The performance of the GAP model in patients with rheumatoid arthritis associated interstitial lung disease

Overview of Rheumatoid Arthritis-Associated Interstitial Lung Disease and Its Treatment

Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is a common pulmonary complication of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), causing significant morbidity and mortality. Optimal treatment for RA-ILD is not yet well defined. Reliable prognostic indicators are largely byproducts of prior ILD progression, including low or decreasing forced vital capacity and extensive or worsening fibrosis on imaging. In the absence of validated tools to predict treatment response, decisions about whether to initiate or augment treatment are instead based on clinical judgment. In general, treatment should be initiated in patients who are symptomatic, progressing, or at high risk of poor outcomes. Retrospective data suggest that mycophenolate mofetil, azathioprine, and rituximab are likely effective therapies for RA-ILD. Abatacept is also emerging as a potential first-line treatment option for patients with RA-ILD. Further, recent data demonstrate that immunosuppression may be beneficial even in patients with a usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) pattern on imaging, suggesting that immunosuppression should be considered irrespective of imaging pattern. Recent randomized controlled trials have shown that antifibrotic medications, such as nintedanib and likely pirfenidone, slow forced vital capacity decline in RA-ILD. Consideration can be given to antifibrotic initiation in patients progressing despite immunosuppression, particularly in patients with a UIP pattern. Future research directions include developing tools to predict which patients will remain stable from patients who will progress, discriminating patients who will respond to treatment from nonresponders, and developing algorithms for starting immunosuppression, antifibrotics, or both as first-line therapies.

Performance of GAP and ILD-GAP models in predicting lung transplant or death in interstitial pneumonia with autoimmune features

OBJECTIVES

To assess the ability of two risk prediction models in interstitial lung disease (ILD) to predict death or lung transplantation in a cohort of patients with interstitial pneumonia with autoimmune features (IPAF).

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of adults with IPAF at an academic medical centre. The primary outcome was a composite of lung transplantation or death. We applied the patient data to the previously described Gender-Age-Physiology (GAP) and ILD-GAP models to determine the ability of these models to predict the composite outcome. Model discrimination was assessed using the c-index, and model calibration was determined by comparing the incidence ratios of observed vs expected deaths.

RESULTS

Ninety-four patients with IPAF were included. Mean (s.d.) age was 58 (13.5) years and the majority were female (62%). The majority met serologic and morphologic criteria for IPAF (94% and 91%, respectively). The GAP model had a c-index of 0.664 (95% CI 0.547-0.781), while the ILD-GAP model had a c-index of 0.569 (95% CI 0.440-0.697). In those with GAP stage 1 or GAP stage 2 disease, calibration of the GAP model was satisfactory at 2 and 3 years for the cumulative end point of lung transplantation or death.

CONCLUSION

In patients with IPAF, the GAP model performed well as a predictor of lung transplantation or death at 2 years and 3 years from ILD diagnosis in patients with GAP stage 1 and GAP stage 2 disease.

Disease Behaviour Classification: A pragmatic model for predicting outcomes in Interstitial Lung Disease

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

The interstitial lung diseases (ILD) are a heterogenous group of disorders with similar clinical presentation, but widely varying prognoses. The use of a pragmatic disease behaviour classification (DBC), first proposed in international guidelines in 2013, categorises diseases into five behavioural classes based on their predicted clinical course. This study aimed to determine the prognostic utility of the DBC in an ILD cohort.

METHODS

Consecutive patients presented at the weekly multidisciplinary meeting (MDM) of a specialist ILD centre were included. MDM consensus was obtained for diagnosis and DBC category (1-5). Baseline and serial clinical and physiological data were collected over the study period (median 3.9 years, range 0-5.4 years). The relationship between DBC and prognostic outcomes was explored.

RESULTS

137 ILD patients, [64 (47%) female] were included with mean age 67.0 ± 1.1 years, baseline FVC% 72.7 ± 1.7, and baseline DLco% 57.8 ± 1.6%. Patients were stratified into DBC by consensus at MDM: DBC1 n = 0 (0%), DBC2 n = 16 (12%), DBC3 n = 10 (7.3%), DBC4 n = 55 (40%), and DBC5 n = 56 (41%). On univariable Cox regression, increasing DBC class was associated with poorer progression-free survival (HR 1.6, 95% CI 1.2-2.0, p < 0.001). On multivariable Cox regression, DBC remained predictive of PFS when combined with age and gender (HR 1.4, 95% CI 1.1-1.9, p = 0.011), baseline FVC% (HR 1.5, 95% CI 1.1-1.8, p = 0.003) and ILD diagnosis (HR 1.6, 95% CI 1.2-2.2, p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

DBC as determined at ILD multidisciplinary meeting may be a useful prognostic tool for the management of ILD patients.

The Clinical Frailty Scale for Risk Stratification in Patients With Fibrotic Interstitial Lung Disease

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have shown the importance of frailty in patients with fibrotic interstitial lung disease (ILD).

RESEARCH QUESTION

Is the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) a valid tool to improve risk stratification in patients with fibrotic ILD?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

Patients with fibrotic ILD were included from the prospective multicenter Canadian Registry for Pulmonary Fibrosis. The CFS was assessed using available information from initial ILD clinic visits. Patients were stratified into fit (CFS score 1-3), vulnerable (CFS score 4), and frail (CFS score 5-9) subgroups. Cox proportional hazards and logistic regression models with mixed effects were used to estimate time to death or lung transplantation. A derivation and validation cohort was used to establish prognostic performance. Trajectories of functional tests were compared using joint models.

RESULTS

Of the 1,587 patients with fibrotic ILD, 858 (54%) were fit, 400 (25%) were vulnerable, and 329 (21%) were frail. Frailty was a risk factor for early mortality (hazard ratio, 5.58; 95% CI, 3.64-5.76, P < .001) in the entire cohort, in individual ILD diagnoses, and after adjustment for potential confounders. Adding frailty to established risk prediction parameters improved the prognostic performance in derivation and validation cohorts. Patients in the frail subgroup had larger annual declines in FVC % predicted than patients in the fit subgroup (-2.32; 95% CI, -3.39 to -1.17 vs -1.55; 95% CI, -2.04 to -1.15, respectively; P = .02).

INTERPRETATION

The simple and practical CFS is associated with pulmonary and physical function decline in patients with fibrotic ILD and provides additional prognostic accuracy in clinical practice.

Identification, Monitoring, and Management of Rheumatoid Arthritis-Associated Interstitial Lung Disease

Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is a frequent complication of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) that is associated with a significant increase in mortality. Several risk factors for the development of ILD in patients with RA have been identified, but ILD can still develop in the absence of these risk factors. Screening tools for RA-ILD are required to facilitate early detection of RA-ILD. Close monitoring of patients with RA-ILD for progression is crucial to enable timely implementation of treatment strategies to improve outcomes. Patients with RA are commonly treated with immunomodulatory therapies, although their efficacy in slowing the progression of RA-ILD remains the subject of debate. Clinical trials have shown that antifibrotic therapies slow decline in lung function in patients with progressive fibrosing ILDs, including patients with RA-ILD. The management of patients with RA-ILD should be based on multidisciplinary evaluation of the severity and progression of their ILD and the activity of their articular disease. Close collaboration between rheumatologists and pulmonologists is essential to optimize patient care.

Non-contrast computed tomography-based radiomics for staging of connective tissue disease-associated interstitial lung disease

Rationale and introduction

It is of significance to assess the severity and predict the mortality of patients with connective tissue disease-associated interstitial lung disease (CTD-ILD). In this double-center retrospective study, we developed and validated a radiomics nomogram for clinical management by using the ILD-GAP (gender, age, and pulmonary physiology) index system.

Materials and methods

Patients with CTD-ILD were staged using the ILD-GAP index system. A clinical factor model was built by demographics and CT features, and a radiomics signature was developed using radiomics features extracted from CT images. Combined with the radiomics signature and independent clinical factors, a radiomics nomogram was constructed and evaluated by the area under the curve (AUC) from receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses. The models were externally validated in dataset 2 to evaluate the model generalization ability using ROC analysis.

Results

A total of 245 patients from two clinical centers (dataset 1, n = 202; dataset 2, n = 43) were screened. Pack-years of smoking, traction bronchiectasis, and nine radiomics features were used to build the radiomics nomogram, which showed favorable calibration and discrimination in the training cohort {AUC, 0.887 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.827-0.940]}, the internal validation cohort [AUC, 0.885 (95% CI: 0.816-0.922)], and the external validation cohort [AUC, 0.85 (95% CI: 0.720-0.919)]. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the nomogram outperformed the clinical factor model and radiomics signature in terms of clinical usefulness.

Conclusion

The CT-based radiomics nomogram showed favorable efficacy in predicting individual ILD-GAP stages.

A computed tomography-based radiomics nomogram for predicting overall survival in patients with connective tissue disease-associated interstitial lung disease

OBJECTIVES

Accurate prognostic prediction is beneficial for the management of patients with connective tissue disease-associated interstitial lung disease (CTD-ILD). The purpose of the present study was to develop and validate a nomogram using clinical features and computed tomography (CT) based radiomics features to predict overall survival (OS) in patients with CTD-ILD, and to assess the incremental prognostic value the radiomics might add to clinical risk factors.

MATERIALS & METHODS

Patients from two clinical centers with CTD-ILD were enrolled in the present retrospective study. A radiomics signature, a clinical model and a combined nomogram were developed and assessed in the cohorts. The incremental value of radiomics signature to the clinical independent risk factors in survival prediction was evaluated. The models were externally validated to evaluate the model generalization ability.

RESULTS

A total of 215 patients (mean age, 53 years ± 14 [standard deviation], 45 men) were evaluated. Patients with higher radiomics scores had higher mortality risk than those with lower radiomics scores (Hazard ratio, 12.396; 95% CI, 3.364-45.680; P < 0.001). The combined nomogram showed better predictive capability than the clinical model did with higher C-indices (0.800, 0.738, 0.742 vs. 0.747, 0.631, 0.587 in the training, internal- and external-validation cohort, respectively), time-AUCs and overall net-benefit.

CONCLUSION

The radiomics signature is a potential prognostic biomarker of CTD-ILD and add incremental value to the clinical independent risk factors. The combined nomogram can provide a more accurate estimation of OS than the clinical model for CTD-ILD patients.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

The developed combined nomogram showed accurate prognostic prediction performance, which is beneficial for the management of CTD-ILD patients. It also proved radiomics could extract prognostic information from CT images.

Serum antibodies to peptidylarginine deiminase-4 in rheumatoid arthritis associated-interstitial lung disease are associated with decreased lung fibrosis and improved survival

OBJECTIVE

Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is a leading cause of mortality in rheumatoid arthritis (RA), particularly in those with the usual interstitial pneumonia subtype (RA-UIP). Serum antibodies to peptidylarginine deiminase type 4 (anti-PAD4), particularly a subset that cross-react with PAD3 (PAD3/4XR), have been associated with imaging evidence of ILD. We aimed to determine the specificity of anti-PAD4 antibodies in RA-ILD and to examine associations with markers of ILD severity.

METHODS

48 RA-ILD and 31 idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) patients were identified from the National Jewish Health Biobank. RA-ILD subtype was defined by imaging pattern on high-resolution chest computed tomography (CT), and serum was tested for anti-PAD4 and anti-PAD3/4XR antibodies. Antibody prevalence, measures of ILD severity (% predicted forced vital capacity, FVC; % predicted diffusion capacity carbon monoxide, DLCO; quantitative CT fibrosis) and mortality were compared between groups.

RESULTS

Anti-PAD4 antibodies were present in 9/48 (19%) subjects with RA-ILD and no subjects with IPF. Within RA-ILD, anti-PAD4 antibodies were found almost exclusively in RA-UIP (89%). Within RA-UIP subjects, % predicted FVC was higher in anti-PAD4+ subjects, and this finding was most strongly associated with anti-PAD3/4XR antibodies. In addition, quantitative CT fibrosis score was lower in anti-PAD4+ RA-UIP subjects, including those with mono-reactive anti-PAD4 antibodies and anti-PAD3/4XR antibodies. Anti-PAD4+ RA-UIP subjects also exhibited decreased mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrate the presence of serum anti-PAD4 antibodies in a subset of patients with RA-UIP that were notably associated with better lung function, less fibrosis and decreased mortality.

Serum KL-6 as a Biomarker of Progression at Any Time in Fibrotic Interstitial Lung Disease

The development of a progressive phenotype of interstitial lung disease (ILD) is still unpredictable. Whereas tools to predict mortality in ILD exist, scores to predict disease progression are missing. The aim of this study was to investigate whether baseline serum KL-6 as an established marker to assess disease activity in ILD, alone or in combination with clinical variables, could improve stratification of ILD patients according to progression risk at any time. Consecutive patients with fibrotic ILD, followed at our institution between 2008 and 2015, were investigated. Disease progression was defined as relative decline of ≥10% in forced vital capacity (FVC) or ≥15% in diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLco)% from baseline at any time. Serum KL-6 was measured using an automated immunoassay (Fujirebio Europe, Gent, Belgium). A stepwise logistic regression was performed to select variables to be included in the score. A total of 205 patients (49% idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), 51% fibrotic nonspecific interstitial pneumonia (NSIP)) were included, of them 113 (55%) developed disease progression during follow up. Male gender (G) and serum KL-6 strata (K) were significant predictors of progression at regression analysis and were included in the GK score. A threshold of 2 GK score points was best for discriminating patients at high risk versus low risk to develop disease progression at any time. Serum KL-6 concentration, alone or combined in a simple score with gender, allows an effective stratification of ILD patients for risk of disease progression at any time.

Factors for progressive pulmonary fibrosis in connective tissue disease-related interstitial lung disease

BACKGROUND

Progressive fibrosis can occur in connective tissue disease (CTD)-related interstitial lung disease (ILD) and make the prognosis worse.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to investigate factors related to progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF) phenotype in CTD-ILDs.

DESIGN

Medical records of patients diagnosed as CTD and ILD at a single, tertiary hospital in South Korea were retrospectively reviewed.

METHODS

Patients whose lung functions were followed up for more than a year were included in analysis. PPF was defined as forced vital capacity (FVC) declined ⩾10% or diffusion capacity of carbon monoxide (DLco) ⩾15%.

RESULTS

Of 110 patients with CTD-ILD, 24.5% progressed into PPF. Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and Sjogren's disease accounted for more than 63% of PPF. Compositions of CTD type were similar between PPF and non-PPF. Clinical characteristics and proportion of usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) pattern on chest images were also similar between PPF and non-PPF. Approximately 10% of patients in both groups were treated with anti-fibrotic agents. Use of systemic steroids and/or other immunomodulating agents lowered the risk of developing PPF in CTD-ILD patients after adjusting for gender-age-physiology score and smoking status (adjusted odds ratio: 0.25, 95% confidence interval: 0.07-0.85).

CONCLUSION

About a quarter of CTD-ILD progressed into PPF. The use of immunomodulating agents lowered the risk of developing PPF. To improve outcomes of patients, future studies need to detect patients at higher risk for PPF earlier and set up clinical guidelines for treatment strategies in the process of PPF.

Mortality risk prediction with ILD-GAP index in a fibrotic hypersensitivity pneumonitis cohort

BACKGROUND

Fibrotic hypersensitivity pneumonitis (fHP) is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Interstitial lung disease-gender-age-physiology (ILD-GAP) performance in fHP outside the initial cohort was never performed.

AIM

To assess the ILD-GAP index's ability to predict mortality in a Portuguese cohort of patients with fHP and analyse whether other clinical variables add value.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of fHP cohort in two Portuguese ILD centres. The baseline ILD-GAP index was calculated. Survival was analysed in months; mortality was the primary outcome. Univariate and multivariate analyses to identify mortality risk factors were performed.

RESULTS

A total of 141 patients were included. Fifty-three patients (37.6%) died during the follow-up. The usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) pattern was found in 49.6%, and their survival was inferior to non-UIP [32 months (interquartile range, IQR = 19, 60) versus 52 months (IQR = 28, 98), p = 0.048]. Patients with an ILD-GAP index higher than three double their risk of mortality [hazard ratio (HR) = 6.48, 95% confidence interval (CI) = (3.03-13.96)] when compared with the patients with an index between 2 and 3 [HR = 3.04, 95% CI = (1.62-5.71)] adjusting for acute exacerbation history. Even though UIP patients had worse survival, it did not reach statistical significance when UIP pattern was added to this model. Acute exacerbation history was an independent risk factor for mortality; however, ILD-GAP still predicted mortality after adjusting for this factor. PaO₂ and 6-minute walk test desaturation were not significant risk factors.

CONCLUSION

ILD-GAP index is a good predictor for mortality in fHP, even after adjusting for other mortality risk factors.

SER-SEPAR recommendations for the management of rheumatoid arthritis-related interstitial lung disease. Part 1: Epidemiology, risk factors and prognosis

OBJECTIVE

To develop multidisciplinary recommendations to improve the management of rheumatoid arthritis-related interstitial lung disease (RA-ILD).

METHODS

Clinical research questions relevant to the objective of the document were identified by a panel of rheumatologists and pneumologists selected based on their experience in the field. Systematic reviews of the available evidence were conducted, and evidence was graded according to the Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network (SIGN) criteria. Specific recommendations were made.

RESULTS

Six PICO questions were selected, three of which analysed the incidence and prevalence of RA-ILD, associated risk factors, and predictors of progression and mortality. A total of 6 specific recommendations on these topics, structured by question, were formulated based on the evidence found and/or expert consensus.

CONCLUSIONS

We present the first official SER-SEPAR document with specific recommendations for RA-ILD management developed to resolve some common clinical questions and facilitate decision-making for patients.

Management of progressive pulmonary fibrosis associated with connective tissue disease

INTRODUCTION

: Fibrotic interstitial lung disease (ILD) is a frequent and severe complication of connective tissue disease (CTD).

AREAS COVERED

: In this narrative review, we update the most relevant differential characteristics of fibrotic ILD associated with CTD (CTD-ILD) and propose a diagnostic and therapeutic approach based on a review of the articles published between 2002 and 2022 through PubMed.

EXPERT OPINION

: The subset of ILD, mainly the radiological/histological pattern and the degree of fibrotic component, usually determines the prognosis and therapeutic strategy for these patients. Some patients with CTD-ILD can develop progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF) with severe deterioration of lung function, rapid progression to chronic respiratory failure, and high mortality. PPF has been described in many CTDs, mainly in systemic sclerosis and rheumatoid arthritis, and requires a multidisciplinary diagnostic and therapeutic approach to improve patient outcomes.

Challenges for Clinical Drug Development in Pulmonary Fibrosis

Pulmonary fibrosis is a pathologic process associated with scarring of the lung interstitium. Interstitial lung diseases (ILDs) encompass a large and heterogenous group of disorders, a number of which are characterized by progressive pulmonary fibrosis that leads to respiratory failure and death. Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) has been described as an archetype of progressive fibrosing ILD, and the development of pirfenidone and nintedanib has been a major breakthrough in the treatment of patients with this deadly disease. Both drugs principally target scar-forming fibroblasts and have been shown to significantly slow down the accelerated decline of lung function by approximately 50%. In addition, nintedanib has been approved for patients with other progressive fibrosing ILDs and systemic sclerosis-associated ILD. However, there is still no cure for pulmonary fibrosis and no meaningful improvement of symptoms or quality of life has been shown. Advancement in research, such as the advent of single cell sequencing technology, has identified additional pathologic cell populations beyond the fibroblast which could be targeted for therapeutic purposes. The preclinical and clinical development of novel drug candidates is hampered by profound challenges such as a lack of sensitive clinical outcomes or suitable biomarkers that would provide an early indication of patient benefit. With the availability of these anti-fibrotic treatments, it has become even more difficult to demonstrate added efficacy, in particular in short-term clinical studies. Patient heterogeneity and the paucity of biomarkers of disease activity further complicate clinical development. It is conceivable that future treatment of pulmonary fibrosis will need to embrace more precision in treating the right patient at the right time, explore novel measures of efficacy, and likely combine treatment options.

Characteristics and Predictors of Progression Interstitial Lung Disease in Rheumatoid Arthritis Compared with Other Autoimmune Disease: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Objectives: To describe the characteristics and progression of interstitial lung disease in patients with associated systemic autoimmune disease (ILD-SAI) and to identify factors associated with progression and mortality. Patients and methods: We performed a multicenter, retrospective, observational study of patients with ILD-SAI followed between 2015 and 2020. We collected clinical data and performed pulmonary function testing and high-resolution computed tomography at diagnosis and at the final visit. The main outcome measure at the end of follow-up was forced vital capacity (FVC) >10% or diffusing capacity of the lungs for carbon monoxide >15% and radiological progression or death. Cox regression analysis was performed to identify factors associated with worsening of ILD. Results: We included 204 patients with ILD-SAI: 123 (60.3%) had rheumatoid arthritis (RA), 58 had (28.4%) systemic sclerosis, and 23 (11.3%) had inflammatory myopathy. After a median (IQR) period of 56 (29.8–93.3) months, lung disease had stabilized in 98 patients (48%), improved in 33 (16.1%), and worsened in 44 (21.5%). A total of 29 patients (14.2%) died. Progression and hospitalization were more frequent in patients with RA (p = 0.010). The multivariate analysis showed the independent predictors for worsening of ILD-SAI to be RA (HR, 1.9 [95% CI, 1.3–2.7]), usual interstitial pneumonia pattern (HR, 1.7 [95% CI, 1.0–2.9]), FVC (%) (HR, 2.3 [95% CI, 1.4–3.9]), and smoking (HR, 2.7 [95%CI, 1.6–4.7]). Conclusion: Disease stabilizes or improves after a median of 5 years in more than half of patients with ILD-SAI, although more than one-third die. Data on subgroups and risk factors could help us to predict poorer outcomes.

Natural history and screening of interstitial lung disease in systemic autoimmune rheumatic disorders

Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is a relatively frequent manifestation of systemic autoimmune rheumatic disorders (SARDs), including systemic sclerosis (SSc), rheumatoid arthritis (RA), idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIM), systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), primary Sjögren's syndrome (pSS), and anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA) associated vasculitis. Interstitial pneumonia with autoimmune features (IPAF) has been proposed to describe patients with ILD who have clinical or serological findings compatible with SARDs but they are not sufficient for a definite diagnosis. ILD may present with different patterns among patients with SARDs, but most commonly as nonspecific interstitial pneumonia (NSIP), with the exception of RA and ANCA vasculitis that more often present with usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP). The natural history of ILD is quite variable, even among patients with the same SARD. It may present with subclinical features following a slow progressively course or with acute manifestations and clinically significant rapid progression leading to severe deterioration of pulmonary function and respiratory failure. The radiographic pattern of ILD, the extent of the disease, the baseline pulmonary function, the pulmonary function deterioration rate over time and clinical variables related to the primary SARD, such as age, sex and the clinical phenotype, are considered prognostic factors for SARDs-ILD associated with adverse outcomes and increased mortality. Different modalities can be employed for ILD detection including clinical evaluation, pulmonary function tests, high resolution computed tomography and novel techniques such as lung ultrasound and serum biomarkers. ILD may determine the clinical outcome of SARDs, since it is associated with significant morbidity and mortality and therefore screening of patients with SARDs for ILD is of great clinical importance.

Decision-Making Strategy for the Treatment of Rheumatoid Arthritis-Associated Interstitial Lung Disease (RA-ILD)

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a common type of autoimmune arthritis. Patient clinical outcomes might be influenced by numerous respiratory diseases, but interstitial lung disease (ILD) is the most important comorbidity. RA-associated ILD (RA-ILD) is divided into acute/subacute and chronic forms. In the acute/subacute course, if the disease is severe as indicated by a diffuse alveolar damage pattern, high-dose corticosteroids combined with antimicrobial agents should be promptly initiated while considering the differential diagnoses, primarily acute exacerbation (AE) of RA-ILD, drug-induced pneumonitis, and Pneumocystis pneumonia. As initial therapeutic management in the chronic course, the RA itself should be stabilized without delay; thereafter, the activity of ILD itself can be stabilized, considering the safety of each anti-rheumatic drug. The formation of the usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) pattern is the most important determinant because lung function can worsen more quickly with this pattern. However, because clinicians can fail to identify specific radiological patterns, it is important to determine whether each patient with RA-ILD has UIP-like lesions such as subpleural reticulation, traction bronchiectasis, and honeycombing especially progressively enlarged cysts. In patients with progressive RA-ILD and high risk for infection or AE of ILD in whom fibrosis is dominant, clinicians should consider starting an anti-fibrotic agent.

Consensus document for the selection of lung transplant candidates: An update from the International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation

Tens of thousands of patients with advanced lung diseases may be eligible to be considered as potential candidates for lung transplant around the world each year. The timing of referral, evaluation, determination of candidacy, and listing of candidates continues to pose challenges and even ethical dilemmas. To address these challenges, the International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation appointed an international group of members to review the literature, to consider recent advances in the management of advanced lung diseases, and to update prior consensus documents on the selection of lung transplant candidates. The purpose of this updated consensus document is to assist providers throughout the world who are caring for patients with pulmonary disease to identify potential candidates for lung transplant, to optimize the timing of the referral of these patients to lung transplant centers, and to provide transplant centers with a framework for evaluating and selecting candidates. In addition to addressing general considerations and providing disease specific recommendations for referral and listing, this updated consensus document includes an ethical framework, a recognition of the variability in acceptance of risk between transplant centers, and establishes a system to account for how a combination of risk factors may be taken into consideration in candidate selection for lung transplantation.

Mortality rate in rheumatoid arthritis-related interstitial lung disease: the role of radiographic patterns

Background

To assess mortality rate (MR) and standardized mortality rate (SMR) of rheumatoid arthritis-related interstitial lung disease (RA-ILD) patients and to evaluate the role of radiographic patterns in mortality.

Methods

A longitudinal multicentric study was conducted in RA-ILD patients from 2005 to 2015 and followed-up until October 2018 in Madrid. Patients were included in the Neumologia-Reumatología y Enfermedades Autoinmunes Registry, from diagnosis of ILD. The main outcome was all-cause mortality. The radiographic pattern at baseline [usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP), nonspecific interstitial pneumonia (NSIP), or others] was the independent variable. Covariables included sociodemographic and clinical data. Survival techniques were used to estimate MR, expressed per 1000 persons-year with their 95% confidence intervals [CI]. Cox multiple regression model was run to examine the influence of radiographic patterns on survival. SMR [CI] was calculated comparing MR obtained with MR expected in the general population of Madrid by indirect age-gender standardization.

Results

47 patients were included with a follow-up 242 patients-year. There were 16 (34%) deaths, and most frequent causes were acute ILD exacerbation and pneumonia. MR was 64.3 [39.4–104.9], and 50% of the patients died at 8.3 years from ILD diagnosis. After adjusting for confounders, (UIP compared to NSIP was associated with higher mortality risk. The overall SMR was 2.57 [1.4–4.17]. Women of 60–75 years of age were the group with the highest SMR.

Conclusions

RA-ILD is associated with an excess of mortality compared to general population. Our results support that UIP increases the risk of mortality in RA-ILD, regardless other factors.

The Role of Surgical Lung Biopsy in the Diagnosis of Fibrotic Interstitial Lung Disease: Perspective from the Pulmonary Fibrosis Foundation

Diagnosis of interstitial lung disease (ILD) requires a multidisciplinary diagnosis (MDD) approach that includes clinicians, radiologists, and pathologists. Surgical lung biopsy (SLB) is currently the recommended standard in obtaining pathological specimens for patients with ILD requiring a tissue diagnosis. The increased diagnostic confidence and accuracy provided by microscopic pathology assessment of SLB specimens must be balanced with the associated risks in ILD patients. This document was developed by the Surgical Lung Biopsy Working Group of the Pulmonary Fibrosis Foundation, composed of a multidisciplinary group of ILD physicians including pulmonologists, radiologists, pathologists, and thoracic surgeons. In this document, we present an up-to-date literature review of the indications, contraindications, risks, and alternatives to SLB in the diagnosis of fibrotic ILD, outline an integrated approach to the decision-making around SLB in the diagnosis of fibrotic ILD, and provide practical information to maximize the yield and safety of SLB.

Two sides of the same coin? A review of the similarities and differences between idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis and rheumatoid arthritis-associated interstitial lung disease

Rheumatoid arthritis associated interstitial lung disease (RA-ILD) and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) are distinct diseases; however, they share several clinical, radiographic and genetic features. For instance, usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP), which is an ILD pattern required for a diagnosis of IPF, is also the most common ILD pattern in RA-ILD. The presence of UIP in RA-ILD is a poor prognostic sign with outcomes similar to those seen in IPF. The recent finding of a shared genetic susceptibility between IPF and RA-ILD has sparked additional interest in this relationship. This review outlines these similarities and differences in clinical presentation, appearance and outcomes in RA-ILD and IPF.In addition, this review highlights previous research in molecular biomarkers in both conditions, exploring areas of overlap and distinction. This focus on biomarkers in IPF and RA-ILD aims to highlight potential areas of discovery and clues to a potential shared pathobiology through investigation of novel molecular markers or the repurposing of biomarkers from one condition to the other.The drive to better understand RA-ILD by leveraging our knowledge of IPF is underscored by our divergent treatment paradigms for these conditions and the concern for potential harm. As a result of advancing our understanding of the links between IPF and RA-ILD, current strategies for diagnosis, screening and treatment of ILD may fundamentally change in the coming years. Until then, clinicians face difficult clinical questions regarding the co-management of the articular disease and the ILD in RA.

Treatment of chronic fibrosing interstitial lung diseases

Interstitial lung diseases (ILD) refers to a large and heterogenous group of parenchymal lung disorders. It is difficult to diagnose and classify ILD. Nevertheless, accurate diagnosis of ILD is crucial for appropriate treatment selection and prediction of prognosis. Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), the most severe of the chronic forms of ILD, is defined as a specific form of chronic, progressive fibrosing interstitial pneumonia of unknown cause. In addition to IPF, a subset of patients with ILD may develop progressive fibrotic changes in lungs. As pulmonary fibrosis progresses, lung function gradually deteriorates and respiratory symptoms worsen; besides, quality of life is also impaired. Progressive fibrosis is also associated with limited response to immunomodulatory thrapies and, potentially, early death. A progressive fibrosing phenotype of ILD (PF-ILD), a subtype of ILD, shows morphological similarities, common underlying pathophysiologic mechanisms, and consistently progressive worsening. PF-ILD include idiopathic nonspecific interstitial pneumonia, unclassifiable idiopathic interstitial pneumonia, autoimmune ILD, chronic sarcoidosis, chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis and environmental lung diseases. Antifibrotic agents pirfenidone and nintedanib have showed positive results not only for IPF but also for PF-ILD. Immunosuppressive therapy can be used for some types of PF-ILD. If a patient with PF-ILD does not respond to conventional treatment, lung transplantation may be a treatment option. Clinical trials on the treatment of PF-ILD are actively underway. Therefore, over the course of the next several years, major advances in PF-ILD treatment can be expected.

Histone Deacetylase 3-Mediated Inhibition of microRNA-19a-3p Facilitates the Development of Rheumatoid Arthritis-Associated Interstitial Lung Disease

Histone deacetylase (HDAC) has been implicated in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) progression. We investigated the roles of histone deacetylase 3 (HDAC3) involved in RA-associated interstitial lung disease (ILD) fibrosis. Firstly, we measured the expression of HDAC3 and interleukin 17 receptor A (IL17RA) in lung tissue samples from normal controls, idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) patients, and RA-ILD patients. Next, chromatin immunoprecipitation (ChIP) and dual luciferase reporter assay were employed to detect the interaction between HDAC3 and microRNA-19a-3p (miR-19a-3p) and between miR-19a-3p and IL17RA. Further, immunohistochemistry was used to localize HDAC3 and IL17RA expression in lung tissues. Additionally, functional assays were conducted followed by expression determination of HDAC3, miR-19a-3p, and IL17RA with reverse transcription quantitative PCR (RT-qPCR) and Western blot analysis. The effect of HDAC3 on RA-ILD in the constructed RA-ILD mouse model was also studied based on arthritis assessment. We found overexpressed HDAC3 and IL17RA as well as silenced miR-19a-3p in RA-ILD mouse model and RA-ILD patients. In the mouse model, HDAC3 downregulated miR-19a-3p in lung fibroblasts to promote the progression of RA-ILD fibrosis. In lung fibroblasts of RA-ILD mice, IL17RA was a target gene of miR-19a-3p. miR-19a-3p negatively regulated IL17RA, thereby increasing the expression of fibrosis markers, COL1A1, COL3A1, and FN, in lung fibroblasts of mice. Taken together, HDAC3 upregulated IL17RA expression by targeting miR-19a-3p to facilitate the RA-ILD fibrosis development, which sheds light on a new HDAC3/miR-19a-3p/IL17RA axis functioning in RA-ILD fibrosis.

Risk prediction model in rheumatoid arthritis-associated interstitial lung disease

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

RA-ILD has a variable clinical course, and its prognosis is difficult to predict. Moreover, risk prediction models for prognosis remain undefined.

METHODS

The prediction model was developed using retrospective data from 153 patients with RA-ILD and validated in an independent RA-ILD cohort (n = 149). Candidate variables for the prediction models were screened using a multivariate Cox proportional hazard model. C-statistics were calculated to assess and compare the predictive ability of each model.

RESULTS

In the derivation cohort, the median follow-up period was 54 months, and 38.6% of the subjects exhibited a UIP pattern on HRCT imaging. In multivariate Cox analysis, old age (≥60 years, HR: 2.063), high fibrosis score (≥20% of the total lung extent, HR: 4.585), a UIP pattern (HR: 1.899) and emphysema (HR: 2.596) on HRCT were significantly poor prognostic factors and included in the final model. The prediction model demonstrated good performance in the prediction of 5-year mortality (C-index: 0.780, P < 0.001); furthermore, patients at risk were divided into three groups with 1-year mortality rates of 0%, 5.1% and 24.1%, respectively. Predicted and observed mortalities at 1, 2 and 3 years were similar in the derivation cohort, and the prediction model was also effective in predicting prognosis of the validation cohort (C-index: 0.638, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that a risk prediction model based on HRCT variables could be useful for patients with RA-ILD.

Circulating fibrocytes as prognostic biomarkers of autoimmune interstitial lung disease

Background

Autoimmunity is a common cause of pulmonary fibrosis and can present either as a manifestation of an established connective tissue disease or as the recently described entity of interstitial pneumonia with autoimmune features. The rate of progression and responsiveness to immunosuppression in these illnesses are difficult to predict. Circulating fibrocytes are bone marrow-derived progenitor cells that home to injured tissues and contribute to lung fibrogenesis. We sought to test the hypothesis that the blood fibrocyte concentration predicts outcome and treatment responsiveness in autoimmune interstitial lung diseases.

Methods

We compared the concentration of circulating fibrocytes in 50 subjects with autoimmune interstitial lung disease and 26 matched healthy controls and assessed the relationship between serial peripheral blood fibrocyte concentrations and clinical outcomes over a median of 6.25 years.

Results

As compared to controls, subjects with autoimmune interstitial lung disease had higher circulating concentrations of total fibrocytes, the subset of activated fibrocytes, and fibrocytes with activation of PI3K/AKT/mTOR, transforming growth factor-β (TGF-β) receptor and interleukin (IL)-4/IL-13 receptor signalling pathways. Over the follow-up period, there were episodes of marked elevation in the concentration of circulating fibrocytes in subjects with autoimmune interstitial lung disease but not controls. Initiation of immunosuppressive therapy was associated with a decline in the concentration of circulating fibrocytes. For each 100 000 cells·mL⁻¹ increase in peak concentration of circulating fibrocytes, we found a 5% increase in odds of death or lung function decline.

Conclusion

In patients with autoimmune interstitial lung disease, circulating fibrocytes may represent a biomarker of outcome and treatment response.

Autoimmune diseases are common causes of pulmonary fibrosis. The blood concentration of fibrocytes, cells involved in formation of scar tissue, predicts outcomes and response to immunosuppression in these patients.https://bit.ly/35bel62

Predicting Survival Across Acute Exacerbation of Interstitial Lung Disease in Patients with Idiopathic Inflammatory Myositis: The GAP-ILD Model

INTRODUCTION

Risk prediction is challenging in patients with idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIM) and acute exacerbation of interstitial lung disease (AE-ILD) because of heterogeneity and patient-specific variables. Our objective was to assess whether mortality is accurately predicted in patients with IIM and AE-ILD by using the gender age physiology ILD (GAP-ILD) model, a clinical prediction model that was previously validated in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted in the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University, wherein 60 consecutive patients with IIM and AE-ILD admitted between February 2011 and April 2019. The GAP-ILD was assessed retrospectively on the basis of gender, age and pulmonary function test.

RESULTS

Patients with AE-ILD (n = 60) were identified and collected, 26 deaths occurred during follow-up, and the non-survivors group presented a higher level of GAP-ILD index (P = 0.005), bacterial infection (P = 0.013), and myositis disease activity assessment (MYOACT) (P = 0.031). The subsequent multivariate logistic regression analysis of overall mortality in AE-ILD revealed that bacterial infection (OR 5.275, P = 0.037) and GAP-ILD index (OR 2.292, P = 0.011) conferred significant risk of mortality. The GAP-ILD index was able to separate patients with AE-ILD into two groups with a statistically significant difference in survival rate (log rank P = 0.002). Satisfactory mortality estimation was maintained in the corresponding GAP-ILD index across the AE-ILD group.

CONCLUSION

The GAP-ILD model preforms well in risk prediction of mortality among patients with IIM and AE-ILD. Pulmonary bacterial infection can also be taken as an initial predictor of poor prognosis in patients with IIM and AE-ILD that must be taken seriously.

The lung in a cohort of rheumatoid arthritis patients-an overview of different types of involvement and treatment

OBJECTIVES

Lung involvement in RA has several manifestations and is a major cause of morbidity and mortality. The aim of this study was to characterize the different types of lung disease and response to treatment in a UK cohort of RA patients.

METHODS

RA patients who had undergone high resolution CT scans of the lung were identified and scans reviewed. Demographic data, RA features, complementary exams and treatments were recorded for those with radiological evidence of lung involvement. Descriptive analysis was performed, and Mann-Whitney U and χ2 tests were used for comparison between different radiological subtypes.

RESULTS

Lung disease was reported in 87 (7.7%) of 1129 RA patients, usually (97.7%) post-dating articular symptoms. Most patients had positive RF (74/84; 88.1%) and ACPA (72/82; 87.7%). Interstitial lung disease (ILD) was the most common pattern, reported in 45 (51.7%) patients. Drug-induced lung disease was reported in 2 of 64 (3.1%) patients treated with MTX. Rituximab was used in 26 (57.8%) patients with ILD, with evidence of disease improvement or stabilization in patients with non-specific interstitial pneumonia and organizing pneumonia. During lung disease follow-up (6.7 ± 4.1 years), 22 (25.3%) patients were admitted to hospital with respiratory infections, with 14 (63.6%) of them having underlying bronchiectasis. Lung disease-related mortality was estimated at 8%.

CONCLUSION

ILD was the most prevalent manifestation of lung involvement in RA and was associated with higher mortality. Immunosuppressive drugs used in RA were rarely associated with lung toxicity, and rituximab demonstrated promising results for the treatment of RA-ILD.

Progression of fibrosing interstitial lung disease

Fibrotic interstitial lung diseases (ILDs) are often challenging to diagnose and classify, but an accurate diagnosis has significant implications for both treatment and prognosis. A subset of patients with fibrotic ILD experience progressive deterioration in lung function, physical performance, and quality of life. Several risk factors for ILD progression have been reported, such as male sex, older age, lower baseline pulmonary function, and a radiological or pathological pattern of usual interstitial pneumonia. Morphological similarities, common underlying pathobiologic mechanisms, and the consistently progressive worsening of these patients support the concept of a progressive fibrosing (PF)-ILD phenotype that can be applied to a variety of ILD subtypes. The conventional approach has been to use antifibrotic medications in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and immunosuppressive medications in patients with other fibrotic ILD subtypes; however, recent clinical trials have suggested a favourable treatment response to antifibrotic therapy in a wider variety of fibrotic ILDs. This review summarizes the literature on the evaluation and management of patients with PF-ILD, and discusses questions relevant to applying recent clinicial trial findings to real-world practice.

Functional ageing in fibrotic interstitial lung disease: the impact of frailty on adverse health outcomes

BACKGROUND

Accelerated biological and functional ageing is common in fibrotic interstitial lung disease (ILD); however, their impact on adverse health outcomes has not been evaluated in this population.

METHODS

Patients were prospectively recruited from a specialised ILD clinic. Functional ageing was determined by frailty index and biological age by measurement of absolute telomere length (aTL) from patients' peripheral blood leukocytes. Adverse health outcomes included health-related quality of life (St George's Respiratory Questionnaire), number and length of respiratory and non-respiratory hospitalisations, medication tolerability and time to death or lung transplantation. Multivariable models were used to determine the risks and rates of adverse health outcomes associated with the frailty index and aTL.

RESULTS

540 patients with fibrotic ILD, including 100 with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), provided 749 frailty index assessments, with 189 patients providing blood samples. The frailty index was strongly associated with quality of life, rate of hospitalisation, time to hospital discharge and mortality, including adjustment for age, sex, disease severity and IPF diagnosis. Mortality prognostication was improved by the addition of the frailty index to commonly used clinical parameters and previously validated composite indices. Conversely, aTL was not associated with most adverse health outcomes. The effect of chronological age on outcomes was mediated primarily by the frailty index, and to a lesser extent by aTL.

CONCLUSIONS

Functional ageing is associated with adverse health outcomes in patients with fibrotic ILD, indicating the need for consideration of the individual functional age into clinical decision-making.

Interstitial Lung Disease in Rheumatoid Arthritis Remains a Challenge for Clinicians

Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is a serious complication of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) contributing to significantly increased morbidity and mortality. Other respiratory complications, such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and bronchiectasis, are frequent in RA. Infections and drug toxicity are important differential diagnoses and should be considered in the diagnostic work-up of patients with RA presenting with respiratory symptoms. This review provides an overview of the epidemiology and pathogenesis of RA-ILD, the radiological and histopathological characteristics of the disease as well as the current and future treatment options. Currently, there is no available evidence-based therapy for RA-ILD, and immunosuppressants are the mainstay of therapy. Ongoing studies are exploring the role of antifibrotic therapy in patients with progressive fibrotic ILD, which may lead to a new treatment approach for subgroups of patients with RA-ILD.

Rheumatoid Arthritis-Associated Interstitial Lung Disease: Clinical Characteristics and Predictors of Mortality

INTRODUCTION

Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is a serious extraarticular manifestation of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), but no evidence-based therapy exists. Ongoing studies investigate the role of antifibrotic therapies for progressive fibrosing ILD (PF-ILD), including RA-ILD. The aim of the present study was to investigate the frequency of PF-ILD and the clinical characteristics of RA-ILD in a well-characterised, population-based cohort.

METHODS

We identified patients with RA-ILD diagnosed and followed at the ILD referral centre in Aarhus, Denmark, from 2004 to 2016. Adjusted hazard rate ratios for death were estimated using Cox regression models. The presence of PF-ILD was assessed using recently proposed definitions of relative forced vital capacity (FVC) decline ≥10%, relative diffusion capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLco) decline ≥15% or worsening symptoms or a worsening radiological appearance accompanied by a ≥5 to <10% FVC decline.

RESULTS

We identified 102 patients with RA-ILD, and 52% had PF-ILD. Mean follow-up was 3.8 years and median survival was 7.1 years. Thirty-eight patients died during follow-up, and most deaths were from respiratory causes. Predictors of mortality in a multivariate model were DLco and high titres of IgM rheumatoid factor.

CONCLUSION

PF RA-ILD was common and the associated mortality was high.

New trajectories in the treatment of interstitial lung disease: treat the disease or treat the underlying pattern?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

A subset of patients with interstitial lung diseases (ILDs), such as rheumatoid arthritis (RA)-associated ILD and chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis, will experience a disease course similar to patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). They also often have a usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) pattern of fibrosis. Although the standard of care for patients with RA-ILD and chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis is immunosuppression, the optimal treatment for patients with progressive disease and a UIP pattern remains unknown.

RECENT FINDINGS

Recent research has highlighted shared risk factors, disease behavior and pathobiology between RA-ILD, chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis and IPF. The presence of a UIP pattern, in both RA-ILD and chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis, is associated with a worse prognosis. Moreover, genetic risk factors, previously well characterized in IPF, are increasingly being linked to RA-ILD and chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis. The MUC5B promoter variant rs5705950, telomerase complex mutations and short telomere lengths are also linked to an increased susceptibility to pulmonary fibrosis in RA and chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis.

SUMMARY

IPF shares several clinical, genetic and biological features with other ILDs exhibiting the UIP pattern. The optimal pharmacologic management of these patients remains uncertain. Several ongoing trials are evaluating the efficacy of antifibrotic medications in these other diagnoses and may change how we approach ILD treatment.

Comparing effectiveness of prognostic tests in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Introduction: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a debilitating and progressive fibrotic interstitial lung disease often resulting in death over several years. Prediction of disease course or survival remains of keen interest for clinicians and patients though a commonly used test or tool remain elusive. Areas covered: We undertook a comprehensive review of the published literature highlighting prognostic indicators and predictors of survival in IPF. Baseline and longitudinal clinical, functional, histopathologic, and radiologic findings have been extensively studied as prognostic predictors, both individually and in composite models. Recent approaches include automated quantifiable radiologic scoring, circulating biomarkers, and genetic polymorphisms or abnormalities. This review highlights individual and composite predictors and their relative utility in clinical practice and research studies. Expert opinion: There is a growing body of knowledge highlighting readily available individual and composite predictors of outcome, though none have come to the forefront for common clinical use. Recent advances include quantitative imaging analysis, circulating serologic markers, and genetic testing, which may be more standardized and less prone to lead-time bias or related complications and comorbidities.

Impact of the pattern of interstitial lung disease on mortality in rheumatoid arthritis: A systematic literature review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

An important extra-articular manifestation of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is interstitial lung disease (ILD). The relationship between the usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) pattern and mortality in patients with RA is unclear. The purpose of this study was to complete a systematic literature review and meta-analysis on the association between RA-ILD pattern and mortality risk.

METHODS

We performed a systematic literature review through December 12, 2018. Study characteristics, unadjusted and adjusted relative risks (RR) of mortality for ILD pattern were extracted from the identified studies and quality assessments were performed. RR for mortality (RA-UIP vs. other RA-ILD) was pooled using inverse variance weighting and random effects models.

RESULTS

Ten retrospective cohort studies met our eligibility criteria. A total of 1256 RA-ILD patients were included with 484 total deaths. Meta-analysis yielded a pooled RR of 1.66 (95% confidence interval1.07 to 2.56) for death among those with UIP RA-ILD compared with other patterns. In sub-group analysis when pooling studies comparing UIP to NSIP pattern of RA-ILD, the RR was 2.39 (95% CI 0.86-6.68).

CONCLUSION

Through a systematic literature review and meta-analysis, we found UIP pattern to be associated with a higher mortality risk in RA-ILD compared to other patterns of RA-ILD although more recent studies emphasize the importance of pulmonary physiology and the extent of lung involvement as significant predictors of mortality rather than the pattern of RA-ILD. Recognizing the small number of studies satisfying eligibility and inconsistent accounting for confounders, further study of mortality risk in RA-ILD is needed with standardized assessment of various RA, ILD, and patient-related factors.

The natural history of progressive fibrosing interstitial lung diseases

A proportion of patients with certain types of interstitial lung disease (ILD), including chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis and ILDs associated with autoimmune diseases, develop a progressive fibrosing phenotype that shows similarities in clinical course to idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Irrespective of the clinical diagnosis, these progressive fibrosing ILDs show commonalities in the underlying pathogenetic mechanisms that drive a self-sustaining process of pulmonary fibrosis. The natural history of progressive fibrosing ILDs is characterized by decline in lung function, worsening of symptoms and health-related quality of life, and early mortality. Greater impairment in forced vital capacity or diffusion capacity of the lungs for carbon monoxide, and a greater extent of fibrotic changes on a computed tomography scan, are predictors of mortality in patients with fibrosing ILDs. However, the course of these diseases is heterogenous and cannot accurately be predicted for an individual patient. Data from ongoing clinical trials and patient registries will provide a better understanding of the clinical course and impact of progressive fibrosing ILDs.

Rheumatoid Arthritis-Associated Interstitial Lung Disease: Current Concepts

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Among the many extra-articular complications of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), interstitial lung disease (ILD) contributes significantly to morbidity and mortality. Prevalence estimates for RA-ILD vary widely depending on the specific clinical, radiographic, and functional criteria used to establish the diagnosis. A key unresolved issue is whether early, subclinical forms of RA-ILD represent a precursor to end stage, fibrotic lung disease. Based on uncertainties surrounding the natural history of RA-ILD, incomplete understanding of underlying disease pathogenesis, and lack of controlled clinical trials, evidence-based therapeutic strategies remain largely undefined.

RECENT FINDINGS

Correlative clinico-epidemiological studies have identified key risk factors for disease progression. Complementing these findings, the identification of specific molecular and serological markers of RA-ILD has improved our understanding of disease pathogenesis and established the foundation for predictive biomarker profiling. Experience from case series and cohort studies suggests that newer biological agents such as rituximab may be viable treatment options. RA-ILD continues to have a major impact on "disease intrinsic" morbidity and mortality. Increased understanding of disease pathogenesis and the natural history of subclinical RA-ILD will promote the development of more refined therapeutic strategies.

Development and validation of a multivariate predictive model for rheumatoid arthritis mortality using a machine learning approach

We developed and independently validated a rheumatoid arthritis (RA) mortality prediction model using the machine learning method Random Survival Forests (RSF). Two independent cohorts from Madrid (Spain) were used: the Hospital Clínico San Carlos RA Cohort (HCSC-RAC; training; 1,461 patients), and the Hospital Universitario de La Princesa Early Arthritis Register Longitudinal study (PEARL; validation; 280 patients). Demographic and clinical-related variables collected during the first two years after disease diagnosis were used. 148 and 21 patients from HCSC-RAC and PEARL died during a median follow-up time of 4.3 and 5.0 years, respectively. Age at diagnosis, median erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and number of hospital admissions showed the higher predictive capacity. Prediction errors in the training and validation cohorts were 0.187 and 0.233, respectively. A survival tree identified five mortality risk groups using the predicted ensemble mortality. After 1 and 7 years of follow-up, time-dependent specificity and sensitivity in the validation cohort were 0.79–0.80 and 0.43–0.48, respectively, using the cut-off value dividing the two lower risk categories. Calibration curves showed overestimation of the mortality risk in the validation cohort. In conclusion, we were able to develop a clinical prediction model for RA mortality using RSF, providing evidence for further work on external validation.