Value of negative dobutamine stress echocardiography in predicting long-term cardiac events

Head and neck PET/CT: therapy response interpretation criteria (Hopkins Criteria)-interreader reliability, accuracy, and survival outcomes

There has been no established qualitative system of interpretation for therapy response assessment using PET/CT for head and neck cancers. The objective of this study was to validate the Hopkins interpretation system to assess therapy response and survival outcome in head and neck squamous cell cancer patients (HNSCC).

METHODS

The study included 214 biopsy-proven HNSCC patients who underwent a posttherapy PET/CT study, between 5 and 24 wk after completion of treatment. The median follow-up was 27 mo. PET/CT studies were interpreted by 3 nuclear medicine physicians, independently. The studies were scored using a qualitative 5-point scale, for the primary tumor, for the right and left neck, and for overall assessment. Scores 1, 2, and 3 were considered negative for tumors, and scores 4 and 5 were considered positive for tumors. The Cohen κ coefficient (κ) was calculated to measure interreader agreement. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were analyzed by Kaplan-Meier plots with a Mantel-Cox log-rank test and Gehan Breslow Wilcoxon test for comparisons.

RESULTS

Of the 214 patients, 175 were men and 39 were women. There was 85.98%, 95.33%, 93.46%, and 87.38% agreement between the readers for overall, left neck, right neck, and primary tumor site response scores, respectively. The corresponding κ coefficients for interreader agreement between readers were, 0.69-0.79, 0.68-0.83, 0.69-0.87, and 0.79-0.86 for overall, left neck, right neck, and primary tumor site response, respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and overall accuracy of the therapy assessment were 68.1%, 92.2%, 71.1%, 91.1%, and 86.9%, respectively. Cox multivariate regression analysis showed human papillomavirus (HPV) status and PET/CT interpretation were the only factors associated with PFS and OS. Among the HPV-positive patients (n = 123), there was a significant difference in PFS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.14; 95% confidence interval, 0.03-0.57; P = 0.0063) and OS (HR, 0.01; 95% confidence interval, 0.00-0.13; P = 0.0006) between the patients who had a score negative for residual tumor versus positive for residual tumor. A similar significant difference was observed in PFS and OS for all patients. There was also a significant difference in the PFS of patients with PET-avid residual disease in one site versus multiple sites in the neck (HR, 0.23; log-rank P = 0.004).

CONCLUSION

The Hopkins 5-point qualitative therapy response interpretation criteria for head and neck PET/CT has substantial interreader agreement and excellent negative predictive value and predicts OS and PFS in patients with HPV-positive HNSCC.

Recent advances in dobutamine stress echocardiography

Dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE) is a reliable cardiac risk stratifier that has widespread applicability because of its clinical accuracy and cost effectiveness. Dobutamine has positive inotropic and chronotropic effects and is commonly used in patients who cannot exercise or achieve an adequate heart rate response with exercise. Recently available long-term results from several independent clinical trials, combined with enhancements in image quality, have improved the ability to detect significant coronary artery disease and determine myocardial viability. Dobutamine stress echocardiography has an excellent safety profile with clinical results superior to regular exercise electrocardiography and comparable with exercise echocardiography and radionucleotide perfusion stress imaging. Low-dose dobutamine response can accurately predict dysfunctional yet viable myocardial regions that may improve with revascularization. Clinical studies are now available refining the common use of DSE preoperatively in female patients with valvular disease, as well as in the emergency department. Dobutamine stress echocardiography does have some limitations in discriminating particular regions of ischemia when multiple ventricular segments are involved and when the imaging is suboptimal. It can be applied using minimal additional resources in an otherwise functioning echocardiography laboratory and, with appropriate training, can result in clinical results comparable with those of large-scale multicenter trials. Ongoing improvements in technology and the development of new reagents such as myocardial contrast agents hold promise for further advancement in the near future.

Prognostic implications of negative dobutamine stress echocardiography in African Americans compared to Caucasians

Background

African Americans (AA) have higher rates of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality than Caucasians (CA). Despite its excellent negative predictive value, the influence of race on the prognostic implications of negative dobutamine echocardiography in predicting major cardiac problems is largely unknown.

Methods

We studied 387 AA and 340 CA patients with negative dobutamine stress echocardiography (NDSE). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to create freedom-from-event curves for major adverse cardiac events over a 36-month period, and a Cox proportional-hazards multivariable model to examine the influence of race on cardiac outcomes.

Results

AA patients were younger (69.4 ± 12.6 vs. 74.2 ± 10.7, p < .001), had higher incidence of diabetes mellitus (37% vs. 29%, p = .01), hypertension (91% vs. 85%, p = .006), left ventricular hypertrophy (70% vs. 49%, p < .001) and lower incidence of prior coronary artery disease (27% vs. 34%, p = .05) compared to CA patients. Ejection fraction ≥ 50% was comparable (81% vs. 82%, p = .8). At 3-years, AA patients had a lower freedom from nonfatal myocardial infarction (92% vs. 96%, p = .006) and any cardiac event (cardiac death, myocardial infarction) (91% vs. 95%, p = .005) compared to CA patients.

Conclusion

This is the first study to demonstrate that AA patients have higher rates of nonfatal MI and MACE compared to CA patients with a NDSE. These patients require closer follow-up and aggressive preventive and treatment strategies should be employed to help reduce cardiovascular morbidity and mortality despite negative ischemic workup.

Noninvasive assessment of coronary artery disease in diabetic patients: The role of stress echocardiography

Diabetes mellitus is a frequently occurring disease, and its prognosis is essentially related to cardiac complications. Some have suggested that these patients should be considered as coronary artery disease (CAD)-equivalent and treated aggressively, accordingly. In addition, CAD in diabetes patients at the time of diagnosis is often more advanced, and is frequently associated with more extensive disease, a greater incidence of left ventricular dysfunction and higher rates of cardiac events. Unfortunately, the standard exercise treadmill stress test has important limitations, with a poor sensitivity for CAD detection if the patient has limited exercise capacity, which is the case for more than one-half of the diabetic patients in some series. The detection of regional wall motion abnormality with echocardiography permits the identification of the coronary territory involved. It can be used for CAD diagnosis, evaluation of myocardial viability, risk stratification following a myocardial infarction and assessment of preoperative risk before noncardiac surgery. The risk of CAD in patients with diabetes mellitus is reviewed, and the role of noninvasive testing with stress echocardiography in the diagnosis and risk stratification of these patients is discussed.

Prognostic value of dobutamine stress myocardial contrast perfusion echocardiography

BACKGROUND

Myocardial perfusion (MP) imaging with real-time contrast echocardiography (RTCE) improves the sensitivity of dobutamine stress echocardiography for detecting coronary artery disease. Its prognostic value is unknown. We sought to determine the value of MP and wall motion (WM) analysis during dobutamine stress echocardiography in predicting the outcome of patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We retrospectively studied 788 patients with RTCE during dobutamine stress echocardiography using intravenous commercially available contrast agents. The incremental prognostic value of MP imaging over clinical risk factors and other echocardiographic data was examined through the use of a log-likelihood test (Cox model). During a median follow-up of 20 months, 75 events (9.6%) occurred (58 deaths, 17 nonfatal myocardial infarctions). Abnormal MP had significant incremental value over clinical factors, resting ejection fraction, and WM responses in predicting events (P<0.001). By multivariate analysis, the independent predictors of death and nonfatal myocardial infarction were resting left ventricular ejection fraction <50% (relative risk [RR], 1.9; 95% CI, 1.2 to 3.2; P=0.01), hypercholesterolemia (RR, 0.5; 95% CI, 0.3 to 0.9; P=0.01), and abnormal MP (RR, 5.2; 95% CI, 3.0 to 9.0; P<0.0001). The 3-year event free survival was 95% for patients with normal WM and MP, 82% for normal WM and abnormal MP, and 68% for abnormal WM and MP.

CONCLUSIONS

MP imaging during dobutamine stress RTCE provides incremental prognostic information in patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease. Patients with normal MP have a better outcome than patients with normal WM.

Comparison of prognostic value of negative dobutamine stress echocardiography versus single-photon emission computed tomography after acute myocardial infarction

We enrolled 196 patients who had myocardial infarction and no ischemia on dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE) and/or single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT). Negative studies were observed in 125 patients on DSE and in 159 on SPECT. Patients were followed for 43 +/- 14 months. Cardiac events occurred in 14% of patients who did not have ischemia on DSE and in 9% of patients who did not have ischemia on SPECT. Event-free survival rate was higher in the presence of negative findings on SPECT compared with DSE (p <0.05). The lack of residual myocardial ischemia on SPECT identifies patients at low risk of events, and a negative finding on stress SPECT is superior to a negative finding on DSE.

Novel stress echocardiographic model incorporating the extent and severity of wall motion abnormality for risk stratification and prognosis

The prognostic value of stress echocardiography to predict future cardiac events using the extent and severity of wall motion abnormalities is not well defined. The objective of this study was to develop and validate a prognostic model for interpretation of stress echocardiographic studies by using the extent and severity of wall motion abnormalities. We evaluated 1,500 patients (59 +/- 13 years old; 51% men) who underwent stress echocardiography (34% on the treadmill exercise and 66% on dobutamine). Left ventricular regional wall motion was assessed by consensus of 2 experienced echocardiographers. Follow-up periods (mean 2.7 +/- 1.0 years) for confirmed myocardial infarction (n = 31) and cardiac death (n = 44) were identified. Multivariate regression analysis identified 2 independent predictors of cardiac events: the number of left ventricular wall segments with new wall motion abnormalities (an index of the extent of ischemia) and the maximal magnitude of new wall motion abnormalities (an index of the severity of ischemia). The ischemic extent (chi-square 48.7, p <0.0001) and maximal severity (chi-square 52.0, p <0.0001) were exponentially correlated with an increase in event rate. On the basis of these data, a prognostic model was defined that uses ischemic extent and maximal severity as stress-dependent orthogonal variables. With this 3-dimensional model, the predicted event rate ranged over sevenfold, from a low of 0.9%/year in patients without any wall motion abnormalities to a high of 6.7%/year in patients with extensive and severe wall motion abnormalities. The extent and severity of wall motion abnormalities by stress echocardiography are independent and cumulative predictors of prognosis in patients who have suspected or known ischemic heart disease.

Prognostic value of contrast stress echocardiography in patients with image quality too limited for traditional noncontrast harmonic echocardiography

Clinical data and contrast stress echocardiography (CSE) results were analyzed in 283 patients to establish the prognostic value of CSE for patients with limited echocardiogram image quality at baseline. The mean follow-up period was 736 +/- 337 days. Only 7 patients (2.5%) had nondiagnostic image quality with contrast enhancement. During follow-up, 24 cardiac events (8.5%) occurred (5 cardiac-related deaths, 2 nonfatal myocardial infarction, 17 coronary revascularizations). Overall sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were 60.9%, 76.8%, 19.7%, and 95.5%, respectively. Kaplan-Meier event-free survival was higher for patients with a negative CSE result as compared with those with a positive CSE finding (P <.0001). In a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, positive CSE was the strongest predictor of cardiac events (risk ratio 3.7; 95% confidence interval 1.6-8.7). CSE can successfully predict cardiac events for patients with limited noncontrast echocardiographic image quality. A negative CSE result conferred a good prognosis.

Long-term prognosis after normal dobutamine stress echocardiography

Patients with normal dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE) were shown to have a favorable outcome at an intermediate-term follow-up. However, there are scarce data regarding long-term survival after normal DSE. This study sought to assess the long-term outcome after normal DSE. We studied 401 patients (age 62 +/- 10 years, 264 men) who had a normal echocardiogram at rest and with high-dose dobutamine stress. End points during a mean follow-up of 5 +/- 1.7 years (minimum 3.5) were all-cause mortality and hard cardiac events (cardiac death and nonfatal myocardial infarction). During follow-up, 45 patients (11%) died due to various causes (cardiac death in 10 patients). Thirteen patients had nonfatal myocardial infarction (a total of 23 hard cardiac events). The annual mortality rate was 2% in the first 3 years and 2.4% between the fourth and sixth years. The annual hard cardiac event rate was 0.8% in the first 3 years and 1.7% between the fourth and sixth years. Predictors of mortality in a multivariate analysis model were advanced age (hazard ratio 1.2, 95% confidence interval CI 1.1 to 1.4) and higher heart rate at rest (hazard ratio 0.92, 95% confidence interval 0.85 to 0.99). Patients with normal DSE had excellent outcomes during the 3 years after the study. The cardiac event rate was higher between the fourth and sixth year; therefore, it may be useful to repeat the study after 3 years to reassess risk status.

Practical applications in stress echocardiography

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to define appropriate parameters for risk stratification and prognosis in patients undergoing stress echocardiography.

BACKGROUND

Stress echocardiography is an established technique for the diagnosis of coronary artery disease. However, current data on risk stratification of patients undergoing stress echocardiography are limited.

METHODS

We evaluated 1,500 patients (59 +/- 13 years old; 51% male) undergoing stress echocardiography (34% with treadmill exercise and 66% with dobutamine). Resting left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) and regional wall motion were assessed by the consensus of two echocardiographers. Follow-up (mean 2.7 +/- 1.0 years) for confirmed non-fatal myocardial infarction (n = 31) and cardiac death (n = 44) were performed.

RESULTS

By univariate analysis, both the peak wall motion score index (WMSI) (p < 0.0001) and EF (p < 0.0001) were significant predictors of cardiac events. Peak WMSI effectively risk stratified patients into low (0.9%/year), intermediate (3.1%/year), and high (5.2%/year) risk groups (p < 0.0001). A threshold of 45% EF provided further risk stratification of all WMSI groups. By multivariate logistic regression analysis, peak WMSI (relative risk [RR] 2.1, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.0 to 4.4; p = 0.04) and EF (RR 1.0, 95% CI 0.9 to 1.0; p = 0.01) were both predictors of cardiac events.

CONCLUSIONS

Stress echocardiography yields prognostic information for risk stratification of patients with known or suspected ischemic heart disease. A normal stress echocardiographic study (peak WMSI = 1.0) confers a benign prognosis (0.9%/year cardiac event rate). Peak WMSI >1.7 and EF < or =45% are independent markers of patients at high risk of an adverse clinical outcome.

Non-invasive detection of coronary artery disease by dobutamine-stress echocardiography in children after heart transplantation

BACKGROUND

Coronary vasculopathy is the main cause of cardiac graft failure. Because yearly coronary angiography is invasive in children, a non-invasive method for detecting graft vasculopathy is needed. The aim of this study was to test dobutamine-stress echocardiography in a pediatric population to determine its feasibility, safety and reliability in the detection of graft coronary artery disease.

METHODS

Eighteen patients, aged 2 days to 16.8 years at transplantation (mean 8.4 years), underwent 44 dobutamine-stress echocardiography (DSE) exams, at a follow-up of 1.1 to 11.8 years (mean 5.1 years). Selective coronary angiography was performed for comparison. Echocardiographic recordings were obtained in 4 standard views of the left ventricle and measurements carried out within the frames of a 16-segment model. Segmental scores of contractility were obtained for each segment and a total segmental contractility index was calculated at each stage.

RESULTS

All patients reached the maximum dose stage. Maximum heart rate was 57% to 90% of predicted maximum. Maximum systolic blood pressure reached 190 mmHg. Segmental scores were normal in 37 and abnormal in 7 cases. Echographic results were concordant with angiography in 82% and discordant in 18% of the cases (4 negative DSEs with minor angiographic lesions, 2 positive DSEs with normal angiography), but there was no significant angiographic lesion with normal DSE.

CONCLUSIONS

DSE is a safe and highly feasible non-invasive technique in transplanted children. A normal DSE study successfully predicts the absence of significant coronary artery disease in the post-transplant population.

Prognostic value of a negative stress echocardiographic study in diabetic patients

BACKGROUND

Diabetic patients have increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. We compared the long-term prognostic value of a negative, nonischemic stress echocardiogram in patients with and without diabetes.

METHODS

Two hundred thirty-six consecutive subjects who had stress echocardiography and who were negative for inducible ischemia were included in the study. Baseline cardiac risk factors and cardiac events (cardiac death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and coronary revascularization) were identified.

RESULTS

Follow-up was obtained in 233 subjects for a mean duration of 25 months. There were 144 nondiabetic and 89 diabetic patients. At baseline, the diabetic group had a significantly higher incidence of hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and history of coronary artery disease but had a lower incidence of smoking (P <.05). Diabetic patients had a significantly higher incidence of cardiac events (19% vs 9.7%, P =.03) and worse event-free survival (P =.03). There were more nonfatal myocardial infarctions in the diabetic group (6.7% vs 1.4%, P <.05) and a trend toward a higher proportion of hard events (myocardial infarction and cardiac death) in diabetic patients (12.4% vs 5.6%, P =.11). The hard event rate per year of follow-up was 2.7% in nondiabetic and 6.0% in diabetic patients. In diabetic patients, a history of coronary artery disease was the only predictor of cardiac events (R = 0.18, P <.05).

CONCLUSION

Compared with nondiabetic patients, diabetic patients with negative stress echocardiograms are at greater risk for cardiac events. This appears to be due to a higher prevalence of established coronary disease in diabetic patients.

Echocardiography, nuclear scintigraphy, and stress testing in the emergency department evaluation of acute coronary syndrome

There are between 3 and 5 million visits to EDs each year for complaints of chest pain. Of these, about one half of the patients have a noncardiac cause for their chest pain. Of the remainder, about 30% to 50% have significant coronary disease. It is quite clear that patients who are at high risk for a coronary event should be admitted to the hospital. For the low-to-moderate risk patients, the decision to admit or discharge the patient from the ED is not quite so easy. The emergency physician has to decide which tests can be helpful in the decision-making process, this can be undertaken in conjunction with a consultative cardiologist. It can be argued that if a patient does not have a normal test result whichever that evaluatory test is), then the patient should be admitted for further work-up and evaluation. The easiest test to perform in the ED setting is an echocardiogram. The images can be sent by telecommunication to a qualified echocardiogram reader for interpretation. This also has a reasonable NPV, although not necessarily as good as some of the other modalities available, unless interpreted in light of cardiac enzyme test results. If the index of suspicion is still high, then a stress echocardiogram can be considered. This has an excellent NPV and can be easily performed in [table: see text] most patients. This should not be undertaken in the face of an evolving MI, and patients should be observed for at least 8 hours after their initial presentation to the ED prior to undergoing a provocative test. Nuclear scintigraphy, another modality available for cardiac risk stratification, can be a logistical nightmare. The nuclear isotopes are strictly regulated by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. The emergency physician may inject the isotopes, provided that he or she has undergone the necessary radiation training. Also, the patient must be removed from the ED to a radioisotope-approved area for the duration of the scan. One of the most difficult questions left open after review of all these analytical modalities is the duration of time these test results remain valid; when does an individual patient need to be reevaluated as to their specific pretest probability? The answer to this question lies in the presenting clinical scenario. If the patient presents with a similar inciting trigger for his or her symptoms, and the cardiac risk profile has not changed appreciably, then the previous study (whether a provocative stress test or even a cardiac catheterization) probably can be reliably counted. If the patient's risk profile has changed or the symptoms are new or more intense, the physician is compelled to pursue this encounter as a new, acute event. This can be true even in the setting of a previous cardiac catheterization that showed nonobstructive coronary disease, because plaque rupture can be acute and unpredictable. Ultimately, optimal care calls for each institution to develop a specific approach, in conjunction with their consultative cardiologist or critical care specialist, to enhance patient care, safety, and diagnostic outcome, while maintaining cost efficiency.