Maternal serum markers in predicting successful outcome in expectant management of missed miscarriage

The Relationship Between Heavy Metals and Missed Abortion: Using Mediation of Serum Hormones

Accumulating evidence suggests that heavy metal exposure may have adverse effects on the fetal development. Furthermore, disruption of serum hormone homeostasis can result in the adverse pregnancy outcomes. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the potential association between heavy metals and missed abortion, with a focus on whether serum hormones mediate this relationship. The concentrations of heavy metals and hormones in serum were measured in this case-control study. Statistical models including, logistic regression model, principal component analysis (PCA), and weighted quantile sum (WQS) regression model were employed to examine the relationship between heavy metals, serum hormones, and missed abortion. Furthermore, the mediation analysis was performed to assess the role of serum hormones as potential mediators in this relationship. This study revealed significant associations between heavy metal exposure and missed abortion. Notable, the WQS index weight, which was mainly influenced by copper (Cu) and zine (Zn), is associated with missed abortion. Moreover, heavy metals including manganese (Mn), nickel (Ni), Zn, arsenic (As), Cu, cadmium (Cd), and lead (Pb) were found to be associated with serum levels of β-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG), progesterone (P), estradiol (E2), and lactogen (HPL). In addition, the mediation analysis indicated that β-hCG explained a portion of the association (ranging from 18.77 to 43.51%) of between Mn, Ni, Zn, and As exposure and missed abortion. Serum P levels explained 17.93 to 51.70% of the association between Ni, Cu, and As exposure and missed abortion. Serum E2 levels played a significant mediating role, explaining a portion of the association (ranging from 22.14 to 73.60%) between Mn, Ni, Cu, As, Cd, and Pb exposure and missed abortion. Our results suggested that β-hCG, P, and E2 are one of the potential mediators in the complex relationship between heavy metals exposure and missed abortion. These results highlight the importance of considering both heavy metal exposure and serum hormone levels in understanding the etiology of missed abortion.

Use and misuse of ultrasound in obstetrics with reference to developing countries

Maternal and neonatal health is one of the main global health challenges. Every day, approximately 800 women and 7,000 newborns die due to complications during pregnancy, delivery, and neonatal period. The leading causes of maternal death in sub-Saharan Africa are obstetric hemorrhage (28.8%), hypertensive disorders in pregnancy (22.1%), non-obstetric complications (18.8%), and pregnancy-related infections (11.5%). Diagnostic ultrasound examinations can be used in a variety of specific circumstances during pregnancy. Because adverse outcomes may also arise in low-risk pregnancies, it is assumed that routine ultrasound in all pregnancies will enable earlier detection and improved management of pregnancy complications. The World Health Organization (WHO) estimated in 1997 that 50% of developing countries had no access to ultrasound imaging, and available equipment was outdated or broken. Unfortunately, besides all the exceptional benefits of ultrasound in obstetrics, its inappropriate use and abuse are reported. Using ultrasound to view, take a picture, or determine the sex of a fetus without a medical indication can be considered ethically unjustifiable. Ultrasound assessment when indicated should be every woman's right in the new era. However, it is still only a privilege in some parts of the world. Investment in both equipment and human resources has been clearly shown to be cost-effective and should be an obligatory step in the improvement of health care. Well-developed health systems should guide developing countries, creating principles for the organization of the health system with an accent on the correct, legal, and ethical use of diagnostic ultrasound in pregnancy to avoid its misuse. The aim of the article is to present the importance of correct and appropriate use of ultrasound in obstetrics and gynecology with reference to developing countries.

The Clinical Value of 3D Ultrasonic Measurement of the Ratio of Gestational Sac Volume to Embryo Volume in IoT-Based Prediction of Pregnancy Outcome

The objective of the research study is to investigate the use of three-dimensional ultrasonic measurement technology, to determine the size of gestational sac and embryo volume, and to use the ratio of gestational sac volume to embryo volume in IoT-based prediction of pregnancy outcome. The abnormal and normal pregnancy identifiers are there, which assists in prediction of pregnancy outcomes: whether the pregnancy is normal or may suffer pregnancy loss during first trimester. For the observational study, 500 singleton pregnant women who made an appointment for delivery in Qiqihar Hospital from January 2015 to June 2019 were considered. The 500 pregnant women received transvaginal ultrasound at 6+0 ∼ 8+0 weeks of gestational age to measure gestational sac volume (GSV), yolk sac volume (YSV), and germ volume (GV). According to pregnancy outcome, they were divided into fine group (n = 435) and abortion group (n = 65). Among the 500 cases, 435 had normal delivery and 65 had abortions. According to the results of gestational age (GA) analysis, the pregnancy success rates at 6 (n = 268), 7 (n = 184), and 8 weeks (n = 48) were 85.8%, 87.5%, and 91.7%, respectively. Comparison of pregnancy failure rate among the three groups shows statistically significant difference. The morphology of germ, yolk sac, and gestational sac cannot be used as a predictor of pregnancy outcome in various degrees. The results of multivariate Cox proportional regression analysis show the following: the ratio of germ volume (GV) to gestational sac volume (GSV) (P=0.008) has an impact on the prediction of spontaneous abortion prognosis, showing statistically significant difference; yolk sac volume (YSV), germ volume (GV), and gestational sac volume (GSV) have no effect on the prediction of spontaneous abortion prognosis (P > 0.05). The ratio of GSV to germ volume has a strong prognostic value for pregnancy results. To a certain extent, the ratio of gestational sac volume to germ volume can predict spontaneous pregnancy abortion at 6th week of gestation, providing a theoretical basis for clinical ultrasound pregnancy examination indicators.

Corpus luteum score, a simple Doppler examination to prognose early pregnancies

OBJECTIVES

In early pregnancies, miscarriages and inconclusive ultrasound scans considering location and viability are very common. In several previous studies, serum progesterone levels predicted viability of pregnancy and, in recent ones, failed Pregnancies of Unknown Location (PUL), completion of miscarriage and complications. Corpus luteum, secreting progesterone in early pregnancy, was less studied. Some publications showed correlations between corpus luteum aspects and diagnosis of miscarriage but it was not evaluated for other outcomes in early pregnancy, such as failed PUL, completion of miscarriage or complications. We aimed to assess if Doppler examination of corpus luteum could also predict all these outcomes: failed PUL, diagnosis and completion of miscarriages and complications.

STUDY DESIGN

A single operator prospectively described and/or collected pictures of Doppler signal in the wall of the corpus luteum at most consultations in our early pregnancy unit and established a three-level score. All suspected or confirmed non-viable pregnancies with this score or/and serum progesterone levels were registered retrospectively. With logistic regressions, AIC/BIC, likelihood ratios, ROC curves, Mann-Whitney and Fisher exact tests, we evaluated the ability of the score, alone, to predict failed PUL, diagnosis and completion of miscarriages and the complications, and, combined, to improve previously published predictions.

RESULTS

From 277 included pregnancies, 186 (67.1 %) miscarried. Of these, 159/186 (85.5 %) fully evacuated without surgery: 114/186 (61.3 %) within 20 days after the first diagnosis and 45/186 (24.2 %) after more than 20 days. Twenty-seven patients (14.5 %) underwent surgical evacuation, including ten complications, five haemorrhages and five suspected infections. Logistic regression correlated strongly the corpus luteum score with failed PUL (p < 0.0001) and miscarriages (p < 0.0001). Moreover, rates of complications and swift non-surgical completions of miscarriage were respectively 0 % and 92 % with scores of 0, versus 6 % and 44 % with scores of 1, versus 16 % and 0 % with scores of 2. Combined with serum progesterone levels, this score improved most predictions. Adding parity or history of miscarriage in predictive models even increased these performances.

CONCLUSIONS

Corpus luteum score, alone, can predict failed PUL, diagnosis and completion of miscarriages and their complications. Combining this score with other factors (mainly serum progesterone levels) improves most predictions.

Predictors of complete miscarriage after expectant management or misoprostol treatment of non-viable early pregnancy in women with vaginal bleeding

Purpose

To identify predictors of complete miscarriage after expectant management or misoprostol treatment of non-viable early pregnancy in women with vaginal bleeding.

Methods

This was a planned secondary analysis of data from a published randomized controlled trial comparing expectant management with vaginal single dose of 800 µg misoprostol treatment of women with embryonic or anembryonic miscarriage. Predefined variables—serum-progesterone, serum-β-human chorionic gonadotropin, parity, previous vaginal deliveries, gestational age, clinical symptoms (bleeding and pain), mean diameter and shape of the gestational sac, crown-rump-length, type of miscarriage, and presence of blood flow in the intervillous space—were tested as predictors of treatment success (no gestational sac in the uterine cavity and maximum anterior–posterior intracavitary diameter was ≤ 15 mm as measured with transvaginal ultrasound on a sagittal view) in univariable and multivariable logistic regression.

Results

Variables from 174 women (83 expectant management versus 91 misoprostol) were analyzed for prediction of complete miscarriage at ≤ 17 days. In patients managed expectantly, the rate of complete miscarriage was 62.7% (32/51) in embryonic miscarriages versus 37.5% (12/32) in anembryonic miscarriages (P = 0.02). In multivariable logistic regression, the likelihood of success increased with increasing gestational age, increasing crown-rump-length and decreasing gestational sac diameter. Misoprostol treatment was successful in 80.0% (73/91). No variable predicted success of misoprostol treatment.

Conclusions

Complete miscarriage after expectant management is significantly more likely in embryonic miscarriage than in anembryonic miscarriage. Gestational age, crown-rump-length, and gestational sac diameter are independent predictors of success of expectant management. Predictors of treatment success may help counselling women with early miscarriage.

Evaluation of maternal serum biomarkers in predicting outcome of successful expectant management of tubal ectopic pregnancies

OBJECTIVE

To assess the value of multiple serum biomarkers for the prediction of successful outcome of expectant management in women with tubal ectopic pregnancy (TEP).

STUDY DESIGN

Women with a conclusive ultrasound diagnosis of TEP had a blood test to measure β-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG), progesterone, inhibin A, activin A and high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) at the initial visit. Women presenting with pain, serum β-hCG ≥ 1500 IU, evidence of a live ectopic pregnancy or a significant haemoperitoneum were advised to have emergency surgery. Women eligible for expectant management were followed-up prospectively until serum β-hCG declined to non-pregnant level or surgical treatment was required.

RESULTS

A total of 93 women with a TEP were included in the final cohort. Emergency surgery was carried out in 42/93 (45 %) of women whilst 51/93 (55 %) were managed expectantly. Of the latter group, 42/51 (82 %) had successful expectant management and 9/51(18 %) required surgical procedure after a period of follow up. On multi-variable analysis, only higher values of serum β-hCG and progesterone at the initial visit were associated with a lower chance of successful expectant management of TEP. A one-unit increase in either variable on the log-scale was associated with an approximate 20-fold reduction in the odds of a successful outcome.

CONCLUSION(S)

Serum β-hCG and progesterone were significantly lower in women who had successful expectant management of TEP. Other biomarkers under consideration were not significantly different in women with successful and failed expectant management.