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Suraifi M, Delpisheh A, Karami M, Mehrabi Y, Jahangiri K, Lami F. Enhancing Public Health Surveillance: Outbreak Detection Algorithms Deployed for Syndromic Surveillance During Arbaeenia Mass Gatherings in Iraq. Cureus 2024; 16:e60134. [PMID: 38736767 PMCID: PMC11088799 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.60134] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 05/11/2024] [Indexed: 05/14/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Large gatherings often involve extended and intimate contact among individuals, creating environments conducive to the spread of infectious diseases. Despite this, there is limited research utilizing outbreak detection algorithms to analyze real syndrome data from such events. This study sought to address this gap by examining the implementation and efficacy of outbreak detection algorithms for syndromic surveillance during mass gatherings in Iraq. METHODS For the study, 10 data collectors conducted field data collection over 10 days from August 25, 2023, to September 3, 2023. Data were gathered from 10 healthcare clinics situated along Ya Hussein Road, a major route from Najaf to Karbala in Iraq. Various outbreak detection algorithms, such as moving average, cumulative sum, and exponentially weighted moving average, were applied to analyze the reported syndromes. RESULTS During the 10 days from August 25, 2023, to September 3, 2023, 12202 pilgrims visited 10 health clinics along a route in Iraq. Most pilgrims were between 20 and 59 years old (77.4%, n=9444), with more than half being foreigners (58.1%, n=7092). Among the pilgrims, 40.5% (n=4938) exhibited syndromes, with influenza-like illness (ILI) being the most common (48.8%, n=2411). Other prevalent syndromes included food poisoning (21.2%, n=1048), heatstroke (17.7%, n=875), febrile rash (9.0%, n=446), and gastroenteritis (3.2%, n=158). The cumulative sum (CUSUM) algorithm was more effective than exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) and moving average (MA) algorithms for detecting small shifts. CONCLUSION Effective public health surveillance systems are crucial during mass gatherings to swiftly identify and address emerging health risks. Utilizing advanced algorithms and real-time data analysis can empower authorities to improve their readiness and response capacity, thereby ensuring the protection of public health during these gatherings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mustafa Suraifi
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Safety, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, IRN
| | - Ali Delpisheh
- Department of Epidemiology, Safety Promotion and Injury Prevention Research Center, School of Public Health and Safety, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, IRN
| | - Manoochehr Karami
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Safety, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, IRN
| | - Yadollah Mehrabi
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Safety, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, IRN
| | - Katayoun Jahangiri
- Department of Health in Disaster and Emergencies, School of Public Health and Safety, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, IRN
| | - Faris Lami
- Department of Community and Family Medicine, College of Medicine, Baghdad University, Baghdad, IRQ
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Alhajri W, Templeton A, Moore A. Social norms and risks at mass gatherings: A systematic review. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION 2023; 88:103586. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.103586] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/04/2025]
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Alhussaini NWZ, Elshaikh UAM, Hamad NA, Nazzal MA, Abuzayed M, Al-Jayyousi GF. A scoping review of the risk factors and strategies followed for the prevention of COVID-19 and other infectious diseases during sports mass gatherings: Recommendations for future FIFA World Cups. Front Public Health 2023; 10:1078834. [PMID: 36726622 PMCID: PMC9885104 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.1078834] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/24/2022] [Accepted: 12/28/2022] [Indexed: 01/17/2023] Open
Abstract
Objective Sports mass gatherings of people pose particular concerns and place an additional burden on the host countries and the countries of origin of the travelers. It is imperative to identify how countries dealt with various communicable diseases in the context of previous world cups and identify possible advice for protection from outbreaks. Methods A scoping review was employed in this study and a PRISMA extension for scoping reviews was employed to guide the reporting of this study. A systematic search was performed using PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, SCOPUS, SportDiscus, and Google scholar. The search strategy included two main strings viz "communicable disease" AND "sport" AND "setting" as keywords for each string. A total of 34 studies were included in this review. Results Information on risk factors for infectious diseases during FIFA, and recommendations for disease prevention in various stages of the event: pre-event, during, and post-event were charted. These strategies can be achieved with the empowerment of the public by enhancing their social responsibility and the coordination between the healthcare system, the ministry of public health, and other stakeholders. Conclusion The findings will support planning for protection strategies to prevent any outbreak while having the FIFA World Cup or any other sports gatherings. A model was constructed to present the findings and recommendations from this review.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Noor Ahmed Hamad
- Department of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
| | - Maisa Ayman Nazzal
- Department of Infection Control Unit, Ibn Sina Specialized Hospital, West Bank, Palestine
| | - Manal Abuzayed
- Health Promotion Division, Department of Public Health, Ministry of Public Health, Doha, Qatar
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Medicine in Unplanned Mass Gatherings: A Qualitative Study of Health-Care Providers' Response and Recommendations to Beirut's Protests. Disaster Med Public Health Prep 2021; 16:1532-1536. [PMID: 34284849 DOI: 10.1017/dmp.2021.150] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study aims at exploring the dynamics of health-care provision during recent unplanned public mass gatherings in Beirut, and how the health-care system adapts to mass movements in protests. METHODS A qualitative study was conducted using semi-structured interviews with 12 health-care providers who volunteered at medical tents set during protests in Beirut, Lebanon. Responses were transcribed and coded. RESULTS Three themes were noted: preparedness and logistics, encountered cases, and participants' proposed recommendations. In terms of preparedness and logistics, participants lacked knowledge of field medicine protocols and an organizational structure. They faced difficulties in securing equipment and advertising their services. Most encountered cases were physical injuries rather than mental health problems. The participants proposed both short-term recommendations, including advice on how to boost care provided, and long-term recommendations on structuring the health-care system to be better prepared. CONCLUSIONS On-site health-care provision during unplanned mass gatherings is a vital need. We recommend forming a task force of health-care workers from various fields led by the Ministry of Public Health in every respective country to plan protocols, train personnel, and secure resources beforehand.
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Abstract
Mass gatherings (MGs) are held throughout the world. The aim of this review was to assess and identify the health threats based on the type of the MG, type of diseases, and injuries. Research platforms such as Web of Science, Medline, and Scopus were searched through June 2017. All epidemiologic studies that investigated the health threats during the MGs, such as communicable diseases, injuries, high-risk behaviors, and environmental health problems, were included in this review. Out of 1264 references, 45 articles were included in the review.Three main types of MGs include religious, festival, and sporting event; and fairs such as trade, book, and agricultural types were also reported in the selected studies. In the religious MGs, infectious diseases were the most common health threat. Road traffic accidents and environmental health problems were additional health threats. At MG sporting events, injuries were the most common health problems. Infectious diseases and alcohol and drug-related disorders were other reported public health concerns. In the festival MGs, alcohol and drug-related problems were commonly reported. This review showed that health threats vary, based on the type of mass gathering. The health organizers of MGs should consider the type of the MG and the health needs and safety of the participants to help them plan their action and provide the needed health care services.
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Drug and Alcohol Related Patient Presentations to Emergency Departments during Sporting Mass-Gathering Events: An Integrative Review. Prehosp Disaster Med 2020; 35:298-304. [PMID: 32209146 DOI: 10.1017/s1049023x20000357] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Drug and alcohol consumption at sporting mass-gathering events (MGEs) has become part of the spectator culture in some countries. The direct and indirect effects of drug and alcohol intoxication at such MGEs has proven problematic to in-event health services as well as local emergency departments (EDs). With EDs already under significant strain from increasing patient presentations, resulting in access block, it is important to understand the impact of sporting and other MGEs on local health services to better inform future planning and provision of health care delivery. AIM The aim of this review was to explore the impact of sporting MGEs on local health services with a particular focus on drug and alcohol related presentations. METHOD A well-established integrative literature review methodology was undertaken. Six electronic databases and the Prehospital and Disaster Medicine (PDM) journal were searched to identify primary articles related to the aim of the review. Articles were included if published in English, from January 2008 through July 2019, and focused on a sporting MGE, mass-gathering health, EDs, as well as drug and alcohol related presentations. RESULTS Seven papers met the criteria for inclusion with eight individual sporting MGEs reported. The patient presentation rate (PPR) to in-event health services ranged from 0.18/1,000 at a rugby game to 41.9/1,000 at a recreational bicycle ride. The transport to hospital rate (TTHR) ranged from 0.02/1,000 to 19/1,000 at the same events. Drug and alcohol related presentations from sporting MGEs contributed up to 10% of ED presentations. Alcohol was a contributing factor in up to 25% of cases of ambulance transfers. CONCLUSIONS Drug and alcohol intoxication has varying levels of impact on PPR, TTHR, and ED presentation numbers depending on the type of sporting MGE. More research is needed to understand if drug and alcohol intoxication alone influences PPR, TTHR, and ED presentations or if it is multifactorial. Inconsistent data collection and reporting methods make it challenging to compare different sporting MGEs and propose generalizations. It is imperative that future studies adopt more consistent methods and report drug and alcohol data to better inform resource allocation and care provision.
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Memish ZA, Steffen R, White P, Dar O, Azhar EI, Sharma A, Zumla A. Mass gatherings medicine: public health issues arising from mass gathering religious and sporting events. Lancet 2019; 393:2073-2084. [PMID: 31106753 PMCID: PMC7159069 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(19)30501-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 149] [Impact Index Per Article: 24.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/17/2018] [Revised: 02/19/2019] [Accepted: 02/27/2019] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
Mass gathering events are associated with major public health challenges. The 2014 Lancet Series on the new discipline of mass gatherings medicine was launched at the World Health Assembly of Ministers of Health in Geneva in May, 2014. The Series covered the planning and surveillance systems used to monitor public health risks, public health threats, and experiences of health-care providers from mass gathering events in 2012 and 2013. This follow-up Review focuses on the main public health issues arising from planned mass gathering events held between 2013 and 2018. We highlight public health and research data on transmission of infectious diseases and antibiotic-resistant bacteria, mass casualty incidents, and non-communicable diseases, including thermal disorders. In the events discussed in this Review, the combination of a large influx of people, many from countries with outbreak-prone infectious diseases, with a high degree of crowd interactions imposed substantial burdens on host countries' health systems. The detection and transmission of antibiotic-resistant bacteria in pilgrims attending the Kumbh Mela and the Hajj raise concern of possible globalisation from mass-gathering religious events. Priorities for further investments and opportunities for research into prevention, surveillance, and management of these public health issues are discussed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ziad A Memish
- College of Medicine, Alfaisal University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia; Infectious Diseases Division, Department of Medicine and Research, Prince Mohamed Bin Abdulaziz Hospital, Ministry of Health, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia; Hubert Department of Global Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Robert Steffen
- Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Prevention Institute, WHO Collaborating Centre for Travellers' Health, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Division of Epidemiology, Human Genetics & Environmental Sciences, The University of Texas School of Public Health, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Paul White
- Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands, Epidemiology and Laboratory Capacity Program, Public Health & Hospital Emergency Preparedness Program, Commonwealth Health Care Corporation, Saipan, Northern Mariana Islands, USA
| | - Osman Dar
- Public Health England and Chatham House Centre on Global Health Security, Royal Institute of International Affairs, London, UK
| | - Esam I Azhar
- Special Infectious Agents Unit, King Fahd Medical Research Center, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia; Medical Laboratory Technology Department, Faculty of Applied Medical Sciences, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
| | - Avinash Sharma
- National Centre for Microbial Resource, Pune, Maharashtra, India; National Centre for Cell Science, Pune, Maharashtra, India
| | - Alimuddin Zumla
- Division of Infection, University College London, London, UK; NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, University College London Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
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Karampourian A, Ghomian Z, Khorasani-Zavareh D. Qualitative study of health system preparedness for traumatic incidents in a religious mass gathering. Injury 2019; 50:1097-1104. [PMID: 30595410 DOI: 10.1016/j.injury.2018.12.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/14/2018] [Revised: 12/08/2018] [Accepted: 12/12/2018] [Indexed: 02/02/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES Traumatic incidents may occur during religious mass gatherings. A lack of preparedness by the health system to respond to traumatic incidents may increase the mortality rate. This study investigated the factors that affect the preparedness of a health system to respond to traumatic incidents, and we provide appropriate suggestions for improving the response to such incidents during religious mass gatherings. METHODS A qualitative research method was used with a conventional content analysis approach. In total, 22 semi-structured interviews were conducted employing the content analysis method. The data were analyzed based on the means of the meaning units, condensed meaning units, sub-themes, themes, and codes. RESULTS Four main categories and nine sub-categories emerged from the data: factors that increased or decreased the occurrence of incidents (with three sub-categories comprising risk perception and fatalism, pilgrims' responses to incidents, and health system response to traumatic events); medical infrastructure (with two sub-categories comprising medical infrastructure in the host country and medical structures in border cities); organizational resource category (with two sub-categories comprising manpower, and equipment and facilities); and coordination of responsible organizations (with two sub-categories comprising inter-organizational coordination and inter-agency collaboration). All of the data were extracted from the experiences of the participants. CONCLUSION Similar to other mass gatherings, Arbaeen requires multi-sectoral and international planning, organizing, and management. The key factors that could improve the preparedness to respond to traumatic events in Arbaeen include training, increasing the perception of risk, changing the attitudes and behavior of pilgrims, developing a national strategic plan of the health system preparedness for policymakers, and implementing scenario-based exercises for executives.
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Affiliation(s)
- Arezou Karampourian
- Department of Health in Disasters and Emergencies, School of Public Health and Safety, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
| | - Zohreh Ghomian
- Department of Health in Disasters and Emergencies, School of Public Health and Safety, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
| | - Davoud Khorasani-Zavareh
- Department of Health in Disasters and Emergencies, School of Public Health and Safety, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran; Safety Promotion and Injury Prevention Research Center, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran; Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society (NVS), H1, Division of Family Medicine and Primary Care, Alfred Nobels Allé 23 141 83 Huddinge, Sweden.
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Pshenichnaya N, Petersen E, Patel D, Gautret P, Schlagenhauf P. Football fever in Russia: Infectious disease risks and the FIFA world cup 2018. Travel Med Infect Dis 2018; 24:4-6. [PMID: 29908327 DOI: 10.1016/j.tmaid.2018.06.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/12/2018] [Accepted: 06/12/2018] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Natalia Pshenichnaya
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Rostov State Medical University, Rostov-on-Don, Russia; Department of Infectious Diseases and Parasitology, Rostov Scientific Research Institute of Microbiology and Parasitology, Rostov-on-Don, Russia.
| | - Eskild Petersen
- Institute for Clinical Medicine, University of Aarhus, Denmark and Department of Infectious Diseases, The Royal Hospital, Muscat, Oman
| | - Dipti Patel
- National Travel Health Network and Centre (NaTHNaC), UCLH NHS Foundation Trust, London NW1 2PG, UK
| | - Philippe Gautret
- Aix Marseille Univ, IRD, AP-HM, SSA, VITROME, IHU-Méditerranée Infection, Marseille, France
| | - Patricia Schlagenhauf
- University of Zurich Centre for Travel Medicine, WHO Collaborating for Travellers' Health, Department of Public Health, Institute for Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Prevention, Hirschengraben 84, 8001 Zurich, Switzerland
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Radó J, Kaszab E, Petrovics T, Pászti J, Kriszt B, Szoboszlay S. Characterization of environmental Pseudomonas aeruginosa using multilocus sequence typing scheme. J Med Microbiol 2017; 66:1457-1466. [PMID: 28923132 DOI: 10.1099/jmm.0.000589] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE The objectives of this study were to examine environmental (hydrocarbon degrading) Pseudomonas aeruginosa isolates with Multilocus Sequence Typing (MLST) and to determine their relevant features, such as serotype, virulence genes, biofilm forming ability and hydrocarbon degrading capacity. METHODOLOGY The diversity of environmental isolates was assessed with an MLST scheme. Investigation of virulence determinants included serotyping, hemolytic activity test and the detection of virulence genes exoS, exoY, exoT, exoU, exoA. Biofilm forming ability was examined in a modified microtiter assay, hydrocarbon degrading capacity was determined with gravimetric methods. RESULTS The majority of environmental isolates shared the same MLST profiles with isolates of cystic fibrosis (CF). Virulence patterns and serotypes were slightly connected to the phylogenetic localization, but further clinically important features such as antibiotic resistance were not. At least one of the examined environmental isolates was multidrug-resistant, virulent and had biofilm forming ability such as nosocomial P. aeruginosa and retained its hydrocarbon degradation ability. CONCLUSION The current theses that distinguish isolates originating from different sources are questionable; environmental P. aeruginosa can be a potential risk to public health and cannot be excluded as an external (non-nosocomial) source of infections, especially in patients with CF. Further studies such as pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE) and the determination of other clinically important virulence factors are needed to confirm these findings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Júlia Radó
- Department of Environmental Safety and Ecotoxicology, Szent István University, Páter Károly u. 1., 2100, Gödöllő, Hungary
| | - Edit Kaszab
- Department of Environmental Safety and Ecotoxicology, Szent István University, Páter Károly u. 1., 2100, Gödöllő, Hungary
| | - Tünde Petrovics
- Department of Environmental Safety and Ecotoxicology, Szent István University, Páter Károly u. 1., 2100, Gödöllő, Hungary
| | - Judit Pászti
- National Center for Epidemiology, Albert Flórián út 2-6., 1097, Budapest, Hungary
| | - Balázs Kriszt
- Department of Environmental Safety and Ecotoxicology, Szent István University, Páter Károly u. 1., 2100, Gödöllő, Hungary
| | - Sándor Szoboszlay
- Department of Environmental Safety and Ecotoxicology, Szent István University, Páter Károly u. 1., 2100, Gödöllő, Hungary
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Lewnard JA, Gonsalves G, Ko AI. Low Risk of International Zika Virus Spread due to the 2016 Olympics in Brazil. Ann Intern Med 2016; 165:286-7. [PMID: 27454521 PMCID: PMC5444538 DOI: 10.7326/m16-1628] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
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Castro MC. Zika virus and the 2016 Olympic Games – Evidence-based projections derived from dengue do not support cancellation. Travel Med Infect Dis 2016; 14:384-8. [DOI: 10.1016/j.tmaid.2016.06.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/16/2016] [Revised: 06/22/2016] [Accepted: 06/22/2016] [Indexed: 10/21/2022]
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Patel D, Field V, Schlagenhauf P. Countdown to the 2016 Olympic Games: A travel medicine checklist. Travel Med Infect Dis 2016; 14:173-6. [DOI: 10.1016/j.tmaid.2016.05.017] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2016] [Accepted: 05/27/2016] [Indexed: 10/21/2022]
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