failure to rescue (defined as death after a complication), and one-year all-cause mortality. We dichotomized patients based on their ability to independently ambulate (Ambulatory) or inability to ambulate independently (Non-Ambulatory) and used both multivariable logistic regressions and cox-proportional hazards models to evaluate outcomes.

RESULTS

Of 5,371 patients, 328 (6.1%) could not ambulate independently and were more likely to be older (median age 69 vs 72), female (25% vs. 38%), and have greater comorbidities. Overall outcomes were: 4.3% for 30-day mortality, 38.7% for complications, 10.2% for failure-to-rescue, and 6.9% for one-year mortality. Univariate analysis showed higher rates of all adverse outcomes in non-ambulatory patients. On adjusted analysis, non-ambulatory patients had increased odds of complications by 46% (OR 1.46 [95%-CI 1.11-1.91]) and one-year mortality by 46% (HR 1.46 [95%-CI 1.06-1.99]), but not failure to rescue (OR 1.05 [95%-CI 0.67-1.62]) or 30-day mortality (OR 1.22 [95%-CI 0.82-1.81]). Increased hospital volume, age, and increased operative renal ischemia time were independently associated with adverse outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Non-ambulatory status was observed in a small percentage of patients undergoing open AAA repair but was associated with higher rates of post-operative complications and one-year mortality. Ambulatory capacity is one of the key determinants of outcomes following open AAA repair. In patients with poor ambulatory function, a conservative approach is highly recommended over invasive open surgical intervention.

Frailty as a predictor of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events after endovascular aortic aneurysm repair

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the effect of frailty assessed by the modified Frailty Index (mFI) on major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) in the elderly patients after endovascular aortic aneurysm repair (EVAR).

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study of elderly patients who underwent EVAR in a tertiary hospital. The main exposure was frailty status assessed by the mFI. The primary outcomes were 30-day and long-term MACCE. The predictive ability of the mFI was compared with the Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) using net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) statistics.

RESULTS

Of 749 participants, 134 (17.89%) were identified as frail and 185 (24.70%) as prefrail. Thirteen patients (1.74%) were lost in follow-up after surgery, and the median length of follow-up was 32.00 months (range, 15.00-59.25 months). Frailty was associated with a significantly increased risk of 30-day MACCE (adjusted odds ratio OR, 14.53; 95% confidence interval [CI], 4.59-46.04; P < .0001) and longer intensive care unit stay (adjusted odds ratio, 2.43; 95% CI, 1.17-5.07; P = .0176). As for long-term outcomes, both frailty and prefrailty were associated significantly increased risks of MACCE after EVAR (prefrail: adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.71; 95% CI, 1.12-2.61; frail: adjusted HR, 3.37; 95% CI, 1.86-6.10). When considering death as a competing risk, we also observed a significant association between frailty and cardiac and cerebrovascular events (adjusted HR, 2.95; 95% CI, 1.06-8.15). In addition, frailty was associated with a significantly increased risk of all-cause mortality (adjusted HR, 1.93; 95% CI, 1.28-2.90). Compared with the RCRI, the mFI had better discrimination in predicting 30-day MACCE (IDI: 0.225; 95% CI, 0.018-0.431; P = .033; NRI: 0.225; 95% CI, 0.023-0.427; P = .029) and long-term MACCE (IDI: 0.056; 95% CI, 0.018-0.128; P = .013; NRI: 0.237; 95% CI, 0.136-0.359; P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Frailty assessed by the mFI may serve as a useful predictor of both short-term and long-term MACCE in elderly patients after EVAR, with improved discrimination and reclassification abilities compared with the RCRI.

Preoperative geriatric assesment, a promising tool to improve outcomes in aortic pathology interventions

BACKGROUND

Due to population aging and the spread of endovascular techniques for aortic diseases, there has been an increase in older population intervened. Objectively assessing patient's global status becomes mandatory in advanced ages, as impaired functional status and frailty are associated with higher postoperative mortality rates. The aim of this paper is to evaluate the impact of a systematic geriatric preoperative assessment on the outcomes of aortic interventions.

METHODS

All patients above 60 years old with surgical indication for aortic disease between September 2016 and May 2019 underwent a standardized geriatric assessment. It analyzed physiological reserve, frailty and life expectancy. An algorithm was created for its application before intervention indication. Variables registered were patient's data, type of aortic disease, type of intervention, geriatric assessment result, mortality and follow-up time. A bivariate analysis was performed.

RESULTS

144 patients were included. Geriatric report was unfavourable for intervention in 6,25% (n=9). From these, 88%(n=8) were finally rejected for intervention. In those undergoing aortic intervention (n=127) there was a 7% mortality rate (n=9) and in the no-intervention group (n=17) mortality rate raised up to 35%(n=6). No aortic-related mortality was reported. A relevant association between an unfavourable geriatric report and mortality was found "OR 0,036(CI 0,0082-0,155)". A protective relationship between any aortic intervention and mortality was found, with OR 0,139(CI 0,043-0,447).

CONCLUSIONS

Geriatric assessment is a valid tool to estimate life expectancy and patient's physiological status. An unfavourable report correlates with short-term non-aortic mortality independently of undergoing intervention. This has a high clinical relevance and it highlights its practical applicability to improve aortic surgery indication's quality and optimize resource investment.

Functional performance status and risk of cardiovascular events and mortality following endovascular repair of thoracic and abdominal aortic pathology

OBJECTIVE

To characterize the association of preoperative functional performance status based on Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) scoring with the risk of adverse cardiovascular events, vascular events, and mortality in patients undergoing EVAR and TEVAR.

METHODS

Retrospective review of the Society for Vascular Surgery Vascular Quality Initiative, a large, multi-center, registry database was performed. All individuals undergoing EVAR (n = 18,730) and TEVAR (n = 6595) for non-ruptured aortic pathologies between 2014 and 2018 were eligible for analysis. Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine the association of pre-procedure ECOG functional performance status on risk of in-hospital adverse cardiovascular events, vascular events, and mortality.

RESULTS

The number of operations complicated by adverse cardiovascular and vascular events was 480 (2.6%) and 190 (1.0%) for EVAR and 733 (11.1%) and 219 (3.3%) for TEVAR, respectively. There were 118 (0.6%) and 240 (3.6%) in-hospital deaths following EVAR and TEVAR, respectively. Patients with ECOG grades 3 or 4 undergoing EVAR were at increased risk of cardiovascular events (OR = 1.62; 95% CI = 1.09, 2.41) and one-year mortality (HR = 2.62; 95% CI = 1.92, 3.57) compared to those with ECOG grade 0. Patients undergoing TEVAR with ECOG grade 3 or 4 were at increased risk for both inpatient death (OR = 2.77; 95% CI = 1.56, 4.9) and one-year mortality (HR = 3.27, 95% CI = 2.06, 5.21). ECOG status was not associated with an increased risk of adverse vascular events following either EVAR or TEVAR.

CONCLUSIONS

Poor preoperative functional status as assessed by ECOG score is associated with an increased risk of adverse postoperative cardiovascular events following EVAR and a higher mortality risk following both EVAR and TEVAR. Functional status assessment may be useful for risk stratification and determining procedural candidacy prior to EVAR and TEVAR.

Functional Status and Out-of-Hospital Outcomes in Different Types of Vascular Surgery Patients

BACKGROUND

We aimed to determine the correlation between the functional status at discharge in non-cardiac vascular surgery patients and the out-of-hospital mortality.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study including adult non-cardiac vascular surgery patients (open, endovascular and venous procedures) surviving hospitalization in Boston, Massachusetts, USA. The exposure of interest was functional status determined by a licensed physical therapist at hospital discharge and rated based on qualitative categories adapted from the Functional Independence Measure. The primary outcome was all cause 90-day mortality after hospital discharge. The secondary outcome was readmission within 30days. Adjusted odds ratios were estimated by multivariable logistic regression models.

RESULTS

This cohort included 2318 patients (male 51%; mean age 61 ± 17.7). After evaluation by a physiotherapist, 425 patients scored the lowest functional status, 631 scored moderately low, 681 moderately high and 581 scored the highest functional status. The lowest functional status was associated with a 3.41-fold increased adjusted odds for 90-day mortality (95%CI, 1.70-6.84) compared to patients with the highest functional status. When excluding venous intervention patients, the adjusted odds ratio was 6.76 (95%CI, 2.53-18.12) for the 90-day mortality post-discharge. The adjusted odds for readmission within 30-days was 1.5-fold increase in patients with the lowest functional status (95%CI, 1.04-2.20).

CONCLUSIONS

In vascular surgery patients surviving hospitalization, functional status is strongly associated with out-of-hospital mortality and readmission rate. Future trials could provide evidence if improvement of functional status could prevent adverse outcomes in the postoperative setting.

[Summary of the S3 guideline on abdominal aortic aneurysm from an anesthesiological perspective]

The current article is a summary of the 2018 revised S3 guideline on screening, diagnosis, therapy, and follow-up of the abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) from an anesthesiological point of view. It is the only interdisciplinary guideline that describes in particular the perioperative anesthesiological and intensive care management.

Endograft type and anesthesia mode are associated with mortality of endovascular aneurysm repair for ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms

OBJECTIVE

Endovascular aneurysm repair has become the primary treatment modality for ruptured infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm. This study examines the impact of endograft type on perioperative outcomes for ruptured infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm.

METHOD

The targeted endovascular aneurysm repair files of the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database (2012-2017) were used. Only patients treated for ruptured infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm were included. All patients requiring concomitant stenting of the visceral arteries or aneurysmal iliac arteries or open abdominal surgery were excluded. The characteristics of patients treated with the different endografts and the corresponding outcomes were compared using Stata software.

RESULTS

There were 479 patients treated with the three most common endografts: Cook Zenith (n = 127), Gore Excluder (n = 239), and Medtronic Endurant (n = 113). The number of other endografts was too small for statistical analysis. Compared to patients treated with Excluder or Endurant, the patients treated with Zenith had significantly lower body mass index (P < .001) and were less likely to be white (P < .001). On the other hand, patients treated with Endurant were less likely to be smoker (P = .016). Patients treated with Zenith had significantly larger ruptured infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm diameter (P = .045). The overall mortality was 18% and morbidity 74.3%. There was a statistically significant difference in overall mortality (Zenith = 11.8%, Excluder = 18%, Endurant = 24.8%, P = .033) but not morbidity (P = .808) between the three groups. Post hoc analysis for overall mortality showed only significant difference between Zenith and Endurant. The difference in mortality was not significant in patients presenting with ruptured infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm without hypotension (P = .065). On multivariable analysis, treatment with the Endurant endograft was associated with increased mortality compared to Zenith (odds ratio = 3.0 [confidence interval 1.31-6.7]). General anesthesia (odds ratio = 2.67 [confidence interval 1.02-7.02]), rupture with hypotension (odds ratio = 4.49 [confidence interval 2.54-7.95]), and dependent functional status (odds ratio = 5.7 [confidence interval 1.96-16.59]) were independently associated with increased mortality while increasing body mass index (odds ratio = 0.97 [confidence interval 0.95-0.99]) was associated with reduced risk of mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlights contemporary outcomes of endovascular aneurysm repair for ruptured infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm with relatively low mortality. Endograft type and anesthesia technique are modifiable factors that can potentially improve outcomes. Significant variation in the outcomes of the different endografts warrants further research.

Frailty Factors and Outcomes in Vascular Surgery Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To describe and critique tools used to assess frailty in vascular surgery patients, and investigate its associations with patient factors and outcomes.

BACKGROUND

Increasing evidence shows negative impacts of frailty on outcomes in surgical patients, but little investigation of its associations with patient factors has been undertaken.

METHODS

Systematic review and meta-analysis of studies reporting frailty in vascular surgery patients (PROSPERO registration: CRD42018116253) searching Medline, Embase, CINAHL, PsycINFO, and Scopus. Quality of studies was assessed using Newcastle-Ottawa scores (NOS) and quality of evidence using Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation criteria. Associations of frailty with patient factors were investigated by difference in means (MD) or expressed as risk ratios (RRs), and associations with outcomes expressed as odds ratios (ORs) or hazard ratios (HRs). Data were pooled using random-effects models.

RESULTS

Fifty-three studies were included in the review and only 8 (15%) were both good quality (NOS ≥ 7) and used a well-validated frailty measure. Eighteen studies (62,976 patients) provided data for the meta-analysis. Frailty was associated with increased age [MD 4.05 years; 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.35, 4.75], female sex (RR 1.32; 95% CI 1.14, 1.54), and lower body mass index (MD -1.81; 95% CI -2.94, -0.68). Frailty was associated with 30-day mortality [adjusted OR (AOR) 2.77; 95% CI 2.01-3.81), postoperative complications (AOR 2.16; 95% CI 1.55, 3.02), and long-term mortality (HR 1.85; 95% CI 1.31, 2.62). Sarcopenia was not associated with any outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Frailty, but not sarcopenia, is associated with worse outcomes in vascular surgery patients. Well-validated frailty assessment tools should be preferred clinically, and in future research.

Surgery for the Very Old: Are Nonagenarians Different?

Octogenarians and nonagenarians are considered the “very old” and are often viewed as one group. Americans are aging, with the proportion of the very old expected to increase from 1.9 per cent of the population to 4.3 per cent in 2050. This study aimed to underscore the differences in surgical trends, demographics, and outcomes between octogenarians and nonagenarians. The ACS-NSQIP database (2007–2012) was used to derive the type of surgeries, demographics, and outcomes of octogenarian and nonagenarians undergoing nonemergent vascular, orthopedic, and general surgery procedures. Between 2007 and 2012, nonagenarians accounted for an increasing percentage of surgeries (85 to 121 per 10,000 surgeries, relative risk = 1.42; 95% CI: 1.30–1.54) across surgical specialties, including vascular, general, and orthopedic surgery, whereas the percentage of octogenarians undergoing surgery remained unchanged. Nonagenarians had a higher 30-day perioperative mortality and a longer hospital stay than octogenarians after vascular, orthopedic, and general surgery procedures. Nonagenarians are a rapidly growing group of surgical patients with significantly higher perioperative mortality and longer postoperative hospital stay. The impact of surgery on the quality of life of nonagenarians needs to be studied to justify the increasing healthcare costs.

Association of Functional, Cognitive, and Psychological Measures With 1-Year Mortality in Patients Undergoing Major Surgery

Importance

More older adults are undergoing major surgery despite the greater risk of postoperative mortality. Although measures, such as functional, cognitive, and psychological status, are known to be crucial components of health in older persons, they are not often used in assessing the risk of adverse postoperative outcomes in older adults.

Objective

To determine the association between measures of physical, cognitive, and psychological function and 1-year mortality in older adults after major surgery.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Retrospective analysis of a prospective cohort study of participants 66 years or older who were enrolled in the nationally representative Health and Retirement Study and underwent 1 of 3 types of major surgery.

Exposures

Major surgery, including abdominal aortic aneurysm repair, coronary artery bypass graft, and colectomy.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Our outcome was mortality within 1 year of major surgery. Our primary associated factors included functional, cognitive, and psychological factors: dependence in activities of daily living (ADL), dependence in instrumental ADL, inability to walk several blocks, cognitive status, and presence of depression. We adjusted for other demographic and clinical predictors.

Results

Of 1341 participants, the mean (SD) participant age was 76 (6) years, 737 (55%) were women, 99 (7%) underwent abdominal aortic aneurysm repair, 686 (51%) coronary artery bypass graft, and 556 (42%) colectomy; 223 (17%) died within 1 year of their operation. After adjusting for age, comorbidity burden, surgical type, sex, race/ethnicity, wealth, income, and education, the following measures were significantly associated with 1-year mortality: more than 1 ADL dependence (29% vs 13%; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.76; P = .001), more than 1 instrumental ADL dependence (21% vs 14%; aHR, 1.32; P = .05), the inability to walk several blocks (17% vs 11%; aHR, 1.64; P = .01), dementia (21% vs 12%; aHR, 1.91; P = .03), and depression (19% vs 12%; aHR, 1.72; P = .01). The risk of 1-year mortality increased within the increasing risk factors present (0 factors: 10.0%; 1 factor: 16.2%; 2 factors: 27.8%).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this older adult cohort, 223 participants (17%) who underwent major surgery died within 1 year and poor function, cognition, and psychological well-being were significantly associated with mortality. Measures in function, cognition, and psychological well-being need to be incorporated into the preoperative assessment to enhance surgical decision-making and patient counseling.

Meta-analysis of long-term survival after elective endovascular or open repair of abdominal aortic aneurysm

BACKGROUND

Endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) has become the preferred strategy for elective repair of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) for many patients. However, the superiority of the endovascular procedure has recently been challenged by reports of impaired long-term survival in patients who underwent EVAR. A systematic review of long-term survival following AAA repair was therefore undertaken.

METHODS

A systematic review was performed according to PRISMA guidelines. Articles reporting short- and/or long-term mortality of EVAR and open surgical repair (OSR) of AAA were identified. Pooled overall survival estimates (hazard ratios (HRs) with corresponding 95 per cent c.i. for EVAR versus OSR) were calculated using a random-effects model. Possible confounding owing to age differences between patients receiving EVAR or OSR was addressed by estimating relative survival.

RESULTS

Some 53 studies were identified. The 30-day mortality rate was lower for EVAR compared with OSR: 1·16 (95 per cent c.i. 0·92 to 1·39) versus 3·27 (2·71 to 3·83) per cent. Long-term survival rates were similar for EVAR versus OSR (HRs 1·01, 1·00 and 0·98 for 3, 5 and 10 years respectively; P = 0·721, P = 0·912 and P = 0·777). Correction of age inequality by means of relative survival analysis showed equal long-term survival: 0·94, 0·91 and 0·76 at 3, 5 and 10 years for EVAR, and 0·96, 0·91 and 0·76 respectively for OSR.

CONCLUSION

Long-term overall survival rates were similar for EVAR and OSR. Available data do not allow extension beyond the 10-year survival window or analysis of specific subgroups.

The Impact of Frailty on Outcomes of Elderly Patients After Major Vascular Surgery: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the quality of published evidence of all frailty tools in major vascular surgery and to determine the effect of frailty on short and long-term outcomes after vascular procedures.

METHODS

MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Database and Scopus (updated on May 12, 2018) were searched for studies evaluating the effect of frailty in vascular surgery and data were extracted from the included studies. A modified Newcastle-Ottawa scale was used to assess the quality of the included studies. The impact of frailty on outcomes was expressed as odds ratios (OR) or hazard ratios (HR) using a random effects model.

RESULTS

A total of 22 cohort studies and one RCT were included. Overall frailty was found to be associated with a significantly increased risk of 30 day mortality in patients who underwent vascular surgery (OR 3.83, 95% CI 3.08-4.76), with similar effects in both patients who underwent abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair (OR 5.15, 95% CI 3.91-6.77) and lower extremity revascularisation (OR 3.29, 95% CI 2.53-4.28). Functional status remained the only tool with high quality of evidence predicting 30 day mortality after vascular surgery (OR 4.49, 95% CI 3.81-5.30). As for long-term outcomes, frailty was associated with a significantly increased risk of long-term all cause mortality in the overall studied population (HR 2.22, 95% CI 1.81-2.73), as well as in patients with AAA repair (HR 2.10, 95% CI 1.59-2.79) and lower extremity revascularisation (HR 2.46, 95% CI 1.73-3.49). Central muscle mass was found to be the only tool with moderate quality of evidence predicting long-term survival after major vascular surgery (HR 2.48, 95% CI 1.76-3.49). Other single domain tools were generally scored as low quality, and the modified Frailty Index was the only multi-domain tool with moderate quality while others were scored as low or very low.

CONCLUSION

Frailty, assessed by functional status, can predict short-term mortality in elderly patients after vascular surgery; while central muscle mass may help determine long-term survival in abdominal aortic repair. As frailty is associated with both worse short and long-term outcomes, frailty assessment may be considered in patients scheduled for vascular surgery.

Bleeding impacting mortality after noncardiac surgery: a protocol to establish diagnostic criteria, estimate prognostic importance, and develop and validate a prediction guide in an international prospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Various definitions of bleeding have been used in perioperative studies without systematic assessment of the diagnostic criteria for their independent association with outcomes important to patients. Our proposed definition of bleeding impacting mortality after noncardiac surgery (BIMS) is bleeding that is independently associated with death during or within 30 days after noncardiac surgery. We describe our analysis plan to sequentially 1) establish the diagnostic criteria for BIMS, 2) estimate the independent contribution of BIMS to 30-day mortality and 3) develop and internally validate a clinical prediction guide to estimate patient-specific risk of BIMS.

METHODS

In the Vascular Events In Noncardiac Surgery Patients Cohort Evaluation (VISION) study, we prospectively collected bleeding data for 16 079 patients aged 45 years or more who had noncardiac inpatient surgery between 2007 and 2011 at 12 centres in 8 countries across 5 continents. We will include bleeding features independently associated with 30-day mortality in the diagnostic criteria for BIMS. Candidate features will include the need for reoperation due to bleeding, the number of units of erythrocytes transfused, the lowest postoperative hemoglobin concentration, and the absolute and relative decrements in hemoglobin concentration from the preoperative value. We will then estimate the incidence of BIMS and its independent association with 30-day mortality. Last, we will construct and internally validate a clinical prediction guide for BIMS.

INTERPRETATION

This study will address an important gap in our knowledge about perioperative bleeding, with implications for the 200 million patients who undergo noncardiac surgery globally every year. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, no NCT00512109.