Effect of sustained virologic response on the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with HCV cirrhosis

HCC incidence after hepatitis C cure among patients with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

HCV cure reduces but does not eliminate the risk of HCC. HCC surveillance is recommended in populations where the incidence exceeds 1.5% per year. In cirrhosis, HCC surveillance should continue after HCV cure, although it is uncertain if this should be indefinite. For patients with advanced fibrosis (F3), guidelines are inconsistent in their recommendations. We evaluated the incidence of HCC after HCV cure among patients with F3 fibrosis or cirrhosis.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

This systematic review and meta-analysis identified 44 studies (107,548 person-years of follow-up) assessing the incidence of HCC after HCV cure among patients with F3 fibrosis or cirrhosis. The incidence of HCC was 2.1 per 100 person-years (95% CI, 1.9-2.4) among patients with cirrhosis and 0.5 per 100 person-years (95% CI, 0.3-0.7) among patients with F3 fibrosis. In a meta-regression analysis among patients with cirrhosis, older age (adjusted rate ratio [aRR] per 10-year increase in mean/median age, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.00-1.73) and prior decompensation (aRR per 10% increase in the proportion of patients with prior decompensation, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.01-1.12) were associated with an increased incidence of HCC. Longer follow-up after HCV cure was associated with a decreased incidence of HCC (aRR per year increase in mean/median follow-up, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.79-0.96).

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with cirrhosis, the incidence of HCC decreases over time after HCV cure and is lowest in patients with younger age and compensated cirrhosis. The substantially lower incidence in F3 fibrosis is below the recommended threshold for cost-effective screening. The results should encourage the development of validated predictive models that better identify at-risk individuals, especially among patients with F3 fibrosis.

Direct-acting antivirals and interferon-based therapy on hepatocellular carcinoma risk in chronic hepatitis-C patients

Aim: It was controversial whether direct-acting antiviral (DAA) is better than interferon-based therapy (IBT) in preventing HCV-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Therefore, we accomplished this large, stepwise meta-analysis. Materials & methods: The PubMed, Cochrane and ScienceDirect were searched for studies published during January 2009-March 2019. Antiviral type, number of chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients, number of HCC cases from CHC patients, sustained virological response (SVR) status and important covariate data were extracted from each study. Results & conclusion: It is demonstrated that antiviral treatment reduces the occurrence of HCC in patients with CHC; achieving SVR to antiviral treatment reduces HCC; DAA treatment is not better than IBT in the prophylaxis of HCC; DAA treatment and cirrhosis are independently associated with a higher incidence of HCC than IBT in middle-aged CHC patients who achieve SVR.

Effects of antiviral treatment on the risk of hepatocellular cancer in patients with chronic viral hepatitis

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major complication of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and chronic hepatitis C (CHC). Accumulating data suggest that antiviral treatment in both CHB and CHC reduces the incidence of HCC. Evidence is more consistent for interferon-based treatment in both CHB and CHC and for lamivudine in patients with CHB. However, more limited data suggest that other nucleos(t)ide analogues might also reduce the risk of HCC. In contrast, conflicting data have been reported on the effects of direct-acting antivirals on the incidence of HCC.

Hepatitis C virus treatment by direct-acting antivirals in successfully treated hepatocellular carcinoma and possible mutual impact

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) after successfully treated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) becomes possible with the introduction of direct-acting antivirals because of their favorable efficacy, safety, and short period of treatment. Few data are available on the results of treatment using different direct-acting antiviral regimens in successfully treated HCC and a lot of debate about its role in tumor recurrence.

METHODS

Sixty-two HCV-related HCC patients were enrolled in the study after successfully treated HCC; the studied population included either Child-Pugh 'A' or 'B7'. The patients were subcategorized to receive one of the following regimens: group 1: sofosbuvir (SOF)+ribavirin (RBV) for 24 weeks, group 2: SOF+simeprevir for 12 weeks, group 3: SOF+daclatasvir for 24 weeks, and group 4: SOF+daclatasvir+RBV for 12 weeks. The overall median follow-up period is 12 months after treatment initiation.

RESULTS

All treatment regimens were tolerable for all patients, with no reported major adverse events during treatment. The overall sustained virologic response rate was 64.5%, with the highest result in group 4 and the lowest result in group 1; 87.5 and 26.7%, respectively. HCC recurrence was observed in 42% of patients; 80.7% of these patients developed recurrence within 6 months of treatment initiation.

CONCLUSION

Treatment of HCV in successfully treated HCC is feasible, with the best results achieved using multiple direct-acting antivirals and RBV; a high rate of HCC recurrence was observed, especially within the first 6 months of treatment initiation (ClinicalTrials.gov no: NCT02771405).

Hepatocellular carcinoma risk following direct-acting antiviral HCV therapy: A systematic review, meta-analyses, and meta-regression

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence or recurrence following direct-acting antiviral (DAA) hepatitis C virus (HCV) therapy remains unclear. The aims of this study were to compare the rate of HCC occurrence in patients with HCV-related cirrhosis, following DAA vs. interferon (IFN)-based cure, and to compare the rate of HCC recurrence in patients who received curative HCC treatment, following DAA vs. IFN-based cure.

METHODS

A search was conducted for reports published between January 2000 and February 2017. Studies were included if they assessed HCC outcomes by type and response to HCV therapy. Random-effects meta-analyses were undertaken to determine a combined estimate of HCC incidence rate per 100/person-years (py) among patients with a sustained virological response (SVR).

RESULTS

A total of 41 studies (n=13,875 patients), including 26 on HCC occurrence (IFN=17, DAA=9; prospective=19, retrospective=5, retrospective-prospective=2), and 17 on HCC recurrence (IFN=7, DAA=10; prospective=11, retrospective=5 and retrospective-prospective=1) were included. In studies assessing HCC occurrence, average follow-up was shorter (1.0 vs. 5.5years), and average age older (60 vs. 52years) in DAA studies. In studies assessing HCC recurrence, average follow-up was shorter (1.3 vs. 5.0years), but average age similar (64 vs. 66years) in DAA studies. HCC occurrence was 1.14/100 py (95% CI 0.86-1.52) and 2.96/100 py (95% CI 1.76-4.96) in IFN and DAA studies respectively. HCC recurrence was 9.21/100 py (95% CI 7.18-11.81) and 12.16/100 py (95% CI 5.00-29.58) in IFN and DAA studies respectively. In meta-regression adjusting for study follow-up and age, DAA therapy was not associated with higher HCC occurrence (RR 0.68; 95% CI 0.18-2.55; p=0.55) or recurrence (RR 0.62, 95% CI 0.11-3.45, p=0.56).

CONCLUSION

There is no evidence for differential HCC occurrence or recurrence risk following SVR from DAA and IFN-based therapy.

LAY SUMMARY

The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence or recurrence following direct-acting antiviral (DAA) hepatitis C virus (HCV) therapy remains unclear. We conducted a meta-analysis to compare occurrence and recurrence of HCC in patients receiving either DAA or interferon (IFN) therapy. There is no evidence that HCC occurrence or recurrence is different between patients receiving DAA or IFN therapy.

Regression of liver stiffness after sustained hepatitis C virus (HCV) virological responses among HIV/HCV-coinfected patients

OBJECTIVE

We assessed the impact of a sustained virological response (SVR) on liver stiffness among HIV/hepatitis C virus (HCV)-coinfected patients enrolled in the ANRS CO13 HEPAVIH cohort.

METHODS

We studied HIV/HCV-coinfected patients who received at least one dose of any anti-HCV treatment and who had documented SVR status, a pretreatment FibroScan value of at least 7.1 kPa, and at least one posttreatment FibroScan value. The time required to achieve at least a 30% decrease in liver stiffness was analyzed by constructing Kaplan-Meier curves and using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Among 98 patients treated for HCV infection with either pegylated interferon along with ribavirin (n = 89) or protease inhibitor-based triple therapy (n = 9), 53 patients (54%) had an SVR. Median follow-up was 44.6 (interquartile range: 28.8-58.9) months. The probability of achieving a 30% decrease in FibroScan values was 51% [95% confidence interval (CI): 39-66] in patients with an SVR and 21% in nonresponders (95% CI: 11-36) at 1 year, and 74% (61-86) and 28% (17-44) at 2 years, respectively. In the subgroup of 35 cirrhotic patients (pretreatment liver stiffness ≥12.5 kPa), 14 of 18 patients with an SVR and three of 17 nonresponders had a fibrosis score below 12.5 kPa at the last follow-up examination. Multivariable analysis showed that SVR was independently associated with a ≥30% reduction in liver stiffness, both in the overall study group (hazard ratio: 5.77; 95% CI: 2.00-16.62; P = 0.0012) and in cirrhotic patients (hazard ratio: 8.21; 95% CI: 2.15-31.34; P = 0.0021). Robustness analyses using FIB4 values showed similar results.

CONCLUSION

SVR is significantly associated with improvement in liver stiffness in HIV/HCV-coinfected patients, including those with cirrhosis.

Cost-effectiveness of non-invasive methods for assessment and monitoring of liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with chronic liver disease: systematic review and economic evaluation

BACKGROUND

Liver biopsy is the reference standard for diagnosing the extent of fibrosis in chronic liver disease; however, it is invasive, with the potential for serious complications. Alternatives to biopsy include non-invasive liver tests (NILTs); however, the cost-effectiveness of these needs to be established.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the diagnostic accuracy and cost-effectiveness of NILTs in patients with chronic liver disease.

DATA SOURCES

We searched various databases from 1998 to April 2012, recent conference proceedings and reference lists.

METHODS

We included studies that assessed the diagnostic accuracy of NILTs using liver biopsy as the reference standard. Diagnostic studies were assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool. Meta-analysis was conducted using the bivariate random-effects model with correlation between sensitivity and specificity (whenever possible). Decision models were used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the NILTs. Expected costs were estimated using a NHS perspective and health outcomes were measured as quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Markov models were developed to estimate long-term costs and QALYs following testing, and antiviral treatment where indicated, for chronic hepatitis B (HBV) and chronic hepatitis C (HCV). NILTs were compared with each other, sequential testing strategies, biopsy and strategies including no testing. For alcoholic liver disease (ALD), we assessed the cost-effectiveness of NILTs in the context of potentially increasing abstinence from alcohol. Owing to a lack of data and treatments specifically for fibrosis in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), the analysis was limited to an incremental cost per correct diagnosis. An analysis of NILTs to identify patients with cirrhosis for increased monitoring was also conducted.

RESULTS

Given a cost-effectiveness threshold of £20,000 per QALY, treating everyone with HCV without prior testing was cost-effective with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of £9204. This was robust in most sensitivity analyses but sensitive to the extent of treatment benefit for patients with mild fibrosis. For HBV [hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative)] this strategy had an ICER of £28,137, which was cost-effective only if the upper bound of the standard UK cost-effectiveness threshold range (£30,000) is acceptable. For HBeAg-positive disease, two NILTs applied sequentially (hyaluronic acid and magnetic resonance elastography) were cost-effective at a £20,000 threshold (ICER: £19,612); however, the results were highly uncertain, with several test strategies having similar expected outcomes and costs. For patients with ALD, liver biopsy was the cost-effective strategy, with an ICER of £822.

LIMITATIONS

A substantial number of tests had only one study from which diagnostic accuracy was derived; therefore, there is a high risk of bias. Most NILTs did not have validated cut-offs for diagnosis of specific fibrosis stages. The findings of the ALD model were dependent on assuptions about abstinence rates assumptions and the modelling approach for NAFLD was hindered by the lack of evidence on clinically effective treatments.

CONCLUSIONS

Treating everyone without NILTs is cost-effective for patients with HCV, but only for HBeAg-negative if the higher cost-effectiveness threshold is appropriate. For HBeAg-positive, two NILTs applied sequentially were cost-effective but highly uncertain. Further evidence for treatment effectiveness is required for ALD and NAFLD.

STUDY REGISTRATION

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42011001561.

FUNDING

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Splenectomy prior to antiviral therapy in patients with hepatitis C virus related decompensated cirrhosis

Patients with hepatitis C virus-related decompensated cirrhosis can benefit from interferon-based antiviral therapy, but the common complication of cytopenia is a contraindication for this treatment. Splenectomy prior to interferon therapy may alleviate this problem. To investigate whether splenectomy improves the efficacy of antiviral therapy, 13 interferon-naïve hepatitis C virus decompensated cirrhotic patients underwent splenectomy between January 2008 and January 2011, followed 1-3 months later by an interferon-based therapeutic regimen (pegylated/standard interferon-α combined with ribavirin for 48 weeks). Ten (76.9%) of the patients developed postoperative complications, which included minor portal vein thrombosis (2/13, 15.4%) and transient ascites (8/13, 61.5%). At one-month post-splenectomy, the patients showed significantly increased platelet (pre-surgery: 48.2±15.9 vs. 186.0±70.6×10(3)μL(-1), p<0.001) and leukocyte (2.1±0.5 vs. 5.7±1.4×10(3)μL(-1), p<0.001) counts. Eight (61.5%) of the patients achieved sustained virological response, including all HCV genotype 2a-infected patients (4/4, 100%) and some of the genotype 1b-infected patients (4/9, 44.4%). Temporary interferon-α suspension was required for one patient to address severe intestinal infection. These results indicate that splenectomy prior to interferon-based therapy was safe and may facilitate adherence to subsequent antiviral therapy in selected HCV cirrhotic patients with portal hypertension and hypersplenism.

Benefits from sustained virologic response to pegylated interferon plus ribavirin in HIV/hepatitis C virus-coinfected patients with compensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

The objective of this study was to determine the impact of sustained virologic response (SVR) to pegylated interferon (peg-IFN) plus ribavirin (RBV) on the incidence of liver-related complications and overall mortality in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients with compensated hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related cirrhosis.

METHODS

We included in this prospective cohort study 166 coinfected patients with compensated cirrhosis, who received peg-IFN plus RBV, to assess the time from the starting date of HCV therapy to the first hepatic decompensation and death due to any cause.

RESULTS

SVR was observed in 43 (25%) individuals. Two (4.6%) patients with SVR developed liver decompensation vs 33 (26.8%) individuals without SVR (P = .002). The incidence of liver-related complications was 0.89 cases per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI], .11-3.1) in SVR patients and 6.4 cases per 100 person-years (95% CI, 4.5-8.9) in non-SVR patients. Factors independently associated with liver decompensation were non-SVR (hazard ratio [HR], 8.1; 95% CI, 1.08-61.5; P = .042) and MELD score ≥9 at baseline (HR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.2-7.2; P = .016). Two (4.6%) patients with SVR died due to any cause compared with 22 (17.9%) individuals without SVR (P = .02). MELD score ≥9 (HR, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.3-7.7; P = .011) and non-SVR (HR, 8.0; 95% CI, 1.07-61; P = .043) were independently associated with overall mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The achievement of SVR following peg-IFN plus RBV markedly reduces the incidence of liver-related decompensation and the overall mortality in HIV/HCV-coinfected patients with compensated cirrhosis.