Non-inferiority versus superiority trial design for new antibiotics in an era of high antimicrobial resistance: the case for post-marketing, adaptive randomised controlled trials

Novel Antibacterial Approaches and Therapeutic Strategies

The increase in multidrug-resistant organisms worldwide is a major public health threat driven by antibiotic overuse, horizontal gene transfer (HGT), environmental drivers, and deficient infection control in hospitals. In this article, we discuss these factors and summarize the new drugs and treatment strategies suggested to combat the increasing challenges of multidrug-resistant (MDR) bacteria. New treatments recently developed involve targeting key processes involved in bacterial growth, such as riboswitches and proteolysis, and combination therapies to improve efficacy and minimize adverse effects. It also tackles the challenges of the Gram-negative bacterial outer membrane, stressing that novel strategies are needed to evade permeability barriers, efflux pumps, and resistance mechanisms. Other approaches, including phage therapy, AMPs, and AI in drug discovery, are also discussed as potential alternatives. Finally, this review points out the urgency for continued research and development (R&D), industry-academic partnerships, and financial engines to ensure that MDR microbes do not exceed the value of antibacterial therapies.

Reserve antibiotics: overcoming limitations of evidence generated from regulatory approval trials

New antibiotics active against multidrug resistant bacteria (MDR-B) are licensed by regulatory agencies based on pivotal trials that serve the primary purpose of obtaining marketing-authorization. There is increasing concern that they do not offer guidance on how to best use new antibiotics, in which population, and to what extent they overcome existing resistance. We reviewed the literature for pre-approval studies (phase 2 and 3 randomized controlled trials) and post-approval studies (randomized and non-randomized controlled trials) evaluating efficacy and safety of new antibiotics, classified by WHO as Reserve, approved in the European Union and the US from January 2010 to May 2023. Substantial failures occur in generating evidence to guide routine clinical use: preapproval studies lack representativeness, select outcomes and comparators to chase statistical significance, and often avoid using prespecified analytical methods. Three recommendations are key to enhance the quality and relevance of clinical data underpinning use of last resort molecules on the WHO AWaRe Reserve list active against carbapenem-resistant MDR-B i). separation of pivotal trials from post-approval studies, which should be funded by public programs and de-linked from commercial purposes, ii). development and maintenance of a global infrastructure to conduct post-approval public health focused studies, and iii). development of trial platforms that use efficient, adaptive designs to inform clinical decision making and country level technology appraisal. These solutions will allow clinicians to determine whether recently approved Reserve antibiotics are not only "newer" but also "better" for vulnerable patient populations at particular risk for infections by MDR-B.

Chemical optimization and derivatization of micrococcin p2 to target multiple bacterial infections: new antibiotics from thiopeptides

Antimicrobial resistance poses a significant threat to humanity, and the development of new antibiotics is urgently needed. Our research has focused on thiopeptide antibiotics such as micrococcin P2 (MP2) and derivatives thereof as new anti-infective agents. Thiopeptides are sulfur-rich, structurally complex substances that exhibit potent activity against Gram-positive pathogens and Mycobacteria species, including clinically resistant strains. The clinical development of thiopeptides has been hampered by the lack of efficient synthetic platforms to conduct detailed structure-activity relationship studies of these natural products. The present contribution touches upon efficient synthetic routes to MP2 that laid the groundwork for clinical translation. The medicinal chemistry campaign on MP2 has been guided by computational molecular dynamic simulations and parallel investigations to improve drug-like properties, such as enhancing the aqueous solubility and optimizing antibacterial activity. Such endeavors have enabled identification of promising lead compounds, AJ-037 and AJ-206, against Mycobacterium avium complex (MAC). Extensive in vitro studies revealed that these compounds exert potent activity against MAC species, a subspecies of non-tuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) that proliferate inside macrophages. Two additional pre-clinical candidates have been identified: AJ-024, for the treatment of Clostridioides difficile infections, and AJ-147, for methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus impetigo. Both compounds compare quite favorably with current first-line treatments. In particular, the ability of AJ-147 to downregulate pro-inflammatory cytokines adds a valuable dimension to its clinical use. In light of above, these new thiopeptide derivatives are well-poised for further clinical development.

All-cause mortality rates in adults with carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative bacterial infections: a comprehensive review of pathogen-focused, prospective, randomized, interventional clinical studies

INTRODUCTION

Pathogen-focused, randomized, controlled trials (PF-RCT) are important in the fight against carbapenem-resistant (CR) Gram-negative infections. Some recently approved antibiotics and older generic antibiotics with activity against CR Gram-negative bacteria were investigated in PF-RCTs in a variety of infections.

AREAS COVERED

We searched Pubmed, Cochrane database and international clinical trial databases for PF-RCTs for the period between 2005 and 2020 and compared the study designs, patient populations, infection types, pathogens, and Day-28 all-cause mortality (ACM).

EXPERT OPINION

PF-RCTs are particularly challenging to quantitatively assess and compare due to the heterogeneity in infection types, pathogens, CR mechanism, inclusion/exclusion criteria, and endpoints. Data interpretation is further complicated by lack of formal statistical analysis plans and/or non-inferiority design, and limited power across most PF-RCTs. The studies with new antibiotics (i.e. plazomicin, meropenem/vaborbactam, cefiderocol) ranked lower regarding feasibility, with relatively small sample sizes (analyzed: 37-118) versus the comparative effectiveness studies of older generic drugs (analyzed: 94-406). ACM ranged between 11.8% and 40% for CR Enterobacterales, 17.7% and 57.4% for CR Acinetobacter spp., and 20.0% and 30.8% for CR Pseudomonas aeruginosa. The information gathered must be considered carefully alongside the study limitations and caution should be exercised when making direct comparisons across trials.

Assessment of Data Supporting the Efficacy of New Antibiotics for Treating Infections Caused by Multidrug-resistant Bacteria

BACKGROUND

Infections caused by multidrug-resistant (MDR) bacteria are a major public health threat. We aimed to assess the data supporting US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval of new agents aimed to treat MDR bacterial infections and the data provided by postmarketing studies.

METHODS

We identified all drugs with in vitro activity against MDR bacteria initially approved by the FDA between January 2010 and December 2018. Characteristics of trials supporting approval and regulatory pathways were collected from Drugs@FDA. Characteristics of postmarketing studies were extracted from drug labels and ClinicalTrials.gov entries effective 1 June 2019.

RESULTS

Initial approval of 11 newly approved antibiotics with anti-MDR activity was supported by 20 trials, all with noninferiority design. All initially approved indications were for common infections, mostly acute bacterial skin and skin-structure infections, regardless of causative microorganism. The proportion of MDR bacteria in most trials was low (<10% for gram-negative infections, <1% for gram-positive pneumonia). Most trials (90%) excluded immunocompromised and critically ill patients. Of 16 additional postmarketing randomized controlled trials identified through ClinicalTrials.gov, only 2 exclusively included infections caused by MDR bacteria, comprising 116 patients. No drug was granted accelerated approval, which would mandate postmarketing efficacy studies.

CONCLUSIONS

The approval of new drugs with potential clinical activity against MDR bacteria is supported by trials evaluating infections caused by non-MDR organisms, using noninferiority design and excluding the patients most likely to require these agents. Subsequent postmarketing efficacy data against these organisms are scarce. Healthcare professionals and regulators should demand more robust data to support clinical decision making.

National Facilitators and Barriers to the Implementation of Incentives for Antibiotic Access and Innovation

Prominent reports have assessed the challenges to antibiotic innovation and recommended implementing “pull” incentives, i.e., mechanisms that give increased and predictable revenues for important, marketed antibiotics. We set out to understand countries’ perceptions of these recommendations, through frank and anonymous dialogue. In 2019 and 2020, we performed in-depth interviews with national policymakers and antibiotic resistance experts in 13 countries (ten European countries and three non-European) for a total of 73 individuals in 27 separate interviews. Interviewees expressed high-level support for antibiotic incentives in 11 of 13 countries. There is recognition that new economic incentives are needed to maintain a reliable supply to essential antibiotics. However, most countries are uncertain which incentives may be appropriate for their country, which antibiotics should be included, how to implement incentives, and how much it will cost. There is a preference for a multinational incentive, so long as it is independent of national pricing, procurement, and reimbursement processes. Nine countries indicated a preference for a model that ensures access to both existing and new antibiotics, with the highest priority for existing antibiotics. Twelve of thirteen countries indicated that shortages of existing antibiotics is a serious problem. Since countries are skeptical about the public health value of many recently approved antibiotics, there is a mismatch regarding revenue expectations between policymakers and antibiotic innovators. This paper presents important considerations for the design and implementation of antibiotic pull mechanisms. We also propose a multinational model that appears to match the needs of both countries and innovators.

Personalised randomised controlled trial designs-a new paradigm to define optimal treatments for carbapenem-resistant infections

Antimicrobial resistance is impacting treatment decisions for, and patient outcomes from, bacterial infections worldwide, with particular threats from infections with carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae, Acinetobacter baumanii, or Pseudomonas aeruginosa. Numerous areas of clinical uncertainty surround the treatment of these highly resistant infections, yet substantial obstacles exist to the design and conduct of treatment trials for carbapenem-resistant bacterial infections. These include the lack of a widely acceptable optimised standard of care and control regimens, varying antimicrobial susceptibilities and clinical contraindications making specific intervention regimens infeasible, and diagnostic and recruitment challenges. The current single comparator trials are not designed to answer the urgent public health question, identified as a high priority by WHO, of what are the best regimens out of the available options that will significantly reduce morbidity, costs, and mortality. This scenario has an analogy in network meta-analysis, which compares multiple treatments in an evidence synthesis to rank the best of a set of available treatments. To address these obstacles, we propose extending the network meta-analysis approach to individual randomisation of patients. We refer to this approach as a Personalised RAndomised Controlled Trial (PRACTical) design that compares multiple treatments in an evidence synthesis, to identify, overall, which is the best treatment out of a set of available treatments to recommend, or how these different treatments rank against each other. In this Personal View, we summarise the design principles of personalised randomised controlled trial designs. Specifically, of a network of different potential regimens for life-threatening carbapenem-resistant infections, each patient would be randomly assigned only to regimens considered clinically reasonable for that patient at that time, incorporating antimicrobial susceptibility, toxicity profile, pharmacometric properties, availability, and physician assessment. Analysis can use both direct and indirect comparisons across the network, analogous to network meta-analysis. This new trial design will maximise the relevance of the findings to each individual patient, and enable the top-ranked regimens from any personalised randomisation list to be identified, in terms of both efficacy and safety.

Pharmacoepidemiology of Ceftazidime-Avibactam Use: A Retrospective Cohort Analysis of 210 US Hospitals

BACKGROUND

Ceftazidime-avibactam has in vitro activity against some carbapenem-resistant gram-negative infections (GNIs), and therefore may be a useful alternative to more toxic antibiotics such as colistin. Understanding ceftazidime-avibactam uptake and usage patterns would inform hospital formularies, stewardship, and antibiotic development.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study assessed inpatient encounters in the Vizient database. Ceftazidime-avibactam and colistin administrations were categorized into presumed empiric (3 consecutive days of therapy or less with qualifying exclusions) versus targeted therapy (≥4 consecutive days of therapy) for presumed carbapenem-resistant GNIs. Quarterly percentage change (QPC) using modified Poisson regression and relative change in frequency of targeted ceftazidime-avibactam to colistin encounters was calculated. Factors associated with preferentially receiving targeted ceftazidime-avibactam versus colistin were identified using generalized estimating equations.

RESULTS

Between 2015 quarter (q) 1 and 2017q4, ceftazidime-avibactam was administered 21 215 times across 1901 encounters. Inpatient prescriptions for ceftazidime-avibactam increased from 0.44/10 000 hospitalizations in 2015q1 to 7.7/10 000 in 2017q4 (QPC, +11%; 95% CI, 10-13%; P < .01), while conversely colistin prescriptions decreased quarterly by 5% (95% CI, 4-6%; P < .01). Ceftazidime-avibactam therapy was categorized as empiric 25% of the time, targeted 65% of the time, and indeterminate 10% of the time. Patients with chronic kidney disease were twice as likely to receive targeted ceftazidime-avibactam versus colistin (RR, 2.02; 95% CI, 1.82-2.25), whereas those on dialysis were less likely to receive ceftazidime-avibactam than colistin (RR, 0.71; 95% CI, .61-.83).

CONCLUSIONS

Since approval in 2015, ceftazidime-avibactam use has grown for presumed carbapenem-resistant GNIs, while colistin has correspondingly declined. Renal function drove the choice between ceftazidime-avibactam and colistin as targeted therapy.

Needs assessment for novel Gram-negative antibiotics in US hospitals: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Evidence-based needs assessments for novel antibiotics against highly-resistant Gram-negative infections (GNIs) are scarce. We aimed to use real-world data from an electronic health record repository to identify treatment opportunities in US hospitals for GNIs resistant to all first-line drugs.

METHODS

For this retrospective cohort study, population estimates with an unmet need for novel Gram-negative antibiotics were quantified using the Cerner Health Facts database (2009-15), aggregating episodes of infection in US hospitals with pathogens displaying difficult-to-treat resistance (DTR; resistance to carbapenems, other β-lactams, and fluoroquinolones) and episodes involving empirical coverage with reserve drugs (colistin or polymyxin B and aminoglycosides). Episodes displaying extended-spectrum cephalosporin resistance (ECR) were also estimated. Episodes were multiplied by site-specific and fixed 14-day treatment durations for conservative and liberal days-of-therapy (DOT) estimates and stratified by site and taxon. Hospital type-specific DOT rates were reliability adjusted to account for random variation; cluster analyses quantified contribution from outbreaks.

FINDINGS

Across 2 996 271 inpatient encounters and 134 hospitals, there were 1352 DTR-GNI episodes, 1765 episodes involving empirical therapy with colistin or polymyxin B, and 16 632 episodes involving aminoglycosides. Collectively, these yielded 39·0 (conservative estimate) to 138·2 (liberal estimate) DOT per 10 000 encounters for a novel DTR-GNI-targeted drug, whereas greater treatment opportunities were identified for ECR (six times greater) and β-lactam susceptible GNIs (70 times greater). The most common DTR-GNI site and pathogen was lower respiratory (14·3 [43·3%] of 33 DOT per 10 000 encounters) and Pseudomonas aeruginosa (522 [38·1%] of 1371 episodes), whereas Enterobacteriaceae urinary-tract infections dominated the ECR or carbapenem-sparing niche (59·0% [5589 of 9535 episodes]) equating to 210·7 DOT per 10 000 encounters. DTR Stenotrophomonas maltophilia, Burkholderia spp, and Achromobacter spp represented less than 1 DOT per 10 000 encounters each. The estimated need for DTR-GNI-targeted antibiotics saw minor contributions by outbreaks and varied from 0·5 to 73·1 DOT per 10 000 encounters by hospital type.

INTERPRETATION

Suspected or documented GNIs with no or suboptimal treatment options are relatively infrequent. Non-revenue-based strategies and innovative trial designs are probably essential to the development of antibiotics with improved effectiveness for these GNIs.

FUNDING

Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, US Food and Drug Administration; Intramural Research Program, National Institutes of Health Clinical Center and the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and the National Cancer Institute.

Treatment options for K. pneumoniae, P. aeruginosa and A. baumannii co-resistant to carbapenems, aminoglycosides, polymyxins and tigecycline: an approach based on the mechanisms of resistance to carbapenems

The management of carbapenem-resistant infections is often based on polymyxins, tigecycline, aminoglycosides and their combinations. However, in a recent systematic review, we found that Gram-negative bacteria (GNB) co-resistant to carbapanems, aminoglycosides, polymyxins and tigecycline (CAPT-resistant) are increasingly being reported worldwide. Clinical data to guide the treatment of CAPT-resistant GNB are scarce and based exclusively on few case reports and small case series, but seem to indicate that appropriate (in vitro active) antimicrobial regimens, including newer antibiotics and synergistic combinations, may be associated with lower mortality. In this review, we consolidate the available literature to inform clinicians dealing with CAPT-resistant GNB about treatment options by considering the mechanisms of resistance to carbapenems. In combination with rapid diagnostic methods that allow fast detection of carbapenemase production, the approach proposed in this review may guide a timely and targeted treatment of patients with infections by CAPT-resistant GNB. Specifically, we focus on the three most problematic species, namely Klebsiella pneumoniae, Pseudomonas aeruginosa and Acinetobacter baumannii. Several treatment options are currently available for CAPT-resistant K. pneumonia. Newer β-lactam-β-lactamase combinations, including the combination of ceftazidime/avibactam with aztreonam against metallo-β-lactamase-producing isolates, appear to be more effective compared to combinations of older agents. Options for P. aeruginosa (especially metallo-β-lactamase-producing strains) and A. baumannii remain limited. Synergistic combination of older agents (e.g., polymyxin- or fosfomycin-based synergistic combinations) may represent a last resort option, but their use against CAPT-resistant GNB requires further study.

Antibiotic resistance: Tools for effective translational research

The rising emergence of bacterial resistances has led to a crisis which threatens human, animal and environmental health. The impact of the emergency is enormous in terms of public health and economics. Although there is a global awareness of the warnings and programmes supporting innovative actions to combat fight against antibiotic resistance, it must be admitted that proposed new antibiotics fail to find the economic profitability necessary for them to reach the market and become available for patients and the community. Moreover, it is necessary to develop tools/indicators to define effective interventions against antibiotic resistance. The work of the think-tank reported in this article concentrated on two aspects of translational research: - prevention and the impact on health of the antibiotic resistance issue, and - the specific requirements of clinical research leading to innovation in the fight against antibiotic resistance. This article, which reflects the thoughts of a group of French experts, proposes directly operational solutions which could be rapidly implemented and radically transform the quality and quantity of our resources available for the combat.