Risk factors for adverse short-term outcome in patients with pulmonary embolism

Efficacy and safety outcomes of recanalisation procedures in patients with acute symptomatic pulmonary embolism: systematic review and network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

We aimed to review the efficacy and safety of recanalisation procedures for the treatment of PE.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, the Cochrane Library, EMBASE, EBSCO, Web of Science and CINAHL databases from inception through 31 July 2015 and included randomised clinical trials that compared the effect of a recanalisation procedure versus each other or anticoagulant therapy in patients diagnosed with PE. We used network meta-analysis and multivariate random-effects meta-regression to estimate pooled differences between each intervention and meta-regression to assess the association between trial characteristics and the reported effects of recanalisation procedures versus anticoagulation.

RESULTS

For all-cause mortality, there were no significant differences in event rates between any of the recanalisation procedures and anticoagulant treatment (full-dose thrombolysis: OR 0.60; 95% CI0.36 to 1.01; low-dose thrombolysis: 0.47; 95% CI 0.14 to 1.59; and catheter-associated thrombolysis: 0.31; 95% CI 0.01 to 7.96). Full-dose thrombolysis increased the risk of major bleeding (2.00; 95% CI 1.06 to 3.78) compared with anticoagulation. Catheter-directed thrombolysis was associated with the lowest probability of dying (surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA), 0.67), followed by low-dose thrombolysis (SUCRA, 0.66) and full-dose thrombolysis (SUCRA, 0.55). Similarly, low-dose thrombolysis was associated with the lowest probability of major bleeding (SUCRA, 0.61), followed by catheter-directed thrombolysis (SUCRA, 0.54) and full-dose thrombolysis (SUCRA, 0.17). The results were similar in sensitivity analyses based on restricting only to studies in haemodynamically stable patients with PE.

CONCLUSIONS

In the treatment of PE, recanalisation procedures do not seem to offer a clear advantage compared with standard anticoagulation. Low-dose thrombolysis was associated with the lowest probability of dying and bleeding.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

PROSPERO CRD42015024670.

Predicting in-hospital death during acute presentation with pulmonary embolism to facilitate early discharge and outpatient management

Background

Pulmonary embolism continues to be a significant cause of death. The aim was to derive and validate a risk prediction model for in-hospital death after acute pulmonary embolism to identify low risk patients suitable for outpatient management.

Methods

A confirmed acute pulmonary embolism database of 1,426 consecutive patients admitted to a tertiary-center (2000–2012) was analyzed, with odd and even years as derivation and validation cohorts respectively. Risk stratification for in-hospital death was performed using multivariable logistic-regression modelling. Models were compared using receiver-operating characteristic-curve and decision curve analyses.

Results

In-hospital mortality was 3.6% in the derivation cohort (n = 693). Adding day-1 sodium and bicarbonate to simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (sPESI) significantly increased the C-statistic for predicting in-hospital death (0.71 to 0.86, P = 0.001). The validation cohort yielded similar results (n = 733, C-statistic 0.85). The new model was associated with a net reclassification improvement of 0.613, and an integrated discrimination improvement of 0.067. The new model also increased the C-statistic for predicting 30-day mortality compared to sPESI alone (0.74 to 0.83, P = 0.002). Decision curve analysis demonstrated superior clinical benefit with the use of the new model to guide admission for pulmonary embolism, resulting in 43 fewer admissions per 100 presentations based on a risk threshold for admission of 2%.

Conclusions

A risk model incorporating sodium, bicarbonate, and the sPESI provides accurate risk prediction of acute in-hospital mortality after pulmonary embolism. Our novel model identifies patients with pulmonary embolism who are at low risk and who may be suitable for outpatient management.

Computed tomography-assessed right ventricular dysfunction and risk stratification of patients with acute non-massive pulmonary embolism: systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The ability of computed tomography (CT)-assessed right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) to identify normotensive patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) at high risk of mortality or adverse outcome lacks clarity.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We performed a systematic review and a meta-analysis of studies in normotensive patients with acute PE to assess the prognostic value of CT-assessed RVD for death and a predefined composite outcome of PE-related complications. We conducted unrestricted searches of MEDLINE and EMBASE from 1980 to March 2013, and used the terms 'computed tomography', 'pulmonary embolism', and 'prognos*'. We used a random-effects model to pool study results, funnel-plot inspection to evaluate for publication bias, and I(2) testing to assess for heterogeneity. The analysis included data from 10 studies (2288 patients). Overall, 99 of 1268 patients with RVD assessed by CT died (7.8%; 95% confidence interval [CI] 6.3-9.3) as compared with 52 of 1020 without RVD (5.1%; 95% CI 3.7-6.4). CT-assessed RVD had significant associations with mortality (odds ratio [OR] 1.8; 95% CI 1.3-2.6), with death resulting from PE (OR 7.4; 95% CI 1.4-39.5), and with PE-related complications (OR 2.4; 95% CI 1.2-4.7). Pooled likelihood ratios (LRs) were not extreme (negative LR 0.71; 95% CI 0.57-0.89; and positive LR 1.27; 95% CI 1.12-1.43).

CONCLUSIONS

Although RVD assessed by CT showed an association with an increased risk of mortality in patients with hemodynamically stable PE, it resulted in only small increases in the ability to classify risk.

Fluctuation of serum sodium and its impact on short and long-term mortality following acute pulmonary embolism

BACKGROUND

Baseline hyponatremia predicts acute mortality following pulmonary embolism (PE). The natural history of serum sodium levels after PE and the relevance to acute and long-term mortality after the PE is unknown.

METHODS

Clinical details of all patients (n = 1023) admitted to a tertiary institution from 2000-2007 with acute PE were retrieved retrospectively. Serum sodium results from days 1, 3-4, 5-6, and 7 of admission were pre-specified and recorded. We excluded 250 patients without day-1 sodium or had <1 subsequent sodium assessment, leaving 773 patients as the studied cohort. There were 605 patients with normonatremia (sodium≥135 mmol/L throughout admission), 57 with corrected hyponatremia (day-1 sodium<135 mmol/L, then normalized), 54 with acquired hyponatremia and 57 with persistent hyponatremia. Patients' outcomes were tracked from a state-wide death registry and analyses performed using multivariate-regression modelling.

RESULTS

Mean (±standard deviation) day-1 sodium was 138.2±4.3 mmol/L. Total mortality (mean follow-up 3.6±2.5 years) was 38.8% (in-hospital mortality 3.2%). There was no survival difference between studied (n = 773) and excluded (n = 250) patients. Day-1 sodium (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.89, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.83-0.95, p = 0.001) predicted in-hospital death. Relative to normonatremia, corrected hyponatremia increased the risk of in-hospital death 3.6-fold (95% CI 1.20-10.9, p = 0.02) and persistent hyponatremia increased the risk 5.6-fold (95% CI 2.08-15.0, p = 0.001). Patients with either persisting or acquired hyponatremia had worse long-term survival than those who had corrected hyponatremia or had been normonatremic throughout (aHR 1.47, 95% CI 1.06-2.03, p = 0.02).

CONCLUSION

Sodium fluctuations after acute PE predict acute and long-term outcome. Factors mediating the correction of hyponatremia following acute PE warrant further investigation.

Long-Term Cardiovascular and Noncardiovascular Mortality of 1023 Patients With Confirmed Acute Pulmonary Embolism

Background—

There are currently no guidelines advising long-term surveillance of patients following an acute pulmonary embolism (PE), because long-term outcome studies are rare. We investigated the long-term cardiovascular and all-cause mortality of a large patient cohort with confirmed PE in relation to baseline cardiovascular disease (CVD).

Methods and Results—

Clinical details of all patients presenting with acute PE to a tertiary hospital were retrieved from medical records, and their survival tracked from a statewide death registry. There were 1023 (45% males) patients admitted with confirmed PE from 2000 to 2007. During a mean follow-up of 3.8±2.6 years, 363 patients died (35.5%), of whom only 31 (3.0%) died in-hospital during the index PE admission. The 3-month, 6-month, 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year cumulative mortality rates were 8.3%, 11.1%, 16.3%, 26.7%, and 31.6% respectively. Annual mortality did not improve over the 7-year period. The postdischarge mortality of 8.5%/patient-year was 2.5-fold that of an age- and sex-matched general population, being 12.6-fold in the youngest quintile (<55 years) and 1.9-fold in the oldest quintile (≥83 years). Patients with known CVD at baseline had 2.2-fold greater all-cause mortality than those without CVD, and this effect, although at a lower level of risk, remained significant after multivariate analysis. Of the 332 deaths occurring postdischarge, 40% were attributed to cardiovascular causes.

Conclusions—

In a contemporary adult population, PE is associated with a substantially increased long-term mortality, of which nearly half is cardiovascular. Our study highlights the urgent need to develop long-term surveillance strategies in this population.

Natural History of Right Ventricular Dysfunction After Acute Pulmonary Embolism

BACKGROUND

Acute pulmonary embolism (PE) associated with right ventricular (RV) dysfunction has an adverse prognosis. We investigated individual parameters of RV dysfunction after acute PE, assessing their correlation with the PE extent and recovery during 6 months.

METHODS

In all, 35 patients (age 63 +/- 18 years) with acute PE were prospectively investigated for 6 months with serial echocardiography, incorporating longitudinal myocardial-velocity and strain imaging. The extent of PE was quantified on day 1 by ventilation/perfusion pulmonary scintigraphy with PE defined as large when there was greater than 30% lung involvement.

RESULTS

PE extent correlated strongly with a number of parameters of RV function, and the strongest univariate correlates were tricuspid annular motion (TAM) (r = -0.65, P < .0001) and the ratio of RV apical to RV basal systolic velocity (r = 0.66, P < .0001). Multivariate analysis identified TAM (P < .0001) and RV basal late-diastolic velocity (P = .01) as independently predicting PE extent, with a combined correlation (R2 = 0.52, P < .0001). A TAM of less than 2.0 cm had sensitivity, specificity, and positive- and negative-predictive values of 75%, 84%, 75%, and 79%, respectively, in predicting large PE. Prospective follow-up identified that RV:left ventricular end-diastolic area ratio returned to normal within 6 weeks, whereas TAM and ratio of RV apical to RV basal systolic velocity normalized after 3 to 6 months.

CONCLUSION

TAM and ratio of RV apical to RV basal systolic velocity are useful indicators of the extent of PE, and provide unique insights into the recovery of RV function after acute PE.

Atrial and ventricular echocardiographic correlates of the extent of pulmonary embolism in the elderly

BACKGROUND

Acute pulmonary thromboembolism (PTE) can be associated with right ventricular (RV) dysfunction. The relative importance of individual echocardiographic parameters, including those suggesting interdependence between right and left heart chambers, in predicting thromboembolic burden in elderly patients with acute PTE is unknown.

METHODS

We retrospectively studied the transthoracic echocardiograms of 63 elderly patients (age 71 +/- 16 years) with acute PTE, and assessed which individual echocardiographic parameters identified more than 30% pulmonary artery obstruction on the basis of quantitative ventilation/perfusion pulmonary scintigraphy.

RESULTS

RV hypokinesis (visual grade 0-3, P = .02), and the quantitative parameters RV end-systolic area (P = .005) and RV ejection area (P = .01) were associated with more extensive pulmonary artery obstruction. Although right atrial end-systolic area and RV end-diastolic area did not correlate with extent of PTE, the ratio of RV:left ventricular end-diastolic area (P = .003), and ratio of right:left atrial end-systolic area (P = .004), were strongly associated with the extent of pulmonary artery obstruction. These transthoracic echocardiographic parameters were independent of clinical variables such as prior chronic lung disease, congestive cardiac failure, or prior PTE.

CONCLUSION

RV systolic dysfunction, RV end-systolic dilatation, right:left atrial end-systolic area ratio, and RV:left ventricular end-diastolic area ratio correlate with extent of PTE in the elderly.

Patients with acute pulmonary embolism should have an echocardiogram to guide treatment decisions

A 62-year-old man with a past medical history notable for hypertension, osteoarthritis, and calf deep vein thrombosis at age 55 following a total hip arthroplasty presents to the emergency department with acute-onset dyspnea and right-sided pleuritic chest pains. His medications consist of a calcium channel blocker and a COX-2 inhibitor. Pretest clinical suspicion for pulmonary embolism (PE) is high. Ventilation and perfusion lung scintigraphy are interpreted as being high-probability for PE. The nurse asks if a stat transthoracic echocardiogram should be ordered.

Pulmonary embolism

PE is one of the great challenges in medicine. It is a disease that carries with it a high mortality rate, yet no historical piece of information, physical examination finding, or diagnostic modality is perfect at excluding its possibility. Emergency physicians must be vigilant about considering PE in the differential diagnosis of a variety of presenting complaints and must use a variety of diagnostic and therapeutic options as they manage patients with suspected or confirmed PE. The diagnostic options range from bedside diagnostic tests to highly specialized imaging available at only specialized institutions. Knowing the advantages and disadvantages of each of the diagnostic modalities assists the physician in employing the best test. Therapeutic options also vary widely and include anticoagulation, vena caval interruption, systemic thrombolysis, embolectomy, and other therapeutic adjuncts, such as ECMO and inhaled nitric oxide. Similarly, awareness of the indications and contraindications to the varied therapeutic agents ensures appropriate therapy when the diagnosis is made.