Cost-effectiveness of universal pneumococcal vaccination for infants in Italy

Health and economic burden of invasive pneumococcal disease associated with 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine serotypes in children across eight European countries

AIMS

V114, a 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV15) currently approved in adults in the US, contains the 13 S. pneumoniae serotypes in PCV13 and two additional serotypes, 22 F and 33 F, which are important contributors to residual PD. This study quantified the health and economic burden of pediatric invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) associated with V114 serotypes in eight countries in Europe.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A Markov model estimated V114-type IPD cases and costs in hypothetical unvaccinated birth cohorts from Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Norway, Spain, Switzerland, and the UK over 20 years. Inputs were obtained from published literature. IPD cases and costs were calculated for three time periods using time-specific epidemiological data: (a) pre-PCV7; (b) pre-PCV13; and (c) post-PCV13. Costs were estimated from a societal perspective (2018 Euros) and discounted at 3%.

RESULTS

The model estimated that 4,649 IPD cases in the pre-PCV7 period, 3,248 cases in the pre-PCV13 period, and 958 cases in the post-PCV13 period were attributable to V114 serotypes. Total discounted costs associated with V114 serotypes were €109.1 million (pre-PCV7 period), €65.7 million (pre-PCV13 period), and €18.7 million (post-PCV13 period).

LIMITATIONS

Post-meningitis sequelae, acute otitis media, and non-bacteremic pneumonia were not considered. Direct non-medical costs were not included. Conclusions on effectiveness of V114 or added value over existing infant vaccination programs cannot be drawn.

CONCLUSIONS

IPD cases and costs were estimated in hypothetical birth cohorts in eight European countries followed for 20 years during three time periods. Serotypes included in V114 were associated with significant morbidity and costs in pre-PCV7, pre-PCV13, and post-PCV13 periods. Future pediatric pneumococcal vaccines should maintain protection against serotypes in licensed vaccines while extending coverage to additional serotypes to ensure reductions in IPD burden are maintained.

Investigating the Generalizability of Economic Evaluations Conducted in Italy: A Critical Review

OBJECTIVES

To assess the methodological quality of Italian health economic evaluations and their generalizability or transferability to different settings.

METHODS

A literature search was performed on the PubMed search engine to identify trial-based, nonexperimental prospective studies or model-based full economic evaluations carried out in Italy from 1995 to 2013. The studies were randomly assigned to four reviewers who applied a detailed checklist to assess the generalizability and quality of reporting. The review process followed a three-step blinded procedure. The reviewers who carried out the data extraction were blind as to the name of the author(s) of each study. Second, after the first review, articles were reassigned through a second blind randomization to a second reviewer. Finally, any disagreement between the first two reviewers was solved by a senior researcher.

RESULTS

One hundred fifty-one economic evaluations eventually met the inclusion criteria. Over time, we observed an increasing transparency in methods and a greater generalizability of results, along with a wider and more representative sample in trials and a larger adoption of transition-Markov models. However, often context-specific economic evaluations are carried out and not enough effort is made to ensure the transferability of their results to other contexts. In recent studies, cost-effectiveness analyses and the use of incremental cost-effectiveness ratio were preferred.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite a quite positive temporal trend, generalizability of results still appears as an unsolved question, even if some indication of improvement within Italian studies has been observed.

Systematic review of incremental non-vaccine cost estimates used in cost-effectiveness analysis on the introduction of rotavirus and pneumococcal vaccines

OBJECTIVE

To review the approaches used in the cost-effectiveness analysis (CEAs) literature to estimate the cost of expanded program on immunization (EPI) activities, other than vaccine purchase, for rotavirus and pneumococcal vaccines.

METHODS

A systematic review in PubMed and NHS EED databases of rotavirus and pneumococcal vaccines CEAs was done. Selected articles were read and information on how EPI costs were calculated was extracted. EPI costing approaches were classified according to the method or assumption used for estimation.

RESULTS

Seventy-nine studies that evaluated cost effectiveness of rotavirus (n=43) or pneumococcal (n=36) vaccines were identified. In general, there are few details on how EPI costs other than vaccine procurement were estimated. While 30 studies used some measurement of that cost, only one study on pneumococcal vaccine used a primary cost evaluation (bottom-up costing analysis) and one study used a costing tool. Twenty-seven studies (17 on rotavirus and 10 on pneumococcal vaccine) assumed the non-vaccine costs. Five studies made no reference to additional costs. Fourteen studies (9 rotavirus and 5 pneumococcal) did not consider any additional EPI cost beyond vaccine procurement. For rotavirus studies, the median for non-vaccine cost per dose was US$0.74 in developing countries and US$6.39 in developed countries. For pneumococcal vaccines, the median for non-vaccine cost per dose was US$1.27 in developing countries and US$8.71 in developed countries.

CONCLUSIONS

Many pneumococcal (52.8%) and rotavirus (60.4%) cost-effectiveness analyses did not consider additional EPI costs or used poorly supported assumptions. Ignoring EPI costs in addition to those for vaccine procurement in CEA analysis of new vaccines may lead to significant errors in the estimations of ICERs since several factors like personnel, cold chain, or social mobilization can be substantially affected by the introduction of new vaccines.

Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine: review of cost-effectiveness studies in Australia, North America and Europe

The pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) is the first vaccine proven to be effective in reducing the incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease, pneumonia and acute otitis media in children, and has been recommended for universal use in children in a number of high-income countries. The high cost of the vaccine relative to previous vaccines has generated interest in assessing its cost-effectiveness and numerous cost-effectiveness analyses of PCV have been performed in Australia, North America and Europe. The primary objectives of this review are to enhance the ability to make direct comparisons between these analyses, to aid in the identification and interpretation of methodological differences and to summarize the findings. Although these studies varied greatly in terms of methodology and assumptions, if and when indirect effects and quality-of-life improvements are taken into account, the cost-effectiveness ratios of PCV in these countries are likely to be within the ranges generally considered favorable vis-à-vis other health interventions.

Cost effectiveness of pediatric pneumococcal conjugate vaccines: a comparative assessment of decision-making tools

BACKGROUND

Several decision support tools have been developed to aid policymaking regarding the adoption of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) into national pediatric immunization programs. The lack of critical appraisal of these tools makes it difficult for decision makers to understand and choose between them. With the aim to guide policymakers on their optimal use, we compared publicly available decision-making tools in relation to their methods, influential parameters and results.

METHODS

The World Health Organization (WHO) requested access to several publicly available cost-effectiveness (CE) tools for PCV from both public and private provenance. All tools were critically assessed according to the WHO's guide for economic evaluations of immunization programs. Key attributes and characteristics were compared and a series of sensitivity analyses was performed to determine the main drivers of the results. The results were compared based on a standardized set of input parameters and assumptions.

RESULTS

Three cost-effectiveness modeling tools were provided, including two cohort-based (Pan-American Health Organization (PAHO) ProVac Initiative TriVac, and PneumoADIP) and one population-based model (GlaxoSmithKline's SUPREMES). They all compared the introduction of PCV into national pediatric immunization program with no PCV use. The models were different in terms of model attributes, structure, and data requirement, but captured a similar range of diseases. Herd effects were estimated using different approaches in each model. The main driving parameters were vaccine efficacy against pneumococcal pneumonia, vaccine price, vaccine coverage, serotype coverage and disease burden. With a standardized set of input parameters developed for cohort modeling, TriVac and PneumoADIP produced similar incremental costs and health outcomes, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios.

CONCLUSIONS

Vaccine cost (dose price and number of doses), vaccine efficacy and epidemiology of critical endpoint (for example, incidence of pneumonia, distribution of serotypes causing pneumonia) were influential parameters in the models we compared. Understanding the differences and similarities of such CE tools through regular comparisons could render decision-making processes in different countries more efficient, as well as providing guiding information for further clinical and epidemiological research. A tool comparison exercise using standardized data sets can help model developers to be more transparent about their model structure and assumptions and provide analysts and decision makers with a more in-depth view behind the disease dynamics. Adherence to the WHO guide of economic evaluations of immunization programs may also facilitate this process. Please see related article: http://www.biomedcentral.com/1741-7007/9/55.

The impact of indirect (herd) protection on the cost-effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine

BACKGROUND

The heptavalent pneumococcal polysaccharide-protein conjugate vaccine (PCV7) confers protection against invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) caused by serotypes that are responsible for substantial morbidity and mortality throughout the world. In 2000, the 7 serotypes covered by PCV7 accounted for 80% to 90% of serotypes isolated from the blood or cerebrospinal fluid of children aged <6 years in the United States. A previous review of the literature spanning the years 1998 to 2005 pertaining to the incidence of IPD among nonimmunized individuals in countries with universal PCV7 immunization suggested an indirect protective effect (herd protection, or community immunity) after widespread vaccination. Consideration of indirect protection against IPD may enhance cost-benefit evaluations of vaccination programs.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this analysis was to review the literature on cost-effectiveness analyses of PCV7 vaccination to determine whether inclusion of the indirect effect in decision-analysis models substantially affects the cost-effectiveness findings in favor of vaccination.

METHODS

A literature review of cost-effectiveness analyses of PCV7 vaccination was conducted using the DIMDI (Deutschen Institut fur Medizinische Dokumentation und Information) superbase, which comprises 12 databases, to identify articles published between January 2000 and October 2006 using the search terms 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine AND herd immunity/herd effect, and 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine AND cost-effectiveness, cost-utility, or cost-benefit analyses. Monetary values were converted to euros and inflated to 2006 values, and events avoided were converted to rates per 100,000 vaccinated to allow comparison across studies. The sensitivity analyses from the models that included indirect effects were examined.

RESULTS

There was wide variability in the health-economic results of the 16 studies that met the inclusion criteria. In studies that did not include indirect effects, the adjusted cost per life-year gained ranged from cost saving to euro140,723 from the societal perspective and from euro56,724 to euro324,218 from the payer perspective. In the 4 studies that included indirect effects, a significant and consistent improvement was seen in the health-economic results in favor of vaccination with PCV7. No trends in variability across time or geographic region were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Indirect effects had a significant effect on cost-effectiveness, as seen in the sensitivity analyses. Future models should include indirect effects in evaluating the cost-effectiveness of PCV7.

Cost effectiveness analysis of heptavalent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in Germany considering herd immunity effects

BACKGROUND

In Germany the heptavalent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) has been recommended as a general infant vaccination since 2006. Data from similar programmes in the USA have reported a reduction of pneumococcal diseases in both vaccinated and unvaccinated populations, suggesting herd immunity effects. This study analyses the cost-effectiveness of a general vaccination with PCV7 in Germany based on these findings.

METHODS

A Markov model adapts efficacy and herd immunity data to the German population. Further main model inputs are incidence, vaccination uptake, serotype distribution, case fatality rates, and vaccination and health-care costs.

RESULTS

A general vaccination with PCV7 would avoid about 232,000 pneumococcal infections and 1,879 premature deaths per year in Germany. From the health-care payer's perspective, direct cost savings would outweigh vaccination expenditures by a ratio of 1:1.16. The sensitivity analysis shows that these estimates are quite conservative.

CONCLUSION

Based on the health-economic evaluation, the authors recommend the continuation of the general recommendation of PCV7 according to the 3 + 1 schedule within the German Statutory Health Insurance.

Convincing or confusing? Economic evaluations of childhood pneumococcal conjugate vaccination--a review (2002-2006)

We review 15 economic analyses of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines, published between 2002 and 2006, in terms of methodology, assumptions, results and conclusions. We found a great diversity in assumptions (eg, vaccine efficacy parameters, incidence rates for both invasive and non-invasive disease) mainly due to local variation in data and opinions. Accordingly, the results varied greatly, from total net savings to over euro 100,000 per discounted QALY gained. The cost of the vaccination program (determined by price per dose and schedule (4 or 3 doses, or fewer)), and likely herd immunity impacts are highly influential though rarely explored in these published studies. If the net long-term impact (determined by a mixture of effects related to herd immunity, serotype replacement, antibiotic resistance and cross reactivity) remains beneficial and if a 3-dose schedule confers near-equivalent protection to a 4-dose schedule, the cost-effectiveness of PCV7 vaccination programs can be viewed as attractive in developed countries.

Cost effectiveness of adding 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate (PCV-7) vaccine to the Norwegian childhood vaccination program

BACKGROUND

Streptococcus pneumoniae is a frequent bacterial cause of serious infections that may cause permanent sequelae and death. A 7-valent conjugate vaccine may reduce the incidence of pneumococcal disease, but some previous studies have questioned the cost-effectiveness of the vaccine. The aim of this study was to estimate costs and health consequences of adding this pneumococcal vaccine to the Norwegian childhood vaccination programme, taking the possibility of herd immunity into account.

METHODS

We developed a simulation model (Markov-model) using data on the risk of pneumococcal disease in Norway, the efficacy of the vaccine as observed in clinical trials from other countries and adjusted for serotype differences, the cost of the vaccine and quality of life for patients with sequelae from pneumococcal disease. The results were expressed as incremental (additional) costs (in euros; euro1.00 approximately NOK8.37), incremental life years and incremental quality adjusted life years. Four different sets of main results are presented: costs and (quality adjusted) life years, with and without indirect costs (the value of lost production due to work absenteeism) and with and without potential herd immunity (i.e. childhood vaccination protects adults against pneumococcal disease).

RESULTS

When indirect costs were disregarded, and four vaccine doses used, the incremental cost per life year gained was euro153,000 when herd immunity was included, and euro311,000 when it was not. When accounting for indirect costs as well, the cost per life year gained was euro58,000 and euro124,000, respectively. Assuming that three vaccine doses provide the same protection as four, the cost per life year gained with this regimen was euro90,000 with herd immunity and euro184,000 without (when indirect costs are disregarded). If indirect costs are also included, vaccination both saves costs and gains life years.

INTERPRETATION/CONCLUSION

In Norway, governmental guidelines indicate that only interventions with cost per life year of less than euro54,000 should be implemented. This implies that four dose vaccination is not cost-effective even if decision makers includes both herd immunity and indirect costs in their decisions. If three doses offer the same protection as four doses, however, vaccination would be cost-saving when indirect costs are included, but not with only herd immunity.

COMMENT

In the autumn of 2005, the Norwegian Government decided to include PCV-7 in the vaccination program. This analysis was used by the Ministry of Health and Ministry of Finance during the decision process.