Between-hospital variations in 3-year survival among patients with newly diagnosed gastric, colorectal, and lung cancer

Proposal for a revised Barthel index classification based on mortality risk assessment in functional dependence for basic activities of daily living

Introduction

Functional dependence on the performance of basic activities of daily living (ADLs) is associated with increased mortality. In this study, the Barthel index and its activities discriminate long-term mortality risk, and whether changes in this index are necessary to adapt it to detect mortality risk is examined.

Methods

Longitudinal study, carried out at the Orcasitas Health Center, Madrid (Spain), on the functional dependent population (Barthel ≤ 60). It included 127 people, with a mean age of 86 years (78.7% women and 21.3% men). Functional capacity was assessed using the Barthel index, and this index and each item it contains were analyzed as a test in relation to survival at three years, using tools that evaluate precision, discrimination, and calibration. The date of death was obtained from the health system.

Results

Greater dependency to perform chair-to-bed transfers was associated with an increased mortality risk (HR 2.957; CI 1.678-5.211). Also, individuals with severe (HR 0.492; CI 0.290-0.865) and moderate (HR 0.574; CI 0.355-0.927) ADL dependence had a reduced mortality risk when more independent in chair-to-bed transfers. Among people with moderate ADL dependence, this percentage was 48%. Using dependence-independence for chair-to-bed transfer as a screening test for mortality, the test showed high sensitivity (0.91) and specificity (0.83), a positive likelihood ratio of 5.45, and a negative likelihood ratio of 0.11. The area under the ROC curve was 0.814 (CI 0.658-0.970; p = 0.001), with a χ 2 = 0.235; p = 0.889, according to the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. The concordance C index was 0.814. According to Nagelkerke's R2, the model explained 53.1% of the variance in survival. As a screening test, "chair-to-bed transfer" was superior to the Barthel index.

Conclusion

ADL dependence for chair-to-bed transfers is an independent risk factor for mortality for any level of dependency. Therefore, a new classification of the Barthel index is proposed, in which "being dependent or requiring great assistance to perform chair-to-bed transfers" is considered severe dependence, even when the total score obtained via the Barthel Index is ≥40. We propose its use as a screening test in parallel to the Barthel index. The study suggests that the Barthel Index may have limitations in adequately discriminating mortality risk.

Outcome variation and the role of caseload in certified colorectal cancer centers - a retrospective cohort analysis of 90 000 cases

BACKGROUND

Studies have shown that surgical treatment of colorectal carcinomas in certified centers leads to improved outcomes. However, there were considerable fluctuations in outcome parameters. It has not yet been examined whether this variability is due to continuous differences between hospitals or variability within a hospital over time.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this retrospective observational cohort study, administrative quality assurance data of 153 German-certified colorectal cancer centers between 2010 and 2019 were analyzed. Six outcome quality indicators (QIs) were studied: 30-day postoperative mortality (POM) rate, surgical site infection (SSI) rate, anastomotic insufficiency (AI) rate, and revision surgery (RS) rate. AI and RS were also analyzed for colon (C) and rectal cancer operations (R). Variability was analyzed by funnel plots with 95% and 99% control limits and modified Cleveland dot plots.

RESULTS

In the 153 centers, 90 082 patients with colon cancer and 47 623 patients with rectal cancer were treated. Average QI scores were 2.7% POM, 6.2% SSI, 4.8% AI-C, 8.5% AI-R, 9.1% RS-C, and 9.8% RS-R. The funnel plots revealed that for every QI, about 10.1% of hospitals lay above the upper 99% and about 8.7% below the lower 99% control limit. In POM, SSI, and AI-R, a significant negative correlation with the average annual caseload was observed.

CONCLUSION

The analysis showed high variability in outcome quality between and within the certified colorectal cancer centers. Only a small number of hospitals had a high performance on all six QIs, suggesting that significant quality variation exists even within the group of certified centers.

Association between surgical quality and long-term survival in lung cancer

OBJECTIVES

There are significant variations in both perioperative and long-term outcomes after lung cancer resection. While perioperative outcomes are often used as comparative measures of quality, they are unreliable, and their association with long-term outcomes remain unclear. In this context, we evaluated whether historical perioperative mortality after lung cancer resection is associated with 5-year survival.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The National Cancer Database (NCDB) was queried to identify patients diagnosed with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in 2010-2016 who underwent surgical resection (n = 234200). Hospital-level reliability-adjusted 90-day mortality rate quartiles for 2010-2013 was used as the independent variable to analyze 5-year survival for patients diagnosed in 2014-2016 (n = 85396).

RESULTS

There were 85,396 patients in the 2014-2016 cohort across 1,086 hospitals. Overall observed 90-day mortality rate was 3.2% (SD 17.6%) with 2.6% (SD 16.0%) for the historically best performing quartile vs. 3.9% (SD 19.4%) for the worst performing quartile (p < 0.0001). Patients who underwent resection at hospitals with the best historical mortality rate had significantly better 5-year survival across all stages compared to those treated at hospitals in the worst performing quartile in multivariate Cox regression analysis (all stages - HR 1.21 [95% CI 1.15-1.26]; stage I - HR 1.19 [95% CI 1.12-1.25]; stage II - HR 1.20 [95% CI 1.09-1.32]; stage III - HR 1.36 [95% CI 1.20-1.54]) and Kaplan-Meier survival estimates (all stages - p < 0.0001, stage I - p < 0.0001; stage II - p = 0.0004; stage III - p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

With expanded lung cancer screening criteria and likely increase in early-stage detection, profiling performance is paramount to ensuring mortality benefits. We found that episodes surrounding surgical resection may be used to profile long-term outcomes that likely reflect quality across a broader context of care. Evaluating lung cancer care quality using perioperative outcomes may be useful in profiling provider performance and guiding value-based payment policies.

Prognostic impact of coexisting cardiovascular disease in patients with cancer: A multicenter retrospective cohort study

Background

The incidence of malignancy and cardiovascular disease (CVD) is increasing worldwide. However, it is not entirely clear how the coexistence of CVD at the time of cancer diagnosis affects the overall survival of patients with cancer.

Methods and results

We used the cancer registries and administrative claims data of patients diagnosed with cancer at 36 designated cancer care hospitals in Osaka, Japan, from 2010 to 2015. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to examine how coexisting CVD (heart failure [HF], ischemic heart disease, peripheral arterial disease, cerebrovascular accidents, and atrial fibrillation) affected overall survival and the impact of HF severity, as documented by the New York Heart Association (NYHA) classification. Of the 131,701 patients with cancer, 9704 had coexisting CVD. The 3-year survival rates for patients with and without coexisting CVD were 62.9 % and 77.6 %, respectively. The adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for all-cause mortality for coexisting CVD was 1.47 (95 % confidence interval, 1.41-1.52). Among the CVD subtype, patients with coexisting HF had the poorest prognosis. The aHRs in patients with HF by NYHA classification, using the patients without HF as a reference, were as follows: Class I: 1.33 (p = 0.217); II: 1.68 (p < 0.001); III: 1.54 (p = 0.011); IV: 2.47 (p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Coexisting CVD and HF severity at cancer diagnosis is associated with survival in patients with cancer.

An age-group analysis on the efficacy of chemotherapy in older adult patients with metastatic biliary tract cancer: a Japanese cancer registry cohort study

BACKGROUND

The effectiveness of chemotherapy in older adult patients with biliary tract cancer (BTC) remains to be established, despite the fact that the majority of patients diagnosed with BTC tend to be aged ≥ 70 years. In this study, we used three databases to examine the effectiveness of chemotherapy in a large patient population aged ≥ 70 years with metastatic BTC.

METHODS

Using a large Japanese database that combined three data sources (Osaka Cancer Registry, Japan's Diagnosis Procedure Combination, the hospital-based cancer registry database), we extracted the data from patients pathologically diagnosed with metastatic BTC, between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2015, in 30 designated cancer care hospitals (DCCHs). A cohort of patients with comparable backgrounds was identified using propensity score matching. The log-rank test was used to examine how chemotherapy affected overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Among 2,622 registered patients with BTC in 30 DCCHs, 207 older adult patients aged > 70 years with metastatic BTC were selected. Chemotherapy significantly improved the prognosis of older adult patients, according to propensity score matching (chemotherapy, 6.4 months vs. best supportive care, 1.8 months, P value < 0.001). The number of patients receiving chemotherapy tends to decrease with age. Gemcitabine plus cisplatin (GC) and gemcitabine plus S-1 (oral fluoropyrimidine) (GS) combination therapy were frequently performed in the chemotherapy group for patients under 80 years of age (70-74 years, 61.7%; 75-79 years, 62.8%). In contrast, monotherapy including GEM and S-1 was more frequently performed in age groups over 80 years (80-84 years, 56.2%; 85-89 years, 77.7%; ≥90 years, 100%). In the chemotherapy group among older adult patients aged < 85 years, the median OS was significantly longer according to age-group analysis of the 5-year age range following propensity score matching.

CONCLUSIONS

In older adult patients with metastatic BTC who received chemotherapy, prolonged survival was observed. Chemotherapy may be a viable option for patients with metastatic BTC who are aged < 85 years.

Survival in non-small cell lung cancer patients with versus without prior cancer

Clinical trials on cancer treatments frequently exclude patients with prior cancer, but more evidence is needed to understand their possible effects on outcomes. This study analyzed the prognostic impact of prior cancer in newly diagnosed non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients while accounting for various patient and cancer characteristics. Using population-based cancer registry data linked with administrative claims data, this retrospective cohort study examined patients aged 15-84 years diagnosed with NSCLC between 2010 and 2015 in Japan. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of all-cause mortality in patients with versus without prior cancer. The analysis was stratified according to NSCLC stage and diagnostic time intervals between prior cancers and the index NSCLC. We analyzed 9103 patients (prior cancer: 1416 [15.6%]; no prior cancer: 7687 [84.4%]). Overall, prior cancer had a non-significant mortality HR of 1.07 (95% CI: 0.97-1.17). Furthermore, prior cancer had a significantly higher mortality hazard for diagnostic time intervals of 3 years (HR: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.06-1.43) and 5 years (1.18, 1.04-1.33), but not for longer intervals. However, prior cancer in patients with more advanced NSCLC did not show a higher mortality risk for any diagnostic time interval. Smoking-related prior cancers and prior cancers with poorer prognosis were associated with poorer survival. NSCLC patients with prior cancer do not have an invariably higher risk of mortality, and should be considered for inclusion in clinical trials depending on their cancer stage.

Patterns of staging, treatment, and mortality in gastric, colorectal, and lung cancer among older adults with and without preexisting dementia: a Japanese multicentre cohort study

BACKGROUND

Little is known about dementia's impact on patterns of diagnosis, treatment, and outcomes in cancer patients. This study aimed to elucidate the differences in cancer staging, treatment, and mortality in older cancer patients with and without preexisting dementia.

METHODS

Using cancer registry data and administrative data from 30 hospitals in Japan, this multicentre retrospective cohort study examined patients aged 65-99 years who were newly diagnosed with gastric, colorectal, or lung cancer in 2014-2015. Dementia status (none, mild, and moderate-to-severe) at the time of cancer diagnosis was extracted from clinical summaries in administrative data, and set as the exposure of interest. We constructed multivariable logistic regression models to analyse cancer staging and treatment, and multivariable Cox regression models to analyse three-year survival.

RESULTS

Among gastric (n = 6016), colorectal (n = 7257), and lung (n = 4502) cancer patients, 5.1%, 5.8%, and 6.4% had dementia, respectively. Patients with dementia were more likely to receive unstaged and advanced-stage cancer diagnoses; less likely to undergo tumour resection for stage I, II, and III gastric cancer and for stage I and II lung cancer; less likely to receive pharmacotherapy for stage III and IV lung cancer; more likely to undergo tumour resection for all-stage colorectal cancer; and more likely to die within three years of cancer diagnosis. The effects of moderate-to-severe dementia were greater than those of mild dementia, with the exception of tumour resection for colorectal cancer.

CONCLUSION

Older cancer patients with preexisting dementia are less likely to receive standard cancer treatment and more likely to experience poorer outcomes. Clinicians should be aware of these risks, and would benefit from standardised guidelines to aid their decision-making in diagnosing and treating these patients.

Breast Cancer Care Pathways for Women with Preexisting Severe Mental Disorders: Evidence of Disparities in France?

The excess cancer mortality in persons with severe mental illness (SMI) has been well documented, and research suggests that it may be influenced by care-related factors. Our objective was to assess breast cancer care pathways in women with SMI in France, using an exhaustive population-based data-linkage study with a matched case-control design. The cases were 1346 women with incident breast cancer in 2013/2014 and preexisting SMI who were matched with three controls without SMI presenting similar demographics, initial breast cancer type, and year of incidence. We compared cancer care pathways and their quality for cases and controls, using a consensual set of indicators covering diagnosis, treatment, follow-up, and mortality (until 2017). After adjusting for covariates, cases had lower odds to undergo the main diagnostic tests, lumpectomy, adjuvant chemotherapy, and radiotherapy, as well as hormone therapy, but higher odds for mastectomy. Suboptimal quality in cancer pathways was observed for both groups, but to a higher extent for cases, especially for not receiving timely care after diagnosis and post-treatment follow-up. Breast cancer mortality, considering competing risks of deaths, was significantly elevated in women with SMI. These findings highlight disparities in cancer care pathways for individuals with SMI, as well as specific aspects of the care continuum which could benefit from targeted actions to reach equity of outcomes.