Continuous ordinal patterns: Creating a bridge between ordinal analysis and deep learning

Quantifying Deviations from Gaussianity with Application to Flight Delay Distributions

We propose a novel approach for quantifying deviations from Gaussianity by leveraging the Jensen-Shannon distance. Using stable distributions as a flexible framework, we analyze the effects of skewness and heavy tails in synthetic sequences. We employ phase-randomized surrogates as Gaussian references to systematically evaluate the statistical distance between this reference and stable distributions. Our methodology is validated using real flight delay datasets from major airports in Europe and the United States, revealing significant deviations from Gaussianity, particularly at high-traffic airports. These results highlight systematic air traffic management strategy differences between the two geographic regions.

Evaluating Methods for Detrending Time Series Using Ordinal Patterns, with an Application to Air Transport Delays

Functional networks have become a standard tool for the analysis of complex systems, allowing the unveiling of their internal connectivity structure while only requiring the observation of the system's constituent dynamics. To obtain reliable results, one (often overlooked) prerequisite involves the stationarity of an analyzed time series, without which spurious functional connections may emerge. Here, we show how ordinal patterns and metrics derived from them can be used to assess the effectiveness of detrending methods. We apply this approach to data representing the evolution of delays in major European and US airports, and to synthetic versions of the same, obtaining operational conclusions about how these propagate in the two systems.

Algorithmic Approaches for Assessing Multiscale Irreversibility in Time Series: Review and Comparison

Many physical and biological phenomena are characterized by time asymmetry, and are referred to as irreversible. Time-reversal symmetry breaking is in fact the hallmark of systems operating away from equilibrium and reflects the power dissipated by driving the system away from it. Time asymmetry may manifest in a wide range of time scales; quantifying irreversibility in such systems thus requires methods capable of detecting time asymmetry in a multiscale fashion. In this contribution we review the main algorithmic solutions that have been proposed to detect time irreversibility, and evaluate their performance and limitations when used in a multiscale context using several well-known synthetic dynamical systems. While a few of them have a general applicability, most tests yield conflicting results on the same data, stressing that a "one size fits all" solution is still to be achieved. We conclude presenting some guidelines for the interested practitioner, as well as general considerations on the meaning of multiscale time irreversibility.

Deep Learning Unravels Differences Between Kinematic and Kinetic Gait Cycle Time Series from Two Control Samples of Healthy Children Assessed in Two Different Gait Laboratories

We investigate the application of deep learning in comparing gait cycle time series from two groups of healthy children, each assessed in different gait laboratories. Both laboratories used similar gait analysis protocols with minimal differences in data collection. Utilizing a ResNet-based deep learning model, we successfully identified the source laboratory of each dataset, achieving a high classification accuracy across multiple gait parameters. To address the inter-laboratory differences, we explored various pre-processing methods and time series properties that may have been detected by the algorithm. We found that the standardization of the time series values was a successful approach to decrease the ability of the model to distinguish between the two centers. Our findings also reveal that differences in the power spectra and autocorrelation structures of the datasets play a significant role in the model performance. Our study emphasizes the importance of standardized protocols and robust data pre-processing to enhance the transferability of machine learning models across clinical settings, particularly for deep learning approaches.

Mesoscale eddy in situ observation and characterization via underwater glider and complex network theory

Mesoscale eddies have attracted increased attention due to their central role in ocean energy and mass transport. The observations of their three-dimensional structure will facilitate the understanding of nonlinear eddy dynamics. In this paper, we propose a novel framework, the mesoscale eddy characterization from ordinal modalities recurrence networks method (MeC-OMRN), that utilizes a Petrel-II underwater glider for in situ observations and vertical structure characterization of a moving mesoscale eddy in the northern South China Sea. First, higher resolution continuous observation profile data collected throughout the traversal by the underwater glider are acquired and preprocessed. Subsequently, we analyze and compute these nonlinear data. To further amplify the hidden structural features of the mesoscale eddy, we construct ordinal modalities sequences rich in spatiotemporal characteristics based on the measured vertical density of the mesoscale eddy. Based on this, we employ ordinal modalities recurrence plots (OMRPs) to depict the vertical structure inside and outside the eddy, revealing significant differences in the OMRPs and the unevenness of density stratification within the eddy. To validate our intriguing findings from the perspective of complex network theory, we build the multivariate weighted ordinal modalities recurrence networks, through which network measures exhibit a more random distribution of vertical density stratification within the eddy, possibly due to more intense vertical convection and oscillations within the eddy's seawater micelles. These framework and intriguing findings are anticipated to be applied to more data-driven in situ observation tasks of oceanic phenomena.

How representative are air transport functional complex networks? A quantitative validation

Functional networks have emerged as powerful instruments to characterize the propagation of information in complex systems, with applications ranging from neuroscience to climate and air transport. In spite of their success, reliable methods for validating the resulting structures are still missing, forcing the community to resort to expert knowledge or simplified models of the system's dynamics. We here propose the use of a real-world problem, involving the reconstruction of the structure of flights in the US air transport system from the activity of individual airports, as a way to explore the limits of such an approach. While the true connectivity is known and is, therefore, possible to provide a quantitative benchmark, this problem presents challenges commonly found in other fields, including the presence of non-stationarities and observational noise, and the limitedness of available time series. We explore the impact of elements like the specific functional metric employed, the way of detrending the time series, or the size of the reconstructed system and discuss how the conclusions here drawn could have implications for similar analyses in neuroscience.