Climatically-modulated decline in wind speed may strongly affect eutrophication in shallow lakes

Restore polder and aquaculture enclosure to the lake: Balancing environmental protection and economic growth for sustainable development

The restoration of lakes and their buffer zones is crucial for understanding the intricate interplay between human activities and natural ecosystems resulting from the implementation of environmental policies. In this study, we investigated the ecological restoration of shallow lakes and buffer zones in the Yangtze-Huaihe River Basin, specifically focusing on the removal of polder and aquaculture enclosure areas within the lakes. By examining data from eight shallow lakes and their corresponding buffer zones, encompassing lake morphology, water quality parameters, and land use/land cover (LULC) data spanning from 2008 to 2022, which shed light on the complex relationships involved. During the process of restoring polder and aquaculture enclosure areas, we observed a general decrease in the extent of polders and aquaculture enclosures within the lakes. Notably, the removal of aquaculture enclosures had a more pronounced effect (reduction rate of 83.37 %) compared to the withdrawal of polders (reduction rate of 48.76 %). Linear regression analysis revealed a significant decrease in the concentrations of seven water quality parameters, including COD, CODMn, TN, TP, NH3-N, Chl-a, and F, while pH and DO factors exhibit a distinct increasing trend. The results of redundancy analysis and Pearson correlation analysis demonstrated significant correlations between the area of polders and aquaculture enclosures and the changes in lake water quality. Encouragingly, the withdrawal of polders and the removal of aquaculture enclosures had a positive impact on the lake water quality improvement. In contrast, the LULC in the buffer zones of the lakes experienced a gradual decline owing to land degradation, resulting in a reduction in ecosystem service value (ESV). These results offer valuable support for policymakers in their endeavors to restore lake water quality, mitigate the degradation of buffer zones land, and promote the sustainable development of land and water resources.

Climate change intensifies algal biomass resurgence in eutrophic Lake Taihu, China

Climate change can significantly alter phytoplankton growth and proliferation, which would counteract restoration efforts to control algal blooms. However, the knowledge is limited about the quantitative evaluation of the causal effect of algal biomass resurgence in large shallow lakes where there is no significant improvement after long term lake restoration. Here, a bucket process-based phytoplankton dynamic model is developed to quantify the contributions of climate change and nutrients concentration changes to phytoplankton biomass resurgence after 2014 in hypereutrophic Lake Taihu, China. Compared to 2008-2014, the mean water temperature (WT) and the mean phosphate are higher, the mean photosynthetically active radiation (PAR), the mean total suspended solids (TSS), and the mean dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) are lower, during 2015-2020. Their contribution to algal biomass resurgence during 2015-2020 is WT (+58.7 %), PAR (-2.6 %), TSS (+23.2 %), DIN (-22.1 %) and phosphate (+42.7 %), respectively. Climate change (WT, PAR, and TSS), which contributed +64.9 % to the phytoplankton biomass resurgence, underscores the urgent need to continuously take more effective measures to reduce nutrient emissions to offset the effects of climate change in Lake Taihu and in other eutrophic lakes.

The impact of rainfall events on dissolved oxygen concentrations in a subtropical urban reservoir

Understanding controls of dissolved oxygen (DO) concentrations in reservoirs is important as they are important for fisheries and a significant driver of greenhouse gas emissions. The latter is of global significance as IPCC inventories now require greenhouse gas emissions from artificial reservoirs to be included. Declines in dissolved oxygen (DO) concentrations in lakes and reservoirs have been linked to climate change and human activity. However, these effects can vary widely in any given region under various meteorological conditions. There is a clear need to know how changes in weather patterns affect DO in reservoirs by changing internal processes. Based on a six-year (2016-2021) high-frequency (twice a week) dataset from a shallow urban reservoir (Xinglinwan Reservoir) in subtropical China, the long-term (six years) and short-term (8-72-h) drivers of DO concentrations in surface waters were evaluated. Over the past six years, the concentration of DO has gradually decreased in the reservoir from 2016 to 2021. Multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS) models were developed to identify the key factors explaining variability in DO and partial least squares path models (PLS-PM) were used to explore the short-term relationships between DO and environmental variables in rainy and dry (non-rain) periods, separately. We identified three key drivers operating on different time scales. First, the long-term decline of DO in Xinglinwan Reservoir from 2016 to 2021 was best explained by anthropogenic nutrient inputs. Second, rainy periods prior to sampling reduced DO concentrations indirectly by affecting the algal biomass and nutrient concentrations. This effect varied in complexity with the duration of the rainfall period. Third, water temperature best explained DO concentrations during dry periods, while wind reduced DO by reducing algal biomass. We conclude that anthropogenic nutrient and organic matter inputs drive long-term oxygen declines in urban subtropical reservoirs, while meteorological factors determine short-term variability in DO concentrations.

Integrating impacts of climate change on aquatic environments in inter-basin water regulation: Establishing a critical threshold for best management practices

Inter-basin water diversion (IBWD) is a viable strategy to tackle water scarcity and quality degradation due to climate change and increasing water demand in headwaters regions. Nevertheless, the capacity of IBWD to mitigate the impacts of climate change on water quality has rarely been quantified, and the underlying processes are not well understood. Therefore, this study aims to elucidate how the IBWD manipulated total phosphorus (TP) loading dilution and conveying patterns under climate change and determine a critical threshold for the quantity of water entering downstream reservoirs (WIN) for operational scheduling. To resolve this issue, climate-driven hydrologic variability over a 60-year period was derived utilizing the least square fitting approach. Subsequently, six scenarios evaluating the response of in-lake TP concentrations (TPL) to increased temperatures and IBWDs of 50 %, 100 %, and 150 % from the baseline water volume in 2030 and 2050 were studied by employing a calibrated hydrological-water quality model (SWAT-YRWQM). In the next stage, three datasets derived from mathematical statistics based on the observed data, the Vollenweider formula, and modeled projections were integrated to formulate best management practices. The results revealed that elevated air temperatures would lead to reduced annual catchment runoff but increased IBWD. Additionally, our study quantified the IBWD potential for mitigating water quality degradation, indicating the adverse effects of climate change on TPL would be weakened by 4.2-14.4 %. A critical threshold for WIN was also quantified at 617 million m3, maintaining WIN at or near 617 million m3 through optimized operational scheduling of IBWD could effectively restrict external inflow TP loading to lower levels. This study clearly illustrates the intricate interactive effects of climate change and IBWD on aquatic environments. The methodology elucidated in this study for determining the critical threshold of WIN could be applied in water management for analogous watershed-receiving waterbody systems.

Weakened casual feedback loops following intensive restoration efforts and climate changes in a large shallow freshwater lake

Understanding how phytoplankton interacts with local and regional drivers as well as their feedbacks is a great challenge, and quantitative analyses of the regulating role of human activities and climate changes on these feedback loops are also limited. By using monthly monitoring dataset (2000-2017) from Lake Taihu and empirical dynamic modelling to construct causal networks, we quantified the strengths of causal feedbacks among phytoplankton, local environments, zooplankton, meteorology as well as global climate oscillation. Prevalent bidirectional causal linkages between phytoplankton biomass (chlorophyll a) and the tested drivers were found, providing holistic and quantitative evidence of the ubiquitous feedback loops. Phytoplankton biomass exhibited the highest feedbacks with total inorganic nitrogen and ammonia and the lowest with nitrate. The feedbacks between phytoplankton biomass and environmental factors from 2000 to 2017 could be classified into two groups: the local environments (e.g., nutrients, pH, transparency, zooplankton biomass)-driven enhancement loops promoting the response of the phytoplankton biomass, and the climate (e.g., wind speed)-driven regulatory loops suppressing it. The two counterbalanced groups modified the emergent macroecological patterns. Our findings revealed that the causal feedback networks loosened significantly after 2007 following nutrient loading reduction and unsuccessful biomanipulation restoration attempts by stocking carp. The strength of enhancement loops underwent marked decreases leading to reduced phytoplankton responses to the tested drivers, while the climate (decreasing wind speed, warming winter)-driven regulatory loops increased- like a tug-of-war. To counteract the self-amplifying feedback loops, the present eutrophication mitigation efforts, especially nutrient reduction, should be continued, and introduction of alternative measures to indirectly regulate the critical components (e.g., pH, Secchi depth, zooplankton biomass) of the loops would be beneficial.

The effects of wind-wave disturbances on sediment resuspension and phosphate release in Lake Chao

As a typical shallow lake with a wind-generated flow, the resuspension state of sediment and phosphorus release under wind field disturbance plays an important role in controlling lake eutrophication in Lake Chao. In this study, we proposed a combination of experimental analysis of dynamic disturbances, wind-wave disturbance shear stress calculation, and model simulation (experimental-calculative-modeling) to quantitatively investigate the effects of wind-wave disturbances on the resuspension state of Lake Chao bottom sediment and phosphorus release and distribution. The results showed that the release rate of phosphorus from the Lake Chao bottom sediment was affected by the wind field and bottom sediment content, which varied significantly spatially and showed some difference between different seasons. Under the condition of sufficient water body disturbance, the substrate in the Western Lake area of Lake Chao mainly adsorbed phosphate from the water body, while the substrate in the Central Lake area and the Eastern Lake area adsorbed phosphate along with the release. The magnitude of the phosphorus release rate due to sediment resuspension was mainly affected by wind speed, and the distribution of phosphorus content was influenced by the circulation generated by different dominant wind directions. The wind-wave disturbances have a significant effect on the spatial and temporal distribution of phosphorus in Lake Chao, and the proposed experimental-calculative-modeling ensemble can provide relevant technical support for the study of water pollution control strategies and comprehensive remediation and management of Lake Chao.

Spatial and temporal patterns of phytoplankton community succession and characteristics of realized niches in Lake Taihu, China

Understanding the dynamics and succession of phytoplankton in large lakes can help inform future lake management. The study analyzed phytoplankton community variations in Lake Taihu over a 21-year period, focusing on realized niches and their impact on succession. The study developed a niche periodic table with 32 niches, revealing responses to environmental factors and the optimal number of niches. Results showed that the phytoplankton in Lake Taihu showed significant spatial and temporal heterogeneity, with biomass decreasing as one moved from the northwest to the southeast and expanding towards central lake area, and towards autumn and winter. Different phytoplankton groups in Lake Taihu occupied realized niches shaped by temperature, nitrate, and phosphate. To predict the response of eutrophic freshwater lake ecosystems to human activities and climate change, it is critical to interpret the law of phytoplankton bloom and niche succession.

The unprecedented 2022 extreme summer heatwaves increased harmful cyanobacteria blooms

Heatwaves are increasing and expected to intensify in coming decades with global warming. However, direct evidence and knowledge of the mechanisms of the effects of heatwaves on harmful cyanobacteria blooms are limited and unclear. In 2022, we measured chlorophyll-a (Chla) at 20-s intervals based on a novel ground-based proximal sensing system (GBPSs) in the shallow eutrophic Lake Taihu and combined in situ Chla measurements with meteorological data to explore the impacts of heatwaves on cyanobacterial blooms and the potential relevant mechanisms. We found that three unprecedented summer heatwaves (July 4-15, July 22-August 16, and August 18-23) lasting a total of 44 days were observed with average maximum air temperatures (MATs) of 38.1 ± 1.9 °C, 38.7 ± 1.9 °C, and 40.2 ± 2.1 °C, respectively, and that these heatwaves were characterized by high air temperature, strong PAR, low wind speed and rainfall. The daily Chla significantly increased with increasing MAT and photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) and decreasing wind speed, revealing a clear promotion effect on harmful cyanobacteria blooms from the heatwaves. Moreover, the combined effects of high temperature, strong PAR and low wind, enhanced the stability of the water column, the light availability and the phosphorus release from the sediment which ultimately boosted cyanobacteria blooms. The projected increase in heatwave occurrence under future climate change underscores the urgency of reducing nutrient input to eutrophic lakes to combat cyanobacteria growth and of improving early warning systems to ensure secure water management.

Macroinvertebrate Response to Internal Nutrient Loading Increases in Shallow Eutrophic Lakes

In eutrophic lakes, even if external loading is controlled, internal nutrient loading delays the recovery of lake eutrophication. When the input of external pollutants is reduced, the dissolved oxygen environment at the sediment interface improves in a season without algal blooms. As an important part of lake ecosystems, macroinvertebrates are sensitive to hypoxia caused by eutrophication; however, how this change affects macroinvertebrates is still unknown. In this study, we analysed the monitoring data of northern Lake Taihu from 2007 to 2019. After 2007, the external loading of Lake Taihu was relatively stable, but eutrophication began to intensify after 2013, and the nutrients in the sediments also began to decline, which was related to the efficient use of nutrients by algal blooms. The community structure and population density of macroinvertebrates showed different responses in different stages. In particular, the density of oligochaetes and the Shannon-Wiener index showed significant differences in their response to different stages, and their sensitivity to eutrophication was significantly reduced. Under eutrophication conditions dominated by internal loading, frequent hypoxia occurs at the sediment interface only when an algal bloom erupts. When there is no bloom, the probability of sediment hypoxia is significantly reduced under the disturbance of wind. Our results indicate that the current method for evaluating lake eutrophication based on oligochaetes and the Shannon-Wiener diversity index may lose its sensitivity.

Chemodiversity of Cyanobacterial Toxins Driven by Future Scenarios of Climate Warming and Eutrophication

Climate change and eutrophication are two environmental threats that can alter the structure of freshwater ecosystems and their service functions, but we know little about how ecosystem structure and function will evolve in future scenarios of climate warming. Therefore, we created different experimental climate scenarios, including present-day conditions, a 3.0 °C increase in mean temperature, and a "heatwaves" scenario (i.e., an increase in temperature variability) to assess the effects of climate change on phytoplankton communities under simultaneous stress from eutrophication and herbicides. We show that the effects of climate warming, particularly heatwaves, are associated with elevated cyanobacterial abundances and toxin production, driven by a change from mainly nontoxic to toxic Microcystis spp. The reason for higher cyanobacterial toxin concentrations is likely an increase in abundances because under the dual pressures of climate warming and eutrophication individual Microcystis toxin-producing ability decreased. Eutrophication and higher temperatures significantly increased the biomass of Microcystis, leading to an increase in the cyanobacterial toxin concentrations. In contrast, warming alone did not produce higher cyanobacterial abundances or cyanobacterial toxin concentrations likely due to the depletion of the available nutrient pool. Similarly, the herbicide glyphosate alone did not affect abundances of any phytoplankton taxa. In the case of nutrient enrichment, cyanobacterial toxin concentrations were much higher than under warming alone due to a strong boost in biomass of potential cyanobacterial toxin producers. From a broader perspective our study shows that in a future warmer climate, nutrient loading has to be reduced if toxic cyanobacterial dominance is to be controlled.

Exploring invertebrate indicators of ecosystem health by focusing on the flow transitional zones in a large, shallow eutrophic lake

The river-lake transitional zone provides a unique environment for the biological community and can reduce pollution inputs in lake ecosystems from their catchments. To explore environmental conditions with high purification potential in Lake Taihu and indicator species, we examined the river-to-lake changes in water and sediment quality and benthic invertebrate communities in the transitional zone of four regions. The spatial variations in the environment and invertebrate community observed in this study followed the previously reported patterns in Taihu; the northern and western regions were characterized by higher nutrient concentrations in water, higher heavy metal concentrations in sediment, and higher total invertebrate density and biomass dominated by pollution-tolerant oligochaetes and chironomids. Although nutrient concentrations were low and transparency was high in the eastern region, the taxon richness was the lowest there, which disagreed with the previous findings and might be due to a poor cover of macrophytes in this study. The river-to-lake change was large in the southern region for water quality and the invertebrate community. Water circulation induced by strong wind-wave actions in the lake sites of the southern region is assumed to have promoted photosynthetic and nutrient uptake activities and favored invertebrates that require well-aerated conditions such as polychaetes and burrowing crustaceans. Invertebrates usually adapted to brackish and saline environments are suggested to be indicators of a well-circulated environment with active biogeochemical processes and a less eutrophic state in Taihu, and wind-wave actions are key to maintaining such a community and natural purifying processes.

Nutrient reduction mitigated the expansion of cyanobacterial blooms caused by climate change in Lake Taihu according to Bayesian network models

Although nutrient reduction has been used for lake eutrophication mitigation worldwide, the use of this practice alone has been shown to be less effective in combatting cyanobacterial blooms, primarily because of climate change. In addition, quantifying the climate change contribution to cyanobacterial blooms is difficult, further complicating efforts to set nutrient reduction goals for mitigating blooms in freshwater lakes. This study employed a continuous variable Bayesian modeling framework to develop a model to predict spring cyanobacterial bloom areas and frequencies (the responses) using nutrient levels and climatic factors as predictors. Our results suggested that both spring climatic factors (e.g., increasing temperature and decreasing wind speed) and nutrients (e.g., total phosphorus) played vital roles in spring blooms in Lake Taihu, with climatic factors being the primary drivers for both bloom areas and frequencies. Climate change in spring had a 90% probability of increasing the bloom area from 35 km² to 180 km² during our study period, while nutrient reduction limited the bloom area to 170 km², which helped mitigate expansion of cyanobacterial blooms. For lake management, to ensure a 90% probability of the mean spring bloom areas remaining under 154 km² (the 75th percentile of the bloom areas in spring), the total phosphorus should be maintained below 0.073 mg·L^-1 under current climatic conditions, which is a 46.3% reduction from the current level. Our modeling approach is an effective method for deriving dynamic nutrient thresholds for lake management under different climatic scenarios and management goals.

Atmospheric Reactive Nitrogen Deposition from 2010 to 2021 in Lake Taihu and the Effects on Phytoplankton

The effects of nitrogen deposition reduction on nutrient loading in freshwaters have been widely studied, especially in remote regions. However, understanding of the ecological effects is still rather limited. Herein, we re-estimated nitrogen deposition, both of wet and dry deposition, in Lake Taihu with monthly monitoring data from 2010 to 2021. Our results showed that the atmospheric deposition of reactive nitrogen (namely NH₄⁺ and NO₃^-) in Lake Taihu was 4.94-11.49 kton/yr, which equaled 13.9%-27.3% of the riverine loading. Dry deposition of NH₄⁺ and NO₃^- contributed 53.1% of the bulk deposition in Lake Taihu. Ammonium was the main component of both wet and dry deposition, which may have been due to the strong agriculture-related activities around Lake Taihu. Nitrogen deposition explained 24.9% of the variation in phytoplankton community succession from 2010 to 2021 and was the highest among all the environmental factors. Atmospheric deposition offset the effects of external nitrogen reduction during the early years and delayed the emergence of nitrogen-fixing cyanobacterial dominance in Lake Taihu. Our results implied that a decrease in nitrogen deposition due to a reduction in fertilizer use, especially a decrease in NH₄⁺ deposition, could limit diatoms and promote non-nitrogen-fixing cyanobacterial dominance, followed by nitrogen-fixing taxa. This result was also applied to other shallow eutrophic lakes around the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, where significant reduction of fertilizer use recorded during the last decades.

Prokaryotic Diversity and Dynamics during Dinoflagellate Bloom Decays in Coastal Tunisian Waters

(1) Background: Harmful algal blooms (HABs) can negatively impact marine ecosystems, but few studies have evaluated the microbial diversity associated with HABs and its potential role in the fates of these proliferations. (2) Methods: Marine prokaryotic diversity was investigated using high-throughput sequencing of the 16S rRNA gene during the bloom declines of two dinoflagellates detected in the summer of 2019 along the northern and southern Tunisian coasts (South Mediterranean Sea). The species Gymnodinium impudicum (Carthage, Tunis Gulf) and Alexandrium minutum (Sfax, Gabes Gulf) were identified using microscopy and molecular methods and were related to physicochemical factors and prokaryotic compositions. (3) Results: The abundance of G. impudicum decreased over time with decreasing phosphate concentrations. During the G. impudicum bloom decay, prokaryotes were predominated by the archaeal MGII group (Thalassarchaeaceae), Pelagibacterales (SAR11), Rhodobacterales, and Flavobacteriales. At Sfax, the abundance of A. minutum declined with decreasing phosphate concentrations and increasing pH. At the A. minutum peak, prokaryotic communities were largely dominated by anoxygenic phototrophic sulfur-oxidizing Chromatiaceae (Gammaproteobacteria) before decreasing at the end of the survey. Both the ubiquitous archaeal MGII group and Pelagibacterales were found in low proportions during the A. minutum decay. Contrary to the photosynthetic Cyanobacteria, the photo-autotrophic and -heterotrophic Rhodobacterales and Flavobacteriales contents remained stable during the dinoflagellate bloom decays. (4) Conclusions: These results indicated changes in prokaryotic community diversity during dinoflagellate bloom decays, suggesting different bacterial adaptations to environmental conditions, with stable core populations that were potentially able to degrade HABs.

Characteristic of water quality indicators and its response to climate conditions in the middle and lower reaches of Lijiang River, China

With global climate change and increasingly extreme weather conditions, the water quality of the Lijiang River Basin (LRB) is facing huge threats. At present, there is still a lack of systematic research on water quality indicators and the influence of indirect factors such as meteorological factors on it in the LRB. Therefore, this study is based on the meteorological, hydrological, and water quality data of the LRB from 2012 to 2018, using the Mann-Kendall test, Morlet wavelet method, Spearman's rank correlation coefficient, sensitivity, and contribution rate to quantitative analysis of the relationship between climate conditions and water quality indicators. The results show that the change trends of these hydrological and climatic conditions have almost no significant sudden change; precipitation and streamflow are decreasing each year; the streamflow trend exhibits time hysteresis; precipitation has a stronger influence downstream than on the local area; water quality indicators of both stations exhibited a change period of around 18 to 20 months, with the exception of pH. Water quality indicators are insensitive to precipitation and streamflow, and sensitive to humidity and wind speed; DO was negatively correlated with climate indicators apart from wind speed; almost all water quality indicators in Yangshuo are highly sensitive to air temperature, and the contribution rate of air temperature to ORP and TP reached 4.81% and 3.56%, respectively; sunshine duration has a positive impact on reducing NH₄-N and TP. The difference between Yangshuo and Guilin is mostly due to the input of external sources on both sides of the Lijiang River, which results in variations in climate conditions sensitivities.

Warming of surface water in the large and shallow lakes across the Yangtze River Basin, China, and its driver analysis

A variety of physical, chemical, and biological processes within the lakes relies on the surface water temperature while the spatial pattern of large lakes of different warming trends and their connections with climate change remain unclear. Using correlation analysis, regression tree analysis (RTA), and general linear models (GLMs), we have estimated the warming trends of 192 lakes since 2000 in the populated Yangtze River Basin, China, to identify dominant climate drivers and quantify their contributions. The results show that surface water temperature has increased substantially in the majority of the investigated lakes (179 from a total of 192 lakes) at a rate of 0.29 (- 0.12 to 0.62) °C/decade (median and 95% confidence interval). The shallower lakes (< 13.1 m in depth) usually have the faster median warming rates than the deeper lakes (i.e., 0.37 °C/decade versus 0.16 °C/decade). We find that in the shallow lakes, rising air temperatures and declining wind speeds can explain the majority of variation in surface water temperature (i.e., 31.4‒80.3% and 13.0‒21.0%, respectively). In contrast, in deeper lakes, change of air temperatures plays a dominant role in water warming (75.4‒91.2%). This study has emphasized the importance of declining wind speed in water warming in large and shallow lakes and illustrated a difference of dominant climatic drivers in water warming between the shallow and deep lakes.

Sediment organic carbon dynamics response to land use change in diverse watershed anthropogenic activities

Sediment organic carbon (SOC) is a precious archive that synthesizes anthropogenic processes that remove geochemical fluxes from watersheds. However, the scarcity of inspection about the dynamic mechanisms of anthropogenic activities on SOC limits understanding into how key human factors drive carbon dynamics. Here, four typical basins with similar natural but significantly diverse human contexts (high-moderate-low disturbance: XJ-ZS and YJ-LS) were selected to reconstruct sedimentation rates (SR) and SOC dynamics nearly a century based on 200-cm corers. A partial least squares path model (PLS-PM) was used to establish successive (70 years) and multiple anthropogenic data (population, agriculture, land use, etc.) quantification methods for SOC. Intensified anthropogenic disturbances shifted all SR from pre-stable to post-1960s fluctuating increases (total coefficient: high: 0.63 < low: 0.47 < medium: 0.45). Although land use change was co-critical driver of SOC variations, their trend and extent differed under the dams and other disturbances (SOC mutated in high-moderate but stable in low). For high basin, land use changes increased (0.12) but dams reduced (-0.10) the downstream SOC. Furthermore, SOC mutation corresponded to soil erosion due to urbanization in both periods A and B. For moderate, SOC was reversed with the increase in afforestation and cropland (-0.19) due to the forest excitation effect and deep ploughing, which corresponded to the drought in phase B and the anthropogenic ecological project in A. For low, the increase in SOC corresponded to the Great Leap Forward deforestation in period B and the reed sweep in A, which suggested the minor land change substantially affected (0.16) SOC in fragile environments. Overall, SOC dynamics revealed that anthropogenic activities affected terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems for near the centenary, especially land use. This is constructive for agroforestry management and reservoir construction, consistent with expectations like upstream carbon sequestration and downstream carbon stabilization.

Estimating the contribution of environmental variables to water quality in the postrestoration littoral zones of Taihu Lake using the APCS-MLR model

Water quality monitoring is one of the most important aspects of postrestoration assessments because it affects water pollution control and the development of sustainable management strategies. However, a comprehensive understanding of potential water pollution and source apportionment in restoration projects is still lacking. In this study, the water quality variables of three restored national wetland parks with different cofferdam systems (i.e., an eco-layered cofferdam, a fully enclosed cofferdam, and open water) in the littoral zone of Taihu Lake were monitored monthly for three years (2019-2021). Hydrochemical and meteorological variables were used as auxiliary parameters for multivariate statistics, including principal component analysis (PCA) and absolute principal component score-multiple linear regression (APCS-MLR), to accurately estimate the source apportionment of the potential factors influencing the water environment. PCA extracted three or four potential sources, accounting for 64.71 %, 65.40 %, and 63.85 % of the total variance. The APCS-MLR results showed that wind direction and volatile suspended solids were the primary sources affecting water quality in open water, with a sum of the mean source contributions of 40.7 %. In fully enclosed cofferdam systems, the dire state of endogenous pollution was the greatest potential source affecting water quality, with a mean contribution of 41.2 %. The eco-layered cofferdam alleviated the contributions of suspended solids (mean contribution of 23.7 %) and nutrients in the water column (mean contribution of 30.8 %); however, the contribution of organic matter in the cofferdam was relatively high (mean contribution of 13.4 %). Based on these results, eco-layered cofferdams play a positive role in eutrophication control and ecological restoration in the littoral zone of large shallow lakes. Meanwhile, adding meteorological variables to assist hydrochemical variables in multivariate statistics may improve the accuracy and certainty of pollution source apportionment and support decision-makers in developing water quality protection and management strategies for postrestoration projects in littoral zones.

Assessing temporal variability of lake turbidity and trophic state of European lakes using open data repositories

Water turbidity is one of the more important water quality parameters that is strictly linked with the productivity of the lake and is commonly used as an indicator of the trophic state. However, limited field data availability across wide geographic gradients may hinder the conduction of large scale longitudinal studies. In this study, time series of lake turbidity and trophic state index (TSI) between 2002 and 2012 were obtained from the Copernicus Lake Water products to create a large longitudinal dataset of lake variables for 22 European lakes. The dataset was combined with estimates of nutrient concentrations and surface water temperature obtained from the Hydrological Predictions for the Environment (HYPE) and ERA5-Land data repositories, that were used as environmental predictors. Hence, the validity of the lake water quality parameters was tested by a) exploring their spatial and temporal variability and b) identifying associations with the environmental predictors. For this purpose, seasonal Mann-Kendall tests were applied to find significant inter-annual trends of turbidity and TSI for each lake, and generalized additive models (GAMs) were employed to identify the main parameters that shape their temporal dynamics. Although we did not find significant inter-annual changes, our findings highlighted the strong influence of seasonality and surface water temperature in defining the temporal variability patterns in most of the lakes. In addition, the importance of nutrients varied among lakes as several lakes exhibited narrow nutrient gradients reflecting relatively stable nutrient conditions during the examined period. Other lake intrinsic factors, such as local climate and biotic interactions, are important drivers of shaping turbidity and nutrient dynamics. This study highlighted the usefulness of combining lake data from large repositories in conducting large scale spatial studies as a valuable asset for future lake research and management purposes.

Onshore wind farms do not affect global wind speeds or patterns

The proportion of global electricity generated by wind is increasing. There are concerns that onshore wind farms may affect local winds and/or patterns, with impacts on local ecosystems. Global-scale evaluations of these impacts are lacking. To investigate this issue, we used TerraClimate and ERA5 datasets covering the years 1980-1999 to judge the impact of onshore wind farms on wind speeds (at 10 m and 100 m elevations) and their distribution patterns. Winds were compared in two periods approximately representing periods without (1980-1999) and with (2001-2020) large-scale wind farms in existence. The TerraClimate dataset shows that 10 m wind speeds decreased at wind farm locations, while the wind speed distribution patterns did not change significantly. However, in the densest wind farm areas, the 10 m wind speeds actually increased. Analysis of the ERA5 data showed no significant changes in 10 m and 100 m wind speeds or distribution patterns at wind farm locations. The influence of wind farms on local and global wind speeds was slight and far less than that of oceanic/atmospheric oscillations. In the long term, the potential for onshore wind farms to reduce global wind speeds or affect their distribution patterns is very small.

Evaluating the eutrophication risk of artificial lagoons-case study El Gouna, Egypt

Eutrophication problem in El Gouna shallow artificial coastal lagoons in Egypt was investigated using 2D TELEMAC-EUTRO-WAQTEL module. Eight reactive components were presented, among them dissolved oxygen (DO), phosphorus, nitrogen, and phytoplankton biomass (PHY). The effect of warmer surface water on the eutrophication problem was investigated. Also, the spatial and temporal variability of the eutrophication was analyzed considering different weather conditions: tide wave, different wind speeds and directions. Moreover, effect of pollution from a nearby desalination plant was discussed considering different pollution degrees of brine discharge, different discharge quantities and different weather conditions. Finally, new precautions for better water quality were discussed. The results show that tide wave created fluctuations in DO concentrations, while other water quality components were not highly influenced by tide's fluctuations. Also, it was found that high water temperatures and low wind speeds highly decreased water quality producing low DO concentrations and high nutrients rates. High water quality was produced beside inflow boundaries when compared to outflow boundaries in case of mean wind. Moreover, the results show that the average water quality was not highly deteriorated by the nearby desalination operation, while the area just beside the desalination inflow showed relatively strong effects. Different weather conditions controlled the brine's propagation inside the lagoons. Moreover, increasing the width of the inflow boundaries and injecting tracer during tide and mean wind condition are new precautions which may help to preserve the water quality in a future warmer world. This study is one of the first simulations for eutrophication in manmade lagoons.

Enhanced Bio-P removal: Past, present, and future - A comprehensive review

Excess amounts of phosphorus (P) and nitrogen (N) from anthropogenic activities such as population growth, municipal and industrial wastewater discharges, agriculture fertilization and storm water runoffs, have affected surface water chemistry, resulting in episodes of eutrophication. Enhanced biological phosphorus removal (EBPR) based treatment processes are an economical and environmentally friendly solution to address the present environmental impacts caused by excess P present in municipal discharges. EBPR practices have been researched and operated for more than five decades worldwide, with promising results in decreasing orthophosphate to acceptable levels. The advent of molecular tools targeting bacterial genomic deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) has also helped us reveal the identity of potential polyphosphate-accumulating organisms (PAO) and denitrifying PAO (DPAO) responsible for the success of EBPR. Integration of process engineering and environmental microbiology has provided much-needed confidence to the wastewater community for the successful implementation of EBPR practices around the globe. Despite these successes, the process of EBPR continues to evolve in terms of its microbiology and application in light of other biological processes such as anaerobic ammonia oxidation and on-site carbon capture. This review provides an overview of the history of EBPR, discusses different operational parameters critical for the successful operation of EBPR systems, reviews current knowledge of EBPR microbiology, the influence of PAO/DPAO on the disintegration of microbial communities, stoichiometry, EBPR clades, current practices, and upcoming potential innovations.

Decrease in macrofauna density increases the sediment phosphorus release and maintains the high phosphorus level of water column in Lake Taihu: A case study on Grandidierella taihuensis

Internal phosphorus (P) loading can increase the P level in the water column and further sustains cyanobacterial blooms. This study focused on the role of benthic fauna bioturbation in affecting the sediment P release and the P level of water column in a eutrophic lake, Lake Taihu. The macrofauna density decreased from 4766.56 ± 10541.80 ind/m² in 2007 to 345 ± 447.63 ind/m² in 2020 due to the frequent bottom-water hypoxia in Lake Taihu. The reduced macrofauna density majorly resulted from Grandidierella taihuensis, Limnodrilus hoffmeisteri, and Tanypus chinensis larvae, and their total density decreased by approximately 97% in 2020 compared to 2007. G. taihuensis, one of the major benthic faunas, was further used as a representative to investigate the effects of bioturbation on sediment P release using high-resolution sampling and imaging techniques. The results show that G. taihuensis can increase the O₂ penetration depth by more than 20 mm through bio-irrigation, and causes the redox conditions in burrows and surrounding sediments to change dramatically within a few minutes due to the intermittent ventilation. Subsequent oxidation of the soluble Fe(II) led to the formation of Fe-oxide bound P in the surface sediments, thereby increasing the P retention in the sediments. When the G. taihuensis density was 1563 ind/m² at the sampling site, approximately 0.12 g m^-2 yr^-1 P can be retained in sediments. As previous studies have shown that L. hoffmeisteri and T. chinensis played a similar role in increasing the P retention in sediments through their bioturbation activities, the sharp decline in benthic fauna density and burrowing activities in Lake Taihu should be an important reason for maintaining the high P level in the water column by decreasing the P retention in sediments.

Effects of urbanization intensity on glomalin-related soil protein in Nanchang, China: Influencing factors and implications for greenspace soil improvement

Glomalin-related soil protein (GRSP) is a stable and persistent glycoprotein secreted by arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi that plays an important role in sequestering soil organic carbon (SOC) and improving soil quality. Rapid urbanization disturbs and degrades the soil quality in the greenspace. However, few studies have investigated the effects of urbanization on GRSP and its influencing factors. This study selected impervious surface area as a measure of urbanization intensity. A total of 184 soil samples were collected from the 0-20 cm soil layer in the greenspace of Nanchang, China (505 km²). The GRSP content, soil properties, urban forest characteristics, and land-use configuration were determined. The total GRSP (TG) and easily extractable GRSP (EEG) contents were 2.38 and 0.57 mg g^-1, respectively. TG and EEG decreased by 16.22% and 19.35%, respectively, from low to heavy urbanized areas. Moreover, SOC decreased from 39.9 to 1.4 mg g^-1, while EEG/SOC and TG/SOC increased by approximately 17% and 34%, respectively, indicating the significant contribution of GRSP to the SOC pool. Pearson and redundancy analysis showed that GRSP was positively correlated with SOC, phosphorus, nitrogen, vegetation richness, and tree height, but negatively correlated with pH, bulk density, and impervious area. The partial least squares path model demonstrated that urbanization affected soil properties, forest characteristics, and land use factors, resulting in GRSP changes. This study clarifies the key factors of urbanization that affect GRSP and provides insight for urban greenspace soil improvement from the new perspective of enhancing the GRSP content.

Citizen scientist monitoring accurately reveals nutrient pollution dynamics in Lake Tanganyika coastal waters

Several studies in Lake Tanganyika have effectively employed traditional methods to explore changes in water quality in open waters; however, coastal monitoring has been restricted and sporadic, relying on costly sample and analytical methods that require skilled technical staff. This study aims in validating citizen science water quality collected data (nitrate, phosphate and turbidity) with those collected and measured by professional scientists in the laboratory. A second objective of the study is to use citizen scientist data to identify the patterns of seasonal and spatial variations in nutrient conditions and forecast potential changes based on expected changes in population and climate (to 2050). The results showed that the concentrations of nitrate and phosphate measured by citizen scientists nearly matched those established by professional scientists, with overall accuracy of 91% and 74%, respectively. For total suspended solids measured by professional and turbidity measured by citizen scientists, results show that, using 14 NTU as a cut-off, citizen scientist measurements of Secchi tube depth to identify lake TSS below 7.0 mg/L showed an accuracy of 88%. In both laboratory and citizen scientist-based studies, all measured water quality variables were significantly higher during the wet season compared to the dry season. Climate factors were discovered to have a major impact on the likelihood of exceeding water quality restrictions in the next decades (2050), which could deteriorate lake conditions. Upscaling citizen science to more communities on the lake and other African Great Lakes would raise environmental awareness, inform management and mitigation activities, and aid long-term decision-making.

Impact of extreme events on the transformation of hydrological characteristics of Asia's largest brackish water system, Chilika Lake

The earth is experiencing the impact of climate change due to global warming. Lake ecosystems are no exception and are expected to cope with the consequences of extreme climatic events (hereafter ECE), such as storms, floods, and droughts. These events have significant potential to alter the hydrological characteristics (HC) influencing the physical, chemical, and biological behavior of lake ecosystems. Considering such ecosystem's high-value services and benefits, it is the need of the hour to monitor and evaluate the impact of ECE on lake ecosystems. The second-largest brackish water system in the world, Chilika Lake, situated at the shore of the Bay of Bengal (BoB), has encountered a total of 1306 tropical cyclonic storms in the last 131 years. Since most tropical cyclones lead to heavy floods, this could be devastating for the ecosystem and its services. Hence, in order to bridge the knowledge gap, the present study was carried out to understand its impact, based on the available field data of more than two decades (1999 to 2020) and historical records of ECE and HC since 1840 and 1915 respectively from the literature. The study revealed that the ECE attributed to short-term changes in HC which were reflected through an immediate change in trophic state index (TSI, indicator of lake health) and trophic switchover (net autotrophic to heterotrophic) between net sink and source of carbon dioxide (CO₂) in specific regions. This study showed that both the ECE as well as a human intervention (opening of the new mouth) had an integrated role in the maintenance of HC within the lake as indicated by the variability of salinity level which is the lifeblood of the Chilika. Major ECE factors which controlled the salinity in Chilika were freshwater input through cyclone-induced flash flooding and seawater exchange through varying mouth conditions, i.e., opening of the new mouth, shifting, and widening of existing mouths due to cyclone impacts. The impact of the cyclone-induced flash flood was sustained for a couple of months to years depending on the magnitudes. As evidenced from the historical data available for ECEs, respective mouth variability, and salinity regime, ECE was found to maintain the salinity regime of the lake in the long run. Since the hydrological characteristics are found to be maintained through ECE as well as human intervention, the Chilika Lake recorded a substantial increase in fishery, seagrasses, Irrawaddy dolphins, migratory birds, and reduction in weed infestation. This study highlights the importance of historical data collection through a continuous systematic lake monitoring program which would enable understanding the ecosystem functioning and behavior with ECE-induced changing environmental conditions which is also a key component for formulating a sustainable management action plan for lake ecosystems around the globe.

Reducing nutrient increases diatom biomass in a subtropical eutrophic lake, China-Do the ammonium concentration and nitrate to ammonium ratio play a role?

Response of aquatic organisms to eutrophication have been well reported, while less studies are available for the recovery of eutrophic lakes following a reduction in the external loading, especially for systems where nitrogen is reduced but the phosphorus concentration is maintained high due to internal loading. Diatoms are nitrate (NO₃-N) opportunists but can also use ammonium (NH₄-N). They may, therefore, be more sensitive to nitrogen reduction than other algae that typically prefer NH₄-N. We document the variations of nutrients and diatoms in subtropical, eutrophic Lake Taihu over 28 yr during which a reduction of the external loading resulted from lake management. According to the results of change point analysis, data on environmental variables were divided into two periods (P1: 1992-2006; P2: 2007-2019) with two different seasons (WS: Winter-Spring; SA: Summer-Autumn), respectively. Compared with P1-WS, the concentration of NH₄-N decreased significantly whereas NO₃-N showed no significant change in P2-WS. In contrast, NH₄-N concentrations were low and showed no significant changes in P1-SA and P2-SA and NO₃-N decreased significantly in the latter period. Accordingly, NO₃-N: NH₄-N mass ratios in P1-SA and P2-WS were all significantly higher than those in P2-SA and P1-WS, respectively. The biomass of WS diatom increased significantly and the timing of the peak biomass shifted from P1-SA to P2-WS since 2007. The SEM analysis showed that NO₃-N was retained as a statistically significant predictor for diatom biomass in P1-SA and significant effects of windspeed, zooplankton and NH₄-N on diatom biomass in P2-WS. Windspeed and zooplankton have further changed the biomass of diatoms in the case of declining inorganic nitrogen. We conclude that the magnitude of vernal suppression or stimulation of diatom assemblages has increased, concomitant with the variations of NH₄-N and NO₃-N: NH₄-N mass ratios. Diatoms response to NH₄-N or NO₃-N is apparently changing in response to water temperature in this eutrophic shallow lake. Thus, parallel reductions in external nitrogen loading, along with variations in dominant inorganic nitrogen, will stimulate the growth of diatom and therefore increase the total biomass of phytoplankton in still high internal phosphorus loading, which is should be regarded as a good sign of restoration measures.

Plant Macrofossils Reveal Aquatic Macrophyte Successions of a Typical Shallow Lake (Huanggai Lake, China) in the Past Century

Aquatic macrophytes are one of the important biotic components of shallow lake ecosystems. Understanding the long-term evolution of the macrophyte community is crucial for lake management. Huanggai Lake, a typical shallow lake in the middle reach of the Yangtze River, was selected as the research site for this study. Based on ²¹⁰Pb/¹³⁷Cs dating, aquatic plant macrofossils were used to reconstruct the succession of aquatic macrophytes in the past century. Our results show that the lake maintained a consistent natural state before 1940, with a relatively low abundance of aquatic plants dominated by species such as Najas minor. From 1940 to 1974, human activities gradually intensified in the lake leading to the emergence of eutrophic species such as Potamogeton maackianus, along with the increasing abundance of other emergent and floating aquatic macrophytes. Since 1974, more pollution-resistant, emergent species such as Potamogeton maackianus and Potamogeton crispus have become dominant. The abundance of aquatic macrophytes reached its maximum in the early 1990s. Combined with macrofossil succession and other multiple sedimentary proxy analyses, driving mechanisms for aquatic macrophytes are discussed. Both the nearby Liangzi Lake and Huanggai Lake share many common features of aquatic plant evolution. This study is the first of its kind to use plant macrofossils (with identifiable images) as a proxy for aquatic macrophyte succession in a shallow Yangtze lake. In absence of long-term monitoring records, this study highlights the increased application of plant macrofossils for reconstructing the vegetation dynamics and restoration of degraded lakes exposed to severe anthropogenic impacts over the past century.

The Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Water Quality and Main Controlling Factors of Algal Blooms in Tai Lake, China

Taking Tai Lake in China as the research area, a 3D water environment mathematical model was built. Combined with the LHS and Morris uncertainty and sensitivity analysis methods, the uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of total phosphorus (TP), total nitrogen (TN), dissolved oxygen (DO), and chlorophyll a (Chl-a) were carried out. The main conclusions are: (1) The performance assessment of the 3D water environment mathematical model is good (R2 and NSE > 0.8) and is suitable for water quality research in large shallow lakes. (2) The time uncertainty study proves that the variation range of Chl-a is much larger than that of the other three water quality parameters and is more severe in summer and autumn. (3) The spatial uncertainty study proves that Chl-a is mainly present in the northwest lake area (heavily polluted area) and the other three water quality indicators are mainly present in the center. (4) The sensitivity results show that the main controlling factors of DO are ters (0.15) and kmsc (0.12); those of TN and TP are tetn (0.58) and tetp (0.24); and those of Chl-a are its own growth rate (0.14), optimal growth temperature (0.12), death rate (0.12), optimal growth light (0.11), and TP uptake rate (0.11). Thus, TP control is still the key treatment method for algal blooms that can be implemented by the Chinese government.

Temporal dependence of chlorophyll a-nutrient relationships in Lake Taihu: Drivers and management implications

Eutrophication and its associated algal blooms are principal environmental challenges confronting lakes worldwide. The empirical relationships between nutrient (total nitrogen, TN; total phosphorus, TP) and chlorophyll a (Chla) level are widely used as a theoretical basis for lake eutrophication management. Here, seasonal environmental variables and Chla from 2005 to 2020 in Chinese shallow eutrophic Lake Taihu were examined and Chla-nutrient equations in the entire period and annually from 2005 to 2020 were explored using 95% quantile regression model. The results showed robust linear relationships of logChla-logTN and logChla-logTP in the vast majority of cases. Based on Chla-nutrient equations in the entire study period, 0.69 mg/L TN and 52 μg/L TP are recommended as nutrient threshold in Lake Taihu. Furthermore, the results revealed increasing Chla sensitivity to nutrient for each study month (i.e. February, May, August, and November) from 2005 to 2020, whose drivers included increase in water temperature and water level, decrease in wind speed, mass ratio of nitrogen to phosphorus, and grazing effect. It is noteworthy that atmospheric stilling is likely to be the key climatic factor promoting annual peak Chla in Lake Taihu. For one, the deviations of the sub-index of Trophic State Index indicated that light is a critical limiting factor of summer Chla in Lake Taihu. For another, calmer water mainly due to atmospheric stilling decreased near 40% non-algal turbidity and a substantially increased buoyant cyanobacteria during the study period, improving phytoplankton "light niche". Thus, increasing algal sensitivity to nutrient occurred until the additional algal-turbidity induce further light limitations or the exhaustion of TN (or TP) cause nutrient limitation. Given atmospheric stilling is a global phenomenon, this study would affect future algal bloom mitigation efforts in shallow lakes as temperature is always the focus in the recent literatures on global climate change.

Modeling the sensitivity of cyanobacteria blooms to plausible changes in precipitation and air temperature variability

Many recent studies have attributed the observed variability of cyanobacteria blooms to meteorological drivers and have projected blooms with worsening societal and ecological impacts under future climate scenarios. Nonetheless, few studies have jointly examined their sensitivity to projected changes in both precipitation and temperature variability. Using an Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) of Lake Champlain's eutrophic Missisquoi Bay, we demonstrate a factorial design approach for evaluating the sensitivity of concentrations of chlorophyll a (chl-a), a cyanobacteria surrogate, to global climate model-informed changes in the central tendency and variability of daily precipitation and air temperature. An Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) and multivariate contour plots highlight synergistic effects of these climatic changes on exceedances of the World Health Organization's moderate 50 μg/L concentration threshold for recreational contact. Although increased precipitation produces greater riverine total phosphorus loads, warmer and drier scenarios produce the most severe blooms due to the greater mobilization and cyanobacteria uptake of legacy phosphorus under these conditions. Increases in daily precipitation variability aggravate blooms most under warmer and wetter scenarios. Greater temperature variability raises exceedances under current air temperatures but reduces them under more severe warming when water temperatures exceed optimal values for cyanobacteria growth more often. Our experiments, controlled for wind-induced changes to lake water quality, signal the importance of larger summer runoff events for curtailing bloom growth through reductions of water temperature, sunlight penetration and stratification. Finally, the importance of sequences of wet and dry periods in generating cyanobacteria blooms motivates future research on bloom responses to changes in interannual climate persistence.

Influence of salinity on the meiofaunal distribution in a hypersaline lake along the southeast coast of India

The present study highlights that seasonal salinity variability plays a significant role in meiobenthic distribution with special reference to nematode assemblages. Sediment and water samples were collected from Pulicat Lake, a hypersaline lake along the southeast coast of India during two seasons (Southwest Monsoon (SWM) and Northeast Monsoon (NEM)). Based on the salinity distribution, the lake is categorized into four regions, viz., southern inlet, central region, middle inlet, and northern inlet. Meiobenthic abundance was higher during SWM (226-12,206 Ind/10 cm²) than in NEM (640-10,424 Ind/10 cm²). The meiofaunal abundance was high in the central region during both the seasons, followed by the southern, northern, and middle inlet. The nematode was the dominant meiobenthic group, followed by copepod, polychaete, and foraminifera. Due to high organic matter, the central region was dominated by deposit feeding nematode species like Halalaimus longicaudatus and Terschellingia longicaudata. The southern and northern regions were dominated by free-living nematodes Rhabditis olitoria, Mesorhabditis capitata, Mononochus bastian, Paramononchus sp., Piranchulus sp., and Diploscapter cylindricus. Oncholaimus sp., a hypersaline indicator species, was reported from the middle inlet location. Statistical analysis suggests salinity as a critical parameter for the distribution and diversity of nematodes.

Linking human activities and global climatic oscillation to phytoplankton dynamics in a subtropical lake

Human activities and climate change are two major stressors affecting lake ecosystems as well as phytoplankton communities worldwide. However, how the temporal dynamics of phytoplankton are directly or indirectly linked to anthropogenic activities and climatic oscillation remains unclear. We assessed the annual trends (1988-2018) in phytoplankton abundance (PA) in Lake Dongting, China and related it to five groups of variables characterizing human activities, global climate oscillation, water nutrients, hydrology, and meteorology. We found a significant increase in PA, urbanization (Upop), total nitrogen (TN), fertilizer application (FA), number of summer days (SU), and the warm speed duration index (WSDI) and a significant decrease in the water discharge of three inlets (TIWD) and the sediment discharge of three inlets (TISD) and four tributaries (FTSD) and the net sediment deposition (NSD). However, no significant annual trends were observed for the number of rainstorm days (R50mm), the simple precipitation intensity index (SDII) and yearly anomalies of El Niño-Southern oscillation events (ENSOi). Cross-correlation Function analyses demonstrated that the operation of the Three George Dam (TGD) strengthened the effects of hydrology, rainfall patterns and ENSOi on phytoplankton, but strongly weakened the association between water nutrients, human activities and phytoplankton abundance. Path analysis revealed that TP, TN, FA, R50 mm as well as WSDI had a direct positive effect on PA, while a direct negative effect was found for ENSO_i, NSD and TISD. Human activities (Upop and FA), warming (WSDI and SU), and rainfall patterns (SDII and R50 mm) exerted indirect controls on phytoplankton through changes in water nutrients and hydrology. Climate change (ENSOi) had a direct effect on PA, but also showed twelve indirect pathways via changes in hydrology and meteorology (both positive and negative effects were found). Overall, meteorology contributed most markedly to the variations of PA (29.3%), followed by hydrology (25.3%), human activities (24%), water nutrients (10.5%), and ENSOi (1.9%). Our results highlight a strongly causal connection between human activities as well as global climate change and phytoplankton and the benefits of considering multiple environmental drivers in determining the temporal dynamics of lake biotic communities.

Environmental controls of harmful cyanobacterial blooms in Chinese inland waters

Harmful cyanobacterial blooms (CyanoHABs) are expanding world-wide, adversely affecting aquatic food production, recreational and tourism activities and safe drinking water supplies. China's inland waters have been increasingly threatened by CyanoHABs during the past several decades. The environmental factors controlling CyanoHABs are highly variable in space and time in China due to significant variations in climate, geography, geological and geochemical conditions among its many regions. Here, we synthesize diverse examples among Chinese water bodies regarding interactive effects of anthropogenic, climatic and geographic drivers influencing CyanoHAB potentials and dynamics in lakes and reservoirs; in order to provide a perspective and integrative approach to mitigating CyanoHABs. In China's many shallow water bodies, water quality is highly susceptible to human activity and to changing climatic and hydrological conditions, when compared to deeper lakes. Rapid increases in population, economic activity, and wastewater have accelerated CyanoHABs in China since 1980s, especially in the heavily urbanized, agricultural and industrial regions in the middle and lower Yangtze River basins. Climatic changes have provided an additional catalyst for expansion of CyanoHABs. In particular, rising spring temperatures have accelerated the onset and proliferation of Microcystis spp, blooms in the middle and lower reaches of Yangtze River basin. Large hydroelectric and water supply projects, like the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR), have altered hydrological regimes, and have led to an increase of CyanoHABs in reservoirs and tributaries due to increases in water residence times. Manipulating water level fluctuations in the TGR may prove useful for controlling CyanoHAB in its tributary bays. Overall,CyanoHAB mitigation strategies will have to incorporate both N and P input reductions in these shallow systems. Furthermore, nutrient reduction strategies must consider climate change-induced increases in extreme weather events, including more intense rainfall and protracted heat waves and droughts, which can extend the magnitudes and duration of CyanoHABs. Ensuring the maintenance of natural hydrologic connectivity between lakes and rivers is of utmost importance in mitigating CyanoHABs throughout China.

Atmospheric Stilling Promotes Summer Algal Growth in Eutrophic Shallow Lakes

Simple Summary

The variability of chlorophyll a yields per unit nitrogen (Chla/TN), or phosphorus (Chla/TP) and its influencing factors were evaluated in eutrophic shallow Lake Taihu, China. The results indicated warming and longer sunshine hours promoted Chla/TN and Chla/TP in winter months from 2005 to 2017, which may cause severer blooms in winter and spring. However, a more stable water column due to atmospheric stilling and water level elevation mainly led to the increasing Chla/TN and Chla/TP in remaining months from 2005 to 2017, allowing algae to grow better. The results also indicated that water stability promotes algal growth mainly due to improved light availability. As atmospheric stilling is an aspect of global climate changes, this study would affect future algal bloom mitigation efforts in shallow lakes worldwide.

Abstract

Algal blooms are environmental challenges confronting lakes worldwide and are significantly influenced by chlorophyll a yields per unit phosphorus (Chla/TP), or nitrogen (Chla/TN). Here, the influence of inter-annual hydrometeorological variations on Chla/TP and Chla/TN were evaluated in eutrophic shallow Lake Taihu, China. Our results demonstrated significant increases (p < 0.001) in both Chla/TN and Chla/TP from 2005 to 2017, and increased Chla yields during the winter months were mainly correlated with higher water temperature and longer sunshine hours, which may cause severer blooms in winter and spring. In remaining months from 2005 to 2017, typical associations between atmospheric stilling (or water level elevation) and higher Chla yields were observed. The results also indicate that atmospheric stilling and water level elevation significantly (p < 0.001) decreased background turbidity and promoted buoyant cyanobacterial biomass, alleviating phytoplankton light limitation. Given the subtropical location, eutrophic status, and high background turbidity of Lake Taihu, light may be the critical limiting factor for summer phytoplankton growth; thus, improved light availability would promote Chla yields until self-shading caused further light limitations. If the mechanism is general, promoting the effect of atmospheric stilling on annual peak Chla in shallow lakes may be greatly underestimated, and our finding will affect future bloom mitigation efforts in such systems.

Four Decades of Surface Temperature, Precipitation, and Wind Speed Trends over Lakes of Greece

Climate change is known to affect world’s lakes in many ways. Lake warming is perhaps the most prominent impact of climate change but there is evidence that changes of precipitation and wind speed over the surface of the lakes may also have a significant effect on key limnological processes. With this study we explored the interannual trends of surface temperature, precipitation, and wind speed over 18 lakes of Greece using ERA5-Land data spanning over a period of almost four decades. We used generalized additive models (GAMs) to conduct time-series analysis in order to identify significant trends of change. Our results showed that surface temperature has significantly increased in all lakes with an average rate of change for annual temperature of 0.43 °C decade−1. With regard to precipitation, we identified significant trends for most lakes and particularly we found that precipitation decreased during the first two decades (1981–2000), but since 2000 it increased notably. Finally, wind speed did not show any significant change over the examined period with the exception for one lake. In summary, our work highlights the major climatic changes that have occurred in several freshwater bodies of Greece. Thus, it improves our understanding on how climate change may have impacted the ecology of these important ecosystems and may aid us to identify systems that are more vulnerable to future changes.

Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis of Input Conditions in a Large Shallow Lake Based on the Latin Hypercube Sampling and Morris Methods

We selected Tai Lake in China as the research area, and based on the Eco-lab model, we parameterized seven main external input conditions: discharge, carbon, nitrogen, phosphorus, wind speed, elevation, and temperature. We combined the LHS uncertainty analysis method and the Morris sensitivity analysis method to study the relationship between water quality and input conditions. The results showed that (1) the external input conditions had an uncertain impact on water quality. Among them, the uncertainties in total nitrogen concentration (TN) and total phosphorus concentration (TP) were mainly reflected in the lake entrance area, and the uncertainties of chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) and dissolved oxygen (DO) were mainly reflected in the lake center area. (2) The external input conditions had different sensitivities to different water layers. The bottom layer was most clearly and stably affected by input conditions. The TN and TP of the three different water layers were closely related to the flux into the lake, with average sensitivities of 83% and 78%, respectively. DO was mainly related to temperature and water elevation, with the bottom layer affected by temperatures as high as 98%. Chl-a was affected by all input factors except nitrogen and was most affected by wind speed, with an average of about 34%. Therefore, the accuracy of external input conditions can be effectively improved according to specific goals, reducing the uncertainty impact of the external input conditions of the model, and the model can provide a scientific reference for the determination of the mid- to long-term governance plan for Tai Lake in the future.

Delineating the relative contribution of climate related variables to chlorophyll-a and phytoplankton biomass in lakes using the ERA5-Land climate reanalysis data

Understanding the climatic drivers of eutrophication is critical for lake management under the prism of the global change. Yet the complex interplay between climatic variables and lake processes makes prediction of phytoplankton biomass a rather difficult task. Quantifying the relative influence of climate-related variables on the regulation of phytoplankton biomass requires modelling approaches that use extensive field measurements paired with accurate meteorological observations. In this study we used climate and lake related variables obtained from the ERA5-Land reanalysis dataset combined with a large dataset of in-situ measurements of chlorophyll-a and phytoplankton biomass from 50 water bodies to develop models of phytoplankton related responses as functions of the climate reanalysis data. We used chlorophyll-a and phytoplankton biomass as response metrics of phytoplankton growth and we employed two different modelling techniques, boosted regression trees (BRT) and generalized additive models for location scale and shape (GAMLSS). According to our results, the fitted models had a relatively high explanatory power and predictive performance. Boosted regression trees had a high pseudo R² with the type of the lake, the total layer temperature, and the mix-layer depth being the three predictors with the higher relative influence. The best GAMLSS model retained mix-layer depth, mix-layer temperature, total layer temperature, total runoff and 10-m wind speed as significant predictors (p<0.001). Regarding the phytoplankton biomass both modelling approaches had less explanatory power than those for chlorophyll-a. Concerning the predictive performance of the models both the BRT and GAMLSS models for chlorophyll-a outperformed those for phytoplankton biomass. Overall, we consider these findings promising for future limnological studies as they bring forth new perspectives in modelling ecosystem responses to a wide range of climate and lake variables. As a concluding remark, climate reanalysis can be an extremely useful asset for lake research and management.

Response of community composition and biomass of submerged macrophytes to variation in underwater light, wind and trophic status in a large eutrophic shallow lake

Light climate is of key importance for the growth, community composition of submerged macrophytes in lakes and, they, in turn, are affected by lake depth and the degree of eutrophication. To test the relationships between submerged macrophyte presence and the ratio of Secchi disk depth (SDD) to water depth, i.e. SDD/depth, nutrients and wind, we conducted an extensive sampling campaign in a macrophyte-dominated area of the eastern region (n = 36) in 2016 in Lake Taihu, China, and combined the data gathered with results from extensive physico-chemical monitoring data from the entire lake. We confirmed that SDD/Depth is the primary factor controlling the community composition of macrophytes and showed that plant abundance increased with increasing SDD/Depth ratio (p < 0.01), but that only SDD/Depth > 0.4 ensured growth of submerged macrophytes. Total phosphorus and total nitrogen also influenced the growth and community composition of macrophytes (p < 0.01), while Chla was an indirectly affecting factor by reducing underwater light penetration. Wave height significantly influenced plant abundance (p < 0.01), whereas it had little effect on the biomass (p > 0.05). The key to restore the macrophyte beds in the lake is to reduce the nutrient loading. A decrease of the water level may contribute as well in the shallow bays but will not bring plants back in the main part of the lake. As the tolerance of shade and nutrients varied among the species studied, this should be taken into account in the restoration of lakes by addition of plants.

Seasonal dynamics of the activities of dissolved 137Cs and the 137Cs of fish in a shallow, hypereutrophic lake: Links to bottom-water oxygen concentrations

Remobilization of radiocesium from anoxic sediments can be an important mechanism responsible for long-term contaminations of lakes. However, it is unclear whether such remobilization occurs in shallow lakes, where concentrations of dissolved oxygen in the hypolimnion (bottom DO) change temporally in response to meteorological conditions, and whether remobilized radiocesium influences the activity in fish. We examined the seasonal dynamics of the activities of dissolved ¹³⁷Cs and ¹³⁷Cs in fish (pond smelt and crucian carp) from Lake Kasumigaura, a shallow, hypereutrophic lake, five years after the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant accident. The activities of both dissolved ¹³⁷Cs and ¹³⁷Cs in fish declined during that time, but the declines showed a clear seasonal pattern that included a summer peak of ¹³⁷Cs activity. The activity of dissolved ¹³⁷Cs increased when the bottom DO concentration decreased, and a nonlinear causality test revealed significant causal forcing of dissolved ¹³⁷Cs activity by bottom DO. The fact that NH₄-N concentrations in bottom waters were higher in the summer suggested that remobilization of ¹³⁷Cs from sediments could result from highly selective ion-exchange with NH₄-N. Despite the shallow depth of Lake Kasumigaura, winds had little influence bottom DO concentrations or dissolved ¹³⁷Cs activities. The fact that seasonal means of ¹³⁷Cs activities in pond smelt and crucian carp were positively correlated with the seasonal means of dissolved ¹³⁷Cs activities suggested that remobilized ¹³⁷Cs may have influenced the seasonal dynamics of radiocesium in fish through food-chain transfer, but higher feeding rates in warm water could may have also contributed to the seasonal dynamics of ¹³⁷Cs activity in fish. Our findings suggest that in shallow lakes, intermittent but repeated hypoxic events may enhance remobilization of radiocesium from sediments, and remobilized radiocesium may contributed to long-term retention of radiocesium in aquatic organisms.

Future trends of dissolved inorganic nitrogen concentrations in Northwestern Mediterranean coastal waters under climate change

Coastal ecosystems are amongst the most vulnerable to climate change, due to their location at the land-sea interface. In coastal waters, the nitrogen cycle can be significantly altered by rising temperatures and other factors derived from climate change, affecting phytoplankton and higher trophic levels. This research analyzes the effect of meteorological variables on dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) species in coastal inshore waters of a Northwestern Mediterranean region under climate change. We built simple mathematical schemes based on artificial neural networks (ANN), trained with field data. Then, we used regional climatic projections for the Spanish Mediterranean coast to provide inputs to the trained ANNs, and thus, allowing the estimation of future DIN trends throughout the 21st century. The results obtained indicate that nitrite and nitrate concentrations are expected to decrease mainly due to rising temperatures and decreasing continental inputs. Major changes are projected for the winter season, driven by a rise in minimum temperatures which decrease the nitrite and nitrate peaks observed at low temperatures. Ammonium concentrations are not expected to undergo a significant annual trend but may either increase or decrease during some months. These results entail a preliminary simplified approach to estimate the impact of meteorological changes on DIN concentrations in coastal waters under climate change.

Effect of Extreme Climate Events on Lake Ecosystems

The Earth is facing a major change in climate due to ongoing global warming [...]

Direct versus indirect effects of human activities on dissolved organic matter in highly impacted lakes

Human activities can alter dissolved organic matter (DOM) in lakes through both direct (i.e., exporting DOM of anthropogenic sources) and indirect effects (i.e., enhancing the autochthonous production of DOM via nutrient loading). Distinguishing between the direct and indirect effects is important to better understand human impacts on aquatic systems, but it remains highly challenging due to the interdependence of associated environmental variables. Here, we demonstrated that disentangling the direct and indirect effects can be achieved through combining large-scale environmental monitoring with the Partial Least Squares Path Modeling (PLS-PM). We presented DOM data from 61 lakes within the floodplain of the Yangtze River (Lakes-YR), China, a region that has been subjected to intense anthropogenic disturbances. We analyzed the amount and composition of DOM through dissolved organic carbon (DOC), chromophoric DOM (CDOM), and fluorescent DOM (FDOM). Four fluorescence components were identified, including one tyrosine-like component, one tryptophan-like component, and two humic-like components. Most of the lakes were dominated by freshly produced DOM with small molecular weights and low humification. Results from the PLS-PM models showed that the autochthonous production was more important than anthropogenic inputs in mediating DOC and CDOM. In contrast, FDOM parameters in lakes were more sensitive to the direct, anthropogenic sources, including treated domestic, industrial wastewater, and the effluents of aquaculture. These sources can be identified by elevated FDOM content per DOC (FDOM: DOC ratio) relative to autochthonous DOM, suggesting the potential of using FDOM as a tracer to identify and monitor the contribution of anthropogenic organic matter to inland waters.

Seasonal and long-term trends in the spatial heterogeneity of lake phytoplankton communities over two decades of restoration and climate change

World-wide, reducing the external nutrient loading to lakes has been the primary priority of lake management in the restoration of eutrophic lakes over the past decades, and as expected this has resulted in an increase in the local environmental heterogeneity, and thus biotic heterogeneity, within lakes. However, little is known about how the regional spatial heterogeneity of lake biotic communities changes with restoration across a landscape. Using a long-term monitoring dataset from 20 Danish lakes, we elucidated the seasonal and long-term trends in the spatial heterogeneity of climate, local abiotic variables and phytoplankton communities over two decades of restoration and climate change at landscape level. We found significant seasonality in the spatial heterogeneity of most climatic and local drivers as well as in the total beta diversity (Sørensen coefficient) and its turnover components (Simpson coefficient) of phytoplankton communities among the lakes. The seasonality tended to be less marked in deep than in shallow lakes. We found significant spatial homogenisation of most local drivers (except for alkalinity) and phytoplankton communities after two decades of restoration and that turnover dominated the temporal responses of the total beta diversity of phytoplankton communities. Path analyses showed that the homogenisation of phytoplankton communities was mainly due to a decrease in spatial heterogeneity of total phosphorus and Schmidt stability in shallow lakes and to a decrease in spatial total phosphorus and total nitrogen heterogeneity in deep lakes. However, albeit weakly, the spatial heterogeneity of the phytoplankton communities was affected indirectly by climatic warming in both shallow and deep lakes and directly by wind speed in shallow lakes. We conclude that restoration of eutrophic lakes may lead to an increase in the local heterogeneity of phytoplankton communities at lake scale and an increase in homogeneity at landscape scale.

Tackling Harmful Cyanobacterial Blooms with Chinese Colleagues: We're All in the Same Boat

Harmful cyanobacterial blooms (CyanoHABs) are a rapidly proliferating global problem, threatening the use and sustainability of our freshwater resources. In recent decades, the United States, China, and other developed and developing countries threatened by CyanoHAB expansion have established collaborative efforts aimed at mitigating and managing this environmental and human health problem. However, an escalating negative political climate and restrictive policies on scientific exchange threaten these efforts. In this Perspective, I point to progress that has been made to counter the CyanoHAB problem on U.S.-Chinese fronts through our collaborations, which have been mutually beneficial from research and academic perspectives. Much like global efforts now needed to control pandemics, we are all "in the same boat" when to comes to countering the threat CyanoHABs pose for drinkable, swimmable, and fishable freshwater supplies and human health.

Modeling the combined impact of climate change and sea-level rise on general circulation and residence time in a semi-enclosed sea

This study provides an assessment of possible changes in the general circulation and residence time in the Persian Gulf under potential future sea-level rise and changes in the wind field due to the climate change. To determine the climate-change-induced impacts, Mike 3 Flow Model FM was used to simulate hydrodynamic and transport processes in the Persian Gulf in both historical (1998-2014) and future periods (2081-2100). Historical simulation was driven by ERA-Interim data. A statistical approach was employed to modify the values and directions of the future wind field obtained from the Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 and 8.5 (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively) scenarios derived from CMCC-CM model of the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). The numerical model was calibrated and validated using measured data. Results indicated that in the historical period, residence time ranged between values of less than a month in the Strait of Hormuz and 10 years in the semi-enclosed area close to the south of Bahrain. The changes in wind field based on RCP 8.5 scenario were found to be the most disadvantageous for the Persian Gulf's capacity to flush dissolved pollutants out. Under this scenario, residence time would be 17% longer than that of historical one. This is mainly because the change in the wind field is large enough to overwhelm general circulation, showing a relationship between the residence time and the residual circulation. Impact of change in the wind field according to RCP 4.5 scenario on the modeled residence time is negligible. The numerical outputs also showed that the sea-level rise would slightly decrease the current velocity, resulting in a negligible increase in residence time. The findings of this study are intended to support establishing climate-adaptation management plans for coastal zones of the studied area in line with sustainable development goals.

Rising atmospheric CO2 levels result in an earlier cyanobacterial bloom-maintenance phase with higher algal biomass

The effect of rising atmospheric CO₂ on freshwater lakes is a subject of considerable debate. However, it is not clear how rising CO₂ concentration affects cyanobacterial bloom development under potential nutrient limitation conditions and if CO₂ should be taken into account in making nutrient reduction strategy. To fill the knowledge gaps, this study investigated the spatiotemporal variability in aquatic CO₂ concentration (pCO₂) from 2006 to 2016 in Lake Taihu, where cyanobacterial blooms often occurred from late spring to the early fall. Lake Taihu is an atmospheric CO₂ source in May and November, with only 18% and 11% pCO₂-undersaturated areas, respectively. During cyanobacterial bloom in August, 81% of the lake areas are pCO₂-undersaturated, absorbing ~ 0.53 t C/h of atmospheric CO₂. The results demonstrated that CO₂ transfer across air-water interface was important in supporting cyanobacterial bloom development. Besides, Field investigation showed that the chlorophyll a level is significantly positively correlated with supersaturated pCO₂ (>13.56 µmol/L) in May, but pCO₂ decreases with high chlorophyll a levels in August, suggesting that cyanobacterial growth would be promoted by high pCO₂ over a threshold. These observations suggested that the effect of rising atmospheric CO₂ on freshwater lakes and cyanobacterial blooms should be paid attention to. Further, when the N- and P-levels are >0.3 mg/L and >0.02 mg/L, respectively, high-pCO₂ conditions allow a more rapid growth rate of cyanobacteria via improved nutrient-use efficiency. Moreover, cyanobacteria afford maximum N- or P-use efficiency at lower N- or P-concentrations with high CO₂ concentration. This improvement would result in an earlier bloom-maintenance phase and higher cyanobacterial biomass. In this case, nutrient reduction is more imperative under future high CO₂ conditions.

The magnitude and drivers of harmful algal blooms in China's lakes and reservoirs: A national-scale characterization

Harmful algal blooms (HABs) can have dire repercussions on aquatic wildlife and human health, and may negatively affect recreational uses, aesthetics, taste, and odor in drinking water. The factors that influence the occurrence and magnitude of harmful algal blooms and toxin production remain poorly understood and can vary in space and time. It is within this context that we use machine learning (ML) and two 14-year (2005-2018) data sets on water quality and meteorological conditions of China's lakes and reservoirs to shed light on the magnitude and associated drivers of HAB events. General regression neural network (GRNN) models are developed to predict chlorophyll a concentrations for each lake and reservoir during two study periods (2005-2010 and 2011-2018). The developed models with an acceptable model fit are then analyzed by two indices to determine the areal HAB magnitudes and associated drivers. Our national assessment suggests that HAB magnitudes for China's lakes and reservoirs displayed a decreasing trend from 2006 (1363.3 km²) to 2013 (665.2 km²), and a slightly increasing trend from 2013 to 2018 (775.4 km²). Among the 142 studied lakes and reservoirs, most severe HABs were found in Lakes Taihu, Dianchi and Chaohu with their contribution to the total HAB magnitude varying from 89.2% (2013) to 62.6% (2018). HABs in Lakes Taihu and Chaohu were strongly associated with both total phosphorus and nitrogen concentrations, while our results were inconclusive with respect to the predominant environmental factors shaping the eutrophication phenomena in Lake Dianchi. The present study provides evidence that effective HAB mitigation may require both nitrogen and phosphorus reductions and longer recovery times; especially in view of the current climate-change projections. ML represents a robust strategy to elucidate water quality patterns in lakes, where the available information is sufficient to train the constructed algorithms. Our mapping of HAB magnitudes and associated environmental/meteorological drivers can help managers to delineate hot-spots at a national scale, and comprehensively design the best management practices for mitigating the eutrophication severity in China's lakes and reservoirs.

Mitigating the global expansion of harmful cyanobacterial blooms: Moving targets in a human- and climatically-altered world

Cyanobacterial harmful algal blooms (CyanoHABs) are a major threat to human and environmental health. As global proliferation of CyanoHABs continues to increase in prevalence, intensity, and toxicity, it is important to identify and integrate the underlying causes and controls of blooms in order to develop effective short- and long-term mitigation strategies. Clearly, nutrient input reductions should receive high priority. Legacy effects of multi-decadal anthropogenic eutrophication have altered limnetic systems such that there has been a shift from exclusive phosphorus (P) limitation to nitrogen (N) limitation and N and P co-limitation. Additionally, climate change is driving CyanoHAB proliferation through increasing global temperatures and altered precipitation patterns, including more extreme rainfall events and protracted droughts. These scenarios have led to the "perfect storm scenario"; increases in pulsed nutrient loading events, followed by persistent low-flow, long water residence times, favoring bloom formation and proliferation. To meet the CyanoHAB mitigation challenge, we must: (1) Formulate watershed and airshed-specific N and P input reductions on a sliding scale to meet anthropogenic and climatic forcings. (2) Develop CyanoHAB management strategies that incorporate current and anticipated climatic changes and extremes. (3) Make nutrient management strategies compatible with other physical-chemical-biological mitigation approaches, such as altering freshwater flow and flushing, dredging, chemical applications, introduction of selective grazers, etc. (4) Target CyanoHAB toxin production and developing management approaches to reduce toxin production. (5) Develop broadly applicable long-term strategies that incorporate the above recommendations.

Effects of Land-Use and Land-Cover Change on Nitrogen Transport in Northern Taihu Basin, China during 1990–2017

Different land uses have varying degrees of impact on nitrogen transport in the catchments. In recent decades, rapid urbanization has dramatically changed the Earth’s land surface, which may cause excessive nitrogen losses and a negative influence on the environment. In the long-term scale, it is important to explore how the nitrogen transport responds to land use change and its effects on aquatic habitats. In this study, the water and sediment samples were collected from northern Taihu Basin, and nine periods of land use data were obtained using the techniques of supervised classification. Results revealed that the proportion of farmland area decreased from 28.33% to 7.09%, while that of constructed land area increased from 23.85% to 61.72% during 1990–2017. Most of the constructed land originated from farmland, which makes it the dominant land use type due to rapid urbanization. In spatial distribution, high total nitrogen (TN) losses regions remain distributed over constructed land and farmland, which may aggravate the trend of local water quality deterioration. Of these regions, constructed land was the dominant contributor (46.29%–63.62%) of TN losses from surface runoff. In temporal variation, the TN losses of runoff decreased by 47% from 175 t N·a−1 in 1990. However, they increased by 2.91% from 75.28 t N·a−1 after 2013 with rapid population growth and high fertilizer application (>570 kg·ha−1). The nitrogen load in sediments also has a significant response (t = 2.43, p = 0.02) to the effects of land use change on the overlying water, indicating that the role of nitrogen in the sediment as a source and/or sink to the waterbody may change frequently. Given the increasing accumulation of nitrogen loads in highly urbanized regions, water quality would cause more aggravation in the long-term without reasonable land management measures.