Modulation of the Association of Hypobicarbonatemia and Incident Kidney Failure With Replacement Therapy by Venous pH: A Cohort Study

Seasonal variations in the association between proteinuria and kidney failure

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS

Proteinuria exhibits seasonal fluctuations, decreasing in summer and increasing in winter. It is unknown whether the association between proteinuria and the risk of kidney failure varies by season.

METHODS

The Osaka Consortium for Kidney Disease Research (OCKR) database contained retrospective data from 15 367 patients with estimated glomerular filtration rates of 10-60 mL/min/1.73 m2, who were referred to the Department of Nephrology at five clinical centers in Japan, between 2010 and 2021. Multivariate Cox models were used to examine the associations of urinary protein-to-creatinine ratio (UPCR) in summer (UPCRsummer) and winter (UPCRwinter), with kidney failure defined as initiation of kidney replacement therapy. LASSO was used to compare the strength of the association between UPCRsummer and UPCRwinter with respect to kidney failure. We also assessed whether seasonal fluctuations in UPCR were associated with kidney failure.

RESULTS

The median (interquartile range) UPCRwinter was 0.89 (0.22, 2.69) g/gCre, 46% higher than UPCRsummer [0.61 (0.16, 1.87) g/gCre]. During a median follow-up of 3.0 years, 1585 patients developed kidney failure. In time-dependent Cox models, UPCRwinter showed a higher hazard of kidney failure [1.66 per 1-standard deviation (SD) increase; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.60-1.73] than UPCRsummer (1.45 per 1-SD increase; 95% CI 1.41-1.48). LASSO identified that UPCRwinter was more strongly associated with kidney failure than UPCRsummer. Furthermore, higher percentage changes in UPCRwinter relative to UPCRsummer was associated with a higher hazard of kidney failure.

CONCLUSIONS

Proteinuria in winter exhibited stronger associations with kidney failure than that in summer. Seasonal fluctuations in UPCR should not be overlooked in the management of chronic kidney disease to make reasonable clinical decisions.

Discontinuing renin-angiotensin system inhibitors after incident hyperkalemia and clinical outcomes: target trial emulation

Although renin-angiotensin system inhibitors (RASi) are the mainstay in the management of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, chronic kidney disease, and other cardiovascular conditions, they are often discontinued due to hyperkalemia. The prognostic impact of discontinuing RASi after developing hyperkalemia remains uncertain. Using a target trial framework based on the cloning, censoring, and weighting method, we compared discontinuing RASi after incident hyperkalemia with continuing RASi. We identified 2305 patients with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of ≥10 ml/min/1.73 m2 who developed hyperkalemia (serum potassium levels ≥5.5 mEq/L) while on RASi in the Osaka Consortium for Kidney Disease Research (OCKR) database. The primary outcome was a composite of initiation of kidney replacement therapy, a ≥50% decline in eGFR, or reaching eGFR <5 ml/min/1.73 m2. Secondary outcomes included all-cause death and severe hyperkalemia (serum potassium levels ≥6.5 mEq/L). The mean (standard deviation) age and eGFR were 68 (14) years and 29 (17) mL/min/1.73 m², respectively. After developing hyperkalemia, 346 (15%) discontinued RASi. Discontinuing RASi was associated with a 16% [95% confidence interval 2-33%] higher hazard of mortality than continuing RASi while the composite kidney outcome did not differ between groups (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.01 [0.81-1.26]). Severe hyperkalemia occurred less frequently in those who discontinued RASi than those who continued RASi (adjusted HR 0.83 [0.69, 0.99]). RASi discontinuation after incident hyperkalemia was associated with higher mortality despite a lower risk of severe hyperkalemia. It was not related to kidney outcome. Appropriate clinical decision-making regarding RASi discontinuation may depend on the clinical context.

Estimated Effect of Restarting Renin-Angiotensin System Inhibitors after Discontinuation on Kidney Outcomes and Mortality

Key Points

Restarting renin-angiotensin system inhibitor after discontinuation was associated with a lower risk of kidney outcomes and mortality but not related to hyperkalemia. Our findings support a proactive approach to restarting renin-angiotensin system inhibitor among patients with CKD.

Background

While renin-angiotensin system inhibitors (RASi) have been the mainstream treatment for patients with CKD, they are often discontinued because of adverse effects such as hyperkalemia and AKI. It is unknown whether restarting RASi after discontinuation improves clinical outcomes.

Methods

Using the Osaka Consortium for Kidney disease Research database, we performed a target trial emulation study including 6065 patients with an eGFR of 10–60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 who were followed up by nephrologists and discontinued RASi between 2005 and 2021. With a clone-censor-weight approach, we compared a treatment strategy for restarting RASi within a year after discontinuation with that for not restarting RASi. Patients were followed up for 5 years at maximum after RASi discontinuation. The primary outcome was a composite kidney outcome (initiation of KRT, a ≥50% decline in eGFR, or kidney failure [eGFR <5 ml/min per 1.73 m2]). Secondary outcomes were all-cause death and incidence of hyperkalemia (serum potassium levels ≥5.5 mEq/L).

Results

Among those who discontinued RASi (mean [SD] age 66 [15] years, 62% male, mean [SD] eGFR 40 [26] ml/min per 1.73 m2), 2262 (37%) restarted RASi within a year. Restarting RASi was associated with a lower hazard of the composite kidney outcome (hazard ratio [HR], 0.85; 95% confidence intervals [CIs], 0.78 to 0.93]) and all-cause death (HR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.61 to 0.80) compared with not restarting RASi. The incidence of hyperkalemia did not differ significantly between the two strategies (HR, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.96 to 1.27).

Conclusions

Restarting RASi after discontinuation was associated with a lower risk of kidney outcomes and mortality but not related to the incidence of hyperkalemia.

Interstitial Eosinophilic Aggregates and Kidney Outcome in Patients with CKD

BACKGROUND

Interstitial eosinophilic aggregates are observed in various kidney diseases, but their clinical implications remain unknown. We assessed the association between interstitial eosinophilic aggregates and kidney outcomes and further analyzed the association between blood eosinophil count, as a surrogate for interstitial eosinophilic aggregates, and the risk of kidney failure in patients with advanced CKD.

METHODS

We analyzed datasets from two retrospective cohort studies: ( 1 ) the kidney biopsy cohort including 563 patients who underwent native kidney biopsy at Osaka University Hospital between 2009 and 2021 and ( 2 ) the retrospective CKD cohort including 2877 patients with an eGFR of 10-60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 referred to the nephrology outpatient center at Osaka University Hospital between 2005 and 2018. Interstitial eosinophilic aggregates were defined as ≥5 interstitial eosinophils in the high-power field on hematoxylin and eosin staining. This study outcome was initiation of KRT or ≥40% decline in eGFR.

RESULTS

In the kidney biopsy cohort, interstitial eosinophilic aggregates were found in 17% of patients, most frequently in those with diabetic nephropathy (50%). Interstitial eosinophilic aggregates were associated with a higher rate of the composite kidney outcome after adjustment for clinical and histological variables (hazard ratio, 3.61; 95% confidence interval, 2.47 to 5.29; P < 0.001). LASSO revealed that blood eosinophil count was the strongest predictor of interstitial eosinophilic aggregates. In the retrospective CKD cohort, higher baseline and time-updated blood eosinophil counts were significantly associated with a higher rate of KRT initiation in Cox proportional hazards models and marginal structural models.

CONCLUSIONS

Interstitial eosinophilic aggregates were associated with a higher risk of a composite of KRT initiation or ≥40% decline in eGFR.

PODCAST

This article contains a podcast at https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/www.asn-online.org/media/podcast/CJASN/2023_12_08_CJN0000000000000277.mp3.

Association of Longitudinal B-Type Natriuretic Peptide Monitoring With Kidney Failure in Patients With CKD: A Cohort Study

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Both hypervolemia and hypovolemia are associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression. Although longitudinal monitoring of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) may aid physicians' decision making about the optimization of volume status, its clinical benefit remains uncertain in CKD. This study assessed the association between BNP monitoring and the risk of incident kidney replacement therapy (KRT).

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

A total of 2,998 outpatients with stages 3-5 of nondialyzed CKD referred to the department of nephrology at an academic hospital.

EXPOSURE

BNP monitoring.

OUTCOME

KRT, acute kidney injury (AKI), and heart failure hospitalization.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Marginal structural models, which create a balanced pseudo population at each time point, were applied to account for potential time-dependent confounders. Inverse probability weighted pooled logistic regression models were employed to estimate hazard ratios.

RESULTS

At baseline, the median age and estimated glomerular filtration rate were 66 years and 38.1mL/min/1.73m2, respectively. During the follow-up period (median, 5.9 [IQR, 2.8-9.9] years), 449 patients required KRT, 765 had AKI, and 236 were hospitalized for heart failure. After adjustment for time-updated clinical characteristics and physician-specific practice styles, BNP monitoring was associated with lower risks of KRT (HR, 0.44 [95% CI, 0.21-0.92]), AKI (HR, 0.36 [95% CI, 0.18-0.72]), and heart failure hospitalization (HR, 0.37 [95% CI, 0.14-0.95]). The association between BNP monitoring and KRT was attenuated after additional adjustment for AKI or heart failure hospitalization as a time-varying covariate.

LIMITATIONS

Residual confounding by measured and unmeasured variables or indications for BNP measurements.

CONCLUSIONS

BNP monitoring was associated with a lower risk of KRT among patients with CKD that did not require dialysis. This association is potentially mediated through a reduced risk of AKI or heart failure hospitalization.

PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY

Both volume overload and volume depletion are deleterious to kidney function. B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is a biomarker that reflects volume status not only in heart failure but also in nondialysis chronic kidney disease (CKD). Although longitudinal BNP monitoring may aid physicians' decision making about the optimization of volume status, its clinical benefit remains uncertain in CKD. In this cohort study analyzing 2,998 patients with nondialyzed CKD, BNP monitoring was associated with a lower risk of kidney replacement therapy, acute kidney injury, and heart failure hospitalization over the follow-up period. The association with kidney replacement therapy may be mediated through a reduced risk of acute kidney injury or heart failure hospitalization. BNP monitoring may aid physicians in optimal fluid management, potentially conferring better kidney outcomes.

Hidden Acid Retention with Normal Serum Bicarbonate Level in Chronic Kidney Disease

Management of metabolic acidosis is crucial for preserving bone, muscle, and renal health, as evidenced by the results of several interventional studies conducted on patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Considering the continuity of CKD progression over time, it is reasonable to deduce that a subclinical form of metabolic acidosis may exist prior to the manifestation of overt metabolic acidosis. Covert H⁺ retention with normal serum bicarbonate level in patients with CKD may result in maladaptive responses that contribute to kidney function deterioration, even in the early stages of the disease. The loss of adaptive compensatory mechanisms of urinary acid excretion may be a key factor in this process. Early modulation of these responses could be an important therapeutic strategy in preventing CKD progression. However, to date, the optimal approach for alkali therapy in subclinical metabolic acidosis in CKD remains uncertain. There is a lack of established guidelines on when to initiate alkali therapy, potential side effects of alkali agents, and the optimal blood bicarbonate levels based on evidence-based practices. Therefore, further research is necessary to address these concerns and establish more robust guidelines for the use of alkali therapy in patients with CKD. Herein, we provide an overview of recent developments on this subject and examine the potential therapeutic approaches that interventional treatments may present for patients with hidden H⁺ retention, exhibiting normal serum bicarbonate levels - commonly described as subclinical or eubicarbonatemic metabolic acidosis in patients with CKD.

Plant-Dominant Low Protein Diet: A Potential Alternative Dietary Practice for Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease

Dietary protein restriction has long been a cornerstone of nutritional therapy for patients with chronic kidney diseases (CKD). However, the recommended amount of dietary protein intake is different across guidelines. This is partly because previous randomized controlled trials have reported conflicting results regarding the efficacy of protein restriction in terms of kidney outcomes. Interestingly, a vegetarian, very low protein diet has been shown to reduce the risk of kidney failure among patients with advanced CKD, without increasing the incidence of hyperkalemia. This finding suggests that the source of protein may also influence the kidney outcomes. Furthermore, a plant-dominant low-protein diet (PLADO) has recently been proposed as an alternative dietary therapy for patients with CKD. There are several potential mechanisms by which plant-based diets would benefit patients with CKD. For example, plant-based diets may reduce the production of gut-derived uremic toxins by increasing the intake of fiber, and are useful for correcting metabolic acidosis and hyperphosphatemia. Plant proteins are less likely to induce glomerular hyperfiltration than animal proteins. Furthermore, plant-based diets increase magnesium intake, which may prevent vascular calcification. More evidence is needed to establish the efficacy, safety, and feasibility of PLADO as a new adjunct therapy in real-world patients with CKD.

Kidney metabolism and acid-base control: back to the basics

Kidneys are central in the regulation of multiple physiological functions, such as removal of metabolic wastes and toxins, maintenance of electrolyte and fluid balance, and control of pH homeostasis. In addition, kidneys participate in systemic gluconeogenesis and in the production or activation of hormones. Acid-base conditions influence all these functions concomitantly. Healthy kidneys properly coordinate a series of physiological responses in the face of acute and chronic acid-base disorders. However, injured kidneys have a reduced capacity to adapt to such challenges. Chronic kidney disease patients are an example of individuals typically exposed to chronic and progressive metabolic acidosis. Their organisms undergo a series of alterations that brake large detrimental changes in the homeostasis of several parameters, but these alterations may also operate as further drivers of kidney damage. Acid-base disorders lead not only to changes in mechanisms involved in acid-base balance maintenance, but they also affect multiple other mechanisms tightly wired to it. In this review article, we explore the basic renal activities involved in the maintenance of acid-base balance and show how they are interconnected to cell energy metabolism and other important intracellular activities. These intertwined relationships have been investigated for more than a century, but a modern conceptual organization of these events is lacking. We propose that pH homeostasis indissociably interacts with central pathways that drive progression of chronic kidney disease, such as inflammation and metabolism, independent of etiology.

Acid-Mediated Kidney Injury Across the Spectrum of Metabolic Acidosis

Metabolic acidosis affects about 15% of patients with chronic kidney disease. As kidney function declines, the kidneys progressively fail to eliminate acid, primarily reflected by a decrease in ammonium and titratable acid excretion. Several studies have shown that the net acid load remains unchanged in patients with reduced kidney function; the ensuing acid accumulation can precede overt metabolic acidosis, and thus, indicators of urinary acid or potential base excretion, such as ammonium and citrate, may serve as early signals of impending metabolic acidosis. Acid retention, with or without overt metabolic acidosis, initiates compensatory responses that can promote tubulointerstitial fibrosis via intrarenal complement activation and upregulation of endothelin-1, angiotensin II, and aldosterone pathways. The net effect is a cycle between acid accumulation and kidney injury. Results from small- to medium-sized interventional trials suggest that interrupting this cycle through base administration can prevent further kidney injury. While these findings inform current clinical practice guidelines, large-scale clinical trials are still necessary to prove that base therapy can limit chronic kidney disease progression or associated adverse events.

Regulation of Acid-Base Balance in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease

Normallly the kidneys handle the daily acid load arising from net endogenous acid production from the metabolism of ingested animal protein (acid) and vegetables (base). With chronic kidney disease, reduced acid excretion by the kidneys is primarily due to reduced ammonium excretion such that when acid excertion falls below acid porduction, acid accumulation occurs. With even mild reductions in glomerular filtration rate (60 to 90 ml/min), net acid excretion may fall below net acid production resulting in acid retention which may be initially sequestered in interstitial compartments in the kidneys, bones, and muscles resulting in no fall in measured systemic bicarbonate levels (eubicarbonatemic metabolic acidosis). With greater reductions in kidney function, the greater quantities of acid retained spillover systemically resulting in low pH (overt metabolic acidosis). The evaluation of acid-base balance in patients with CKD is complicated by the heterogeneity of clinical acid-base disorders and by the eubicarbonatemic nature of the early phase of acid retention. If supported by more extensive studies, blood gas analyses to confirm the acid-base disorder and newer ways for assessing the presence of acidosis such as urinary citrate measurements may become routine tools to evaluate and treat acid-base disorders in individuals with CKD.

Effects of veverimer on serum bicarbonate and physical function in women with chronic kidney disease and metabolic acidosis: a subgroup analysis from a randomised, controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Globally, the prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) is higher in women than in men; however, women have been historically under-represented in nephrology clinical trials. Metabolic acidosis increases risk of progressive loss of kidney function, causes bone demineralization and muscle protein catabolism, and may be more consequential in women given their lower bone and muscle mass. Veverimer, an investigational, non-absorbed polymer that binds and removes gastrointestinal hydrochloric acid, is being developed as treatment for metabolic acidosis.

METHODS

This was a Phase 3, multicenter, randomised, blinded, placebo-controlled trial in 196 patients with CKD (eGFR: 20-40 mL/min/1.73 m2) and metabolic acidosis who were treated for up to 1 year with veverimer or placebo. We present the findings from a pre-specified subgroup analysis evaluating the effects of veverimer on metabolic acidosis and physical function among women (N = 77) enrolled in this trial.

RESULTS

At week 52, women treated with veverimer had a greater increase in mean (± standard error) serum bicarbonate than the placebo group (5.4 [0.5] vs. 2.2 [0.6] mmol/L; P < 0.0001). Physical Function reported by patients on the Kidney Disease and Quality of Life - Physical Function Domain, a measure that includes items related to walking, stair climbing, carrying groceries and other activities improved significantly in women randomized to veverimer vs placebo (+ 13.2 vs. -5.2, respectively, P < 0.0031). Objectively measured performance time on the repeated chair stand test also improved significantly in the veverimer group vs. placebo (P = 0.0002).

CONCLUSIONS

Veverimer was effective in treating metabolic acidosis in women with CKD, and significantly improved how they felt and functioned.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03390842 . Registered on January 4, 2018.

Diagnosing metabolic acidosis in chronic kidney disease: importance of blood pH and serum anion gap

Metabolic acidosis is one of the most common complications of chronic kidney disease (CKD). It is associated with the progression of CKD, and many other functional impairments. Until recently, only serum bicarbonate levels have been used to evaluate acid-base changes in patients with reduced kidney function. However, recent emerging evidence suggests that nephrologists should reevaluate the clinical approach for diagnosing metabolic acidosis in patients with CKD based on two perspectives; pH and anion gap. Biochemistry and physiology textbooks clearly indicate that blood pH is the most important acid-base parameter for cellular function. Therefore, it is important to determine if the prognostic impact of hypobicarbonatemia varies according to pH level. A recent cohort study of CKD patients showed that venous pH modified the association between a low bicarbonate level and the progression of CKD. Furthermore, acidosis with a high anion gap has recently been recognized as an important prognostic factor, because veverimer, a nonabsorbable hydrochloride-binding polymer, has been shown to improve kidney function and decrease the anion gap. Acidosis with high anion gap frequently develops in later stages of CKD. Therefore, the anion gap is a time-varying factor and renal function (estimated glomerular filtration rate) is a time-dependent confounder for the anion gap and renal outcomes. Recent analyses using marginal structural models showed that acidosis with a high anion gap was associated with a high risk of CKD. Based on these observations, reconsideration of the clinical approach to diagnosing and treating metabolic acidosis in CKD may be warranted.

Time-updated anion gap and cardiovascular events in advanced CKD: a cohort study

Background

Studies examining associations between metabolic acidosis and cardiovascular events in chronic kidney disease (CKD) have shown conflicting results and have not differentiated between normal anion gap (hyperchloremic) acidosis and high anion gap acidosis. We aimed to examine the impact of normal and high anion gap acidosis, separately, on the risk of cardiovascular events among patients with CKD.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study included 1168 patients with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 10–60 mL/min/1.73 m² and available data on anion gap. We analyzed the association of time-updated high anion gap (anion gap ≥9.2) with the rate of cardiovascular events using marginal structural models (MSMs) to account for time-dependent confounding. We also analyzed the association between time-updated normal anion gap acidosis (anion-gap-adjusted bicarbonate level ≤22.8 mEq/L) and cardiovascular events.

Results

The mean baseline eGFR of the cohort was 28 mL/min/1.73 m². The prevalence rates of high anion gap in CKD stages G3a, G3b, G4 and G5 were 20%, 16%, 27% and 46%, respectively. During a median follow-up period of 2.9 years, 132 patients developed cardiovascular events (3.3/100 patient-years). In MSMs, high anion gap was associated with a higher rate of cardiovascular events [hazard ratio (HR) 1.87; 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.13‒3.09; P = 0.02] and the composite of cardiovascular events or all-cause death (HR 3.28; 95% CI 2.19‒4.91; P < 0.001). Normal anion gap acidosis was not associated with cardiovascular events (HR 0.74; 95% CI, 0.47‒1.17; P = 0.2).

Conclusions

Among patients with advanced CKD, high anion gap was associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events.

Acidosis, cognitive dysfunction and motor impairments in patients with kidney disease

Metabolic acidosis, defined as a plasma or serum bicarbonate concentration <22 mmol/L, is a frequent consequence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and occurs in ~10–30% of patients with advanced stages of CKD. Likewise, in patients with a kidney transplant, prevalence rates of metabolic acidosis range from 20% to 50%. CKD has recently been associated with cognitive dysfunction, including mild cognitive impairment with memory and attention deficits, reduced executive functions and morphological damage detectable with imaging. Also, impaired motor functions and loss of muscle strength are often found in patients with advanced CKD, which in part may be attributed to altered central nervous system (CNS) functions. While the exact mechanisms of how CKD may cause cognitive dysfunction and reduced motor functions are still debated, recent data point towards the possibility that acidosis is one modifiable contributor to cognitive dysfunction. This review summarizes recent evidence for an association between acidosis and cognitive dysfunction in patients with CKD and discusses potential mechanisms by which acidosis may impact CNS functions. The review also identifies important open questions to be answered to improve prevention and therapy of cognitive dysfunction in the setting of metabolic acidosis in patients with CKD.

Eubicarbonatemic Hydrogen Ion Retention and CKD Progression

Small-scale trials in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) 3-5 have shown that hypobicarbonatemic metabolic acidosis promotes progression of CKD. Accordingly, the 2012 KDIGO (Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes) guideline suggests base administration to patients with CKD when serum bicarbonate concentration ([HCO₃ˉ]) is <22 mEq/L (~15% of non–dialysis-dependent patients with CKD). However, individuals with milder CKD largely maintain serum [HCO₃ˉ] within the normal range (eubicarbonatemia) and yet can manifest hydrogen ion (H⁺) retention. Limited data in eubicarbonatemic patients with CKD 2 suggest that base administration ameliorates CKD progression. Furthermore, most patients with moderate and advanced CKD maintain a normal serum [HCO₃ˉ], and of those, the vast majority most likely harbor masked H⁺ retention. The present review probes this expanded concept of metabolic acidosis of CKD: the eubicarbonatemic H⁺ retention or subclinical metabolic acidosis of CKD. It focuses on the high prevalence of the entity, its pathophysiologic features, its clinical course, and recent work on potential biomarkers of the condition. Further, it puts forward the urgent task of investigating definitively whether treatment with alkali of eubicarbonatemic H⁺ retention delays CKD progression. If proven true, such knowledge would trigger a paradigm shift in the indication for alkali therapy in CKD.

Association of Time-Updated Anion Gap With Risk of Kidney Failure in Advanced CKD: A Cohort Study

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVE

High anion gap acidosis frequently develops in patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) and might be involved in kidney injury. Its impact on kidney outcomes, however, has not been well studied. We sought to examine the association between time-updated anion gap and the risk of kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT) among patients with advanced CKD.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

1,168 patients with CKD stages G3b-G5 who had available data on anion gap.

EXPOSURE

High time-updated anion gap defined as values ≥9.2 (top 25th percentile).

OUTCOMES

KFRT and death.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Marginal structural models (MSM) were fit to characterize the association between anion gap and study outcomes while accounting for potential time-dependent confounding.

RESULTS

The mean baseline eGFR of the study participants was 28 mL/min/1.73m². Over a median follow-up of 3.1 years, 317 patients progressed to KFRT (7.5/100 patient-years) and 146 died (3.5/100 patient-years). In the MSM, a high anion gap was associated with a higher rate of KFRT (hazard ratio [HR], 3.04; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.94-4.75; P<0.001). This association was stronger in patients with baseline eGFR of <30 mL/min/1.73m² (P for interaction=0.05). High anion gap was also associated with a higher mortality rate (HR, 5.56; 95% CI, 2.95-10.5; P<0.001). Sensitivity analyses with different definitions of high anion gap showed similar results.

LIMITATIONS

Observational study design; selection bias due clinical indications for measuring anion gap.

CONCLUSION

Among patients with advanced CKD, high anion gap was associated with an increased risk of progression to KFRT and death.

Metabolic Acidosis in CKD: A Review of Recent Findings

Metabolic acidosis is fairly common in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). The prevalence of metabolic acidosis increases with worsening kidney function and is observed in ∼40% of those with stage 4 CKD. For the past 2 decades, clinical practice guidelines have suggested treatment of metabolic acidosis to counterbalance adverse effects of metabolic acidosis on bone and muscle. Studies in animal models of CKD also demonstrated that metabolic acidosis causes kidney fibrosis. During the past decade, results from observational studies identified associations between metabolic acidosis and adverse kidney outcomes, and results from interventional studies support the hypothesis that treating metabolic acidosis with sodium bicarbonate preserves kidney function. However, convincing data from large-scale, double-blinded, placebo-controlled, randomized trials have been lacking. This review discusses findings from recent interventional trials of alkali therapy in CKD and new findings linking metabolic acidosis with cardiovascular disease in adults and CKD progression in children. Finally, a novel agent that treats metabolic acidosis in patients with CKD by binding hydrochloric acid in the gastrointestinal tract is discussed.

Low serum total CO2 and its association with mortality in patients being followed up in the nephrology outpatients clinic

Large-scale studies have not been conducted to assess whether serum hypobicarbonatemia increases the risk for kidney function deterioration and mortality among East-Asians. We aimed to determine the association between serum total CO₂ (TCO₂) concentrations measured at the first outpatient visit and clinical outcomes. In this multicenter cohort study, a total of 42,231 adult nephrology outpatients from 2001 to 2016 were included. End-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients on dialysis within 3 months of the first visit were excluded. Instrumental variable (IV) was used to define regions based on the proportion of patients with serum TCO₂ < 22 mEq/L. The crude mortality rate was 12.2% during a median 77.0-month follow-up period. The Cox-proportional hazard regression model adjusted for initial kidney function, alkali supplementation, and the use of diuretics demonstrated that low TCO₂ concentration was not associated with progression to ESRD, but significantly increased the risk of death. The IV analysis also confirmed a significant association between initial TCO₂ concentration and mortality (HR 0.56; 95% CI 0.49–0.64). This result was consistently significant regardless of the underlying renal function. In conclusion, low TCO₂ levels are significantly associated with mortality but not with progression to ESRD in patients with ambulatory care.