Prevalence of survivors of childhood cancer based on a population-based cancer registry in Osaka, Japan

Although the survival rate of patients with childhood cancer has greatly improved, long-term survivors face specific problems such as the late effects of cancer treatment. In this study, we estimated the number of people who had experienced childhood cancer to predict their needs for medical care and social resources. Using data from the population-based Osaka Cancer Registry, we identified children aged 0-14 years who were diagnosed with cancer between 1975 and 2019. We estimated the prevalence on December 31, 2019, and the 5- and 10-year prevalence (i.e., the number of survivors living up to 5 or 10 years after the diagnosis of cancer) over time. The prevalence proportion was age-standardized using a direct standardization method. The prevalence estimates for Osaka were applied to the national population to determine the national prevalence in Japan. Among 8186 patients diagnosed with childhood cancer in Osaka, 5252 (987 per million) survived until December 31, 2019. The 5-year prevalence per million increased from 194 in 1979 to 417 in 2019 (+116%), while the 10-year prevalence increased from 391 in 1984 to 715 in 2019 (+83%). Based on the long-term registry data, an estimated 73,182 childhood cancer survivors were living in Japan by the end of 2019. The increasing 5-year and 10-year prevalence proportions indicate the continued need for cancer survivorship support for children, adolescents, and young adults. These estimates of the prevalence of childhood cancer survivors, including long-term survivors, may be useful for policymakers and clinicians to plan and evaluate survivorship care.

Risk of thoracic soft tissue sarcoma after breast cancer radiotherapy: a population-based cohort study in Osaka, Japan

Postoperative radiotherapy for breast cancer reportedly increases the risk of thoracic soft tissue sarcomas, particularly angiosarcomas; however, the risk in the Japanese population remains unknown. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the incidence of thoracic soft tissue sarcoma among patients with breast cancer in Japan and determine its association with radiotherapy. This retrospective cohort study used data from the population-based cancer registry of the Osaka Prefecture. The inclusion criteria were female sex, age 20-84 years, diagnosis of breast cancer between 1990 and 2010, no supraclavicular lymph node or distant metastasis, underwent surgery and survived for at least 1 year. The primary outcome was the occurrence of thoracic soft tissue sarcomas 1 year or later after breast cancer diagnosis. Among the 13 762 patients who received radiotherapy, 15 developed thoracic soft tissue sarcomas (nine angiosarcomas and six other sarcomas), with a median time of 7.7 years (interquartile range, 4.0-8.6 years) after breast cancer diagnosis. Among the 27 658 patients who did not receive radiotherapy, four developed thoracic soft tissue sarcomas (three angiosarcomas and one other sarcoma), with a median time of 11.6 years after diagnosis. The 10-year cumulative incidence was higher in the radiotherapy cohort than in the non-radiotherapy cohort (0.087 vs. 0.0036%, P < 0.001). Poisson regression analysis revealed that radiotherapy increased the risk of thoracic soft tissue sarcoma (relative risk, 6.8; 95% confidence interval, 2.4-24.4). Thus, although rare, breast cancer radiotherapy is associated with an increased risk of thoracic soft tissue sarcoma in the Japanese population.

Prognostic impact of coexisting cardiovascular disease in patients with cancer: A multicenter retrospective cohort study

Background

The incidence of malignancy and cardiovascular disease (CVD) is increasing worldwide. However, it is not entirely clear how the coexistence of CVD at the time of cancer diagnosis affects the overall survival of patients with cancer.

Methods and results

We used the cancer registries and administrative claims data of patients diagnosed with cancer at 36 designated cancer care hospitals in Osaka, Japan, from 2010 to 2015. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to examine how coexisting CVD (heart failure [HF], ischemic heart disease, peripheral arterial disease, cerebrovascular accidents, and atrial fibrillation) affected overall survival and the impact of HF severity, as documented by the New York Heart Association (NYHA) classification. Of the 131,701 patients with cancer, 9704 had coexisting CVD. The 3-year survival rates for patients with and without coexisting CVD were 62.9 % and 77.6 %, respectively. The adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for all-cause mortality for coexisting CVD was 1.47 (95 % confidence interval, 1.41-1.52). Among the CVD subtype, patients with coexisting HF had the poorest prognosis. The aHRs in patients with HF by NYHA classification, using the patients without HF as a reference, were as follows: Class I: 1.33 (p = 0.217); II: 1.68 (p < 0.001); III: 1.54 (p = 0.011); IV: 2.47 (p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Coexisting CVD and HF severity at cancer diagnosis is associated with survival in patients with cancer.

Subsite-specific trends in mid- and long-term survival for head and neck cancer patients in Japan: A population-based study

Advances in diagnostic techniques and treatment modalities have impacted head and neck cancer (HNC) prognosis, but their effects on subsite-specific prognosis remain unclear. This study aimed to assess subsite-specific trends in mid- and long-term survival for HNC patients diagnosed from 1993 to 2011 using data from population-based cancer registries in Japan. We estimated the net survival (NS) for HNC by subsite using data from 13 prefectural population-based cancer registries in Japan. Changes in survival over time were assessed by multivariate excess hazard model of mortality. In total, 68,312 HNC patients were included in this analysis. We observed an overall improvement in 5-year NS for HNC patients in Japan. However, survival varied among subsites of HNC, with some, such as naso-, oro- and hypopharyngeal cancers, showing significant improvement in both 5- and 10-year NS, whereas others such as laryngeal cancer showed only a slight improvement in 5-year NS and no significant change in 10-year NS after adjustment for age, sex and stage. In conclusion, the study provides insights into changing HNC survival by site at the population level in Japan. Although advances in diagnostic techniques and treatment modalities have improved survival, these improvements are not shared equally among subsites.

Cancer incidence and type of treatment hospital among children, adolescents, and young adults in Japan, 2016-2018

Cancer in children, adolescents, and young adults (AYAs) although rare, is the leading disease-specific cause of death in Japan. This study aims to investigate cancer incidence and type of treatment hospital among children and AYAs in Japan. Cancer incidence data (2016-2018) for those aged 0-39 years were obtained from the Japanese population-based National Cancer Registry. Cancer types were classified according to the 2017 update of the International Classification of Childhood Cancer (Third Edition), and AYA Site Recode 2020 Revision. Cases were also categorized into three groups: those treated at core hospitals for pediatric cancer treatment (pediatric cancer hospitals [PCHs]), those treated at designated cancer care hospitals, and those treated at nondesignated hospitals. The age-standardized incidence rate was 166.6 (per million-person years) for children (age 0-14 years) and 579.0 for AYAs (age 15-39 years) (including all cancers and benign or uncertain-behavior central nervous system [CNS] tumors). The type of cancer varied with age: hematological malignancies, blastomas, and CNS tumors were common in children under 10 years, malignant bone tumors and soft tissue sarcomas were relatively common in teenagers, and in young adults over 20 years, carcinomas in thyroid, testis, gastrointestinal, female cervix, and breast were common. The proportion of cases treated at PCHs ranged from 20% to 30% for children, 10% or less for AYAs, and differed according to age group and cancer type. Based on this information, the optimal system of cancer care should be discussed.

Fifteen-year survival and conditional survival of women with breast cancer in Osaka, Japan: A population-based study

BACKGROUND

In recent years, the survival of patients with breast cancer has improved. However, few published studies have a longer than 10-year follow-up. Conditional relative survival (CRS), which is relative survival (RS) of patients who have survived beyond a certain period after diagnosis, is useful for assessing excess mortality among long-term survivors compared with the general population.

METHODS

This was a retrospective observational cohort study. Population-based cancer registry data in Osaka, Japan were used to determine 15-year RS and 5-year CRS of women with breast cancer diagnosed between 2001 and 2002 and followed up for at least 15 years. Fifteen-year RS and age-standardized RS (ASR) were calculated by Ederer II and cohort methods. Five-year CRS according to age group and extent of disease (localized, regional, and distant) was estimated for every year from diagnosis to 10 years.

RESULTS

In the cohort of 4006 patients, the ASR declined progressively, the 5-year ASR being 85.8%, 10-year ASR 77.3%, and 15-year ASR 71.6%. The overall 5-year CRS exceeded 90% at 5 years after diagnosis, reflecting a small excess mortality compared with the general population. The 5-year CRS of patients with regional and distant disease did not reach 90% within 10 years of follow-up (89.4% for regional and 72.9% for distant disease 10 years after diagnosis), indicating that these patients had substantial excess mortality.

CONCLUSION

Long-term survival data can help cancer survivors plan their lives and receive better medical care and support.

Survival in non-small cell lung cancer patients with versus without prior cancer

Clinical trials on cancer treatments frequently exclude patients with prior cancer, but more evidence is needed to understand their possible effects on outcomes. This study analyzed the prognostic impact of prior cancer in newly diagnosed non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients while accounting for various patient and cancer characteristics. Using population-based cancer registry data linked with administrative claims data, this retrospective cohort study examined patients aged 15-84 years diagnosed with NSCLC between 2010 and 2015 in Japan. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of all-cause mortality in patients with versus without prior cancer. The analysis was stratified according to NSCLC stage and diagnostic time intervals between prior cancers and the index NSCLC. We analyzed 9103 patients (prior cancer: 1416 [15.6%]; no prior cancer: 7687 [84.4%]). Overall, prior cancer had a non-significant mortality HR of 1.07 (95% CI: 0.97-1.17). Furthermore, prior cancer had a significantly higher mortality hazard for diagnostic time intervals of 3 years (HR: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.06-1.43) and 5 years (1.18, 1.04-1.33), but not for longer intervals. However, prior cancer in patients with more advanced NSCLC did not show a higher mortality risk for any diagnostic time interval. Smoking-related prior cancers and prior cancers with poorer prognosis were associated with poorer survival. NSCLC patients with prior cancer do not have an invariably higher risk of mortality, and should be considered for inclusion in clinical trials depending on their cancer stage.

Global survival trends for brain tumors, by histology: analysis of individual records for 556,237 adults diagnosed in 59 countries during 2000-2014 (CONCORD-3)

BACKGROUND

Survival is a key metric of the effectiveness of a health system in managing cancer. We set out to provide a comprehensive examination of worldwide variation and trends in survival from brain tumors in adults, by histology.

METHODS

We analyzed individual data for adults (15-99 years) diagnosed with a brain tumor (ICD-O-3 topography code C71) during 2000-2014, regardless of tumor behavior. Data underwent a 3-phase quality control as part of CONCORD-3. We estimated net survival for 11 histology groups, using the unbiased nonparametric Pohar Perme estimator.

RESULTS

The study included 556,237 adults. In 2010-2014, the global range in age-standardized 5-year net survival for the most common sub-types was broad: in the range 20%-38% for diffuse and anaplastic astrocytoma, from 4% to 17% for glioblastoma, and between 32% and 69% for oligodendroglioma. For patients with glioblastoma, the largest gains in survival occurred between 2000-2004 and 2005-2009. These improvements were more noticeable among adults diagnosed aged 40-70 years than among younger adults.

CONCLUSIONS

To the best of our knowledge, this study provides the largest account to date of global trends in population-based survival for brain tumors by histology in adults. We have highlighted remarkable gains in 5-year survival from glioblastoma since 2005, providing large-scale empirical evidence on the uptake of chemoradiation at population level. Worldwide, survival improvements have been extensive, but some countries still lag behind. Our findings may help clinicians involved in national and international tumor pathway boards to promote initiatives aimed at more extensive implementation of clinical guidelines.

Incidence of second primary cancers among survivors of childhood cancer: A population-based study, Osaka, Japan, 1975-2015

Second primary cancer (SPC) is one of the most life-threatening late effects of childhood cancers. We investigated the incidence and survival outcomes of SPC in childhood cancer patients in Japan. Data were obtained from the population-based Osaka Cancer Registry. Individuals diagnosed with cancer at age 0-14 years during 1975-2014 and survived 2 months or longer were followed through December 2015. The risk of developing SPC was assessed with standardized incidence ratio (SIR), excess absolute risk (EAR, per 100,000 person-years), and cumulative incidence. Multivariable Poisson regression analysis was carried out to assess relative risks of SPC by treatment method. Survival analysis was undertaken using the Kaplan-Meier method. Of 7229 childhood cancer survivors, 101 (1.4%) developed SPC after a median of 11.6 years. Overall SIR was 5.0, which corresponded with 84.3 EAR. The cumulative incidence was 0.9%, 2.1%, and 3.4% at 10, 20, and 30 years, respectively. Among all SPCs, the type that contributed most to the overall burden was cancers in the central nervous system (EAR = 28.0) followed by digestive system (EAR = 15.1), thyroid (EAR = 8.3), and bones and joints (EAR = 7.8); median latency ranged from 2.0 years (lymphomas) to 26.6 years (skin cancers). Patients treated with radiotherapy alone were at a 2.58-fold increased risk of developing SPC compared to those who received neither chemotherapy nor radiotherapy. Among patients who developed SPCs, 5-year and 10-year survival probabilities after SPC diagnosis were 61.7% and 52.0%, respectively. Risk-based long-term follow-up planning is essential to inform survivorship care and help reduce the burden of SPCs in childhood cancer survivors.

Socioeconomic disparities in cancer survival: Relation to stage at diagnosis, treatment, and centralization of patients to accredited hospitals, 2005-2014, Japan

BACKGROUND

Cancer survival varies by socioeconomic status in Japan. We examined the extent to which survival disparities are explained by factors relevant to cancer control measures (promoting early-stage detection, standardizing treatment, and centralizing patients to government-accredited cancer hospitals [ACHs]).

METHODS

From the Osaka Cancer Registry, patients diagnosed with solid malignant tumors during 2005-2014 and aged 15-84 years (N = 376,077) were classified into quartiles using the Area Deprivation Index (ADI). Trends in inequalities were assessed for potentially associated factors: early-stage detection, treatment modality, and utilization of ACH (for first contact/diagnosis/treatment). 3-year all-cause survival was computed by the ADI quartile. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to assess survival disparities and their trends through a series of adjustment for the potentially associated factors.

RESULTS

During 2005-2014, the most deprived ADI quartile had lower rates than the least deprived quartile for early-stage detection (42.6% vs. 48.7%); receipt of surgery (58.1% vs. 64.1%); and utilization of ACH (83.5% vs. 88.4%). While rate differences decreased for receipt of surgery and utilization of ACH (Annual Percent Change = -3.2 and - 11.9, respectively) over time, it remained unchanged for early-stage detection. During 2012-2014, the most deprived ADI quartile had lower 3-year survival than the least deprived (59.0% vs. 69.4%) and higher mortality (Hazard Ratio [HR] = 1.32, adjusted for case-mix): this attenuated with additional adjustment for stage at diagnosis (HR = 1.23); treatment modality (HR = 1.20); and utilization of ACH (HR = 1.19) CONCLUSIONS: Despite improvements in equalizing access to quality cancer care during 2005-2014, survival disparities remained. Interventions to reduce inequalities in early-stage detection could ameliorate such gaps.

Patterns of staging, treatment, and mortality in gastric, colorectal, and lung cancer among older adults with and without preexisting dementia: a Japanese multicentre cohort study

BACKGROUND

Little is known about dementia's impact on patterns of diagnosis, treatment, and outcomes in cancer patients. This study aimed to elucidate the differences in cancer staging, treatment, and mortality in older cancer patients with and without preexisting dementia.

METHODS

Using cancer registry data and administrative data from 30 hospitals in Japan, this multicentre retrospective cohort study examined patients aged 65-99 years who were newly diagnosed with gastric, colorectal, or lung cancer in 2014-2015. Dementia status (none, mild, and moderate-to-severe) at the time of cancer diagnosis was extracted from clinical summaries in administrative data, and set as the exposure of interest. We constructed multivariable logistic regression models to analyse cancer staging and treatment, and multivariable Cox regression models to analyse three-year survival.

RESULTS

Among gastric (n = 6016), colorectal (n = 7257), and lung (n = 4502) cancer patients, 5.1%, 5.8%, and 6.4% had dementia, respectively. Patients with dementia were more likely to receive unstaged and advanced-stage cancer diagnoses; less likely to undergo tumour resection for stage I, II, and III gastric cancer and for stage I and II lung cancer; less likely to receive pharmacotherapy for stage III and IV lung cancer; more likely to undergo tumour resection for all-stage colorectal cancer; and more likely to die within three years of cancer diagnosis. The effects of moderate-to-severe dementia were greater than those of mild dementia, with the exception of tumour resection for colorectal cancer.

CONCLUSION

Older cancer patients with preexisting dementia are less likely to receive standard cancer treatment and more likely to experience poorer outcomes. Clinicians should be aware of these risks, and would benefit from standardised guidelines to aid their decision-making in diagnosing and treating these patients.

Impact of coexisting diabetes on survival and risk of developing second primary cancer in diabetes patients receiving drug therapy: A multicenter retrospective cohort study of patients with cancer in Japan

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

We investigated the association between coexisting diabetes at the time of cancer diagnosis, and the overall survival and incidence of second primary cancer in patients with cancer and receiving drug therapy for diabetes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We used cancer registry and administrative data of patients diagnosed with cancer at designated cancer care hospitals in Osaka Prefecture between 2010 and 2015. The presence of diabetes was identified from the prescription records of antidiabetic drugs in Diagnosis Procedure Combination System data. After adjusting for patient characteristics, we compared overall survival between patients with cancer with coexisting diabetes and those without coexisting diabetes using the Cox proportional hazards model. In addition, the impact of coexisting diabetes on the risk of developing second primary cancer was evaluated using a competing risk analysis.

RESULTS

Of the 131,701 patients with cancer included in the analysis, 6,135 (4.7%) had coexisting diabetes. The 5-year survival rates for patients with and without coexisting diabetes were 56.2% (95% confidence interval 54.8-57.6) and 72.7% (95% confidence interval 72.4-73.0), respectively. Coexisting diabetes was associated with a higher risk of developing second primary cancer (subdistribution hazard ratio 1.23; 95% confidence interval 1.08-1.41). In site-specific analysis, coexisting diabetes was associated with an increased risk for the development of second primary cancer of multiple myeloma, and cancer of the uterus, pancreas and liver.

CONCLUSIONS

Coexisting diabetes was associated with a higher mortality and risk of developing second primary cancer in Japanese patients with cancer and on drug therapy for diabetes.

How we approach paediatric renal tumour core needle biopsy in the setting of preoperative chemotherapy: A Review from the SIOP Renal Tumour Study Group

The International Society of Paediatric Oncology Renal Tumour Study Group (SIOP-RTSG) advocate treating children with Wilms tumour (WT) with preoperative chemotherapy, whereas the Renal Tumor Committee of the Children's Oncology Group (COG) advocates primary nephrectomy (without biopsy) when feasible. Successive SIOP-RTSG trial protocols recommended pretreatment biopsy of children with unilateral tumours only where there were features to suggest an increased probability of a non-WT requiring a change in management. The UK experience in the SIOP WT 2001 trial showed that an alternate approach of performing biopsies on all children with renal tumour masses to determine histology at diagnosis rarely changes management, and can result in misdiagnosis (particularly patients in the age range typical for WT). Although a more selective approach to biopsy has been routine practice in all other countries participating in SIOP-RTSG trials, there was variation between national groups. To address this variation and provide evidence-based recommendations for the indications and recommended approach to renal tumour biopsy within the SIOP paradigm, an international, multidisciplinary working group of SIOP-RTSG members was convened. We describe the resulting recommendations of this group, which are to be incorporated in the ongoing SIOP-RTSG UMBRELLA study.

Trends in age-standardised net survival of stomach cancer by subsite and stage: A population-based study in Osaka, Japan, 2001-2014

INTRODUCTION

The burden of stomach cancer remains high, particularly among Asian countries. Although Japan is known to achieve high survival from stomach cancer, little is known regarding the survival trends for recent years and survival by subsite and stage. We report age-standardised 1-, 3-, 5- and 10-year net survival for patients diagnosed with stomach cancer in Osaka, Japan.

METHODS

We analysed patients diagnosed with primary stomach cancer and registered in the population-based cancer registry in Osaka Prefecture between 2001 and 2014. We used the non-parametric Pohar Perme method to derive net survival for each year. Both cohort and period approaches were used. Age was standardised using weights of the external population of the International Cancer Survival Standard. Multiple imputation was applied to handle missing information on subsite and stage before estimating age-standardised net survival by subsite (cardia and non-cardia) and stage (localised, regional and distant metastasis). We then examined general trends in the cohort-based survival estimates, as well as by subsite and stage, using linear regression.

RESULTS

A total of 97,276 patients were included in the analysis. Age-standardised net survival improved steadily (mean annual absolute change ≥1.2%). Net survival for both subsites improved, but cardia cancer showed 7-23% lower survival than non-cardia cancer throughout the study period. Five-year net survival remained high (≥80%) in the localised stage from the beginning of this study. Net survival increased steeply (≥1.4% per year) in the regional stage. Although 1-year net survival increased by 14% in the distant stage, 5-year and 10-year net survival remained below 10%.

CONCLUSION

Age-standardised net survival for stomach cancer in Japan improved during the study period owing to an increase in the number of patients with localised stage at diagnosis and improved treatment. Monitoring both short- and long-term survival should be continued as management of stomach cancer progresses.

Effects of prior osteoporosis treatment on the treatment response of romosozumab followed by denosumab in patients with postmenopausal osteoporosis

In patients with postmenopausal osteoporosis, prior osteoporosis treatment affected the bone mineral density increase of following treatment with 12 months of romosozumab, although it did not affect that of following treatment with 12 months of denosumab after romosozumab.

PURPOSE

To investigate the effects of prior osteoporosis treatment on the response to treatment with romosozumab (ROMO) followed by denosumab (DMAb) in patients with postmenopausal osteoporosis.

METHODS

In this prospective, observational, multicenter study, treatment-naïve patients (Naïve; n = 55) or patients previously treated with bisphosphonates (BP; n = 37), DMAb (DMAb; n = 45) or teriparatide (TPTD; n = 17) (mean age, 74.6 years; T-scores of the lumbar spine [LS] - 3.2 and total hip [TH] - 2.6) were switched to ROMO for 12 months, followed by DMAb for 12 months. Bone mineral density (BMD) and serum bone turnover markers were evaluated for 24 months.

RESULTS

A BMD increase was observed at 12 and 24 months in the following patients: Naïve (18.2% and 22.0%), BP (10.2% and 12.1%), DMAb (6.6% and 9.7%), and TPTD (10.8% and 15.0%) (P < 0.001 between the groups at both 12 and 24 months) in LS and Naïve (5.5% and 8.3%), BP (2.9% and 4.1%), DMAb (0.6% and 2.2%), and TPTD (4.3% and 5.4%) (P < 0.01 between the groups at 12 months and P < 0.001 at 24 months) in TH, respectively. The BMD increase in LS from 12 to 24 months was negatively associated with the levels of bone resorption marker at 24 months. Incidences of major fragility fractures for the respective groups were as follows: Naïve (5.5%), BP (16.2%), DMAb (11.1%), and TPTD (5.9%).

CONCLUSIONS

Previous treatment affected the BMD increase of following treatment with ROMO, although it did not affect that of following treatment with DMAb after ROMO.

Minimum surgical volume to ensure 5-year survival probability for six cancer sites in Japan

BACKGROUND

In Japan, the government designates hospitals specialized in cancer care, requiring them to perform 400 surgeries annually without requiring surgical volume per cancer site. This study aimed to estimate the site-specific minimum surgical volume per year based on its associations with 5-year survival probability.

METHODS

The data of 64,402 patients who had undergone surgery for six types of cancers (including esophageal, stomach, colorectal, pancreatic, lung, and breast cancers) at designated cancer care hospitals in Osaka between 2007 and 2011 were analyzed. The hospitals were categorized by the average annual surgical volume per cancer type (e.g., 0-4, 5-9, 10-14…). We estimated the adjusted 5-year survival probability per surgical volume category using multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression. Furthermore, we identified inflection points for the trend of adjusted survival probability per increase of five surgical volumes using the joinpoint regression model and considered them as the suggested minimum surgical volume.

RESULTS

The estimated minimum surgical volumes were 35-39, 20-25, 25-29, 10-14, 10-14, and 25-29 for esophageal, stomach, colorectal, pancreatic, lung, and breast cancers, respectively. The percentage change in the adjusted 5-year survival probability per increase of five surgical volumes before and after the suggested surgical volume were +2.23 and +0.39 for the esophagus, +9.68 and +0.34 for the stomach, +8.11 and +0.05 for the colorectum, +3.82 and +0.87 for the pancreas, +9.46 and +0.23 for the lung, and +1.27 and +0.03 for the breast.

CONCLUSIONS

The suggested surgical volume based on the association with survival probability varies with cancer sites, some of which are close to the existing surgical volume standards used in Japan. These evidence-based minimum surgical volumes may help improve the quality of cancer surgeries.

Prediction of pathological response to preoperative chemotherapy for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma using 2-[18F]-fluoro-2-deoxy-d-glucose positron-emission tomography

AIM

To determine whether the pathological response to preoperative chemotherapy for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) can be predicted using 2-[18F]-fluoro-2-deoxy-d-glucose positron-emission tomography (F-18 FDG-PET).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Twenty-eight patients with PDAC who underwent only neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) before surgery were enrolled in the study. All patients had F-18 FDG-PET examinations before NAC. The resected specimen was pathologically evaluated according to the Classification of Pancreatic Carcinoma (7th edn). Patients were categorised into a non-response group and a response group based on the pathological findings. The non-response group (Grades 1a and 1b) showed ≤50% necrosis in the specimen, while the specimens of the response group (Grades 2-3) showed >50% necrosis. The maximum standardised uptake values (SUVmax) of the tumours on F-18 FDG-PET were measured. The mean values of SUVmax were compared between the two groups. The diagnostic performance of SUVmax in distinguishing the two groups was also evaluated using receiver operating characteristic analysis.

RESULTS

The mean SUVmax of the response group was higher than that of the non-response group (9.00 ± 1.78 versus 4.26 ± 2.35; p<0.001). The optimal cut-off value of SUVmax was 9.28 for distinguishing the two groups. The sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy for the prediction in the response group were 80%, 95.7%, and 92.9%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

SUVmax on F-18 FDG-PET may be useful as a biomarker to predict the pathological response to NAC in patients with PDAC.

Worldwide trends in population-based survival for children, adolescents, and young adults diagnosed with leukaemia, by subtype, during 2000-14 (CONCORD-3): analysis of individual data from 258 cancer registries in 61 countries

BACKGROUND

Leukaemias comprise a heterogenous group of haematological malignancies. In CONCORD-3, we analysed data for children (aged 0-14 years) and adults (aged 15-99 years) diagnosed with a haematological malignancy during 2000-14 in 61 countries. Here, we aimed to examine worldwide trends in survival from leukaemia, by age and morphology, in young patients (aged 0-24 years).

METHODS

We analysed data from 258 population-based cancer registries in 61 countries participating in CONCORD-3 that submitted data on patients diagnosed with leukaemia. We grouped patients by age as children (0-14 years), adolescents (15-19 years), and young adults (20-24 years). We categorised leukaemia subtypes according to the International Classification of Childhood Cancer (ICCC-3), updated with International Classification of Diseases for Oncology, third edition (ICD-O-3) codes. We estimated 5-year net survival by age and morphology, with 95% CIs, using the non-parametric Pohar-Perme estimator. To control for background mortality, we used life tables by country or region, single year of age, single calendar year and sex, and, where possible, by race or ethnicity. All-age survival estimates were standardised to the marginal distribution of young people with leukaemia included in the analysis.

FINDINGS

164 563 young people were included in this analysis: 121 328 (73·7%) children, 22 963 (14·0%) adolescents, and 20 272 (12·3%) young adults. In 2010-14, the most common subtypes were lymphoid leukaemia (28 205 [68·2%] patients) and acute myeloid leukaemia (7863 [19·0%] patients). Age-standardised 5-year net survival in children, adolescents, and young adults for all leukaemias combined during 2010-14 varied widely, ranging from 46% in Mexico to more than 85% in Canada, Cyprus, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, and Australia. Individuals with lymphoid leukaemia had better age-standardised survival (from 43% in Ecuador to ≥80% in parts of Europe, North America, Oceania, and Asia) than those with acute myeloid leukaemia (from 32% in Peru to ≥70% in most high-income countries in Europe, North America, and Oceania). Throughout 2000-14, survival from all leukaemias combined remained consistently higher for children than adolescents and young adults, and minimal improvement was seen for adolescents and young adults in most countries.

INTERPRETATION

This study offers the first worldwide picture of population-based survival from leukaemia in children, adolescents, and young adults. Adolescents and young adults diagnosed with leukaemia continue to have lower survival than children. Trends in survival from leukaemia for adolescents and young adults are important indicators of the quality of cancer management in this age group.

FUNDING

Children with Cancer UK, the Institut National du Cancer, La Ligue Contre le Cancer, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Swiss Re, Swiss Cancer Research foundation, Swiss Cancer League, Rossy Family Foundation, US National Cancer Institute, and the American Cancer Society.

Between-hospital variations in 3-year survival among patients with newly diagnosed gastric, colorectal, and lung cancer

Due to increases in cancer survivability, quality assessments of cancer care must include long-term outcomes. This multicenter retrospective cohort study evaluated between-hospital variations in the 3-year survival rates of patients with gastric, colorectal, and lung cancer irrespective of treatment modality. We linked cancer registry data and administrative data from patients aged 18–99 years who were diagnosed with gastric, colorectal, or lung cancer between 2013 and 2015 in Osaka Prefecture, Japan. The 3-year survival rates were adjusted for potential prognostic factors using multilevel logistic regression models. Between-hospital variations were visually evaluated using funnel plots. We analyzed 10,296 gastric cancer patients from 30 hospitals, 9276 colorectal cancer patients from 30 hospitals, and 7978 lung cancer patients from 28 hospitals. The 3-year survival rate was 70.2%, 75.2%, and 45.0% for gastric, colorectal, and lung cancer, respectively. In the funnel plots, the adjusted survival rates of gastric and colorectal cancer for all hospitals lay between the lower and upper control limits of two standard deviations of the average survival rates. However, the adjusted survival rates of lung cancer for four hospitals lay below the lower limit while that for two hospitals lay above the upper limit. Older age, men, advanced cancer stage, comorbidities, functional disability, emergency admission, current/ex-smokers, and underweight were independently associated with poorer survival. In conclusion, there were between-hospital variations in 3-year survival for lung cancer even after adjusting for case mix. Quality improvement initiatives may be needed to raise the consistency of care.

Long-term kidney function in children with Wilms tumour and constitutional WT1 pathogenic variant

BACKGROUND

Wilms tumour (WT) survivors, especially patients with associated syndromes or genitourinary anomalies due to constitutional WT1 pathogenic variant, have increased risk of kidney failure. We describe the long-term kidney function in children with WT and WT1 pathogenic variant to inform the surgical strategy and oncological management of such complex children.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of patients with WT and constitutional WT1 pathogenic variant treated at a single centre between 1993 and 2016, reviewing genotype, phenotype, tumour histology, laterality, treatment, patient survival, and kidney outcome.

RESULTS

We identified 25 patients (60% male, median age at diagnosis 14 months, range 4-74 months) with WT1 deletion (4), missense (2), nonsense (8), frameshift (7), or splice site (4) pathogenic variant. Thirteen (52%) had bilateral disease, 3 (12%) had WT-aniridia, 1 had incomplete Denys-Drash syndrome, 11 (44%) had genitourinary malformation, and 10 (40%) had no phenotypic anomalies. Patient survival was 100% and 3 patients were in remission after relapse at median follow-up of 9 years. Seven patients (28%) commenced chronic dialysis of which 3 were after bilateral nephrectomies. The overall kidney survival for this cohort as mean time to start of dialysis was 13.38 years (95% CI: 10.3-16.4), where 7 patients experienced kidney failure at a median of 5.6 years. All of these 7 patients were subsequently transplanted. In addition, 2 patients have stage III and stage IV chronic kidney disease and 12 patients have albuminuria and/or treatment with ACE inhibitors. Four patients (3 frameshift; 1 WT1 deletion) had normal blood pressure and kidney function without proteinuria at follow-up from 1.5 to 12 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the known high risk of kidney disease in patients with WT and constitutional WT1 pathogenic variant, nearly two-thirds of patients had sustained native kidney function, suggesting that nephron-sparing surgery (NSS) should be attempted when possible without compromising oncological risk. Larger international studies are needed for accurate assessment of WT1genotype-kidney function phenotype correlation.

Surgical volume threshold to improve 3-year survival in designated cancer care hospitals in 2004-2012 in Japan

In Japan, cancer care hospitals designated by the national government have a surgical volume requirement of 400 annually, which is not necessarily defined based on patient outcomes. This study aimed to estimate surgical volume thresholds that ensure optimal 3‐year survival for three periods. In total, 186 965 patients who had undergone surgery for solid cancers in 66 designated cancer care hospitals in Osaka between 2004 and 2012 were examined using data from a population‐based cancer registry. These hospitals were categorized by the annual surgical volume of each 50 surgeries (eg, 0‐49, 50‐99, and so on). Using multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression, we estimated the adjusted 3‐year survival probability per surgical volume category for 2004‐2006, 2007‐2009, and 2010‐2012. Using the joinpoint regression model that computes inflection points in a linear relationship, we estimated the points at which the trend of the association between surgical volume and survival probability changes, defining them as surgical volume thresholds. The adjusted 3‐year survival ranges were 71.7%‐90.0%, 68.2%‐90.0%, and 79.2%‐90.3% in 2004‐2006, 2007‐2009, and 2010‐2012, respectively. The surgical volume thresholds were identified at 100‐149 in 2004‐2006 and 2007‐2009 and 200‐249 in 2010‐2012. The extents of change in the adjusted 3‐year survival probability per increase of 50 surgical volumes were +4.00%, +6.88%, and +1.79% points until the threshold and +0.41%, +0.30%, and +0.11% points after the threshold in 2004‐2006, 2007‐2009, and 2010‐2012, respectively. The existing surgical volume requirements met our estimated thresholds. Surgical volume thresholds based on the association with patient survival may be used as a reference to validate the surgical volume requirement.

Incidence and relative risk of metachronous second primary cancers for 16 cancer sites, Osaka, Japan, 2000-2015: Population-based analysis

Background

An increasing number of cancer survivors have developed multiple primaries. This study aims to describe the incidence and risk patterns of metachronous second primary cancers (SPCs) in Osaka, Japan.

Methods

Data were obtained from the Osaka Cancer Registry, a population‐based database of all cancers diagnosed in Osaka. The study subjects were individuals who were first diagnosed with invasive cancers in 16 major cancer sites during 2000–2014, aged 15–79 years, survived at least 3 months, and were followed up for 10 years. We measured incidence rates, cumulative risks, and standardized incidence ratios (SIRs: with the Osaka general population as the referent) of developing SPCs during 3 months to 10 years after the first diagnosis.

Results

During 2000–2015, among 418,791 cancer survivors, 24,368 (5.8%) developed SPCs within 10 years of first diagnosis. Males had higher incidence rates than females except among young‐onset survivors (aged 15–39 years). 10‐year cumulative risks among survivors aged 70–79 years (the most dominant age group) were 24.0% (male) and 11.8% (female). 10‐year SIRs were 1.38 (95% CI, 1.36–1.40; male) and 1.44 (95% CI, 1.41–1.48; female) with higher estimates among younger survivors in both sexes. Strong bidirectional associations were observed between oral/pharyngeal, esophageal, and laryngeal cancers. Survivors of any smoking‐related cancers had elevated SIRs of developing smoking‐related SPCs. Similar results were observed for alcohol‐related cancers.

Conclusions

Cancer survivors are at excess risk of developing SPCs compared to the general population. Continued surveillance is warranted to inform survivorship care through risk‐based long‐term care planning and lifestyle‐changing efforts to prevent new cancers.

Cancer in adolescents and young adults in Japan: epidemiology and cancer strategy

According to national cancer registry data in Japan, approximately 20,000 adolescents and young adults (AYAs, age 15–39 years) are newly diagnosed with cancer each year. Improvements in treatment and care for AYAs with cancer are included in the Phase Three Basic Plan to Promote Cancer Control Programs in Japan. This article reviews current cancer incidence and survival for AYAs with cancer in Japan using population-based cancer registry data. Mortality data through 2019 from the Vital Statistics of Japan are also described. Encouragingly, the 5-year survival probability for AYA cancers has continued to improve, in parallel with childhood cancers, and the mortality rate has decreased. There has been increasing attention to these vulnerable patients and improved partnerships and collaboration between adult and pediatric oncology; however, obstacles to the care of this population still exist at multiple levels. These obstacles relate to specific areas: research efforts and enrollment in clinical trials on AYA malignancies, AYA-specific psychosocial support such as education, financial support, and oncofertility care, and cancer care systems. It is important for Japanese oncologists, health care providers, and health policy makers to recognize that the AYA population remains vulnerable and still have unmet needs.

Wilms tumour

Wilms tumour (WT) is a childhood embryonal tumour that is paradigmatic of the intersection between disrupted organogenesis and tumorigenesis. Many WT genes play a critical (non-redundant) role in early nephrogenesis. Improving patient outcomes requires advances in understanding and targeting of the multiple genes and cellular control pathways now identified as active in WT development. Decades of clinical and basic research have helped to gradually optimize clinical care. Curative therapy is achievable in 90% of affected children, even those with disseminated disease, yet survival disparities within and between countries exist and deserve commitment to change. Updated epidemiological studies have also provided novel insights into global incidence variations. Introduction of biology-driven approaches to risk stratification and new drug development has been slower in WT than in other childhood tumours. Current prognostic classification for children with WT is grounded in clinical and pathological findings and in dedicated protocols on molecular alterations. Treatment includes conventional cytotoxic chemotherapy and surgery, and radiation therapy in some cases. Advanced imaging to capture tumour composition, optimizing irradiation techniques to reduce target volumes, and evaluation of newer surgical procedures are key areas for future research.

Comparative analysis of the clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with Wilms tumor in the United Kingdom and Japan

BACKGROUND

Wilms tumor (WT) demonstrates epidemiological differences by world region and ethnicity. To enhance understanding of these differences, we retrospectively analyzed clinical trial data sets from the UK and Japan over a 20-year period.

PROCEDURE

We used data from three consecutive clinical trials in the UK and a single study in Japan that enrolled patients diagnosed during 1996-2015, to compare clinical characteristics and outcomes between countries.

RESULTS

During 1996-2015, 1395 patients in the UK and 537 in Japan were included. Japanese patients have a significantly younger median age at diagnosis than those in the UK (28 months vs 39 months). The proportion of patients with stage IV, large tumors, and anaplastic histology appears to be higher in the UK than in Japan (18% vs 11%, 62% vs 49%, 8% vs 3%, respectively). During 2005-2015, 77 hospitals treated WT in Japan compared with only 20 hospitals in the UK. Five-year overall survival of patients with WT was over 90% in both countries, but five-year event-free survival of patients with stage IV was significantly lower in Japan than in the UK (50.0% vs 76.2%, P = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Differences in age of onset, tumor size at diagnosis, and histology may reflect differences in the genetic background of patients with WT between countries, but population-based phenotype-genotype data are lacking. The difference in survival probability for stage IV patients may be due to different diagnostic criteria or different treatment strategies. Prospective, international clinical studies including genomic analyses are needed to confirm these findings and improve clinical practice.

Improved long-term survival of corpus cancer in Japan: A 40-year population-based analysis

The incidence of uterine corpus cancer has been increasing globally due to increase in obesity. However, a detailed analysis of long‐term epidemiological trends of corpus cancer in Japan, where obesity is relatively minimal, has not been conducted. In this retrospective, population‐based study using the Osaka Cancer Registry, we analyzed 15 255 cases of corpus neoplasia registered between 1977 and 2016. We determined the age‐standardized incidence, mortality, relative survival and conditional survival rates, and the treatment trends for corpus cancer over the last 40 years in Japan. The age‐standardized incidence rate of corpus neoplasia increased sharply in 2000‐2011 (APC = 9.9, 95% CI: 8.4‐11.3), whereas the mortality rate trended to a much more modest increase (APC = 3.3, 95% CI: 2.7‐3.8). Compared to 1977‐2000, 10‐year survival rates for post‐2000 cases of localized and regional corpus cancers significantly improved (from 87.7% [95% CI: 85.8‐89.4] to 94.2% [95% CI: 92.7‐95.7] and from 47.5% [95% CI: 43.3‐51.6] to 64.4% [95% CI: 61.0‐67.6], respectively). This was largely associated with the significant increase in the percentage of localized and regional patients who received chemotherapy instead of radiation as an adjuvant therapy combined to surgery (P < .001 for both). We found that each histological type (endometrioid carcinoma, serous carcinoma, clear cell carcinoma and carcinosarcoma) has different characteristics of trend of age‐standardized incidence rate, relative survival and distribution of extent of disease. In endometrioid carcinoma, the age‐standardized incidence rate increased consistently after 1990, but the rate of increase was decreasing after 1997.

What's new?

For the past 40 years, age‐standardized incidence of corpus cancer in Japan, similar to other countries worldwide, has been increasing. However, whereas global increases in corpus cancer are linked to increasing obesity, obesity rates in Japan remain uniquely low. This population‐based study, drawing on data from the Osaka Cancer Registry, reveals a sharp increase in age‐standardized incidence of corpus neoplasia from 2000‐2011 in Japan. Each histological cancer type differed in incidence trend, relative survival, and distribution of extent of disease. Additional analyses indicate that recent changes in adjuvant therapy, particularly increased use of chemotherapy over radiation, have improved prognosis.

Long-term trends in the clinical outcomes of patients with acute myeloid leukemia: a population-based real-world data analysis using the Osaka Cancer Registry

We evaluated the survival patterns for acute myeloid leukemia (AML) patients registered in the Osaka Cancer Registry from 1975 to 2017. During this period, 9706 patients were diagnosed with AML, with a median age of 60 years (range, 0-100). Patients were grouped by age (≤ 20, 21-40, 41-60, 61-70, and ≥ 71) and the year of their diagnosis (1975-1989, 1990-2001, 2002-2010, and 2011-2017). The overall survival (OS) rates of patients of ≤ 60 years of age improved significantly from the period 1975-1989 up to 1990-2001. However, there was a stagnation from 2002-2010 to 2011-2017. In terms of non-acute promyelocytic leukemia patients of > 60 years of age, the improvement of OS was limited during a very long period. In conclusion, the clinical outcome of patients with AML dramatically improved from 1975 to 2001. However, our dataset revealed stagnation in the improvement since 2002. Novel treatment options are needed to further improve the survival of elderly patients.

Analysis of real-world data in patients with relapsed/refractory diffuse large B cell lymphoma who received salvage chemotherapy in the rituximab era

Although the overall clinical outcome of patients with diffuse large B cell lymphoma (DLBCL) has significantly improved, some patients still experience relapsed/refractory disease. In the rituximab era, real-world data about relapsed/refractory DLBCL are limited. To clarify the clinical outcome and prognostic factors in these patients, we conducted a retrospective analysis using data from the population-based Osaka Cancer Registry (OCR) from 2010 to 2015. In total, 189 adult patients aged up to 70 years who received CHOP or a CHOP-like regimen in combination with rituximab, as well as a subsequent second-line therapy, were included in the analysis. The median age was 63 years (range, 24-70). Age (> 63 years), the duration of first progression-free survival (PFS), and the use of rituximab in the second-line chemotherapy were prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) after the second-line treatment. In this cohort, 48 and 11 patients received autologous and allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT), respectively. The probabilities of 3-year OS after autologous and allogeneic HSCT were 55.7% and 18.2%, respectively. In conclusion, we found that the clinical outcome of patients with relapsed/refractory DLBCL in the rituximab era was unsatisfactory. Further improvements in treatment strategies, including novel agents, are needed.

Hospital volume and 5-year survival in head and neck cancer patients in Osaka, Japan

BACKGROUND

Few previous studies have examined the relationship between hospital volume and hazard of death for head and neck cancer patients. The purpose of this study was to examine the association between hospital volume and 5-year survival from diagnosis among head and neck cancer patients.

METHODS

Using data from the population-based Osaka Cancer Registry, hospital volume was divided into three volume groups according to the number of head and neck cancer treatments identified between 2009 and 2011. We analysed the association between hospital volume and 5-year survival among 3069 patients aged 0-79 using Cox proportional hazard models, adjusting for characteristics of patients.

RESULTS

Compared with head and neck cancer patients in high-hospital volume, patients treated in middle- and low-hospital volume were found to have a higher risk of death (middle-hospital volume: hazard ratio = 1.26; 95% confidence interval, 1.09-1.46, low-hospital volume: hazard ratio = 1.24; 95% confidence interval, 1.06-1.46).

CONCLUSIONS

We found a significantly higher risk of hazard of death in middle- and low-hospital volume than in high-hospital volume for head and neck cancer.

Wilms tumour surveillance in at-risk children: Literature review and recommendations from the SIOP-Europe Host Genome Working Group and SIOP Renal Tumour Study Group

Since previous consensus-based Wilms tumour (WT) surveillance guidelines were published, novel genes and syndromes associated with WT risk have been identified, and diagnostic molecular tests for previously known syndromes have improved. In view of this, the International Society of Pediatric Oncology (SIOP)-Europe Host Genome Working Group and SIOP Renal Tumour Study Group hereby present updated WT surveillance guidelines after an extensive literature review and international consensus meetings. These guidelines are for use by clinical geneticists, pediatricians, pediatric oncologists and radiologists involved in the care of children at risk of WT. Additionally, we emphasise the need to register all patients with a cancer predisposition syndrome in national or international databases, to enable the development of better tumour risk estimates and tumour surveillance programs in the future.

In vitro evidence of propagation of superoxide dismutase-1 protein aggregation in canine degenerative myelopathy

Canine degenerative myelopathy (DM) is a progressive and fatal neurodegenerative disorder that has been linked to mutations in the superoxide dismutase 1 (SOD1) gene. The accumulation of misfolded protein aggregates in spinal neurons and astrocytes is implicated as an important pathological process in DM; however, the mechanism of protein aggregate formation is largely unknown. In human neurodegenerative diseases, such as amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), cell-to-cell propagation of disease-relevant proteins has been demonstrated. Therefore, in this study, propagation of aggregation-forming property of mutant SOD1 protein in DM in vitro was investigated. This study demonstrated that aggregates composed of canine wild type SOD1 protein were increased by co-transfection with canine mutant SOD1 (E40K SOD1), indicating intracellular propagation of SOD1 aggregates. Further, aggregated recombinant SOD1 proteins were released from the cells, taken up by other cells, and induced further aggregate formation of normally folded SOD1 proteins. These results suggest intercellular propagation of SOD1 aggregates. The hypothesis of cell-to-cell propagation of SOD1 aggregates proposed in this study may underly the progressive nature of DM pathology.

Three-year survival from diagnosis in surgically treated patients in designated and nondesignated cancer care hospitals in Japan

The Japanese national and prefectural governments have accredited high-capacity, high-experience cancer care hospitals as "designated cancer care hospitals" to standardize cancer care, centralize patients, and improve clinical outcomes, but the performance of these designated hospitals has not been evaluated. We retrospectively compared 3-year patient survival in national, prefectural, and nondesignated cancer care hospitals in 2010-2012 in Osaka using registry-based data of 86 456 surgically treated cancer patients aged 15 years or older. Hazard ratios and 3-year survival probabilities were compared among national, prefectural, and nondesignated hospitals using a Cox proportional hazard regression model. Subgroup analyses for six cancers (stomach, colorectum, lung, breast, uterus, and prostate) and other cancers were carried out. In 2010-2012, 36 634 (42.4%), 38 048 (44.0%), and 11 774 (13.6%) patients were treated at national, prefectural, and nondesignated hospitals, respectively. The mortality hazard for all-site cancer was significantly lower in national and prefectural designated hospitals (adjusted hazard ratio 0.60 [95% confidence interval, 0.53-0.68] and 0.72 [0.66-0.80], respectively) than in nondesignated hospitals. The adjusted 3-year survival probabilities for all-site cancer were 86.6%, 84.2%, and 78.8% in national, prefectural, and nondesignated hospitals, respectively. Site-specific subgroup analyses revealed significantly lower hazard ratios in national and prefectural hospitals than in nondesignated hospitals for stomach, colorectal, lung, breast, and other cancers. To conclude, the majority of cancer patients underwent surgeries at designated hospitals and had higher 3-year survival probabilities than those treated at nondesignated hospitals. Further centralization of patients from nondesignated to designated hospitals could improve population-level survival.

Barthel Index-based functional status as a prognostic factor in young and middle-aged adults with newly diagnosed gastric, colorectal and lung cancer: a multicentre retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Functional status assessments of activities of daily living may improve prognostic precision during initial diagnostic evaluations in young and middle-aged adults with cancer. However, the association between pretreatment functional status and survival in these patients is poorly understood. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of functional status in young and middle-aged patients with cancer.

DESIGN

Multicentre retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

We used a cancer registry from Osaka Prefecture, Japan. The data were linked to administrative claims data from 35 hospitals in the same prefecture.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients aged 18-69 years who received new diagnoses of gastric, colorectal or lung cancer between 2010 and 2014.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Cox proportional hazards models of 5-year all-cause mortality were developed to examine the prognostic impact of pretreatment functional status, which was categorised into three levels of functional disability (none, moderate and severe) based on Barthel Index scores. The models controlled for age, sex, comorbidities, cancer stage and tumour histology.

RESULTS

We analysed 12 134 patients. Higher mortality risks were significantly associated with moderate functional disability (adjusted HR 1.44 (95% CI 1.18 to 1.75), 1.35 (95% CI 1.08 to 1.68) and 1.74 (95% CI 1.50 to 2.03) in patients with gastric, colorectal and lung cancer, respectively) and severe functional disability (adjusted HR 3.56 (95% CI 2.81 to 4.51), 2.37 (95% CI 1.89 to 2.95) and 2.34 (95% CI 2.00 to 2.75) in patients with gastric, colorectal and lung cancer, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Accounting for functional status at cancer diagnosis may improve the prediction of survival time in young and middle-aged adults with cancer. Functional status has potential applications in survival predictions and risk adjustments when analysing outcomes in patients with cancer.