Artificial Intelligence and Machine learning based prediction of resistant and susceptible mutations in Mycobacterium tuberculosis

Mechanistic insights into the conformational changes and alterations in residual communications due to the mutations in the pncA Gene of Mycobacterium tuberculosis: A computational perspective for effective therapeutic solutions

Due to its emerging resistance to first-line anti-TB medications, tuberculosis (TB) is one of the most contagious illness in the world. According to reports, the effectiveness of treating TB is severely impacted by drug resistance, notably resistance caused by mutations in the pncA gene-encoded pyrazinamidase (PZase) to the front-line drug pyrazinamide (PZA). The present study focused on investigating the resistance mechanism caused by the mutations D12N, T47A, and H137R to better understand the structural and molecular events responsible for the resistance acquired by the pncA gene of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) at the structural level. Bioinformatics analysis predicted that all three mutations were deleterious and located near the active centre of the pncA, affecting its functional activity. Furthermore, molecular dynamics simulation (MDS) results established that mutations significantly reduced the structural stability and caused the rearrangement of FE2+ in the active centre of pncA. Moreover, essential dynamics analysis, including principal component analysis (PCA) and free energy landscape (FEL), concluded variations in the protein motion and decreased conformational space in the mutants. Additionally, the mutations potentially impacted the network topologies and altered the residual communications in the network. The complex simulation study results established the significant movement of the flap region from the active centre of mutant complexes, further supporting the flap region's significance in developing resistance to the PZA drug. This study advances our knowledge of the primary cause of the mechanism of PZA resistance and the structural dynamics of pncA mutants, which will help us to design new and potent chemical scaffolds to treat drug-resistant TB (DR-TB).

Advancements in Artificial Intelligence for the Diagnosis of Multidrug Resistance and Extensively Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis: A Comprehensive Review

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a significant global health concern, particularly with the emergence of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) and extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis (XDR-TB). Traditional methods for diagnosing drug resistance in TB are time-consuming and often lack accuracy, leading to delays in appropriate treatment initiation and exacerbating the spread of drug-resistant strains. In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) techniques have shown promise in revolutionizing TB diagnosis, offering rapid and accurate identification of drug-resistant strains. This comprehensive review explores the latest advancements in AI applications for the diagnosis of MDR-TB and XDR-TB. We discuss the various AI algorithms and methodologies employed, including machine learning, deep learning, and ensemble techniques, and their comparative performances in TB diagnosis. Furthermore, we examine the integration of AI with novel diagnostic modalities such as whole-genome sequencing, molecular assays, and radiological imaging, enhancing the accuracy and efficiency of TB diagnosis. Challenges and limitations surrounding the implementation of AI in TB diagnosis, such as data availability, algorithm interpretability, and regulatory considerations, are also addressed. Finally, we highlight future directions and opportunities for the integration of AI into routine clinical practice for combating drug-resistant TB, ultimately contributing to improved patient outcomes and enhanced global TB control efforts.

Tackling the Antimicrobial Resistance "Pandemic" with Machine Learning Tools: A Summary of Available Evidence

Antimicrobial resistance is recognised as one of the top threats healthcare is bound to face in the future. There have been various attempts to preserve the efficacy of existing antimicrobials, develop new and efficient antimicrobials, manage infections with multi-drug resistant strains, and improve patient outcomes, resulting in a growing mass of routinely available data, including electronic health records and microbiological information that can be employed to develop individualised antimicrobial stewardship. Machine learning methods have been developed to predict antimicrobial resistance from whole-genome sequencing data, forecast medication susceptibility, recognise epidemic patterns for surveillance purposes, or propose new antibacterial treatments and accelerate scientific discovery. Unfortunately, there is an evident gap between the number of machine learning applications in science and the effective implementation of these systems. This narrative review highlights some of the outstanding opportunities that machine learning offers when applied in research related to antimicrobial resistance. In the future, machine learning tools may prove to be superbugs' kryptonite. This review aims to provide an overview of available publications to aid researchers that are looking to expand their work with new approaches and to acquaint them with the current application of machine learning techniques in this field.

Push forward LC-MS-based therapeutic drug monitoring and pharmacometabolomics for anti-tuberculosis precision dosing and comprehensive clinical management

The spread of tuberculosis (TB), especially multidrug-resistant TB and extensively drug-resistant TB, has strongly motivated the research and development of new anti-TB drugs. New strategies to facilitate drug combinations, including pharmacokinetics-guided dose optimization and toxicology studies of first- and second-line anti-TB drugs have also been introduced and recommended. Liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (LC-MS) has arguably become the gold standard in the analysis of both endo- and exo-genous compounds. This technique has been applied successfully not only for therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) but also for pharmacometabolomics analysis. TDM improves the effectiveness of treatment, reduces adverse drug reactions, and the likelihood of drug resistance development in TB patients by determining dosage regimens that produce concentrations within the therapeutic target window. Based on TDM, the dose would be optimized individually to achieve favorable outcomes. Pharmacometabolomics is essential in generating and validating hypotheses regarding the metabolism of anti-TB drugs, aiding in the discovery of potential biomarkers for TB diagnostics, treatment monitoring, and outcome evaluation. This article highlighted the current progresses in TDM of anti-TB drugs based on LC-MS bioassay in the last two decades. Besides, we discussed the advantages and disadvantages of this technique in practical use. The pressing need for non-invasive sampling approaches and stability studies of anti-TB drugs was highlighted. Lastly, we provided perspectives on the prospects of combining LC-MS-based TDM and pharmacometabolomics with other advanced strategies (pharmacometrics, drug and vaccine developments, machine learning/artificial intelligence, among others) to encapsulate in an all-inclusive approach to improve treatment outcomes of TB patients.

Machine Learning of the Whole Genome Sequence of Mycobacterium tuberculosis: A Scoping PRISMA-Based Review

Tuberculosis (TB) remains one of the most significant global health problems, posing a significant challenge to public health systems worldwide. However, diagnosing drug-resistant tuberculosis (DR-TB) has become increasingly challenging due to the rising number of multidrug-resistant (MDR-TB) cases, despite the development of new TB diagnostic tools. Even the World Health Organization-recommended methods such as Xpert MTB/XDR or Truenat are unable to detect all the Mycobacterium tuberculosis genome mutations associated with drug resistance. While Whole Genome Sequencing offers a more precise DR profile, the lack of user-friendly bioinformatics analysis applications hinders its widespread use. This review focuses on exploring various artificial intelligence models for predicting DR-TB profiles, analyzing relevant English-language articles using the PRISMA methodology through the Covidence platform. Our findings indicate that an Artificial Neural Network is the most commonly employed method, with non-statistical dimensionality reduction techniques preferred over traditional statistical approaches such as Principal Component Analysis or t-distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding.

A nomogram for predicting mortality of patients initially diagnosed with primary pulmonary tuberculosis in Hunan province, China: a retrospective study

Objective

According to the Global Tuberculosis Report for three consecutive years, tuberculosis (TB) is the second leading infectious killer. Primary pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) leads to the highest mortality among TB diseases. Regretfully, no previous studies targeted the PTB of a specific type or in a specific course, so models established in previous studies cannot be accurately feasible for clinical treatments. This study aimed to construct a nomogram prognostic model to quickly recognize death-related risk factors in patients initially diagnosed with PTB to intervene and treat high-risk patients as early as possible in the clinic to reduce mortality.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 1,809 in-hospital patients initially diagnosed with primary PTB at Hunan Chest Hospital from January 1, 2019, to December 31, 2019. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to identify the risk factors. A nomogram prognostic model for mortality prediction was constructed using R software and was validated using a validation set.

Results

Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses revealed that drinking, hepatitis B virus (HBV), body mass index (BMI), age, albumin (ALB), and hemoglobin (Hb) were six independent predictors of death in in-hospital patients initially diagnosed with primary PTB. Based on these predictors, a nomogram prognostic model was established with high prediction accuracy, of which the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.881 (95% confidence interval [Cl]: 0.777-0.847), the sensitivity was 84.7%, and the specificity was 77.7%.Internal and external validations confirmed that the constructed model fit the real situation well.

Conclusion

The constructed nomogram prognostic model can recognize risk factors and accurately predict the mortality of patients initially diagnosed with primary PTB. This is expected to guide early clinical intervention and treatment for high-risk patients.

In Silico Design and Investigation of Novel Thiazetidine Derivatives as Potent Inhibitors of PrpR in Mycobacterium tuberculosis

Tuberculosis is one of the most life-threatening acute infectious diseases diagnosed in humans. In the present investigation, a series of 16 new disubstituted 1,3-thiazetidines derivatives is designed, and investigated via various in silico methods for their potential as anti-tubercular agent by evaluating their ability to block the active site of PrpR transcription factor protein of Mycobacterium tuberculosis. The efficacy of the molecules was initially assessed with the help of AutoDock Vina algorithm. Further Glide module is used to redock the previously docked complexes. The binding energies and other physiochemical properties of the designed molecules were evaluated using the Prime-MM/GBSA and the QikProp module, respectively. The results of docking revealed the nature, site of interaction and the binding affinity between the proposed candidates and the active site of PrpR. Further the inhibitory effect of the scaffolds was predicted and evaluated employing a machine learning-based algorithm and was used accordingly. Further, the molecular dynamics simulation studies ascertained the binding characteristics of the unique 13, when analysed across a time frame of 100 ns with GROMACS software. The results show that the proposed 1,3-thiazetidine derivatives such as 10, 11, 13 and 14 could be potent and selective anti-tubercular agents as compared to the standard drug Pyrazinamide. Finally, this study concludes that designed thiazetidines can be employed as anti-tubercular agents. Undeniably, the results may guide the experimental biologists to develop safe and non-toxic drugs against tuberculosis by demanding further in vivo and in vitro analyses.

Development and application of survey-based artificial intelligence for clinical decision support in managing infectious diseases: A pilot study on a hospital in central Vietnam

Introduction

In this study, we developed a simplified artificial intelligence to support the clinical decision-making of medical personnel in a resource-limited setting.

Methods

We selected seven infectious disease categories that impose a heavy disease burden in the central Vietnam region: mosquito-borne disease, acute gastroenteritis, respiratory tract infection, pulmonary tuberculosis, sepsis, primary nervous system infection, and viral hepatitis. We developed a set of questionnaires to collect information on the current symptoms and history of patients suspected to have infectious diseases. We used data collected from 1,129 patients to develop and test a diagnostic model. We used XGBoost, LightGBM, and CatBoost algorithms to create artificial intelligence for clinical decision support. We used a 4-fold cross-validation method to validate the artificial intelligence model. After 4-fold cross-validation, we tested artificial intelligence models on a separate test dataset and estimated diagnostic accuracy for each model.

Results

We recruited 1,129 patients for final analyses. Artificial intelligence developed by the CatBoost algorithm showed the best performance, with 87.61% accuracy and an F1-score of 87.71. The F1-score of the CatBoost model by disease entity ranged from 0.80 to 0.97. Diagnostic accuracy was the lowest for sepsis and the highest for central nervous system infection.

Conclusion

Simplified artificial intelligence could be helpful in clinical decision support in settings with limited resources.

Identification of novel inhibitors for Prp protein of Mycobacterium tuberculosis by structure based drug design, and molecular dynamics simulations

In this study, we assess the effective inhibition of a series of thiazolidine derivatives (1a-1q) were adopting structure-based drug design. Thiazolidine is a five-membered ring structure with thioether and amino groups at positions 1 and 3. Although, thiazolidine may bind to a wide range of protein targets, it is a major heterocyclic core in medicinal chemistry. Different scoring utilities including AutoDock Vina, Glide, and MM/GBSA analysis were performed to commensurate the improvement of screening progress. The evaluated binding affinities were validated by molecular dynamics simulations over a period of 20 ns for the interactions between the Mycobacterium tuberculosis protein PrpR with three novel scaffolds (1b, 1j, and 1k). All the scaffolds exhibited distinct stable interactions with the significant residues like Arg169, Arg197, Tyr248, Arg308, and Gly311 respectively. Further, the inhibitory activities of scaffolds were predicted and evaluated by machine learning based algorithm to rank the above proposed compounds. This study reveals the potential of 1k and 1j as effective inhibitor candidates for the treatment of tuberculosis.

Assessment of the Risk of Severe Dengue Using Intrahost Viral Population in Dengue Virus Serotype 2 Patients via Machine Learning

Dengue virus, a positive-sense single-stranded RNA virus, continuously threatens human health. Although several criteria for evaluation of severe dengue have been recently established, the ability to prognose the risk of severe outcomes for dengue patients remains limited. Mutant spectra of RNA viruses, including single nucleotide variants (SNVs) and defective virus genomes (DVGs), contribute to viral virulence and growth. Here, we determine the potency of intrahost viral population in dengue patients with primary infection that progresses into severe dengue. A total of 65 dengue virus serotype 2 infected patients in primary infection including 17 severe cases were enrolled. We utilized deep sequencing to directly define the frequency of SNVs and detection times of DVGs in sera of dengue patients and analyzed their associations with severe dengue. Among the detected SNVs and DVGs, the frequencies of 9 SNVs and the detection time of 1 DVG exhibited statistically significant differences between patients with dengue fever and those with severe dengue. By utilizing the detected frequencies/times of the selected SNVs/DVG as features, the machine learning model showed high average with a value of area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC, 0.966 ± 0.064). The elevation of the frequency of SNVs at E (nucleotide position 995 and 2216), NS2A (nucleotide position 4105), NS3 (nucleotide position 4536, 4606), and NS5 protein (nucleotide position 7643 and 10067) and the detection times of the selected DVG that had a deletion junction in the E protein region (nucleotide positions of the junction: between 969 and 1022) increased the possibility of dengue patients for severe dengue. In summary, we demonstrated the detected frequencies/times of SNVs/DVG in dengue patients associated with severe disease and successfully utilized them to discriminate severe patients using machine learning algorithm. The identified SNVs and DVGs that are associated with severe dengue will expand our understanding of intrahost viral population in dengue pathogenesis.

The Structural Basis of Mycobacterium tuberculosis RpoB Drug-Resistant Clinical Mutations on Rifampicin Drug Binding

Tuberculosis (TB), caused by the Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection, continues to be a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in developing countries. Resistance to the first-line anti-TB drugs, isoniazid (INH) and rifampicin (RIF), is a major drawback to effective TB treatment. Genetic mutations in the β-subunit of the DNA-directed RNA polymerase (rpoB) are reported to be a major reason of RIF resistance. However, the structural basis and mechanisms of these resistant mutations are insufficiently understood. In the present study, thirty drug-resistant mutants of rpoB were initially modeled and screened against RIF via a comparative molecular docking analysis with the wild-type (WT) model. These analyses prioritized six mutants (Asp441Val, Ser456Trp, Ser456Gln, Arg454Gln, His451Gly, and His451Pro) that showed adverse binding affinities, molecular interactions, and RIF binding hinderance properties, with respect to the WT. These mutant models were subsequently analyzed by molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. One-hundred nanosecond all-atom MD simulations, binding free energy calculations, and a dynamic residue network analysis (DRN) were employed to exhaustively assess the impact of mutations on RIF binding dynamics. Considering the global structural motions and protein-ligand binding affinities, the Asp441Val, Ser456Gln, and His454Pro mutations generally yielded detrimental effects on RIF binding. Locally, we found that the electrostatic contributions to binding, particularly by Arg454 and Glu487, might be adjusted to counteract resistance. The DRN analysis revealed that all mutations mostly distorted the communication values of the critical hubs and may, therefore, confer conformational changes in rpoB to perturb RIF binding. In principle, the approach combined fundamental molecular modeling tools for robust "global" and "local" level analyses of structural dynamics, making it well suited for investigating other similar drug resistance cases.

A Network-Based Methodology to Identify Subnetwork Markers for Diagnosis and Prognosis of Colorectal Cancer

The development of reliable methods for identification of robust biomarkers for complex diseases is critical for disease diagnosis and prognosis efforts. Integrating multi-omics data with protein-protein interaction (PPI) networks to investigate diseases may help better understand disease characteristics at the molecular level. In this study, we developed and tested a novel network-based method to detect subnetwork markers for patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). We performed an integrated omics analysis using whole-genome gene expression profiling and copy number alterations (CNAs) datasets followed by building a gene interaction network for the significantly altered genes. We then clustered the constructed gene network into subnetworks and assigned a score for each significant subnetwork. We developed a support vector machine (SVM) classifier using these scores as feature values and tested the methodology in independent CRC transcriptomic datasets. The network analysis resulted in 15 subnetwork markers that revealed several hub genes that may play a significant role in colorectal cancer, including PTP4A3, FGFR2, PTX3, AURKA, FEN1, INHBA, and YES1. The 15-subnetwork classifier displayed over 98 percent accuracy in detecting patients with CRC. In comparison to individual gene biomarkers, subnetwork markers based on integrated multi-omics and network analyses may lead to better disease classification, diagnosis, and prognosis.

Artificial intelligence and machine learning assisted drug delivery for effective treatment of infectious diseases

In the era of antimicrobial resistance, the prevalence of multidrug-resistant microorganisms that resist conventional antibiotic treatment has steadily increased. Thus, it is now unquestionable that infectious diseases are significant global burdens that urgently require innovative treatment strategies. Emerging studies have demonstrated that artificial intelligence (AI) can transform drug delivery to promote effective treatment of infectious diseases. In this review, we propose to evaluate the significance, essential principles, and popular tools of AI in drug delivery for infectious disease treatment. Specifically, we will focus on the achievements and key findings of current research, as well as the applications of AI on drug delivery throughout the whole antimicrobial treatment process, with an emphasis on drug development, treatment regimen optimization, drug delivery system and administration route design, and drug delivery outcome prediction. To that end, the challenges of AI in drug delivery for infectious disease treatments and their current solutions and future perspective will be presented and discussed.

Application of Computational Methods in Understanding Mutations in Mycobacterium tuberculosis Drug Resistance

The emergence of drug-resistant strains of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) impedes the End TB Strategy by the World Health Organization aiming for zero deaths, disease, and suffering at the hands of tuberculosis (TB). Mutations within anti-TB drug targets play a major role in conferring drug resistance within Mtb; hence, computational methods and tools are being used to understand the mechanisms by which they facilitate drug resistance. In this article, computational techniques such as molecular docking and molecular dynamics are applied to explore point mutations and their roles in affecting binding affinities for anti-TB drugs, often times lowering the protein’s affinity for the drug. Advances and adoption of computational techniques, chemoinformatics, and bioinformatics in molecular biosciences and resources supporting machine learning techniques are in abundance, and this has seen a spike in its use to predict mutations in Mtb. This article highlights the importance of molecular modeling in deducing how point mutations in proteins confer resistance through destabilizing binding sites of drugs and effectively inhibiting the drug action.

Detection of primary angleclosure suspect with different mechanisms of angle closure using multivariate prediction models

PURPOSE

We had found that a multivariate prediction model used for the detection of primary angle-closure suspects (PACS) by combining multiple static and dynamic anterior segment optical coherence tomography (ASOCT) parameters had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.844. We undertook this study to evaluate this method in screening of PACS with different dominant mechanisms of angle closure (AC).

METHODS

The right eyes of subjects aged ≥40 years who participated in the 5-year follow-up of the Handan Eye Study and had undergone gonioscopy and ASOCT examinations under light and dark conditions were included. All ASOCT images were analysed by the Zhongshan Angle Assessment Program. The dominant AC mechanism in each eye was determined to be pupillary block (PB), plateau iris configuration (PIC) or thick peripheral iris roll (TPIR). Backward logistic regression (LR) was used for inclusion of variables in the prediction models. LR, Naïve Bayes' classification (NBC) and neural network (NN) were evaluated and compared using the AUC.

RESULTS

Data from 796 subjects (413 PACS and 383 normal eyes) were analysed. The AUCs of LR, NBC and NN in the PB group were 0.920, 0.918 and 0.917. The AUCs of LR, NBC and NN in the PIC group were 0.715, 0.708 and 0.707. The AUCs of LR, NBC and NN in TPIR group were 0.867, 0.833 and 0.886.

CONCLUSIONS

Prediction models showed the best performance for detection of PACS with PB mechanism for AC and have potential for screening of PACS.

Insights Into Mutations Induced Conformational Changes and Rearrangement of Fe2+ Ion in pncA Gene of Mycobacterium tuberculosis to Decipher the Mechanism of Resistance to Pyrazinamide

Pyrazinamide (PZA) is the first-line drug commonly used in treating Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) infections and reduces treatment time by 33%. This prodrug is activated and converted to an active form, Pyrazinoic acid (POA), by Pyrazinamidase (PZase) enzyme. Mtb resistance to PZA is the outcome of mutations frequently reported in pncA, rpsA, and panD genes. Among the mentioned genes, pncA mutations contribute to 72-99% of the total resistance to PZA. Thus, considering the vital importance of this gene in PZA resistance, its frequent mutations (D49N, Y64S, W68G, and F94A) were investigated through in-depth computational techniques to put conclusions that might be useful for new scaffolds design or structure optimization to improve the efficacy of the available drugs. Mutants and wild type PZase were used in extensive and long-run molecular dynamics simulations in triplicate to disclose the resistance mechanism induced by the above-mentioned point mutations. Our analysis suggests that these mutations alter the internal dynamics of PZase and hinder the correct orientation of PZA to the enzyme. Consequently, the PZA has a low binding energy score with the mutants compared with the wild type PZase. These mutations were also reported to affect the binding of Fe2+ ion and its coordinated residues. Conformational dynamics also revealed that β-strand two is flipped, which is significant in Fe2+ binding. MM-GBSA analysis confirmed that these mutations significantly decreased the binding of PZA. In conclusion, these mutations cause conformation alterations and deformities that lead to PZA resistance.

A Comprehensive Machine Learning Framework for the Exact Prediction of the Age of Onset in Familial and Sporadic Alzheimer's Disease

Machine learning (ML) algorithms are widely used to develop predictive frameworks. Accurate prediction of Alzheimer's disease (AD) age of onset (ADAOO) is crucial to investigate potential treatments, follow-up, and therapeutic interventions. Although genetic and non-genetic factors affecting ADAOO were elucidated by other research groups and ours, the comprehensive and sequential application of ML to provide an exact estimation of the actual ADAOO, instead of a high-confidence-interval ADAOO that may fall, remains to be explored. Here, we assessed the performance of ML algorithms for predicting ADAOO using two AD cohorts with early-onset familial AD and with late-onset sporadic AD, combining genetic and demographic variables. Performance of ML algorithms was assessed using the root mean squared error (RMSE), the R-squared (R2), and the mean absolute error (MAE) with a 10-fold cross-validation procedure. For predicting ADAOO in familial AD, boosting-based ML algorithms performed the best. In the sporadic cohort, boosting-based ML algorithms performed best in the training data set, while regularization methods best performed for unseen data. ML algorithms represent a feasible alternative to accurately predict ADAOO with little human intervention. Future studies may include predicting the speed of cognitive decline in our cohorts using ML.

Predicting rifampicin resistance mutations in bacterial RNA polymerase subunit beta based on majority consensus

BACKGROUND

Mutations in an enzyme target are one of the most common mechanisms whereby antibiotic resistance arises. Identification of the resistance mutations in bacteria is essential for understanding the structural basis of antibiotic resistance and design of new drugs. However, the traditionally used experimental approaches to identify resistance mutations were usually labor-intensive and costly.

RESULTS

We present a machine learning (ML)-based classifier for predicting rifampicin (Rif) resistance mutations in bacterial RNA Polymerase subunit β (RpoB). A total of 186 mutations were gathered from the literature for developing the classifier, using 80% of the data as the training set and the rest as the test set. The features of the mutated RpoB and their binding energies with Rif were calculated through computational methods, and used as the mutation attributes for modeling. Classifiers based on five ML algorithms, i.e. decision tree, k nearest neighbors, naïve Bayes, probabilistic neural network and support vector machine, were first built, and a majority consensus (MC) approach was then used to obtain a new classifier based on the classifications of the five individual ML algorithms. The MC classifier comprehensively improved the predictive performance, with accuracy, F-measure and AUC of 0.78, 0.83 and 0.81for training set whilst 0.84, 0.87 and 0.83 for test set, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The MC classifier provides an alternative methodology for rapid identification of resistance mutations in bacteria, which may help with early detection of antibiotic resistance and new drug discovery.

Assessing the risk of dengue severity using demographic information and laboratory test results with machine learning

BACKGROUND

Dengue virus causes a wide spectrum of disease, which ranges from subclinical disease to severe dengue shock syndrome. However, estimating the risk of severe outcomes using clinical presentation or laboratory test results for rapid patient triage remains a challenge. Here, we aimed to develop prognostic models for severe dengue using machine learning, according to demographic information and clinical laboratory data of patients with dengue.

METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

Out of 1,581 patients in the National Cheng Kung University Hospital with suspected dengue infections and subjected to NS1 antigen, IgM and IgG, and qRT-PCR tests, 798 patients including 138 severe cases were enrolled in the study. The primary target outcome was severe dengue. Machine learning models were trained and tested using the patient dataset that included demographic information and qualitative laboratory test results collected on day 1 when they sought medical advice. To develop prognostic models, we applied various machine learning methods, including logistic regression, random forest, gradient boosting machine, support vector classifier, and artificial neural network, and compared the performance of the methods. The artificial neural network showed the highest average discrimination area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.8324 ± 0.0268) and balance accuracy (0.7523 ± 0.0273). According to the model explainer that analyzed the contributions/co-contributions of the different factors, patient age and dengue NS1 antigenemia were the two most important risk factors associated with severe dengue. Additionally, co-existence of anti-dengue IgM and IgG in patients with dengue increased the probability of severe dengue.

CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE

We developed prognostic models for the prediction of dengue severity in patients, using machine learning. The discriminative ability of the artificial neural network exhibited good performance for severe dengue prognosis. This model could help clinicians obtain a rapid prognosis during dengue outbreaks. However, the model requires further validation using external cohorts in future studies.

Mycobacterial drug discovery

Mycobacterium tuberculosis is the causative pathogen of the pulmonary disease tuberculosis. Despite the availability of effective treatment programs, there is a global pursuit of new anti-tubercular agents to respond to the developing threat of drug resistance, in addition to reducing the extensive duration of chemotherapy and any associated toxicity. The route to mycobacterial drug discovery can be considered from two directions: target-to-drug and drug-to-target. The former approach uses conventional methods including biochemical assays along with innovative computational screens, but is yet to yield any drug candidates to the clinic, with a high attrition rate owing to lack of whole cell activity. In the latter approach, compound libraries are screened for efficacy against the bacilli or model organisms, ensuring whole cell activity, but here subsequent target identification is the rate-limiting step. Advances in a variety of scientific fields have enabled the amalgamation of aspects of both approaches in the development of novel drug discovery tools, which are now primed to accelerate the discovery of novel hits and leads with known targets and whole cell activity. This review discusses these traditional and innovative techniques, which are widely used in the quest for new anti-tubercular compounds.

Innovations in mycobacterial drug discovery to accelerate the identification of new drug candidates with confirmed targets and whole cell activity.