Evaluation of the Houston biochemical relapse definition in men treated with prolonged neoadjuvant and adjuvant androgen ablation and assessment of follow-up lead-time bias

Individual dynamic predictions using landmarking and joint modelling: Validation of estimators and robustness assessment

After the diagnosis of a disease, one major objective is to predict cumulative probabilities of events such as clinical relapse or death from the individual information collected up to a prediction time, usually including biomarker repeated measurements. Several competing estimators have been proposed, mainly from two approaches: joint modelling and landmarking. These approaches differ by the information used, the model assumptions and the complexity of the computational procedures. This paper aims to review the two approaches, precisely define the derived estimators of dynamic predictions and compare their performances notably in case of misspecification. The ultimate goal is to provide key elements for the use of individual dynamic predictions in clinical practice. Prediction of two competing causes of prostate cancer progression from the history of prostate-specific antigen is used as a motivated example. We formally define the quantity to estimate and its estimators, propose techniques to assess the uncertainty around predictions and validate them. We then conduct an in-depth simulation study compare the estimators in terms of prediction error, discriminatory power, efficiency and robustness to model assumptions. We show that prediction tools should be handled with care, in particular by properly specifying models and estimators.

Surrogate endpoints in early prostate cancer research

Clinical research into clinically-localized prostate cancer (PC) is a highly challenging environment. The protracted durations and large numbers required to achieve survival endpoints have placed much pressure on validating early surrogate endpoints. Further confounding is the predominance of deaths from causes other than PC. The analysis of multiple randomized clinical trials in early PC has shown MFS to be a robust surrogate for OS, using a contemporary analytic framework that identify patient-level and trial-level associations. This could potentially save around one year of trial follow-up in some therapies. Identification of a similarly robust surrogate at a substantially earlier timepoint remains a major challenge. Multiple biochemical indices based on PSA have been proposed in the literature, but all remain to be validated at the trial-level. Operationally, many of these indices have inherent biases such as immortal-time bias (ITB) and interval censoring that potentially weakens associations and the individual- or trial-level. The complexity of a failure definition can also impact the reliability of the derived outcomes. Confounding issues such as the impact of comorbidities leading to non-cancer deaths have been largely dealt with by their exclusion using cancer-specific endpoints and advanced statistical methods, while issues such as PSA "bounce" and recovery from androgen deprivation therapy remain important to account for in cohorts treated with radiotherapy. Several potential surrogate endpoints based on serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels show promising associations with PC-specific and overall survival (OS) in individual studies. Further large collaborative projects will continue to refine potential indices with these issues in mind, and explore the objective of an early surrogate of OS.

Five-year quality of life assessment after carbon ion radiotherapy for prostate cancer

The aim of this study was to prospectively assess 5-year health-related quality of life (HRQOL) of patients treated with carbon ion radiotherapy (C-ion RT) for clinically localized prostate cancer. A total of 417 patients received carbon ion radiotherapy at a total dose of 63-66 Gray-equivalents (GyE) in 20 fractions over 5 weeks, and neoadjuvant and adjuvant androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) were administered for intermediate and high-risk patients. A HRQOL assessment was performed at five time points (immediately before the initiation of C-ion RT, immediately after, and at 12, 36 and 60 months after completion of C-ion RT) using Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy (FACT) questionnaires. FACT-G and FACT-P scores were significantly decreased; however, the absolute change after 60 months was minimal. The transient decreases in the Trial Outcome Index (TOI) score returned to their baseline levels. Use of ADT, presence of adverse events, and biochemical failure were related to lower scores. Scores of subdomains of FACT instruments indicated characteristic changes. The pattern of HRQOL change after C-ion RT was similar to that of other modalities. Further controlled studies focusing on a HRQOL in patients with prostate cancer are warranted.

Joint modelling of longitudinal and multi-state processes: application to clinical progressions in prostate cancer

Joint modelling of longitudinal and survival data is increasingly used in clinical trials on cancer. In prostate cancer for example, these models permit to account for the link between longitudinal measures of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) and time of clinical recurrence when studying the risk of relapse. In practice, multiple types of relapse may occur successively. Distinguishing these transitions between health states would allow to evaluate, for example, how PSA trajectory and classical covariates impact the risk of dying after a distant recurrence post-radiotherapy, or to predict the risk of one specific type of clinical recurrence post-radiotherapy, from the PSA history. In this context, we present a joint model for a longitudinal process and a multi-state process, which is divided into two sub-models: a linear mixed sub-model for longitudinal data and a multi-state sub-model with proportional hazards for transition times, both linked by a function of shared random effects. Parameters of this joint multi-state model are estimated within the maximum likelihood framework using an EM algorithm coupled with a quasi-Newton algorithm in case of slow convergence. It is implemented under R, by combining and extending mstate and JM packages. The estimation program is validated by simulations and applied on pooled data from two cohorts of men with localized prostate cancer. Thanks to the classical covariates available at baseline and the repeated PSA measurements, we are able to assess the biomarker's trajectory, define the risks of transitions between health states and quantify the impact of the PSA dynamics on each transition intensity. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Combining theoretical potential and advanced technology in high-dose rate brachytherapy boost therapy for prostate cancer

External beam radiation therapy (EBRT) combined with brachytherapy (BT) is an attractive treatment option for select patients with clinically localized prostate cancer. Either low- or high-dose rate BT may be combined with EBRT ('LDR-BT boost,' 'HDR-BT boost,' respectively). HDR-BT boost has potential theoretical benefits over LDR-BT boost or external beam radiation therapy monotherapy in terms of radiobiology, radiophysics and patient convenience. Based on prospective studies in this review, freedom from biochemical failure (FFBF) rates at 5 years for low-, intermediate- and high-risk patients have generally been 85-100%, 68-97%, 63-85%, respectively; late Radiotherapy and Oncology Group Grades 3 and 4 genitourinary and gastrointestinal toxicities are seen in <8% of patients. HDR-BT boost is now a relatively well-established treatment modality for certain intermediate-risk and high-risk prostate cancer patients, though limitations exist in drawing conclusions from the currently published studies.

The dilemma of a rising prostate-specific antigen level after local therapy: what are our options?

Prostate cancer is the most common solid tumor diagnosed in men in the United States and Western Europe. Primary treatment with radiation or surgery is largely successful at controlling localized disease. However, a significant number (up to one third of men) may develop biochemical recurrence (BR), defined as a rise in serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level. A general presumption is that BR will lead to overt progression in patients over subsequent years. There are a number of factors that a physician must consider when counseling and recommending treatment to a patient with a rising PSA. These include the following (1) various PSA-based definitions of BR; (2) source of PSA (ie, local or distant disease, residual benign prostate); (3) available modalities to treat the disease with the least morbidity; and (4) timing of therapy. In this article we review the current and future factors that clinicians should consider in the diagnosis and treatment of recurrent prostate cancer.

Reliability of prostate-specific antigen-marker in determining biochemical failure during the first 2 years after external beam radiation therapy and hormone therapy in patients with non-operated prostate cancer

OBJECTIVES

The presence of prostate-specific antigen (PSA)-bounce after external beam radiation therapy (EBRT) and hormone therapy (HT) makes PSA an unreliable marker in determining PSA biochemical failure (PSA-BF) during the first 2 years after EBRT + HT in patients with non-operated prostate cancer (CaP). To determine the reliability of PSA-BF in predicting clinical outcomes, the Kamat definition, which does not consider PSA-BF during the first 24 months after EBRT, was tested against three other more frequently used methods (American Society of Radiation Oncology, Vancouver, and American Society of Radiation Oncology-Phoenix), which do. Secondly, their relative accuracies in predicting the clinical outcomes were also calculated.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In January 2011, 193 consecutive CaPs, treated with radical EBRT + HT in our institution from 1999 to 2002, were retrospectively investigated. BF was calculated according to the Kamat definition against the other three above-mentioned methods. Each BF-free survival was analyzed in function of every clinical endpoint (clinical-failure-free survival, cause specific survival, and overall survival) using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. The accuracy of each definition in predicting clinical relapse was also calculated and compared.

RESULTS

Only the Kamat BF definition had both a significant Cox hazard ratio, regarding clinical events or cancer deaths, and the best accuracy values in predicting clinical outcomes. Retrospective study design was the major limitation of the study.

CONCLUSIONS

Only the Kamat definition, which does not consider PSA-BF during the first 24 months after EBRT + HT, was shown to be a reliable predictor of clinical events. Thus, our results suggest that solely PSA-based BF should not be considered as a reliable surrogate endpoint during the first 24 months after EBRT + HT. Consequently, caution should be used in adopting rescue treatment without further work-up on an individual basis.

Real-time individual predictions of prostate cancer recurrence using joint models

Patients who were previously treated for prostate cancer with radiation therapy are monitored at regular intervals using a laboratory test called Prostate Specific Antigen (PSA). If the value of the PSA test starts to rise, this is an indication that the prostate cancer is more likely to recur, and the patient may wish to initiate new treatments. Such patients could be helped in making medical decisions by an accurate estimate of the probability of recurrence of the cancer in the next few years. In this article, we describe the methodology for giving the probability of recurrence for a new patient, as implemented on a web-based calculator. The methods use a joint longitudinal survival model. The model is developed on a training dataset of 2386 patients and tested on a dataset of 846 patients. Bayesian estimation methods are used with one Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm developed for estimation of the parameters from the training dataset and a second quick MCMC developed for prediction of the risk of recurrence that uses the longitudinal PSA measures from a new patient.

Clinical outcome of patients treated with 3D conformal radiation therapy (3D-CRT) for prostate cancer on RTOG 9406

PURPOSE

Report of clinical cancer control outcomes on Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG) 9406, a three-dimensional conformal radiation therapy (3D-CRT) dose escalation trial for localized adenocarcinoma of the prostate.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

RTOG 9406 is a Phase I/II multi-institutional dose escalation study of 3D-CRT for men with localized prostate cancer. Patients were registered on five sequential dose levels: 68.4 Gy, 73.8 Gy, 79.2 Gy, 74 Gy, and 78 Gy with 1.8 Gy/day (levels I-III) or 2.0 Gy/day (levels IV and V). Neoadjuvant hormone therapy (NHT) from 2 to 6 months was allowed. Protocol-specific, American Society for Therapeutic Radiation Oncology (ASTRO), and Phoenix biochemical failure definitions are reported.

RESULTS

Thirty-four institutions enrolled 1,084 patients and 1,051 patients are analyzable. Median follow-up for levels I, II, III, IV, and V was 11.7, 10.4, 11.8, 10.4, and 9.2 years, respectively. Thirty-six percent of patients received NHT. The 5-year overall survival was 90%, 87%, 88%, 89%, and 88% for dose levels I-V, respectively. The 5-year clinical disease-free survival (excluding protocol prostate-specific antigen definition) for levels I-V is 84%, 78%, 81%, 82%, and 82%, respectively. By ASTRO definition, the 5-year disease-free survivals were 57%, 59%, 52%, 64% and 75% (low risk); 46%, 52%, 54%, 56%, and 63% (intermediate risk); and 50%, 34%, 46%, 34%, and 61% (high risk) for levels I-V, respectively. By the Phoenix definition, the 5-year disease-free survivals were 68%, 73%, 67%, 84%, and 80% (low risk); 70%, 62%, 70%, 74%, and 69% (intermediate risk); and 42%, 62%, 68%, 54%, and 67% (high risk) for levels I-V, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Dose-escalated 3D-CRT yields favorable outcomes for localized prostate cancer. This multi-institutional experience allows comparison to other experiences with modern radiation therapy.

Dose-escalated hypofractionated intensity-modulated radiotherapy in high-risk carcinoma of the prostate: outcome and late toxicity

Background. The benefit of dose-escalated hypofractionated radiotherapy using intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) in prostate cancer is not established. We report 5-year outcome and long-term toxicity data within a phase II clinical trial. Materials and Methods. 60 men with predominantly high-risk prostate cancer were treated. All patients received neoadjuvant hormone therapy, completing up to 6 months in total. Thirty patients were treated with 57 Gy in 19 fractions and 30 patients with 60 Gy in 20 fractions. Acute and 2-year toxicities were reported and patients followed longitudinally to assess 5 year outcomes and long-term toxicity. Toxicity was measured using RTOG criteria and LENT/SOMA questionnaire. Results. Median followup was 84 months. Five-year overall survival (OS) was 83% and biochemical progression-free survival (bPFS) was 50% for 57 Gy. Five-year OS was 75% and bPFS 58% for 60 Gy. At 7 years, toxicity by RTOG criteria was acceptable with no grade 3 or above toxicity. Compared with baseline, there was no significant change in urinary symptoms at 2 or 7 years. Bowel symptoms were stable between 2 and 7 years. All patients continued to have significant sexual dysfunction. Conclusion. In high-risk prostate cancer, dose-escalated hypofractionated radiotherapy using IMRT results in encouraging outcomes and acceptable late toxicity.

Early salvage hormonal therapy for biochemical failure improved survival in prostate cancer patients after neoadjuvant hormonal therapy plus radiation therapy--a secondary analysis of irish clinical oncology research group 97-01

PURPOSE

To assess the survival benefit of early vs late salvage hormonal therapy (HT), we performed a secondary analysis on patients who developed recurrence from Irish Clinical Oncology Research Group 97-01, a randomized trial comparing 4 vs 8 months neoadjuvant HT plus radiation therapy (RT) in intermediate- and high-risk prostate adenocarcinoma.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

A total of 102 patients from the trial who recurred were analyzed at a median follow-up of 8.5 years. The patients were divided into 3 groups based on the timing of salvage HT: 57 patients had prostate-specific antigen (PSA)≤10 ng/mL and absent distant metastases (group 1, early), 21 patients had PSA>10 ng/mL and absent distant metastases (group 2, late), and 24 patients had distant metastases (group 3, late). The endpoint analyzed was overall survival (OS) calculated from 2 different time points: date of enrolment in the trial (OS1) and date of initiation of salvage HT (OS2). Survival was estimated using Kaplan-Meier curves and a Cox regression model.

RESULTS

The OS1 differed significantly between groups (P<.0005): OS1 at 10 years was 78% in group 1, 42% in group 2, and 29% in group 3. The OS2 also differed significantly between groups (P<.0005): OS2 at 6 years was 70% in group 1, 47% in group 2, and 22% in group 3. Group 1 had the longest median time from end of RT to biochemical failure compared with groups 2 and 3 (3.3, 0.9, and 1.7 years, respectively; P<.0005). Group 1 also had the longest median PSA doubling time compared with groups 2 and 3 (9.9, 3.6, and 2.4 months, respectively; P<.0005). On multivariate analysis, timing of salvage HT, time from end of RT to biochemical failure, and PSA nadir on salvage HT were significant predictors of survival.

CONCLUSION

Early salvage HT based on PSA≤10 ng/mL and absent distant metastases improved survival in patients with prostate cancer after failure of initial treatment with neoadjuvant HT plus RT.

Biochemical control of prostate cancer with iodine-125 brachytherapy alone: experience from a single institution

AIM

Brachytherapy is an adequate option as monotherapy for localised prostate cancer. The objective of this study was to evaluate and compare biochemical failure free survival (BFFS) after low-dose-rate brachytherapy (LDRB) alone for patients with prostate cancer using ASTRO and Phoenix criteria, and detect prognostic factors.

METHODS

Data on 220 patients treated between 1998 and 2002 with LDRB were retrospectively analysed. Neoadjuvant hormone therapy was used in 74 (33.6%) patients.

RESULTS

Median follow-up was 53.5 months (24-116). Five year BFFS was 83.0% and 83.7% using, respectively, the ASTRO and Phoenix criteria. Low -and intermediate- risk patients presented, respectively, 86.7% and 77.8% 5-year BFFS using the ASTRO definition (p=0.069), and 88.5% and 78.6% considering the Phoenix criteria (p=0.016). Bounce was observed in 66 (30%) patients. Multivariate analysis detected PSA at diagnosis <10 ng/ml and less than 50% positive biopsy fragments as favourable prognostic factors, regarding BF using both criteria. For the Phoenix criteria, also Gleason score <7 and low-risk group were identified as independent favourable prognostic factors.

CONCLUSIONS

LDRB alone should be considered mostly for low-risk patients. PSA level was a strong independent prognostic factor. We support the use of the Phoenix criteria for detection of BF in patients submitted to LDRB alone.

Joint latent class models for longitudinal and time-to-event data: a review

Most statistical developments in the joint modelling area have focused on the shared random-effect models that include characteristics of the longitudinal marker as predictors in the model for the time-to-event. A less well-known approach is the joint latent class model which consists in assuming that a latent class structure entirely captures the correlation between the longitudinal marker trajectory and the risk of the event. Owing to its flexibility in modelling the dependency between the longitudinal marker and the event time, as well as its ability to include covariates, the joint latent class model may be particularly suited for prediction problems. This article aims at giving an overview of joint latent class modelling, especially in the prediction context. The authors introduce the model, discuss estimation and goodness-of-fit, and compare it with the shared random-effect model. Then, dynamic predictive tools derived from joint latent class models, as well as measures to evaluate their dynamic predictive accuracy, are presented. A detailed illustration of the methods is given in the context of the prediction of prostate cancer recurrence after radiation therapy based on repeated measures of Prostate Specific Antigen.

Validating the interval to biochemical failure for the identification of potentially lethal prostate cancer

PURPOSE

To validate the interval to biochemical failure (IBF) as a prognostic factor at the time of biochemical failure for prostate cancer mortality (PCM) following radiotherapy (RT).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

From a collaborative data set of men with clinically localized prostate cancer treated with RT from four institutions in three countries, we identified 1,722 men with biochemical failure (BF; prostate-specific antigen nadir + 2 ng/mL). The IBF was defined as the time interval from completion of treatment to the date of BF. The primary outcome measure was discriminatory power in the form of the concordance index (c-index).

RESULTS

Seventeen percent of men had an IBF ≤ 18 months. Median potential follow-up beyond the time of BF was 67 months. There were 290 deaths from prostate cancer. The IBF was the most discriminating individual prognostic factor overall, with a sensitivity of IBF ≤ 18 months to predict PCM within 10 years of 48.4% (95% CI, 43.3% to 54.1%); the specificity was 86.1% (95% CI, 84.5% to 87.7%), equating to a c-index of 0.611 (95% CI, 0.578 to 0.647). The 5-year cumulative incidence of PCM for IBF more than 18 months versus IBF ≤ 18 months was 9.4% (95% CI, 7.7% to 11.5%) versus 26.3% (95% CI, 21.2% to 31.8%); corresponding 10-year estimates were 26.2% (95% CI, 21.5% to 30.8%) versus 55.9% (95% CI, 48.9% to 63.0%), respectively (P < .001 for both). IBF exhibited minimal change in performance across various follow-up durations.

CONCLUSION

IBF is the single most robust prognostic factor for PCM following RT without androgen deprivation therapy. This external validation demonstrates that patients and clinicians can use this information to make decisions about subsequent treatments.

PSA Doubling Time Predicts for the Development of Distant Metastases for Patients Who Fail 3DCRT Or IMRT Using the Phoenix Definition

PURPOSE: PSA doubling time (PSADT) is commonly used as an indication for salvage androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) for PSA failure following RT. Previously, we had shown that PSADT of <12 months is an important predictor of distant metastasis following 3DCRT using the ASTRO definition of BF. We sought to determine if this approach is still valid using the Phoenix definition. METHODS: Eligible patients included 432 men with T1-3N0M0 prostate cancer who demonstrated PSA failure after completing definitive 3DCRT or IMRT from 1989-2005. Endpoints included freedom from distant metastasis (FDM), cause-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS). PSADT was stratified by 0-6, 6-12, 12-18, 18-24, and >24 months. The median follow-up was 95 months (6-207 months). RESULTS: The 7 year FDM, CSS, and OS rates for the entire group were 73%, 77% and 52%, respectively. 7 year FDM was 50% for PSADT <6 months vs. 83% for PSADT >6 months (p=0.0001). 7 year CSS was 61% for PSADT <6 and 85% for PSADT >6 (p=0.0001). 7 year OS was 47% for PSADT <6 and 53% for PSADT >6 (p=0.04). The proportion of men with BF receiving salvage ADT with a PSADT <6 months was 59%, 6-12 was 45%, 12-18 was 42%, 18-24 was 36%, >24 was 28%. ADT was associated with improved 7 year CSS (68% vs. 46%, p=0.015). Of the 314 men with PSADT >6 months, 124 received ADT and 190 were observed. With a median follow-up of 38 months from BF, there was no demonstrable benefit to ADT in the 7 year CSS (87% vs. 79%, respectively; p=0.758). Independent predictors of FDM were PSADT (p<0.0001), GS (p=0.011), and the use of initial ADT (p=0.005). CONCLUSION: PSADT remains a significant predictor of clinical failure and CSS for men treated with 3DCRT or IMRT who fail according to the Phoenix definition. Immediate use of ADT in patients with PSADT <6 months is significantly associated with improved CSS, although the benefit is less apparent in patients with longer PSADT. These results further refine the role of PSADT in predicting which patients may benefit from salvage ADT and those who may be observed expectantly.

The pattern of prostate cancer local recurrence after radiation and salvage cryoablation

OBJECTIVE

We assessed the pattern of local recurrence after salvage cryoablation of the prostate, and the impact of local recurrence on intermediate-term outcome.

METHODS

One hundred twenty-two patients who underwent salvage cryoablation were studied after a mean follow-up of 56 months. Serial prostate biopsy was carried out after cryoablation. The histopathology of prostate biopsies before and after cryoablation were compared. The prognostic value of post-cryoablation biopsy was assessed with the Cox regression method.

RESULTS

23.1% of patients had a positive biopsy for prostate cancer following salvage cryoablation. Most cancer recurrences occurred in the apex (51.5%), base (21.2%) and seminal vesicles (18.2%). The presence of cancer at the base of the prostate was found to be a prognostic factor for eventual biochemical failure. Overall 5-year biochemical disease-free survival (bDFS) was 28%, however patients with cancer at the base of the prostate had a 5-year bDFS of 0%.

CONCLUSION

Cancer recurrences occurred in areas where aggressive freezing was avoided as it might result in serious problems (e.g., urethro-rectal fistula and incontinence). Post-cryoablation biopsies and the location of persistent disease are of prognostic value.

A randomized trial (Irish clinical oncology research group 97-01) comparing short versus protracted neoadjuvant hormonal therapy before radiotherapy for localized prostate cancer

PURPOSE

To examine the long-term outcomes of a randomized trial comparing short (4 months; Arm 1) and long (8 months; Arm 2) neoadjuvant hormonal therapy before radiotherapy for localized prostate cancer.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Between 1997 and 2001, 276 patients were enrolled and the data from 261 were analyzed. The stratification risk factors were prostate-specific antigen level >20 ng/mL, Gleason score≥7, and Stage T3 or more. The intermediate-risk stratum had one factor and the high-risk stratum had two or more. Staging was done from the bone scan and computed tomography findings. The primary endpoint was biochemical failure-free survival.

RESULTS

The median follow-up was 102 months. The overall survival, biochemical failure-free survival. and prostate cancer-specific survival did not differ significantly between the two treatment arms, overall or at 5 years. The cumulative probability of overall survival at 5 years was 90% (range, 87-92%) in Arm 1 and 83% (range, 80-86%) in Arm 2. The biochemical failure-free survival rate at 5 years was 66% (range, 62-71%) in Arm 1 and 63% (range, 58-67%) in Arm 2.

CONCLUSION

No statistically significant difference was found in biochemical failure-free survival between 4 months and 8 months of neoadjuvant hormonal therapy before radiotherapy for localized prostate cancer.

Predictors of androgen deprivation therapy efficacy combined with prostatic irradiation: the central role of tumor stage and radiation dose

PURPOSE

To evaluate the response of clinically localized prostate cancer to various durations of planned androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) and to investigate subgroups predicting response.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Data of 3,666 prostate cancer patients treated with either combined ADT and external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) or EBRT alone at four institutions were examined. ADT consisted of neoadjuvant, concurrent, or adjuvant ADT or combinations of these regimens. The primary endpoint was time to biochemical failure (nadir plus 2 ng/ml), assessed from the end of therapy. Factors predictive for the need for ADT were examined with interaction analyses.

RESULTS

The impact of increasing ADT duration was nonlinear with, on average, 6 months of adjuvant ADT resulting in a reduction of the risk of biochemical failure by 38% (95% confidence interval [CI], 29%-46%), while 12, 24, and 36 months of ADT resulted in a 58% (95% CI, 47%-67%), 66% (95% CI, 55%-75%), and 66% (95% CI, 51%-77%) relative failure reduction, respectively. Patients with higher T stage cancers and those treated with lower radiation doses had a significantly greater benefit for increasing ADT duration (interaction, p=0.016 and p=0.007, respectively). Pretreatment prostate-specific antigen values, Gleason score, age, and risk group did not modify the response to ADT.

CONCLUSIONS

The known ADT efficacy derived from randomized studies can be generalized to patients with different features, and individual predictions of potential benefit from ADT use and duration may be calculated to aid patient and physician decision making. Tumor stage and radiation dose variations were related to significantly different ADT duration effects. The validity of these predictive factors requires prospective evaluation.

Confirmation of a low α/β ratio for prostate cancer treated by external beam radiation therapy alone using a post-treatment repeated-measures model for PSA dynamics

PURPOSE

To estimate the α/β ratio of prostate cancer treated with external beam radiation only by use of a model of long-term prostate-specific antigen (PSA) dynamics.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Repeated measures of PSA from 5,093 patients from 6 institutions treated for localized prostate cancer by external beam radiation therapy (EBRT) without planned androgen deprivation were analyzed. A biphasic linear mixed model described the post-treatment evolution of PSA, rather than a conventional model of time to biochemical recurrence. The model was adjusted for standard prognostic factors (T stage, initial PSA level, and Gleason score) and cohort-specific effects. The radiation dose fractionation effect was estimated from the long-term rate of rise of PSA level.

RESULTS

Adjusted for other factors, total dose of EBRT and sum of squared doses per fraction were associated with long-term rate of change of PSA level (p = 0.0017 and p = 0.0003, respectively), an increase of each being associated with a lower rate of rise. The α/β ratio was estimated at 1.55 Gy (95% confidence band, 0.46-4.52 Gy). This estimate was robust to adjustment of the linear mixed model.

CONCLUSIONS

By analysis of a large EBRT-only cohort along with a method that uses all the repeated measures of PSA after the end of treatment, a low and precise α/β was estimated. These data support the use of hypofractionation at fractional doses up to 2.8 Gy but cannot presently be assumed to accurately represent higher doses per fraction.

High-intensity focused ultrasound: where are we and where to from here?

High-intensity focused ultrasound (HIFU) has evolved significantly from early work treating cerebral lesions. The ability to treat deep soft-tissue lesions without damaging superficial structures led to it being used for prostate cancer treatment both in the primary and salvage setting. Primary HIFU treatment for prostate cancer leads to 5-year disease free survival rates of up to 70-80% in selected patients with little morbidity; however, comparative studies with established treatment modalities are lacking. Salvage treatment with HIFU leads to significantly more morbidity than primary treatment yet the morbidity appears the same or less than other salvage treatments following external-beam radiation treatment. We believe that with the development of more advanced imaging techniques combined with multimodality prostate imaging that HIFU's future lies in focal treatment of prostate cancer.

Why are pretreatment prostate-specific antigen levels and biochemical recurrence poor predictors of prostate cancer survival?

BACKGROUND

The value of pretreatment (initial) prostate-specific antigen (iPSA) and biochemical recurrence (BR) as prognostic factors for survival remains unclear. The authors sought to determine why using randomized trial data with 7-year minimum follow-up.

METHODS

In the Trans-Tasman Radiation Oncology Group 96.01 trial, 802 men with T2b, T2c, T3, or T4 N0 prostate cancer (PC) were randomized to radiotherapy alone or with 3 or 6 months neoadjuvant androgen deprivation between 1996 and 2000. Cox modeling was used to identify outcome predictors at follow-up landmark points.

RESULTS

Higher iPSA was found to be a potent predictor of BR-free survival (P < .01) but was not prognostic for prostate cancer-specific survival (PCSS) from randomization. Patients experiencing BR had unfavorable initial prognostic factors compared with patients who did not. After BR, these factors were not prognostic for PC death in models adjusted for time to BR (TTBR). In these models, TTBR predicted PCSS more satisfactorily than the occurrence of BR itself. Survival probability 5 years after BR exceeded 90% for men with TTBR >/=4 years; however, it dropped to 44% +/- 6% for men with TTBR <1 year. After BR, rapid PSA doubling time (DT), low iPSA, and short TTBR were identified as the most important predictors of inferior PCSS.

CONCLUSIONS

When BR occurs, prognostic factors for survival change. Low iPSA, short TTBR, and rapid PSA DT take over at this point, providing reasons why iPSA and occurrence of BR alone predict PCSS unsatisfactorily.

Trends in the use of androgen deprivation in prostate cancer

The aim of this study was to assess current management of prostate cancer patients with elevated prostate-specific antigen (PSA) among Finnish urologists and oncologists. Four case scenarios were presented: postprostatectomy PSA relapse, postradiotherapy (RT) relapse with a slowly or rapidly rising PSA, elderly patients prior to treatment. Management preferences and the use of androgen deprivation (AD) in prostate cancer were surveyed. Eighty-two informative replies, 60 from 90 practicing urologists (67%) and 22 from 70 practicing oncologists (31%) were received. For postprostatectomy relapse, salvage RT or follow-up until significant rise of PSA were the favored recommendations. For post RT with slowly or rapidly rising PSA and treatment of non-radical cases an active approach with even small PSA rises and immediate androgen deprivation were favored. For intervention, the recommended PSA border values ranged from 0.5 to > 100 ng/mL. More research is needed focusing on criteria and timing of AD in the treatment of prostate cancer.

Disseminated tumor cells in bone marrow following definitive radiotherapy for intermediate or high-risk prostate cancer

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to explore the prevalence of disseminated tumor cells (DTCs) in bone marrow (BM) of clinically progression-free prostate cancer (PC) patients at least 2 years after curatively intended radiotherapy (RT) with or without adjuvant hormone treatment.

METHODS

All patients were T(1-3)N(0)M(0) with intermediate or high risk of progression. Median time from RT to BM sampling was 5 years (2-8). A standardized immunocytochemical method applying the anticytokeratin antibodies AE1/AE3 was used for DTCs detection in 130 patients. Morphological characterization of immunostained cells was performed to exclude false positive cells. The post-treatment BM was explored in relation to pre-treatment risk factors, treatment strategy and serum levels of Testosterone and PSA at the time of BM sampling. Longitudinal changes in BM status were studied in a sub-group of 109 patients who also had donated BM prior to treatment.

RESULTS

Post-treatment BM-aspirates were positive for DTCs in 17% of cases without correlation to any of the tested variables. Out of 14 patients who had DTCs in BM prior to treatment, all but one had become post-treatment negative. Out of 95 patients with pre-treatment negative BM status, 18 (19%) had become post-treatment positive.

CONCLUSIONS

DTCs in BM were found in 17% of clinically progression-free PC patients following RT. The detection of these cells may provide PSA-independent prognostic information remaining to be explored by prolonged follow-up.

[Prostate specific antigen: utilization modalities and interpretation]

The prostate specific antigen test has become one of the most popular blood test. However, its result should be analyzed with caution due to physiologic variability. The PSA test is performed for prostate cancer (PC) screening or for post-treatment PC surveillance. According to the applied treatment (surgery or radiation therapy with or without hormonal therapy), PSA analysis can confirm biochemical control or relapse. New PSA data regarding the evolution of this biomarker during the surveillance (PSA doubling time and PSA velocity) are now important to consider in case of biochemical relapse.

Asians with localized prostate cancer treated with 3-dimensional conformal radiation therapy and adjuvant hormonal therapy: comparing Phoenix and American Society of Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology (ASTRO) definitions in an Asian population

OBJECTIVES

Conformal radiotherapy with adjuvant androgen suppression is used in our center to treat localized prostate cancer. We compare Phoenix as an alternative to American Society of Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology (ASTRO) for defining biochemical failure. Our primary aim was to assess the Phoenix and ASTRO definitions of biochemical failure in a population of mainly Asian men with early localized prostate cancer treated with conformal radiotherapy with and without androgen ablation.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 141 patients who were treated for T1/T2 cancer of the prostate in our center from January 1997 to June 2002 with a mean duration of follow-up of 62 months. Outcomes were analyzed by using both Phoenix and ASTRO definitions of biochemical failure as well as clinical failure.

RESULTS

The Phoenix definition of biochemical failure was superior as measured by sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, accuracy, and a greater concordance with clinical outcome as measured by Kappa analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

The ASTRO definition helped to standardize reporting of biochemical failures post-radiotherapy but inadequacies have been identified especially when adjuvant hormone therapy has been given. The Phoenix definition has been noted to be a more accurate and precise description of biochemical failure in international series, and we find this to be true in our Asian population as well.

Intrinsic markers of tumour hypoxia and angiogenesis in localised prostate cancer and outcome of radical treatment: a retrospective analysis of two randomised radiotherapy trials and one surgical cohort study

BACKGROUND

Expression of intrinsic markers of tumour hypoxia and angiogenesis are important predictors of radiotherapeutic, and possibly surgical, outcome in several cancers. Extent of tumour hypoxia in localised prostate cancer is comparable to that in other cancers, but few data exist on the association of extent of tumour hypoxia with treatment outcome. We aimed to study the predictive value of intrinsic markers of tumour hypoxia and angiogenesis in localised prostate cancer, both in patients treated with radiotherapy and in those treated surgically.

METHODS

We applied a new, needle biopsy tissue microarray (TMA) technique to study diagnostic samples from men with localised, previously untreated prostate cancer treated in two randomised controlled trials of radiotherapy-dose escalation. Multivariate analysis by Cox proportional hazards was done to assess the association between clinical outcome, in terms of biochemical control, and immunohistochemical staining of hypoxia inducible factor-1 alpha (HIF-1 alpha), vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), and osteopontin expression. The analysis was repeated on an independent series of men with localised, previously untreated prostate cancer treated by radical prostatectomy. The main outcome was time to biochemical (ie, prostate-specific antigen [PSA]) failure.

FINDINGS

Between Oct 12, 1995, and Feb 5, 2002, 308 patients were identified from two prospective, randomised trials at the Royal Marsden Hospital, London and Sutton, UK, for the radiotherapy cohort and diagnostic biopsies were available for 201 of these patients. Between June 6, 1995, and Nov 4, 2005, 329 patients were identified from the Aarhus University Hospital, Skejby, Denmark, for the prostatectomy cohort; of these, 40 patients were excluded because the tumour was too small to sample (19 patients), because the paraffin block was too thin (19 patients), or because the blocks were missing (two patients), leaving 289 patients for analysis. For patients treated with radiotherapy, increased staining for VEGF (p=0.008) and HIF-1 alpha (p=0.02) expression, but not increased osteopontin expression (p=0.978), were significant predictors of a shorter time to biochemical failure on multivariate analysis, independent of clinical tumour stage, Gleason score, serum PSA concentration, and dose of radiotherapy. For patients treated with surgery, increased staining for VEGF (p<0.0001) and HIF-1 alpha (p<0.0001) expression, and increased osteopontin expression (p=0.0005) were each significantly associated with a shorter time to biochemical failure on multivariate analysis, independent of pathological tumour stage, Gleason score, serum PSA concentration, and margin status.

INTERPRETATION

To our knowledge, this is the largest study of intrinsic markers of hypoxia and angiogenesis in relation to the outcome of radical treatment of localised prostate cancer. Increased expression of VEGF, HIF-1 alpha, and, for patients treated with surgery, osteopontin, identifies patients at high risk of biochemical failure who would be suitable for enrolment into trials of treatment intensification.

Radiothérapie robotisée des cancers de prostate par CyberKnife™

After 3D conformal radiation therapy without and with modulated intensity, image-guided radiation therapy represents a new technological step. Should prostate cancer treatment using radiotherapy with the CyberKnife robotic system be considered as a new treatment and then investigated through classical clinical research procedure rather than a technical improvement of an already validated treatment? After a general presentation of the CyberKnife , the authors focused on prostate cancer treatment assuming that, according to dosimetric and biological considerations, the treatment by robotic system appears comparable to high dose rate brachytherapy. For prostate cancer treatment are discussed: biological rational for hypofractionated treatment, high dose rate brachytherapy boost and interest of dose escalation. A comparison is presented between CyberKnife and other validated treatment for prostate cancer (radical prostatectomy, 3D conformal radiation therapy and low and high dose rate brachytherapy). In summary, CyberKnife treatment could be considered as a technical improvement of an already validated treatment in order to deliver a prostate boost after pelvic or peri-prostatic area irradiation. However, the clinical, biological and economical results must be precisely analyzed and could be assessed in the frame of a National Observatory based on shared therapeutic program.

Salvage Cryoablation of the Prostate: Followup and Analysis of Predictive Factors for Outcome

PURPOSE

We assessed the efficacy of cryoablation of the prostate with an emphasis on finding predictive factors that lead to improved outcome.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 187 patients with locally recurrent prostate cancer after radiotherapy underwent salvage cryoablation of the prostate, and were studied after a mean followup of 39 months. Survival analysis was performed with the Kaplan-Meier method. Several variables were tested for predictive value using the Cox regression model including serum prostate specific antigen before radiotherapy, serum prostate specific antigen at cryoablation, clinical stage before radiotherapy, Gleason score before radiotherapy, Gleason score at cryoablation, number of positive biopsy cores and use of neoadjuvant hormonal therapy before cryoablation.

RESULTS

Serum prostate specific antigen at cryoablation was a predictive factor for biochemical recurrence on univariate and multivariate analysis (p <0.001). Patients with pre-cryoablation prostate specific antigen less than 4 ng/ml had a 5 and 8-year biochemical recurrence-free survival of 56% and 37%, respectively. In contrast, patients with pre-cryoablation prostate specific antigen 10 ng/ml or greater had a 5 and 8-year biochemical recurrence-free survival of only 1% and 7%, respectively. Patients with pre-cryoablation prostate specific antigen from 4 to 9.99 ng/ml had intermediate survival outcomes. Of the patients 32% were started on hormonal therapy for disease progression at a mean of 31 months postoperatively. Overall 5 and 8-year survival was 97% and 92%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Salvage cryoablation is a viable treatment option for patients with prostate cancer in whom radiation therapy has failed. Salvage cryoablation should be performed when serum prostate specific antigen is still relatively low because in these patients the procedure may potentially be curative. Even when cryoablation fails to eradicate the disease in some patients, it allows hormonal therapy to be deferred for a significant period of time in that cohort.

Obesity as a predictor of biochemical recurrence and survival after radiation therapy for prostate cancer

OBJECTIVE

Obesity has been demonstrated to predict biochemical progression in men undergoing radical prostatectomy for prostate adenocarcinoma, and is associated with a higher risk of biochemical and clinical relapse after radiation therapy (RT). We evaluated if obesity, determined by body mass index (BMI), is associated with adverse disease characteristics, pre-treatment serum testosterone, biochemical disease free survival (bDFS), disease-specific survival (DSS), or overall survival (OS) in patients undergoing radical external beam radiation therapy for prostate cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A cohort of 706 patients with localized prostate adenocarcinoma treated with RT between 1993 and 2001 were categorized as obese (BMI > or = 30 kg/m(2)), overweight (BMI 25-29.9 kg/m(2)) or normal (BMI < 25 kg/m(2)). The association between BMI, disease characteristics, and progression were evaluated by Chi-square and ANOVA tests, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, and Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

195 patients (27.6%) were normal weight, 358 (50.7%) were overweight and 153 (21.7%) were obese. Obese men had lower serum testosterone levels than overweight and normal-weight men (means 12.8, 14.1, and 15.7 nmol/L, respectively; p < 0.001). The BMI groups did not differ in Gleason score, pretreatment PSA, or stage. On multivariate analysis, BMI group was predictive of reduced bDFS (p = 0.02) and DSS (p = 0.008), with a trend toward reduced OS (p = 0.062).

CONCLUSION

Obesity was associated with lower serum testosterone levels but not with adverse pretreatment pathological features. Obese men have a higher risk of biochemical recurrence and prostate-cancer specific death after RT.

A second transient prostate-specific antigen elevation after external-beam radiation therapy and fractionated magnetic resonance imaging-guided high-dose rate brachytherapy boost

A 63-year-old man with a T1c adenocarcinoma of the prostate, Gleason score of 7 (4+3), and a pretreatment prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level of 9.5 ng/mL was treated with external-beam radiation therapy (45 Gy) and 2 magnetic resonance imaging-guided high-dose rate brachytherapy boosts (10 Gy each.) The patient also received neoadjuvant, concurrent, and adjuvant hormonal treatment with leuprolide for 7 months total. Without any further intervention the patient had 2 separate and prolonged PSA increases and decreases 12-35 months after therapy. His PSA nadir was <0.2 ng/mL and rose slowly over several months to 4.2 ng/mL, resolved, and then rose 2.3 ng/mL before again slowly resolving. After prostate irradiation, many patients experience a transient rise in serum PSA levels and a subsequent decline without any treatment. This is known as a PSA "bounce" or "bump." Some patients experience a second transient rise in PSA levels after irradiation. To our knowledge, this case report is the first documentation of a second PSA bump in a patient treated with external-beam radiation therapy and high-dose rate boost therapy and provides context to address concerns and therapeutic decisions confronting physicians and patients.

Timing of biochemical failure and distant metastatic disease for low-, intermediate-, and high-risk prostate cancer after radiotherapy

BACKGROUND

The relation of prostate cancer risk-group stratification and the timing of biochemical failure (BF) and distant metastasis (DM) is not well defined. The authors hypothesized that early failures due to subclinical micrometastasis at presentation could be differentiated from late failures due to local persistence.

METHODS

A total of 1833 men with clinically localized prostate cancer treated with 3D-conformal radiotherapy with or without short-term androgen deprivation were retrospectively analyzed. By using American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology (ASTRO) and Phoenix (Nadir+2) definitions (developed at the ASTRO-RTOG [Radiation Therapy Oncology Group] consensus meeting, Phoenix, Arizona, January 21, 2005), the interval hazard rates of BF and DM were determined for men with low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk disease.

RESULTS

Median follow-up was 67 months. Multivariate analysis showed that increasing risk group was independently associated with higher ASTRO BF (P < .0001) and Nadir+2 BF (P < .0001). The preponderance (87%) of ASTRO BF occurred 4 years. The hazard of Nadir+2 BF persisted in Years 8-12 in all risk groups. The interval hazard function for DM appeared to be biphasic (early peak followed by a drop and late increase) for intermediate-risk and high-risk patients, but no distinct early wave was evident for low-risk patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Because of backdating, ASTRO BF underestimates late BF. Local persistence of disease is suggested by delayed Nadir+2 BF and subsequent late DM in every risk group. The paucity of early DM among those with low-risk tumors supports the hypothesis that occult micrometastases contributed to the early wave.

Pretreatment PSA Velocity as a Predictor of Disease Outcome Following Radical Radiation Therapy

PURPOSE

Pretreatment prostate-specific antigen velocity (PSAV) greater than 2.0 ng/mL/year has been identified as a predictor of disease-specific survival (DSS) and overall survival (OS) after radiotherapy for prostate adenocarcinoma. This study aimed to independently verify if pretreatment PSAV is associated with biochemical disease-free survival (bDFS), DSS, or OS in men undergoing radiation therapy.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

A total of 473 patients treated with radiation therapy for localized prostate cancer formed the study cohort. No men received neoadjuvant or adjuvant hormones. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analysis were used to evaluate if PSAV predicted disease endpoints.

RESULTS

Men with a PSAV greater than 2.0 ng/mL/year had a shorter bDFS compared with men with a PSAV of 2.0 ng/mL/year or less (median, bDFS 68 months vs. 97 months; p = 0.0003). However, on multivariate analysis, PSAV was no longer a significant predictor of bDFS in the entire cohort (p = 0.09). PSAV did not predict DSS or OS (p = 0.55 and p = 0.99, respectively). In patients with high-risk disease, PSAV predicted bDFS on univariate (p = 0.0002) and multivariate (p = 0.02) analysis, but not DSS or OS.

CONCLUSION

Pretreatment PSAV greater than 2.0 ng/mL/year is associated with reduced bDFS. However, PSAV is an independent predictor of bDFS only in high-risk patients. PSAV does not predict survival outcomes.

What dose of external-beam radiation is high enough for prostate cancer?

PURPOSE

To quantify the radiotherapy dose-response of prostate cancer, adjusted for prognostic factors in a mature cohort of men treated relatively uniformly at a single institution.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The study cohort consisted of 1,530 men treated with three-dimensional conformal external-beam radiotherapy between 1989 and 2002. Patients were divided into four isocenter dose groups: <70 Gy (n = 43), 70-74.9 Gy (n = 552), 75-79.9 Gy (n = 568), and > or =80 Gy (n = 367). The primary endpoints were freedom from biochemical failure (FFBF), defined by American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology (ASTRO) and Phoenix (nadir + 2.0 ng/mL) criteria, and freedom from distant metastases (FFDM). Multivariate analyses were performed and adjusted Kaplan-Meier estimates were calculated. Logit regression dose-response functions were determined at 5 and 8 years for FFBF and at 5 and 10 years for FFDM.

RESULTS

Radiotherapy dose was significant in multivariate analyses for FFBF (ASTRO and Phoenix) and FFDM. Adjusted 5-year estimates of ASTRO FFBF for the four dose groups were 60%, 68%, 76%, and 84%. Adjusted 5-year Phoenix FFBFs for the four dose groups were 70%, 81%, 83%, and 89%. Adjusted 5-year and 10-year estimates of FFDM for the four dose groups were 96% and 93%, 97% and 93%, 99% and 95%, and 98% and 96%. Dose-response functions showed an increasing benefit for doses > or =80 Gy.

CONCLUSIONS

Doses of > or =80 Gy are recommended for most men with prostate cancer. The ASTRO definition of biochemical failure does not accurately estimate the effects of radiotherapy at 5 years because of backdating, compared to the Phoenix definition, which is less sensitive to follow-up and more reproducible over time.

Intermediate-Risk Localized Prostate Cancer in the PSA Era: Radiotherapeutic Alternatives

OBJECTIVES

To retrospectively compare the biochemical disease-free survival (BDFS) of patients treated with standard dose external beam radiotherapy (SD-EBRT), SD-EBRT plus androgen deprivation (AD), and brachytherapy-based treatment (brachytherapy with or without EBRT with or without AD).

METHODS

All 297 patients with intermediate-risk prostate cancer treated with these radiation-based treatments at our institution from August 1989 to June 2001 were included. Biochemical relapse was defined according to the American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology (ASTRO) definition, a prostate-specific antigen level of 1.5 ng/mL or greater and rising on two consecutive occasions (the "Bolla" definition), and the current prostate-specific antigen nadir plus 2 ng/mL with failure dated "at call" (the "Houston/Phoenix" definition). The number of patients treated with SD-EBRT, SD-EBRT plus AD, and brachytherapy-based treatment was 141, 84, and 72, respectively. The year of treatment was analyzed as a prognostic factor. The median follow-up was 32.3, 34.7, and 41.5 months for the ASTRO, Bolla, and Houston/Phoenix definitions, respectively.

RESULTS

The brachytherapy-based treatment resulted in improved BDFS compared with SD-EBRT (ASTRO definition, 5-year BDFS rate 88% +/- 5% versus 49% +/- 5%, P <0.01; Bolla definition, 88% +/- 8% versus 49% +/- 5%, P <0.01; Houston/Phoenix definition, 81% +/- 10% versus 64% +/- 5%, P = 0.01). SD-EBRT plus AD was superior to SD-EBRT alone using the Bolla definition (5-year BDFS 76% +/- 7% versus 49% +/- 5%, P <0.01) and the Houston/Phoenix definition (85% +/- 6% versus 64% +/- 5%, P = 0.01), but not using the ASTRO definition (P = 0.17). Multivariate analysis, including prostate-specific antigen, clinical stage, Gleason score, and year of treatment, demonstrated improved biochemical outcomes for brachytherapy-based treatment versus SD-EBRT (ASTRO, P <0.01; Bolla, P <0.01; and a trend toward significance with Houston/Phoenix, P = 0.07) and for the addition of AD to SD-EBRT (Bolla, P <0.01 and Houston/Phoenix, P = 0.03). The year of treatment trended toward significance (P = 0.077) on multivariate analysis using the ASTRO definition.

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with intermediate-risk prostate cancer, brachytherapy-based treatment and the addition of AD to SD-EBRT resulted in improved biochemical outcomes compared with the outcomes with SD-EBRT alone; however, these findings were dependent on the definition of biochemical failure used. The year of treatment may be an important prognostic factor in intermediate-risk prostate cancer.

Impact of disseminated tumor cells in bone marrow at diagnosis in patients with nonmetastatic prostate cancer treated by definitive radiotherapy

The purpose of this study was to explore whether detection of disseminated tumor cells (DTCs) in bone marrow (BM) of nonmetastatic prostate cancer (PC) was associated with other clinical or histopathological factors at diagnoses or clinical outcome subsequent to definitive radiotherapy (RT). We evaluated BM aspirates from 272 cT(1-4)pN(0)M(0) PC patients by immunocytochemistry employing anticytokeratin antibodies (AE1/AE3). BM-status was compared with clinical and histopathological parameters. Long-term clinical outcome was assessed in 131 of the patients who all had completed definitive RT with or without androgen deprivation (AD), initiating treatment >5 years before cut-off date June 1, 2005. They had at least 1 unfavorable prognostic feature defined as cT(3-4) or Gleason score (GS) >or= 7B or PSA >or= 10 microg/l. Overall death, cause-specific death, distant metastases (DM) as first clinical relapse, local failure as first clinical relapse and biochemical failure were defined as end-points. DTCs were detected in 18% of the patients and were associated with increasing GS (p = 0.04) and percentage of Gleason pattern 4/5 (p = 0.04). The 7-year cumulative risk of DM was 21% for BM-positive patients vs. 6% for BM-negative patients (p = 0.07). In patients receiving RT without AD (n = 75), the 7-year cumulative risk of DM for BM-positive patients was 28% vs. 9% for BM-negative patients (p = 0.03). BM-status did not have impact on other end-points. In conclusion our study shows that presence of DTCs in BM at diagnosis was associated with the histological differentiation of the primary tumor and an increased risk of developing distant metastases after RT.

Radiation dose and late failures in prostate cancer

PURPOSE

To quantify the impact of radiation dose escalation on the timing of biochemical failure (BF) and distant metastasis (DM) for prostate cancer treated with radiotherapy (RT) alone.

METHODS

The data from 667 men with clinically localized intermediate- and high-risk prostate cancer treated with three-dimensional conformal RT alone were retrospectively analyzed. The interval hazard rates of DM and BF, using the American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology (ASTRO) and Phoenix (nadir + 2) definitions, were determined. The median follow-up was 77 months.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis showed that increasing radiation dose was independently associated with decreased ASTRO BF (p < 0.0001), nadir + 2 BF (p = 0.001), and DM (p = 0.006). The preponderance (85%) of ASTRO BF occurred at < or =4 years after RT, and nadir + 2 BF was more evenly spread throughout Years 1-10, with 55% of BF in < or =4 years. Radiation dose escalation caused a shift in the BF from earlier to later years. The interval hazard function for DM appeared to be biphasic (early and late peaks) overall and for the <74-Gy group. In patients receiving > or =74 Gy, a reduction occurred in the risk of DM in the early and late waves, although the late wave appeared reduced to a greater degree.

CONCLUSION

The ASTRO definition of BF systematically underestimated late BF because of backdating. Radiation dose escalation diminished and delayed BF; the delay suggested that local persistence may still be present in some patients. For DM, a greater radiation dose reduced the early and late waves, suggesting that persistence of local disease contributed to both.

Unification of a common biochemical failure definition for prostate cancer treated with brachytherapy or external beam radiotherapy with or without androgen deprivation

PURPOSE

Minimal data are available regarding selection of an optimal biochemical failure (BF) definition for patients treated with brachytherapy, external beam radiotherapy (EBRT), and combinations of these treatments with or without androgen deprivation (AD). We retrospectively analyzed our institution's experience treating localized prostate cancer in an attempt to determine a BF definition that could be applied for these various treatment modalities.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

A total of 2376 patients with clinical stage T1-T3 N0 M0 prostate cancer were treated with conventional dose (median, 66.6 Gy) EBRT (n = 1201), high-dose (median, 75.6 Gy) adaptive radiation therapy (n = 465), EBRT + high-dose-rate brachytherapy boost (n = 416), or brachytherapy alone (n = 294) between 1987 and 2003. A total of 496 patients (21%) received neoadjuvant AD with radiation therapy. There were 21924 posttreatment prostate-specific antigen (PSA) measurements. Multiple BF definitions were tested for their sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (+PV), and negative PV (-PV) in predicting subsequent clinical failure (CF) (any local failure or distant metastasis), overall survival (OS), and cause-specific survival (CSS). Median follow-up was 4.5 years. The date of BF was the date BF criteria were met (e.g., date of third rise).

RESULTS

A total of 290 patients (12%) experienced CF at a median interval of 3.6 years (range, 0.2-15.2 years). The 5- and 10-year CF rates were 12% and 26%, respectively. Three consecutive rises yielded a 46% sensitivity and 84% specificity for predicting CF. The 10-year CF for those 475 patients who experienced three rises (BF) was 37% vs. 17% for those patients who did not meet these criteria (biochemically controlled [BC]). For all patients, the following definitions were superior to three rises for predicting CF for both +PV, and -PV: n + 1 (> or =1 ng/mL above nadir), n + 2, n + 3, threshold 2 (any PSA > or =2.0 ng/mL at or after nadir), threshold 3, threshold 4, and threshold 5. For the subset of patients treated with EBRT alone, the n + k definitions and threshold k definitions maintained superior predictive capacity. However, the threshold k definitions seemed to maintain a slightly greater separation in 10-year CF rates (43% for BF vs. 13% for BC = 30% difference for threshold 3). Surprisingly, all definitions generally had better predictive capacity for those patients who received brachytherapy or neoadjuvant AD vs. EBRT alone. The endpoints appeared similar for n + 1 vs. threshold 3 and n + 2 vs. threshold 4 in EBRT alone patients, but for brachytherapy or neoadjuvant AD patients, there were similarities for n + 2 vs. threshold 3 and n + 3 vs. threshold 4. This may be a reflection of the lower nadir levels in patients receiving AD (median <0.1 ng/mL vs. 0.2 ng/mL for brachytherapy vs. 0.8 ng/mL for EBRT alone, p < 0.01). When examining CF correlation for the various classes of BF definitions, the threshold k definitions clearly demonstrated the greatest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, followed by the n + k definitions. For OS, the threshold k definitions again demonstrated the greatest area under the curve, followed by definitions based on specific nadir cutoffs (nadir > or =k ng/mL).

CONCLUSIONS

Biochemical failure definitions applying a PSA threshold at or after the nadir (e.g., threshold 3) demonstrated the highest association with CF, OS, and CSS for all assessed treatment modalities. Definitions incorporating a PSA increase above the nadir value (e.g., nadir + 2 ng/mL) were also superior for all modalities. In general, BF definitions have greater predictive capacity for clinical outcome with brachytherapy or neoadjuvant AD than EBRT alone, possibly because of less "noise" from production of background PSA.

Radiation dose escalation combined with hormone therapy improves outcome in localised prostate cancer

We present the impact of systematic radiation dose escalation from 64 Gy to 66 Gy to 70 Gy on the outcome after radiation therapy (RT) alone or combined with hormonal treatment (HT) in a series of 494 consecutive localised prostate cancer patients treated during 1990-1999. Prognostic factors for prostate-specific antigen (PSA) failure, overall survival (OS) and prostate cancer specific survival (CSS) were investigated using multivariate analysis. T stage, pre-treatment PSA, grade, radiation dose and HT were found to be independent predictors of PSA failure. T stage, grade and HT were also independent predictors of both OS and CSS, while radiation dose was a significant predictor for OS and indicated a trend (p = 0.07) for CSS. A dose of 70 Gy combined with hormonal treatment improves PSA failure free survival and survival in localised prostate cancer compared with doses of 64-66 Gy.