Joint disease mapping of cervical and male oropharyngeal cancer incidence in blacks and whites in South Carolina

Influence of Rurality on Oral Cancer Trends among Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) Member Countries-A Scoping Review

Oral cancer is the general term used to describe cancers of the oral cavity and oropharyngeal region. These cancers are one of the leading causes of death in elderly residents within the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) member countries in the 21st century. This scoping review was carried out to assess the influence of rurality on oral cancer trends and patterns among OECD member countries. Four online databases (Medline, PubMed, Scopus, and CINAHL) were searched for studies that reported on oral cancer trends in rural and remote areas in OECD member countries. A total of 1143 articles were obtained initially; among them, 995 papers were screened to include 18 articles for this scoping review. Studies have reported increasing incidence and prevalence in the United States, Australia, Canada, and European countries wherein risk factors such as tobacco, alcohol, and human papilloma virus (HPV) infections were associated with oral and oropharyngeal cancers. Awareness among people living in rural areas about HPV-related cancers was very low, while rates of tobacco and alcohol abuse were noted to be rising more rapidly than among their urban counterparts. Furthermore, the ageing population was most affected compared to the younger age groups of people with oral and oropharyngeal cancer that are prevalent in these regions. Overall, despite living in developed countries, rurality was noted to be a significant factor in the lower life expectancy of oral cancer patients, mainly due to the limited accessibility to tertiary cancer care centres and advanced medical care.

Spatial analysis of the effects of PM2.5 on hypertension among the middle-aged and elderly people in China

Hypertension is currently one of the most common chronic diseases with high global prevalence associated with a huge social and economic burden. In recent years, air pollution has become a focus of research, especially the effects of PM2.5 on hypertension. However, few studies have considered the spatial properties of the sample; thus, the results might be unreliable. Based on the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) and the Environmental Status Bulletin for each province in China, we used the extended shared component model (SCM) to fit the spatial variation of hypertension risk and to reveal the impact of PM2.5 on hypertension in males and females. Our results revealed that the crude prevalence of hypertension for the whole population in China was 32.74% in 2015, with the prevalence in men experiencing slightly higher than that in women (32.92% vs. 32.58%). We found that the distribution of hypertension prevalence exhibited obvious spatial aggregation for the whole population in China (Moran's I = 0.39, P = 0.001), with similar results in both men (Moran's I = 0.18, P = 0.027) and women (Moran's I = 0.52, P = 0.001). Furthermore, the smoothed results obtained using the SCM indicated that some eastern and central provinces had relatively higher hypertension risk, while the risk in southeastern provinces was much lower. The risk was also relatively lower in most western provinces, except for some northwestern regions. Notably, our results showed that PM2.5 was a risk factor for hypertension, and the impact of PM2.5 on women was slightly greater than that on men, with odds ratios (OR) of 1.063 (1.041, 1.086) and 1.048 (1.025, 1.071), respectively. Our findings suggest the existence of distinct spatial differences in the prevalence of hypertension and small sex-related differences in the risk of hypertension in China.

Application of SCM with Bayesian B-Spline to Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Hypertension in China

Most previous research on the disparities of hypertension risk has neither simultaneously explored the spatio-temporal disparities nor considered the spatial information contained in the samples, thus the estimated results may be unreliable. Our study was based on the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS), including residents over 12 years old in seven provinces from 1991 to 2011. Bayesian B-spline was used in the extended shared component model (SCM) for fitting temporal-related variation to explore spatio-temporal distribution in the odds ratio (OR) of hypertension, reveal gender variation, and explore latent risk factors. Our results revealed that the prevalence of hypertension increased from 14.09% in 1991 to 32.37% in 2011, with men experiencing a more obvious change than women. From a spatial perspective, a standardized prevalence ratio (SPR) remaining at a high level was found in Henan and Shandong for both men and women. Meanwhile, before 1997, the temporal distribution of hypertension risk for both men and women remained low. After that, notably since 2004, the OR of hypertension in each province increased to a relatively high level, especially in Northern China. Notably, the OR of hypertension in Shandong and Jiangsu, which was over 1.2, continuously stood out after 2004 for males, while that in Shandong and Guangxi was relatively high for females. The findings suggested that obvious spatial-temporal patterns for hypertension exist in the regions under research and this pattern was quite different between men and women.

Joint spatial modelling of disease risk using multiple sources: an application on HIV prevalence from antenatal sentinel and demographic and health surveys in Namibia

Background

In disease mapping field, researchers often encounter data from multiple sources. Such data are fraught with challenges such as lack of a representative sample, often incomplete and most of which may have measurement errors, and may be spatially and temporally misaligned. This paper presents a joint model in the effort to deal with the sampling bias and misalignment.

Methods

A joint (bivariate) spatial model was applied to estimate HIV prevalence using two sources: 2014 National HIV Sentinel survey (NHSS) among pregnant women aged 15–49 years attending antenatal care (ANC) and the 2013 Namibia Demographic and Health Surveys (NDHS).

Results

Findings revealed that health districts and constituencies in the northern part of Namibia were found to be highly associated with HIV infection. Also, the study showed that place of residence, gender, gravida, marital status, number of kids dead, wealth index, education, and condom use were significantly associated with HIV infection in Namibia.

Conclusion

This study had shown determinants of HIV infection in Namibia and had revealed areas at high risk through HIV prevalence mapping. Moreover, a joint modelling approach was used in order to deal with spatially misaligned data. Finally, it was shown that prediction of HIV prevalence using the NDHS data source can be enhanced by jointly modelling other HIV data such as NHSS data. These findings would help Namibia to tailor national intervention strategies for specific regions and groups of population.

Spatial analysis of gender variation in the prevalence of hypertension among the middle-aged and elderly population in Zhejiang Province, China

Background

Previous studies have shown that there may be gender disparities in the prevalence of hypertension; however, these studies do not address the spatial information contained in the sample which may limit the analytical results. Our study extends the existing Shared Component Model (SCM) and compares its utility with a logistic regression model to evaluate the significance of spatial information for identifying risk factors for hypertension and other non-rare diseases.

Methods

A total of 1267 residents aged 45 years of age and over were included in our study, of which 48.1 % were males. The overall prevalence of hypertension was 33.2 %, with females experiencing a higher prevalence than males (35.5 % vs. 30.6 %). The research variables included body mass index (BMI), Waist -to-Height Ratio (WHtR), smoking status, alcohol consumption etc. The extended SCM is employed to investigate regional gender variations in the risk of hypertension and assess the gender variation in the middle-aged and elderly populations of Zhejiang Province in eastern China and then its performance is compared with that of a traditional multiple logistic regression model.

Results

Our SCM analysis determined that the spatial pattern of hypertension risk for the middle-aged and elderly populations of Zhejiang Province in eastern China is quite different for males and females. Furthermore, Waist -to-Height Ratio (WHtR) continues to be a simple and effective predictor of hypertension risk for males at the regional level.

Conclusions

We believe that the extended SCM spatial model is a useful tool for identifying risk factors at the regional level.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12889-016-3121-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Trends in incidence of oral and pharyngeal carcinoma in Florida: 1981-2008

OBJECTIVE

While the overall incidence rates of oral and pharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) have decreased in the United States, there is evidence of increasing incidence at selected anatomic sites, particularly among younger adults. The objective of this study was to examine trends in incidence rates of oral and pharyngeal cancers in Florida.

METHODS

Using data from the Florida Cancer Data System, we examined the incidence of oral and pharyngeal carcinomas in Florida from 1981 through 2008. Factors of interest included sex, race, and trends over time. Percent change (PC) and annual percent change (APC) were computed to characterize trends over time.

RESULTS

A total of 53,648 cases of oral or pharyngeal cancer were identified from 1981 through 2008. Significant increasing trends were observed only for pharyngeal cancers in males, with significant decreasing trends for pharyngeal cancer in females and oral cancer for both sexes. For tonsil and base of tongue cancers, increasing trends were detected for white males only. Further investigation among white males showed that, except for base of tongue cancer in the 20-44 age group, the incidence of both cancers increased across all age groups, with the largest increase for both sites found in the 45-64 age group.

CONCLUSIONS

This study supports the finding of increasing incidence of SCC of the tonsil and base of tongue in males, in contrast to decreasing trends for most oral and pharyngeal carcinomas. However, we observed that this increase occurred in white males only and the most dramatic increase occurred in the 45-64 age group.