Identification of prognostic factors to predict cognitive decline of patients with early Alzheimer's disease in the Japanese Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative study

Associations of Serum Isoleucine with Mild Cognitive Impairment and Alzheimer's Disease

BACKGROUND

Advances in blood biomarker discovery have enabled the improved diagnosis and prognosis of Alzheimer's disease (AD). Most branched-chain amino acids, except isoleucine (Ile), are correlated with both mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and AD. Therefore, this study investigated the association between serum Ile levels and MCI/AD.

METHODS

This study stratified 700 participants from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative database into four diagnostic groups: cognitively normal, stable MCI, progressive MCI, and AD. Analysis of covariance and chi-square analyses were used to test the demographic data. Receiver operating curve analyses were used to calculate the diagnostic accuracy of different biomarkers and were compared by MedCalc 20. Additionally, Cox proportional hazards models were used to measure the ability of serum Ile levels to predict disease conversion. Finally, a linear mixed-effects model was used to evaluate the associations between serum Ile levels and cognition, brain structure, and metabolism.

RESULTS

Serum Ile concentration was decreased in AD and demonstrated significant diagnostic efficacy. The combination of serum Ile and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) phosphorylated tau (P-tau) improved the diagnostic accuracy in AD compared to total tau (T-tau) alone. Serum Ile levels significantly predicted the conversion from MCI to AD (cutoff value of 78.3 μM). Finally, the results of this study also revealed a correlation between serum Ile levels and the Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale cognitive subscale Q4.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum Ile may be a potential biomarker of AD. Ile had independent diagnostic efficacy and significantly improved the diagnostic accuracy of CSF P-tau in AD. MCI patients with a lower serum Ile level had a higher risk of progression to AD and a worse cognition assessment.

Simplifying Alzheimer's Disease Monitoring: A Novel Machine-Learning Approach to Estimate the Clinical Dementia Rating Sum of Box Changes Using the Mini-Mental State Examination and Functional Activities Questionnaire

Background

Primary outcome measure in the clinical trials of disease modifying therapy (DMT) drugs for Alzheimer's disease (AD) has often been evaluated by Clinical Dementia Rating sum of boxes (CDRSB). However, CDR testing requires specialized training and 30-50 minutes to complete, not being suitable for daily clinical practice.

Objective

Herein, we proposed a machine-learning method to estimate CDRSB changes using simpler cognitive/functional batteries (Mini-Mental State Examination [MMSE] and Functional Activities Questionnaire [FAQ]), to replace CDR testing.

Methods

Baseline data from 944 ADNI and 171 J-ADNI amyloid-positive participants were used to build machine-learning models predicting annualized CDRSB changes between visits, based on MMSE and FAQ scores. Prediction performance was evaluated with mean absolute error (MAE) and R2 comparing predicted to actual rmDeltaCDRSB/rmDeltayear. We further assessed whether decline in cognitive function surpassing particular thresholds could be identified using the predicted rmDeltaCDRSB/rmDeltayear.

RESULTS

The models achieved the minimum required prediction errors (MAE < 1.0) and satisfactory prediction accuracy (R2>0.5) for mild cognitive impairment (MCI) patients for changes in CDRSB over periods of 18 months or longer. Predictions of annualized CDRSB progression>0.5, >1.0, or >1.5 demonstrated a consistent performance (i.e., Matthews correlation coefficient>0.5). These results were largely replicated in the J-ADNI case predictions.

CONCLUSIONS

Our method effectively predicted MCI patient deterioration in the CDRSB based solely on MMSE and FAQ scores. It may aid routine practice for disease-modifying therapy drug efficacy evaluation, without necessitating CDR testing at every visit.

Predicting the Societal Value of Lecanemab in Early Alzheimer's Disease in Japan: A Patient-Level Simulation

INTRODUCTION

Alzheimer's disease (AD), a neurodegenerative disorder that progresses from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to dementia, is responsible for significant burden on caregivers and healthcare systems. In this study, data from the large phase III CLARITY AD trial were used to estimate the societal value of lecanemab plus standard of care (SoC) versus SoC alone against a range of willingness-to-pay (WTP) thresholds from a healthcare and societal perspective in Japan.

METHODS

A disease simulation model was used to evaluate the impact of lecanemab on disease progression in early AD based on data from the phase III CLARITY AD trial and published literature. The model used a series of predictive risk equations based on clinical and biomarker data from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative and Assessment of Health Economics in Alzheimer's Disease II study. The model predicted key patient outcomes, including life years (LYs), quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and total healthcare and informal costs of patients and caregivers.

RESULTS

Over a lifetime horizon, patients treated with lecanemab plus SoC gained an additional 0.73 LYs compared with SoC alone (8.50 years vs. 7.77 years). Lecanemab, with an average treatment duration of 3.68 years, was found to be associated with a 0.91 increase in patient QALYs and a total increase of 0.96 when accounting for caregiver utility. The estimated value of lecanemab varied according to the WTP thresholds (JPY 5-15 million per QALY gained) and the perspective employed. From the narrow healthcare payer's perspective, it ranged from JPY 1,331,305 to JPY 3,939,399. From the broader healthcare payer's perspective, it ranged from JPY 1,636,827 to JPY 4,249,702, while from the societal perspective, it ranged from JPY 1,938,740 to JPY 4,675,818.

CONCLUSION

The use of lecanemab plus SoC would improve health and humanistic outcomes with reduced economic burden for patients and caregivers with early AD in Japan.

Early detection of Alzheimer's disease using neuropsychological tests: a predict-diagnose approach using neural networks

Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is a slowly progressing disease for which there is no known therapeutic cure at present. Ongoing research around the world is actively engaged in the quest for identifying markers that can help predict the future cognitive state of individuals so that measures can be taken to prevent the onset or arrest the progression of the disease. Researchers are interested in both biological and neuropsychological markers that can serve as good predictors of the future cognitive state of individuals. The goal of this study is to identify non-invasive, inexpensive markers and develop neural network models that learn the relationship between those markers and the future cognitive state. To that end, we use the renowned Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) data for a handful of neuropsychological tests to train Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) models to predict future neuropsychological test results and Multi-Level Perceptron (MLP) models to diagnose the future cognitive states of trial participants based on those predicted results. The results demonstrate that the predicted cognitive states match the actual cognitive states of ADNI test subjects with a high level of accuracy. Therefore, this novel two-step technique can serve as an effective tool for the prediction of Alzheimer’s disease progression. The reliance of the results on inexpensive, non-invasive tests implies that this technique can be used in countries around the world including those with limited financial resources.

Mapping cerebral atrophic trajectory from amnestic mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer's disease

Alzheimer's disease (AD) patients suffer progressive cerebral atrophy before dementia onset. However, the region-specific atrophic processes and the influences of age and apolipoprotein E (APOE) on atrophic trajectory are still unclear. By mapping the region-specific nonlinear atrophic trajectory of whole cerebrum from amnestic mild cognitive impairment (aMCI) to AD based on longitudinal structural magnetic resonance imaging data from Alzheimer's disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) database, we unraveled a quadratic accelerated atrophic trajectory of 68 cerebral regions from aMCI to AD, especially in the superior temporal pole, caudate, and hippocampus. Besides, interaction analyses demonstrated that APOE ε4 carriers had faster atrophic rates than noncarriers in 8 regions, including the caudate, hippocampus, insula, etc.; younger patients progressed faster than older patients in 32 regions, especially for the superior temporal pole, hippocampus, and superior temporal gyrus; and 15 regions demonstrated complex interaction among age, APOE, and disease progression, including the caudate, hippocampus, etc. (P < 0.05/68, Bonferroni correction). Finally, Cox proportional hazards regression model based on the identified region-specific biomarkers could effectively predict the time to AD conversion within 10 years. In summary, cerebral atrophic trajectory mapping could help a comprehensive understanding of AD development and offer potential biomarkers for predicting AD conversion.

Association of peripheral blood DNA methylation level with Alzheimer's disease progression

Background

Identifying biomarkers associated with Alzheimer’s disease (AD) progression may enable patient enrichment and improve clinical trial designs. Epigenome-wide association studies have revealed correlations between DNA methylation at cytosine-phosphate-guanine (CpG) sites and AD pathology and diagnosis. Here, we report relationships between peripheral blood DNA methylation profiles measured using Infinium® MethylationEPIC BeadChip and AD progression in participants from the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) cohort.

Results

The rate of cognitive decline from initial DNA sampling visit to subsequent visits was estimated by the slopes of the modified Preclinical Alzheimer Cognitive Composite (mPACC; mPACC_digit and mPACC_trailsB) and Clinical Dementia Rating Scale Sum of Boxes (CDR-SB) plots using robust linear regression in cognitively normal (CN) participants and patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI), respectively. In addition, diagnosis conversion status was assessed using a dichotomized endpoint. Two CpG sites were significantly associated with the slope of mPACC in CN participants (P < 5.79 × 10⁻⁸ [Bonferroni correction threshold]); cg00386386 was associated with the slope of mPACC_digit, and cg09422696 annotated to RP11-661A12.5 was associated with the slope of CDR-SB. No significant CpG sites associated with diagnosis conversion status were identified. Genes involved in cognition and learning were enriched. A total of 19, 13, and 5 differentially methylated regions (DMRs) associated with the slopes of mPACC_trailsB, mPACC_digit, and CDR-SB, respectively, were identified by both comb-p and DMRcate algorithms; these included DMRs annotated to HOXA4. Furthermore, 5 and 19 DMRs were associated with conversion status in CN and MCI participants, respectively. The most significant DMR was annotated to the AD-associated gene PM20D1 (chr1: 205,818,956 to 205,820,014 [13 probes], Sidak-corrected P = 7.74 × 10⁻²⁴), which was associated with both the slope of CDR-SB and the MCI conversion status.

Conclusion

Candidate CpG sites and regions in peripheral blood were identified as associated with the rate of cognitive decline in participants in the ADNI cohort. While we did not identify a single CpG site with sufficient clinical utility to be used by itself due to the observed effect size, a biosignature composed of DNA methylation changes may have utility as a prognostic biomarker for AD progression.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13148-021-01179-2.

Questioning the Meaning of a Change on the Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale-Cognitive Subscale (ADAS-Cog): Noncomparable Scores and Item-Specific Effects Over Time

Longitudinal invariance indicates that a construct is measured over time in the same way, and this fundamental scale property is a sine qua non to track change over time using ordinary mean comparisons. The Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale-cognitive (ADAS-Cog) and its subscale scores are often used to monitor the progression of Alzheimer's disease, but longitudinal invariance has not been formally evaluated. A configural invariance model was used to evaluate ADAS-Cog data as a three correlated factors structure for two visits over 6 months, and four visits over 2 years (baseline, 6, 12, and 24 months) among 341 participants with Alzheimer's disease. We also attempted to model ADAS-Cog subscales individually, and furthermore added item-specific latent variables. Neither the three-correlated factors ADAS-Cog model, nor its subscales viewed unidimensionally, achieved longitudinal configural invariance under a traditional modeling approach. No subscale achieved scalar invariance when considered unidimensional across 6 months or 2 years of assessment. In models accounting for item-specific effects, configural and metric invariance were achieved for language and memory subscales. Although some of the ADAS-Cog individual items were reliable, comparisons of summed ADAS-Cog scores and subscale scores over time may not be meaningful due to a lack of longitudinal invariance.

Cognitive and MRI trajectories for prediction of Alzheimer's disease

The concept of Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI) is used to describe the early stages of Alzheimer's disease (AD), and identification and treatment before further decline is an important clinical task. We selected longitudinal data from the ADNI database to investigate how well normal function (HC, n= 134) vs. conversion to MCI (cMCI, n= 134) and stable MCI (sMCI, n=333) vs. conversion to AD (cAD, n= 333) could be predicted from cognitive tests, and whether the predictions improve by adding information from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) examinations. Features representing trajectories of change in the selected cognitive and MRI measures were derived from mixed effects models and used to train ensemble machine learning models to classify the pairs of subgroups based on a subset of the data set. Evaluation in an independent test set showed that the predictions for HC vs. cMCI improved substantially when MRI features were added, with an increase in [Formula: see text]-score from 60 to 77%. The [Formula: see text]-scores for sMCI vs. cAD were 77% without and 78% with inclusion of MRI features. The results are in-line with findings showing that cognitive changes tend to manifest themselves several years after the Alzheimer's disease is well-established in the brain.

Effect of oral health intervention on cognitive decline in community-dwelling older adults: A randomized controlled trial

PURPOSE

The incidence of dementia is rapidly increasing worldwide, especially in developed countries. Little is known regarding the effectiveness of dental intervention to prevent dementia or a decline in cognitive functions among community-dwelling older adults, but a few studies have reported a correlation between the lack of regular dental checkups and dementia. For that reason, this study aimed to investigate the effects of oral health intervention on cognitive functions in community-dwelling subjects with a mild cognitive decline via a randomized controlled trial.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Fifty-five community-dwelling older adults with a Mini-Mental State Examination score of ≥21 to ≤26 who had not visited a dental clinic in the previous year were randomized to an intervention group (n = 28) or a control group (n = 29). The intervention group received monthly oral health intervention by dental hygienists for 8 months while the control group did not. Data on demographics, cognitive function and oral parameters were collected before and after the intervention.

RESULTS

Twenty-five subjects in the intervention group (mean age 77.0 years) and 25 in the control group (mean age 72.8 years) completed the study. Significant improvements were observed in the Trail Making Test (TMT)-A, TMT-B, bleeding on probing rate, oral diadochokinesis, tongue pressure and chewing ability in the intervention group (P < 0.05). There were also significant interactions between the TMT-A and TMT-B scores, oral diadochokinesis, tongue pressure and chewing ability (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Oral health intervention by dental hygienists may be effective for improving the oral health and executive function of cognitive function assessed via TMT.

Behavior Score-Embedded Brain Encoder Network for Improved Classification of Alzheimer Disease Using Resting State fMRI

The ability to accurately detect onset of dementia is important in the treatment of the disease. Clinically, the diagnosis of Alzheimer Disease (AD) and Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI) patients are based on an integrated assessment of psychological tests and brain imaging such as positron emission tomography (PET) and anatomical magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). In this work using two different datasets, we propose a behavior score-embedded encoder network (BSEN) that integrates regularly adminstrated psychological tests information into the encoding procedure of representing subject's resting-state fMRI data for automatic classification tasks. BSEN is based on a 3D convolutional autoencoder structure with contrastive loss jointly optimized using behavior scores from Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) and Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR). Our proposed classification framework of using BSEN achieved an overall recognition accuracy of 59.44% (3-class classification: AD, MCI and Healthy Control), and we further extracted the most discriminative regions between healthy control (HC) and AD patients.

Arterial Spin Labeling Magnetic Resonance Imaging in the Assessment of Non-Convulsive Status Epilepticus in Alzheimer's Disease: A Report of Two Cases

Case series

Patients: Female, 69-year-old • Male, 70-year-old

Final Diagnosis: Nonconvulsive status epilepticus

Symptoms: Altered mental status • cognitive impairment

Medication: —

Clinical Procedure: ASL perfusion MRI

Specialty: Neurology