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Hasegawa D, Yamakawa K, Nishida K, Okada N, Murao S, Nishida O. Comparative Analysis of Three Machine-Learning Techniques and Conventional Techniques for Predicting Sepsis-Induced Coagulopathy Progression. J Clin Med 2020; 9:jcm9072113. [PMID: 32635574 PMCID: PMC7408668 DOI: 10.3390/jcm9072113] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/18/2020] [Revised: 06/14/2020] [Accepted: 07/01/2020] [Indexed: 12/26/2022] Open
Abstract
Sepsis-induced coagulopathy has poor prognosis; however, there is no established tool for predicting it. We aimed to create predictive models for coagulopathy progression using machine-learning techniques to evaluate predictive accuracies of machine-learning and conventional techniques. A post-hoc subgroup analysis was conducted based on the Japan Septic Disseminated Intravascular Coagulation retrospective study. We used the International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) score to calculate the ΔDIC score as ((DIC score on Day 3) − (DIC score on Day 1)). The primary outcome was to determine whether the predictive accuracy of ΔDIC was more than 0. The secondary outcome was the actual predictive accuracy of ΔDIC (predicted ΔDIC−real ΔDIC). We used the machine-learning methods, such as random forests (RF), support vector machines (SVM), and neural networks (NN); their predictive accuracies were compared with those of conventional methods. In total, 1017 patients were included. Regarding DIC progression, predictive accuracy of the multiple linear regression, RF, SVM, and NN models was 63.7%, 67.0%, 64.4%, and 59.8%, respectively. The difference between predicted ΔDIC and real ΔDIC was 2.05, 1.54, 2.24, and 1.77 for the multiple linear regression, RF, SVM, and NN models, respectively. RF had the highest predictive accuracy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daisuke Hasegawa
- Department of Anesthesiology and Critical Care Medicine, Fujita Health University School of Medicine, 1-98, Dengakugakubo, kutsukakecho, Toyoake, Aichi 470-1192, Japan; (D.H.); (O.N.)
| | - Kazuma Yamakawa
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Osaka Medical College, 2-7 Daigakumachi, Takatsuki, Osaka 569-8686, Japan;
- Correspondence: ; Tel.: +81-72-683-1221; Fax: +81-72-684-6523
| | - Kazuki Nishida
- Department of Biostatistics Section, Center for Advanced Medicine and Clinical Research, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine, 65, Tsurumaicho, Showa, Nagoya, Aichi 466-8550, Japan;
| | - Naoki Okada
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Osaka Medical College, 2-7 Daigakumachi, Takatsuki, Osaka 569-8686, Japan;
| | - Shuhei Murao
- Department of Traumatology and Acute Critical Medicine, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine, 2-2 Yamadaoka, Suita-shi, Osaka 565-0871, Japan;
| | - Osamu Nishida
- Department of Anesthesiology and Critical Care Medicine, Fujita Health University School of Medicine, 1-98, Dengakugakubo, kutsukakecho, Toyoake, Aichi 470-1192, Japan; (D.H.); (O.N.)
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Hayakawa M, Yamakawa K, Kudo D, Ono K. Optimal Antithrombin Activity Threshold for Initiating Antithrombin Supplementation in Patients With Sepsis-Induced Disseminated Intravascular Coagulation: A Multicenter Retrospective Observational Study. Clin Appl Thromb Hemost 2018. [PMID: 29514467 PMCID: PMC6714723 DOI: 10.1177/1076029618757346] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Low-dose antithrombin supplementation therapy (1500 IU/d for 3 days) improves outcomes in patients with sepsis-induced disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC). This retrospective study evaluated the optimal antithrombin activity threshold to initiate supplementation, and the effects of supplementation therapy in 1033 patients with sepsis-induced DIC whose antithrombin activity levels were measured upon admission to 42 intensive care units across Japan. Of the 509 patients who had received antithrombin supplementation therapy, in-hospital mortality was significantly reduced only in patients with very low antithrombin activity (≤43%; bottom quartile; adjusted hazard ratio: 0.603; 95% confidence interval: 0.368-0.988; P = .045). Similar associations were not observed in patients with low, moderate, or normal antithrombin activity levels. Supplementation therapy did not correlate with the incidence of bleeding requiring transfusion. The adjusted hazard ratios for in-hospital mortality increased gradually with antithrombin activity only when initial activity levels were very low to normal but plateaued thereafter. We conclude that antithrombin supplementation therapy in patients with sepsis-induced DIC and very low antithrombin activity may improve survival without increasing the risk of bleeding.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mineji Hayakawa
- 1 Emergency and Critical Care Center, Hokkaido University Hospital, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Kazuma Yamakawa
- 2 Department of Emergency Medicine, Osaka General Medical Center, Osaka, Japan
| | - Daisuke Kudo
- 3 Division of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan
| | - Kota Ono
- 4 Clinical Research and Medical Innovation Center, Hokkaido University Hospital, Sapporo, Japan
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Hayakawa M, Ono K. A summary of the Japan septic disseminated intravascular coagulation study. Acute Med Surg 2018; 5:123-128. [PMID: 29657722 PMCID: PMC5891114 DOI: 10.1002/ams2.326] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/21/2017] [Accepted: 11/13/2017] [Indexed: 12/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Over the past few decades, the large, international, randomized controlled trials of anticoagulant therapies for patients with sepsis have not yielded any improvement in mortality rates. However, in Japan, anticoagulant therapies are administered for sepsis patients with disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC), but not for sepsis patients without DIC. Furthermore, epidemiological data regarding sepsis in Japan are scarce. Therefore, a nationwide multicenter retrospective observational study, the Japan Septic Disseminated Intravascular Coagulation (JSEPTIC DIC) study, was undertaken. The JSEPTIC DIC study enrolled 42 intensive care units and included 3,195 patients with sepsis. The results of the JSEPTIC DIC study indicated the following: (i) anticoagulant therapy may be effective in sepsis-induced DIC patients at high risk for death, (ii) recombinant human soluble thrombomodulin administration and antithrombin supplementation are associated with survival benefits in patients with sepsis-induced DIC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mineji Hayakawa
- Emergency and Critical Care Center Hokkaido University Hospital Sapporo Japan
| | - Kota Ono
- Clinical Research and Medical Innovation Center Hokkaido University Hospital Sapporo Japan
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Iba T, Di Nisio M, Thachil J, Wada H, Asakura H, Sato K, Kitamura N, Saitoh D. Revision of the Japanese Association for Acute Medicine (JAAM) disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) diagnostic criteria using antithrombin activity. CRITICAL CARE : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE CRITICAL CARE FORUM 2016; 20:287. [PMID: 27629997 PMCID: PMC5024432 DOI: 10.1186/s13054-016-1468-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 41] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/23/2016] [Accepted: 08/26/2016] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
Background With advances in the treatment of sepsis, the systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) has been losing its prognostic power. Since the SIRS category is no longer used for the diagnosis of sepsis, the disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) diagnostic criteria released by Japanese Association for Acute Medicine (JAAM) should be modified. Thus, the purpose of this study was to examine the appropriateness of replacing the SIRS score with antithrombin activity in JAAM-DIC diagnostic criteria. Methods We analyzed data from 819 septic patients who had received recombinant thrombomodulin. The relationships between the 28-day mortality rate and baseline laboratory and clinical parameters were examined using univariate and multivariate analyses, and the impact of replacing the SIRS criteria with antithrombin activity was evaluated. Results The SIRS score, prothrombin time ratio, and antithrombin activity were associated with the 28-day mortality rate (P values = 0.013, 0.018, and 0.003, respectively, by multivariate analysis). A modified version of the JAAM-DIC diagnostic criteria using an antithrombin activity <70 % was capable of diagnosing the identical number (n = 706) and a similar severity of patients (mortality, 34.6 % versus 34.8 %). Conclusion Since anticoagulant therapy is expected to be more effective in patients with more severe coagulation disorders, the modified version of the JAAM-DIC diagnostic criteria might be useful for discriminating patients with sepsis who are good candidates for anticoagulant therapy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Toshiaki Iba
- Department of Emergency and Disaster Medicine, Juntendo University Graduate School of Medicine, 2-1-1 Hongo Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8421, Japan.
| | - Marcello Di Nisio
- Department of Medical, Oral and Biotechnological Sciences, University G D'Annunzio of Chieti-Pescara, Chieti, Italy
| | - Jecko Thachil
- Department of Haematology, Manchester Royal Infirmary, Oxford Road, Manchester, UK
| | - Hideo Wada
- Department of Molecular Laboratory Medicine, Mie University Graduate School of Medicine, 2-174, Tsu, Mie, Japan
| | - Hidesaku Asakura
- Third Department of Internal Medicine, Kanazawa University, Graduate School of Medical Science, 13-1, Kanazawa, Japan
| | - Koichi Sato
- Department of Surgery, Juntendo Shizuoka Hospital, Juntendo University Graduate School of Medicine, 1129, Izunokuni-shi, Shizuoka, Japan
| | - Naoya Kitamura
- Recomodulin Strategy Planning Department, Pharmaceuticals Sales Division, Asahi Kasei Pharma Corporation, 1-105, Kanda, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Daizoh Saitoh
- Division of Traumatology, Research Institute, National Defense Medical College, Tokorozawa, Saitama, Japan
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Iba T, Ito T, Maruyama I, Jilma B, Brenner T, Müller MCA, Juffermans NP, Thachil J. Potential diagnostic markers for disseminated intravascular coagulation of sepsis. Blood Rev 2015; 30:149-55. [PMID: 26574054 DOI: 10.1016/j.blre.2015.10.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/13/2015] [Revised: 10/23/2015] [Accepted: 10/30/2015] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
Abstract
Disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) is an acquired thrombo-haemorrhagic disorder which arises in clinical scenarios like sepsis, trauma and malignancies. The clinic-laboratory diagnosis of DIC is made in a patient who develops the combination of laboratory abnormalities in the appropriate clinical scenario. The most common laboratory parameters in this setting have been the clotting profile, platelet count, serum fibrinogen and fibrin degradation markers. These tests had the advantage that they could be performed easily and in most laboratories. However, with the better understanding of the pathophysiology of DIC, in recent years, more specific tests have been suggested to be useful in this setting. The newer tests can also prove to be useful in prognostication in DIC. In addition, they may provide assistance in the selection and monitoring of patients diagnosed with DIC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Toshiaki Iba
- Department of Emergency and Disaster Medicine, Juntendo University Graduate School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Takashi Ito
- Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Kagoshima, University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Kagoshima, Japan; Department of Systems Biology in Thromboregulation, Kagoshima, University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Kagoshima, Japan
| | - Ikuro Maruyama
- Department of Systems Biology in Thromboregulation, Kagoshima, University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Kagoshima, Japan
| | - Bernd Jilma
- Department of Clinical Pharmacology, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Thorsten Brenner
- Department of Anaesthesiology, University of Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Marcella C A Müller
- Department of Intensive Care, Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Nicole P Juffermans
- Department of Intensive Care, Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Jecko Thachil
- Department of Haematology, Manchester Royal Infirmary, Manchester, United Kingdom.
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Iba T, Saitoh D. Efficacy of antithrombin in preclinical and clinical applications for sepsis-associated disseminated intravascular coagulation. J Intensive Care 2014; 2:66. [PMID: 25705422 PMCID: PMC4336274 DOI: 10.1186/s40560-014-0051-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/25/2014] [Accepted: 08/18/2014] [Indexed: 01/19/2023] Open
Abstract
Antithrombin (AT) is known as an important physiological anticoagulant. AT inactivates thrombin and multiple other coagulation factors, thereby strongly inhibiting the over-activation of the coagulation system during disseminated vascular coagulation (DIC). AT also suppresses the pro-inflammatory reactions that are promoted through protease-activated receptor-1 during sepsis. One of the unique characteristics of AT is the conformational change it undergoes when binding to heparin-like molecules. The anticoagulant function is greatly accelerated after AT binds to externally administered heparin in the circulating blood. Meanwhile, AT also binds to syndecan-4 on the cell surface under physiological conditions, thereby contributing to local antithrombogenicity. The binding of AT and syndecan-4 upregulates prostaglandin I2 production, downregulates pro-inflammatory cytokine production, and suppresses the leukocyte-endothelial interaction. Other than these activities, recent preclinical studies have reported that AT might inhibit neutrophil necrotic cell death and the ejection of neutrophil extracellular traps. Together, these effects may lead to the attenuation of inflammation by decreasing the level of damage-associated molecular patterns. Although a number of animal studies have demonstrated a survival benefit of AT, the clinical benefit has long been argued since the effect of high-dose AT was denied in 2001 in a large-scale randomized controlled trial targeting patients with severe sepsis. However, recent clinical studies examining the effects of a supplemental dose of AT in patients with sepsis-associated DIC have revealed that AT is potentially effective for DIC resolution and survival improvement without increasing the risk of bleeding. Since DIC is still a major threat during sepsis, the optimal method of identifying this promising drug needs to be identified.
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Affiliation(s)
- Toshiaki Iba
- Department of Emergency and Disaster Medicine, Juntendo University, 2-1-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-8421 Japan
| | - Daizoh Saitoh
- Division of Traumatology, Research Institute, National Defense Medical College, Tokorozawa, Japan
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Predicting the severity of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS)-associated coagulopathy with hemostatic molecular markers and vascular endothelial injury markers. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2008; 63:1093-8. [PMID: 17993956 DOI: 10.1097/01.ta.0000251420.41427.d3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 39] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/31/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The changes in biomarkers of coagulation or fibrinolysis, anticoagulation, inflammation, and endothelial damage occur in patients with systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS). The purpose of this study is to assess the prognostic value of these markers in patients with SIRS-associated hypercoagulopathy. METHODS Sixty-six SIRS patients with a platelet count less than 15.0 x 10(4)/mm3 in three university hospital intensive care units were enrolled in this prospective, comparative study. Blood samples were obtained on day 0 and day 2. Twelve hemostatic, inflammatory, and vascular endothelial indices were measured and the data were compared between the severe group (patients with a total maximum Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score of 10 or more and nonsurvivors; n = 25) and the less-severe group (Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score <10; n = 41). RESULTS Significant changes between the groups were observed in platelet count, fibrin or fibrinogen degradation products, interleukin-6, soluble thrombomodulin, antithrombin (AT) activity, and protein C activity, both on day 0 and on day 2. In contrast, the d-dimer, soluble fibrin, plasmin-[alpha]2-antiplasmin complex, and E-selectin levels were higher in the severe group only on day 2. No significant difference was seen regarding the thrombin-AT complex and total plasminogen activator inhibitor on both days. A comparison of the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve revealed the AT activity to be the best predictor of a progression of organ dysfunction. CONCLUSION The changes in some hemostatic molecular markers and vascular endothelial markers were conspicuous in patients with organ dysfunction. The AT activity is considered to be the most useful predictor of organ dysfunction.
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Ungerstedt JS, Antovic J, Blombäck M, Bremme K, Johnsson H. Antithrombin antigen and activity in patients with acquired antithrombin deficiency-is there a difference? J Thromb Haemost 2004; 2:838-9. [PMID: 15099294 DOI: 10.1111/j.1538-7836.2004.00700.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
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Reinhart K, Bayer O, Brunkhorst F, Meisner M. Markers of endothelial damage in organ dysfunction and sepsis. Crit Care Med 2002; 30:S302-12. [PMID: 12004252 DOI: 10.1097/00003246-200205001-00021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 197] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To review the literature on direct and indirect markers of endothelial activation and damage in patients with sepsis and systemic inflammation and to assess their clinical usefulness for diagnosis and outcome. Various markers derived from or activated by endothelial cells are described, such as adhesion molecules, thrombomodulin, von Willebrand factor, parameters of the coagulation system, and interleukin-6. Furthermore, the association of these markers with the severity of sepsis, systemic inflammation, and outcome is evaluated. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS Published research and review articles related to these parameters, with special emphasis on clinical studies. CONCLUSIONS Endothelial activation and damage occur early during sepsis and play a major role in the pathophysiology of systemic inflammation. Various markers of endothelial activation are increased during sepsis and systemic inflammation, and in most studies, the level of markers such as soluble intercellular adhesion molecule, vascular cell adhesion molecule, and E selectin correlate well with the severity of inflammation and the course of the disease. However, to date, it remains unclear whether adhesion molecules and coagulation parameters are superior in this respect to interleukin-6 and procalcitonin, as direct comparisons are lacking. In addition, it is evident that markers of endothelial activation and coagulation parameters lack specificity for infection-induced endothelial damage and organ dysfunction.
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Affiliation(s)
- Konrad Reinhart
- Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Friedrich Schiller University, Jena, Germany
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Affiliation(s)
- G Moiny
- Laboratoire de Biochimie et de Radiobiologie, Université de Liège, (Sart-Tilman), Belgium
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