Population-based stroke surveillance using big data: state-wide epidemiological trends in admissions and mortality in New South Wales, Australia

The effect of a healthy lifestyle on reducing the utilisation of healthcare professionals and prescription medications among stroke survivors: a longitudinal investigation using linked administrative data

PURPOSE

The aim of the study was to examine whether a healthy lifestyle was associated with reduced utilisation of healthcare professionals and/or prescription medications for stroke survivors.

METHODS

The study utilised data obtained from the 45 and Up Study, linked to the Medicare claims and Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme data. The outcome variables were the number of times a person received care from a range of healthcare professions and the number of different prescription medications used by participants. The risk factors were smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity, and supplement use. Generalised Estimating Equation models were employed to assess the longitudinal association between an outcome variable and risk factors.

RESULTS

Stroke survivors who engaged in moderate-to-high levels of physical activity were significantly less likely to receive care from a general practitioner, a nurse, and an allied health professional, as well as to take blood-thinning medications. Stroke survivors who smoked were more likely to receive care from a specialist doctor. Moreover, stroke survivors who consumed supplements were more likely to receive care from an allied health professional.

CONCLUSION

The findings carry substantial implications for stroke rehabilitation and secondary prevention, highlighting the positive effects of moderate-to-high physical activity and the associated risks of smoking.

Exploring functional abilities and competing risks among stroke patients: a longitudinal and survival analysis study at Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital, Ethiopia

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to evaluate competing risks and functional ability measures among patients who had a stroke.

DESIGN

A joint model comprising two related submodels was applied: a cause-specific hazard submodel for competing drop-out and stroke-related death risks, and a partial proportional odd submodel for longitudinal functional ability.

SETTING

Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital, Ethiopia.

PARTICIPANTS

The study included 400 patients who had a stroke from the medical ward outpatient stroke unit at Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital, who were treated from September 2018 to August 2021.

RESULTS

Among the 400 patients who had a stroke, 146 (36.5%) died and 88 (22%) dropped out. At baseline, 14% of patients had no symptoms and/or disability while 24% had slight disability, and 25% had severe disability. Most patients (37.04%) exhibited moderate functional ability. The presence of diabetes increased the cause-specific hazard of death by 3.95 times (95% CI 2.16 to 7.24) but decreased the cause-specific hazard of drop-out by 95% (aHR 0.05; 95% CI 0.01 to 0.46) compared with non-diabetic patients who had a stroke.

CONCLUSION

A substantial proportion of patients who had a stroke experienced mortality and drop-out during the study period, highlighting the importance of considering competing risks in stroke research. Age, diabetes, white cell count and stroke complications were significant covariates affecting both longitudinal and survival submodels. Compared with stand-alone models, the joint competing risk modelling technique offers comprehensive insights into the disease's transition pattern.

Temporal and age-specific trends in incidence and 1-year case-fatality of hospitalized ischaemic stroke in Victoria, Australia

OBJECTIVES

Investigate temporal and age-specific trends in the incidence of ischaemic stroke and case-fatality risk in Victoria, Australia.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients hospitalised with first ischaemic stroke between 2012 and 2018 were included. Trends in age-standardised incidence rates of ischaemic stroke were assessed using linear regression models. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to examine the case-fatality risk.

RESULTS

Overall age-standardised incidence of ischaemic stroke was stable from 2012/13 to 2017/18 (87.6 to 84.8 events per 100,000 population; Annual percentage change [APC] -0.32; 95% Confidence interval [CI] -1.13 to 0.50). The incidence declined in females (APC -1.00; 95% CI -1.49 to -0.50), people aged 75-84 years (APC -1.60; 95% CI -2.83 to -0.36) and in metropolitan areas (APC -0.74; 95% CI -1.02 to -0.45). The risk of 1-year case-fatality (HR 0.85; 95% CI 0.78 to 0.93) significantly declined in 2016/17 compared to 2012/13.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall ischaemic stroke incidence remained stable while decreasing trends were observed in females, elderly and metropolitan areas. 1-year case-fatality declined from 2012 to 2017.

Incidence and mortality rates of strokes in Kazakhstan in 2014-2019

There is a lack of information on the epidemiology of acute ischemic stroke (AIS), intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), and subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) in developing countries. This research presents incidence and mortality rates of stroke patients based on hospital admission and discharge status in one of the Central Asian countries by analysis of large-scale healthcare data. The registry data of 177,947 patients admitted to the hospital with the diagnosis of stroke between 2014 and 2019 were extracted from the National Electronic Health System of Kazakhstan. We provide descriptive statistics and analyze the association of socio-demographic and medical characteristics such as comorbidities and surgical treatments. Among all stroke patients, the incidence rate based on hospital admission of AIS was significantly higher compared to SAH and ICH patients. In 5 year follow-up period, AIS patients had a better outcome than SAH and ICH patients (64.7, 63.1 and 57.3% respectively). The hazard ratio (HR) after the trepanation and decompression surgery was 2.3 and 1.48 for AIS and SAH patients; however, it was protective for ICH (HR = 0.87). The investigation evaluated an increase in the all-cause mortality rates based on the discharge status of stroke patients, while the incidence rate decreased over time.

The association between fatigue severity and risk of falls among middle-aged and older Australian stroke survivors

Background

Fatigue is a common and often debilitating symptom experienced by many stroke survivors. Significant post stroke fatigue may predispose individuals to other health complications, such as falls, which can lead to fractures and soft tissue injuries. Only limited research has examined the association between fatigue and falls in stroke survivors.

Methods

Data were obtained from the Sax Institute’s 45 and Up Study, from a subset of individuals who had experienced a stroke. The Modified Fatigue Impact Scale—5-item version (MFIS-5) was used to measure the level of fatigue. A logistic regression model, adjusted for stroke characteristics and comorbidities, was used to determine the magnitude of association between change in fatigue score and odds of having had a fall.

Results

A total of 576 participants completed the questionnaire. A total of 214 (37.2%) participants reported having had a fall in the previous 12 months. There was a statistically significant association between fatigue scores and fall status (p < 0.001). Specifically, for every 1-point increase in the fatigue score (MFIS-5) (i.e. higher level of fatigue), the odds of a person having a fall is 1.10 times greater (AOR = 1.10; 95% CI 1.05, 1.15; p < 0.001).

Conclusion

This study revealed an association between an increasing risk of falls with increasing severity of post stroke fatigue. Accurate detection and management of fatigue may help reduce the risk of falls and should be the focus of future research.

Incidence and Long-Term Survival of Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage Over Time: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background and Purpose

Recent epidemiological data indicate that the absolute number of hemorrhagic stroke cases increased by 47% between 1990 and 2010 and continued to cause high rates of death and disability. The last systematic review and meta-analysis of incidence and long-term survival of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) were published 11 and 7 years ago, respectively, and lacked comparison between different income groups, therefore, a more up to date analysis is needed. We aim to investigate the ICH incidence and long-term survival data in countries of different income groups.

Materials Methods

We systematically searched Ovid Medline for population-based longitudinal studies of first-ever spontaneous ICH published from January 2000 to December 2020. We performed meta-analyses on the incidence and survival rate in countries of 4 different income groups with random-effects models (severe inconsistency). The I² was used to measure the heterogeneity. Heterogeneity was further investigated by conducting the meta-regression on the study mid-year. Time trends of the survival rate were assessed by weighted linear regression.

Results

We identified 84 eligible papers, including 68 publications reporting incidence and 24 publications on the survival rate. The pooled incidence of ICH per 100,000 per person-years was 26.47 (95% CI: 21.84–32.07) worldwide, 25.9 (95% CI: 22.63–29.63) in high-income countries (HIC), 28.45 (95% CI: 15.90–50.88) in upper-middle-income countries, and 31.73 (95% CI: 18.41–54.7) in lower-middle-income countries. The 1-year pooled survival rate was from 50% (95% CI: 47–54%; n = 4,380) worldwide to 50% (95% CI: 47–54%) in HIC, and 46% (95% CI: 38–55%) in upper-middle income countries. The 5-year pooled survival rate was 41% (95% CI: 35–48%; n = 864) worldwide, 41% (95% CI: 32–50%) in high-income and upper-middle countries. No publications were found reporting the long-term survival in lower-middle-income and low-income countries. No time trends in incidence or survival were found by meta-regression.

Conclusion

The pooled ICH incidence was highest in lower-middle-income countries. About half of ICH patients survived 1 year, and about two-fifths survived 5 years. Reliable population-based studies estimating the ICH incidence and long-term survival in low-income and low-middle-income countries are needed to help prevention of ICH.

Systematic Review Registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=170140, PROSPERO CRD42020170140.

The Survival Status and Predictors of Mortality Among Stroke Patients at North West Ethiopia

INTRODUCTION

Stroke is one of the commonest non-communicable disease types that has a great public health impact both in developed and developing countries. However, in Ethiopia, the long-term survival status of stroke patients is not very understood. This study aimed at assessing survival status and predictors of mortality among stroke patients at Felege Hiwot comprehensive specialized hospital from September 1, 2014, to August 31, 2019, Bahirdar, North West Ethiopia.

METHODS

An institutional-based retrospective cohort study was conducted using 368 registered stroke patients between September 1, 2014, and August 31, 2019. We used Kaplan-Meier together with a Log-rank test to compare the survival rate of the study participants using categorical variables and to compare covariate and both bi-variable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis model was conducted to identify predictors of mortality among stroke patients. The association between outcome and independent variables was expressed using an adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) with a 95% confidence interval and statistical significances were declared at P-value of <0.05.

RESULTS

Fifty-six (15.2%) of the 368 stroke patients included in the study died, and 312 (84.8%) were correctly censored. The overall survival rate was 72.2% at 51 months of follow-up with a median survival time of 0.26 months. Age greater than 65 (AHR 6.31, 95% CI 1.75-22.74), body temperature >7.1 degree centigrade (AHR = 7.14, 95% CI: 2.76-18.5), potassium level below <2 mmol/l (AHR = 2, 95% CI: 1.9-23.53) and creatinine level >1.2 mg/dl (AHR = 7.85, 95% CI: 2.7-22.6) were predictive predictors of mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

In the follow-up of 51 months, significant mortality occurred. Important predictive predictors of survival status were identified. Interventions should be focused on health education and awareness creation of the community for the early management of stroke.

Stroke in patients with cancer in the era of hyper-acute stroke intervention

OBJECTIVE

The natural history of patients with stroke and cancer remains poorly understood in the modern era of hyper-acute stroke therapies (recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (tPA) and endovascular clot retrieval (ECR)). Prior to these advances in stroke treatment, a highly cited study reported median overall survival (mOS) 4.5 months after stroke in a cohort of patients with cancer (2004, n=96). Our aim is to evaluate outcome following stroke for patients with cancer in this modern era. Our hypothesis is that patients with stroke and cancer have better outcome than in earlier studies.

DESIGN AND SETTING

Retrospective analysis of admission to a tertiary Stroke Unit between January 2015 and September 2017 (N=1910), evaluation of hospital records and cancer treatment records.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Cancer was categorised as early stage (stage I and II) and advanced stage (stage III or IV, using the RD-Staging system). Survival analysis was performed in R.

RESULTS

There were 143 stroke patients with cancer (62% male) with mean age 73.2 +/- 12.5 years. Ischemic stroke occurred in 74.1% and 45 of 106 patients (42.5%) received intravenous thrombolysis (34/45) and / or endovascular clot retrieval (11/45). One patient who received ECR died within 30-days of stroke. Those with early-stage disease had mOS of 19.6 months (IQR 3.1, 31.5 months) and in advanced stage cancer mOS was 2.5 months (IQR 0.4, 6.3 months, p<0.01) CONCLUSION: In the modern era of stroke therapy, our cohort of patients with advanced cancer have lower survival post-stroke compared to those with early-stage cancer. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.