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Guo X, Lin L, Qin K, Li J, Chen W, Guo VY. Adverse childhood experiences and depressive symptoms among middle-aged or older adults in China and the mediating role of short sleep duration. J Affect Disord 2023; 340:711-718. [PMID: 37597778 DOI: 10.1016/j.jad.2023.08.082] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/22/2023] [Revised: 07/31/2023] [Accepted: 08/14/2023] [Indexed: 08/21/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Limited research has simultaneously examined the link between adverse childhood experiences (ACEs), short sleep duration, and depressive symptoms among middle-aged or older Chinese adults. This study aims to investigate the association between ACEs and later-life depressive symptoms, and to examine the mediating role of short sleep duration (<6 h/night) in this association. METHODS Data of 11,452 participants aged ≥45 years were obtained from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. Information on ACEs, depressive symptoms, and sleep duration were reported via questionnaires. The mediating effect of short sleep duration in the association between ACEs and depressive symptoms was examined by Baron and Kenny's causal steps method and Karlson/Holm/Breen (KHB) method. RESULTS Compared to non-exposed group, exposure to ACEs was significantly associated with increased odds of depressive symptoms in a dose-response pattern. The odds ratio of depressive symptoms increased from 1.27 (95 % CI: 1.11-1.46) for one ACE to 3.38 (95 % CI: 2.92-3.90) for ≥4 ACEs. The KHB method identified significant mediating role of short sleep duration in the association between experiencing three or more ACEs and depressive symptoms, with the proportional mediation estimated at 8.96 % and 8.85 % for the groups with 3 ACEs and ≥4 ACEs, respectively. The results were consistent across genders and gender did not moderate these associations. LIMITATIONS The cross-sectional design limited the ability to make causal inference. CONCLUSIONS ACEs were positively associated with depressive symptoms, and short sleep duration partially mediated this association. Promoting optimal sleep duration among ACE-exposed individuals might improve their mental health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xun Guo
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Li Lin
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Kang Qin
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Jinghua Li
- Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Weiqing Chen
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Vivian Yawei Guo
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
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Japar KV, Hariyanto TI, Mardjopranoto MS. Relationship between Phenotype Models Based on Waist Circumference and Triglyceride Levels and the Risk of Chronic Kidney Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. J Obes Metab Syndr 2023; 32:236-246. [PMID: 37718119 PMCID: PMC10583768 DOI: 10.7570/jomes23037] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/20/2023] [Revised: 07/14/2023] [Accepted: 09/12/2023] [Indexed: 09/19/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a leading cause of death worldwide and has a high cost of treatment. Studies have indicated that a combination of waist circumference (WC) and triglyceride (TG) levels can be used to determine the risk of CKD. This study analyzes the risk of CKD using four phenotype models based on WC and TG. METHODS This meta-analysis analyzes 113,019 participants from 13 studies. We conducted relevant literature searches in the Europe PMC, Medline, and Scopus databases using specific keywords. The results obtained were pooled into odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using random-effects models. RESULTS Our pooled analysis revealed that the highest significant independent association was between CKD and the high WC-high TG phenotype (adjusted OR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.39 to 1.88; P<0.00001; I2=59%), followed by the high WC-normal TG phenotype (adjusted OR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.12 to 1.57; P=0.001; I2=67%), and the normal WC-high TG phenotype (adjusted OR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.06 to 1.37; P=0.005; I2=29%) when the normal WC-normal TG phenotype was taken as the reference. CONCLUSION Our study suggests that phenotype models based on WC and TG can be used as screening tools to predict the risk of CKD. Our results also indicate that WC plays a larger role than TG in the CKD risk. Further prospective studies are needed to confirm the results of our study.
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Guo L, Wang W, Shi J, Zheng X, Hua Y, Lu C. Evaluation of Social Isolation Trajectories and Incident Cardiovascular Disease Among Middle-Aged and Older Adults in China: National Cohort Study. JMIR Public Health Surveill 2023; 9:e45677. [PMID: 37389914 PMCID: PMC10365588 DOI: 10.2196/45677] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/12/2023] [Revised: 04/24/2023] [Accepted: 05/08/2023] [Indexed: 07/01/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Although the association between social isolation and the risk of subsequent cardiovascular disease (CVD) is well documented, most studies have only assessed social isolation at a single time point, and few studies have considered the association using repeatedly measured social isolation. OBJECTIVE This study aimed to examine the association between social isolation trajectories and incident CVD in a large cohort of middle-aged and older adults. METHODS This study used data from 4 waves (wave 1, wave 2, wave 3, and wave 4) of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. We defined the exposure period as from June 2011 to September 2015 (from wave 1 to wave 3) and the follow-up period as from September 2015 to March 2019 (wave 4). On the basis of the inclusion and exclusion criteria, our final analytic sample included 8422 individuals who had no CVD in the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study in waves 1 to 3 and were fully followed up in wave 4. Social isolation was ascertained using an extensively used questionnaire at 3 consecutive, biennial time points from waves 1 to 3, and individuals were assigned to 3 predefined social isolation trajectories based on their scores at each wave (consistently low, fluctuating, and consistently high). Incident CVD included self-reported physician-diagnosed heart disease and stroke combined. Cox proportional hazard models estimated the associations of social isolation trajectories with risks of incident CVD, adjusting for demographics, health behaviors, and health conditions. RESULTS Of the 8422 participants (mean age 59.76, SD 10.33 years at baseline), 4219 (50.09%) were male. Most of the participants (5267/8422, 62.54%) had consistently low social isolation over time and 16.62% (1400/8422) of the participants had consistently high social isolation over the exposure period. During the 4-year follow-up, 746 incident CVDs occurred (heart disease: 450 cases and stroke: 336 cases). Compared with individuals with consistently low social isolation, those with fluctuating social isolation (adjusted hazard ratio 1.27, 95% CI 1.01-1.59) and consistently high social isolation (adjusted hazard ratio 1.45, 95% CI 1.13-1.85) had higher risks for incident CVD after adjusting for demographics (ie, age, sex, residence, and educational level), health behaviors (ie, smoking status and drinking status), and health conditions (ie, BMI; history of diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia, chronic kidney disease; use of diabetes medications, hypertension medications, and lipid-lowering therapy; and depressive symptoms scores). CONCLUSIONS In this cohort study, middle-aged and older adults with fluctuating and consistently high social isolation exposure had higher risks of the onset of CVD than those without the exposure. The findings suggest that routine social isolation screenings and efforts to improve social connectedness merit increased attention for preventing CVD among middle-aged and older adults.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lan Guo
- School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Wanxin Wang
- School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Jingman Shi
- School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Xinyu Zheng
- School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Yilin Hua
- School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Ciyong Lu
- School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
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Amouzegar A, Honarvar M, Masoumi S, Tohidi M, Mehran L, Azizi F. Sex-specific Trajectories of Insulin Resistance Markers and Reduced Renal Function During 18 Years of Follow-up: TLGS. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2023; 108:e230-e239. [PMID: 36546593 DOI: 10.1210/clinem/dgac735] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/04/2022] [Revised: 12/07/2022] [Accepted: 12/15/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
CONTEXT The evidence suggest that insulin resistance (IR) complicates chronic kidney disease (CKD); however, the longitudinal association of IR with development of CKD is unknown. OBJECTIVE This work aimed to investigate the association between the dynamic course of insulin resistance and CKD. METHODS In the longitudinal, population-based Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study, 3071 eligible participants aged 20 years or older were followed for 18 years at 3-year intervals. Homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) and clinical surrogate markers of IR, including triglyceride-glucose index (TyG), visceral adiposity index (VAI), and lipid accumulation product (LAP), were calculated. Using latent variable mixture modeling, sex-specific trajectories were plotted for each IR marker. Trajectory group association of the IR markers with CKD was determined using the multivariable Cox proportional-hazards regression model. RESULTS For HOMA-IR, 2 distinct trajectory patterns (stable and increasing), and for TyG, VAI, and LAP, 3 trajectories (low, moderate, and high) were identified. The participants with an increasing HOMA-IR trajectory had a significantly increased risk of CKD in men (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.72; 95% CI, 1.06-2.79) and women (HR: 1.37; 95% CI, 1.00-1.89) after adjusting for confounding variables. The high TyG and VAI trajectory classes were associated with a higher risk of CKD than the low TyG and VAI trajectory classes both in men (TyG: HR: 1.97; 95% CI, 1.12-3.46; VAI: HR:1.66; 95% CI, 1.06-2.62) and women (TyG: HR: 1.50; 95% CI, 1.06-2.12; VAI: HR:1.66; 95% CI, 1.20-2.31). In contrast, the high LAP (HR: 3.38; 95% CI, 2.08-5.48) trajectory was associated with incident CKD only in women. CONCLUSION An increasing trend of HOMA-IR is associated with a higher risk of CKD in men and women. Among clinical IR surrogate markers, abnormal trajectory patterns of LAP in women and TyG and VAI in both sexes are associated with a higher risk of CKD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Atieh Amouzegar
- Endocrine Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, I. R. Iran
| | - Mohammadjavad Honarvar
- Endocrine Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, I. R. Iran
| | - Safdar Masoumi
- Endocrine Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, I. R. Iran
| | - Maryam Tohidi
- Prevention of Metabolic Disorders Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, I. R. Iran
| | - Ladan Mehran
- Endocrine Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, I. R. Iran
| | - Fereidoun Azizi
- Endocrine Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, I. R. Iran
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Qin K, Bai S, Chen W, Li J, Guo VY. Association of comorbid depression and obesity with cardiometabolic multimorbidity among middle-aged and older Chinese adults: A cohort study. Arch Gerontol Geriatr 2023; 107:104912. [PMID: 36565606 DOI: 10.1016/j.archger.2022.104912] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/29/2022] [Revised: 11/24/2022] [Accepted: 12/18/2022] [Indexed: 12/23/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE To evaluate the association of comorbid depression and obesity with the risk of incident cardiometabolic multimorbidity among middle-aged and older Chinese adults. METHODS This cohort study extracted data from the 2011 and 2015 waves of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Depression was confirmed by the 10-item Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CESD-10) with a cut-off score ≥10. Obesity was defined as a body mass index ≥28 kg/m2. Participants were categorized into four groups based on depression and obesity status at baseline, i.e., with neither condition, depression only, obesity only, and with both conditions. Cardiometabolic multimorbidity was defined as the coexistence of two or more of heart diseases, stroke, and diabetes mellitus. Logistic regression models were established to estimate the associations. RESULTS A total of 9,308 participants without cardiometabolic multimorbidity at baseline were included (mean [SD] age, 58.8 [9.0] years; 4,449 [47.8%] were males). During four-year of follow-up, 349 (3.8%) participants developed cardiometabolic multimorbidity. Compared to participants without depression or obesity, comorbid depression and obesity was associated with greater risk of cardiometabolic multimorbidity (adjusted OR: 4.79, 95% CI: 3.09-7.43) than that in participants with depression alone (adjusted OR: 1.84, 95% CI: 1.37-2.46) or obesity alone (adjusted OR: 2.26, 95% CI: 1.48-3.45). The findings were consistent in different gender and age groups. CONCLUSIONS Comorbid depression and obesity was associated with excessive risk of cardiometabolic multimorbidity. Intervention targeting at individuals with both depression and obesity might have substantial benefit in minimizing the risk of cardiometabolic multimorbidity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kang Qin
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510080, China
| | - Shigen Bai
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510080, China
| | - Weiqing Chen
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510080, China
| | - Jinghua Li
- Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510080, China
| | - Vivian Yawei Guo
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510080, China.
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Hu J, Zheng X, Shi G, Guo L. Associations of multiple chronic disease and depressive symptoms with incident stroke among Chinese middle-aged and elderly adults: a nationwide population-based cohort study. BMC Geriatr 2022; 22:660. [PMID: 35953770 PMCID: PMC9373457 DOI: 10.1186/s12877-022-03329-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/01/2021] [Accepted: 07/18/2022] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND With the population aging, multiple chronic diseases, depressive symptoms, and stroke are increasingly common among middle-aged and elderly adults worldwide. This study aimed to explore the independent associations of multiple chronic diseases and depressive symptoms as well as their combination with incident stroke in a prospective cohort of Chinese middle-aged and elderly adults, and to sensitively estimate the association between each type of chronic disease and incident stroke. METHODS This study used data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). A total of 8389 participants meeting the inclusion criteria at baseline (between 2011 and 2012) survey were included, and 7108 eligible participants completed the follow-up survey over 8 years (Wave 4, in 2018). Questionnaire information, physical examination, and clinical and biochemical measurements were collected. RESULTS The mean (SD) age at baseline was 58.5 (± 9.1) years. Multiple chronic disease and depressive symptoms were independently associated with incident stroke. After adjusting for control variables, patients having 1 type of chronic disease and depressive symptoms were at 1.943 (95% CI = 1.166-3.238) times higher risk of incident stroke than those without chronic disease and depressive symptoms, and patients having at least 2 types of chronic diseases and depressive symptoms were at 3.000 (95% CI = 1.846-4.877) times higher risk of incident stroke; the magnitudes of the associations increased by the numbers of having chronic diseases and depressive symptoms. Sensitivity analyses incorporating all five types of chronic disease (i.e., hypertension, dyslipidemia, heart disease, diabetes, and chronic kidney disease) showed that the magnitude of the associations between hypertension and incident stroke was most significant. CONCLUSIONS We identified significant independent and combined longitudinal associations of multiple chronic diseases and depressive symptoms with incident stroke, and the combined associations reflected a dose-response relationship. The association between hypertension and incident stroke was strongest among the five chronic diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jingyang Hu
- Department of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510080, People's Republic of China
| | - Xinyu Zheng
- Cerebrovascular Disease Department, Zhuhai People's Hospital Medical Group, 519000, Zhuhai, People's Republic of China
| | - Guangduoji Shi
- Cerebrovascular Disease Department, Zhuhai People's Hospital Medical Group, 519000, Zhuhai, People's Republic of China
| | - Lan Guo
- Cerebrovascular Disease Department, Zhuhai People's Hospital Medical Group, 519000, Zhuhai, People's Republic of China.
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Xuan Y, Zhang W, Wang Y, Wang B, Chen Y, Xia F, Zhang K, Li Q, Wang N, Lu Y. The Association Between Hypertriglyceridemic-Waist Phenotype and Chronic Kidney Disease in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes: A Cross-Sectional METAL Study. Diabetes Metab Syndr Obes 2022; 15:1885-1895. [PMID: 35757194 PMCID: PMC9231417 DOI: 10.2147/dmso.s359742] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/03/2022] [Accepted: 06/11/2022] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The aim of this study was measuring the association between the hypertriglyceridemic-waist (HTGW) phenotype and chronic kidney disease in a large type 2 diabetes population. METHODS A total of 4254 diabetic patients from the cross-sectional Environmental Pollutant Exposure and Metabolic Diseases in Shanghai (METAL) study were enrolled. The hypertriglyceridemic-waist (HTGW) phenotype was defined as the presence of an elevated waist circumference (WC) and elevated triglyceride (TG) concentration. Chronic kidney disease (CKD) was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or urinary albumin creatinine ratio (uACR) more than 30 mg/g. Linear and multiple logistic regression models were used for measuring the association between HTGW phenotype and chronic kidney disease. RESULTS The prevalence of CKD was 29% and 35.8% in total participants and participants with HTGW phenotype, respectively. Subjects in the HTGW phenotype group were more likely to have CKD (OR 1.47, 95% CI: 1.11, 1.95) compared with subjects in the normal waist circumference and normal triglycerides (NTNW) group. HTGW phenotype was both associated with the increasing risk of decreased eGFR (OR 1.31, 95% CI: 1.02, 1.75) and elevated uACR (OR 1.57, 95% CI: 1.18, 2.11). Furthermore, the stratified analysis showed that the strongest positive association between HTGW phenotype and CKD presence was found in the subgroup of presence of hypertension. The associations were all fully adjusted for age, sex, BMI, current smoking, current drinking and other confounding factors. CONCLUSION Our study suggested a positive association between the HTGW phenotype and CKD in Chinese type 2 diabetes patients. Further prospective studies are needed to confirm our findings and to investigate the underlying biological mechanisms.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yan Xuan
- Institute and Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, People’s Republic of China
- Department of Endocrinology, Luwan Branch, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200020, People’s Republic of China
| | - Wen Zhang
- Institute and Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, People’s Republic of China
| | - Yuying Wang
- Institute and Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, People’s Republic of China
| | - Bin Wang
- Institute and Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, People’s Republic of China
| | - Yi Chen
- Institute and Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, People’s Republic of China
| | - Fangzhen Xia
- Institute and Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, People’s Republic of China
| | - Kun Zhang
- Institute and Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, People’s Republic of China
| | - Qing Li
- Institute and Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, People’s Republic of China
| | - Ningjian Wang
- Institute and Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, People’s Republic of China
| | - Yingli Lu
- Institute and Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, People’s Republic of China
- Correspondence: Yingli Lu, Institute and Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200011, People’s Republic of China, Tel +86-13636352507, Fax +86-21-63136856, Email
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Lin M, Li N, Heizhati M, Gan L, Zhu Q, Yao L, Li M, Yang W. Chinese Visceral Adiposity Index Is Associated With Incident Renal Damage in Patients With Hypertension and Abnormal Glucose Metabolism: A Longitudinal Study. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) 2022; 13:910329. [PMID: 35909550 PMCID: PMC9329673 DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2022.910329] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/01/2022] [Accepted: 06/15/2022] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the association between Chinese visceral adiposity index (CVAI) and incident renal damage and compared its predictive power with that of other visceral obesity indices in patients with hypertension and abnormal glucose metabolism (AGM). METHODS This retrospective cohort consecutively included patients with hypertension and AGM who did not have renal damage at baseline. Renal damage was defined using the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urine protein. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate the association between CVAI and incident renal damage. Restricted cubic splines were used to determine the shape of the association. The predictive power of the CVAI was examined and directly compared with other indices, including the VAI, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and C-index. RESULTS In total, 2,033 patients with hypertension and AGM were included. During a median follow-up of 2.6 years, the incidence of renal damage was 31.5, 48.9, 56.8, and 67.5/1,000 person-years across the quartiles of CVAI. Compared with the first quartile, the risk of renal damage was higher in the second (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.36 [95% CI: 0.93-1.97]), third (HR = 1.57 [95% CI: 1.09-2.27]), and fourth (HR = 1.65 [95% CI: 1.11-2.44]) quartiles (p for trend = 0.011). A linear dose-response association was observed. Sensitivity and subgroup analyses confirmed the robustness and consistency of the results. In terms of predictive power, the CVAI had the highest AUC and C-index values. CONCLUSIONS CVAI is positively associated with renal damage risk in a linear dose-response pattern and has the best performance in predicting incident renal damage in patients with hypertension and AGM. The CVAI may serve as a reliable indicator for identifying patients at a high risk of renal damage.
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