Caution in interpreting biochemical control rates after treatment of prostate cancer: length of follow-up influences results

Extracellular vesicle biomarkers redefine prostate cancer radiotherapy

Radiotherapy (RT) remains a cornerstone in the treatment of prostate cancer (PCa). Extracellular vesicles (EVs), nano-sized particles secreted by cells, play important roles in intercellular communication within the tumour microenvironment (TME) and contribute to tumour growth, metastasis, and therapy resistance. Recent advancements demonstrate the potential of EVs as biomarkers for cancer diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment monitoring. Accumulating evidence supports the role of EVs in modulating RT outcomes by shaping the TME, mediating radioresistance, and influencing cancer metastasis. Despite substantial progress, challenges remain, including the heterogeneity of EV biogenesis, variability in cargo composition, and the absence of standardised methods for EV isolation and characterisation. While the therapeutic and diagnostic prospects of EVs in PCa management are promising, further research is needed to clarify the mechanisms through which EVs impact RT and to translate these findings into clinical practice. Incorporating EV research into PCa treatment paradigms could enhance diagnostic accuracy, enable real-time monitoring of RT responses, and support the development of new targeted therapeutic strategies. This review discusses recent progress in understanding EVs in the context of RT for PCa, focuses on their roles in modulating tumour growth, contributing to radioresistance within the TME, and facilitating the monitoring of RT efficacy and recurrence. In addition, the potential of EVs as biomarkers for liquid biopsy and their applications in enhancing radiosensitivity or overcoming radioresistance is also explored.

Surrogate endpoints in early prostate cancer research

Clinical research into clinically-localized prostate cancer (PC) is a highly challenging environment. The protracted durations and large numbers required to achieve survival endpoints have placed much pressure on validating early surrogate endpoints. Further confounding is the predominance of deaths from causes other than PC. The analysis of multiple randomized clinical trials in early PC has shown MFS to be a robust surrogate for OS, using a contemporary analytic framework that identify patient-level and trial-level associations. This could potentially save around one year of trial follow-up in some therapies. Identification of a similarly robust surrogate at a substantially earlier timepoint remains a major challenge. Multiple biochemical indices based on PSA have been proposed in the literature, but all remain to be validated at the trial-level. Operationally, many of these indices have inherent biases such as immortal-time bias (ITB) and interval censoring that potentially weakens associations and the individual- or trial-level. The complexity of a failure definition can also impact the reliability of the derived outcomes. Confounding issues such as the impact of comorbidities leading to non-cancer deaths have been largely dealt with by their exclusion using cancer-specific endpoints and advanced statistical methods, while issues such as PSA "bounce" and recovery from androgen deprivation therapy remain important to account for in cohorts treated with radiotherapy. Several potential surrogate endpoints based on serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels show promising associations with PC-specific and overall survival (OS) in individual studies. Further large collaborative projects will continue to refine potential indices with these issues in mind, and explore the objective of an early surrogate of OS.

A retrospective analysis after low-dose-rate prostate brachytherapy with permanent 125I seed implant: clinical and dosimetric results in 70 patients

Aims and background

To evaluate the biochemical disease-free survival (bDFS) rate after 125I permanent-implant prostate brachytherapy.

Methods

Patients with a diagnosis of prostate adenocarcinoma and adequate PSA follow-up were selected for this retrospective study. Brachytherapy with permanent 125I seeds was performed as monotherapy, with a prescribed dose of 145 Gy to the prostate. Patients were stratified into recurrence risk groups according to the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines. Biochemical failure was defined using the American Society of Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology (ASTRO) guidelines. The post-implant D90 (defined as the minimum dose covering 90% of the prostate) was obtained for each patient. Two cutoff points were used to test the correlation between D90 and bDFS results: 130 Gy and 140 Gy. bDFS was calculated from the implant date to the date of biochemical recurrence. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed using the SPSS software and included clinical stage, pretreatment PSA, Gleason score (GS), androgen deprivation therapy, D90, and risk groups. In the univariate analysis we used a cutoff point of 5.89 ng/mL for PSA and 5 for GS.

Results

From June 2003 to April 2007, 70 patients were analyzed. The patients' distribution into recurrence risk groups was as follows: 39 patients (56%) in the low-risk group, 23 patients (33%) in the intermediate-risk group, and 8 patients (11%) in the high-risk group. At a median follow-up of 47 months (range, 19–70 months) bDFS was 88.4%, with a global actuarial 5-year bDFS of 86%. Disease-related factors including initial PSA level, GS and risk group were significant predictors of biochemical failure (P = 0.01, P = 0.01, P = 0.006, respectively). In multivariate analysis, risk group (P = 0.005) and GS (P = 0.03) were statistically significant.

Conclusion

Our data are in agreement with those in the literature and, despite the short follow-up, confirm the advantage of brachytherapy for patients at low and intermediate risk of recurrence.

Post-treatment prostate biopsies in the era of three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy: what can they teach us?

BACKGROUND

The ability to discriminate between therapeutic success and failure after radiotherapy (RT) for prostate cancer (PCa) remains a clinical challenge. Post-treatment biopsies would seem ideal for evaluating innovations such as dose escalation protocols or combination treatments involving brachytherapy or hormones.

OBJECTIVE

Correlate post-treatment biopsy results with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) and clinical outcome in PCa patients treated with three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy (3DCRT) in a dose-escalation study.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This study included 160 patients with clinical stage T1c to T3b PCa treated between 1995 and 2005 in Hospital Universitario la Princesa with 3DCRT who consented to and underwent a transrectal ultrasound (TRUS)-guided prostate biopsy 24-36 mo after RT. The median follow-up was 78 mo (range 27-171 mo).

INTERVENTION

The median radiation dose was 74 gray (Gy; range 66.0-84.1). Risk-adapted short-term androgen deprivation (STAD) and long-term androgen deprivation (LTAD) were associated in 25 and 106 patients, respectively. Right and left systematic biopsies were carried out by the same urologist and were examined by a genitourinary pathologist.

MEASUREMENTS

Biochemical disease-free survival (bDFS) according to American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology (ASTRO) 1997 and Phoenix definition criteria as well as histologic control using post-treatment prostate biopsies.

RESULTS

Twenty-one percent of patients (34 of 160) had post-treatment-positive biopsies (PB). The 5-yr bDFS according to the Phoenix definition was 87%, 65%, and 92% for the whole series (PB and negative biopsies [NB] patients, respectively [p<0.001]). Multivariate analysis showed that biopsy status at 24-36 mo was an independent predictor of bDFS (p<0.0005) and of clinical failure-free survival (p=0.043).

CONCLUSION

The results of the present study show a strong correlation between a post-treatment PB and the 5-yr probability of bDFS, confirming that PSA control can be an adequate surrogate for local control, as assessed by post-treatment biopsies.

Defining biochemical failure following radiotherapy with or without hormonal therapy in men with clinically localized prostate cancer: recommendations of the RTOG-ASTRO Phoenix Consensus Conference

In 1996 the American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology (ASTRO) sponsored a Consensus Conference to establish a definition of biochemical failure after external beam radiotherapy (EBRT). The ASTRO definition defined prostate specific antigen (PSA) failure as occurring after three consecutive PSA rises after a nadir with the date of failure as the point halfway between the nadir date and the first rise or any rise great enough to provoke initiation of therapy. This definition was not linked to clinical progression or survival; it performed poorly in patients undergoing hormonal therapy (HT), and backdating biased the Kaplan-Meier estimates of event-free survival. A second Consensus Conference was sponsored by ASTRO and the Radiation Therapy Oncology Group in Phoenix, Arizona, on January 21, 2005, to revise the ASTRO definition. The panel recommended: (1) a rise by 2 ng/mL or more above the nadir PSA be considered the standard definition for biochemical failure after EBRT with or without HT; (2) the date of failure be determined "at call" (not backdated). They recommended that investigators be allowed to use the ASTRO Consensus Definition after EBRT alone (no hormonal therapy) with strict adherence to guidelines as to "adequate follow-up." To avoid the artifacts resulting from short follow-up, the reported date of control should be listed as 2 years short of the median follow-up. For example, if the median follow-up is 5 years, control rates at 3 years should be cited. Retaining a strict version of the ASTRO definition would allow comparisons with a large existing body of literature.

Dose-Response in Radiotherapy for Localized Prostate Cancer: Results of the Dutch Multicenter Randomized Phase III Trial Comparing 68 Gy of Radiotherapy With 78 Gy

Purpose

To determine whether a dose of 78 Gy improves outcome compared with a conventional dose of 68 Gy for prostate cancer patients treated with three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy.

Patients and Methods

Between June 1997 and February 2003, stage T1b-4 prostate cancer patients were enrolled onto a multicenter randomized trial comparing 68 Gy with 78 Gy. Patients were stratified by institution, age, (neo)adjuvant hormonal therapy (HT), and treatment group. Four treatment groups (with specific radiation volumes) were defined based on the probability of seminal vesicle involvement. The primary end point was freedom from failure (FFF). Failure was defined as clinical failure or biochemical failure, according to the American Society of Therapeutic Radiation Oncology definition. Other end points were freedom from clinical failure (FFCF), overall survival (OS), and toxicity.

Results

Median follow-up time was 51 months. Of the 669 enrolled patients, 664 were included in the analysis. HT was prescribed for 143 patients. FFF was significantly better in the 78-Gy arm compared with the 68-Gy arm (5-year FFF rate, 64% v 54%, respectively), with an adjusted hazard ratio of 0.74 (P = .02). No significant differences in FFCF or OS were seen between the treatment arms. There was no difference in late genitourinary toxicity of Radiation Therapy Oncology Group and European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer grade 2 or more and a slightly higher nonsignificant incidence of late gastrointestinal toxicity of grade 2 or more.

Conclusion

This multicenter randomized trial shows a significantly improved FFF in prostate cancer patients treated with a higher dose of radiotherapy.

Characterization of the behavior of three definitions of prostate-specific antigen-based biochemical failure in relation to detection and follow-up biases: comparison with the American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology consensus definition

PURPOSE

To examine the impact of detection biases on three prostate cancer biochemical failure (bF) definitions in comparison with the existing American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology Consensus Definition (ACD).

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Three alternative bF definitions were tested against the ACD: three rises in prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level without backdating, nadir plus 2 ng/mL, and a threshold PSA level of >3 ng/mL, according to data from 1050 men. The mean time between PSA tests (MTBT), regularity of collection, and calendar year of analysis were examined in each bF definition.

RESULTS

The MTBT produced a statistically significant difference in the derived hazard ratio for identification of bF in all definitions. The influence of test regularity was statistically significant beyond the median level of regularity in all definitions. The year of analysis impacted greatly on the ACD, whereas the three alternative definitions exhibited minor follow-up duration variations by comparison. The alternative definitions had reliable follow-up when the crude median time to censoring was at least 1.6 times greater than that of failure.

CONCLUSIONS

Detection biases will always be a significant issue in defining bF. A number of alternative failure definitions have more predictable interactions with these biases than the existing ACD.

Prostate cancer progression after therapy of primary curative intent

BACKGROUND

Radical prostatectomy and radiotherapy (RT), both radical therapies, are the standard treatments of curative intent for early prostate cancer. However, these therapies are not curative in all patients and, consequently, a substantial proportion of treated patients remain at risk of disease progression and/or cancer-related death.

METHODS

This article presents contemporary data on the incidence of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) and clinical disease progression after primary therapy of curative intent in relation to commonly assessed pretreatment or pathologic disease characteristics.

RESULTS

The data highlight the substantial risk of progression for certain patient groups, such as those with Gleason score 8-10, cT3 disease, lymph node metastases, and/or pretreatment PSA levels > 20 ng/mL.

CONCLUSIONS

Improved and/or additional treatment options are needed for these patient groups.

10-YEAR DISEASE-FREE SURVIVAL RATES AFTER SIMULTANEOUS IRRADIATION FOR PROSTATE CANCER WITH A FOCUS ON CALCULATION METHODOLOGY

PURPOSE

We documented the 10-year disease-free survival rate after simultaneous irradiation for prostate cancer and suggested standards for outcome calculation methodology.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From 1992 to 1998, 1,469 consecutive men with clinical stage T1T2NxM0 prostate cancer who did not receive neoadjuvant hormones were treated with simultaneous irradiation, an ultrasound guided transperineal prostate I seed implant followed by external irradiation. Median pretreatment prostate specific antigen (PSA) was 7.1 ng/ml (range 0.3 to 88). All men were treated 5 or more years ago. Median followup was 6 years (range 3 months to 11 years). Disease freedom was defined as the achievement and maintenance of PSA 0.2 ng/ml or less, and treatment failure was defined as a PSA nadir greater than 0.2 ng/ml or a subsequent PSA increase above this level.

RESULTS

The overall 10-year disease-free survival rate was 83%. Median time to recurrence was 30 months (range 3 months to 8 years) and 24% of recurrences were after 5-year followup. The 10-year outcome according to low, intermediate and high risk group was 93%, 80% and 61%, respectively (p <0.0001). Multivariate analysis of factors related to disease freedom documents that pretreatment PSA, Gleason score and percent positive biopsies were significant but stage and age were not.

CONCLUSIONS

By calculating outcome with PSA cut point 0.2 ng/ml and evaluation only of men treated 5 or more years ago, the 10-year disease-free survival rates from this study can be reasonably compared with the outcome of radical prostatectomy performed in the PSA era.

Ambiguities within the astro consensus definition of biochemical failure: never assume all is equal

PURPOSE

To quantitate the impact of a number of variables within the American Society of Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology consensus definition (ACD) of biochemical failure (bF) for prostate cancer.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

The prostate-specific antigen (PSA) data of 1050 men with prostatic adenocarcinoma treated between 1990 and 1997 with external beam radiotherapy monotherapy was examined. A total of 10,872 PSA results were examined for the effect of backdating, stable values, possible nadir date variations, assay resolution, and assay lower limit. Test timing was analyzed according to attendance frequency (mean time between tests [MTBT]) and regularity (using a derived "Irregularity Index" [II]).

RESULTS

Median biochemical follow-up was 76 months. Nadir date alterations varied the rate of bF beyond 5 years between 0.8% and 5.3%. The bF rate of all MTBT and II quartiles subgroups differed significantly except between the two most regular and the two most infrequent quartiles. Multivariate analysis showed PSA, MTBT, and II to be statistically significant independent predictors of bF (p < 0.0001 for all).

CONCLUSIONS

Many variables exist within the ACD that can produce inconsistencies in bF determination or alter the calculated date of bF. Detection bias issues, especially related to test timing, play a significant role in the derived outcomes.

10-Year Outcome for Men With Localized Prostate Cancer Treated With External Radiation Therapy:: Results of a Cohort Study

PURPOSE

We determine the efficacy of conventional dose, external beam radiation for localized prostate cancer using cohort analysis with maximized followup.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 205 men with T1-2 prostate cancer were treated with conventional external beam radiation to a median and modal dose of 68.4 Gy during a 16-month period from 1991 to 1993. Followup was maximized in these patients, and median followup for those alive with or without disease was 114 months.

RESULTS

Median patient age at treatment was 72 years, and overall survival at 5 and 10 years was 78% and 53%, respectively. The actuarial risk of local failure was 18% at 10 years as was the risk of metastatic disease. The actuarial risk of being free of biochemical failure at 10 years (American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology definition) was 49%. That risk was 42% if the definition was used without backdating failure to a time between last low value and first increase. When a crude analysis of 10-year outcome was performed 127 of the 205 treated patients (62%) were still alive, including 59% with no evidence of biochemical failure and a median prostate specific antigen of 1.0 ng/ml. Of the 78 men (38% of total) who died during the 10 years 32 died either of or with recurrent cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

Mature followup minimizes many of the biases seen in previously published radiation series. This study provides a yardstick against which newer radiation modalities may be measured.

Biochemical outcomes after prostate brachytherapy with 5-year minimal follow-up: Importance of patient selection and implant quality

PURPOSE

A prostate brachytherapy program was initiated in 1990, when comparatively little was known of the relative importance of disease- and treatment-related factors on outcome. Patients treated during the first 6 years of the program were analyzed to determine the value of patient selection and implant quality on biochemical control.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

We treated 243 patients with clinically localized prostate cancer with radioactive seed implantation and underwent 1-month CT-based dosimetric analysis. Follow-up ranged from 61 to 135 months (median 75). The Gleason score was < or =6 in 78% (n = 189), 7 in 14% (n = 35), and 8-10 in 8% (n = 19). The initial prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level was < or =10 ng/mL in 61% (n = 149), 10.1-20 ng/mL in 26% (n = 63), and >20 ng/mL in 13% (n = 31). The disease stage was T2a or less in 49% (n = 120), and Stage T2b-T2c in 51% (n = 123). A real-time ultrasound-guided technique was used with (125)I (n = 138) and (103)Pd (n = 105) isotopes. No patient underwent external beam radiotherapy as part of their primary treatment. Of the 243 patients, 60% also received hormonal ablation for at least 3 months before and 2-3 months after seed implantation. All patients included underwent a 1-month CT-based dosimetric analysis. The implant dose was defined as the dose delivered to 90% of the prostate volume on postimplant dosimetry (D(90)). On the basis of prior dose-response analyses, patients were retrospectively grouped into optimal D(90) ((125)I > or =140 Gy Task Group 43 or (103)Pd >/=100 Gy) and suboptimal D(90) ( (125)I <140 Gy or (103)Pd <100 Gy) dose groups. Biochemical failure was defined using the American Society for Therapeutic Radiology Oncology definition.

RESULTS

Disease-related factors, including initial PSA level, Gleason score, and stage, were significant predictors of biochemical failure. The actuarial 8-year freedom from biochemical failure (bFFF) rate was 80% for those with a PSA level < or =10 ng/mL, 86% for PSA 10.1-20 ng/mL, and 45% for PSA >20 ng/mL (p = 0.0019). Patients with a Gleason score of < or =6 had an 8-year bFFF rate of 81% vs. 67% for those with Gleason score 7 and 53% for those with Gleason score 8-10 (p = 0.0003). Patients with Stage T2a or less had an 8-year bFFF rate of 85% compared with 69% for those with Stage T2b-T2c (p = 0.013). The 8-year bFFF rate was 88% for low-risk patients (Stage T2a or less, Gleason score < or =6, and initial PSA level < or =10 ng/mL; n = 75), 81% for moderate-risk patients (Stage T2b or Gleason score 7 or initial PSA level >10.1-20 ng/mL; n = 70), and 65% for high-risk patients (two or more moderate-risk features or Gleason score > or =8 or initial PSA level >20 ng/mL; n = 98; p = 0.0009). Patients with optimal dose implants (n = 145) had an 8-year bFFF rate of 82% compared with 68% for those with suboptimal dose implants (n = 98; p = 0.007). Hormonal therapy did not significantly affect biochemical failure (p = 0.27). In multivariate analysis, the statistically significant variables included initial PSA level (p <0.0001), Gleason score (p = 0.024), and dose group (p = 0.046). Because our current practice limits implantation alone to low-risk patients, an analysis of this subgroup was undertaken to validate the importance of dose. In the optimal dose group, low-risk patients had an 8-year bFFF rate of 94% vs. 75% for the low-risk patients in the suboptimal dose group (p = 0.02).

CONCLUSION

With minimal follow-up of 5 years, these data continue to support the use of implantation alone in low-risk prostate cancer patients and demonstrate the importance of implant quality (dose) in achieving optimal outcomes. Low-risk patients who receive an optimal dose implant have a 94% bFFF rate at 8 years.

Evaluation of the Houston biochemical relapse definition in men treated with prolonged neoadjuvant and adjuvant androgen ablation and assessment of follow-up lead-time bias

PURPOSE

To validate the Houston prostate-specific antigen relapse definition in a mature cohort of men treated with external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) and adjuvant androgen ablation (AA) and men treated with EBRT monotherapy, and to compare these results with the American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology (ASTRO) and Vancouver prostate-specific antigen relapse (biochemical no evidence of disease) definitions.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

A prospective database of 1490 men treated with EBRT, with or without AA, was examined. The impact on hazard proportions, as well as the predictive ability, of the Houston, ASTRO, and Vancouver definitions was tested.

RESULTS

For all patients, the Houston definition was more accurate (79.5%) than the ASTRO (76.7%) or Vancouver (77.2%) definitions in predicting subsequent clinical relapse. The Houston definition was superior to the ASTRO definition in those treated both with and without AA and equivalent to the Vancouver definition in those receiving AA. The Houston definition demonstrated proportional hazards when categorized for the use of AA, unlike the ASTRO and Vancouver definitions. The effect of inadequate follow-up on the projected relapse rates was negligible with the Houston definition.

CONCLUSION

The Houston relapse definition is favored after EBRT monotherapy or combined EBRT and AA. Use of the Cox proportional hazard multivariate analysis is appropriate with the Houston definition, but not with the ASTRO or Vancouver definitions if AA and non-AA patients are combined.

Modifying the American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology definition of biochemical failure to minimize the influence of backdating in patients with prostate cancer treated with 3-dimensional conformal radiation therapy alone

PURPOSE

Adoption of the American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology (ASTRO) consensus definition has been critical for evaluating and comparing outcome following treatment with radiation. However, since its almost universal adoption, several points have remained controversial, notably backdating the date of failure to the point midway between the posttreatment prostate specific antigen (PSA) nadir and the first increase. We evaluated the impact of backdating on no biochemical evidence of disease (bNED) control and suggest changes in the definition.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Between April 1, 1989 and November 30, 1998, 1,017 patients with nonmetastatic prostate cancer were treated with 3-dimensional conformal radiation therapy alone. bNED control was defined using the ASTRO consensus definition. bNED failure was calculated from the time midway between the posttreatment PSA nadir and the first of the 3 consecutive increases in PSA (date of failure A). Four alternate failure time points were chosen, including backdating to the date of the first increase in PSA after the nadir, the date between the first and second consecutive PSA increases, the date between the second and third consecutive PSA increases, and the date of the third increase in PSA after the nadir (dates of failure 1 to 4). Kaplan-Meier estimates were calculated for all definitions of failure as well as hazard functions with time. Subset analyses based on prognostic group and followup time were also performed.

RESULTS

The 10-year Kaplan-Meier bNED control rates were 64%, 52%, 47%, 42% and 39% using dates of failure A and 1 to 4, respectively. These differences persisted when patients were stratified by prognostic group. These same differences in bNED control were observed for the long-term followup subset, in which 10-year bNED control rates were 48%, 47%, 44%, 41% and 39% using dates of failure A and 1 to 4, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Adoption of the ASTRO consensus definition has been crucial for evaluating outcome in the radiation oncology community. However, the date of failure should be moved from the current point to one closer to the point at which failure is declared. Additional analysis with large numbers of patients from multiple institutions is necessary to determine the point.

Markers and meaning of primary treatment failure

BCR is the most clinically used endpoint for identification of treatment failure. Approximately 15% to 53% of patients undergoing primary curative therapy will develop BCR. BCR often precedes clinically detectable recurrence by years. It does not necessarily translate directly into PCa morbidity and mortality, nor does it always reflect the desired endpoint. Furthermore, it has not been validated as a surrogate endpoint, in that interventions that have been shown to alter the PSA level have not been shown to also alter survival. The utility of PSA level as a surrogate endpoint is brought into question by the knowledge that the overall survival rate of patients at 10 years is similar in patients with and without BCR, and that in a significant proportion of men, the only evidence of disease during their lifetime will be a detectable PSA level. The likelihood of developing BCR post-therapy can be predicted by using multiple clinical and pathologic variables. With the development of nomograms that incorporate several markers, the accuracy of prediction has improved. Until recently, the natural history of BCR post-RRP has not been well understood. Pound et al showed the heterogenous and prolonged natural history of BCR. In this large series of men with BCR following RRP, only 34% of men developed metastatic disease. The median time from development of BCR to identification of metastases was 8 years, and the median time from the development of metastatic disease to death was just under 5 years. These data highlight the extremely variable and potentially indolent nature of BCR. The risk of metastatic disease following BCR has been relatively well defined and relates to PSADT and time to PSA recurrence. It generally is accepted that a PSADT of less than 6 to 10 months and a time to PSA recurrence of less than 1 to 2 years relates to a higher risk of developing metastatic disease. Local recurrence, however, remains poorly understood with respect to its true incidence, clinical significance, and natural history. The significance of BCR post-RT remains unclear due to the lack of data on its natural history. Attempts have been made to identify patients at high risk for metastatic progression by looking at time to PSA recurrence and PSADT. A PSADT of less than 6 to 12 months and a time to PSA recurrence of less than 12 months reflects a higher risk of developing metastatic disease. Accurate risk stratification by means of an algorithm similar to that produced by Pound et al has not been performed on a large cohort, thus making risk assessment for an individual patient difficult. The major dilemma for clinicians in the management of BCR is the identification of the site of disease recurrence, which ultimately guides therapy decisions. Clinicopathologic features allow for risk stratification for recurrence, and multiple investigations have attempted to localize the site of recurrence. Time to biochemical progression, Gleason score, and PSADT are predictive of the probability and time to development of metastatic disease, and allow for stratification of patients into different risk groups (see Table 2). TRUS, CT, PET, and DRE all have limited utility in the identification of local recurrence. ProstaScint and MRI have demonstrated encouraging initial results: however, they require further investigation. Bone scintigraphy is of little value for the initial investigation of BCR. In patients with a PSA level of less than 10 ng/mL, the risk of having a positive bone scan is less than 1% and, until the PSA level rises above 40 ng/mL, the risk of having a positive bone scan is less than 5%. Therefore, bone scintigraphy should be reserved for patients with a PSA level greater than 10 to 20 ng/mL or patients with a rapidly rising PSA level. Using new MRI sequences, there is some evidence that MRI is better for the detection of bony metastatic disease; however, this technique requires further investigation. BCR causes anxiety for the patient and the treating doctor, because the best way to manage patients with PSA-only progression is unknown. Currently, there are no validated treatment recommendations for the management of BCR. The information in this review provides the framework for assignment of patients into clinical trials based on different risk categories. Patients at high risk for metastatic progression could be identified early and thus entered into appropriate clinical trials for systemic therapies. Similarly, patients with a low risk of progression could be placed into observation protocols, potentially sparing them from exhaustive and inappropriate investigations.

A structured literature review to determine the use of the American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology consensus definition of biochemical failure

OBJECTIVES

The American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology consensus definition (ACD) of biochemical failure after radiotherapy for prostate cancer requires three consecutive prostate-specific antigen increases from a nadir value. The members of the Consensus Panel recognized that the timing and frequency of prostate-specific antigen determinations could affect the comparability among different reports if this definition was used. For this reason, the Consensus Panel members recommended three guidelines for studies presented for publication (publication guidelines [PGs]). The present analysis examined the extent to which the ACD has been used in the peer-reviewed published literature and how frequently the PGs have been followed.

METHODS

A structured literature review of 10 relevant journals was done. The inclusion criteria for the literature review required publication in calendar year 1999 or 2000; treatment with external beam radiotherapy and/or brachytherapy for previously untreated, nonmetastatic prostate cancer; and the use of a prostate-specific antigen-defined disease-free endpoint. A standardized checklist was created and completed by both of the authors. We independently reviewed each publication to determine whether the ACD of biochemical failure was used and whether the PGs were followed. Discrepancies between us were resolved by joint review of each publication in question to achieve a consensus.

RESULTS

Fifty-seven articles met the inclusion criteria. The median number of patients in the articles reviewed was 302 (range 22 to 2222). The ACD was followed in 37 (64.9%) of 57 articles. None of the reviewed articles followed all three PGs. In five articles (8.7%), two of the three PGs were followed. The vast majority of the articles reviewed (52 of 57, 91.3%) followed one or none of the PGs recommended by the Consensus Panel.

CONCLUSIONS

The ACD was used in two thirds of peer-reviewed published articles. The PGs were followed much less frequently. Consistent standards of reporting have not been uniformly applied to peer-reviewed manuscripts.

Prostate biopsy status and PSA nadir level as early surrogates for treatment failure: analysis of a prostate cancer randomized radiation dose escalation trial

PURPOSE

A positive biopsy after external beam radiotherapy in patients free of any evidence of treatment failure is not synonymous with eventual recurrence. Although biopsy positivity is a predictor of outcome, the utility of biopsy status as a surrogate end point, the effect of radiation dose on biopsy status, and the interrelationships of these associations to prostate-specific antigen (PSA) nadir level are not well-defined. These issues were investigated in a cohort of men with Stage T1-T3 prostate cancer who were randomized to receive between 70 Gy and 78 Gy and were prospectively biopsied at about 2 years after the completion of radiotherapy (RT).

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Of the 301 assessable patients in the trial, 168 underwent planned sextant or greater prostate post-RT biopsies in the absence of biochemical or clinical failure; this group constituted the study cohort. Of the 168 patients, 87 were in the 70-Gy arm and 81 in the 78-Gy arm. Biopsies were classified into four groups: negative (no tumor), atypical/suspicious cells (not diagnostic of carcinoma), carcinoma with treatment effect (CaTxEffect), and carcinoma without treatment effect (CaNoTxEffect). Any diagnosis of carcinoma in the specimen was classified as biopsy positive. Freedom from failure (FFF) included biochemical failure and/or clinical failure. Kaplan-Meier curves were calculated from the completion of RT. For those alive in the study cohort, the median follow-up was 65 months.

RESULTS

The rate of biopsy without tumor was 42%; with atypical cells, it was 28%, with CaTxEffect 21%, and with CaNoTxEffect 9%. The overall biopsy positivity rate (CaTxEffect + CaNoTxEffect) was 30%; 28% in the 70-Gy group and 32% in the 78-Gy group (p = 0.52). The distribution of PSA nadir levels was 73% <or=0.5, 20% >0.5-1.0, 5% >1.0-2.0, and 1% >2.0 ng/mL. Significantly more patients randomized to 78 Gy had a PSA nadir of <or=0.5 ng/mL (80% vs. 67%; p = 0.02). No relationship was found between PSA nadir level and prostate biopsy status. The 5-year FFF rate for those classified as biopsy negative was 84% and for those biopsy positive was 60% (p = 0.0002). Radiation dose did not significantly alter FFF rates by prostate biopsy status. Nadir PSA level correlated with FFF, although this was dependent on the inclusion of the 2 patients with a PSA nadir >2.0 ng/mL.

CONCLUSION

For patients free of treatment failure at the time of prostate biopsy 2 years after RT, the prognosis of no tumor cells was the same as that of atypical/suspicious cells and CaTxEffect was the same as CaNoTxEffect. The biopsy positivity rate was not altered by dose, suggesting that most of the outcome differences between the 70-Gy and 78-Gy groups were due to events occurring before prostate biopsy at 2 years and/or were not entirely dependent on biopsy status. Biopsy status is a strong prognostic factor, but, as an early end point, it may be misleading. PSA nadir appears to have little clinical value in patients treated to doses of >/=70 Gy who are failure free 2 years after RT.

A critical analysis of the interpretation of biochemical failure in surgically treated patients using the American Society for Therapeutic Radiation and Oncology criteria

PURPOSE

The use of prostate specific antigen (PSA) to indicate biochemical failure has become an accepted procedure to measure the effectiveness of therapy. Because long-term randomized studies comparing radiation modalities to radical prostatectomy are not available, use of biochemical recurrence as a surrogate measure of efficacy is increasing. Unfortunately, the definition of failure is not uniform among therapies. We evaluate how the American Society for Therapeutic Radiation and Oncology (ASTRO) criteria affect the interpretation of failure when applied to radical prostatectomy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed data from 2,691 men who underwent anatomical radical prostatectomy for localized disease between 1985 and 2000. All patients had regular followup visits ranging from 6 months to 15 years (mean 6). No patients were treated with radiation or hormonal therapy preoperatively or postoperatively until clinical recurrence. Biochemical failure was defined as any measurable PSA 0.2 ng./ml. or greater. We evaluated how elements of the ASTRO criteria affected the failure rate when applied to this series. We looked at 1) backdating the failure date to the midpoint between nadir and first PSA greater than 0.2 ng./ml., 2) early censoring if only 1 or 2 increasing values were available and 3) defining failure after 3 consecutive PSA increases and backdating failure time (midpoint of nadir and first PSA increase).

RESULTS

Using actuarial analysis of the data defining failure as the first PSA 0.2 ng./ml. or greater, biochemical freedom from failure at 5, 10 and 15 years was 85%, 77% and 68%, respectively. In contrast, when backdating was used in this series, almost all failures occurred early with rare late failures (freedom from failure 82%, 80% and 80% at 5, 10 and 15 years, respectively). The difference in failure became even more pronounced when ASTRO criteria were applied requiring 3 consecutive increases, and backdating failure to the midpoint between nadir and first PSA (freedom from failure 90%, 90% and 90% at 5, 10 and 15 years, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The application of ASTRO criteria to a mature series of surgically treated patients with localized prostate cancer produced an apparent improvement in the probability of being biochemically free of disease at 15 years from 68% to 90%. Until prospective trials comparing these different therapies become available, caution should be exercised when interpreting outcomes between series due to the inherent differences in definition of biochemical failure.

Pathologic evidence of dose-response and dose-volume relationships for prostate cancer treated with combined external beam radiotherapy and high-dose-rate brachytherapy

PURPOSE

The clinical significance of postradiotherapy (RT) prostate biopsy characteristics is not well understood relative to the known prognostic factors. We performed a detailed pathologic review of posttreatment biopsy specimens in an attempt to clarify their relationship with clinical outcome and radiation dose.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Between 1991 and 1998, 78 patients with locally advanced prostate cancer were prospectively treated with external beam RT in combination with high-dose-rate brachytherapy at William Beaumont Hospital and had post-RT biopsy material available for a complete pathologic review. Patients with any of the following characteristics were eligible for study entry: pretreatment prostate-specific antigen level > or =10.0 ng/mL, Gleason score > or =7, or clinical Stage T2b-T3cN0M0. Pelvic external beam RT (46.0 Gy) was supplemented with three (1991-1995) or two (1995-1998) ultrasound-guided transperineal interstitial (192)Ir high-dose-rate implants. The brachytherapy dose was escalated from 5.50 to 10.50 Gy per implant. Post-RT prostate biopsies were performed per protocol at a median interval of 1.5 years after RT. All pre- and post-RT biopsy specimen slides from each case were reviewed by a single pathologist (N.S.G.). The presence and amount of residual cancer, most common RT-effect score, and least amount RT-effect score were analyzed. The median follow-up was 5.7 years. Biochemical failure was defined as three consecutive prostate-specific antigen rises.

RESULTS

Forty patients (51%) had residual cancer in the post-RT biopsies. The 7-year biochemical control rate was 79% for patients with negative biopsies vs. 62% for those with positive biopsies with marked RT damage vs. 33% for those with positive biopsies with no or minimal RT damage. A greater percentage of positive pre-RT biopsy cores (p = 0.01), lower total RT dose (p = 0.001), lower dose per implant (p = 0.001), and greater percentage of positive post-RT biopsy cores (p = 0.01) were each associated with biochemical failure (Cox regression, univariate analysis). For patients with <25% positive post-RT biopsy cores, the 7-year biochemical control rate was 81% vs. a 62% biochemical control rate for those with 25-49% positive cores and only 32% for those with > or =50% positive cores (p = 0.01). On Cox multiple regression analysis, only the percentage of positive pre-RT biopsy cores and RT dose remained significantly associated with biochemical failure. Of all the factors analyzed, only the pretreatment cancer volume and lower RT dose were significantly associated with residual cancer and/or residual cancer with no or minimal RT damage. A greater percentage of positive pre-RT biopsy cores was associated with both a positive post-RT biopsy (p = 0.08) and a greater percentage of positive post-RT biopsy cores (p = 0.04). A lower total RT dose was associated with both a positive post-RT biopsy (p = 0.08) and a greater percentage of positive post-RT biopsy cores (p = 0.02). For patients who received <80 Gy (equivalent in 2-Gy fractions), 73% had positive post-RT biopsies vs. a 56% biopsy positivity rate for those who received 84-90 Gy and only 39% for those who received > or =92 Gy (p = 0.07).

CONCLUSION

Patients with positive post-RT biopsies are more likely to experience biochemical failure, especially when the RT damage is minimal. Patients who have a larger pretreatment tumor volume or receive a lower RT dose are more likely to demonstrate post-RT biopsy positivity and biochemical failure.

Practical application of biochemical failure definitions: what to do and when to do it

PURPOSE

The posttreatment prostate-specific antigen (PSA) profile can often be difficult to interpret after external beam radiotherapy for prostate cancer. We performed an extensive analysis of post-radiotherapy PSA measurements to determine the clinical significance of biochemical failure (BF) and the correlation of BF with clinical failure (CF) and cause-specific death (CSD).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Between 1987 and 1997, 727 patients with clinical stage T1-T3 N0 M0 prostate cancer were treated with definitive external beam radiotherapy at William Beaumont Hospital and had at least five post-radiotherapy PSA levels and did not receive hormonal therapy for post-radiotherapy PSA elevations only (before evidence of CF). All patients received external beam radiotherapy alone (no adjuvant hormonal therapy) to a median total prostate dose of 66.6 Gy. More than 20 BF definitions were tested for their correlation with CF (any local failure or distant metastasis) and CSD. All BF definitions were tested for sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and positive and negative value of predicting subsequent CF and CSD. The median follow-up was 5.0 years.

RESULTS

Three consecutive PSA rises yielded a 73% sensitivity, 76% specificity, and 75% overall accuracy for predicting CF. The 10-year CF rate (from the completion of radiotherapy) for those 251 patients demonstrating three consecutive rises (BF) was 64% vs. 14% for those patients who did not have three rises (biochemically controlled). Defining BF as a post-nadir increase to >or=3 ng/ml above the nadir yielded the highest accuracy of 87%. In addition, this definition also seemed to provide the greatest separation in CF rates: 82% for BF vs. 5% for biochemically controlled at 10 years after radiotherapy. CF rates were also calculated from the date of BF (e.g., date of third rise). The CF rates at 6 months and 2 years after the third PSA rise were 9% and 27%, respectively. The CF rates at 6 months and 2 years after an increase to >or=3 ng/ml above the nadir were 23% and 54%, respectively. Once a patient was classified as a BF, regardless of the BF definition, the CF rate varied markedly, depending on the pretreatment characteristics. For each BF definition, younger age at diagnosis, higher pretreatment PSA, and higher Gleason score independently predicted for CF after BF on Cox multiple regression analysis. For instance, patients with a pretreatment PSA <4.0 ng/ml demonstrated an 11% CF rate at 2 years after the third PSA rise vs. 46% after three rises with a pretreatment PSA >or=20.0 ng/ml. Similarly, patients with Gleason 2-4 had a 2-year CF rate of only 3% after a nadir >or=1.0 ng/ml vs. 47% for Gleason 8-10 at 2 years after a nadir >or=1.0 ng/ml. Although the CF rate also coincided with pretreatment characteristics when using >or=3 ng/ml above the nadir, CF rates remained high even for low-risk patients (e.g., 2-year CF of 48% for PSA <10.0 ng/ml, 41% for Gleason 2-4). In addition, a shorter time interval from nadir to nadir + 1 ng/ml or from nadir to nadir + 3 ng/ml (corresponding to a steeper slope in the PSA profile) independently predicted for CF.

CONCLUSION

Once the post-radiotherapy PSA profile reaches >or=3 ng/ml above the nadir, there is a high risk of clinical failure within a relatively short time period, for which treatment intervention may be considered, regardless of pretreatment characteristics. After a nadir >or=1.0 ng/ml or three consecutive rises, some patients (especially with low-risk pretreatment characteristics) may be considered for further PSA observation before treatment intervention.

[Clinical and biological surveillance after radiotherapy for localized prostate cancer]

Serum PSA is an excellent marker of disease status after external beam radiotherapy or brachytherapy for patients with prostate carcinoma. A low PSA nadir < or = 1 even < or = 0.5 ng/mL has been shown to be as a surrogate end point for disease control. Three successive increases of this marker after achieving the nadir defines recurrence as recommended by the American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology. The biochemical relapse or PSA failure after treatment precedes clinical disease relapse by several months. PSA profile or kinetics may have implications for patterns of failure and prognosis. Prostate post-radiotherapy biopsies should not be part of routine follow-up as its interpretation is frequently problematic. Other exams should not be performed unless clinical symptoms are present. Post-radiotherapy relapse treatment has generally no curative intent.

Definitions of biochemical failure in prostate cancer following radiation therapy

PURPOSE

The American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology (ASTRO) published a consensus panel definition of biochemical failure following radiation therapy for prostate cancer. In this paper, we develop a series of alternative definitions of biochemical failure. Using data from 688 patients, we evaluated the sensitivity and specificity of the various definitions, with respect to a defined "clinically meaningful" outcome.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

The ASTRO definition of biochemical failure requires 3 consecutive rises in prostate-specific antigen (PSA). We considered several modifications to the standard definition: to require PSA rises of a certain magnitude, to consider 2 instead of 3 rises, to require the final PSA value to be greater than a fixed cutoff level, and to define biochemical failure based on the slope of PSA over 1, 1.5, or 2 years. A clinically meaningful failure is defined as local recurrence, distant metastases, initiation of unplanned hormonal therapy, unplanned radical prostatectomy, or a PSA > 25 later than 6 months after radiation.

RESULTS

Requiring the final PSA in a series of consecutive rises to be larger than 1.5 ng/mL increased the specificity of biochemical failure. For a fixed specificity, defining biochemical failure based on 2 consecutive rises, or the slope over the last year, could increase the sensitivity by up to approximately 20%, compared to the ASTRO definition. Using a rule based on the slope over the previous year or 2 rises leads to a slightly earlier detection of biochemical failure than does the ASTRO definition. Even with the best rule, only approximately 20% of true failures are biochemically detected more than 1 year before the clinically meaningful event time.

CONCLUSION

There is potential for improvement in the ASTRO consensus definition of biochemical failure. Further research is needed, in studies with long follow-up times, to evaluate the relationship between various definitions of biochemical failure and true clinical outcome.

Equivalent racial outcome after conformal radiotherapy for prostate cancer: a single departmental experience

PURPOSE

African-American (AA) men with prostate cancer present with advanced disease, relative to white (W) men. This report summarizes our clinical and biochemical control (bNED) rates after conformal radiotherapy (RT). In particular, we aim to characterize any race-based outcome differences seen after comparable treatment.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We reviewed 893 patients (418 AA and 475 W) with clinically localized prostate cancer treated between 1988 and 1997. Neoadjuvant hormonal blockade was used in 22.5% of cases, and all patients received conformal RT to a median dose of 68 Gy (range, 60 to 74.8 Gy). Biochemical failure was defined according to the American Society of Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology consensus definition. Median follow-up was 24 months (range, 1 to 114 months).

RESULTS

The 5-year actuarial survival, disease-free survival, and bNED rates for the entire population were 80.5%, 70.0%, and 57.6%, respectively. When classified by prognostic risk category, the 5-year actuarial bNED rates were 78.7% for favorable, 57.7% for intermediate, and 39.8% for unfavorable category patients. AA men presented at younger ages and with more advanced disease. Controlled for prognostic risk category, AA and W men had similar 5-year actuarial bNED rates in favorable (78% v 79%, P: = .91), intermediate (52% v 62%, P: =.44), and unfavorable categories (36% v 45%, P: = .09). Race was not an independent prognostic factor (P: = .36).

CONCLUSION

Conformal RT is equally effective for AA and W patients. More research is needed in order to understand and correct the advanced presentations in AA men. These data suggest a need for early screening in AA populations.

The definition of biochemical failure in patients treated with definitive radiotherapy

PURPOSE

The American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology (ASTRO) published a definition for biochemical failure following treatment of prostate cancer. Others have noted difficulties with interpreting this definition and recommended modifications to accommodate special recurrence patterns. We have compared various modifications to the original ASTRO definition on our series of 1213 patients treated with transperineal permanent prostate brachytherapy.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

The ASTRO modifications we considered adjusted for (1) early censoring of nonrecurrent patients with rising prostate-specific antigen levels (PSA), (2) cumulative rather than consecutive rises (without a decrease) as evidence of recurrence, (3) both of the above, and (4) waiting 2 years before data analysis. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to compute the effects on recurrence rate for patients treated with and without neoadjuvant hormones.

RESULTS

With the original ASTRO definition, freedom from recurrence in our series of men who did not receive neoadjuvant hormones was 83% at 4 years. All of the modifications considered had statistically insignificant effects on freedom from recurrence rates, varying from 80% to 83% at 4 years. Patients treated with neoadjuvant hormones also showed very little sensitivity to the recurrence definition employed.

CONCLUSION

Early censoring of equivocal patients and counting cumulative rather than consecutive rises in PSA (without a decrease) had little empiric effect on the ASTRO recurrence rates. However, we favor the addition of both these modifications to the ASTRO definition on conceptual grounds for evaluating patients following any modality (radiation or surgery), whereby a trend over multiple PSA values is used to judge failure.