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Wang Z, Li K, Liu Y, Ward MP, Chen Y, Li S, Zhang J, Zhao Y, Wang N, Qiu H, Lian Y, Zhang C, Zhang Z, Kan B. Changing epidemiology of leptospirosis in China from 1955 to 2022. Infect Dis Poverty 2025; 14:17. [PMID: 40033390 PMCID: PMC11874624 DOI: 10.1186/s40249-025-01284-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/30/2024] [Accepted: 02/17/2025] [Indexed: 03/05/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Leptospirosis, a zoonotic disease caused by pathogenic species of the genus Leptospira, is an important public health concern globally. Leptospirosis has been notifiable under statute in China since 1955, and its epidemiological characteristics have evolved during near 70 years. This study aimed to describe the spatial and temporal patterns and demographic characteristics of leptospirosis from 1955 to 2022 in China, and explore the possible factors that influence leptospirosis transmission risk. METHODS Wavelet time series analysis, global Moran's I coefficients, space-time scanning statistics, and so on were used to analyze temporal, seasonal, geographic, and demographic trends in leptospirosis using reported national surveillance data from Chinese mainland from 1955 to 2022. Additionally, a Bayesian spatiotemporal model was used in a preliminary analysis to explore potential factors associated with leptospirosis occurrence. RESULTS Between 1955 and 2022, China reported 25,236,601 leptospirosis cases, with 91% occurring from July to October. The annual incidence rate peaked at 38.28/100,000 during outbreaks in the 1960s-1980s but stabilized at a low level (0.07/100,000) between 2005 and 2022, with over 99% of cases in southern China. Clustering increased over time, being greatest during the period 2015-2022 (Moran's I = 0.41, P < 0.01). Space-time cluster analysis indicated that the most likely clusters were in northern provincial-level administrative divisions (PLADs) from 1955 to 1984, in southern PLADs from 1985 to 2022. The main identified risk factors of leptospirosis occurrence were annual average precipitation (3.68, 95% CI: 2.50 to 5.12), GDP per capita (-3.70, 95% CI: - 5.97 to - 1.41), and the total power of agricultural machinery (- 2.51, 95% CI: - 3.85 to - 1.17). CONCLUSIONS Over past 70 years, leptospirosis in China has occurred as significant outbreaks but has ultimately declined to stable, low levels of occurrence. However, a clear north-south disparity persists, with tropical and subtropical regions in southern China remaining high-risk areas. The nearly 70-year dataset underscores the complex interplay of climate and socioeconomic factors influencing the disease's occurrence. Targeted prevention and control measures are critical to prevent outbreaks, especially in regions prone to extreme climatic events like heavy rainfall and floods, which may signal the resurgence of leptospirosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zengliang Wang
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, China
| | - Ke Li
- Shanghai Institute of Infectious Disease and Biosecurity, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
| | - Yuanhua Liu
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
- Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
| | - Michael P Ward
- Sydney School of Veterinary Science, The University of Sydney, Camden, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Yue Chen
- School of Epidemiology and Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Shuting Li
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
- Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
| | - Jidan Zhang
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
- Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
| | - Yu Zhao
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
- Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
| | - Na Wang
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
- Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
| | - Haiyan Qiu
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Yueran Lian
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, China
| | - Cuicai Zhang
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
| | - Zhijie Zhang
- Shanghai Institute of Infectious Disease and Biosecurity, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
- Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China.
| | - Biao Kan
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, China.
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
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Hagedoorn NN, Maze MJ, Carugati M, Cash-Goldwasser S, Allan KJ, Chen K, Cossic B, Demeter E, Gallagher S, German R, Galloway RL, Habuš J, Rubach MP, Shiokawa K, Sulikhan N, Crump JA. Global distribution of Leptospira serovar isolations and detections from animal host species: A systematic review and online database. Trop Med Int Health 2024; 29:161-172. [PMID: 38351504 PMCID: PMC11076152 DOI: 10.1111/tmi.13965] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/27/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Leptospira, the spirochaete causing leptospirosis, can be classified into >250 antigenically distinct serovars. Although knowledge of the animal host species and geographic distribution of Leptospira serovars is critical to understand the human and animal epidemiology of leptospirosis, current data are fragmented. We aimed to systematically review, the literature on animal host species and geographic distribution of Leptospira serovars to examine associations between serovars with animal host species and regions and to identify geographic regions in need of study. METHODS Nine library databases were searched from inception through 9 March 2023 using keywords including Leptospira, animal, and a list of serovars. We sought reports of detection of Leptospira, from any animal, characterised by cross agglutinin absorption test, monoclonal antibody typing, serum factor analysis, or pulsed-field gel electrophoresis to identify the serovar. RESULTS We included 409 reports, published from 1927 through 2022, yielding data on 154 Leptospira serovars. The reports included data from 66 (26.5%) of 249 countries. Detections were from 144 animal host species including 135 (93.8%) from the class Mammalia, 5 (3.5%) from Amphibia, 3 (2.1%) from Reptilia, and 1 (0.7%) from Arachnida. Across the animal host species, Leptospira serovars that were detected in the largest number of animal species included Grippotyphosa (n = 39), Icterohaemorrhagiae (n = 29), Pomona (n = 28), Australis (n = 25), and Ballum (n = 25). Of serovars, 76 were detected in a single animal host species. We created an online database to identify animal host species for each serovar by country. CONCLUSIONS We found that many countries have few or no Leptospira serovars detected from animal host species and that many serovars were detected from a single animal species. Our study highlights the importance of efforts to identify animal host species of leptospirosis, especially in places with a high incidence of human leptospirosis. We provide an updated resource for leptospirosis researchers.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Michael J. Maze
- Centre for International Health, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand
- Department of Medicine, University of Otago, Christchurch, New Zealand
| | - Manuela Carugati
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, United States of America
| | | | - Kathryn J. Allan
- Boyd Orr Centre for Population and Ecosystem Health, Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Kevin Chen
- Infectious Diseases Department, Te Whatu Ora Hauora a Toi Bay of Plenty
| | - Brieuc Cossic
- College of Veterinary Medicine, Ithaca, NY, United States of America
| | - Elena Demeter
- College of Veterinary Medicine, Ithaca, NY, United States of America
| | - Sarah Gallagher
- Health Sciences Library, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand
| | - Richard German
- Health Sciences Library, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand
| | - Renee L. Galloway
- Bacterial Special Pathogens Branch, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, United States of America
| | - Josipa Habuš
- Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Zagreb
| | - Matthew P. Rubach
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, United States of America
- Duke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States of America
- Kilimanjaro Christian Medical University College, Tumaini University, Moshi, Tanzania
| | - Kanae Shiokawa
- School of Veterinary Medicine, Ross University, St Kitts
| | - Nadezhda Sulikhan
- Federal Scientific Center of East Asia Terrestrial Biodiversity, FEB Russian Academy of Sciences, Vladivostok, Russia
| | - John A. Crump
- Centre for International Health, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, United States of America
- Duke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States of America
- Kilimanjaro Christian Medical University College, Tumaini University, Moshi, Tanzania
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Hagedoorn NN, Maze MJ, Carugati M, Cash-Goldwasser S, Allan KJ, Chen K, Cossic B, Demeter E, Gallagher S, German R, Galloway RL, Habuš J, Rubach MP, Shiokawa K, Sulikhan N, Crump JA. Global distribution of Leptospira serovar isolations and detections from animal host species: a systematic review and online database. MEDRXIV : THE PREPRINT SERVER FOR HEALTH SCIENCES 2023:2023.10.03.23296503. [PMID: 37873107 PMCID: PMC10593013 DOI: 10.1101/2023.10.03.23296503] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/25/2023]
Abstract
Objectives Leptospira, the spirochaete causing leptospirosis, can be classified into >250 antigenically distinct serovars. Although knowledge of the animal host species and geographic distribution of Leptospira serovars is critical to understand the human and animal epidemiology of leptospirosis, currently data are fragmented. We aimed to systematically review the literature on animal host species and geographic distribution of Leptospira serovars to examine associations between serovars with animal host species and regions, and to identify geographic regions in need of study. Methods Nine library databases were searched from inception through 9 March 2023 using keywords including Leptospira, animal, and a list of serovars. We sought reports of detection of Leptospira, from any animal, characterized by cross agglutinin absorption test, monoclonal antibody typing, serum factor analysis, or pulsed-field gel electrophoresis to identify the serovar. Results We included 409 reports, published from 1927 through 2022, yielding data on 154 Leptospira serovars. The reports included data from 66 (26.5%) of 249 countries. Detections were from 144 animal host species including 135 (93.8%) from the class Mammalia, 5 (3.5%) from Amphibia, 3 (2.1%) from Reptilia, and 1 (0.7%) from Arachnida. Across the animal host species, Leptospira serovars that were detected in the largest number of animal species included Grippotyphosa (n=39), Icterohaemorrhagiae (n=29), Pomona (n=28), Australis (n=25), and Ballum (n=25). Of serovars, 76 were detected in a single animal host species. We created an online database to identify animal host species for each serovar by country. Conclusions We found that many countries have few or no Leptospira serovars detected from animal host species and that many serovars were detected from a single animal species. Our study highlights the importance of efforts to identify animal host species of leptospirosis, especially in places with a high incidence of human leptospirosis. We provide an updated resource for leptospirosis researchers.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Michael J. Maze
- Centre for International Health, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand
- Department of Medicine, University of Otago, Christchurch, New Zealand
| | - Manuela Carugati
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, United States of America
| | | | - Kathryn J. Allan
- Boyd Orr Centre for Population and Ecosystem Health, Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Kevin Chen
- Infectious Diseases Department, Te Whatu Ora Hauora a Toi Bay of Plenty, New Zealand
| | - Brieuc Cossic
- College of Veterinary Medicine, Ithaca, NY, United States of America
| | - Elena Demeter
- College of Veterinary Medicine, Ithaca, NY, United States of America
| | - Sarah Gallagher
- Health Sciences Library, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand
| | - Richard German
- Health Sciences Library, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand
| | - Renee L. Galloway
- Bacterial Special Pathogens Branch, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, United States of America
| | - Josipa Habuš
- Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Zagreb
| | - Matthew P. Rubach
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, United States of America
- Duke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States of America
- Kilimanjaro Christian Medical University College, Tumaini University, Moshi, Tanzania
| | - Kanae Shiokawa
- School of Veterinary Medicine, Ross University, St Kitts
| | - Nadezhda Sulikhan
- Federal Scientific Center of East Asia Terrestrial Biodiversity, FEB Russian Academy of Sciences, Vladivostok, Russia
| | - John A. Crump
- Centre for International Health, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, United States of America
- Duke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States of America
- Kilimanjaro Christian Medical University College, Tumaini University, Moshi, Tanzania
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