Nomogram and competing risk model to predict recurrence after curative surgical resection of PDAC

Very Early Recurrence After Curative Resection for Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: Proof of Concept for a "Biological R2 Definition"

PURPOSE

Very early recurrence after radical surgery for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has been poorly investigated. This study was designed to evaluate this group of patients who developed recurrence, within 12 weeks after surgery, defined as "biological R2 resections (bR2)."

METHODS

Data from patients who underwent surgical resection as upfront procedure or after neoadjuvant treatment for PDAC between 2015 and 2019 were analyzed. Disease-free, disease-specific survival, and independent predictors of early recurrence were examined. The same analysis was performed separately for upfront and neoadjuvant treated patients.

RESULTS

Of the 573 patients included in the study, 63 (11%) were classified as bR2. The rate of neoadjuvant treatment was similar in bR2 and in the remaining patients (44 vs. 42%, p = 0.78). After a median follow-up of 27 months, median DFS and DSS for the entire cohort were 17 and 43 months, respectively. Median DSS of bR2 group was 13 months. The only preoperative identifiable independent predictor of very early recurrence was body-tail site lesion, whereas all other were pathological: higher pT (8th classification), G3 differentiation, and high lymph node ratio. These predictors were confirmed for patients undergoing upfront surgery, whereas in the neoadjuvant group the only independent predictor was pT.

CONCLUSIONS

One of ten patients with "radical" resected PDAC relapses very early after surgery (bR2); hence, imaging must be routinely repeated within 12 weeks. Despite higher biological aggressiveness and worse pathology, this bR2 cluster eludes our preoperative examinations.

Pancreatic mucinous adenocarcinoma has different clinical characteristics and better prognosis compared to non-specific PDAC: A retrospective observational study

Background

Pancreatic mucinous adenocarcinoma (PMAC) is a rare malignant tumour, and there is limited understanding of its epidemiology and prognosis. Initially, PMAC was considered a metastatic manifestation of other cancers; however, instances of non-metastatic PMAC have been documented through monitoring, epidemiological studies, and data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Therefore, it is crucial to investigate the epidemiological characteristics of PMAC and discern the prognostic differences between PMAC and the more prevalent pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).

Methods

The study used data from the SEER database from 2000 to 2018 to identify patients diagnosed with PMAC or PDAC. To ensure comparable demographic characteristics between PDAC and PMAC, propensity score matching was employed. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to analyse overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to determine independent risk factors influencing OS and CSS. Additionally, the construction and validation of risk-scoring models for OS and CSS were achieved through the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-Cox regression technique.

Results

The SEER database included 84,857 patients with PDAC and 3345 patients with PMAC. Notably, significant distinctions were observed in the distribution of tumour sites, diagnosis time, use of radiotherapy and chemotherapy, tumour size, grading, and staging between the two groups. The prognosis exhibited notable improvement among married individuals, those receiving acceptable chemotherapy, and those with focal PMAC (p < 0.05). Conversely, patients with elevated log odds of positive lymph node scores or higher pathological grades in the pancreatic tail exhibited a more unfavourable prognosis (p < 0.05). The risk-scoring models for OS or CSS based on prognostic factors indicated a significantly lower prognosis for high-risk patients compared to their low-risk counterparts (area under the curve OS: 0.81-0.82, CSS: 0.80-0.82).

Conclusion

PMAC exhibits distinct clinical characteristics compared to non-specific PDAC. Leveraging these features and pathological classifications allows for accurate prognostication of PMAC or PDAC.

Uncovering the clinicopathological features of early recurrence after surgical resection of pancreatic cancer

To identify risk factors and biomarker for early recurrence in patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer who undergo curative resection. Early recurrence after curative resection of pancreatic cancer is an obstacle to long-term survival. We retrospectively reviewed 162 patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer who underwent curative resection. Early recurrence was defined as recurrence within 12 months of surgery. We selected S100A2 as a biomarker and investigated its expression using immunohistochemistry. Of the total, 79.6% (n = 129) of patients received adjuvant chemotherapy after surgery and 117 (72.2%) experienced recurrence, of which 73 (45.1%) experience early recurrence. In multivariate analysis, age < 60 years, presence of lymph node metastasis, and no adjuvant chemotherapy were significantly associated with early recurrence (all P < 0.05). The proportion of patients with high S100A2 expression (H-score > 5) was significantly lower in the early recurrence group (41.5% vs. 63.3%, P = 0.020). The cumulative incidence rate of early recurrence was higher in patients with an S100A2 H-score < 5 (41.5% vs. 63.3%, P = 0.012). The median overall survival of patients with higher S100A2 expression was longer than those with lower S100A2 expression (median 30.1 months vs. 24.2 months, P = 0.003). High-risk factors for early recurrence after surgery for pancreatic cancer include young age, lymph node metastasis, and no adjuvant therapy. Neoadjuvant treatment or intensive adjuvant therapy after surgery may improve the prognosis of patients with high-risk signatures. In patients who receive adjuvant therapy, high S100A2 expression is a good predictor.

Preoperative Multiparametric Quantitative Magnetic Resonance Imaging Correlates with Prognosis and Recurrence Patterns in Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

Simple Summary

Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has been considered a noninvasive prognostic biomarker in some cancers; however, the correlation with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains inconclusive. The aim of our study was to identify quantitative MRI parameters associated with prognosis and recurrence patterns. In an analysis of data from the 136 patients ultimately included in this study, we found that the value of the pure diffusion coefficient D in intravoxel incoherent MRI is an independent risk factor for overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS), while a low value of D is significantly associated with a higher risk of local recurrence. All the patients have been operated on with histopathology for further evaluation. Based on the results of our research, we believe that it is possible in clinical practice to stratify patients based on quantitative MRI data in order to guide treatment strategies, reduce the risk of local tumor recurrence, and improve patients’ prognosis.

Abstract

Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has been shown to be associated with prognosis in some tumors; however, the correlation in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains inconclusive. In this retrospective study, we ultimately included 136 patients and analyzed quantitative MRI parameters that are associated with prognosis and recurrence patterns in PDAC using survival analysis and competing risks models; all the patients have been operated on with histopathology and immunohistochemical staining for further evaluation. In intravoxel incoherent motion diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI), we found that pure-diffusion coefficient D value was an independent risk factor for overall survival (OS) (HR: 1.696, 95% CI: 1.003–2.869, p = 0.049) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) (HR: 2.066, 95% CI: 1.252–3.409, p = 0.005). A low D value (≤1.08 × 10⁻³ mm²/s) was significantly associated with a higher risk of local recurrence (SHR: 5.905, 95% CI: 2.107–16.458, p = 0.001). Subgroup analysis revealed that patients with high D and f values had significantly better outcomes with adjuvant chemotherapy. Distant recurrence patients in the high-D value group who received chemotherapy may significantly improve their OS and RFS. It was found that preoperative multiparametric quantitative MRI correlates with prognosis and recurrence patterns in PDAC. Diffusion coefficient D value can be used as a noninvasive biomarker for predicting prognosis and recurrence patterns in PDAC.