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Duffy JS, Bellgrove MA, Murphy PR, O'Connell RG. Disentangling sources of variability in decision-making. Nat Rev Neurosci 2025; 26:247-262. [PMID: 40114010 DOI: 10.1038/s41583-025-00916-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 02/26/2025] [Indexed: 03/22/2025]
Abstract
Even the most highly-trained observers presented with identical choice-relevant stimuli will reliably exhibit substantial trial-to-trial variability in the timing and accuracy of their choices. Despite being a pervasive feature of choice behaviour and a prominent phenotype for numerous clinical disorders, the capability to disentangle the sources of such intra-individual variability (IIV) remains limited. In principle, computational models of decision-making offer a means of parsing and estimating these sources, but methodological limitations have prevented this potential from being fully realized in practice. In this Review, we first discuss current limitations of algorithmic models for understanding variability in decision-making behaviour. We then highlight recent advances in behavioural paradigm design, novel analyses of cross-trial behavioural and neural dynamics, and the development of neurally grounded computational models that are now making it possible to link distinct components of IIV to well-defined neural processes. Taken together, we demonstrate how these methods are opening up new avenues for systematically analysing the neural origins of IIV, paving the way for a more refined, holistic understanding of decision-making in health and disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jade S Duffy
- Trinity College Institute of Neuroscience and School of Psychology, Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland
| | - Mark A Bellgrove
- School of Psychological Sciences and Turner Institute for Brain and Mental Health, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Peter R Murphy
- Department of Psychology, Maynooth University, Kildare, Ireland
| | - Redmond G O'Connell
- Trinity College Institute of Neuroscience and School of Psychology, Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.
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2
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Obleser J. Metacognition in the listening brain. Trends Neurosci 2025; 48:100-112. [PMID: 39843334 DOI: 10.1016/j.tins.2024.12.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2024] [Revised: 11/17/2024] [Accepted: 12/19/2024] [Indexed: 01/24/2025]
Abstract
How do you know you have heard right? Metacognition, the ability to assess and monitor one's own cognitive state, is key to understanding human communication in complex environments. However, the foundational role of metacognition in hearing and communication is only beginning to be explored, and the neuroscience behind it is an emerging field: how does confidence express in neural dynamics of the listening brain? What is known about auditory metaperceptual alterations as a hallmark phenomenon in psychosis, dementia, or hearing loss? Building on Bayesian ideas of auditory perception and auditory neuroscience, 'meta-listening' offers a framework for more comprehensive research into how metacognition in humans and non-humans shapes the listening brain.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jonas Obleser
- Department of Psychology, University of Lübeck, 23562 Lübeck, Germany; Center of Brain, Behavior, and Metabolism, University of Lübeck, 23562 Lübeck, Germany.
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3
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Bévalot C, Meyniel F. A dissociation between the use of implicit and explicit priors in perceptual inference. COMMUNICATIONS PSYCHOLOGY 2024; 2:111. [PMID: 39592724 PMCID: PMC11599933 DOI: 10.1038/s44271-024-00162-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/14/2023] [Accepted: 11/15/2024] [Indexed: 11/28/2024]
Abstract
The brain constantly uses prior knowledge of the statistics of its environment to shape perception. These statistics are often implicit (not directly observable) and learned incrementally from observation, but they can also be explicitly communicated to the observer, especially in humans. Here, we show that priors are used differently in human perceptual inference depending on whether they are explicit or implicit in the environment. Bayesian modeling of learning and perception revealed that the weight of the sensory likelihood in perceptual decisions was highly correlated across participants between tasks with implicit and explicit priors, and slightly stronger in the implicit task. By contrast, the weight of priors was much less correlated across tasks, and it was markedly smaller for explicit priors. The model comparison also showed that different computations underpinned perceptual decisions depending on the origin of the priors. This dissociation may resolve previously conflicting results about the appropriate use of priors in human perception.
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Affiliation(s)
- Caroline Bévalot
- Cognitive Neuroimaging Unit, NeuroSpin (INSERM-CEA), University of Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France.
- Sorbonne University, Doctoral College, Paris, France.
| | - Florent Meyniel
- Cognitive Neuroimaging Unit, NeuroSpin (INSERM-CEA), University of Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France.
- GHU Paris, psychiatrie et neurosciences, Hôpital Saint-Anne, institut de neuromodulation, Paris, France.
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Balsdon T, Philiastides MG. Confidence control for efficient behaviour in dynamic environments. Nat Commun 2024; 15:9089. [PMID: 39433579 PMCID: PMC11493976 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-53312-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/15/2024] [Accepted: 10/07/2024] [Indexed: 10/23/2024] Open
Abstract
Signatures of confidence emerge during decision-making, implying confidence may be of functional importance to decision processes themselves. We formulate an extension of sequential sampling models of decision-making in which confidence is used online to actively moderate the quality and quantity of evidence accumulated for decisions. The benefit of this model is that it can respond to dynamic changes in sensory evidence quality. We highlight this feature by designing a dynamic sensory environment where evidence quality can be smoothly adapted within the timeframe of a single decision. Our model with confidence control offers a superior description of human behaviour in this environment, compared to sequential sampling models without confidence control. Using multivariate decoding of electroencephalography (EEG), we uncover EEG correlates of the model's latent processes, and show stronger EEG-derived confidence control is associated with faster, more accurate decisions. These results support a neurobiologically plausible framework featuring confidence as an active control mechanism for improving behavioural efficiency.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tarryn Balsdon
- School of Psychology and Neuroscience, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
- Laboratory of Perceptual Systems, DEC, ENS, PSL University, CNRS (UMR 8248), Paris, France.
| | - Marios G Philiastides
- School of Psychology and Neuroscience, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom
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Tumkaya S, Yücens B, Gündüz M, Maheu M, Berkovitch L. Disruption of consciousness depends on insight in OCD and on positive symptoms in schizophrenia. BIORXIV : THE PREPRINT SERVER FOR BIOLOGY 2024:2024.01.02.571832. [PMID: 38293050 PMCID: PMC10827121 DOI: 10.1101/2024.01.02.571832] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/01/2024]
Abstract
Disruption of conscious access contributes to the advent of psychotic symptoms in schizophrenia but could also explain lack of insight in other psychiatric disorders. In this study, we explored how insight and psychotic symptoms related to disruption of consciousness. We explored consciousness in patients with schizophrenia, patients with obsessive-compulsive disorder (OCD) with good vs. poor insight and matched controls. Participants underwent clinical assessments and performed a visual masking task allowing us to measure individual consciousness threshold. We used a principal component analysis to reduce symptom dimensionality and explored how consciousness measures related to symptomatology. We found that clinical dimensions could be well summarized by a restricted set of principal components which also correlated with the extent of consciousness disruption. More specifically, positive symptoms were associated with impaired conscious access in patients with schizophrenia whereas the level of insight delineated two subtypes of OCD patients, those with poor insight who had consciousness impairments similar to patients with schizophrenia, and those with good insight who resemble healthy controls. Our study provides new insights about consciousness disruption in psychiatric disorders, showing that it relates to positive symptoms in schizophrenia and with insight in OCD. In OCD, it revealed a distinct subgroup sharing neuropathological features with schizophrenia. Our findings refine the mapping between symptoms and cognition, paving the way for a better treatment selection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Selim Tumkaya
- Department of Psychiatry, Pamukkale University School of Medicine, Denizli, Turkey
- Department of Neuroscience, Pamukkale University School of Medicine, Denizli, Turkey
| | - Bengü Yücens
- Department of Psychiatry, Pamukkale University School of Medicine, Denizli, Turkey
| | - Muhammet Gündüz
- Department of Psychiatry, Government Hospital of Bolvadin, Bolvadin, Turkey
| | - Maxime Maheu
- Department of Neurophysiology and Pathophysiology, Center for Experimental Medicine, University Medical Centre Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
- Department of Synaptic Physiology, Centre for Molecular Neurobiology, University Medical Centre Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Lucie Berkovitch
- Department of Psychiatry, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States
- University Department of Psychiatry, Pôle Hospitalo-Universitaire Psychiatrie Paris 15, Groupe Hospitalier Universitaire Paris, Paris, France
- Saclay CEA Centre, Neurospin, Gif-Sur-Yvette Cedex, France
- Paris Cité University, Paris, France
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Bottemanne H, Berkovitch L, Gauld C, Balcerac A, Schmidt L, Mouchabac S, Fossati P. Storm on predictive brain: A neurocomputational account of ketamine antidepressant effect. Neurosci Biobehav Rev 2023; 154:105410. [PMID: 37793581 DOI: 10.1016/j.neubiorev.2023.105410] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/22/2023] [Revised: 08/24/2023] [Accepted: 09/26/2023] [Indexed: 10/06/2023]
Abstract
For the past decade, ketamine, an N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor (NMDAr) antagonist, has been considered a promising treatment for major depressive disorder (MDD). Unlike the delayed effect of monoaminergic treatment, ketamine may produce fast-acting antidepressant effects hours after a single administration at subanesthetic dose. Along with these antidepressant effects, it may also induce transient dissociative (disturbing of the sense of self and reality) symptoms during acute administration which resolve within hours. To understand ketamine's rapid-acting antidepressant effect, several biological hypotheses have been explored, but despite these promising avenues, there is a lack of model to understand the timeframe of antidepressant and dissociative effects of ketamine. In this article, we propose a neurocomputational account of ketamine's antidepressant and dissociative effects based on the Predictive Processing (PP) theory, a framework for cognitive and sensory processing. PP theory suggests that the brain produces top-down predictions to process incoming sensory signals, and generates bottom-up prediction errors (PEs) which are then used to update predictions. This iterative dynamic neural process would relies on N-methyl-D-aspartate (NMDAr) and α-amino-3-hydroxy-5-methyl-4-isoxazole-propionic receptors (AMPAr), two major component of the glutamatergic signaling. Furthermore, it has been suggested that MDD is characterized by over-rigid predictions which cannot be updated by the PEs, leading to miscalibration of hierarchical inference and self-reinforcing negative feedback loops. Based on former empirical studies using behavioral paradigms, neurophysiological recordings, and computational modeling, we suggest that ketamine impairs top-down predictions by blocking NMDA receptors, and enhances presynaptic glutamate release and PEs, producing transient dissociative symptoms and fast-acting antidepressant effect in hours following acute administration. Moreover, we present data showing that ketamine may enhance a delayed neural plasticity pathways through AMPAr potentiation, triggering a prolonged antidepressant effect up to seven days for unique administration. Taken together, the two sides of antidepressant effects with distinct timeframe could constitute the keystone of antidepressant properties of ketamine. These PP disturbances may also participate to a ketamine-induced time window of mental flexibility, which can be used to improve the psychotherapeutic process. Finally, these proposals could be used as a theoretical framework for future research into fast-acting antidepressants, and combination with existing antidepressant and psychotherapy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hugo Bottemanne
- Paris Brain Institute - Institut du Cerveau (ICM), UMR 7225 / UMRS 1127, Sorbonne University / CNRS / INSERM, Paris, France; Sorbonne University, Department of Philosophy, Science Norm Democracy Research Unit, UMR, 8011, Paris, France; Sorbonne University, Department of Psychiatry, Pitié-Salpêtrière Hospital, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP), Paris, France.
| | - Lucie Berkovitch
- Saclay CEA Centre, Neurospin, Gif-Sur-Yvette Cedex, France; Department of Psychiatry, GHU Paris Psychiatrie et Neurosciences, Service Hospitalo-Universitaire, Paris, France
| | - Christophe Gauld
- Department of Child Psychiatry, CHU de Lyon, F-69000 Lyon, France; Institut des Sciences Cognitives Marc Jeannerod, UMR 5229 CNRS & Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1, F-69000 Lyon, France
| | - Alexander Balcerac
- Paris Brain Institute - Institut du Cerveau (ICM), UMR 7225 / UMRS 1127, Sorbonne University / CNRS / INSERM, Paris, France; Sorbonne University, Department of Neurology, Pitié-Salpêtrière Hospital, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP), Paris, France
| | - Liane Schmidt
- Paris Brain Institute - Institut du Cerveau (ICM), UMR 7225 / UMRS 1127, Sorbonne University / CNRS / INSERM, Paris, France
| | - Stephane Mouchabac
- Paris Brain Institute - Institut du Cerveau (ICM), UMR 7225 / UMRS 1127, Sorbonne University / CNRS / INSERM, Paris, France; Sorbonne University, Department of Psychiatry, Saint-Antoine Hospital, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP), Paris, France
| | - Philippe Fossati
- Paris Brain Institute - Institut du Cerveau (ICM), UMR 7225 / UMRS 1127, Sorbonne University / CNRS / INSERM, Paris, France; Sorbonne University, Department of Philosophy, Science Norm Democracy Research Unit, UMR, 8011, Paris, France
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Drevet J, Drugowitsch J, Wyart V. Efficient stabilization of imprecise statistical inference through conditional belief updating. Nat Hum Behav 2022; 6:1691-1704. [PMID: 36138224 PMCID: PMC7617215 DOI: 10.1038/s41562-022-01445-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/19/2021] [Accepted: 08/11/2022] [Indexed: 01/14/2023]
Abstract
Statistical inference is the optimal process for forming and maintaining accurate beliefs about uncertain environments. However, human inference comes with costs due to its associated biases and limited precision. Indeed, biased or imprecise inference can trigger variable beliefs and unwarranted changes in behaviour. Here, by studying decisions in a sequential categorization task based on noisy visual stimuli, we obtained converging evidence that humans reduce the variability of their beliefs by updating them only when the reliability of incoming sensory information is judged as sufficiently strong. Instead of integrating the evidence provided by all stimuli, participants actively discarded as much as a third of stimuli. This conditional belief updating strategy shows good test-retest reliability, correlates with perceptual confidence and explains human behaviour better than previously described strategies. This seemingly suboptimal strategy not only reduces the costs of imprecise computations but also, counterintuitively, increases the accuracy of resulting decisions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Julie Drevet
- Laboratoire de Neurosciences Cognitives et Computationnelles, Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (Inserm), Paris, France.
- Département d'Études Cognitives, École Normale Supérieure, Université PSL, Paris, France.
| | - Jan Drugowitsch
- Department of Neurobiology, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Valentin Wyart
- Laboratoire de Neurosciences Cognitives et Computationnelles, Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (Inserm), Paris, France.
- Département d'Études Cognitives, École Normale Supérieure, Université PSL, Paris, France.
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Esnaola-Acebes JM, Roxin A, Wimmer K. Flexible integration of continuous sensory evidence in perceptual estimation tasks. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2022; 119:e2214441119. [PMID: 36322720 PMCID: PMC9659402 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2214441119] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/23/2022] [Accepted: 10/05/2022] [Indexed: 11/07/2022] Open
Abstract
Temporal accumulation of evidence is crucial for making accurate judgments based on noisy or ambiguous sensory input. The integration process leading to categorical decisions is thought to rely on competition between neural populations, each encoding a discrete categorical choice. How recurrent neural circuits integrate evidence for continuous perceptual judgments is unknown. Here, we show that a continuous bump attractor network can integrate a circular feature, such as stimulus direction, nearly optimally. As required by optimal integration, the population activity of the network unfolds on a two-dimensional manifold, in which the position of the network's activity bump tracks the stimulus average, and, simultaneously, the bump amplitude tracks stimulus uncertainty. Moreover, the temporal weighting of sensory evidence by the network depends on the relative strength of the stimulus compared to the internally generated bump dynamics, yielding either early (primacy), uniform, or late (recency) weighting. The model can flexibly switch between these regimes by changing a single control parameter, the global excitatory drive. We show that this mechanism can quantitatively explain individual temporal weighting profiles of human observers, and we validate the model prediction that temporal weighting impacts reaction times. Our findings point to continuous attractor dynamics as a plausible neural mechanism underlying stimulus integration in perceptual estimation tasks.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jose M. Esnaola-Acebes
- Computational Neuroscience Group, Centre de Recerca Matemàtica, 08193 Bellaterra (Barcelona), Spain
| | - Alex Roxin
- Computational Neuroscience Group, Centre de Recerca Matemàtica, 08193 Bellaterra (Barcelona), Spain
| | - Klaus Wimmer
- Computational Neuroscience Group, Centre de Recerca Matemàtica, 08193 Bellaterra (Barcelona), Spain
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Bottemanne H, Morlaas O, Claret A, Sharot T, Fossati P, Schmidt L. Evaluation of Early Ketamine Effects on Belief-Updating Biases in Patients With Treatment-Resistant Depression. JAMA Psychiatry 2022; 79:1124-1132. [PMID: 36169969 PMCID: PMC9520441 DOI: 10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2022.2996] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
IMPORTANCE Clinical research has shown that persistent negative beliefs maintain depression and that subanesthetic ketamine infusions induce rapid antidepressant responses. OBJECTIVE To evaluate whether ketamine alters belief updating and how such cognitive effects are associated with the clinical effects of ketamine. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS This study used an observational case-control protocol with a mixed-effects design that nested 2 groups by 2 testing time points. Observers were not blinded. Patients with treatment-resistant depression (TRD) and healthy volunteer participants aged 34 to 68 years were included. Patients with TRD were diagnosed with major depressive disorder or bipolar depression, had a Montgomery-Åsberg Depression Rating Scale score greater than 20, a Maudsley Staging Method score greater than 7, and failed to respond to at least 2 prior antidepressant trials. Exclusion criteria were any other psychiatric, neurological, or neurosurgical comorbidities, substance use or addictive disorders, and recreational ketamine consumption. Data were collected from January to February 2019 and from May to December 2019, and data were analyzed from January 2020 to July 2021. EXPOSURES Patients with TRD were observed 24 hours before single ketamine infusion, 4 hours after the infusion, and 4 hours after the third infusion, which was 1 week after the first infusion. Healthy control participants were observed twice 1 week apart without ketamine exposure. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Montgomery-Åsberg Depression Rating Scale score and belief updating after belief updating when patients received good news and bad news measured by a cognitive belief-updating task and mathematically formalized by a computational reinforcement learning model. RESULTS Of 56 included participants, 29 (52%) were male, and the mean (SEM) age was 52.3 (1.2) years. A total of 26 patients with TRD and 30 control participants were included. A significant group × testing time point × news valence interaction showed that patients with TRD updated their beliefs more after good than bad news following a single ketamine infusion (controlled for age and education: β = -0.91; 95% CI, -1.58 to -0.24; t216 = -2.67; P = .008) than controls. Computational modeling showed that this effect was associated with asymmetrical learning rates (LRs) after ketamine treatment (good news LRs after ketamine, 0.51 [SEM, 0.04]; bad news LRs after ketamine 0.36 [SEM, 0.03], t25 = 3.8; P < .001) and partially mediated early antidepressant responses (path a*b: β = -1.00 [SEM, 0.66]; t26 = -1.53; z = -1.98; P = .04). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE These findings provide novel insights into the cognitive mechanisms of the action of ketamine in patients with TRD, with promising perspectives for augmented psychotherapy for individuals with mood disorders.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hugo Bottemanne
- Control-Interoception Attention Team, Paris Brain Institute, Sorbonne University, National Institute of Health and Medical Research, French National Centre for Scientific Research, Assistance Publique–Hôpitaux de Paris, Hôpital de la Pitié-Salpêtrière, DMU Neuroscience, Paris, France,Department of Psychiatry, Pitié-Salpêtrière Hospital, DMU Neuroscience, Sorbonne University, Assistance Publique–Hôpitaux de Paris, Paris, France,Department of Philosophy, Sorbonne University, SND Research Unit, UMR 8011, Paris, France
| | - Orphee Morlaas
- Control-Interoception Attention Team, Paris Brain Institute, Sorbonne University, National Institute of Health and Medical Research, French National Centre for Scientific Research, Assistance Publique–Hôpitaux de Paris, Hôpital de la Pitié-Salpêtrière, DMU Neuroscience, Paris, France
| | - Anne Claret
- Department of Psychiatry, Pitié-Salpêtrière Hospital, DMU Neuroscience, Sorbonne University, Assistance Publique–Hôpitaux de Paris, Paris, France
| | - Tali Sharot
- Affective Brain Lab, Department of Experimental Psychology, University College London, London, United Kingdom,Max Planck UCL Centre for Computational Psychiatry and Ageing Research, London, United Kingdom,Department of Brain and Cognitive Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge
| | - Philippe Fossati
- Control-Interoception Attention Team, Paris Brain Institute, Sorbonne University, National Institute of Health and Medical Research, French National Centre for Scientific Research, Assistance Publique–Hôpitaux de Paris, Hôpital de la Pitié-Salpêtrière, DMU Neuroscience, Paris, France,Department of Psychiatry, Pitié-Salpêtrière Hospital, DMU Neuroscience, Sorbonne University, Assistance Publique–Hôpitaux de Paris, Paris, France
| | - Liane Schmidt
- Control-Interoception Attention Team, Paris Brain Institute, Sorbonne University, National Institute of Health and Medical Research, French National Centre for Scientific Research, Assistance Publique–Hôpitaux de Paris, Hôpital de la Pitié-Salpêtrière, DMU Neuroscience, Paris, France
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