The prognostic impact of RAS on overall survival following liver resection in early versus late-onset colorectal cancer patients

Associations with other cancer-related biomarkers might contribute to poor outcomes in RAS-altered, younger patients with colorectal cancer

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a common cancer in younger adults. In patients undergoing liver resection with RAS-altered CRCs, there is evidence suggesting younger patients have worse outcomes than older patients. To explain this pattern, differences in associations between RAS status and other cancer-related biomarkers in tumors from younger versus older patients with CRC were evaluated in a cohort of 925 patients with CRC, 277 (30.0%) of whom were ≤50 years old, and 454 (49.1%) who had RAS-altered tumors. For 3 biomarkers, RNF43, APC, and microsatellite instability (MSI), the association with RAS status was significantly modified by age after adjustment for multiple testing. Specifically, younger patients with RAS-altered tumors were more likely to be MSI-high, RNF43 mutated, and APC wild type. These differences might contribute to the observed pattern of diminished survival in younger versus older patients with CRC with RAS-mutated tumors undergoing liver metastasis resection.

The challenge of molecular selection in liver-limited metastatic colorectal cancer for surgical resection: a systematic review and meta-analysis in the context of current and future approaches

Objectives

Treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) includes resection of liver metastases (LM), however, no validated biomarker identifies patients most likely to benefit from this procedure. This meta-analysis aimed to assess the impact of the most relevant molecular alterations in cancer-related genes of CRC (i.e., RAS, BRAF, SMAD4, PIK3CA) as prognostic markers of survival and disease recurrence in patients with mCRC surgically treated by LM resection.

Methods

A systematic literature review was performed to identify studies reporting data regarding survival and/or recurrence in patients that underwent complete liver resection for CRC LM, stratified according to RAS, BRAF, PIK3CA, and SMAD4 mutational status. Hazard ratios (HRs) from multivariate analyses were pooled in the meta-analysis and various adjustment strategies for confounding factors were combined. The search was conducted in numerous databases, including MEDLINE (PubMed), Embase, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL) (EBSCO host), and WHO Global Index Medicus, through March 18th, 2022. Meta-analyses, editorials, letters to the editor, case reports, studies on other primary cancers, studies with primary metastatic sites other than the liver, studies lacking specific oncological outcome variables or genetic data, non-English language studies, and studies omitting residual disease data from liver metastasectomy were excluded. The remaining 47 studies were summarized in a descriptive table which outlines the key characteristics of each study and final results were graphically presented.

Results

RAS mutation status was negatively associated with overall survival (OS) (HR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.54-1.84) and recurrence free survival (RFS) (HR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.33-1.61). A negative association was also found for BRAF regarding OS (HR, 2.64; 95% CI, 2.15-3.24) and RFS (HR, 1.89; 95% CI, 1.32-2.73) and SMAD4 regarding OS (HR, 1.93; 95% CI, 1.56-2.38) and RFS (HR, 1.95; 95% CI, 1.31-2.91). For PIK3CA only three studies were eligible and no significant association with either OS or RFS could be highlighted.

Conclusion

RAS, BRAF, and SMAD4 are negatively associated with OS and RFS in patients undergoing curative liver metastasectomy from colorectal cancer. No conclusion can be drawn for PIK3CA due to the limited literature availability. These data support the integration of RAS, BRAF, and SMAD4 mutational status in the surgical decision-making for colorectal liver metastasis. Nevertheless, we have to consider several limitations, the major ones being the pooling of results from studies that evaluated patient outcomes as either disease-free survival (DFS) or RFS; the inclusion of patients with minimal residual disease and unconsidered potential confounding factors, such as variability in resectability definitions, chemotherapy use, and a potential interaction between biological markers and pre- and post-resection pharmacological treatments.

BRAF mutations and survival with surgery for colorectal liver metastases: A systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Mutations in the BRAF gene (BRAFmut) are associated with an unfavorable prognosis in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC). The aim of this meta-analysis was to evaluate the prognosis of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients with liver metastases and the potential benefits of liver resection in patients with BRAFmut CRC.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A systematic search of PubMed, Cochrane Central Controlled Trials, and Embase databases was conducted on May 31, 2023. The inclusion criteria were as follows:1) reporting of outcomes in patients with BRAFmut CRC who underwent surgery for liver metastases and/or comparison of outcomes between those who underwent and those who did not undergo resection; 2) reporting of survival information as hazard ratios (HR); and 3) publication in English.

RESULTS

34 studies were included. Median follow up was 48 months for prognostic BRAF status meta-analysis. BRAFmut status showed a significantly increased risk of mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.56, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.04-3.22; P < 0.01) and relapse (HR = 1.97, 95% CI 1.44-2.71; P < 0.01). Resection of liver metastases was associated with a survival benefit (median follow up 46 months). The HR for survival was 0.44 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.33-0.59; P < 0.01) in favor of surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

and Relevance: Our analysis indeed confirms that BRAF mutation is associated with poor survival outcomes after liver resection of CRC metastases. However, upon quantitatively assessing the survival benefit of surgical intervention in patients with BRAF-mutated CRC liver metastases, we identified a significant 56% reduction in the risk of death.

The histological and molecular characteristics of early-onset colorectal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Early-onset colorectal cancer (CRC), defined as diagnosis before age 50, has increased in recent decades. Although more often diagnosed at advanced stage, associations with other histological and molecular markers that impact prognosis and treatment remain to be clarified. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis concerning the prevalence of prognostic and predictive tumor markers for early- vs. late-onset CRC, including oncogene mutations, microsatellite instability (MSI), and emerging markers including immune cells and the consensus molecular subtypes.

Methods

We systematically searched PubMed for original research articles published between April 2013-January 2024. Included studies compared the prevalence of tumor markers in early- vs. late-onset CRC. A meta-analysis was completed and summary odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were obtained from a random effects model via inverse variance weighting. A sensitivity analysis was completed to restrict the meta-analysis to studies that excluded individuals with Lynch syndrome, a hereditary condition that influences the distribution of tumor markers for early-onset CRC.

Results

In total, 149 articles were identified. Tumors from early-onset CRC are less likely to include mutations in KRAS (OR, 95% CI: 0.91, 0.85-0.98), BRAF (0.63, 0.51-0.78), APC (0.70, 0.58-0.84), and NRAS (0.88, 0.78-1.00) but more likely to include mutations in PTEN (1.68, 1.04-2.73) and TP53 (1.34, 1.24-1.45). After limiting to studies that excluded Lynch syndrome, the associations between early-onset CRC and BRAF (0.77, 0.64-0.92) and APC mutation (0.81, 0.67-0.97) were attenuated, while an inverse association with PIK3CA mutation was also observed (0.88, 0.78-0.99). Early-onset tumors are less likely to develop along the CpG Island Methylator Phenotype pathway (0.24, 0.10-0.57), but more likely to possess adverse histological features including high tumor grade (1.20, 1.15-1.25), and mucinous (1.22, 1.16-1.27) or signet ring histology (2.32, 2.08-2.57). A positive association with MSI status (1.31, 1.11-1.56) was also identified. Associations with immune markers and the consensus molecular subtypes are inconsistent.

Discussion

A lower prevalence of mutations in KRAS and BRAF is consistent with extended survival and superior response to targeted therapies for metastatic disease. Conversely, early-onset CRC is associated with aggressive histological subtypes and TP53 and PTEN mutations, which may serve as therapeutic targets.

Evolving survival gains in patients with young-onset colorectal cancer and synchronous resectable liver metastases

We aimed to evaluate the practice and the associated outcomes of surgical treatment for young-onset colorectal cancer (YOCRC) patients presenting with synchronous liver metastases. The study cohort was divided into two groups according to surgery date: 131 patients in the early era (EE, 1998-2011) and 179 in the contemporary era (CE, 2012-2020). The CE had a higher rate of node-positive primary tumors, higher carcinoembryonic antigen level, and lower rate of RAS/BRAF mutations. The CE had higher rates of reverse or combined resection, multi-drug prehepatectomy chemotherapy, and two-stage hepatectomy. The median survival was 8.4 years in the CE and 4.3 years in the EE (p = 0.011). On multivariate analysis, hepatectomy in the CE was independently associated with improved overall survival (HR 0.48, p = 0.001). With a combination of perioperative systemic therapy, careful selection of treatment approach, and coordinated resections, durable cure can be achieved in YOCRC patients.

Development and external validation of MRI-based RAS mutation status prediction model for liver metastases of colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

The mutation status of rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog (RAS) has prognostic significance and serves as a key predictive biomarker for the effectiveness of antiepidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) therapy. However, there remains a lack of effective models for predicting RAS mutation status in colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs). This study aimed to construct and validate a diagnostic model for predicting RAS mutation status among patients undergoing hepatic resection for CRLMs.

METHODS

A diagnostic multivariate prediction model was developed and validated in patients with CRLMs who had undergone hepatectomy between 2014 and 2020. Patients from Institution A were assigned to the model development group (i.e., Development Cohort), while patients from Institutions B and C were assigned to the external validation groups (i.e., Validation Cohort_1 and Validation Cohort_2). The presence of CRLMs was determined by examination of surgical specimens. RAS mutation status was determined by genetic testing. The final predictors, identified by a group of oncologists and radiologists, included several key clinical, demographic, and radiographic characteristics derived from magnetic resonance images. Multiple imputation was performed to estimate the values of missing non-outcome data. A penalized logistic regression model using the adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator penalty was implemented to select appropriate variables for the development of the model. A single nomogram was constructed from the model. The performance of the prediction model, discrimination, and calibration were estimated and reported by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration plots. Internal validation with a bootstrapping procedure and external validation of the nomogram were assessed. Finally, decision curve analyses were used to characterize the clinical outcomes of the Development and Validation Cohorts.

RESULTS

A total of 173 patients were enrolled in this study between January 2014 and May 2020. Of the 173 patients, 117 patients from Institution A were assigned to the Model Development group, while 56 patients (33 from Institution B and 23 from Institution C) were assigned to the Model Validation groups. Forty-six (39.3%) patients harbored RAS mutations in the Development Cohort compared to 14 (42.4%) in Validation Cohort_1 and 8 (34.8%) in Validation Cohort_2. The final model contained the following predictor variables: time of occurrence of CRLMs, location of primary lesion, type of intratumoral necrosis, and early enhancement of liver parenchyma. The diagnostic model based on clinical and MRI data demonstrated satisfactory predictive performance in distinguishing between mutated and wild-type RAS, with AUCs of 0.742 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.651─0.834), 0.741 (95% CI: 0.649─0.836), 0.703 (95% CI: 0.514─0.892), and 0.708 (95% CI: 0.452─0.964) in the Development Cohort, bootstrapping internal validation, external Validation Cohort_1 and Validation Cohort_2, respectively. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit values for the Development Cohort, Validation Cohort_1 and Validation Cohort_2 were 2.868 (p = 0.942), 4.616 (p = 0.465), and 6.297 (p = 0.391), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Integrating clinical, demographic, and radiographic modalities with a magnetic resonance imaging-based approach may accurately predict the RAS mutation status of CRLMs, thereby aiding in triage and possibly reducing the time taken to perform diagnostic and life-saving procedures. Our diagnostic multivariate prediction model may serve as a foundation for prognostic stratification and therapeutic decision-making.

The microbiome and rise of early-onset cancers: knowledge gaps and research opportunities

Accumulating evidence indicates an alarming increase in the incidence of early-onset cancers, which are diagnosed among adults under 50 years of age, in the colorectum, esophagus, extrahepatic bile duct, gallbladder, liver, stomach, pancreas, as well as the bone marrow (multiple myeloma), breast, head and neck, kidney, prostate, thyroid, and uterine corpus (endometrium). While the early-onset cancer studies have encompassed research on the wide variety of organs, this article focuses on research on digestive system cancers. While a minority of early-onset cancers in the digestive system are associated with cancer-predisposing high penetrance germline genetic variants, the majority of those cancers are sporadic and multifactorial. Although potential etiological roles of diets, lifestyle, environment, and the microbiome from early life to adulthood (i.e. in one's life course) have been hypothesized, exact contribution of each of these factors remains uncertain. Diets, lifestyle patterns, and environmental exposures have been shown to alter the oral and intestinal microbiome. To address the rising trend of early-onset cancers, transdisciplinary research approaches including lifecourse epidemiology and molecular pathological epidemiology frameworks, nutritional and environmental sciences, multi-omics technologies, etc. are needed. We review current evidence and discuss emerging research opportunities, which can improve our understanding of their etiologies and help us design better strategies for prevention and treatment to reduce the cancer burden in populations.

Targeting Myeloid-Derived Suppressor Cell Trafficking as a Novel Immunotherapeutic Approach in Microsatellite Stable Colorectal Cancer

Myeloid-derived suppressor cells (MDSCs) are a unique subset of immune cells that promote an immunosuppressive phenotype due to their impacts on CD8 and regulatory T cell function. The inhibition of MDSC trafficking to the tumor microenvironment (TME) may represent a novel target in microsatellite stable (MSS) colorectal cancer with the potential to reprogram the immune system. Here, we review the rationale of inhibiting myeloid suppressor cell trafficking in treatment-refractory MSS colorectal cancer and circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) positive settings to determine whether this approach can serve as a backbone for promoting immunotherapy response in this difficult-to-treat disease.

Mechanism-Based Redesign of GAP to Activate Oncogenic Ras

Ras GTPases play a crucial role in cell signaling pathways. Mutations of the Ras gene occur in about one third of cancerous cell lines and are often associated with detrimental clinical prognosis. Hot spot residues Gly12, Gly13, and Gln61 cover 97% of oncogenic mutations, which impair the enzymatic activity in Ras. Using QM/MM free energy calculations, we present a two-step mechanism for the GTP hydrolysis catalyzed by the wild-type Ras.GAP complex. We found that the deprotonation of the catalytic water takes place via the Gln61 as a transient Brønsted base. We also determined the reaction profiles for key oncogenic Ras mutants G12D and G12C using QM/MM minimizations, matching the experimentally observed loss of catalytic activity, thereby validating our reaction mechanism. Using the optimized reaction paths, we devised a fast and accurate procedure to design GAP mutants that activate G12D Ras. We replaced GAP residues near the active site and determined the activation barrier for 190 single mutants. We furthermore built a machine learning for ultrafast screening, by fast prediction of the barrier heights, tested both on the single and double mutations. This work demonstrates that fast and accurate screening can be accomplished via QM/MM reaction path optimizations to design protein sequences with increased catalytic activity. Several GAP mutations are predicted to re-enable catalysis in oncogenic G12D, offering a promising avenue to overcome aberrant Ras-driven signal transduction by activating enzymatic activity instead of inhibition. The outlined computational screening protocol is readily applicable for designing ligands and cofactors analogously.

Early Onset Metastatic Colorectal Cancer: Current Insights and Clinical Management of a Rising Condition

Despite a recent overall decrease in colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and mortality, there has been a significant rise in CRC diagnoses in young adults. Early onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC) is defined as CRC diagnosed before the age of 50. Possible predisposing conditions include not only genetic syndromes but also other risk factors, such as microbiome alteration, antibiotic exposure, obesity, diabetes mellitus, and inflammatory bowel disease. EOCRC tends to be diagnosed later than in the older counterpart because of a lack of awareness and the fact that screening for CRC usually starts at the age of 50. Furthermore, CRC in young adults seems to be related to unique molecular features and more aggressive clinical behavior. This paper aims to provide an in-depth review of this poorly understood subject, with a comprehensive review of the state of the art and considerations for future perspectives.

Impact of Primary Tumor Location and Genomic Alterations on Survival Following Cytoreductive Surgery and Hyperthermic Intraperitoneal Chemoperfusion for Colorectal Peritoneal Metastases

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer leads to peritoneal metastases (CRPM) in 10% of cases. Cytoreductive surgery with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemoperfusion (CRS-HIPEC) improves survival. Primary tumor location and abnormalities in RAS, BRAF, and mismatch repair/microsatellite stability (MMR/MSI) may affect post-CRS-HIPEC survival, but studies have not been consistent. We estimated the effects of primary tumor site and genomic alterations on post-CRS-HIPEC survival.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included CRS-HIPEC cases for CRPM at a high-volume center from 2001 to 2020. Next-generation sequencing and microsatellite testing defined the RAS, BRAF, and MMR/MSI genotypes. Adjusted effects of tumor sidedness and genomics on survival were evaluated using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model. We analyzed these variables' effects on progression-free survival and the effects of immune checkpoint-inhibitors.

RESULTS

A total of 250 patients underwent CRS-HIPEC with testing for RAS, BRAF, and MMR/MSI; 50.8% of patients were RAS-mutated, 12.4% were BRAF-mutated, and 6.8% were deficient-MMR/MSI-high (dMMR/MSI-H). Genomic alterations predominated in right-sided cancers. After adjustment for comorbidities and oncological and perioperative variables, rectal origin [hazard ratio (HR) 1.9, p = 0.01], RAS mutation (HR 1.6, p = 0.01), and BRAF mutation (HR 1.7, p = 0.05) were associated with worse survival. RAS mutation was also associated with shorter progression-free survival (HR 1.6, p = 0.01 at 6 months post-operatively), and dMMR/MSI-H status was associated with superior survival (HR 0.3, p = 0.01 at 2 years). dMMR/MSI-H patients receiving immune checkpoint-inhibitors trended toward superior survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Rectal origin, RAS mutations, and BRAF mutations are each associated with poorer survival after CRS-HIPEC for CRPM. Patients with CRPM and dMMR/MSI-H status have superior survival. Further research should evaluate benefits of immune checkpoint-inhibitors in this subgroup.

Early-Onset Cancer in the Gastrointestinal Tract Is on the Rise-Evidence and Implications

Epidemiologic data indicate a significant increase in the incidence of colorectal cancer in younger populations in the past three decades. Moreover, recent evidence also demonstrates a similar trend in gastric, pancreatic, and biliary tract cancers. A majority of these early-onset cases are sporadic and lack hereditary or familial background, implying a potential key role for behavioral, lifestyle, nutritional, microbial, and environmental factors. This review explores the current data on early-onset gastrointestinal cancer, exploring the etiology, unique treatment considerations for this population, future challenges, as well as implications for research and practice.

SIGNIFICANCE

The worrisome trend of an increasing incidence of early-onset gastrointestinal cancers appears to be correlated with nonhereditary etiologies in which behavioral, lifestyle, nutritional, microbial, and environmental factors, as well as host mechanisms, may play a key role. Further epidemiologic and pathogenetic research is urgently needed to better understand the underlying mechanisms and to develop preventive strategies and tailored early detection. Young patients with gastrointestinal cancer face unique challenges and unmet needs. These must be addressed in the future management of the disease to minimize treatment-related somatic morbidity and prevent psychosocial sequelae.

The prognostic significance of clinicopathological characteristics in early-onset versus late-onset colorectal cancer liver metastases

PURPOSE

This study aimed to explore the prognostic significance of clinicopathological characteristics in early-onset versus late-onset colorectal liver metastases (CRLM).

METHODS

The data of CRLM patients who underwent hepatectomy from September 2010 to September 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. According to the age of primary cancer diagnosis, patients were divided into early-onset CRLM (EOCRLM) and late-onset CRLM (LOCRLM) groups. Clinicopathological parameters were compared between the two groups. Cox regression model and Kaplan-Meier method were used to analyze the effect of clinicopathological parameters on overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS).

RESULTS

In total, 431 CRLM patients were identified, 130 with EOCRLM and 301 with LOCRLM. Compared with LOCRLM patients, EOCRLM patients had lower American Society of Anesthesia (ASA) grade and longer operation time (204 vs. 179 min). More aggressive features were presented in EOCRLM patients including synchronous liver metastases (76.9% vs. 61.1%) and bilobar involvement (43.8% vs. 33.2%). No significant difference in OS or RFS was found between the two groups. Multivariate analysis of EOCRLM group showed that preoperative CA19-9 level and RAS/BRAF status were predictive of OS, while bilobar involvement and preoperative CEA level were associated with RFS. In LOCRLM group, the number of CRLM, preoperative CA19-9 level, and BRAF status were associated with OS, while the number of CRLM was associated with RFS.

CONCLUSIONS

The preoperative CA19-9 level, RAS/BRAF status, bilobar involvement, and preoperative CEA level were predictive of EOCRLM patient prognosis, while the number of CRLM, preoperative CA19-9 level, and BRAF status were predictive of LOCRLM patient prognosis.

Impact of Age of Onset on Survival after Hepatectomy for Patients with Colorectal Cancer Liver Metastasis: A Real-World Single-Center Experience

PURPOSE

The incidence of early-onset CRC is increasing. However, the effect of age of onset on the long-term outcome of colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM) remains unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the association between the age of onset and the oncological outcome of CRLM patients and to investigate whether the prognostic role of RAS mutation is altered with age.

METHODS

We retrospectively investigated consecutive patients at our institution who underwent initial liver resection between 2006 and 2020. The inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) method was used to balance the confounders among early- (≤45 years; EOCRLM), intermediate- (46-70 years; IOCRLM), and late-onset (>70 years; LOCRLM) groups. The prognostic role of RAS was assessed based on age group.

RESULTS

A total of 1189 patients were enrolled: 162 in the EOCRLM group, 930 in the IOCRLM group, and 97 in the LOCRLM group. No difference in disease-free survival (DFS) was found between the three groups. However, EOCRLM were more likely to develop extrahepatic and extrapulmonary metastasis and had significantly lower five-year OS rates than IOCRLM. After IPTW, EOCRLM remained a negative prognostic predictor. RAS mutations were significantly associated with worse survival than wild-type RAS in EOCRLM and IOCRLM. However, RAS mutation did not predict the prognosis of patients with LOCRLM.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with EOCRLM had a significantly lower OS than IOCRLM patients and age influences the prognostic power of RAS status. These findings may be helpful for doctors to guide the clinical treatments and develop follow-up strategies.

Efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy for initially resectable colorectal liver metastases: A retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The liver is the most common metastatic site of colorectal cancer. Hepatectomy is the mainstay of treatment for patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs). However, there are cases of early recurrence after upfront hepatectomy alone. In selected high-risk patients, neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) may improve long-term survival.

AIM

To determine the efficacy of NAC for initially resectable CRLMs.

METHODS

Among 644 patients who underwent their first hepatectomy for CRLMs at our institution, 297 resectable cases were stratified into an upfront hepatectomy group (238 patients) and a NAC group (59 patients). Poor prognostic factors for upfront hepatectomy were identified using multivariate logistic regression analysis. Propensity score matching was used to compare clinical outcomes between the upfront hepatectomy and NAC groups, according to the number of poor prognostic factors. Survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method and compared using the log-rank test.

RESULTS

Preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen levels (≥ 10 ng/mL) (P = 0.003), primary histological type (other than well/moderately differentiated) (P = 0.04), and primary lymph node metastases (≥ 1) (P = 0.04) were identified as independent poor prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) in the upfront hepatectomy group. High-risk status was defined as the presence of two or more risk factors. After propensity score matching, 50 patients were matched in each group. Among high-risk patients, the 5-year OS rate was significantly higher in the NAC group (13 patients) than in the upfront hepatectomy group (18 patients) (100% vs 34%; P = 0.02).

CONCLUSION

NAC may improve the prognosis of high-risk patients with resectable CRLMs who have two or more risk factors.

A comprehensive framework for early-onset colorectal cancer research

Sporadic colorectal cancer has traditionally been viewed as a malignancy of older individuals. However, as the global prevalence of the disease diagnosed in younger individuals (<50 years) is expected to increase within the next decade, greater recognition is now being given to early-onset colorectal cancer. The cause of the predicted rise in prevalence is largely unknown and probably multifactorial. In this Series paper, we discuss the potential underlying causes of early-onset colorectal cancer, the role of energy balance, biological and genomic mechanisms (including microbiome aspects), and the treatment of early-onset colorectal cancer. We have specifically considered the psychosocial challenges of being diagnosed with colorectal cancer at younger age and the potential financial toxicity that might ensue. This Series paper brings a comprehensive review based on the existing data in the hopes of optimising the overall outcomes for patients with early-onset colorectal cancer.

The Prognostic Value of Total Tumor Volume Response Compared With RECIST1.1 in Patients With Initially Unresectable Colorectal Liver Metastases Undergoing Systemic Treatment

Objectives

Compare total tumor volume (TTV) response after systemic treatment to Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST1.1) and assess the prognostic value of TTV change and RECIST1.1 for recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients with colorectal liver-only metastases (CRLM).

Background

RECIST1.1 provides unidimensional criteria to evaluate tumor response to systemic therapy. Those criteria are accepted worldwide but are limited by interobserver variability and ignore potentially valuable information about TTV.

Methods

Patients with initially unresectable CRLM receiving systemic treatment from the randomized, controlled CAIRO5 trial (NCT02162563) were included. TTV response was assessed using software specifically developed together with SAS analytics. Baseline and follow-up computed tomography (CT) scans were used to calculate RECIST1.1 and TTV response to systemic therapy. Different thresholds (10%, 20%, 40%) were used to define response of TTV as no standard currently exists. RFS was assessed in a subgroup of patients with secondarily resectable CRLM after induction treatment.

Results

A total of 420 CT scans comprising 7820 CRLM in 210 patients were evaluated. In 30% to 50% (depending on chosen TTV threshold) of patients, discordance was observed between RECIST1.1 and TTV change. A TTV decrease of >40% was observed in 47 (22%) patients who had stable disease according to RECIST1.1. In 118 patients with secondarily resectable CRLM, RFS was shorter for patients with less than 10% TTV decrease compared with patients with more than 10% TTV decrease (P = 0.015), while RECIST1.1 was not prognostic (P = 0.821).

Conclusions

TTV response assessment shows prognostic potential in the evaluation of systemic therapy response in patients with CRLM.