Cost-effectiveness analyses of 15- and 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines for Japanese elderly

Health and economic impact of the 21-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (V116) for adults in Japan: a delta price approach

INTRODUCTION

This study analyzed the health and economic impact of the 21-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (V116) and the 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20), as well as their relative cost-effectiveness, in Japanese adults aged 65 years using a delta pricing approach.

METHODS

A Markov model was employed to simulate the movement of the Japanese population among four health states: healthy, pneumococcal disease (consisting of invasive pneumococcal disease [IPD] with or without meningitis and non-bacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia [NBPP]), post-meningitis sequelae, and death. The model was populated with publicly available demographic and epidemiologic data, stratified by risk level. Pneumococcal serotype distribution and vaccine effectiveness, as well as direct and indirect treatment costs and health-related utilities, were derived from published sources. The model used a lifetime horizon and 2% discounting of costs and life-years. Costs were adjusted to 2023 values in Japanese yen (¥). Outcomes were cases and deaths, life-years and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), vaccination and treatment costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. The range over which V116 was cost-saving and cost-effective was determined.

RESULTS

Compared to PCV20, V116 averted an additional 28 cases of IPD, 918 cases of NBPP, 5 deaths from IPD, and 51 deaths from NBPP over the lifetime of a single age 65 cohort. Life-years and QALYs gained were 1,019 and 642, respectively, relative to PCV20; V116 saved ¥733 million in direct medical costs and ¥557 million in indirect costs, compared to PCV20. V116 was found to be cost-saving at price premiums up to ¥1,322 (payer perspective) or ¥2,327 (societal perspective) and remained below a willingness-to-pay threshold of ¥5 million/QALY for premiums up to ¥7,113 (payer perspective) or ¥8,117 (societal perspective).

CONCLUSIONS

V116 is projected to provide more population health benefits in Japan than PCV20, and to be cost-effective at a variety of price premiums.

Delayed Transition to 20-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine in Pediatric National Immunization Programs: Forgone Public Health and Economic Benefit

INTRODUCTION

Despite the approval of a 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) for pediatric use in many regions globally, integration of PCV20 into national immunization programs (NIPs) is delayed in some countries. We explored the public health and economic benefits forfeited by postponing transitions from lower-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) to PCV20.

METHODS

A targeted literature review (TLR) identified modeling studies comparing the public health and economic impact of PCV20 versus 13-valent PCV (PCV13) or 15-valent PCV (PCV15) in pediatric NIPs. Only studies with accessible models underwent data extraction and analysis. Foregone public health (pneumococcal disease cases/disease-related deaths) and economic (medical/non-medical costs) outcomes, defined as the projected incremental differences between the outcomes associated with PCV20 and lower-valent PCVs, were calculated over 2 years following PCV20 implementation (per year and month). Discount rates for all outcomes were adjusted to 0% given the short time horizon and for consistency across analyses.

RESULTS

The TLR identified models from 13 countries globally. The monthly health benefits forgone due to delayed transitions from PCV13 to PCV20 ranged between 40 (Slovakia) and 1740 (Canada) pneumococcal disease cases averted in the first year of delay across populations, increasing by between 1.5 (Sweden) and 15-16 times (Germany and Mexico) in the second year. Forgone cumulative disease-related deaths averted ranged from 18 (Spain) to 2657 (Germany) and forgone cumulative direct medical cost-savings ranged from 930 thousand Euros (Portugal) to 146 million Euros (Germany) due to delayed transitions from PCV13 to PCV20 over 2 years. Similar, but slightly reduced, benefits were forfeited with delayed transitions from PCV15 to PCV20.

CONCLUSION

Delays in implementing PCV20 into pediatric NIPs were projected to have substantial negative public health and economic consequences. These results underscore the necessity for national immunization technical advisory groups, policymakers, health organizations, and manufacturers to accelerate replacement of lower-valent standard-of-care PCVs with PCV20.

Systematic literature review of cost-effectiveness analyses of adult 15- and 20-valent pneumococcal vaccines

BACKGROUND

The economic and public health benefits of adult pneumococcal vaccines vary across countries due to different epidemiology and costs. We systematically reviewed and summarized findings and assumptions of cost-effectiveness analyses (CEA) of the recently introduced 15- and 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV15 and PCV20) in adults.

METHODS

We performed a systematic search for CEA studies of PCV15 and/or PCV20 versus existing strategies via PubMed, EMBASE, CEA Registry, EconLit, HTA Database, and NITAG resource center through April 23, 2024. Study characteristics, methods, assumptions, and findings were extracted independently by two reviewers; quality was assessed using ECOBIAS. Results were synthesized qualitatively to summarize key attributes and conclusions.

RESULTS

Of 137 identified records, 26 studies were included; the majority (24/26) concerned high-income countries. All employed static Markov-type models comparing higher-valent PCVs used alone or in combination with 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) to current recommendations (PPSV23 alone, PCV13 alone, PCV13 + PPSV23, no vaccination). Most studies (22/26) concluded PCV20 used alone was cost-saving (dominant) or cost-effective compared to other adult pneumococcal strategies (PPSV23 alone, PCV13 ± PPSV23, PCV15 ± PPSV23, or no vaccination). PCVs were generally assumed to have serotype-specific effectiveness equal to PCV13 efficacy in the pivotal trial, though four studies used estimates from a Delphi panel; protection was assumed to last between 10 and 20 years. PPSV23 was assumed to have lower effectiveness against non-bacteremic pneumonia and shorter duration of protection. Herd effects from higher-valent PCVs in childhood (12/26), serotype replacement (2/26), or both (1/26) were included in half (13/26) of studies, which attenuated adult vaccine impact. Most studies were assessed as low risk of bias; five abstracts did not provide sufficient information for assessment.

CONCLUSION

Current evidence indicates that 20-valent PCV used alone is likely to be cost-effective or dominate other adult pneumococcal strategies. Future research is needed to address remaining uncertainties in assumptions and to support evidence-based policymaking.

Strategies for pneumococcal vaccination in older adults in the coming era

Pneumonia, predominantly caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae, remains a leading cause of global mortality. The 23-valent Pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) and conjugate vaccines (PCVs) are vital measures to fight against it. This paper discussed the changes in pneumococcal vaccination strategies, particularly for older adults, as vaccine effectiveness and epidemiological patterns shift. While PPSV23 maintains effectiveness against invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), its effectiveness against pneumococcal pneumonia is declining. Conversely, PCV13 consistently demonstrates effectiveness against both IPD and pneumonia. Consequently, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommends using PCVs, notably PCV20 and PCV15, over PPSV23. Japanese studies indicate a change in the efficacy/effectiveness of PPSV23 following PCV introduction in children, likely owing to serotype replacement and herd immunity. Additionally, recent data reveals a plateau in the reduction of PCV13 and PPSV23-covered serotypes, posing a challenge to current strategies. This paper indicates a paradigm shift in pneumonia management, acknowledging its chronic nature and potential to exacerbate other diseases. The future of pneumococcal vaccination lies in broader serotype coverage through PCVs, adapting to serotype changes driven by childhood vaccination programs. Furthermore, continuous research and vaccine development are crucial in this evolving field.

Serotype distribution and antimicrobial susceptibility of Streptococcus pneumoniae isolates cultured from Japanese adult patients with community-acquired pneumonia in Goto City, Japan

Streptococcus pneumoniae is an important cause of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in Japan. Here, we report the serotype distribution and antimicrobial susceptibility of cultured pneumococcal isolates from Japanese adults aged ≥18 years with CAP. This was a prospective, population-based, active surveillance study conducted in Goto City, Japan from December 2015 to November 2020. Pneumococcal isolates from sterile sites (blood and pleural fluid) and non-sterile sites (sputum and bronchoalveolar lavage) were cultured as part of the standard of care. S. pneumoniae were serotyped using the Quellung reaction. Antimicrobial susceptibility was tested using microdilution and interpreted according to the Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute criteria. Isolates resistant to erythromycin were phenotyped using the triple-risk test and genotyped by polymerase chain reaction. A total of 156 pneumococcal isolates were collected (138 from sputum, 15 from blood, and 3 from bronchoalveolar lavage) from 1992 patients. Of these, 142 were non-duplicate isolates from unique patients and were included in the analyses. Serotypes contained within the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) (including 6C), PCV15 (including 6C), and PCV20 (including 6C and 15C) were detected in 39 (27%), 45 (32%), and 80 (56%) of 142 isolates, respectively. The most common serotypes were 35B (12%), 11A (11%), and 3 (11%). Multidrug resistance (MDR) was detected in 96/142 (68%) isolates. Of the 96 MDR isolates, 31, 32, and 59% were PCV13, PCV15, and PCV20 serotypes, respectively; the most common MDR serotypes were 35B (16%), 6C, 10A, and 15A (9% each), and 3 and 11A (8% each). A total of 119 isolates were resistant to macrolides; 41 (35%) had an M phenotype, 53 (45%) had an iMcLS phenotype, and 25 (21%) had a cMLS phenotype. In conclusion, pneumococcal serotypes 35B, 11A and 3 were most frequently associated with pneumonia and antimicrobial resistance was common among pneumococcal isolates from adults with CAP in Goto City, Japan. Implementing higher-valency PCVs May help reduce vaccine-type CAP among Japanese adults.

The impact and cost-effectiveness of pneumococcal immunisation strategies for the elderly in England

Pneumococcal disease, presenting as invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) or community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is an important cause of illness and hospitalisation in the elderly. To reduce pneumococcal burden, since 2003, 65-year-olds in England have been offered a 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23). This study compares the impact and cost-effectiveness (CE) of vaccination with the existing PPV23 vaccine to the new 15-and 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV15 and PCV20), targeting adults aged 65 or 75 years old. We developed a static Markov model for immunisation against pneumococcal disease, capturing different vaccine effectiveness and immunity waning assumptions, projecting the number of IPD/CAP cases averted over the thirty years following vaccination. Using an economic model and probabilistic sensitivity analysis we evaluated the CE of the different immunisation strategies at current vaccine list prices and the willingness-to-pay at a median threshold of £20,000/QALY and an uncertainty threshold of 90% of simulations below £30,000/QALY. PCV20 averted more IPD and CAP cases than PCV15 or PPV23 over the thirty years following vaccination: 353(360), 145(159) and 150(174) IPD and 581(673), 259(485) and 212(235) CAP cases at a vaccination age of 65(75) under base vaccine effectiveness assumptions. At the listed prices of PCV20 and PPV23 vaccines as of May 2023, both vaccines were cost-effective when vaccinating 65- or 75-year-olds with an ICER threshold of £20,000 per QALY. To achieve the same cost-effectiveness as PPV23, the additional cost of PCV20 should be less than £44(£91) at an ICER threshold of £20,000/QALY (£30,000/QALY) if vaccination age is 65 (or £54(£103) if vaccination age is increased to 75). We showed that both PPV23 and PCV20 were likely to be cost-effective. PCV20 was likely to avert more cases of pneumococcal disease in elderly adults in England than the current PPV23 vaccine, given input assumptions of a higher vaccine effectiveness and slower waning for PCV20.

Higher-valency pneumococcal conjugate vaccines in older adults, taking into account indirect effects from childhood vaccination: a cost-effectiveness study for the Netherlands

BACKGROUND

New 15- and 20-valent pneumococcal vaccines (PCV15, PCV20) are available for both children and adults, while PCV21 for adults is in development. However, their cost-effectiveness for older adults, taking into account indirect protection and serotype replacement from a switch to PCV15 and PCV20 in childhood vaccination, remains unexamined.

METHODS

We used a static model for the Netherlands to assess the cost-effectiveness of different strategies with 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23), PCV15, PCV20, and PCV21 for a 65-year-old cohort from a societal perspective, over a 15-year time horizon. Childhood vaccination was varied from PCV10 to PCV13, PCV15, and PCV20. Indirect protection was assumed to reduce the incidence of vaccine serotypes in older adults by 80% (except for serotype 3, no effect), completely offset by an increase in non-vaccine serotype incidence due to serotype replacement.

RESULTS

Indirect effects from childhood vaccination reduced the cost-effectiveness of vaccination of older adults, depending on the serotype overlap between the vaccines. With PCV10, PCV13, or PCV15 in children, PCV20 was more effective and less costly for older adults than PPV23 and PCV15. PCV20 costs approximately €10,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained compared to no pneumococcal vaccination, which falls below the conventional Dutch €20,000/QALY gained threshold. However, with PCV20 in children, PCV20 was no longer considered cost-effective for older adults, costing €22,550/QALY gained. As indirect effects progressed over time, the cost-effectiveness of PCV20 for older adults further diminished for newly vaccinated cohorts. PPV23 was more cost-effective than PCV20 for cohorts vaccinated 3 years after the switch to PCV20 in children. PCV21 offered the most QALY gains, and its cost-effectiveness was minimally affected by indirect effects due to its coverage of 11 different serotypes compared to PCV20.

CONCLUSIONS

For long-term cost-effectiveness in the Netherlands, the pneumococcal vaccine for older adults should either include invasive serotypes not covered by childhood vaccination or become more affordable than its current pricing for individual use.

Cost-effectiveness of the 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine versus the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine for older adults in South Korea

BACKGROUND

Despite the demonstrated immunogenicity and safety of the 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) in older adults, the cost-effectiveness of the PCV20 was not examined compared to the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) in South Korea. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of PCV20 compared with PPSV23 in adults aged 65 years and older in South Korea.

METHODS

We constructed a Markov model that included susceptible states, invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), non-bacteremic pneumonia (NBP), and death. The population was categorized by disease risk status (low risk, moderate risk, and high risk) and age group (65-74/75-84/85-99 years) at model entry. The annual incidence and mortality of IPD and NBP associated with PCV20 and PPSV23 were estimated based on serotype coverage, vaccine coverage, and vaccine effectiveness. The disease costs and utilities were obtained from previous studies. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was used to evaluate cost-effectiveness within the threshold of 16,824 USD per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY).

RESULTS

Among the total population (n = 8,843,072), PCV20 prevented 1941 and 50,575 cases of IPDs and NBPs, respectively, and 898 and 8593 deaths due to IPDs and NBPs compared to PPSV23. The total medical cost per person was 12.11 USD higher in PCV20, with a gain of 0.0053 LYs and 0.0045 QALYs per person. The ICER for PCV20 and PPSV23 was 2270 USD/LY and 2677 USD/QALY.

CONCLUSIONS

In South Korea, PCV20 is a cost-effective option compared with PPSV23 for adults aged 65 years and older. These cost-effectiveness results provide evidence for decision-making regarding the approval and National Immunization Program implementation of PCV20.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of adult pneumococcal conjugate vaccines for pneumococcal disease in Japan

BACKGROUND

The 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) is used in the Japanese National Immunization Program for older adults and adults with increased risk for pneumococcal disease, however, disease incidence and associated burden remain high. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) for adults aged 65 years and high-risk adults aged 60-64 years in Japan.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Using a Markov model, we evaluated lifetime costs using societal and healthcare payer perspectives and estimated quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and number of prevented cases and deaths caused by invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and non-IPD. The base case analysis used a societal perspective.

RESULTS

In comparison with PPSV23, the 20-valent PCV (PCV20) prevented 127 IPD cases 10,813 non-IPD cases (inpatients: 2,461, outpatients: 8,352) and 226 deaths, and gained more QALYs (+0.0015 per person) with less cost (-JPY22,513 per person). All sensitivity and scenario analyses including a payer perspective analysis indicated that the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were below the cost-effectiveness threshold value in Japan (JPY5 million/QALY).

CONCLUSIONS

PCV20 is both cost saving and more effective than PPSV23 for adults aged 65 years and high-risk adults aged 60-64 years in Japan.

Cost-utility analysis of the use of the 20-valent anti-pneumococcal vaccine (PCV20) in adults older than 60 years in Spain

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

A cost-utility analysis was conducted to assess the efficiency of implementing a PCV20 vaccination strategy in the Spanish adult population older than 60 years, for the prevention of non-bacteremic pneumococcalpneumonia (NBP) and invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD).

METHODS

A Markov model, with annual cycles and a time horizon of 10 years was used. The analysis population was stratified by age and risk groups. The comparator was the sequential vaccination with the 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV15) followed by one dose of the pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23). The base case analysis was performed from the National Healthcare System (NHS) perspective including direct costs (€2018) and applying a discount of 3% to future costs and outcomes. Alternative scenarios explored a shorter time horizon (5 years), the societal perspective and other available vaccination strategies. All the parameters and assumptions were validated by a panel of experts. To evaluate the robustness of the model, deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA) were carried out.

RESULTS

The results of the study showed that the vaccination strategy with PCV20 is a dominant option compared to the sequential regimen (PCV15 + PPSV23), resulting in direct cost savings of €85.7 M over 10 years, with a small increase in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). PCV20 vaccination avoided 2,161 cases of IPD, 19,470 of NBP and 3,396 deaths and according to the PSA, the probability of PCV20 being cost-effective compared to a sequential regimen (PCV15 + PPSV23) was 100%.

CONCLUSIONS/RECOMMENDATIONS

In the Spanish adult population older than 60 years, the vaccination strategy with one dose of PCV20 is more effective and less expensive (dominant) than vaccination with a sequential schedule with PCV15 and PPSV23.

Cost-effectiveness of use of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine among adults in Germany

OBJECTIVES

Despite national recommendations for use of pneumococcal vaccines, rates of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) remain high in Germany. New pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) with expanded coverage have the potential to reduce the pneumococcal disease burden among adults.

METHODS

Using a Markov model, we evaluated the lifetime outcomes/costs comparing 20-valent PCV (PCV20) with standard of care (SC) vaccinations for prevention of CAP and IPD among adults aged ≥60 years and at-risk adults aged 18-59 years in Germany. PCV20 also was compared with sequential vaccination with 15-valent PCV (PCV15) followed by PPSV23 in a scenario analysis.

RESULTS

Over the course of a lifetime (82 years), use of PCV20vs. SC would prevent 54,333 hospitalizations, 26368 outpatient CAP cases, 10946 disease-related deaths yield 74,694 additional life-years (LYs), while lowering total medical costs by 363.2 M €. PCV20 remained cost saving (i.e. dominant) versus SC even in numerous sensitivity analyses, including a sensitivity analysis assuming moderate effectiveness of the SC pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine against noninvasive pneumococcal CAP. In several scenario analyses and a probabilistic sensitivity analysis, PCV20 was also cost-saving compared toPCV15 PPSV23 vaccination.

CONCLUSIONS

One dose of PCV20 among adults aged ≥60 years and adults aged 18-59 years with moderate- and high-risk conditions wouldsubstantially reduce pneumococcal disease, save lives, and be cost saving compared with SC.

Cost-utility of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine compared to no vaccination and recommended alternative vaccines among Belgian adults

BACKGROUND

The Belgian Superior Health Council (SHC) preferentially recommended the 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) for adults aged ≥65 years, immunocompromised patients, and patients aged ≥50 years suffering from conditions that increase their risk for pneumococcal infections. The objective of this paper is to present the cost-utility of PCV20 compared to no vaccination and the alternative sequence of PCV15 followed by the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) in this population.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

The analysis employed a static Markov model capturing lifetime risk of pneumococcal infections, associated disutility, mortality, and costs from different healthcare payer perspectives.

RESULTS

Results indicated use of PCV20 among Belgian older and at-risk adults is highly cost-effective compared to no vaccination, with an incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) of €4,164. Compared to the sequential regimen (PCV15+PPV23), PCV20 vaccination is a cost-saving strategy. Subgroup analysis indicated PCV20 vaccination of at-risk adults aged 65-84 years would also be cost-saving from the national healthcare perspective.

CONCLUSION

Based on current knowledge, this analysis suggests that access to PCV20 should be proposed in all adults recommended for vaccination by the SHC as PCV20 prevents additional hospitalizations and deaths caused by pneumococcal infection at an affordable cost.