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Uemura S, Nakayama R, Koyama M, Taguchi Y, Bunya N, Sawamoto K, Ohnishi H, Narimatsu E. Prediction of the future number of fall-related emergency medical services calls in older individuals. Int J Emerg Med 2024; 17:72. [PMID: 38862902 PMCID: PMC11165859 DOI: 10.1186/s12245-024-00654-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/03/2024] [Accepted: 06/07/2024] [Indexed: 06/13/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Falls among older individuals contribute significantly to the rise in ambulance transport use. To recognize the importance of future countermeasures, we estimated the projected number and percentage of fall-related emergency medical service (EMS) calls. METHODS We examined the sex, age group, and location of falls among patients aged ≥ 65 years who contacted emergency services in Sapporo City from 2013 to 2021. Annual fall-related calls per population subgroup were calculated, and trends were analyzed. Four models were used to estimate the future number of fall-related calls from the 2025-2060 projected population: (1) based on the 2022 data, estimates from the 2013-2022 data using (2) Poisson progression, (3) neural network, (4) estimates from the 2013-2019 data using neural network. The number of all EMS calls was also determined using the same method to obtain the ratio of all EMS calls. RESULTS During 2013-2022, 70,262 fall-related calls were made for those aged ≥ 65 years. The rate was higher indoors among females and outdoor among males in most age groups and generally increased with age. After adjusting for age, the rate increased by year. Future estimates of the number of fall calls are approximately double the number in 2022 in 2040 and three times in 2060, with falls accounting for approximately 11% and 13% of all EMS calls in 2040 and 2060, respectively. CONCLUSION The number of fall-related EMS calls among older people is expected to increase in the future, and the percentage of EMS calls will also increase; therefore, countermeasures are urgently needed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shuji Uemura
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-8543, Japan.
- Department of Emergency Medical Services, Life Flight and Disaster Medicine, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-854356, Japan.
| | - Ryuichi Nakayama
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-8543, Japan
| | - Masayuki Koyama
- Department of Public Health, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-854356, Japan
| | - Yukiko Taguchi
- Department of Emergency Medical Services, Life Flight and Disaster Medicine, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-854356, Japan
- Department of Nursing, School of Health Sciences, Sapporo Medical University, S S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-8556, Japan
| | - Naofumi Bunya
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-8543, Japan
- Department of Emergency Medical Services, Life Flight and Disaster Medicine, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-854356, Japan
| | - Keigo Sawamoto
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-8543, Japan
- Department of Emergency Medical Services, Life Flight and Disaster Medicine, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-854356, Japan
| | - Hirofumi Ohnishi
- Department of Public Health, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-854356, Japan
| | - Eichi Narimatsu
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-8543, Japan
- Department of Emergency Medical Services, Life Flight and Disaster Medicine, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, S-1, W-16, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, 060-854356, Japan
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Cook A, Swindall R, Spencer K, Wadle C, Cage SA, Mohiuddin M, Desai Y, Norwood S. Hospitalization and readmission after single-level fall: a population-based sample. Inj Epidemiol 2023; 10:49. [PMID: 37858271 PMCID: PMC10588028 DOI: 10.1186/s40621-023-00463-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/15/2023] [Accepted: 10/08/2023] [Indexed: 10/21/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Single-level falls (SLFs) in the older US population is a leading cause of hospital admission and rates are increasing. Unscheduled hospital readmission is regarded as a quality-of-care indication and a preventable burden on healthcare systems. We aimed to characterize the predictors of 30-day readmission following admission for SLF injuries among patients 65 years and older. METHODS We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the Nationwide Readmission Database from 2018 to 2019. Included patients were 65 and older, admitted emergently following a SLF with a primary injury diagnosis. Hierarchical logit regression was used to model factors associated with readmission within 30 days of discharge. RESULTS Of 1,338,905 trauma patients, 65 years or older, 61.3% had a single-level fall as the mechanism of injury. Among fallers, the average age was 81.1 years and 68.5% were female. SLF patients underwent more major therapeutic procedures (56.3% vs. 48.2%), spent over 2 million days in the hospital and incurred total charges of over $28 billion annually. Over 11% of SLF patients were readmitted within 30 days of discharge. Increasing income had a modest effect, where the highest zip code quartile was 9% less likely to be readmitted. Decreasing population density had a protective effect of readmission of 16%, comparing Non-Urban to Large Metropolitan. Transfer to short-term hospital, brain and vascular injuries were independent predictors of 30-day readmission in multivariable analysis (OR 2.50, 1.31, and 1.42, respectively). Palliative care consultation was protective (OR 0.41). The subsequent hospitalizations among those 30-day readmissions were primarily emergent (92.9%), consumed 260,876 hospital days and a total of $2.75 billion annually. CONCLUSIONS SLFs exact costs to patients, health systems, and society. Transfer to short-term hospitals at discharge, along with brain and vascular injuries were strong predictors of 30-day readmission and warrant mitigation strategy development with consideration of expanded palliative care consultation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alan Cook
- Trauma Services, UT Health East Texas, 1020 E. Idel St., Tyler, TX, 75701, USA
| | - Rebecca Swindall
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Tyler, 11937 US Highway 271, Room H252, Tyler, TX, 75708, USA
| | - Katherine Spencer
- CHRISTUS Health-Texas A&M Spohn Emergency Medicine Residency, Texas A&M University-Corpus Christi, 600 Elizabeth Street, 9B, Corpus Christi, TX, 78404, USA
| | - Carly Wadle
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Tyler, 11937 US Highway 271, Room H252, Tyler, TX, 75708, USA
| | - S Andrew Cage
- Department of Sports Medicine, The University of Texas at Tyler, 3900 University Blvd., Tyler, TX, 75799, USA
| | - Musharaf Mohiuddin
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Tyler, 11937 US Highway 271, Room H252, Tyler, TX, 75708, USA.
| | - Yagnesh Desai
- Department of Emergency Medicine, UT Health East Texas, 1000 S. Beckham Ave., Tyler, TX, 75701, USA
| | - Scott Norwood
- Trauma Services, UT Health East Texas, 1020 E. Idel St., Tyler, TX, 75701, USA
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Bogucki S, Siddiqui G, Carter R, McGovern J, Dziura J, Gan G, Li F, Stover G, Cone DC, Brokowski C, Joseph D. Effect of a Home Health and Safety Intervention on Emergency Department Use in the Frail Elderly: A Prospective Observational Study. West J Emerg Med 2023; 24:522-531. [PMID: 37278776 PMCID: PMC10284516 DOI: 10.5811/westjem.58378] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/14/2022] [Revised: 01/24/2023] [Accepted: 02/09/2023] [Indexed: 06/07/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Geriatric patients are often frail and may lose independence through a variety of mechanisms including cognitive decline, reduced mobility, and falls. Our goal was to measure the effect of a multidisciplinary home health program that assessed frailty and safety and then coordinated ongoing delivery of community resources on short-term, all-cause emergency department (ED) utilization across three study arms that attempted to stratify frailty by fall risk. METHODS Subjects became eligible for this prospective observational study via one of three pathways: 1) by visiting the ED after a fall (2,757 patients); 2) by self-identifying as at risk for falling (2,787); or 3) by calling 9-1-1 for a "lift assist" after falling and being unable to get up (121). The intervention consisted of sequential home visits by a research paramedic who used standardized assessments of frailty and risk of falling (including providing home safety guidance), and a home health nurse who aligned resources to address the conditions found. Outcomes of interest were all-cause ED utilization at 30, 60, and 90 days post-intervention compared with subjects who enrolled via the same study pathway but declined the study intervention (controls). RESULTS Subjects in the fall-related ED visit arm were significantly less likely to have one or more subsequent ED encounters post-intervention than controls at 30 days (18.2% vs 29.2%, P<0.001); 60 days (27.5% vs 39.8%, P<0.001); and 90 days (34.6% vs 46.2%, P<0.001). In contrast, participants in the self-referral arm had no difference in ED encounters post-intervention compared to controls at 30, 60, or 90 days (P=0.30, 0.84, and 0.23, respectively). The size of the 9-1-1 call arm limited statistical power for analysis. CONCLUSION A history of a fall requiring ED evaluation appeared to be a useful marker of frailty. Subjects recruited through this pathway experienced less all-cause ED utilization over subsequent months after a coordinated community intervention than without it. The participants who only self-identified as at risk for falling had lower rates of subsequent ED utilization than those recruited in the ED after a fall and did not significantly benefit from the intervention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sandy Bogucki
- Yale School of Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
| | - Gina Siddiqui
- New York City Health and Hospitals, Elmhurst Hospital Center, Department of Emergency Medicine, Queens, New York
| | - Ryan Carter
- Our Lady of Fatima Hospital, Department of Emergency Medicine, North Providence, Rhode Island
| | - Joanne McGovern
- Yale School of Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
| | - James Dziura
- Yale School of Medicine, Yale Center for Analytical Science, Department of Emergency Medicine and of Endocrinology, New Haven, Connecticut
| | - Geliang Gan
- Yale School of Public Health, Yale Center for Analytical Sciences, New Haven, Connecticut
| | - Fangyong Li
- Yale School of Public Health, Yale Center for Analytical Sciences, New Haven, Connecticut
| | - Gina Stover
- Yale School of Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
| | | | - Carolyn Brokowski
- Yale School of Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
| | - Daniel Joseph
- Yale School of Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
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Louras N, Reading Turchioe M, Shafran Topaz L, Demetres MR, Ellison M, Abudu-Solo J, Blutinger E, Munjal KG, Daniels B, Masterson Creber RM. Mobile Integrated Health Interventions for Older Adults: A Systematic Review. Innov Aging 2023; 7:igad017. [PMID: 37090165 PMCID: PMC10114527 DOI: 10.1093/geroni/igad017] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/05/2022] [Indexed: 03/04/2023] Open
Abstract
Background and Objectives Mobile integrated health (MIH) interventions have not been well described in older adult populations. The objective of this systematic review was to evaluate the characteristics and effectiveness of MIH programs on health-related outcomes among older adults. Research Design and Methods We searched Ovid MEDLINE, Ovid EMBASE, CINAHL, AgeLine, Social Work Abstracts, and The Cochrane Library through June 2021 for randomized controlled trials or cohort studies evaluating MIH among adults aged 65 and older in the general community. Studies were screened for eligibility against predefined inclusion/exclusion criteria. Using at least 2 independent reviewers, quality was appraised using the Downs and Black checklist and study characteristics and findings were synthesized and evaluated for potential bias. Results Screening of 2,160 records identified 15 studies. The mean age of participants was 67 years. The MIH interventions varied in their focus, community paramedic training, types of assessments and interventions delivered, physician oversight, use of telemedicine, and post-visit follow-up. Studies reported significant reductions in emergency call volume (5 studies) and immediate emergency department (ED) transports (3 studies). The 3 studies examining subsequent ED visits and 4 studies examining readmission rates reported mixed results. Studies reported low adverse event rates (5 studies), high patient and provider satisfaction (5 studies), and costs equivalent to or less than usual paramedic care (3 studies). Discussion and Implications There is wide variability in MIH provider training, program coordination, and quality-based metrics, creating heterogeneity that make definitive conclusions challenging. Nonetheless, studies suggest MIH reduces emergency call volume and ED transport rates while improving patient experience and reducing overall health care costs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nathan Louras
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
| | | | - Leah Shafran Topaz
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, New York, USA
| | - Michelle R Demetres
- Samuel J. Wood Library and C.V. Starr Biomedical Information Center, Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, New York, USA
| | - Melani Ellison
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, New York, USA
| | - Jamie Abudu-Solo
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, New York, USA
| | - Erik Blutinger
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Mount Sinai Icahn School of Medicine, New York, New York, USA
| | - Kevin G Munjal
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Mount Sinai Icahn School of Medicine, New York, New York, USA
| | - Brock Daniels
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, New York, USA
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Adibhatla S, Lurie T, Betz G, Palmer J, Raffman A, Andhavarapu S, Harris A, Tran QK, Gingold DB. A Systematic Review of Methodologies and Outcome Measures of Mobile Integrated Health-Community Paramedicine Programs. PREHOSP EMERG CARE 2022; 28:168-178. [PMID: 36260780 DOI: 10.1080/10903127.2022.2138654] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/23/2022] [Revised: 10/10/2022] [Accepted: 10/16/2022] [Indexed: 10/24/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Mobile integrated health-community paramedicine (MIH-CP) uses patient-centered, mobile resources in the out-of-hospital environment to increase access to care and reduce unnecessary emergency department (ED) usage. The objective of this systematic review is to characterize the outcomes and methodologies used by MIH-CP programs around the world and assess the validity of the ways programs evaluate their effectiveness. METHODS The PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, and Scopus databases were searched for peer-reviewed literature related to MIH-CP programs. We included all full-length studies whose programs met the National Association of Emergency Medical Technicians definition, had MIH-CP-related interventions, and measured outcomes. We excluded all non-English papers, abstract-only, and incomplete studies. RESULTS Our initial literature review identified 6434 titles. We screened 178 full-text studies to assess for eligibility and identified 33 studies to include in this review. These 33 include four randomized controlled trials, 17 cohort studies, eight 8 case series, and four 4 cross-sectional studies. Of the 29 non-randomized trials, five used matched controls, 13 used pre-post, and 11 used no controls. Outcomes measured were hospital usage (24 studies), ED visits (15), EMS usage (23), patient satisfaction (8), health-related outcomes (8), and cost (9). Studies that evaluated hospital usage reported one of several outcome measures: hospital admissions (11), ED length of stay (3), and hospital readmission rate (2). EMS usage was measured by ambulance transports (12) and EMS calls (10). Cost outcomes observed were ambulance transport savings (7), ED visit savings (4), hospital admission savings (3), and cost per quality-adjusted life year (2). CONCLUSION Most studies assessing MIH-CP programs reported success of their interventions. However, significant heterogeneity of outcome measures and varying quality of study methodologies exist among studies. Future studies designed with adequately matched controls and applying uniform core metrics for cost savings and health care usage are needed to better evaluate the effectiveness of MIH-CP programs.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Tucker Lurie
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Wellspan York Hospital, York, Pennsylvania
| | - Gail Betz
- University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Jamie Palmer
- University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Alison Raffman
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Hennepin County Medical Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota
| | - Sanketh Andhavarapu
- University of Maryland at College Park, College Park, Maryland
- The Research Associate Program in Emergency Medicine & Critical Care, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Andrea Harris
- University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Quincy K Tran
- University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
- University of Maryland at College Park, College Park, Maryland
- The Research Associate Program in Emergency Medicine & Critical Care, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
- Program in Trauma, The R Adams Cowley Shock Trauma Center, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Daniel B Gingold
- University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
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Juckett LA, Wengerd LR, Banhos M, Darragh AR. Conducting Implementation Research in Stroke Rehabilitation: A Case Example and Considerations for Study Design. Neurorehabil Neural Repair 2022; 36:770-776. [PMID: 36398961 DOI: 10.1177/15459683221138747] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/19/2022]
Abstract
As neurorehabilitation research continues to grow, the field must ensure its scientific discoveries are implemented into routine clinical care. Without targeted efforts to increase the implementation of evidence into practice, patients may never see the benefits of interventions, assessments, and technologies developed in the confines of empirical studies. This article serves as a response to Lynch et al's 2018 Point of View piece in Neurorehabilitation and Neural Repair that underscored the urgent need for implementation studies to expedite the application of neurorehabilitation evidence in practice. To address this need, we provide the following 4 considerations investigators should contemplate when designing their own studies at the intersection of implementation and neurorehabilitation research: (a) consideration of guiding theories, models, and frameworks, (b) consideration of implementation strategies, (c) considerations of target outcomes, and (d) consideration of hybrid effectiveness-implementation designs. To conclude, we also provide a study exemplar to depict how these considerations can be integrated into the neurorehabilitation research field to narrow the evidence-to-practice gap.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lisa A Juckett
- Division of Occupational Therapy, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, USA
| | - Lauren R Wengerd
- Division of Occupational Therapy, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, USA
| | - Meredith Banhos
- Wexner Medical Center, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, USA
| | - Amy R Darragh
- Division of Occupational Therapy, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, USA
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Shannon B, Eaton G, Lanos C, Leyenaar M, Nolan M, Bowles K, Williams B, O'Meara P, Wingrove G, Heffern JD, Batt A. The development of community paramedicine; a restricted review. HEALTH & SOCIAL CARE IN THE COMMUNITY 2022; 30:e3547-e3561. [PMID: 36065522 PMCID: PMC10087318 DOI: 10.1111/hsc.13985] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/04/2022] [Revised: 06/01/2022] [Accepted: 08/13/2022] [Indexed: 05/22/2023]
Abstract
Community paramedic roles are expanding internationally, and no review of the literature could be found to guide services in the formation of community paramedicine programmes. For this reason, the aim of this restricted review was to explore and better understand the successes and learnings of community paramedic programmes across five domains being; education requirements, models of delivery, clinical governance and supervision, scope of roles and outcomes. This restricted review was conducted by searching four databases (CENTRAL, ERIC, EMBASE, MEDLINE and Google Scholar) as well as grey literature search from 2001 until 28/12/2021. After screening, 98 articles were included in the narrative synthesis. Most studies were from the USA (n = 37), followed by Canada (n = 29). Most studies reported on outcomes of community paramedicine programmes (n = 50), followed by models of delivery (n = 28). The findings of this review demonstrate a lack of research and understanding in the areas of education and scope of the role for community paramedics. The findings highlight a need to develop common approaches to education and scope of role while maintaining flexibility in addressing community needs. There was an observable lack of standardisation in the implementation of governance and supervision models, which may prevent community paramedicine from realising its full potential. The outcome measures reported show that there is evidence to support the implementation of community paramedicine into healthcare system design. Community paramedicine programmes result in a net reduction in acute healthcare utilisation, appear to be economically viable and result in positive patient outcomes with high patient satisfaction with care. There is a developing pool of evidence to many aspects of community paramedicine programmes. However, at this time, gaps in the literature prevent a definitive recommendation on the impact of community paramedicine programmes on healthcare system functionality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Brendan Shannon
- Department of ParamedicineMonash UniversityFrankstonVictoriaAustralia
| | - Georgette Eaton
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health SciencesUniversity of OxfordOxfordUK
| | | | - Matthew Leyenaar
- Department of Health and Wellness, Emergency Health ServicesGovernment of Prince Edward IslandPrince Edward IslandCanada
| | - Mike Nolan
- County of Renfrew Paramedic ServicePembrokeCanada
| | - Kelly‐Ann Bowles
- Department of ParamedicineMonash UniversityFrankstonVictoriaAustralia
| | - Brett Williams
- Department of ParamedicineMonash UniversityFrankstonVictoriaAustralia
| | - Peter O'Meara
- Department of ParamedicineMonash UniversityFrankstonVictoriaAustralia
| | - Gary Wingrove
- International Roundtable on Community ParamedicineDuluthMNUSA
| | - JD Heffern
- Indigenous Services Canada, Government of CanadaOttawaOntarioCanada
| | - Alan Batt
- Department of ParamedicineMonash UniversityFrankstonVictoriaAustralia
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