Sex- and age-specific differences in associations of a body shape index with all-cause and cardiovascular death risks among US adults with diabetes

Evaluating the potential of waist-to-BMI ratio, a body shape index, and other anthropometric parameters in predicting cardiovascular disease mortality: evidence from NHANES III

BACKGROUND

Anthropometric measures can be obtained easily and quickly and have the potential for prognostic stratification in the context of cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study evaluates the prognostic value of the waist-to-BMI ratio, a body shape index (ABSI), body roundness index (BRI), waist circumference (WC), and body mass index (BMI) for CVD mortality prediction in the general population, compared with the Framingham risk score (FRS).

METHODS

Data of participants from the United States Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III) (1988 to 1994), aged 40-79 years with complete data were extracted and analyzed. Cox regression, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, and the C-index were used to determine the predictive value of the anthropometric parameters for CVD mortality, with follow-up through the end of 2019 via the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) Linked Mortality File.

RESULTS

After applying inclusion and exclusion criteria, 6,746 individuals (mean age 57.6 years) were analyzed. Cox regression indicated significant associations between BMI, WC, waist-to-BMI ratio, BRI, ABSI, and increased CVD mortality risk (adjusted hazard ratios [aHR] = 1.11, 1.19, 1.07, 1.12, and 1.13, respectively). ROC analysis revealed that FRS had the best performance for predicting 10-year CVD mortality (AUC = 0.7252), followed by ABSI (0.6407) and waist-to-BMI ratio (0.6120). Time-dependent AUC analyses confirmed FRS had the highest C-index (0.7004), followed by ABSI (0.6358) and waist-to-BMI ratio (0.5807).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study suggests that, among the anthropometric measures studied, ABSI and waist-to-BMI ratio may offer predictive capability for CVD mortality in the general US population. The simplicity of measuring and calculating the waist-to-BMI ratio enhances its practicality, making it a potentially useful tool, particularly when other clinical factors are not available.

CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER

Not applicable.

Inflammatory markers mediate the association between alternative adiposity indices and mortality in patients with rheumatoid arthritis: data from NHANES 1999-2018

BACKGROUND

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a chronic inflammatory joint disease with increasing mortality worldwide. Traditional obesity indicators inadequately predict the mortality risk in this population. Thus, the research aimed to evaluate new obesity indicators to explore their close association with RA mortality.

METHODS

This study analyzed 101,316 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey participants (1999-2018) to evaluate alternative adiposity indices for RA mortality prediction. Missing data were imputed using the random forest method. Key covariates were selected using the Boruta algorithm and weighted univariate Cox regression. Multivariable-adjusted models generated hazard ratios (95% confidence interval), validated by time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves and Harrell's C-index. Survival patterns were assessed with restricted cubic splines (RCS) and Kaplan-Meier curves. Threshold effects and robustness were analyzed via segmented Cox models and sensitivity analyses. Extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) identified A Body Shape Index (ABSI) as the strongest predictor.

RESULTS

Among the 1,266 individuals, 299 deaths occurred during follow-up (190 all-cause, 59 cardiovascular, 50 cancer). ABSI predicted the 5-, 10-, and 20-year mortality (area under the curve: 0.823, 0.801, 0.752, respectively) and outperformed other indices in the Harrell's C-index. Weighted multivariable Cox regression linked higher ABSI × 100 values with increased mortality; Kaplan-Meier curves confirmed reduced survival in the highest quartile (P < 0.001). RCS revealed a U-curve association linking ABSI × 100 to mortality. Moreover, the mediating effects analysis indicated the Monocyte-to-High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Ratio, Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio, Advanced Lung Cancer Inflammation Index, and Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index played significant roles as mediators, with mediation ratios of 4.9%, 5.1%, 8.5%, and 4.5%, respectively. Additional sensitivity analyses validated these results. Quartile stratification revealed a pronounced risk amplification in the highest quartile (Q4), particularly in the fully adjusted specification (Hazard ratio = 3.43, 1.45-8.14; P = 0.005). Furthermore, XGBoost results indicate that ABSI is the best obesity metric for predicting the prognosis of patients with RA.

CONCLUSIONS

This study revealed a potential clinical value of a new obesity index, specifically the ABSI, in predicting the survival rates among individuals with RA. Inflammatory markers appear to play a partial mediating role in this relationship.

Abdominal obesity: A lethal factor in elderly male osteoporosis patients - insights from NHANES

BACKGROUND AND AIM

This study aims to investigate the relationship between A Body Shape Index (ABSI) Z-score and all-cause mortality among osteoporotic patients using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES).

METHODS AND RESULTS

We analyzed NHANES data from 2005 to 2010, 2013 to 2014, and 2017 to 2018, focusing on individuals aged 50 and above with complete bone mineral density (BMD) data. The ABSI Z-score, calculated by adjusting waist circumference (WC) for height and weight, was used to independently assess abdominal fat beyond Body Mass Index (BMI). Mortality status was confirmed by linking NHANES data with the National Death Index (NDI), with follow-up until December 31, 2019. Weighted Cox proportional hazards models were employed for analysis, adjusting for age, gender, race, fracture history, anti-osteoporosis treatment history, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease (CVD). The study included 1596 participants. Higher ABSI Z-scores were significantly associated with increased all-cause mortality risk, especially among elderly male osteoporotic patients. This association remained robust after adjusting for multiple potential confounders.

CONCLUSION

The ABSI Z-score serves as a valuable non-invasive screening tool that effectively identifies osteoporotic patients at higher risk of mortality. These findings emphasize the importance of body management in health, supporting further research to explore the practical utility of ABSI Z-score in osteoporotic patients and how body management can enhance long-term survival rates.

The combined impact of BMI and ABSI on all-cause mortality among American adults with diabetes

OBJECTIVE

Previous studies have emphasized the independent effects of anthropometric indices-including body mass index (BMI), A Body Shape Index (ABSI), waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), body roundness index (BRI), and Conicity Index-on mortality. However, their combined impact, especially in diabetic populations with distinct obesity patterns, has been less frequently explored. This study investigates both the independent and combined effects of these anthropometric indices on mortality in diabetic Americans and compares their individual and combined diagnostic value.

METHODS

A nationally representative cohort study was conducted using NHANES data (2005-2018), including 6,572 diabetic adults. Weighted Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic splines were applied to evaluate the independent and combined associations of anthropometric indices (BMI, ABSI, WHtR, BRI, and Conicity Index) with all-cause mortality. The weighted receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess the diagnostic value of individual anthropometric indices and their combinations in predicting mortality.

RESULTS

Among all the anthropometric indices, ABSI exhibited the strongest independent association with all-cause mortality, outperforming other measures such as BMI, WHtR, BRI, and Conicity Index. A clear linear relationship was identified, with higher ABSI tertiles consistently linked to an increased risk of mortality. Notably, within each BMI tertile, ABSI effectively differentiated mortality risk, particularly in the highest tertile. Furthermore, ABSI demonstrated the highest predictive performance among individual metrics (weighted AUC = 0.653) and showed further improvement when combined with BMI (weighted AUC = 0.669).

CONCLUSION

BMI and ABSI collectively provide a comprehensive evaluation of mortality risk in diabetic populations, capturing the synergistic effects of general and central obesity. These findings highlight the importance of integrating BMI and ABSI into risk assessments to identify high-risk individuals and guide targeted interventions for reducing mortality.

The synergistic effect of the triglyceride-glucose index and a body shape index on cardiovascular mortality: the construction of a novel cardiovascular risk marker

BACKGROUND

Insulin resistance, represented by increased triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index levels, shows interplay with visceral obesity and together promotes cardiovascular diseases and mortality. However, significant controversies exist regarding whether modified TyG indices, such as TyG-BMI, TyG-WC, and TyG-WHtR, outperform the TyG index in predicting cardiovascular outcomes. We aimed to explore whether there was a synergistic effect of a body shape index (ABSI), a better parameter reflecting visceral obesity, and the TyG index on cardiovascular mortality.

METHODS

We analyzed data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2001-2018 of 17,329 individuals. The associations of the TyG index and ABSI with cardiovascular mortality were investigated via Cox regression analysis and restricted cubic splines. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to compare the predictive value. Mediation analysis was used to explore the potential mediator.

RESULTS

A total of 673 (3.9%) cardiovascular deaths occurred during a median follow-up of 8.92 years. Individuals with high TyG and high ABSI (TyG > 9.04 and ABSI > 0.085) were at the highest cardiovascular mortality risk both in individuals with (HR = 1.714, 95% CI 1.123-2.616) and without diabetes (HR = 1.402, 95% CI 1.003-1.960), suggesting a synergistic effect. Next, we multiplied these two indicators and established TyG-ABSI. It showed a J-shaped relationship and a positive linear relationship with cardiovascular mortality in individuals with and without diabetes, respectively. Arterial stiffness, represented by estimated pulse wave velocity, partially mediated the effect of TyG-ABSI on cardiovascular mortality, with a mediation proportion of 42.7%. The predictive value of TyG-ABSI was greater than that of the TyG index, TyG-BMI, TyG-WC, and TyG-WHtR (Harrell's C-index: 0.710 vs 0.623 vs 0.539 vs 0.612 vs 0.622, all p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The simultaneous assessment of the TyG index and ABSI revealed a synergistic effect on cardiovascular mortality. We recommended the use of TyG-ABSI instead of the TyG index and other modified TyG indices in cardiovascular risk assessment.

Analyzing the impact of glycemic metabolic status on cardiovascular mortality and all-cause mortality related to the estimated glucose disposal rate: a nationwide cohort study

Objective

The Estimated Glucose Disposal Rate (eGDR) serves as a surrogate marker for insulin resistance, with numerous studies highlighting its significant prognostic value. This paper aims to analyze the impact of eGDR on cardiovascular and all-cause mortality across different glycemic metabolic statuses, including normal fasting glucose (NFG), prediabetes, and diabetes.

Methods

This study included 46,016 American adults who underwent health examinations as part of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 1999 to 2018. Multivariable Cox regression was employed to explore the relationships between eGDR and mortality rates under varying glycemic states. Additionally, Kaplan-Meier curves were used to compare the cumulative incidence of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality across different metabolic statuses. Finally, the predictive value of eGDR for mortality was assessed using receiver operating characteristic curves.

Results

During an average follow-up of 115 months, a total of 6,906 (15.01%) participants experienced all-cause mortality, with 1,798 (3.91%) deaths attributed to cardiovascular causes. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that higher eGDR levels were associated with gradually reduced mortality rates. After adjusting for confounders, elevated eGDR levels were protective against both cardiovascular and all-cause mortality; the protective effect was notably stronger for cardiovascular mortality [Cardiovascular mortality hazard ratio: 0.92; All-cause mortality hazard ratio: 0.94]. Further interaction tests indicated that glycemic status significantly modified the protective effect of eGDR (P-interaction<0.0001); specifically, high eGDR conferred stronger protection against cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in individuals with NFG and prediabetes compared to those with diabetes. Receiver operating characteristic analysis suggested that eGDR had superior predictive value for mortality in the NFG and prediabetic populations compared to the diabetic group.

Conclusion

eGDR is a straightforward surrogate for insulin resistance, acting as a protective factor against cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in American adults, with glycemic status modifying this protective effect. Specifically, high eGDR levels offer stronger protection in individuals with NFG and prediabetes compared to those with diabetes; moreover, eGDR appears to be more suitable for predicting mortality events in the NFG and prediabetic populations.

Association between a body shape index and female infertility: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

The relationship between A Body Shape Index (ABSI) and female infertility is not well understood. ABSI, a novel anthropometric measure, is gaining recognition for its ability to more accurately capture visceral fat characteristics than traditional metrics like BMI. This study aims to explore the association between ABSI and female infertility, considering its potential applications in medical screening and risk assessment.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study analyzed data from the NHANES from 2013 to 2020. Female infertility was assessed through reproductive health questionnaires, and ABSI was calculated using waist circumference, BMI, and height. Weighted logistic regression models and trend tests were used to evaluate the association between ABSI and female infertility. Restricted cubic splines (RCS) were employed to explore potential nonlinear relationships. Subgroup analyses were conducted to examine the consistency of the association across various demographic and health-related factors. Sensitivity analyses were also performed, including the exclusion of participants with missing covariate data, the application of propensity score matching, and restricting the analysis to women aged 20-45 years.

RESULTS

The study included 3,718 participants, 433 of whom were diagnosed with infertility. Higher ABSI was associated with an increased risk of female infertility (OR = 1.56, 95% CI: 1.21-2.00, P = 0.001), as demonstrated by weighted logistic regression and trend tests. Women in the highest ABSI quartile had a significantly higher prevalence of infertility compared to those in the lowest quartile (OR = 1.73, 95% CI: 1.27-2.37, P = 0.001). RCS curves indicated a linear positive relationship between ABSI and infertility risk, with a critical value at 0.079. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses confirmed the stability of these findings.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrates a positive linear relationship between ABSI and the risk of female infertility. The use of a simple, non-invasive ABSI measurement could facilitate the early identification of high-risk individuals in large-scale screenings, potentially helping to prevent or reduce the incidence of infertility.

Obesity indices and the risk of total and cardiovascular mortality among people with diabetes: a long-term follow-up study in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

The association between obesity indicators and mortality in individuals with diabetes remains unclear, and data on cardiovascular mortality are scarce. Therefore, we investigated the associations between the five adiposity indices and both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with diabetes.

METHODS

This cohort study included 34,686 adults with diabetes who underwent a standard health-screening program between 1996 and 2017 in Taiwan. The dates and causes of death till January 2022 were retrieved from the National Death Registry. Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate the hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in relation to body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, waist-hip ratio (WHR), body fat percentage (BF%), and A Body Shape Index (ABSI), using the third quintile as the reference group.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 15 years, there were 8,324 deaths, of which 1,748 were attributed to cardiovascular disease. After adjusting for demographics, lifestyle factors and comorbidities, ABSI was associated with all-cause mortality in an exposure-response manner; the HR (95% CI) for first and fifth vs. third quintile was 0.78 (0.69-0.89) and 1.24 (1.14-1.35), respectively. A similar but weaker exposure-response relationship was found between WHR and mortality. People with a lower BMI and BF% had an increased risk of mortality (HR [95% CI] for the first vs. third quintiles, 1.33 [1.22, 1.44] and 1.42 [1.30, 1.56], respectively). No association was observed between waist circumference categories and risk of mortality. Similar results were observed for the association of BF%, waist circumference, and ABSI with cardiovascular mortality. However, no significant association was observed between BMI and cardiovascular mortality. The association between WHR and cardiovascular mortality was stronger than that between WHR and all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

ABSI demonstrated a consistent exposure-response relationship with both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in this Asian cohort with diabetes. Our findings highlight the importance of monitoring ABSI, a surrogate index of central adiposity, in patients with diabetes.

A Body Shape Index and Its Changes in Relation to All-Cause Mortality among the Chinese Elderly: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Although recent evidence has revealed that a body shape index (ABSI) is correlated with the incidence of death among different ethnicities, there remains a paucity of studies investigating the impact of ABSI on mortality within the Chinese elderly. Our objective was to ascertain the link between ABSI, as well as its alterations over time, and all-cause mortality among Chinese aged 65 y and above. A total of 3789 participants were enrolled from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS). Cox regressions and restricted cubic splines were employed to assess the association of ABSI and relative changes with all-cause mortality. When nonlinearity was detected, a restricted cubic spline regression was subsequently conducted to compute hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals. The median survival time was 46 months, and 1342 individuals (35.4%) were reported to have died. ABSI contributed independently to rising death rates among Chinese old populations according to univariate and multivariate Cox regressions. Statistically significant associations were also found stratified by age, sex, and lifestyle. A U-shaped association of ABSI changes with all-cause mortality (p = 0.027) was observed, indicating that old adults with stable ABSI during the follow-up period experienced the lowest risk of mortality. After multivariable adjustment, participants with a 10% reduction in ABSI changes had an increased 9.4% risk of death, while participants with a 10% rise in ABSI changes had an increased 1.9% risk. ABSI and its changes are predictors for all-cause mortality among the elderly Chinese population, which emphasizes the clinical importance of monitoring ABSI and keeping it stable over time.