Sensitivities of Simulated Source Contributions and Health Impacts of PM2.5 to Aerosol Models

Source apportionment of anthropogenic and biogenic organic aerosol over the Tokyo metropolitan area from forward and receptor models

Organic aerosol (OA) is a dominant component of PM2.5, and accurate knowledge of its sources is critical for identification of cost-effective measures to reduce PM2.5. For accurate source apportionment of OA, we conducted field measurements of organic tracers at three sites (one urban, one suburban, and one forest) in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area and numerical simulations of forward and receptor models. We estimated the source contributions of OA by calculating three receptor models (positive matrix factorization, chemical mass balance, and secondary organic aerosol (SOA)-tracer method) using the ambient concentrations, source profiles, and production yields of OA tracers. Sensitivity simulations of the forward model (chemical transport model) for precursor emissions and SOA formation pathways were conducted. Cross-validation between the receptor and forward models demonstrated that biogenic and anthropogenic SOA were better reproduced by the forward model with updated modules for emissions of biogenic volatile organic compounds (VOC) and for SOA formation from biogenic VOC and intermediate-volatility organic compounds than by the default setup. The source contributions estimated by the forward model generally agreed with those of the receptor models for the major OA sources: mobile sources, biomass combustion, biogenic SOA, and anthropogenic SOA. The contributions of anthropogenic SOA, which are the main focus of this study, were estimated by the forward and receptor models to have been between 9 % and 15 % in summer 2019. The observed percent modern carbon data indicate that the amounts of anthropogenic SOA produced during daytime have substantially declined from 2007 to 2019. This trend is consistent with the decreasing trend of anthropogenic VOC, suggesting that reduction of anthropogenic VOC has been effective in reducing anthropogenic SOA in the atmosphere.

Emissions of Condensable Organic Aerosols from Stationary Combustion Sources over Japan

Treatment of condensable particulate matter (CPM) is key for accurate simulation of atmospheric particulate matter (PM), because conventional stationary combustion source emission surveys do not measure CPM in many countries. This study updates previously estimated CPM emissions from stationary combustion sources in Japan by considering the relationship between the CPM fraction and filterable PM (FPM) concentrations for individual sources rather than using a uniform CPM/FPM ratio for all sources. As a result, the total emissions ratio of condensable organic aerosol (OA) and filterable PM2.5 (OA CPM ∕ PM 2.5 FPM ) from stationary combustion sources, based on this update, changes from ~2.0 to 0.20, and the estimated concentrations of condensable OA, averaged over winter and over summer, changes from up to 3 μg m-3 to up to 0.2 μg m-3. The normalized mean bias for concentration of the simulated organic carbon (OC) in winter changes from -78% ~ -9% to -83% ~ -28%), although the proportion of modern carbon in total carbon is better estimated. The CPM contribution is likely to be overestimated when the source-dependent relationship between the CPM/FPM ratio and FPM concentration is not considered. Thus, accurate knowledge of the CPM/FPM ratio, particularly for sources with high FPM concentrations, is critical to improve CPM emission estimation.

The leading role of adsorbed lead in PM2.5-induced hippocampal neuronal apoptosis and synaptic damage

Neurodegenerative diseases may be caused by air pollution, such as PM_2.5. However, particles still need to be elucidated the mechanism of synergistic neurotoxicity induced by pollutant-loading PM_2.5. In this study, we used a reductionist approach to study leading role of lead (Pb) in PM_2.5-induced hippocampal neuronal apoptosis and synaptic damage both in vivo and in vitro. Pb in PM_2.5 caused neurotoxicity: 1) by increasing ROS levels and thus causing apoptosis in neuronal cells and 2) by decreasing the expression of PSD95 via interfering with the calcium signaling pathway through cAMP/CREB/pCREB/BDNF/PSD95 pathway and reducing the synapse length by 50%. This study clarifies a key factor in PM_2.5-induced neurotoxicity and provides the experimental basis for reducing PM_2.5-induced neurotoxicity.

Japanese Nationwide Study on the Association Between Short-term Exposure to Particulate Matter and Mortality

Background

From around 2012, the use of automated equipment for fine particulate matter (PM_2.5) measurement with equivalence to a reference method has become popular nationwide in Japan. This enabled us to perform a national health effect assessment employing PM_2.5 concentrations based on the standardized measurement method. We evaluated the association between non-accidental mortality and short-term exposure to PM_2.5 and coarse particulate matter (PM), with the latter estimated as the difference between suspended particulate matter and PM_2.5, for the fiscal years 2012–2014.

Methods

This was a time-stratified case-crossover study in 100 highly-populated Japanese cities. Mortality data was obtained from the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare. City-specific estimates of PM-mortality association were calculated by applying a conditional logistic regression analysis, and combined with a random-effects meta-analysis.

Results

The respective averages of daily mean concentration were 14.6 µg/m³ for PM_2.5 and 6.4 µg/m³ for coarse PM. A 10 µg/m³ increase in PM_2.5 concentrations for the average of the day of death and the previous day was associated with an increase of 1.3% (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.9–1.6%) in total non-accidental mortality. For cause-specific mortality, PM_2.5 was positively associated with cardiovascular and respiratory mortality. After adjustment for PM_2.5, we observed a 1.4% (95% CI, 0.2–2.6%) increase in total mortality with a 10 µg/m³ increase in coarse PM.

Conclusion

The study revealed that short-term exposure to PM_2.5 had adverse effects on total non-accidental, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality in Japan. Coarse PM exposure also increased the risk of total mortality.

Contributions of Condensable Particulate Matter to Atmospheric Organic Aerosol over Japan

Because emission rates of particulate matter (PM) from stationary combustion sources have been measured without dilution or cooling in Japan, condensable PM has not been included in Japanese emission inventories. In this study, we modified an emission inventory to include condensable PM from stationary combustion sources based on the recent emission surveys using a dilution method. As a result, emission rates of organic aerosol (OA) increased by a factor of 7 over Japan. Stationary combustion sources in the industrial and energy sectors became the largest contributors to OA emissions over Japan in the revised estimates (filterable-plus-condensable PM), while road transport and biomass burning were the dominant OA sources in the previous estimate (filterable PM). These results indicate that condensable PM from large combustion sources makes critical contributions to total PM_2.5 emissions. Simulated contributions of condensable PM from combustion sources to atmospheric OA drastically increased around urban and industrial areas, including the Kanto region, where OA concentrations increased by factors of 2.5-6.1. Consideration of condensable PM from stationary combustion sources improved model estimates of OA in winter but caused overestimation of OA concentrations in summer. Contributions of primary and secondary OA should be further evaluated by comparing with organic tracer measurements.