Decoding accelerometry for classification and prediction of critically ill patients with severe brain injury

Emerging methods for measuring physical activity using accelerometry in children and adolescents with neuromotor disorders: a narrative review

BACKGROUND

Children and adolescents with neuromotor disorders need regular physical activity to maintain optimal health and functional independence throughout their development. To this end, reliable measures of physical activity are integral to both assessing habitual physical activity and testing the efficacy of the many interventions designed to increase physical activity in these children. Wearable accelerometers have been used for children with neuromotor disorders for decades; however, studies most often use disorder-specific cut points to categorize physical activity intensity, which lack generalizability to a free-living environment. No reviews of accelerometer data processing methods have discussed the novel use of machine learning techniques for monitoring physical activity in children with neuromotor disorders.

METHODS

In this narrative review, we discuss traditional measures of physical activity (including questionnaires and objective accelerometry measures), the limitations of standard analysis for accelerometry in this unique population, and the potential benefits of applying machine learning approaches. We also provide recommendations for using machine learning approaches to monitor physical activity.

CONCLUSIONS

While wearable accelerometers provided a much-needed method to quantify physical activity, standard cut point analyses have limitations in children with neuromotor disorders. Machine learning models are a more robust method of analyzing accelerometer data in pediatric neuromotor disorders and using these methods over disorder-specific cut points is likely to improve accuracy of classifying both type and intensity of physical activity. Notably, there remains a critical need for further development of classifiers for children with more severe motor impairments, preschool aged children, and children in hospital settings.

Mining the contribution of intensive care clinical course to outcome after traumatic brain injury

Existing methods to characterise the evolving condition of traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients in the intensive care unit (ICU) do not capture the context necessary for individualising treatment. Here, we integrate all heterogenous data stored in medical records (1166 pre-ICU and ICU variables) to model the individualised contribution of clinical course to 6-month functional outcome on the Glasgow Outcome Scale -Extended (GOSE). On a prospective cohort (n = 1550, 65 centres) of TBI patients, we train recurrent neural network models to map a token-embedded time series representation of all variables (including missing values) to an ordinal GOSE prognosis every 2 h. The full range of variables explains up to 52% (95% CI: 50-54%) of the ordinal variance in functional outcome. Up to 91% (95% CI: 90-91%) of this explanation is derived from pre-ICU and admission information (i.e., static variables). Information collected in the ICU (i.e., dynamic variables) increases explanation (by up to 5% [95% CI: 4-6%]), though not enough to counter poorer overall performance in longer-stay (>5.75 days) patients. Highest-contributing variables include physician-based prognoses, CT features, and markers of neurological function. Whilst static information currently accounts for the majority of functional outcome explanation after TBI, data-driven analysis highlights investigative avenues to improve the dynamic characterisation of longer-stay patients. Moreover, our modelling strategy proves useful for converting large patient records into interpretable time series with missing data integration and minimal processing.

Classification of Level of Consciousness in a Neurological ICU Using Physiological Data

BACKGROUND

Impaired consciousness is common in intensive care unit (ICU) patients, and an individual's degree of consciousness is crucial to determining their care and prognosis. However, there are no methods that continuously monitor consciousness and alert clinicians to changes. We investigated the use of physiological signals collected in the ICU to classify levels of consciousness in critically ill patients.

METHODS

We studied 61 patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) and 178 patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) from the neurological ICU at Columbia University Medical Center in a retrospective observational study of prospectively collected data. The level of consciousness was determined on the basis of neurological examination and mapped to comatose, vegetative state or unresponsive wakefulness syndrome (VS/UWS), minimally conscious minus state (MCS-), and command following. For each physiological signal, we extracted time-series features and performed classification using extreme gradient boosting on multiple clinically relevant tasks across subsets of physiological signals. We applied this approach independently on both SAH and ICH patient groups for three sets of variables: (1) a minimal set common to most hospital patients (e.g., heart rate), (2) variables available in most ICUs (e.g., body temperature), and (3) an extended set recorded mainly in neurological ICUs (absent for the ICH patient group; e.g., brain temperature).

RESULTS

On the commonly performed classification task of VS/UWS versus MCS-, we achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) in the SAH patient group of 0.72 (sensitivity 82%, specificity 57%; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.63-0.81) using the extended set, 0.69 (sensitivity 83%, specificity 51%; 95% CI 0.59-0.78) on the variable set available in most ICUs, and 0.69 (sensitivity 56%, specificity 78%; 95% CI 0.60-0.78) on the minimal set. In the ICH patient group, AUROC was 0.64 (sensitivity 56%, specificity 65%; 95% CI 0.55-0.74) using the minimal set and 0.61 (sensitivity 50%, specificity 80%; 95% CI 0.51-0.71) using the variables available in most ICUs.

CONCLUSIONS

We find that physiological signals can be used to classify states of consciousness for patients in the ICU. Building on this with intraday assessments and increasing sensitivity and specificity may enable alarm systems that alert physicians to changes in consciousness and frequent monitoring of consciousness throughout the day, both of which may improve patient care and outcomes.

The leap to ordinal: Detailed functional prognosis after traumatic brain injury with a flexible modelling approach

When a patient is admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) after a traumatic brain injury (TBI), an early prognosis is essential for baseline risk adjustment and shared decision making. TBI outcomes are commonly categorised by the Glasgow Outcome Scale–Extended (GOSE) into eight, ordered levels of functional recovery at 6 months after injury. Existing ICU prognostic models predict binary outcomes at a certain threshold of GOSE (e.g., prediction of survival [GOSE > 1]). We aimed to develop ordinal prediction models that concurrently predict probabilities of each GOSE score. From a prospective cohort (n = 1,550, 65 centres) in the ICU stratum of the Collaborative European NeuroTrauma Effectiveness Research in TBI (CENTER-TBI) patient dataset, we extracted all clinical information within 24 hours of ICU admission (1,151 predictors) and 6-month GOSE scores. We analysed the effect of two design elements on ordinal model performance: (1) the baseline predictor set, ranging from a concise set of ten validated predictors to a token-embedded representation of all possible predictors, and (2) the modelling strategy, from ordinal logistic regression to multinomial deep learning. With repeated k-fold cross-validation, we found that expanding the baseline predictor set significantly improved ordinal prediction performance while increasing analytical complexity did not. Half of these gains could be achieved with the addition of eight high-impact predictors to the concise set. At best, ordinal models achieved 0.76 (95% CI: 0.74–0.77) ordinal discrimination ability (ordinal c-index) and 57% (95% CI: 54%– 60%) explanation of ordinal variation in 6-month GOSE (Somers’ D_xy). Model performance and the effect of expanding the predictor set decreased at higher GOSE thresholds, indicating the difficulty of predicting better functional outcomes shortly after ICU admission. Our results motivate the search for informative predictors that improve confidence in prognosis of higher GOSE and the development of ordinal dynamic prediction models.