Longitudinal Toxicity over Time (ToxT) analysis to evaluate tolerability: a case study of lenalidomide in the CALGB 50401 (Alliance) trial

An Overview of Regression Models for Adverse Events Analysis

Over the last few years, several review articles described the adverse events analysis as sub-optimal in clinical trials. Indeed, the context surrounding adverse events analyses often imply an overwhelming number of events, a lack of power to find associations, but also a lack of specific training regarding those complex data. In randomized controlled trials or in observational studies, comparing the occurrence of adverse events according to a covariable of interest (e.g., treatment) is a recurrent question in the analysis of drug safety data, and adjusting other important factors is often relevant. This article is an overview of the existing regression models that may be considered to compare adverse events and to discuss model choice regarding the characteristics of the adverse events of interest. Many dimensions may be relevant to compare the adverse events between patients, (e.g., timing, recurrence, and severity). Recent efforts have been made to cover all of them. For chronic treatments, the occurrence of intercurrent events during the patient follow-up usually needs the modeling approach to be adapted (at least with regard to their interpretation). Moreover, analysis based on regression models should not be limited to the estimation of relative effects. Indeed, absolute risks stemming from the model should be presented systematically to help the interpretation, to validate the model, and to encourage comparison of studies.

[Special issue PRO] Considering endpoints for comparative tolerability of cancer treatments using patient report given the estimand framework

Regulatory agencies are advancing the use of systematic approaches to collect patient experience data, including patient-reported outcomes (PROs), in cancer clinical trials to inform regulatory decision-making. Due in part to clinician under-reporting of symptomatic adverse events, there is a growing recognition that evaluation of cancer treatment tolerability should include the patient experience, both in terms of the overall side effect impact and symptomatic adverse events. Methodologies around implementation, analysis, and interpretation of "patient" reported tolerability are under development, and current approaches are largely descriptive. There is robust guidance for use of PROs as efficacy endpoints to compare cancer treatments, but it is unclear to what extent this can be relied-upon to develop tolerability endpoints. An important consideration when developing endpoints to compare tolerability between treatments is the linkage of trial design, objectives, and statistical analysis. Despite interest in and frequent collection of PRO data in oncology trials, heterogeneity in analyses and unclear PRO objectives mean that design, objectives, and analysis may not be aligned, posing substantial challenges for the interpretation of results. The recent ICH E9 (R1) estimand framework represents an opportunity to help address these challenges. Efforts to apply the estimand framework in the context of PROs have primarily focused on efficacy outcomes. In this paper, we discuss considerations for comparing the patient-reported tolerability of different treatments in an oncology trial context.

Critical gaps in understanding treatment outcomes in adolescents and young adults with lymphoma: A review of current data

Adolescents and young adults (AYA) with lymphoma experience treatment-related effects in the short and long term that impact their quality of life and survivorship experience. The effort to improve outcomes for AYA lymphoma survivors requires understanding the available literature, identifying current knowledge deficits, designing better clinical trials incorporating the patient perspective, using novel tools to bridge data gaps and building survivorship guidelines that translate research to clinical practice. This review article summarizes the current state of lymphoma treatment-related outcomes in AYAs and provides future direction.

Adverse events during first-line treatments for mCRC: The Toxicity over Time (ToxT) analysis of three randomised trials

BACKGROUND

In clinical trials, the assessment of safety is traditionally focused on the overall rate of high-grade and serious adverse events (AEs). A new approach to AEs evaluation, taking into account chronic low-grade AEs, single patient's perspective, and time-related information, such as ToxT analysis, should be considered especially for less intense but potentially long-lasting treatments, such as maintenance strategies in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We applied ToxT (Toxicity over Time) evaluation to a large cohort of mCRC patients enroled in randomised TRIBE, TRIBE2, and VALENTINO studies, in order to longitudinally describe AEs throughout the whole treatment duration and to compare AEs evolution over cycles between induction and maintenance strategies, providing numerical and graphical results overall and per single patient. After 4-6 months of combination therapy, 5-fluorouracil/leucovorin (5-FU/LV) + bevacizumab or panitumumab was recommended in all studies except for the 50% of patients in the VALENTINO trial who received panitumumab alone.

RESULTS

Out of 1400 patients included, 42% received FOLFOXIRI (5-FU/LV, oxaliplatin, and irinotecan)/bevacizumab, 18% FOLFIRI/bevacizumab, 24% FOLFOX/bevacizumab, 16% FOLFOX/panitumumab. Mean grade of general and haematological AEs was higher in the first cycles, then progressively decreasing after the end of induction (p < 0.001), and always remaining at the highest levels with FOLFOXIRI/bevacizumab (p < 0.001). Neurotoxicity became more frequent over the cycles with late high-grade episodes (p < 0.001), while the incidence but not the grade of hand-and-foot syndrome gradually increased (p = 0.91). Anti-VEGF-related AEs were more severe in the first cycles, then setting over at low levels (p = 0.03), while anti-EGFR-related AEs still affected patients during maintenance.

CONCLUSIONS

Most of chemotherapy-related AEs (except for HFS and neuropathy) reach the highest level in the first cycles, then decrease, probably due to their active clinical management. Transition to maintenance allows relief from most AEs, especially with bevacizumab-based regimens, while anti-EGFR-related AEs may persist.

Lenalidomide maintenance following high-dose therapy and autologous haematopoietic stem cell transplantation in chemo-resistant or high-risk non-Hodgkin lymphoma: A phase I/II study

Improved maintenance treatments are needed for patients with relapsed/refractory aggressive lymphomas after autologous haematopoietic stem cell transplantation (ASCT). Several studies with lenalidomide have been found to have activity in the treatment of relapsed/refractory aggressive lymphomas. In the present phase I/II, single-arm, open-label study, 59 patients with high-risk relapsed non-Hodgkin lymphoma received pretransplant BEAM chemotherapy and ASCT followed by 12 months of maintenance lenalidomide once daily on Days 1-21 (28-day cycles) beginning at post-transplantation Day 100. The most common histologies were mantle cell lymphoma (56%) and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (24%). The maximum tolerated dose in the dose-finding part of the study was 15 mg, but cytopenias led to the subsequent adoption of a 10 mg dose in the final study. Sixteen patients (27%) completed 12 cycles of lenalidomide maintenance. The most common reason for discontinuation was adverse events (31%). These were primarily haematologic, and 56% of patients experienced Grade 3-4 events. Two-year PFS rates (95% CIs) were 70% (56%-80%), 45% (19%-68%) and 81% (66%-90%); 2-year OS rates (95% CIs) were 91% (80%-96%), 93% (61%-99%) and 90% (76%-96%) in all patients, patients completing and patients not completing 12-month maintenance respectively. These results do not support the use of lenalidomide maintenance in this setting.

Novel Approaches for Dynamic Visualization of Adverse Event Data in Oncology Clinical Trials: A Case Study Using Immunotherapy Trial S1400-I (SWOG)

PURPOSE

Clinical trial adverse event (AE) data are increasingly complex and high-dimensional, especially for trials evaluating novel targeted agents and immunotherapies. Standard approaches to summarize and analyze AEs remain generally tabular, failing to describe the nature of AEs. Novel dynamic and data visualization methods are needed to enable a more comprehensive assessment of the overall toxicity profile of treatments.

METHODS

We developed methods for visualizing the numerous categorizations and types of AEs along with a dynamic approach to better reflect its highly dimensional nature without sacrificing the reporting of rare events. Circular plots displaying the proportion of maximal-grade AEs by system organ classes (SOCs) and butterfly plots displaying the proportion of AEs by severity for each AE term were developed to enable comparisons of AE patterns by treatment arm. These approaches were applied to a randomized phase III trial (S1400I; ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02785952) comparing nivolumab with nivolumab plus ipilimumab in patients with stage IV squamous non-small-cell lung cancer.

RESULTS

Our visualizations revealed that patients randomly assigned to nivolumab and ipilimumab had higher rates of grade 3 or higher AEs compared with nivolumab alone for several SOCs, including musculoskeletal (5.6% v 0.8%), skin (5.6% v 0.8%), vascular (5.6% v 1.6%), and cardiac (4% v 1.6%) toxicities. They also suggested a pattern of higher prevalence of moderate GI and endocrine toxicities and showed that although the rates of cardiac and neurologic toxicities were similar, the types of events were discordant.

CONCLUSION

The graphical approaches we proposed enable a more comprehensive and intuitive evaluation of toxicity types by treatment groups, which is not apparent in tabular and descriptive reporting methods.

Effectiveness of a phone-based nurse monitoring assessment and intervention for chemotherapy-related toxicity: A randomized multicenter trial

Purpose

Anticancer treatment-related toxicities can impact morbidity and mortality, hamper the administration of treatment, worsen the quality of life and increase the burden on the healthcare system. Therefore, their prompt identification is crucial. NICSO (Italian Network for Supportive Care in Cancer) conducted a nationwide randomized trial to evaluate the role of a planned, weekly phone-based nurse monitoring intervention to prevent and treat chemotherapy, targeted therapy- and immunotherapy-related toxicities. Here, we report the results from the chemotherapy arm.

Methods

This was a nationwide, randomized, open-label trial conducted among 29 Italian centers (NCT04726020) involving adult patients with breast, colon, or lung cancer and a life expectancy ≥6 months receiving adjuvant chemotherapy. Patients received either a weekly nurse monitoring phone call and an educational leaflet reporting practical advice about prevention and treatment of toxicities (experimental group) or the educational leaflet only (control group).

Results

The addition of a nurse monitoring intervention may help reduce time spent with severe toxicities (grade ≥3), particularly those less frequently reported in clinical practice, such as fatigue. When considering grade 1–2 AEs, times with mild/moderate diarrhea, mucositis, fatigue and pain were shorter in the experimental arm. Time spent without AEs was significantly longer in the experimental arms for all the toxicities. The requirement for special medical attention was comparable between groups.

Conclusion

This study suggests the need for implementing a better system of toxicity assessment and management for patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy to promote effective preventive and/or therapeutic intervention against these events.

Reaching beyond maximum grade: progress and future directions for modernising the assessment and reporting of adverse events in haematological malignancies

Remarkable improvements in outcomes for many haematological malignancies have been driven primarily by a proliferation of novel therapeutics over the past two decades. Targeted agents, immune and cellular therapies, and combination regimens have adverse event profiles distinct from conventional finite cytotoxic chemotherapies. In 2018, a Commission comprising patient advocates, clinicians, clinical investigators, regulators, biostatisticians, and pharmacists representing a broad range of academic and clinical cancer expertise examined issues of adverse event evaluation in the context of both newer and existing therapies for haematological cancers. The Commission proposed immediate actions and long-term solutions in the current processes in adverse event assessment, patient-reported outcomes in haematological malignancies, toxicities in cellular therapies, long-term toxicity and survivorship in haematological malignancies, issues in regulatory approval from an international perspective, and toxicity reporting in haematological malignancies and the real-world setting. In this follow-up report, the Commission describes progress that has been made in these areas since the initial report.

Novel longitudinal Multiple Overall Toxicity (MOTox) score to quantify adverse events experienced by patients during chemotherapy treatment: a retrospective analysis of the MRC BO06 trial in osteosarcoma

OBJECTIVES

This study aims at exploring and quantifying multiple types of adverse events (AEs) experienced by patients during cancer treatment. A novel longitudinal score to evaluate the Multiple Overall Toxicity (MOTox) burden is proposed. The MOTox approach investigates the personalised evolution of high overall toxicity (high-MOTox) during the treatment.

DESIGN

Retrospective analysis of the MRC-BO06/EORTC-80931 randomised controlled trial for osteosarcoma.

SETTING

International multicentre population-based study.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 377 patients with resectable high-grade osteosarcoma, who completed treatment within 180 days after randomisation without abnormal dosages (+25% higher than planned).

INTERVENTIONS

Patients were randomised to six cycles of conventional versus dose-intense regimens of doxorubicin and cisplatin. Non-haematological toxicity data were collected prospectively and graded according to the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The MOTox score described the overall toxicity burden in terms of multiple toxic AEs, maximum-severity episode and cycle time-dimension. Evolution of high-MOTox was assessed through multivariable models, that investigated the impact of personalised characteristics (eg, achieved chemotherapy dose, previous AEs or biochemical factors) cycle-by-cycle.

RESULTS

A cycle-by-cycle analysis identifies different evolutions of MOTox levels during treatment, detecting differences in patients' health. Mean MOTox values and percentages of patients with high-MOTox decreased cycle-by-cycle from 2.626 to 1.953 and from 57.8% to 36.6%, respectively. High-MOTox conditions during previous cycles were prognostic risk factors for a new occurrence (ORs range from 1.522 to 4.439), showing that patient's history of toxicities played an important role in the evolution of overall toxicity burden during therapy. Conventional regimen may be preferred to dose-intense in terms of AEs at cycles 2-3 (p<0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The novel longitudinal method developed can be applied to any cancer studies with CTCAE-graded toxicity data. After validation in other studies, the MOTox approach may lead to improvements in healthcare assessment and treatment planning.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ISRCTN86294690; Post-results.

Tolerability of bevacizumab and chemotherapy in a phase 3 clinical trial with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative breast cancer: A trajectory analysis of adverse events

BACKGROUND

E5103 was a study designed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of bevacizumab. It was a negative trial for the end points of invasive disease-free survival and overall survival. The current work examines the tolerability of bevacizumab and other medication exposures with respect to clinical outcomes and patient-reported outcomes (PROs).

METHODS

Adverse events (AEs) collected from the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events were summarized to form an AE profile at each treatment cycle. All-grade and high-grade events were separately analyzed. The change in the AE profile over the treatment cycle was delineated as distinct AE trajectory clusters. AE-related and any-reason early treatment discontinuations were treated as clinical outcome measures. PROs were measured with the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-Breast + Lymphedema. The relationships between the AE trajectory and early treatment discontinuation as well as PROs were analyzed.

RESULTS

More than half of all AEs (57.5%) were low-grade. A cluster of patients with broad and mixed AE (all-grade) trajectory grades was significantly associated with any-reason early treatment discontinuation (odds ratio [OR], 2.87; P = .01) as well as AE-related discontinuation (OR, 4.14; P = .001). This cluster had the highest count of all-grade AEs per cycle in comparison with other clusters. Another cluster of patients with primary neuropathic AEs in their trajectories had poorer physical well-being in comparison with a trajectory of no or few AEs (P < .01). A high-grade AE trajectory did not predict discontinuations.

CONCLUSIONS

A sustained and cumulative burden of across-the-board toxicities, which were not necessarily all recognized as high-grade AEs, contributed to early treatment discontinuation. Patients with neuropathic all-grade AEs may require additional attention for preventing deterioration in their physical well-being.

Clinical impact of neutropenia and febrile neutropenia in metastatic colorectal cancer patients treated with FOLFOXIRI/bevacizumab: a pooled analysis of TRIBE and TRIBE2 studies by GONO

BACKGROUND

TRIBE and TRIBE-2 studies demonstrated higher benefit from FOLFOXIRI (fluorouracil, leucovorin, oxaliplatin, and irinotecan)/bevacizumab compared with FOLFIRI (fluorouracil, leucovorin, and irinotecan) or FOLFOX/bevacizumab as an upfront option for metastatic colorectal cancer patients, with more toxicities. We focused on the incidence and longitudinal dynamics of neutropenia and febrile neutropenia (FN) in the two studies, to evaluate their clinical relevance, the magnitude of impact of FOLFOXIRI/bevacizumab, and the role of risk factors in predicting their occurrence.

METHODS

The overall incidence of grade 3-4 (G3-4) neutropenia and FN, the time to their onset, the use of granulocyte colony-stimulating factor, and the association with risk factors were evaluated in the overall population and according to treatment arm. FN episodes were assessed by Multinational Association for Supportive Care in Cancer (MASCC) score.

RESULTS

Among 1155 patients, 568 (49%) received FOLFOXIRI/bevacizumab. Overall, 410 (35%) experienced G3-4 neutropenia and 70 (6%) FN, 21 (2%) at high risk. FOLFOXIRI/bevacizumab was associated with higher incidence of neutropenia (51% versus 21%, P < 0.001), FN (8% versus 4%, P = 0.02), and high-risk FN [18 (3%) versus 3 (1%), P = 0.015]. No related deaths were observed. The first episode of G3-4 neutropenia and FN occurred mainly in the first 2 months in both arms. Longitudinal analysis showed different patterns of evolution over cycles between the arms (P < 0.001) G3-4 neutropenia being more frequent in the first cycles with FOLFOXIRI/bevacizumab. Older patients (P = 0.01) and females (P < 0.001) had a significantly higher risk of G3-4 neutropenia. No significant interaction effect between arm and analysed risk factors in terms of risk of G3-4 neutropenia or FN was observed. The incidence of FN among older females receiving FOLFOXIRI/bevacizumab was 12%. Neither G3-4 neutropenia nor FN impaired efficacy in terms of overall response rate, progression-free survival, and overall survival.

CONCLUSIONS

FOLFOXIRI/bevacizumab has a higher risk of G3-4 neutropenia and FN than doublets/bevacizumab. FN occurred in <10% of patients, mostly as low-risk episodes. A closer monitoring during the first 2 months is recommended; prophylactic use of granulocyte colony-stimulating factor may be considered for older females.

Chemotherapy-Free Management of Follicular and Marginal Zone Lymphoma

Many patients with follicular (FL) or marginal zone lymphoma (MZL) are not eligible to receive immunochemotherapy due to advanced age or comorbidities. Recent innovations in the treatment of these indolent lymphomas provide options for multiple lines of chemotherapy-free management. More research is needed to determine which older patients are best served by a chemotherapy-free approach in the context of geriatric vulnerabilities. In the first line, regardless of disease burden, rituximab monotherapy can provide high rates of disease control with minimal toxicity, while judicious use of brief maintenance extends the duration of response. Radioimmunotherapy using ibritumomab tiuxetan is an effective and safe post-rituximab consolidation for older patients who have <25% bone marrow involvement. The combination of rituximab and lenalidomide, although “chemotherapy-free”, does not improve tolerability over immunochemotherapy. However, studies support lower doses and shorter duration of lenalidomide exposure as a means to improve safety without materially compromising efficacy for older individuals. Extranodal MZL can often be effectively controlled with low-dose radiation therapy, and splenic MZL has excellent outcomes with rituximab monotherapy. For many patients with relapsed FL/MZL, simple retreatment with anti-CD20 antibodies will prove sufficient. Other currently available options for relapsed/refractory disease include ibritumomab tiuxetan, lenalidomide with rituximab, umbralisib as a potentially less toxic PI3K inhibitor, ibrutinib (for MZL), and tazemetostat (for FL, especially with EZH2 mutation). Emerging data with novel forms of immunotherapy (antibody-drug conjugates like polatuzumab vedotin or loncastuximab tesirine; T-cell-engaging bispecific antibodies like mosunetuzumab or epcoritamab; and chimeric antigen receptor CAR T-cells like axicabtagene ciloleucel) suggest that immune-directed approaches can produce very high and potentially durable responses in FL/MZL with limited toxicities, further obviating the need for chemotherapy.

Expanding Beyond Maximum Grade: Chemotherapy Toxicity over Time by Age and Performance Status in Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer in CALGB 9730 (Alliance A151729)

BACKGROUND

Prior comparisons of chemotherapy adverse events (AEs) by age and performance status (PS) are limited by the traditional maximum grade approach, which ignores low-grade AEs and longitudinal changes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

To compare fatigue and neuropathy longitudinally by age (<65, ≥65 years) and PS (0-1, 2), we analyzed data from a large phase III trial of carboplatin and paclitaxel versus paclitaxel for advanced non-small cell lung cancer (CALGB 9730, n = 529). We performed multivariable (a) linear mixed models to estimate mean AE grade over time, (b) linear regression to estimate area under the curve (AUC), and (c) proportional hazards models to estimate the hazard ratio of developing grade ≥2 AE, as well as traditional maximum grade analyses.

RESULTS

Older patients had on average a 0.17-point (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.00-0.34; p = .049) higher mean fatigue grade longitudinally compared with younger patients. PS 2 was associated with earlier development of grade ≥2 fatigue (hazard ratio [HR], 1.56; 95% CI, 1.07-2.27; p = .02). For neuropathy, older age was associated with earlier development of grade ≥2 neuropathy (HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.00-1.97; p = .049). Patients with PS 2 had a 1.30 point lower neuropathy AUC (95% CI, -2.36 to -0.25; p = .02) compared with PS 0-1. In contrast, maximum grade analyses only detected a higher percentage of older adults with grade ≥3 fatigue and neuropathy at some point during treatment.

CONCLUSION

Our comparison of complementary but distinct aspects of chemotherapy toxicity identified important longitudinal differences in fatigue and neuropathy by age and PS that are missed by the traditional maximum grade approach. Clinical trial identification number: NCT00003117 (CALGB 9730) IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: The traditional maximum grade approach ignores persistent low-grade adverse events (AEs) and changes over time. This toxicity over time analysis of fatigue and neuropathy during chemotherapy for advanced non-small cell lung cancer demonstrates how to use longitudinal methods to comprehensively characterize AEs over time by age and performance status (PS). We identified important longitudinal differences in fatigue and neuropathy that are missed by the maximum grade approach. This new information about how older adults and patients with PS 2 experience these toxicities longitudinally may be used clinically to improve discussions about treatment options and what to expect to inform shared decision making and symptom management.

Adverse Event Burden Score-A Versatile Summary Measure for Cancer Clinical Trials

Simple Summary

In cancer clinical trials, adverse event data are collected after every treatment cycle, using the Common Terminology Criteria for adverse events, which includes 837 terms. The vast number of potentially reportable adverse events over multiple treatment cycles makes summarizing and analyzing adverse event data challenging. The current standard reporting of adverse event data includes the frequency of the maximum (worst) grade of commonly occurring adverse events. In this article, we propose a single quantitative summary measure that incorporates both the frequency and the severity of multiple adverse events over time; the adverse event burden score. This score is a well-defined measure that enables statistical comparisons analogous to other quantitative endpoints in clinical trials. The adverse event burden score can readily accommodate different trial settings, diseases, and treatments, with diverse safety profiles.

Abstract

This article introduces the adverse event (AE) burden score. The AE burden by treatment cycle is a weighted sum of all grades and AEs that the patient experienced in a cycle. The overall AE burden score is the total AE burden the patient experienced across all treatment cycles. AE data from two completed Alliance multi-center randomized double-blind placebo-controlled trials, with different AE profiles (NCCTG 97-24-51: 176 patients, and A091105: 83 patients), were utilized for illustration. Results of the AE burden score analyses corroborated the trials’ primary results. In 97-24-51, the overall AE burden for patients on the treatment arm was 2.2 points higher than those on the placebo arm, with a higher AE burden for patients who went off treatment early due to AE. Similarly, in A091105, the overall AE burden was 1.6 points higher on the treatment arm. On the placebo arms, the AE burden in 97-24-51 remained constant over time; and increased in later cycles in A091105, likely attributable to the increase in disease morbidity. The AE burden score enables statistical comparisons analogous to other quantitative endpoints in clinical trials, and can readily accommodate different trial settings, diseases, and treatments, with diverse AE profiles.