Managing landscape patterns at the riparian zone and sub-basin scale is equally important for water quality protection

Modelling relationships between land use and water quality using statistical methods: A critical and applied review

Land use/land cover (LULC) can have significant impacts on water quality and the health of aquatic ecosystems. Consequently, understanding and quantifying the nature of these impacts is essential for the development of effective catchment management strategies. This article provides a critical review of the literature in which the use of statistical methods to model the impacts of LULC on water quality is demonstrated. A survey of these publications, which included hundreds of original research and review articles, revealed several common themes and findings. However, there are also several persistent knowledge gaps, areas of methodological uncertainty, and questions of application that require further study and clarification. These relate primarily to appropriate analytical scales, the significance of landscape configuration, the estimation and application of thresholds, as well as the potentially confounding influence of extraneous variables. Moreover, geographical bias in the published literature means that there is a need for further research in ecologically and climatically disparate regions, including in less developed countries of the Global South. The focus of this article is not to provide a technical review of statistical techniques themselves, but to examine important practical and methodological considerations in their application in modelling the impacts of LULC on water quality.

Guiding the landscape patterns evolution is the key to mitigating river water quality degradation

Consensus has emerged that landscape pattern evolution significantly impacts the river environment. However, there remains unclear how the landscape pattern evolves possible to achieve a balance between land resource use and water conservation. Thus, simulating future landscape patterns under different scenarios to predict river eutrophication level is critical to propose targeted landscape planning programs and alleviate river water quality degradation. Here, we coupled five water quality parameters (TOC, TN, NO3--N, NH4+-N, TP), collected from October 2020 to September 2021, to construct the river eutrophication index (EI) to assess river water quality. Meanwhile, based on redundancy analysis, patch-generating land use simulation model, and stepwise multiple linear regression model comprehensively analyze the Fengyu River watershed landscape patterns evolution and their impact on river eutrophication. Results indicated that current rivers reach eutrophic levels, and EI reaches 40.7. The landscape patterns explain 88.2 % of river eutrophication variation, while the LPI_Con metric is critical and individually explained 21.5 %. Furthermore, eutrophication in the watershed will increase in 2040 under the natural development (ND) scenario, and the EI will reach 44.4. In contrast, farmland protection (FP) scenarios and environmental protection (EP) scenarios contribute to mitigating eutrophication, the EI values are 38.2 and 38.1, respectively. The results provide a potential mechanistic explanation that river eutrophication is a consequence of unreasonable landscape pattern evolution. Guiding the landscape patterns evolution based on critical driver factors from a planning perspective is conducive to mitigating river water quality degradation.