Positive association of SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentrations in wastewater and reported COVID-19 cases in Singapore - A study across three populations

Singapore's COVID-19 Genomic Surveillance Programme: Strategies and Insights From a Pandemic Year

BACKGROUND

During the COVID-19 pandemic, genomic surveillance was crucial for monitoring virus spread and identifying variants. Effective surveillance helped understand transmission dynamics. Singapore had success in combating COVID-19 through its surveillance programmes. This paper outlines Singapore's strategy and its impact on public health during the transition to endemicity over 54 weeks from February 2022 to February 2023.

METHODS

In May 2022, Singapore expanded its acute respiratory infections (ARI) surveillance to enhance COVID-19 detection. COVID-19-positive samples from ARI cases were sent to the National Public Health Laboratory for whole genome sequencing (WGS). WGS data informed public health actions based on transmission origins and case severity.

RESULTS

Over 54 weeks, NPHL sequenced 18,918 (73%) samples. Analysis showed 29% imported and 71% local cases. Severe cases accounted for 12% and were mostly elderly, specifically those aged 80 years old and above. Variant analysis identified 11 predominant variants and 288 subvariants. Omicron BA.2, BA.5 and XBB were initially dominant, followed by increased variant heterogeneity. Severe cases mirrored these trends.

CONCLUSION

Genomic surveillance was integral in Singapore's COVID-19 response, guiding timely public health decisions. Effective variant tracking supported proactive measures. The experience underscores the importance of genomic surveillance for future pandemic preparedness and emerging disease detection, emphasising its role in shaping pandemic responses and global health.

The first detection of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in the wastewater of Bucharest, Romania

Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) has been previously used as a tool for pathogen identification within communities. After the SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2) outbreak, in 2020, Daughton proposed the implementation of a wastewater surveillance strategy that could determine the incidence of COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) nationally. Individuals in various stages of SARS-CoV-2 infection, including presymptomatic, asymptomatic and symptomatic patients, can be identified as carriers of the virus in their urine, saliva, stool and other bodily secretions. Studies using this method were conducted to monitor the prevalence of the virus in high-density populations, such as cities but also in smaller communities, such as schools and college campuses. The aim of this pilot study was to assess the feasibility and effectiveness of wastewater surveillance in Bucharest, Romania, and wastewater samples were collected weekly from seven locations between July and September 2023. RNA (ribonucleic acid) extraction, followed by dPCR (digital polymerase chain reaction) analysis, was performed to detect viral genetic material. Additionally, NGS (next generation sequencing) technology was used to identify the circulating variants within the wastewater of Bucharest, Romania. Preliminary results indicate the successful detection of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in wastewater, providing valuable insights into the circulation of the virus within the community.

Usefulness of aircraft and airport wastewater for monitoring multiple pathogens including SARS-CoV-2 variants

BACKGROUND

As global travel resumed in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) endemicity, the potential of aircraft wastewater monitoring to provide early warning of disease trends for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants and other infectious diseases, particularly at international air travel hubs, was recognized. We therefore assessed and compared the feasibility of testing wastewater from inbound aircraft and airport terminals for 18 pathogens including SARS-CoV-2 in Singapore, a popular travel hub in Asia.

METHODS

Wastewater samples collected from inbound medium- and long-haul flights and airport terminals were tested for SARS-CoV-2. Next Generation Sequencing was carried out on positive samples to identify SARS-CoV-2 variants. Airport and aircraft samples were further tested for 17 other pathogens through quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction.

RESULTS

The proportion of SARS-CoV-2-positive samples and the average virus load was higher for wastewater samples from aircraft as compared with airport terminals. Cross-correlation analyses indicated that viral load trends from airport wastewater led local COVID-19 case trends by 2-5 days. A total of 10 variants (44 sub-lineages) were successfully identified from aircraft wastewater and airport terminals, and four variants of interest and one variant under monitoring were detected in aircraft and airport wastewater 18-31 days prior to detection in local clinical cases. The detection of five respiratory and four enteric viruses in aircraft wastewater samples further underscores the potential to expand aircraft wastewater to monitoring pathogens beyond SARS-CoV-2.

CONCLUSION

Our findings demonstrate the feasibility of aircraft wastewater testing for monitoring infectious diseases threats, potentially detecting signals before clinical cases are reported. The triangulation of similar datapoints from aircraft wastewater of international travel nodes could therefore serve as a useful early warning system for global health threats.

Combining wastewater surveillance and case data in estimating the time-varying effective reproduction number

Wastewater surveillance has been increasingly acknowledged as a useful tool for monitoring transmission dynamics of infections of public health concern, including the coronavirus disease (COVID-19). While a range of models have been proposed to estimate the time-varying effective reproduction number (Rt) utilizing clinical data, few have harnessed the viral concentration in wastewater samples to do so, leaving uncertainties about the potential precision gains with its use. In this study, we developed a Bayesian hierarchical model which simultaneously reconstructed the latent infection trajectory and estimated Rt. Focusing on the 2022 and early 2023 COVID-19 transmission trends in Singapore, where mass community wastewater surveillance has become routine, we performed estimations using a spectrum of data sources, including reported case counts, hospital admissions, deaths, and wastewater viral loads. We further explored the performance of our wastewater model across various scenarios with different sampling strategies. The results showed consistent estimates derived from models employing diverse data streams, while models incorporating more wastewater samples exhibited greater uncertainty and variation in the inferred Rts. Additionally, our analysis revealed prominent day-of-the-week effect in reported case counts and substantial temporal variations in ascertainment rates. In response to these findings, we advocate for a hybrid approach leveraging both clinical and wastewater surveillance data to account for changes in case-ascertainment rates. Furthermore, our study demonstrates the possibility of reducing sampling frequency or sample size without compromising estimation accuracy for Rt, highlighting the potential for optimizing resource allocation in surveillance efforts while maintaining robust insights into the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases.

Targeted amplicon sequencing facilitated a novel risk assessment framework for assessing the prevalence of broad spectrum bacterial and coronavirus diseases

How to effectively leverage wastewater data to estimate the risk of various infectious diseases remains a great challenge. To address this issue, we conducted continuous wastewater surveillance in Dalian city during the summer-autumn seasons of 2022, targeting coronavirus and bacterial diseases. The surveillance included daily sampling at a wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) and weekly sampling in three sewersheds. Targeting the bacteria's 16S rRNA gene and the coronavirus's RNA-dependent RNA polymerase (RdRp) gene, we first employed RT-PCR and amplicon sequencing techniques to analyze the presence and phylogenetic relationship of detected coronavirus and bacterial pathogens. Next, qPCR was used to quantify the abundances of detected coronavirus and bacterial species. Based on the daily shedding dynamics of SARS-CoV-2, a novel model was developed to predict daily new cases. Based on the medium shedding density of 12 pathogens, two thresholds of sewage pathogen load (indicating 0.1 % and 1 % infection rates) were proposed. Our PanCoV RT-PCR detected coronavirus on 12th August and from 26th August to 12th September 2022. Targeted amplicon sequencing further identified human coronavirus OC43 (hCoV-OC43) on 12th August and the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant since 26th August in samples from WWTPs and sewersheds. Phylogenetic analysis revealed that hCoV-OC43 from this study belonged to genotype K and suggested a close relationship between the amplified coronavirus sequences from wastewater and clinical samples in a local COVID-19 outbreak on 26th August. Amplicon sequencing targeting the bacterial 16S rRNA gene also revealed the presence of several bacterial pathogens. Finally, we assessed the microbial risk of specific pathogens in sewersheds and identified a number of pathogens that reached high (>1 % prevalence) and medium risk levels (>0.1 % prevalence) at sewershed B. Our findings underline wastewater surveillance as a valuable early warning system for coronavirus and other waterborne bacterial diseases, complementing public health response measures.