Genome-wide Analysis of Large-scale Longitudinal Outcomes using Penalization -GALLOP algorithm

A framework for conducting time-varying genome-wide association studies: An application to body mass index across childhood in six multiethnic cohorts

Genetic effects on changes in human traits over time are understudied and may have important pathophysiological impact. We propose a framework that enables data quality control, implements mixed models to evaluate trajectories of change in traits, and estimates phenotypes to identify age-varying genetic effects in genome-wide association studies (GWASs). Using childhood body mass index (BMI) as an example, we included 71,336 participants from six cohorts and estimated the slope and area under the BMI curve within four time periods (infancy, early childhood, late childhood and adolescence) for each participant, in addition to the age and BMI at the adiposity peak and the adiposity rebound. GWAS on each of the estimated phenotypes identified 28 genome-wide significant variants at 13 loci across the 12 estimated phenotypes, one of which was novel (in DAOA) and had not been previously associated with childhood or adult BMI. Genetic studies of changes in human traits over time could uncover novel biological mechanisms influencing quantitative traits.

Fast multiple-trait genome-wide association analysis for correlated longitudinal measurements

Large-scale longitudinal biobank data can be leveraged to identify genetic variation contributing to human diseases progression and traits trajectories. While methods for genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of multiple correlated traits have been proposed, an efficient multiple-trait approach to model longitudinal phenotypes is not currently available. We developed GAMUT, a genome-wide association approach for multiple longitudinal traits. GAMUT employs a mixed-effects model to fit longitudinal outcomes where a fast algorithm for inversion by recursive partitioning of the random effects submatrix is introduced. To evaluate performance of the algorithms introduced and assess their statistical power and type I error, stochastic simulation was conducted. Consistent with our expectation, power was greater for cross-sectional (CS) than longitudinal (LT) effects, particularly with a diminishing LT/CS ratio. With a minimum minor allele count of 3 within genotype by time categories, observed type I error was roughly equal to theoretical genome-wide significance. Additionally, 28 blood-based biomarkers measured at 2 time points on participants of the UK Biobank were used to compare GAMUT against single-trait standard and longitudinal GWAS (including rate of change). Across all biomarkers, we observed 539 (CS) and 248 (LT) significant independent variants for the GAMUT method, and 513 (CS) and 30 (LT) for single-trait longitudinal GWAS, respectively. Only 37 variants were identified by modeling rates of change using standard GWAS.

Genome-Wide Meta-Analysis of Cerebrospinal Fluid Biomarkers in Alzheimer's Disease and Parkinson's Disease Cohorts

BACKGROUND

Amyloid-β, phosphorylated tau (p-tau), and total tau (t-tau) in cerebrospinal fluid are established biomarkers for Alzheimer's disease (AD). In other neurodegenerative diseases, such as Parkinson's disease (PD), these biomarkers have also been found to be altered, and the molecular mechanisms responsible for these alterations are still under investigation. Moreover, the interplay between these mechanisms and the diverse underlying disease states remains to be elucidated.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate genetic contributions to the AD biomarkers and assess the commonality and heterogeneity of the associations per underlying disease status.

METHODS

We conducted genome-wide association studies (GWASs) for the AD biomarkers on subjects from the Parkinson's Progression Markers Initiative, the Fox Investigation for New Discovery of Biomarkers, and the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative, and meta-analyzed with the largest AD GWAS. We tested heterogeneity of associations of interest between different disease statuses (AD, PD, and control).

RESULTS

We observed three GWAS signals: the APOE locus for amyloid-β, the 3q28 locus between GEMC1 and OSTN for p-tau and t-tau, and the 7p22 locus (top hit: rs60871478, an intronic variant for DNAAF5, also known as HEATR2) for p-tau. The 7p22 locus is novel and colocalized with the brain DNAAF5 expression. Although no heterogeneity from underlying disease status was observed for the earlier GWAS signals, some disease risk loci suggested disease-specific associations with these biomarkers.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study identified a novel association at the intronic region of DNAAF5 associated with increased levels of p-tau across all diseases. We also observed some disease-specific genetic associations with these biomarkers. Published 2023. This article is a U.S. Government work and is in the public domain in the USA.

Characterization of direct and/or indirect genetic associations for multiple traits in longitudinal studies of disease progression

When quantitative longitudinal traits are risk factors for disease progression and subject to random biological variation, joint model analysis of time-to-event and longitudinal traits can effectively identify direct and/or indirect genetic association of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with time-to-event. We present a joint model that integrates: (1) a multivariate linear mixed model describing trajectories of multiple longitudinal traits as a function of time, SNP effects, and subject-specific random effects and (2) a frailty Cox survival model that depends on SNPs, longitudinal trajectory effects, and subject-specific frailty accounting for dependence among multiple time-to-event traits. Motivated by complex genetic architecture of type 1 diabetes complications (T1DC) observed in the Diabetes Control and Complications Trial (DCCT), we implement a 2-stage approach to inference with bootstrap joint covariance estimation and develop a hypothesis testing procedure to classify direct and/or indirect SNP association with each time-to-event trait. By realistic simulation study, we show that joint modeling of 2 time-to-T1DC (retinopathy and nephropathy) and 2 longitudinal risk factors (HbA1c and systolic blood pressure) reduces estimation bias in genetic effects and improves classification accuracy of direct and/or indirect SNP associations, compared to methods that ignore within-subject risk factor variability and dependence among longitudinal and time-to-event traits. Through DCCT data analysis, we demonstrate feasibility for candidate SNP modeling and quantify effects of sample size and Winner's curse bias on classification for 2 SNPs identified as having indirect associations with time-to-T1DC traits. Joint analysis of multiple longitudinal and multiple time-to-event traits provides insight into complex traits architecture.

Genome-wide meta-analysis of CSF biomarkers in Alzheimer's disease and Parkinson's disease cohorts

Background

Amyloid beta (Aβ), phosphorylated tau (p-tau), and total tau (t-tau) in cerebrospinal fluid are established biomarkers for Alzheimer's disease (AD). In other neurodegenerative diseases, such as Parkinson's disease (PD), these biomarkers have also been found to be altered, and the molecular mechanisms responsible for these alterations are still under investigation. Moreover, the interplay between these mechanisms and the diverse underlying disease states remains to be elucidated.

Objectives

To investigate genetic contributions to the AD biomarkers and assess the commonality and heterogeneity of the associations per underlying disease status.

Methods

We conducted GWAS for the AD biomarkers on subjects from the Parkinson's Progression Markers Initiative (PPMI), the Fox Investigation for New Discovery of Biomarkers (BioFIND), and the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) and meta-analyzed with the largest AD GWAS.[7] We tested heterogeneity of associations of interest between different disease statuses (AD, PD, and control).

Results

We observed three GWAS signals: the APOE locus for Aβ, the 3q28 locus between GEMC1 and OSTN for p-tau and t-tau, and the 7p22 locus (top hit: rs60871478, an intronic variant for DNAAF5 , also known as HEATR2 ) for p-tau. The 7p22 locus is novel and co-localized with the brain DNAAF5 expression. While no heterogeneity from underlying disease status was observed for the above GWAS signals, some disease risk loci suggested disease specific associations with these biomarkers.

Conclusions

Our study identified a novel association at the intronic region of DNAAF5 associated with increased levels of p-tau across all diseases. We also observed some disease specific genetic associations with these biomarkers.

GWAS of longitudinal trajectories at biobank scale

Biobanks linked to massive, longitudinal electronic health record (EHR) data make numerous new genetic research questions feasible. One among these is the study of biomarker trajectories. For example, high blood pressure measurements over visits strongly predict stroke onset, and consistently high fasting glucose and Hb1Ac levels define diabetes. Recent research reveals that not only the mean level of biomarker trajectories but also their fluctuations, or within-subject (WS) variability, are risk factors for many diseases. Glycemic variation, for instance, is recently considered an important clinical metric in diabetes management. It is crucial to identify the genetic factors that shift the mean or alter the WS variability of a biomarker trajectory. Compared to traditional cross-sectional studies, trajectory analysis utilizes more data points and captures a complete picture of the impact of time-varying factors, including medication history and lifestyle. Currently, there are no efficient tools for genome-wide association studies (GWASs) of biomarker trajectories at the biobank scale, even for just mean effects. We propose TrajGWAS, a linear mixed effect model-based method for testing genetic effects that shift the mean or alter the WS variability of a biomarker trajectory. It is scalable to biobank data with 100,000 to 1,000,000 individuals and many longitudinal measurements and robust to distributional assumptions. Simulation studies corroborate that TrajGWAS controls the type I error rate and is powerful. Analysis of eleven biomarkers measured longitudinally and extracted from UK Biobank primary care data for more than 150,000 participants with 1,800,000 observations reveals loci that significantly alter the mean or WS variability.

A genome-wide association study of the longitudinal course of executive functions

Executive functions are metacognitive capabilities that control and coordinate mental processes. In the transdiagnostic PsyCourse Study, comprising patients of the affective-to-psychotic spectrum and controls, we investigated the genetic basis of the time course of two core executive subfunctions: set-shifting (Trail Making Test, part B (TMT-B)) and updating (Verbal Digit Span backwards) in 1338 genotyped individuals. Time course was assessed with four measurement points, each 6 months apart. Compared to the initial assessment, executive performance improved across diagnostic groups. We performed a genome-wide association study to identify single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with performance change over time by testing for SNP-by-time interactions using linear mixed models. We identified nine genome-wide significant SNPs for TMT-B in strong linkage disequilibrium with each other on chromosome 5. These were associated with decreased performance on the continuous TMT-B score across time. Variant rs150547358 had the lowest P value = 7.2 × 10^-10 with effect estimate beta = 1.16 (95% c.i.: 1.11, 1.22). Implementing data of the FOR2107 consortium (1795 individuals), we replicated these findings for the SNP rs150547358 (P value = 0.015), analyzing the difference of the two available measurement points two years apart. In the replication study, rs150547358 exhibited a similar effect estimate beta = 0.85 (95% c.i.: 0.74, 0.97). Our study demonstrates that longitudinally measured phenotypes have the potential to unmask novel associations, adding time as a dimension to the effects of genomics.

Interaction analyses based on growth parameters of GWAS between Escherichia coli and Staphylococcus aureus

To accurately explore the interaction mechanism between Escherichia coli and Staphylococcus aureus, we designed an ecological experiment to monoculture and co-culture E. coli and S. aureus. We co-cultured 45 strains of E. coli and S. aureus, as well as each species individually to measure growth over 36 h. We implemented a genome wide association study (GWAS) based on growth parameters (λ, R, A and s) to identify significant single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of the bacteria. Three commonly used growth regression equations, Logistic, Gompertz, and Richards, were used to fit the bacteria growth data of each strain. Then each equation's Akaike's information criterion (AIC) value was calculated as a commonly used information criterion. We used the optimal growth equation to estimate the four parameters above for strains in co-culture. By plotting the estimates for each parameter across two strains, we can visualize how growth parameters respond ecologically to environment stimuli. We verified that different genotypes of bacteria had different growth trajectories, although they were the same species. We reported 85 and 52 significant SNPs that were associated with interaction in E. coli and S. aureus, respectively. Many significant genes might play key roles in interaction, such as yjjW, dnaK, aceE, tatD, ftsA, rclR, ftsK, fepA in E. coli, and scdA, trpD, sdrD, SAOUHSC_01219 in S. aureus. Our study illustrated that there were multiple genes working together to affect bacterial interaction, and laid a solid foundation for the later study of more complex inter-bacterial interaction mechanisms.

Efficient algorithms for covariate analysis with dynamic data using nonlinear mixed-effects model

Nonlinear mixed-effects modeling is one of the most popular tools for analyzing repeated measurement data, particularly for applications in the biomedical fields. Multiple integration and nonlinear optimization are the two major challenges for likelihood-based methods in nonlinear mixed-effects modeling. To solve these problems, approaches based on empirical Bayesian estimates have been proposed by breaking the problem into a nonlinear mixed-effects model with no covariates and a linear regression model without random effect. This approach is time-efficient as it involves no covariates in the nonlinear optimization. However, covariate effects based on empirical Bayesian estimates are underestimated and the bias depends on the extent of shrinkage. Marginal correction method has been proposed to correct the bias caused by shrinkage to some extent. However, the marginal approach appears to be suboptimal when testing covariate effects on multiple model parameters, a situation that is often encountered in real-world data analysis. In addition, the marginal approach cannot correct the inaccuracy in the associated p-values. In this paper, we proposed a simultaneous correction method (nSCEBE), which can handle the situation where covariate analysis is performed on multiple model parameters. Simulation studies and real data analysis showed that nSCEBE is accurate and efficient for both effect-size estimation and p-value calculation compared with the existing methods. Importantly, nSCEBE can be >2000 times faster than the standard mixed-effects models, potentially allowing utilization for high-dimension covariate analysis for longitudinal or repeated measured outcomes.

SCEBE: an efficient and scalable algorithm for genome-wide association studies on longitudinal outcomes with mixed-effects modeling

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) using longitudinal phenotypes collected over time is appealing due to the improvement of power. However, computation burden has been a challenge because of the complex algorithms for modeling the longitudinal data. Approximation methods based on empirical Bayesian estimates (EBEs) from mixed-effects modeling have been developed to expedite the analysis. However, our analysis demonstrated that bias in both association test and estimation for the existing EBE-based methods remains an issue. We propose an incredibly fast and unbiased method (simultaneous correction for EBE, SCEBE) that can correct the bias in the naive EBE approach and provide unbiased P-values and estimates of effect size. Through application to Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative data with 6 414 695 single nucleotide polymorphisms, we demonstrated that SCEBE can efficiently perform large-scale GWAS with longitudinal outcomes, providing nearly 10 000 times improvement of computational efficiency and shortening the computation time from months to minutes. The SCEBE package and the example datasets are available at https://github.com/Myuan2019/SCEBE.