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Sotoudeh-Anvari M, Sotoudeh-Anvari A. Setback in ranking fuzzy numbers: a study in fuzzy risk analysis in diabetes prediction. Artif Intell Rev 2022. [DOI: 10.1007/s10462-022-10282-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
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Abstract
A valid and efficient screening for individual diabetes risk is a highly welcomed tool in primary care and specialist medical practice. It is needed to detect early stages of diabetes risk and prediabetes and to start interventions that have the aim to prevent diabetes and also other chronic diseases from developing. The oral glucose tolerance test is the gold standard, but it is difficult to perform in an evidence-based manner in primary care. Furthermore, measuring fasting and 2-h postprandial glucose values detects only late stages of the pathophysiological development of type 2 diabetes. Interestingly, the 1-h glucose value is highly predictive of future diabetes risk, but is rarely used in primary care. Therefore, risk scores are commonly used to evaluate diabetes risk, but unfortunately, they generally do not mirror the relevance of increased risk due to the person's own lifestyle. Measuring waist circumference is another possibility, because the waist is directly associated with the amount of visceral fat, which again directly correlates with the pathophysiology of diabetes development. A further possibility is the EZSCAN™ technology. The EZSCAN™ is based on reverse iontophoresis, a new technology to detect very early forms of peripheral neuropathies, which are commonly associated with early diabetes risk stages. It is important to perform diabetes screening in a targeted manner, in both medical and paramedical environments, and it is mandatory to add targeted interventions, based on the screening evaluated diabetes risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- P E H Schwarz
- Abteilung für Prävention und Versorgung des Diabetes, Universitätsklinikum Carl Gustav Carus Dresden, Technische Universität Dresden, Fetscherstr. 74, 01307, Dresden, Deutschland.
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Design of stepwise screening for prediabetes and type 2 diabetes based on costs and cases detected. J Clin Epidemiol 2015; 68:1010-8. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2015.05.019] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/30/2014] [Revised: 05/15/2015] [Accepted: 05/19/2015] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
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Brown N, Critchley J, Bogowicz P, Mayige M, Unwin N. Risk scores based on self-reported or available clinical data to detect undiagnosed type 2 diabetes: a systematic review. Diabetes Res Clin Pract 2012; 98:369-85. [PMID: 23010559 DOI: 10.1016/j.diabres.2012.09.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 56] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/05/2012] [Revised: 06/19/2012] [Accepted: 09/04/2012] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To systematically review published primary research on the development or validation of risk scores that require only self-reported or available clinical data to identify undiagnosed Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM). METHODS A systematic literature search of Medline and EMBASE was conducted until January 2011. Studies focusing on the development or validation of risk scores to identify undiagnosed T2DM were included. Risk scores to predict future risk of T2DM were excluded. RESULTS Thirty-one studies were included; 17 developed a new risk score, 14 validated existing scores. Twenty-six studies were conducted in high-income countries. Age and measures of body mass/fat distribution were the most commonly used predictor variables. Studies developing new scores performed better than validation studies, with 11 reporting an AUC of >0.80 compared to one validation study. Fourteen validation studies reported sensitivities of <80%. The performance of scores did not differ by the number of variables included or the country setting. CONCLUSIONS There is a proliferation of newly developed risk scores using similar variables, which sometimes perform poorly upon external validation. Future research should explore the recalibration, validation and applicability of existing scores to other settings, particularly in low/middle income countries, and on the utility of scores to improve diabetes-related outcomes.
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Schwarz PE, Greaves CJ, Lindström J, Yates T, Davies MJ. Nonpharmacological interventions for the prevention of type 2 diabetes mellitus. Nat Rev Endocrinol 2012; 8:363-73. [PMID: 22249519 DOI: 10.1038/nrendo.2011.232] [Citation(s) in RCA: 94] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
During the past decade, improved understanding of the pathophysiological mechanisms of diabetes development has resulted in advances in therapeutic concepts, but has also supported the potential for diabetes prevention through nonpharmacological means. At the beginning of the century, we experienced a shift in paradigm, as landmark studies have shown that diabetes mellitus is preventable with lifestyle intervention; moderate changes in diet and physical activity produce a substantial and sustained reduction in the incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) for individuals with impaired glucose tolerance. This evidence must now be translated into clinical and public-health practice, but translational studies have varied in their ability to replicate the results of clinical trials. This variation reflects a number of challenging barriers for diabetes prevention in real-world clinical practice, which makes it necessary to focus on identifying efficient intervention methods and delivery mechanisms. Research is now focusing on these mechanisms, as well as on developing efficient screening and risk-identification strategies and realistic scenarios for public-health policy to implement diabetes prevention programs. In this Review, we will discuss these mechanisms and will consider the implications of diabetes prevention for public-health strategy and policy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peter E Schwarz
- Department for Prevention and Care of Diabetes, Medical Clinic III, University Clinic Carl Gustav Carus at the Technical University Dresden, Fetscherstrasse 74, D-01307 Dresden, Germany.
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Mai R, Hoffmann S, Helmert JR, Velichkovsky BM, Zahn S, Jaros D, EH Schwarz P, Rohm H. Implicit food associations as obstacles to healthy nutrition: the need for further research. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2011. [DOI: 10.1177/1474651411410725] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
Healthy nutrition is the driving force behind measures to address the obesity and diabetes epidemic. Therefore, the relevance of healthy nutrition to public health is steadily increasing. Although many consumers have positive attitudes towards healthy nutrition, their eating habits do not always match these attitudes. This paper suggests that individuals can overcome the discrepancy between attitude/intention and behaviour if they consider implicit associations with healthy or unhealthy nutrition. Our paper aims to develop a research strategy to analyse the impact of the interplay between explicit and implicit food associations on food consumption. The suggested process comprises the following steps: consumer segmentation, isolated analysis of different implicit drivers, holistic examination of interaction effects of different drivers and development of implications for policy makers and managers.
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Affiliation(s)
- Robert Mai
- Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Marketing, Technische Universität Dresden, 01062 Dresden, Germany
| | - Stefan Hoffmann
- Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Marketing, Technische Universität Dresden, 01062 Dresden, Germany
| | - Jens R Helmert
- Department of Engineering Psychology and Cognitive Ergonomics, Institute of Psychology III, Technische Universität Dresden, 01062 Dresden, Germany
| | - Boris M Velichkovsky
- Department of Engineering Psychology and Cognitive Ergonomics, Institute of Psychology III, Technische Universität Dresden, 01062 Dresden, Germany
| | - Susann Zahn
- Department of Food Engineering, Institute of Food Technology and Bioprocess Engineering, Technische Universität Dresden, 01062 Dresden, Germany
| | - Doris Jaros
- Department of Food Engineering, Institute of Food Technology and Bioprocess Engineering, Technische Universität Dresden, 01062 Dresden, Germany
| | - Peter EH Schwarz
- Department of Prevention and Care of Diabetes mellitus, Medicine III, Technische Universität Dresden, 01307 Dresden, Germany
| | - Harald Rohm
- Department of Food Engineering, Institute of Food Technology and Bioprocess Engineering, Technische Universität Dresden, 01062 Dresden, Germany
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Schwarz PEH, Li J, Reimann M, Schutte AE, Bergmann A, Hanefeld M, Bornstein SR, Schulze J, Tuomilehto J, Lindström J. The Finnish Diabetes Risk Score is associated with insulin resistance and progression towards type 2 diabetes. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2009; 94:920-6. [PMID: 19106274 DOI: 10.1210/jc.2007-2427] [Citation(s) in RCA: 76] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/19/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The Finnish Diabetes Risk Score (FINDRISC) questionnaire is a practical screening tool to estimate the diabetes risk and the probability of asymptomatic type 2 diabetes. In this study we evaluated the usefulness of the FINDRISC to predict insulin resistance in a population at increased diabetes risk. DESIGN Data of 771 and 526 participants in a cross-sectional survey (1996) and a cohort study (1997-2000), respectively, were used for the analysis. Data on the FINDRISC and oral glucose tolerance test parameters were available from each participant. The predictive value of the FINDRISC was cross-sectionally evaluated using the area under the curve-receiver operating characteristics method and by correlation analyses. A validation of the cross-sectional results was performed on the prospective data from the cohort study. RESULTS The FINDRISC was significantly correlated with markers of insulin resistance. The receiver operating characteristics-area under the curve for the prediction of a homeostasis model assessment insulin resistance index of more than five was 0.78 in the cross-sectional survey and 0.74 at baseline of the cohort study. Moreover, the FINDRISC at baseline was significantly associated with disease evolution (P < 0.01), which was defined as the change of glucose tolerance during the 3 yr follow-up. CONCLUSIONS The results indicate that the FINDRISC can be applied to detect insulin resistance in a population at high risk for type 2 diabetes and predict future impairment of glucose tolerance.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peter E H Schwarz
- Medical Faculty Carl-Gustav-Carus of Technical University Dresden, Medical Clinic III, Building 10, Room 108, Fetscherstrasse 74, 01309 Dresden, Germany.
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An update on preventive and regenerative therapies in diabetes mellitus. Pharmacol Ther 2008; 121:317-31. [PMID: 19168093 DOI: 10.1016/j.pharmthera.2008.11.009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 33] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/25/2008] [Accepted: 11/26/2008] [Indexed: 01/09/2023]
Abstract
Type 1A (immune-mediated) and type 2 diabetes mellitus are two of the most common severe chronic illnesses, affecting over 230 million people worldwide with an estimated global prevalence of 5.1%. Although type 1 and type 2 diabetes differ greatly in modes of pathogenesis, these illnesses share a common pathology and consequences characterized by loss of functional beta-cell mass and subsequent dysregulation of carbohydrate and lipid metabolism. Since therapy for diabetes and the associated complications poses enormous public health and economic burdens, novel preventive and regenerative therapies have emerged in the past decade with the aim to preserve beta-cell mass and delay the onset of diabetes. The goal of this review is to provide a comprehensive overview of current efforts in the fight against diabetes, and attempts to document all strategies that have emerged in clinical studies within the past 25 years. First, strategies to identify individuals at risk, ranging from whole-genome scans to autoantibody screening, will be discussed. Second, novel approaches to prevent or delay the onset of disease will be covered. Particular focus is given on emerging strategies for individuals at risk for type 1 diabetes that target T-cell regulation and induction of tolerance, while new pharmaceutical concepts in combination with lifestyle interventions are discussed within the scope of type 2 diabetes prevention. Lastly, important efforts to halt disease progression with emphasis on beta-cell regeneration are presented.
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Rothe U, Müller G, Schwarz PEH, Seifert M, Kunath H, Koch R, Bergmann S, Julius U, Bornstein SR, Hanefeld M, Schulze J. Evaluation of a diabetes management system based on practice guidelines, integrated care, and continuous quality management in a Federal State of Germany: a population-based approach to health care research. Diabetes Care 2008; 31:863-8. [PMID: 18332161 DOI: 10.2337/dc07-0858] [Citation(s) in RCA: 75] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/03/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The aim of this study was to evaluate the Saxon Diabetes Management Program (SDMP), which is based on integrated practice guidelines, shared care, and integrated quality management. The SDMP was implemented into diabetes contracts between health insurance providers, general practitioners (GPs), and diabetes specialized practitioners (DSPs) unified in the Saxon association of Statutory Health Insurance Physicians. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS The evaluation of the SDMP in Germany represents a real-world study by using clinical data collected from participating physicians. Between 2000 and 2002 all DSPs and about 75% of the GPs in Saxony participated. Finally, 291,771 patients were included in the SDMP. Cross-sectional data were evaluated at the beginning of 2000 (group A1) and at the end of 2002 (group A2). A subcohort of 105,204 patients was followed over a period of 3 years (group B). RESULTS The statewide implementation of the SDMP resulted in a change in therapeutic practice and in better cooperation. The median A1C at the time of referral to DSPs decreased from 8.5 to 7.5%, and so did the overall mean. At the end, 78 and 61% of group B achieved the targets for A1C and blood pressure, respectively, recommended by the guidelines compared with 69 and 50% at baseline. Patients with poorly controlled diabetes benefited the most. Preexisting regional differences were aligned. CONCLUSIONS Integrated care disease management with practicable integrated quality management including collaboration between GPs and specialist services is a significant innovation in chronic care management and an efficient way to improve diabetes care continuously.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ulrike Rothe
- Institute for Medical Informatics and Biometrics, Medical Faculty Carl Gustav Carus, Technical University of Dresden, Dresden, Germany.
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Schwarz PEH, Gruhl U, Bornstein SR, Landgraf R, Hall M, Tuomilehto J. The European perspective on diabetes prevention: development and Implementation of A European Guideline and training standards for diabetes prevention (IMAGE). Diab Vasc Dis Res 2007; 4:353-7. [PMID: 18158707 DOI: 10.3132/dvdr.2007.064] [Citation(s) in RCA: 36] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/06/2022] Open
Abstract
The prevalence of type 2 diabetes has increased dramatically in Europe, particularly in younger people. Nevertheless, jointly developed prevention strategies are still lacking. The development and Implementation of A European Guideline and training standards for diabetes prevention (IMAGE) project was initiated by the Technical University Dresden in response to this major public health concern of the European Union. Within the IMAGE project, four specific objectives will be developed and implemented into clinical practice: a) joint European guidelines; b) a European training curriculum for prevention managers; c) European standards for quality control of diabetes prevention programmes; and d) a European e-health training portal for prevention managers. This three-year-project began in June 2007. At the time of writing, 32 institutions from 16 countries have become involved. The development of competent guidelines and education programmes, as well as the establishment of quality standards for the primary prevention of type 2 diabetes, should significantly enhance the ability of healthcare professionals to respond swiftly to its drastic increase and its burden to society.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peter E H Schwarz
- Department of Internal Medicine III, Clinic for Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism, Technical University Dresden, Medical Faculty Carl Gustav Carus, Fetscherstrasse 74, 01307 Dresden, Germany.
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