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da Silveira WC, Ramos LEF, Silva RT, de Paiva BBM, Pereira PD, Schwarzbold AV, Garbini AF, Barreira BSM, de Castro BM, Ramos CM, Gomes CD, Cimini CCR, Pereira EC, Roesch EW, Kroger EMS, Aranha FFMG, Anschau F, Botoni FA, Aranha FG, Crestani GP, Vietta GG, Bastos GAN, Costa JHSM, da Fonseca JRCS, Ruschel KB, de Oliveira LS, Pinheiro LS, Pacheco LS, Segala LB, Couto LSF, Kopittke L, Floriani MA, Silva MM, Carneiro M, Ferreira MAP, Martins MAP, de Faria MNZ, Nogueira MCA, Guimarães Júnior MH, Sampaio NDCS, de Oliveira NR, Pertile NDM, Andrade PGS, Assaf PL, Valacio RA, Menezes RM, Francisco SC, Guimarães SMM, Araújo SF, Rezende SM, Pereira SA, Kurtz T, Fereguetti TO, Polanczyk CA, Pires MC, Gonçalves MA, Marcolino MS. Predictors of venous thromboembolism in COVID-19 patients: results of the COVID-19 Brazilian Registry. Intern Emerg Med 2022; 17:1863-1878. [PMID: 35648280 PMCID: PMC9156830 DOI: 10.1007/s11739-022-03002-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/08/2022] [Accepted: 05/06/2022] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
Previous studies that assessed risk factors for venous thromboembolism (VTE) in COVID-19 patients have shown inconsistent results. Our aim was to investigate VTE predictors by both logistic regression (LR) and machine learning (ML) approaches, due to their potential complementarity. This cohort study of a large Brazilian COVID-19 Registry included 4120 COVID-19 adult patients from 16 hospitals. Symptomatic VTE was confirmed by objective imaging. LR analysis, tree-based boosting, and bagging were used to investigate the association of variables upon hospital presentation with VTE. Among 4,120 patients (55.5% men, 39.3% critical patients), VTE was confirmed in 6.7%. In multivariate LR analysis, obesity (OR 1.50, 95% CI 1.11-2.02); being an ex-smoker (OR 1.44, 95% CI 1.03-2.01); surgery ≤ 90 days (OR 2.20, 95% CI 1.14-4.23); axillary temperature (OR 1.41, 95% CI 1.22-1.63); D-dimer ≥ 4 times above the upper limit of reference value (OR 2.16, 95% CI 1.26-3.67), lactate (OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.02-1.19), C-reactive protein levels (CRP, OR 1.09, 95% CI 1.01-1.18); and neutrophil count (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.005-1.075) were independent predictors of VTE. Atrial fibrillation, peripheral oxygen saturation/inspired oxygen fraction (SF) ratio and prophylactic use of anticoagulants were protective. Temperature at admission, SF ratio, neutrophil count, D-dimer, CRP and lactate levels were also identified as predictors by ML methods. By using ML and LR analyses, we showed that D-dimer, axillary temperature, neutrophil count, CRP and lactate levels are risk factors for VTE in COVID-19 patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Warley Cezar da Silveira
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888University Hospital, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Avenida Professor Alfredo Balena, 110, Santa Efigênia, Belo Horizonte, MG CEP 30130-100 Brazil
| | - Lucas Emanuel Ferreira Ramos
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Rafael Tavares Silva
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Bruno Barbosa Miranda de Paiva
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Polianna Delfino Pereira
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
- Institute for Health Technology Assessment (IATS/ CNPq), Rua Ramiro Barcelos, 2359, Prédio 21 | Sala 507, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Alexandre Vargas Schwarzbold
- grid.488599.10000 0004 0481 6891Hospital Universitário de Santa Maria, Av. Roraima, 1000, prédio 22, Santa Maria, Brazil
| | - Andresa Fontoura Garbini
- grid.414914.dHospital Nossa Senhora da Conceição and Hospital Cristo Redentor, Av. Francisco Trein, 326, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | | | - Bruno Mateus de Castro
- grid.414449.80000 0001 0125 3761Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, Rua Ramiro Barcelos, 2350, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | | | - Caroline Danubia Gomes
- grid.414871.f0000 0004 0491 7596Hospital Mãe de Deus, Rua José de Alencar, 286, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Christiane Corrêa Rodrigues Cimini
- grid.411287.90000 0004 0643 9823Mucuri Medical School – FAMMUC, Universidade Federal dos Vales do Jequitinhonha e Mucuri – UFVJM, Rua Cruzeiro, 01, Teófilo Otoni, Brazil
- Hospital Santa Rosalia, Rua do Cruzeiro, 01, Teófilo Otoni, Brazil
| | | | - Eliane Würdig Roesch
- grid.414449.80000 0001 0125 3761Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, Rua Ramiro Barcelos, 2350, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | | | | | - Fernando Anschau
- grid.414914.dHospital Nossa Senhora da Conceição and Hospital Cristo Redentor, Av. Francisco Trein, 326, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | | | | | - Gabriela Petry Crestani
- grid.414871.f0000 0004 0491 7596Hospital Mãe de Deus, Rua José de Alencar, 286, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | | | - Gisele Alsina Nader Bastos
- grid.414856.a0000 0004 0398 2134Hospital Moinhos de Vento, Rua Ramiro Barcelos, 910, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | | | | | - Karen Brasil Ruschel
- Institute for Health Technology Assessment (IATS/ CNPq), Rua Ramiro Barcelos, 2359, Prédio 21 | Sala 507, Porto Alegre, Brazil
- grid.414871.f0000 0004 0491 7596Hospital Mãe de Deus, Rua José de Alencar, 286, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | | | | | - Liliane Souto Pacheco
- grid.488599.10000 0004 0481 6891Hospital Universitário de Santa Maria, Av. Roraima, 1000, prédio 22, Santa Maria, Brazil
| | - Luciana Borges Segala
- grid.488599.10000 0004 0481 6891Hospital Universitário de Santa Maria, Av. Roraima, 1000, prédio 22, Santa Maria, Brazil
| | - Luciana Siuves Ferreira Couto
- grid.411213.40000 0004 0488 4317Universidade Federal de Ouro Preto, Rua Diogo de Vasconcelos, 122, Ouro Preto, Brazil
| | - Luciane Kopittke
- grid.414914.dHospital Nossa Senhora da Conceição and Hospital Cristo Redentor, Av. Francisco Trein, 326, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Maiara Anschau Floriani
- grid.414856.a0000 0004 0398 2134Hospital Moinhos de Vento, Rua Ramiro Barcelos, 910, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Majlla Magalhães Silva
- grid.414856.a0000 0004 0398 2134Hospital Moinhos de Vento, Rua Ramiro Barcelos, 910, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Marcelo Carneiro
- Hospital Santa Cruz, Rua Fernando Abott, 174, Santa Cruz do Sul, Brazil
| | - Maria Angélica Pires Ferreira
- grid.414449.80000 0001 0125 3761Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, Rua Ramiro Barcelos, 2350, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | | | | | - Matheus Carvalho Alves Nogueira
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
- Hospitais da Rede Mater Dei, Av. do Contorno, 9000, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | | | | | - Neimy Ramos de Oliveira
- grid.452464.50000 0000 9270 1314Hospital Eduardo de Menezes, Rua Dr. Cristiano Rezende, 2213, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Nicole de Moraes Pertile
- grid.414856.a0000 0004 0398 2134Hospital Moinhos de Vento, Rua Ramiro Barcelos, 910, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | | | - Pedro Ledic Assaf
- Hospital Metropolitano Doutor Célio de Castro, Rua Dona Luiza, 311, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Suely Meireles Rezende
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Susany Anastácia Pereira
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Tatiana Kurtz
- Hospital Santa Cruz, Rua Fernando Abott, 174, Santa Cruz do Sul, Brazil
| | - Tatiani Oliveira Fereguetti
- grid.452464.50000 0000 9270 1314Hospital Eduardo de Menezes, Rua Dr. Cristiano Rezende, 2213, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Carísi Anne Polanczyk
- Institute for Health Technology Assessment (IATS/ CNPq), Rua Ramiro Barcelos, 2359, Prédio 21 | Sala 507, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Magda Carvalho Pires
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Marcos André Gonçalves
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
- Institute for Health Technology Assessment (IATS/ CNPq), Rua Ramiro Barcelos, 2359, Prédio 21 | Sala 507, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Milena Soriano Marcolino
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
- Institute for Health Technology Assessment (IATS/ CNPq), Rua Ramiro Barcelos, 2359, Prédio 21 | Sala 507, Porto Alegre, Brazil
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Telehealth Center, University Hospital, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Avenida Professor Alfredo Balena, 110, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
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Zuin M, Engelen MM, Bilato C, Vanassche T, Rigatelli G, Verhamme P, Vandenbriele C, Zuliani G, Roncon L. Prevalence of Acute Pulmonary Embolism at Autopsy in Patients With COVID-19. Am J Cardiol 2022; 171:159-164. [PMID: 35277253 PMCID: PMC8902912 DOI: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2022.01.051] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/27/2021] [Revised: 01/19/2022] [Accepted: 01/26/2022] [Indexed: 12/25/2022]
Abstract
To date, the actual prevalence of acute pulmonary embolism (PE) in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection remains unknown, as systematic screening for PE is cumbersome. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis on autoptic data to estimate the prevalence of histopathologic findings of acute PE and its relevance as a cause of death on patients with COVID-19. We searched MEDLINE-PubMed and Scopus to locate all articles published in the English language, up to August 10, 2021, reporting the autoptic prevalence of acute PE and evaluating PE as the underlying cause of death in patients with COVID-19. The pooled prevalence for both outcomes was calculated using a random-effects model and presenting the related 95% confidence interval (CI). Statistical heterogeneity was measured using the Higgins I2 statistic. We analyzed autoptic data of 749 patients with COVID-19 (mean age 63.4 years) included in 14 studies. In 10 studies, based on 526 subjects (mean age 63.8 years), a random-effect model revealed that autoptic acute PE findings were present in 27.5% of cases (95% CI 15.0 to 45.0%, I2 89.9%). Conversely, in 429 COVID-19 subjects (mean age 64.0 years) enrolled in 9 studies, acute PE was the underlying cause of death in 19.9% of cases (95% CI 11.0 to 33.3%, I2 83.3%). Autoptic findings of acute PE in patients with COVID-19 are present in about 30% of subjects, whereas a venous thromboembolic event represents the underlying cause of death in about 1 of 4 patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marco Zuin
- Department of Translational Medicine, Section of Internal and Cardio-Respiratory Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy,Corresponding author: Tel: +39 3398506267; fax: +39 3398506267
| | - Matthias M. Engelen
- Department of Cardiovascular Diseases, University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Claudio Bilato
- Department of Cardiology, West Vicenza Hospital, Arzignano, Italy
| | - Thomas Vanassche
- Department of Cardiology, Santa Maria della Misericordia Hospital, Rovigo, Italy
| | - Gianluca Rigatelli
- Department of Cardiology, Santa Maria della Misericordia Hospital, Rovigo, Italy
| | - Peter Verhamme
- Department of Cardiovascular Diseases, University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | | | - Giovanni Zuliani
- Department of Translational Medicine, Section of Internal and Cardio-Respiratory Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
| | - Loris Roncon
- Department of Cardiology, Santa Maria della Misericordia Hospital, Rovigo, Italy
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Agarwal G, Hajra A, Chakraborty S, Patel N, Biswas S, Adler MK, Lavie CJ. Predictors and mortality risk of venous thromboembolism in patients with COVID-19: systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies. Ther Adv Cardiovasc Dis 2022; 16:17539447221105013. [PMID: 35762736 PMCID: PMC9243575 DOI: 10.1177/17539447221105013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/08/2023] Open
Abstract
Introduction: Novel severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection
resulting in COVID-19 disease is associated with widespread inflammation and
a prothrombotic state, resulting in frequent venous thromboembolic (VTE)
events. It is currently unknown whether anticoagulation is protective for
VTE events. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review to identify
predictors of VTE in COVID-19. Methods: We searched PubMed, EMBASE, Google Scholar, and Ovid databases for relevant
observational studies of VTE in COVID-19 disease. The effect size for
predictors of VTE was calculated using a random-effects model and presented
as forest plots. Heterogeneity among studies was expressed as
Q statistics and I2. Bias
was assessed using the Newcastle Ottawa Scale for all identified
observational studies. Publication bias was assessed with funnel plot
analysis. Results: We identified 28 studies involving 6053 patients with suspected or confirmed
COVID-19. The overall pooled prevalence of VTE events was 20.7%. Male sex
was associated with a higher risk of VTE events, whereas prior history of
VTE, smoking, and cancer were not. VTE events were significantly higher in
severely ill patients, mechanically ventilated patients, those requiring
intensive care admission, and those with a low
PaO2/FiO2 ratio (P/F ratio). Chronic
comorbidities, including cardiovascular disease, heart failure, renal
disease, and pulmonary disease, did not increase the risk of VTE events.
Patients with VTE had higher leukocyte counts and higher levels of D-dimer,
C-reactive protein, and procalcitonin. The occurrence of VTE was associated
with increased length of stay but did not impact mortality. Therapeutic and
prophylactic doses of anticoagulation were not protective against VTE. Conclusion: VTE in COVID-19 is associated with male gender and severe disease but not
with traditional risk factors for VTE. The occurrence of VTE does not appear
to be mitigated by either prophylactic or therapeutic anticoagulation. The
occurrence of VTE in this population is associated with an increased length
of stay but does not appear to impact mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Adrija Hajra
- Jacobi Medical Center and Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, 2562 Laconia Avenue, Bronx, NY 10469, USA
| | | | | | | | | | - Carl J Lavie
- Ochsner Clinical School, The University of Queensland School of Medicine, New Orleans, LA, USA
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Riyahi S, Dev H, Behzadi A, Kim J, Attari H, Raza SI, Margolis DJ, Jonisch A, Megahed A, Bamashmos A, Elfatairy K, Prince MR. Pulmonary Embolism in Hospitalized Patients with COVID-19: A Multicenter Study. Radiology 2021; 301:E426-E433. [PMID: 34254850 PMCID: PMC8294351 DOI: 10.1148/radiol.2021210777] [Citation(s) in RCA: 31] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
Background Pulmonary embolism (PE) commonly complicates SARS-CoV-2 infection, but incidence and mortality reported in single-center studies, along with risk factors, vary. Purpose To determine the incidence of PE in patients with COVID-19 and its associations with clinical and laboratory parameters. Materials and Methods In this HIPAA-compliant study, electronic medical records were searched retrospectively for demographic, clinical, and laboratory data and outcomes among patients with COVID-19 admitted at four hospitals from March through June 2020. PE found at CT pulmonary angiography and perfusion scintigraphy was correlated with clinical and laboratory parameters. The d-dimer level was used to predict PE, and the obtained threshold was externally validated among 85 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 at a fifth hospital. The association between right-sided heart strain and embolic burden was evaluated in patients with PE undergoing echocardiography. Results A total of 413 patients with COVID-19 (mean age, 60 years ± 16 [standard deviation]; age range, 20–98 years; 230 men) were evaluated. PE was diagnosed in 102 (25%; 95% CI: 21, 29) of 413 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 who underwent CT pulmonary angiography or perfusion scintigraphy. PE was observed in 21 (29%; 95% CI: 19, 41) of 73 patients in the intensive care unit (ICU) versus 81 (24%; 95% CI: 20, 29) of 340 patients who were not in the ICU (P = .37). PE was associated with male sex (odds ratio [OR], 1.74; 95% CI: 1.1, 2.8; P = .02); smoking (OR, 1.86; 95% CI: 1.0, 3.4; P = .04); and increased d-dimer (P < .001), lactate dehydrogenase (P < .001), ferritin (P = .001), and interleukin-6 (P = .02) levels. Mortality in hospitalized patients was similar between patients with PE and those without PE (14% [13 of 102]; 95% CI: 8, 22] vs 13% [40 of 311]; 95% CI: 9, 17; P = .98), suggesting that diagnosis and treatment of PE were not associated with excess mortality. The d-dimer levels greater than 1600 ng/mL [8.761 nmol/L] helped predict PE with 100% sensitivity and 62% specificity in an external validation cohort. Embolic burden was higher in patients with right-sided heart strain among the patients with PE undergoing echocardiography (P = .03). Conclusion Pulmonary embolism (PE) incidence was 25% in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 suspected of having PE. A d-dimer level greater than 1600 ng/mL [8.761 nmol/L] was sensitive for identification of patients who needed CT pulmonary angiography. © RSNA, 2021 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Ketai in this issue.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sadjad Riyahi
- From the Departments of Radiology at Weill Cornell Medicine
| | - Hreedi Dev
- From the Departments of Radiology at Weill Cornell Medicine
| | | | - Jinhye Kim
- From the Departments of Radiology at Weill Cornell Medicine
| | - Hanieh Attari
- From the Departments of Radiology at Weill Cornell Medicine
| | - Syed I Raza
- From the Departments of Radiology at Weill Cornell Medicine
| | | | - Ari Jonisch
- From the Departments of Radiology at Weill Cornell Medicine
| | - Ayah Megahed
- Bridgeport Hospital, Yale New Haven Health System, CT
| | | | | | - Martin R Prince
- From the Departments of Radiology at Weill Cornell Medicine.,Columbia College of Physicians and Surgeons, NY
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