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Alaimo L, Lima HA, Moazzam Z, Endo Y, Yang J, Ruzzenente A, Guglielmi A, Aldrighetti L, Weiss M, Bauer TW, Alexandrescu S, Poultsides GA, Maithel SK, Marques HP, Martel G, Pulitano C, Shen F, Cauchy F, Koerkamp BG, Endo I, Kitago M, Pawlik TM. Development and Validation of a Machine-Learning Model to Predict Early Recurrence of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma. Ann Surg Oncol 2023; 30:5406-5415. [PMID: 37210452 DOI: 10.1245/s10434-023-13636-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/17/2023] [Accepted: 04/26/2023] [Indexed: 05/22/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The high incidence of early recurrence after hepatectomy for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) has a detrimental effect on overall survival (OS). Machine-learning models may improve the accuracy of outcome prediction for malignancies. METHODS Patients who underwent curative-intent hepatectomy for ICC were identified using an international database. Three machine-learning models were trained to predict early recurrence (< 12 months after hepatectomy) using 14 clinicopathologic characteristics. The area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) was used to assess their discrimination ability. RESULTS In this study, 536 patients were randomly assigned to training (n = 376, 70.1%) and testing (n = 160, 29.9%) cohorts. Overall, 270 (50.4%) patients experienced early recurrence (training: n = 150 [50.3%] vs testing: n = 81 [50.6%]), with a median tumor burden score (TBS) of 5.6 (training: 5.8 [interquartile range {IQR}, 4.1-8.1] vs testing: 5.5 [IQR, 3.7-7.9]) and metastatic/undetermined nodes (N1/NX) in the majority of the patients (training: n = 282 [75.0%] vs testing n = 118 [73.8%]). Among the three different machine-learning algorithms, random forest (RF) demonstrated the highest discrimination in the training/testing cohorts (RF [AUC, 0.904/0.779] vs support vector machine [AUC, 0.671/0.746] vs logistic regression [AUC, 0.668/0.745]). The five most influential variables in the final model were TBS, perineural invasion, microvascular invasion, CA 19-9 lower than 200 U/mL, and N1/NX disease. The RF model successfully stratified OS relative to the risk of early recurrence. CONCLUSIONS Machine-learning prediction of early recurrence after ICC resection may inform tailored counseling, treatment, and recommendations. An easy-to-use calculator based on the RF model was developed and made available online.
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Affiliation(s)
- Laura Alaimo
- Division of Surgical Oncology, Department of Surgery, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center and James Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, USA
- Department of Surgery, University of Verona, Verona, Italy
| | - Henrique A Lima
- Division of Surgical Oncology, Department of Surgery, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center and James Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, USA
| | - Zorays Moazzam
- Division of Surgical Oncology, Department of Surgery, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center and James Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, USA
| | - Yutaka Endo
- Division of Surgical Oncology, Department of Surgery, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center and James Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, USA
| | - Jason Yang
- Division of Surgical Oncology, Department of Surgery, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center and James Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, USA
| | | | | | | | - Matthew Weiss
- Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Todd W Bauer
- Department of Surgery, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA
| | | | | | | | - Hugo P Marques
- Department of Surgery, Curry Cabral Hospital, Lisbon, Portugal
| | | | - Carlo Pulitano
- Department of Surgery, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Feng Shen
- Department of Surgery, Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Shanghai, China
| | - François Cauchy
- Department of Hepatobiliopancreatic Surgery and Liver Transplantation, AP-HP, Beaujon Hospital, Clichy, France
| | - Bas Groot Koerkamp
- Department of Surgery, Erasmus University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Itaru Endo
- Department of Gastroenterological Surgery, Yokohama City University School of Medicine, Yokohama, Japan
| | - Minoru Kitago
- Department of Surgery, Keio University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Timothy M Pawlik
- Division of Surgical Oncology, Department of Surgery, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center and James Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus, OH, USA.
- Department of Surgery, The Urban Meyer III and Shelley Meyer Chair for Cancer Research, The Ohio State University, Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, OH, USA.
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Rossi AM, Sobanko J, Lawrence N, Bordeaux J, Cartee T, Armbrecht ES, Behera A, Baum CL, Alam M, Maher IA. Physician-Centered Outcomes for Skin Cancer Treatment: A Single-Day Modified Delphi Process to Assess the Importance of Themes in Skin Cancer Management. Dermatol Surg 2019; 45:869-874. [PMID: 30807387 PMCID: PMC6860020 DOI: 10.1097/dss.0000000000001835] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Success in skin cancer treatment is determined through outcome measurement. Patients and physicians may prioritize different outcomes of care, and identification of such may enhance patient-centered care. OBJECTIVE To identify gaps between patient and physician attitudes toward skin cancer outcomes. MATERIALS AND METHODS A single-day, 21-patient, modified, in-person Delphi process to solicit and rate the importance of skin cancer-related outcomes was conducted. Twelve masked dermatologic surgeons rated patient-generated outcomes in a 2-round modified Delphi process. Each item was rated on a 1 to 9 scale (1, least important; 9, most important) using the Qualtrics web platform (Qualtrics, Provo, UT). Results of the physician ratings were compared with the patient ratings. RESULTS A list of 53 skin cancer treatment-related themes and outcomes was generated. Eight items were ranked by physicians as "very high" (>80% importance), 5 as "high" (>70% importance), 19 as intermediate, and 21 as low. The physician and patient panels' ratings were concordant for 56% of items, whereas 7 outcome items showed a 2-category discordance. CONCLUSION Physicians and patients were concordant regarding skin cancer treatment on multiple spheres. Areas of discordance include patient fear of unknown future risk, recurrence, or empowering patients to make treatment choices, and may be areas of continued improvement for delivery of patient-centered care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anthony M Rossi
- Dermatology Service, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York
- Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, New York
| | - Joseph Sobanko
- Department of Dermatology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
| | - Naomi Lawrence
- Center for Dermatologic Surgery, Cooper University Hospital, Camden, New Jersey
- Department of Dermatology, Rowan University, Camden, New Jersey
| | - Jeremy Bordeaux
- Department of Dermatology, Case Western Reserve University and University Hospitals, Cleveland, Ohio
| | | | - Eric S Armbrecht
- Saint Louis University Center for Health Outcomes Research, St. Louis, Missouri
| | - Anit Behera
- Saint Louis University Center for Health Outcomes Research, St. Louis, Missouri
| | | | - Murad Alam
- Department of Dermatology, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois
| | - Ian A Maher
- Department of Dermatology, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota
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Gani F, Enumah ZO, Conca-Cheng AM, Canner JK, Johnston FM. Palliative Care Utilization among Patients Admitted for Gastrointestinal and Thoracic Cancers. J Palliat Med 2018; 21:428-437. [PMID: 29100002 PMCID: PMC6016727 DOI: 10.1089/jpm.2017.0295] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 09/20/2017] [Indexed: 12/25/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Although a growing body of literature recommends the early initiation of palliative care (PC), the use of PC remains variable. OBJECTIVE The current study sought to describe the use of PC and to identify factors associated with the use of inpatient PC. DESIGN Retrospective, cross-sectional analysis of data from the National Inpatient Sample. SETTING AND SUBJECTS Patients admitted with a primary diagnosis of gastrointestinal and/or thoracic cancer from 2012 to 2013. MEASUREMENTS In-hospital length of stay (LOS), morbidity, mortality, and total charges. RESULTS A total of 282,899 patients were identified who met inclusion criteria of whom, 24,100 (8.5%) patients received a PC consultation during their inpatient admission. Patients who received PC were more likely to have a longer LOS (LOS >14 days: 5.4% vs. 9.4%) and were more likely to develop a postoperative complication (28.3% vs. 45.9%, both p < 0.001). Inpatient mortality was significantly higher among patients who had received PC than those who did not (5.4% vs. 44.1%, p < 0.001). On multivariable analysis, patient age (age ≥75 years: Odds Ratio [OR] = 2.54, 95% CI: 2.33-2.78), comorbidity (CCI >6: OR = 2.60, 95% CI: 2.48-2.74), and admission to larger hospitals (reference small: OR = 1.20, 95% CI: 1.14-1.25) were associated with greater odds of receiving PC (all p < 0.05). Patients who underwent a major operation during their inpatient admission demonstrated 79% lower odds of receiving PC (OR = 0.21, 95% CI: 0.20-0.22, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS Among patients admitted for cancer, PC services were used in 8.5% of patients during their inpatient admission with surgical patients being 79% less likely to receive a PC consultation. Further research is required to delineate the barriers to the use of PC so as to promote the use of PC among high-risk patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Faiz Gani
- Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine , Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Zachary O Enumah
- Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine , Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Alison M Conca-Cheng
- Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine , Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Joseph K Canner
- Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine , Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Fabian M Johnston
- Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine , Baltimore, Maryland
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Udo C, Lövgren M, Lundquist G, Axelsson B. Palliative care physicians' experiences of end-of-life communication: A focus group study. Eur J Cancer Care (Engl) 2017; 27. [PMID: 28727207 DOI: 10.1111/ecc.12728] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 05/15/2017] [Indexed: 01/26/2023]
Abstract
The aim of this study was to explore palliative home care physicians' experiences regarding end-of-life breakpoint communication (BPC). This is a qualitative study where focus group interviews were conducted and analysed using qualitative content analysis. The results show that the participants saw themselves as being responsible for accomplishing BPC, and they were convinced that it should be regarded as a process of communication initiated at an early stage, i.e. proactively. However, BPC was often conducted as a reaction to the patient's sudden deterioration or sometimes not at all. The barriers to achieving proactive BPC included physicians' uncertainty regarding the timing of BPC, primarily due to difficulties in prognostication in terms of time of death, and uncertainty as to what BPC should include and how it should best be approached. Furthermore, there was insufficient documentation regarding previous BPC, which impeded proactive BPC. Although our study shows that physicians are ambitious when it comes to the communication of information to patients and families, there is a need for further training in how to conduct BPC and when to initiate the BPC process. Furthermore, there should be documentation that different professionals can access as this would appear to facilitate a proactive BPC process.
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Affiliation(s)
- C Udo
- School of Education, Health and Social Studies, Dalarna University, Falun, Sweden.,CKF, Centre for Clinical Research Dalarna, County Council of Dalarna, Falun, Sweden
| | - M Lövgren
- The Department of Health Care Sciences, Ersta Sköndal University College, Stockholm, Sweden.,Paediatric Oncology and Haematology, Department of Women's and Children's Health, Karolinska Institutet, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.,Childhood Cancer Research Unit, Astrid Lindgren Children's Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - G Lundquist
- CKF, Centre for Clinical Research Dalarna, County Council of Dalarna, Falun, Sweden
| | - B Axelsson
- Research Unit Östersund Hospital, Department of Radiation Sciences, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden
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