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Longoni M, Rosiello G, Scilipoti P, Belladelli F, Trevisani F, Re C, Musso G, Cei F, Salerno L, Folcia A, Tian Z, Karakiewicz PI, Mottrie A, Rowe I, Briganti A, Salonia A, Matloob R, Bertini R, Montorsi F, Larcher A, Capitanio U. Recurrence after surgery for clear cell and papillary renal cell carcinoma: Head-to head comparison of validated risk scores. Urol Oncol 2025; 43:443.e21-443.e28. [PMID: 39880768 DOI: 10.1016/j.urolonc.2025.01.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/05/2024] [Revised: 12/21/2024] [Accepted: 01/12/2025] [Indexed: 01/31/2025]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The American Urology Association (AUA) recently introduced in their guidelines a subtype-agnostic, 4-tiered risk classification score to assess oncologic outcomes after surgery in patients with localized renal cell carcinoma (RCC). We provide a head-to-head comparison of the AUA score with 3, internationally validated and EAU recommended, histological-specific models. MATERIALS AND METHODS We retrieved from a prospectively-maintained database 2,560 surgically-treated patients with localized RCC in a single high-volume European center (1987-2023). Patients were classified into risk categories, according to 3 histology-specific prognostic models (i.e., Leibovich 2003, Leibovich 2018 and VENUSS). Kaplain-Meier (KM) analyses estimated 5-year progression-free (PFS) and cancer-specific (CSS) survival. Area under curves (AUCs) of each prognostic model to predict clinical progression or cancer-specific mortality (CSM) were calculated, according to histological subtypes. RESULTS Overall, 2,145 (84%) patients harbored clear-cell (ccRCC), whereas 415 (16%) harbored papillary (pRCC) RCC. Within ccRCC, proportions of low vs. intermediate vs. high/very-high risk patients ranged from 57 to 58% vs. 17 to 28% vs. 6.3 to 19%, respectively. In pRCC, proportions of low vs. intermediate vs. high/very-high risk patients ranged from 54 to 73% vs. 21 to 24% vs. 4.8 to 12%, respectively. Leibovich 2018 and VENUSS exhibited the highest AUCs for clinical progression (0.805 vs. 0.884) and CSM (0.847 vs. 0.862) prediction within ccRCC vs. pRCC, respectively. The AUA model demonstrated AUCs of 0.783 vs. 0.864 for clinical progression and 0.797 vs. 0.826 for CSM in ccRCC vs. pRCC, respectively. CONCLUSION Within a European cohort of RCC patients, the AUA prognostic stratification exhibited reliable performance. Nevertheless, histology-specific models continue to demonstrate a substantial advantage in predicting RCC outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mattia Longoni
- Division of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy; Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy; Cancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, Division of Urology, University of Montreal Health Center, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
| | - Giuseppe Rosiello
- Division of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy.
| | - Pietro Scilipoti
- Division of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy; Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy
| | - Federico Belladelli
- Division of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy; Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy
| | - Francesco Trevisani
- Division of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy; Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy
| | - Chiara Re
- Division of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy; Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy
| | - Giacomo Musso
- Division of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy; Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy
| | - Francesco Cei
- Division of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy; Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy
| | - Lucia Salerno
- Division of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy; Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy
| | - Andrea Folcia
- Division of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy; Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy
| | - Zhe Tian
- Cancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, Division of Urology, University of Montreal Health Center, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
| | - Pierre I Karakiewicz
- Cancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, Division of Urology, University of Montreal Health Center, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
| | - Alexandre Mottrie
- Department of Urology, Onze-Lieve-Vrouwziekenhuis, Aalst, Belgium; ORSI Academy, Melle, Belgium
| | - Isaline Rowe
- Division of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy
| | - Alberto Briganti
- Division of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy; Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy
| | - Andrea Salonia
- Division of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy; Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy
| | - Rayan Matloob
- Division of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy
| | - Roberto Bertini
- Division of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy
| | - Francesco Montorsi
- Division of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy; Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy
| | - Alessandro Larcher
- Division of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy; Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy
| | - Umberto Capitanio
- Division of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, URI, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy; Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy
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