Global survival trends for brain tumors, by histology: analysis of individual records for 556,237 adults diagnosed in 59 countries during 2000-2014 (CONCORD-3)

BACKGROUND

Survival is a key metric of the effectiveness of a health system in managing cancer. We set out to provide a comprehensive examination of worldwide variation and trends in survival from brain tumors in adults, by histology.

METHODS

We analyzed individual data for adults (15-99 years) diagnosed with a brain tumor (ICD-O-3 topography code C71) during 2000-2014, regardless of tumor behavior. Data underwent a 3-phase quality control as part of CONCORD-3. We estimated net survival for 11 histology groups, using the unbiased nonparametric Pohar Perme estimator.

RESULTS

The study included 556,237 adults. In 2010-2014, the global range in age-standardized 5-year net survival for the most common sub-types was broad: in the range 20%-38% for diffuse and anaplastic astrocytoma, from 4% to 17% for glioblastoma, and between 32% and 69% for oligodendroglioma. For patients with glioblastoma, the largest gains in survival occurred between 2000-2004 and 2005-2009. These improvements were more noticeable among adults diagnosed aged 40-70 years than among younger adults.

CONCLUSIONS

To the best of our knowledge, this study provides the largest account to date of global trends in population-based survival for brain tumors by histology in adults. We have highlighted remarkable gains in 5-year survival from glioblastoma since 2005, providing large-scale empirical evidence on the uptake of chemoradiation at population level. Worldwide, survival improvements have been extensive, but some countries still lag behind. Our findings may help clinicians involved in national and international tumor pathway boards to promote initiatives aimed at more extensive implementation of clinical guidelines.

Evidence of Covid-19 lockdown effects on riverine dissolved organic matter dynamics provides a proof-of-concept for needed regulations of anthropogenic emissions

The fast spread of SARS-CoV-2 virus in Italy resulted in a 3-months lockdown of the entire country. During this period, the effect of the relieved anthropogenic activities on the environment was plainly clear all over the country. Herein, we provide the first evidence of the lockdown effects on riverine dissolved organic matter (DOM) dynamics. The strong reduction in anthropogenic activities resulted in a marked decrease in dissolved organic carbon (DOC) concentration in the Arno River (-44%) and the coastal area affected by its input (-15%), compared to previous conditions. The DOM optical properties (absorption and fluorescence) showed a change in its quality, with a shift toward smaller and less aromatic molecules during the lockdown. The reduced human activity and the consequent change in DOM dynamics affected the abundance and annual dynamics of heterotrophic prokaryotes. The results of this study highlight the extent to which DOM dynamics in small rivers is affected by secondary and tertiary human activities as well as the quite short time scales to return to the impacted conditions. Our work also supports the importance of long-term research to disentangle the effects of casual events from the natural variability.

Trends in thyroid function testing, neck ultrasound, thyroid fine needle aspiration, and thyroidectomies in North-eastern Italy

PURPOSE

Evidence of an increased diagnostic pressure on thyroid has emerged over the past decades. This study aimed to provide estimates of a wide spectrum of surveillance indicators for thyroid dysfunctions and diseases in Italy.

METHODS

A population-based study was conducted in North-eastern Italy, including 11.7 million residents (20% of the total Italian population). Prescriptions for TSH testing, neck ultrasound or thyroid fine needle aspiration (FNA), surgical procedures, and drugs for hypo- or hyperthyroidism were extracted from regional health databases. Proportions and rates of selected examinations were calculated from 2010 to 2017, overall and by sex, calendar years, age, and region.

RESULTS

Between 2010 and 2017 in North-eastern Italy, 24.5% of women and 9.8% of men received at least one TSH test yearly. In 2017, 7.1% of women and 1.5% of men were prescribed drugs for thyroid dysfunction, 94.6% of whom for hypothyroidism. Neck ultrasound examinations were performed yearly in 6.9% of women and 4.6% of men, with a nearly two-fold variation between areas. Thyroid FNA and thyroidectomies were three-fold more frequent in women (394 and 85 per 100,000) than in men (128 and 29 per 100,000) with a marked variation between areas. Both procedures decreased consistently after 2013.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this population-based study describe recent variations over time and between surrounding areas of indicators of 'diagnostic pressure' on thyroid in North-eastern Italy. These results emphasize the need to harmonize practices and to reduce some procedures (e.g., neck ultrasound and total thyroidectomies) in certain areas.

Abstract GS3-01: A randomized placebo controlled phase III trial of low dose tamoxifen for the prevention of recurrence in women with operated hormone sensitive breast ductal or lobular carcinoma in situ

Background: Tamoxifen is an effective drug for breast cancer prevention and treatment, but the risk of endometrial cancer and venous thromboembolism has limited its broader use. We have repeatedly shown in biomarker trials that the minimal effective dose of tamoxifen is lower than 20 mg/day, but a definitive answer on efficacy and safety required a phase III trial. The optimal treatment of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) is still controversial.

Methods: We conducted a phase III trial of tamoxifen (T), 5 mg/day versus placebo (P) in women with operated hormone sensitive breast intraepithelial neoplasia (DCIS or LCIS). Women with G3, positive margins or comedo/necrosis DCIS received radiotherapy. Women were seen every 6 months with an annual mammography for at last 5 years after randomization. Initial statistical calculations were revised according to the lower than expected accrual, and the Independent Data Safety Monitoring Board recommended the disclosure of results as 80% of the originally expected events were observed.

Results: Between November 1, 2008 and March 31, 2015 a total of 500 women were randomized to either T, 5 mg/day or P for 3 years. A total of 10 patients are not assessable becuse of consent withdrawal or drop out. The main subject characteristics were well balanced between arms. As of May 31, 2018, after a median follow-up of 5.1 years (interquartile range, 3.9-6.3), there were 14 recurrences in the T arm and 29 in the P arm (hazard ratio=0.48, 95% CI, 0.25-0.89, p=0.02). The incidence rate of events was 11.8/1000 py in the T arm and 24.9/1000 py in the P arm. Most recurrences were invasive breast cancers: 11/14 (78%) in the T arm and 16/29 (55%) in the P arm. There were 8 serious adverse events in the T arm and 12 in the P arm, including 2 arterial events in each arm, 2 superficial phlebitis in the T arm and 1 endometrial cancer (annual rate 0.85/1000 py) in the T arm. There were 6 versus 4 second primary cancers in the T and P arm, respectively, and 2 deaths in the P arm. Menopausal symptoms were more frequent in the T arm and will be reported in details at the conference.

Baseline characteristics  Tamoxifen (n=246)Placebo (n=244)  mean (SD)mean (SD)Age (yrs) 54.0 (9.4)53.7 (9.1)Body Mass Index (kg/m2) 25.7 (4.8)25.3 (4.2)  n (%)n (%)Menopausal statusPre-110 (45)107 (44) Post-136 (55)137 (56)Type of lesionDCIS221 (89)220 (90) LCIS25 (10)24 (10)Type of surgeryConservative (Q/L)206 (84)200 (82) Mastectomy39 (16)44 (18) Axillary dissection1 (0)-SD=standard deviation; DCIS=ductal carcinoma in situ; LCIS=lobular carcinoma in situ; Q=quadrantectomy; L=lumpectomy

Conclusions: Tamoxifen at the dose of 5 mg/day can halve the incidence of recurrence in women with operated hormone sensitive DCIS or LCIS with a limited toxicity, providing a valid treatment option in women with disease. In addition, this study has important implications for the preventive therapy of high risk unaffected women.

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01357772; Supported by the Italian Ministry of Health - RFPS-2006-1-339898 and the Italian Association for Cancer Research (AIRC) - IG 2008 Grant no. 5611.

Citation Format: DeCensi A, Puntoni M, Guerrieri Gonzaga A, Avino F, Cortesi L, Donadio M, Pacquola M, Falcini F, Gulisano M, Digennaro M, Tienghi A, Cagossi K, Pinotti G, Varicchio C, Caviglia S, Boni L, Bonanni B. A randomized placebo controlled phase III trial of low dose tamoxifen for the prevention of recurrence in women with operated hormone sensitive breast ductal or lobular carcinoma in situ [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr GS3-01.

Evaluation of the agreement between TNM 7th and 8th in a population-based series of cutaneous melanoma

BACKGROUND

The 8th edition of TNM has introduced new rules for staging cutaneous melanoma.

OBJECTIVE

To compare TNM 7th and 8th editions in defining pathological stages of melanoma.

METHODS

A population-based series of 1847 skin melanoma from Romagna cancer registry (Italy) incident during 2003-2012 has been used to measure the agreement (with Cohen's kappa) between TNM 8th and 7th editions in defining melanoma stage. Disease-specific survival has been computed for each stage according to TNM 7th and 8th.

RESULTS

The agreement between the two TNM editions was quite good when considered on average (kappa = 70.7%), moderate for stage I (61.5%), nearly perfect for stage II (95.0%), but extremely poor for stage III (8.1%). The overall melanoma-specific observed survival was 90.8% at 5 year and 88.9% at 10 year with a strong prognostic effect of stage.

CONCLUSION

TNM 8th edition introduces several changes which do not seem really helpful in addressing the care of stage I melanoma and may complicate the definition and comparability of stage III.

CEA Levels in Gastric Juice in Precancerous Conditions and Cancer

First described in 1965 as a specific antigen for cancer of the colon, CEA is now considered to be an antigen associated with many types of malignant neoplasia, although the CEA-Test's role in clinical routine has yet to be clearly defined.

In the present study CEA levels in gastric juice were measured in subjects with gastric carcinoma (n = 25) and with benign gastric lesions (n = 171). CEA was significantly (p < 0.05) higher in patients with gastric carcinoma (GC) than in subjects with benign gastric lesions, other than chronic atrophic gastritis (CAG) associated with intestinal metaplasia (IM). In this latter condition CEA levels were similar to those in patients with GC.

These results suggest that the assay of CEA in gastric juice could be included in the diagnostic program for gastric cancer and its precursors with the aim of assessing its utility as risk indicator in the management of precancerous conditions and lesion.

Agreement Estimate among three Italian Cancer Registries in the Coding of Multiple Primary Cancers

Aims

The aim of the study was to compare agreement on the coding of multiple primary cancers (MPs) between three Italian cancer registries, the Ragusa Cancer Registry (RCR), the Cancer Registry of Romagna (RTRo), and the Tuscany Tumor Registry (RTT), that adhere to different rules for accepting MPs and to study whether coding according to common international rules (IARC-IACR) increased comparability.

Methods

One hundred cases were randomly extracted from the archives of each registry from those recorded as having more than one cancer. For each of the 300 patients, the number of independent cancers was attributed independently by one coder from each registry. The coders coded the series twice: once following the local registry rules and once according to the IARC-IACR rules. The agreement was estimated by couples of coders by means of Cohen's kappa statistics.

Results

The agreement on MP status between coders using local rules and definitions was good between the RTT and RCR (kappa = 0.77) and very good between the RTRo and RCR (kappa = 0.81) and the RTT and RTRo (kappa = 0.96). Exclusion of 23 expected discordant cases increased the agreement. The agreement reached with the use of the IARC-IACR rules was very good (RTRo vs RCR, 0.95; RTT vs RTR, 0.94; RTT vs RTRo, 0.95).

Conclusions

The comparison among the RTT, RTRo and RCR confirmed that the number of tumors considered MPs may be modified depending on the rules adopted. There were minor differences between the RTT and the RTRo since their rules were very similar. Most differences in agreement were with the RCR since its classification was conceptually different from the other two. The result on agreement with IARC-IACR rules is encouraging from the point of view of conducting a cooperative study among different registries on the incidence of MPs.

New Localization Technique for Breast Cancer Biopsy: Mammotome Guidance with Imaging Probe

Aims and Background

The “Imaging probe” (IP) is a small, portable, high-resolution gamma camera to be used in radioguided surgery. The present work discusses a special prototype designed for guiding biopsies. The IP was mounted to a Fischer digital X-ray stereotactic core biopsy system in such a way that biopsy could be guided simultaneously by X-ray stereotaxis and 99mTc-Sestamibi (MIBI) images from IP.

Methods

The IP field of view was 22.8 × 22.8 mm2, with a spatial resolution of approx. 2.5 mm. We used off-line software for image fusion on a dedicated Pentium III portable PC. It was matched with a Fischer digital X-ray stereotactic biopsy system dedicated to direct the mammotome towards breast opacities. The operator was allowed to slightly correct the direction of the mammotome needle taking into account stereotactic X-ray, scintigraphic and fused images. Biopsy samples were counted by IP before they were sent to the pathologist.

Results

High-resolution IP scintigraphy showed substantial, though not exact, matching between MIBI hot spots and X-ray opacities. More than one hot spot was detected even in the smallest (0.6 cm) lesion. Post-biopsy scintigraphy showed absence of significant hot spots in two patients, whereas in the third patient one of the three hot spots was still partially present. All lesions showed cancer on histological examination.

Conclusions

Measurement of radioactivity in biopsy specimens confirmed the heterogeneous distribution of radioactivity within cancers that IP had detected before biopsy.

Combination Chemotherapy in Advanced Ovarian Carcinoma

Ovarian carcinoma is the fifth most common cause of death among women in western countries. It is often diagnosed in an advanced stage (FIGO Stage III and IV) and requires effective chemotherapy as first-line treatment. The advent of cisplatin combined with adriamycin and cyclophosphamide has remarkably increased the response rate in advanced disease. The authors report 31 cases of epithelial ovarian neoplasia, without prior chemotherapy, treated with cisplatin, adriamycin and cyclophosphamide (PAC I). Of the 30 evaluable patients, 15 had clinical complete remissions (cCR = 50%), 10 clinical partial remissions (cPR = 33%) and 5 no response (NR = 17%). The total response (cCR + cPR) was equal to 83%. Twelve of the 15 patients in cCR underwent second-look laparotomy; in 8 of these cases, histologic and cytologic confirmation of CR was obtained. PAC I was found to be a highly effective therapeutic regimen with moderate toxicity. The individual toxicity reported was gastroenteric (nausea and vomiting), but transitory. No chronic toxic side-effects from cisplatin or adriamycin were noted. However, more definitive results must be obtained to verify its impact on the prolongation of survival.

Gastric Cancer: Histopathologic Patterns According to Lauren's Classification in a High-Risk Area and Distribution by Residence

A total of 1061 advanced gastric cancers with histologic confirmation, diagnosed from 1973 to 1982 at the Morgagni-Pierantoni Hospital (Forlì) were reclassified according to Lauren, and histologic types were related to the source of the histologic specimen, sex, age at diagnosis, place of birth and residence. This large case series showed a high percentage of intestinal type cancers, consistent with the high risk for gastric cancer which characterizes the area under study. Intestinal type carcinomas tend to be represented more in the older age groups, in males and in subjects born in the Forlì province and resident in hilly and mountainous areas. The distribution over time of biopsy specimens in this case series showed an increased use of gastroscopy for diagnosis in the population under study.

Comparability Issues within the Itacare Data Base

Aims and background

The aim of the study was to describe the extent of variability among Italian cancer registries in data managing practices that may affect differences in incidence and possibly in survival estimates.

Methods

a self-administered questionnaire was sent to each participating registry. The definitions of the disease, of the start point and of the end point of survival computation were investigated. Moreover, information on the proportion of histologic confirmation, of ill-defined sites and of DCO (death certificate only) was also considered.

Results

There were some differences in cancer registration techniques among Italian cancer registries. As regards disease definition, the most relevant problems arose for urinary bladder. Skin melanoma should also be considered with some caution, due to variability among registries in coding in situ cases. For the CNS and meninges, the proportion of cases that could be differently considered was so limited that no effect on survival is expected. For female breast, colorectum and cervix uteri, the effect of early diagnosis services (which are active only in some areas) may lead to better survival estimates. The variability in incidence date definition was high among registries and sites, but its effect on survival was very limited. There was a wide variability in the proportion of DCOs and of DCIs (initially known from death certificate), which should be considered in survival comparisons. All the registries stated that they carried out an active follow-up of their patients.

Conclusions

In general, quality standards of the registries are good and allow comparability of survival data. The variability of rules adopted by Italian registries may affect geographic survival differences only in a limited number of cancer sites, so that results should be interpreted with caution.

Variations in the Survival of Adult Cancer Patients in Italy

Aims

As part of the ITACARE project, the present study analyzed and compared population-based data on the survival of adult cancer patients in Italy, according to sex, age, period of diagnosis and geographical area.

Methods

Nine Italian population-based cancer registries provided data on all their cancer patients (total 90,431 cases) followed for at least 5 years and diagnosed during the period 1978–1989. About 10% of the Italian population is covered by these registries. The data was analyzed by means of a multivariate model.

Results

The major findings were that there was a general improvement in 5-year relative survival over the study period (from 33% to 39%) and that there were significant differences in survival between different areas of the country, particularly for cancer sites which respond well to treatment. In general, the area covered by the Ragusa (Sicily) registry was characterized by significantly worse survival than other registry populations. Other important findings were that for all malignant cancer sites 5-year relative survival decreased with age from 50% for the youngest age class (15–44 years) to 27% for the oldest age class (75+ years) and that women have a better prognosis for most cancer sites (overall 5-year relative survival in women 48% vs 32% in men).

Conclusions

The significant regional differences in survival may reflect unequal provision of care, particularly between northern-central Italy and the south. The reasons for the general survival improvement with time are not completely understood, whereas the marked overall sex difference is related to the fact that the commonest cancer in women (breast cancer) is eminently more treatable than the commonest malignancy in men (lung cancer). The unfavorable trend with increasing age may be due to increasing difficulty in applying complete therapy protocols as general health declines, sometimes in relation to an advanced cancer stage at diagnosis.

Estimates of cancer burden in Italy

Aims and background

This paper presents updated estimates of the incidence, prevalence and mortality of stomach, colorectal, lung, breast, uterine cervix and prostate cancer and skin melanoma in the Italian population. In particular, point estimates for 2012 and time trends from 1970 to 2015 will be provided.

Methods

The presented figures were obtained by summing up the regional epidemiological indicator estimates presented in the other papers of this monographic issue, which were derived by applying the MIAMOD statistical back-calculation method to cancer registries survival data and official mortality rates.

Results

Our findings indicate that breast, colon-rectum and prostate will be the cancer sites with the highest incidence rates in the forthcoming years. The incidence rates still tend to increase for breast, male colorectal cancer and female lung cancer as well as for skin melanoma. By contrast, the incidence of stomach cancer, cervical cancer and male lung cancer, by far the most common tumor sites up to the early 1990s, will continue to decrease. The mortality estimates showed a decreasing trend for all considered cancers with the only exception of lung cancer in women.

Conclusion

These results point to the need to reinforce prevention activities by developing more effective preventive measures for population groups at risk. There is also a need to support timely and continuous cancer surveillance in the Italian population through cancer registries in order to monitor the spread of the cancer risk and to evaluate the impact of prevention policies and therapeutic advances.

Prognostic impact of interval breast cancer detection in women with pT1a N0M0 breast cancer with HER2-positive status: Results from a multicentre population-based cancer registry study

BACKGROUND

Although human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) overexpression is associated with poor prognosis, patients (pts) with pT1a N0M0 breast cancers (BCs) have an excellent outcome across all subtypes. Interval cancers (ICs) have poorer survival than screen-detected (SD) tumours, and an association has been reported between ICs and HER2 overexpression. We aimed to determine, in a general population of pT1a N0M0 BCs with known screening status, whether HER2-positive ICs have a poorer outcome than HER2-positive SD cancers.

METHODS

We evaluated all incident pT1a N0M0 BCs (n = 874) collected in the Emilia-Romagna region (Italy) from 2003 to 2009 and diagnosed in women aged 50-69. Pts unexposed to screening, with unknown HER2 status and/or treated with adjuvant trastuzumab were excluded from analysis.

RESULTS

Sixty-one percent of the BCs were SD, whereas 19% were ICs. BCs with high histologic grade, hormone receptor-negative or HER2-positive status (odds ratio=1.7; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.1-2.7) were more likely ICs. Median follow-up was 115 months. The 10-year invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) for HER2-positive ICs was lower than that for HER2-positive SD cancers: 75.0% (95% CI: 55.5%-94.5%) versus 93.8% (95% CI: 86.5%-100%). An interaction between ICs and HER2-positive status was found for poorer iDFS after adjusting for prognostic variables (HR = 5.3; 95% CI: 1.6-16.7).

CONCLUSIONS

IC detection may identify pts with HER2-positive pT1a N0M0 tumours in whom the rate of recurrence justifies consideration for conventional, anti-HER2, adjuvant treatment.

The role of Internal Solitary Waves on deep-water sedimentary processes: the case of up-slope migrating sediment waves off the Messina Strait

Subaqueous, asymmetric sand waves are typically observed in marine channel/canyon systems, tidal environments, and continental slopes exposed to strong currents, where they are formed by current shear resulting from a dominant unidirectional flow. However, sand-wave fields may be readily observed in marine environments where no such current exists; the physical processes driving their formation are enigmatic or not well understood. We propose that internal solitary waves (ISWs) induced by tides can produce an effective, unidirectional boundary “current” that forms asymmetric sand waves. We test this idea by examining a sand-wave field off the Messina Strait, where we hypothesize that ISWs formed at the interface between intermediate and surface waters are refracted by topography. Hence, we argue that the deflected pattern (i.e., the depth-dependent orientation) of the sand-wave field is due to refraction of such ISWs. Combining field observations and numerical modelling, we show that ISWs can account for three key features: ISWs produce fluid velocities capable of mobilizing bottom sediments; the predicted refraction pattern resulting from the interaction of ISWs with bottom topography matches the observed deflection of the sand waves; and predicted migration rates of sand waves match empirical estimates. This work shows how ISWs may contribute to sculpting the structure of continental margins and it represents a promising link between the geological and oceanographic communities.

Risonanza magnetica e H-MRS dell'encefalo in soggetti con LES ad esordio pediatrico

Systemic lupus erythematosus can produce disturbances in the CNS, characterized by seizures, headache, encephalopathy, chorea, cerebral infarction and psychosis. We used magnetic resonance and spectroscopy, in order to provide anatomical and metabolic information on the direct involvement of the CNS in LES.

This study shows how these non-invasive techniques are well tolerated by children and young adults and how the levels of N-acetylaspartate correlate with the severity of the disease.

Review: Systemic lupus erythematosus in the young: the importance of a transition clinic

The objective of this report is to focus on the problems of patients with childhood onset systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) at the age of transition to an adult care Unit. SLE is a multisystem disease characterised by diffuse internal organ involvement and by the presence of antinuclear and anti DNA antibodies. Central nervous system and renal damage are the main complications especially in children. Transition in health-care is a multifaceted, active process that attends to the medical, psychosocial and educational-vocational needs of adolescents when they move from child to adult-oriented lifestyles and systems. Lack of institutional support and difficulty in communicating and in identifying adult specialists are the major concerns in a transition care Unit. Psychosocial matters can make this change dramatic and hard for young people and their families. Patients with juvenile-onset SLE require specialised and multidisciplinary care when entering a transition clinic; physicians need to focus on preventing long-term complications of SLE, including atherosclerosis, obesity, osteoporosis and their treatment. We report on our experience in a cohort of patients with juvenile SLE cared for at our transition clinic over last six years. Lupus (2007) 16: 613—617.

Integrating Self-Referral for Mammography into Organised Screening: Results from an Italian Experience

OBJECTIVE

To compare self-referred screenees with respondents to invitation for main performance indicators of mammography screening.

SETTING

First round of an organised, population-based screening programme in six districts of northern Italy.

METHODS

The screening test was a two-view mammography. Eligible women aged 50-69 years were invited. Self-referred attendees were accepted if they were eligible for screening and had not yet been invited or had been invited >6 months before presentation. Age-specific performance indicators were compared with the calculation of their ratio and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Total ratios were age standardised. In situ carcinomas were excluded.

RESULTS

The eligible population was 183 542 women. There were 112 188 respondents to invitation and 20 280 self-referred attendees. Self-referral rate was inversely related to age. Performance indicators were as follows: recall rate, 5.6% for self-referred attendees vs 5.5% for respondents (ratio 1.02, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.08); total aspiration cytology rate, 37.3% vs 28.3% (1.37, 1.24 to 1.51); biopsy rate, 17.0 vs 12.6 x 1000 (1.51, 1.35 to 1.67); total detection rate, 10.7 vs 7.5 x 1000 (1.70, 1.48 to 1.94); detection rate of pT1 carcinoma, 7.0 vs 6.1 x 1000 (1.35, 1.14 to 1.59); detection rate of pT2-4 carcinoma, 3.5 vs 1.2 x 1000 (3.51, 2.75 to 4.43); false-positive rate, 4.5% vs 4.7% (0.93, 0.87 to 0.99); positive predictive value (PPV) of mammography, 19.1% vs 13.5% (1.59, 1.39 to 1.82); PPV of biopsy, 63.7% vs 60.6% (1.13, 0.98 to 1.29); detected:expected ratio, 5.02 vs 3.37 (1.49, 1.28 to 1.74). All differences were more pronounced among or restricted to women aged 50-54 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Self-referred screenees were similar to respondents to invitation in main indicators of screening feasibility such as recall rate and PPV of biopsy, while showing important increases in detection rates and detected:expected ratios, especially among women aged 50-54 years.

Abstract P1-07-23: Prognostic impact of HER2 overexpression/amplification in women with pT1a N0 M0 breast cancer with known screening status: Results from a multicenter population-based cancer registry study

Introduction: Outcomes for women with pT1aN0M0 breast cancers (BC) may vary by biologic subtype. A higher proportion of HER2-positive BCs diagnosed in the interval between scheduled screening rounds has been proposed to account for the more aggressive behaviour of interval cancers (IC) compared with screen-detected (SD) tumors. No data are available on the prognostic role of HER2-positive status in a general population of pT1aN0M0 breast tumors with known screening status.

Methods: All incident pT1aN0M0 BCs (n=874), systematically collected by the Cancer Registries of Emilia Romagna Region (northern Italy) and diagnosed in women aged 50-69 from 2003 to 2009 were evaluated. Screening status was ascertained by reference to the Emilia Romagna Breast Cancer Screening Program (ERBSP) database. Patients unexposed to screening, with HER2 unknown primary tumor and/or who received adjuvant chemotherapy or trastuzumab were excluded from analysis.

Results: Twenty percent of patients had HER2-positive tumors. Fifty-three percent of the entire study population were SD cancers, while 18% were ICs. Tumors with high histologic grade, high proliferative rate, negative estrogen receptor status, or HER2-positive status were more likely to be diagnosed in the interval between screening. At a median follow-up of 84 months, the 5-year invasive disease-free survival (IDFS) rates were 89% and 95% in patients with HER2-positive and HER2-negative tumors, respectively (P = 0.025). Notably, HER2-positive ICs showed poorer IDFS than HER2-positive SD tumors (84% vs. 95%, respectively; P = 0.04). No difference in IDFS rates were observed between HER2-positive SD cancers and HER2-negative SD cancers. Multivariable analysis of candidate prognostic factors for IDFS will be reported.

Conclusions: In a general population of pT1aN0M0 early BCs with known screening status, IC detection may identify patients with HER2-positive pT1aN0M0 tumors in whom the rate of recurrence justifies consideration for systemic, anti-HER2, adjuvant therapy.

Citation Format: Musolino A, Michiara M, Boggiani D, Sikokis A, Rimanti A, Pellegrino B, Silini EM, Campanini N, Barbieri E, Sgargi P, Falcini F, Pinto C. Prognostic impact of HER2 overexpression/amplification in women with pT1a N0 M0 breast cancer with known screening status: Results from a multicenter population-based cancer registry study. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Thirty-Eighth Annual CTRC-AACR San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium: 2015 Dec 8-12; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2016;76(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P1-07-23.

Survival in patients with primary liver cancer, gallbladder and extrahepatic biliary tract cancer and pancreatic cancer in Europe 1999-2007: Results of EUROCARE-5

BACKGROUND

The EUROCARE study collects and analyses survival data from population-based cancer registries (CRs) in Europe in order to provide data on between-country differences in survival and time trends in survival.

METHODS

This study analyses data on liver cancer, gallbladder and extrahepatic biliary tract cancers ("biliary tract cancers"), and pancreatic cancer diagnosed in 2000-2007 from 88 CRs in 29 countries. Relative survival (RS) was estimated overall, by region, sex, age and period of diagnosis using the complete approach. Time trends in 5-year RS over 1999-2007 were also analysed using the period approach.

RESULTS

The prognosis of the studied cancers was poor. Age-standardised 5-year RS was 12% for liver cancer, 17% for biliary tract cancers and 7% for pancreatic cancer. There were some between-country differences in survival. In general, RS was low in Eastern Europe and high in Central and Southern Europe. For all sites, 5-year RS was similar in men and women and decreased with advancing age. No substantial changes in survival were reported for pancreatic cancer over the period 1999-2007. On average, there was a crude increase in 5-year RS of 3 percentage points between the periods 1999-2001 and 2005-2007 for liver cancer and biliary tract cancers.

CONCLUSIONS

The major changes in imaging techniques over the study period for the diagnosis of the three studied cancers did not result in an improvement in the prognosis of these cancers. In the near future, new innovative treatments might be the best way to improve the prognosis in these cancers.

Long-term survival, prevalence, and cure of cancer: a population-based estimation for 818 902 Italian patients and 26 cancer types

Original, population-based estimates of indicators of long-term survival and cure in cancer patients are provided. More than a quarter of cancer patients in Italy have reached death rates similar to those of the general population. Nearly three quarters of them will not die as a result of cancer. These estimates are potentially helpful to health-care planners, clinicians, and patients.

Background

Persons living after a cancer diagnosis represent 4% of the whole population in high-income countries. The aim of the study was to provide estimates of indicators of long-term survival and cure for 26 cancer types, presently lacking.

Patients and methods

Data on 818 902 Italian cancer patients diagnosed at age 15–74 years in 1985–2005 were included. Proportions of patients with the same death rates of the general population (cure fractions) and those of prevalent patients who were not at risk of dying as a result of cancer (cure prevalence) were calculated, using validated mixture cure models, by cancer type, sex, and age group. We also estimated complete prevalence, conditional relative survival (CRS), time to reach 5- and 10-year CRS >95%, and proportion of patients living longer than those thresholds.

Results

The cure fractions ranged from >90% for patients aged <45 years with thyroid and testis cancers to <10% for liver and pancreatic cancers of all ages. Five- or 10-year CRS >95% were both reached in <10 years by patients with cancers of the stomach, colon–rectum, pancreas, corpus and cervix uteri, brain, and Hodgkin lymphoma. For breast cancer patients, 5- and 10-year CRSs reached >95% after 19 and 25 years, respectively, and in 15 and 18 years for prostate cancer patients. Five-year CRS remained <95% for >25 years after cancer diagnosis in patients with liver and larynx cancers, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, myeloma, and leukaemia. Overall, the cure prevalence was 67% for men and 77% for women. Therefore, 21% of male and 31% of female patients had already reached 5-year CRS >95%, whereas 18% and 25% had reached 10-year CRS >95%.

Conclusions

A quarter of Italian cancer patients can be considered cured. This observation has a high potential impact on health planning, clinical practice, and patients' perspective.

Comparison of bone mass and quality determinants in adolescents and young adults with juvenile systemic lupus erythematosus (JSLE) and juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA)

BACKGROUND

Few prospective data have been published on the comparison of bone density and quality in homogeneous groups of patients with juvenile systemic lupus erythematosus (JSLE) and juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA).

OBJECTIVE AND HYPOTHESIS

The objective of this study is to perform a longitudinal evaluation of the prevalence and the characteristics of bone mass and quality and to evaluate the differences on the bone parameters, using DXA, pQCT and QUS.

POPULATION AND/OR METHODS

Forty-three JSLE patients (35 females, 8 males, median age 18.8, range 14.0-34.1 years) have been studied with DXA, pQCT and QUS scans and compared with 138 JIA patients (112 females, 26 males, median age 18.9, range 13.4-33.2 years), and 79 controls (59 females, 20 males; median age 19.3, range 13.5-36.5 years). Of these, 39 patients (32 females and 7 males, median age 20.3, range 16.6-36.8 years) with JSLE were followed longitudinally and compared with 131 patients (108 females, 23 males median age 20.7, range 15.8-37.1 years) with JIA and 63 controls (48 females, 15 males; median age 21.9, range 15.5-38.3 years).

RESULTS

JSLE patients have a higher bone cortical density (CrtBMD) than controls and JIA patients (p < 0.005). However, JSLE and JIA patients have a significantly reduced bone trabecular density (TrbBMD) compared to controls (p < 0.0001), with no differences between JSLE and JIA. In addition, JIA patients show a significantly reduced muscle area (MuscleCSA) compared to JSLE and controls (p < 0.001). Conversely, fat area (FatCSA) is significantly increased both in JIA and JSLE patients when compared to controls (p < 0.001), with no differences between the JSLE and JIA groups. Analogous results are observed in the polar resistance to stress (SSIp). On longitudinal evaluation, contrary to CrtBMD, the difference between BMAD SDS, TrbBMD, MuscleCSA and FatCSA remains unchanged; in JSLE patients, SSIp is stable in comparison to JIA and controls without any difference between the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The evaluation of bone density and structure parameters in JSLE patients highlights significant differences compared with JIA patients and controls. These data might indicate a different pathogenesis of bone damage in the two entities, and suggest a different diagnostic and therapeutic approach to improve the peak bone mass.

Vitamin D levels in children, adolescents, and young adults with juvenile-onset systemic lupus erythematosus: a cross-sectional study

Background

SS and LC contributed equally to this manuscript. Hypovitaminosis D is common in the general population. Although many studies on 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) are available on systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), few data are reported in juvenile-onset SLE (JSLE) patients.

Design

This study aimed to assess serum 25(OH)D levels in JSLE patients and to identify risk factors for vitamin D deficiency in this population.

Methods

Forty-five Caucasian JSLE patients (36 females, nine males; mean age 18.9 ± 6.3 years) and 109 age- and sex-matched healthy controls entered the study. Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) scans of the lumbar spine, serum calcium and phosphate, bone-specific alkaline phosphatase (BSAP), parathyroid hormone (PTH), and 25(OH)D were assessed. The data were compared with an age- and sex-matched control group including 109 Caucasian healthy subjects.

Results

JSLE patients exhibited lower 25(OH)D levels than controls ( p < 0.005), with the lower values observed in patients with active vs. inactive disease ( p < 0.05). JSLE patients exhibited reduced total calcium levels ( p < 0.001) and higher phosphate levels ( p < 0.001), BSAP ( p < 0.001) and PTH ( p < 0.001) than controls. In addition, JSLE patients exhibited lower spine bone mineral apparent density (BMAD) SDS values than controls ( p < 0.001), with higher values in patients with 25(OH)D sufficiency and insufficiency than in those with 25(OH)D deficiency ( p < 0.001).

Conclusions

Patients with JSLE have significantly lower 25(OH)D levels than controls. Therefore, vitamin D supplementation may be useful to normalize bone mass and quality in subjects with JSLE.

Cross-sectional and longitudinal evaluation of bone mass and quality in children and young adults with juvenile onset systemic lupus erythematosus (JSLE): role of bone mass determinants analyzed by DXA, PQCT and QUS

INTRODUCTION

There are few prospective data on bone mass and quality in patients with juvenile onset systemic lupus erythematosus (JSLE). There are also few studies analyzing bone mass and quality determinants by using at the same time dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA), peripheral quantitative computed tomography (pQCT) and quantitative ultrasound (QUS).

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this paper is to evaluate cross-sectionally and longitudinally bone mass and quality determinants in adolescents and young adults with JSLE, and to identify the main predictors of reduced bone mineral density (BMD) and bone quality using these techniques.

METHODS

Fifty-six patients with JSLE (mean age 18.5 ± 5.7 years) entered the study. In all subjects DXA scan at the lumbar spine, radius pQCT and phalangeal QUS were performed the same day. Of these, 46 patients (mean age 23.1 ± 6.2 years) were revaluated with a second DXA, pQCT and QUS. The data obtained were compared with 72 and 80 age- and sex- matched healthy controls.

RESULTS

At the first evaluation, JSLE patients had a reduced spine BMAD SDS (p < 0.001), and significantly lower levels of TrabBMD (p < 0.0001), SSIp (p < 0.05), AD-SoS and QUS z-score (p < 0.005) but not reduced muscle CSA and CBA values. CortBMD and FatCSA were significantly increased (p < 0.0001). These data were confirmed at longitudinal evaluation regarding spine BMAD SDS (p < 0.001), TrabBMD (p < 0.0001), FatCSA (p < 0.005), AD-SoS (p < 0.001), and QUS z-score (p < 0.005) but not muscle CSA (p ≤ 0.05) and CBA (p < 0.0001). SSIp and CortBMD longitudinal evaluation showed that JSLE patients did not present significant differences in comparison to controls.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with JSLE have a low bone mass without catch-up growth over time, causing a reduction of peak bone mass with high risk of osteoporosis in early adulthood. To reduce the risk, close monitoring of BMD, better control of disease activity, physical activity and dietary intake of calcium and vitamin D are advocated to ameliorate the loss of bone mass. In patients with proved osteoporosis therapeutic approaches including bisphosphonates should be considered.