Survival trends in chemotherapy exposed metastatic bladder cancer patients and chemotherapy effect across different age, sex, and race/ethnicity

Contemporary survival in metastatic bladder cancer patients: A population-based study

The overall survival (OS) improvement after the advent of several novel systemic therapies, designed for treatment of metastatic urothelial carcinoma of the urinary bladder (mUCUB), is not conclusively studied in either contemporary UCUB patients and/or non-UCUB patients. Within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, contemporary (2017-2020) and historical (2000-2016) systemic therapy-exposed metastatic UCUB and, subsequently, non-UCUB patients were identified. Separate Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox regression (CRM) analyses first addressed OS in mUCUB and, subsequently, in metastatic non-UCUB (mn-UCUB). Of 3443 systemic therapy-exposed patients, 2725 (79%) harbored mUCUB versus 709 (21%) harbored mn-UCUB. Of 2725 mUCUB patients, 582 (21%) were contemporary (2017-2020) versus 2143 (79%) were historical (2000-2016). In mUCUB, median OS was 11 months in contemporary versus 8 months in historical patients (Δ = 3 months; p < .0001). After multivariable CRM, contemporary membership status (2017-2020) independently predicted lower overall mortality (OM; hazard ratio [HR] = 0.68, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.60-0.76; p < .001). Of 709 mn-UCUB patients, 167 (24%) were contemporary (2017-2020) and 542 (76%) were historical (2000-2016). In mn-UCUB, median OS was 8 months in contemporary versus 7 months in historical patients (Δ = 1 month; p = .034). After multivariable CRM, contemporary membership status (2017-2020) was associated with HR of 0.81 (95% CI = 0.66-1.01; p = .06). In conclusion, contemporary systemic therapy-exposed metastatic patients exhibited better OS in UCUB. However, the magnitude of survival benefit was threefold higher in mUCUB and approximated the survival benefits recorded in prospective randomized trials of novel systemic therapies.

Enfortumab vedotin plus pembrolizumab as a first-line treatment for advanced urothelial carcinoma: a cost-effectiveness analysis from China based on the EV-302 trial

Background

The efficacy and safety of enfortumab vedotin combined with pembrolizumab (EV-PEMB) was investigated as a first-line treatment for advanced urothelial carcinoma (UC) in a phase III clinical trial (EV-302). The trial findings indicated significant prolonged progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) compared to chemotherapy with a favorable safety profile. However, EV-PEMB is costly and it is unknown whether it is cost-effective compared to chemotherapy. This study aimed to conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis of EV-PEMB versus chemotherapy as a first-line treatment for advanced UC from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system.

Methods

A Markov model with three distinct health states was developed to assess the cost-effectiveness of EV-PEMB as a first-line treatment for advanced UC versus chemotherapy based on the EV-302 trial. Drug costs were obtained from national tender prices. Other expenses and utility values were sourced from the literature or expert advice. The findings of the study included total costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). We conducted a one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis to ensure the model's robustness.

Results

The EV-PEMB regimen demonstrated a gain of 3.22 QALYs at $375,420.24, compared to the chemotherapy regimen with 1.70 QALYs at $23,369.67. ICER for EV-PEMB compared to chemotherapy was at $232,256.16 per QALY gained. In China, at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $38,133 per QALY, EV-PEMB has a 0% probability of being cost-effective as a first-line treatment for advanced UC compared to chemotherapy.

Conclusion

From the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system, EV-PEMB is unlikely to be a cost-effective first-line treatment option for advanced UC compared to chemotherapy.

Temporal Trends and Cancer-Specific Mortality in Nonmetastatic Muscle-Invasive Urothelial Carcinoma of the Urinary Bladder Treated With Trimodal Therapy

INTRODUCTION

Trimodal therapy (TMT) is guideline-recommended for the management of organ confined urothelial carcinoma of urinary bladder (UCUB). However, temporal trends in TMT use and cancer-specific mortality free-survival (CSM-FS) between historical TMT versus contemporary TMT have not been assessed. We addressed this knowledge gap.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2004-2020), we identified nonmetastatic UCUB patients with cT2-T4aN0-N2 treated with TMT, defined as the combination of transurethral resection of bladder tumor, chemotherapy and radiotherapy. Temporal trends described TMT use over time. Subsequently, patients were divided between historical (2004-2012) versus contemporary (2013-2020) cohorts. Survival analyses consisting of Kaplan-Meier plots and multivariable Cox regression (MCR) models addressed CSM-FS. Separate analyses addressed patients with organ confined (OC: cT2N0M0) versus nonorgan confined (NOC: cT3-4a and/or cN1-2) clinical stages.

RESULTS

Of 4,097 assessable UCUB TMT patients, 1744 (43%) were treated in the historical period (2004-2012) versus 2353 (58%) in the contemporary period (2013-2020). TMT use increased over time in OC patients (EAPC:+3.4%, P < .001), as well as in NOC (EAPC:+2.7%, P < .001). In OC stage, median CSM-FS was 55.3% in historical versus 49.0% in contemporary patients (HR:0.75, P < .001). Similarly, in NOC stage, 5-year median CSM-FS was 43.0% in historical versus 32.8% in contemporary patients (HR:0.78, P = .01).

CONCLUSION

TMT rates have increased over time in both OC and NOC patients. Contemporary TMT patients benefit of better cancer-specific survival. Interestingly, this benefit applies equally to OC and NOC TMT-treated patients.

The sex gap in bladder cancer survival - a missing link in bladder cancer care?

The differences in bladder cancer outcomes between the sexes has again been highlighted. Uncommon among cancers, bladder cancer outcomes are notably worse for women than for men. Furthermore, bladder cancer is three to four times more common among men than among women. Factors that might explain these sex differences include understanding the importance of haematuria as a symptom of bladder cancer by both clinicians and patients, the resultant delays in diagnosis and referral of women with haematuria, and health-care access. Notably, these factors seem to have geographical variation and are not consistent across all health-care systems. Likewise, data relating to sex-specific treatment responses for patients with non-muscle-invasive or muscle-invasive bladder cancer are inconsistent. The influence of differences in the microbiome, bladder wall thickness and urine dwell times remain to be elucidated. The interplay of hormone signalling, gene expression, immunology and the tumour microenvironment remains complex but probably underpins the sexual dimorphism in disease incidence and stage and histology at presentation. The contribution of these biological phenomena to sex-specific outcome differences is probable, albeit potentially treatment-specific, and further understanding is required. Notwithstanding these aspects, we identify opportunities to harness biological differences to improve treatment outcomes, as well as areas of fundamental and translational research to pursue. At the level of policy and health-care delivery, improvements can be made across the domains of patient awareness, clinician education, referral pathways and guideline-based care. Together, we aim to highlight opportunities to close the sex gap in bladder cancer outcomes.

Adenocarcinoma of the Bladder: Assessment of Survival Advantage Associated With Radical Cystectomy and Comparison With Urothelial Bladder Cancer

PURPOSE

To evaluate the association between radical cystectomy (RC) and cancer-specific mortality (CSM) in patients diagnosed with adenocarcinoma of the bladder (ACB). Moreover, to directly compare the survival advantage of RC between ACB vs. urothelial bladder cancer (UBC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Non-metastatic muscle-invasive ACB and UBC patients were identified within Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (SEER 2000-2018). All analyses were stratified between RC vs. no-RC, in either organ-confined (OC: T2N0M0) or non-organ-confined (NOC: T3-4N0M0 or TanyN1-3M0) stages. Propensity score matching (PSM), cumulative incidence plots, competing risks regression (CRR) analyses, and 3 months' landmark analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Overall, 1,005 ACB and 47,741 UBC patients were identified, of whom 475 (47%) and 19,499 (41%) were treated with RC, respectively. After PSM, comparison between RC vs. no-RC applied to 127 vs. 127 OC-ACB, 7,611 vs. 7,611 OC-UBC, 143 vs. 143 NOC-ACB, and 4,664 vs. 4,664 NOC-UBC patients. 36-month CSM rates in RC vs. no-RC patients were 14 vs. 44% in OC-ACB, 18 vs. 39% in OC-UBC, 49 vs. 66% in NOC-ACB, and 44 vs. 56% in NOC-UBC patients. In CRR analyses, the effect of RC on CSM yielded a hazard ratio of 0.37 in OC-ACB, of 0.45 in OC-UBC, of 0.65 in NOC-ACB and of 0.68 in NOC-UBC patients (all P values<0.001). Landmark analyses virtually perfectly replicated the results.

CONCLUSIONS

In ACB, regardless of stage, RC is associated with lower CSM. The magnitude of this survival advantage was greater in ACB than in UBC, even after control for immortal time bias.

The Effect of Sex on Disease Stage and Survival after Radical Cystectomy in Non-Urothelial Variant-Histology Bladder Cancer

BACKGROUND

Female sex in patients treated by radical cystectomy (RC) is associated with more advanced stage and worse survival. However, studies supporting these findings mostly or exclusively relied on urothelial carcinoma of the urinary bladder (UCUB) and did not address non-urothelial variant-histology bladder cancer (VH BCa). We hypothesized that female sex is associated with a more advanced stage and worse survival in VH BCa, similarly to that of UCUB.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Within the SEER database (2004-2016), we identified patients aged ≥18 years, with histologically confirmed VH BCa, and treated with comprehensive RC. Logistic regression addressing the non-organ-confined (NOC) stage, as well as cumulative incidence plots and competing risks regression addressing CSM for females vs. males, were fitted. All analyses were repeated in stage-specific and VH-specific subgroups.

RESULTS

Overall, 1623 VH BCa patients treated with RC were identified. Of those, 38% were female. Adenocarcinoma (n = 331, 33%), neuroendocrine tumor (n = 304, 18%), and other VH (n = 317, 37%) were less frequent in females but not squamous cell carcinoma (n = 671, 51%). Across all VH subgroups, female patients had higher NOC rates than males did (68 vs. 58%, p < 0.001), and female sex was an independent predictor of NOC VH BCa (OR = 1.55, p = 0.0001). Overall, five-year cancer-specific mortality (CSM) were 43% for females vs. 34% for males (HR = 1.25, p = 0.02).

CONCLUSION

In VH BC patients treated with comprehensive RC, female sex is associated with a more advanced stage. Independently of stage, female sex also predisposes to higher CSM.

Radical cystectomy in non-metastatic sarcomatoid bladder cancer: A direct comparison vs urothelial bladder cancer

INTRODUCTION

The effect of radical cystectomy (RC) on cancer-specific mortality (CSM) is unclear in non-metastatic sarcomatoid bladder cancer (SBC) patients. We aimed to test the benefit of RC in SBC, and to perform a direct comparison vs urothelial bladder cancer (UCB).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (SEER 2001-2018) all non-metastatic SBC and UBC patients were identified. Endpoint of interest was CSM. Propensity score matching (PSM), cumulative incidence plots, competing risks regression (CRR) analyses, three-months landmark analyses, and sensitivity analyses were performed. All results were stratified according to organ-confined (OC: T₂N₀M₀) vs non-organ-confined (NOC: T_3-4N₀M₀ or T_anyN_1-3M₀) stages.

RESULTS

Of 554 SBC patients, 49 vs 51% harbored OC vs NOC stages. Of 47,741 UBC patients, 62 vs 38% harbored OC vs NOC stages. RC rates were 33 vs 67% in OC vs NOC-SBC patients, and 40 vs 60% in OC vs NOC-UBC patients. After 1:1 PSM, comparison between RC vs no-RC was performed in OC-SBC (67 patients per group), OC-UBC (7611 patients per group), NOC-SBC (63 patients per group), and NOC-UBC patients (4644 patients per group). CRR hazard ratios associated with RC vs no-RC were 0.37 (p < 0.001) in OC-SBC vs 0.45 (p < 0.001) in OC-UBC, and 0.56 (p = 0.01) in NOC-SBC vs 0.68 (p < 0.001) in NOC-UBC. These results were replicated in sensitivity and landmark analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

The protective effect of RC vs no-RC is stronger in SBC than UBC patients, regardless of OC vs NOC stages.

Rates of metastatic prostate cancer in newly diagnosed patients: Numbers needed to image according to risk level

BACKGROUND

The numbers needed to image to identify pelvic lymph node and/or distant metastases in newly diagnosed prostate cancer (PCa) patients according to risk level are unknown.

METHODS

Relying on Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (2010-2016), we tabulated rates and proportions of patients with (a) lymph node or (b) distant metastases according to National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) risk level and calculated the number needed to image (NNI) for both endpoints. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Of 145,939 newly diagnosed PCa patients assessable for analyses of pelvic lymph node metastases (cN1), 4559 (3.1%) harbored cN1 stage: 13 (0.02%), 18 (0.08%), 63 (0.3%), 512 (2.8%), and 3954 (14.9%) in low, intermediate favorable, intermediate unfavorable, high, and very high-risk levels. These resulted in NNI of 4619, 1182, 319, 35, and 7, respectively. Of 181,109 newly diagnosed PCa patients assessable for analyses of distant metastases (M1_a-c ), 8920 (4.9%) harbored M1_a-c stage: 50 (0.07%), 45 (0.1%), 161 (0.5%), 1290 (5.1%), and 7374 (22.0%) in low, intermediate favorable, intermediate unfavorable, high, and very high-risk. These resulted in NNI of 1347, 602, 174, 20, and 5, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our observations perfectly validated the NCCN recommendations for imaging in newly diagnosed high and very high-risk PCa patients. However, in unfavorable intermediate-risk PCa patients, in whom bone and soft tissue imaging is recommended, the NNI might be somewhat elevated to support routine imaging in clinical practice.