Forecasting emergent risks in advanced AI systems: an analysis of a future road transport management system

Tomorrow's demons: a scoping review of the risks associated with emerging technologies

Society faces a growing set of risks from advanced emerging technologies. While there has been discussion on some of these risks, a comprehensive overview does not exist, and it is not clear what methods are suited to identify future risks. This scoping review aimed to synthesise current knowledge regarding the risks associated with emerging technologies. The findings show that a diverse set of technologies and risks have been considered, with ten risk themes identified: risks to human health and wellbeing, sub-standard technology risks, legal and ethical risks, privacy and security risks, socioeconomic impacts, ecological and environmental risks, malicious use risks, geopolitical risks, technological unemployment risks, and existential threats. It is concluded that there is a need to expand the focus of prospective risk assessments to consider the organisational, sociotechnical and societal systems in which emerging technologies will be deployed. The development of a future technology risks classification scheme is also recommended.

PRACTITIONER STATEMENT

This scoping review provides practitioners with a comprehensive overview of the risks associated with future advanced technologies. This will support the proactive development of suitable controls, with the findings also signposting ergonomics methods that can be used to support future risk assessments.

Artificial intelligence applications in the football codes: A systematic review

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is increasingly being adopted across many domains such as transport, healthcare, defence and sport, with football codes no exception. Though there is a range of potential benefits of AI, concern has also been expressed regarding potential risks. An important first step in ensuring that AI applications in football are usable, beneficial, safe and ethical is to understand the current range of applications, the AI models adopted and their proposed functions. This systematic review aimed to identify different applications of AI across football codes to synthesise current knowledge and determine whether potential risks are being considered. The systematic review included 190 peer-reviewed articles. Nine areas of application were found ranging from athlete evaluation and event detection to match outcome prediction and injury detection and prediction. In total, 27 different AI models were identified, with artificial neural networks the most frequently applied. Five AI assessment metrics were identified including specificity, recall, precision, accuracy and F1-score. Four potential risks were identified, concerning data security, usability, data biases and inappropriate athlete load management. It is concluded that, though a wide range of AI applications currently exist, further work is required to develop AI for football and identify and manage potential risks.

Challenges and opportunities of artificial intelligence implementation within sports science and sports medicine teams

The rapid progress in the development of automation and artificial intelligence (AI) technologies, such as ChatGPT, represents a step-wise change in human's interactions with technology as part of a broader complex, sociotechnical system. Based on historical parallels to the present moment, such changes are likely to bring forth structural shifts to the nature of work, where near and future technologies will occupy key roles as workers or assistants in sports science and sports medicine multidisciplinary teams (MDTs). This envisioned future may bring enormous benefits, as well as a raft of potential challenges. These challenges include the potential to remove many human roles and allocate them to semi- or fully-autonomous AI. Removing such roles and tasks from humans will make many current jobs and careers untenable, leaving a set of difficult and unrewarding tasks for the humans that remain. Paradoxically, replacing humans with technology increases system complexity and makes them more prone to failure. The automation and AI boom also brings substantial opportunities. Among them are automated sentiment analysis and Digital Twin technologies which may reveal novel insights into athlete health and wellbeing and team tactical patterns, respectively. However, without due consideration of the interactions between humans and technology in the broader system of sport, adverse impacts are likely to be felt. Human and AI teamwork may require new ways of thinking.

When tomorrow comes: A prospective risk assessment of a future artificial general intelligence-based uncrewed combat aerial vehicle system

There are concerns that Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) could pose an existential threat to humanity; however, as AGI does not yet exist it is difficult to prospectively identify risks and develop requisite controls. We applied the Work Domain Analysis Broken Nodes (WDA-BN) and Event Analysis of Systemic Teamwork-Broken Links (EAST-BL) methods to identify potential risks in a future 'envisioned world' AGI-based uncrewed combat aerial vehicle system. The findings suggest five main categories of risk in this context: sub-optimal performance risks, goal alignment risks, super-intelligence risks, over-control risks, and enfeeblement risks. Two of these categories, goal alignment risks and super-intelligence risks, have not previously been encountered or dealt with in conventional safety management systems. Whereas most of the identified sub-optimal performance risks can be managed through existing defence design lifecycle processes, we propose that work is required to develop controls to manage the other risks identified. These include controls on AGI developers, controls within the AGI itself, and broader sociotechnical system controls.